AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 6 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm into week close · RSI 67 · price 0.69575

Higher lows since post-gap dip, pressing week highs.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, lifting from the 0.6921 day low to week highs near 0.6959 and holding above EMA(20). RSI(14) is firm in the mid-60s as higher lows have built since the post-gap dip, and price has broken out of the 0.6930–0.6944 consolidation. The 0.6980 cap flagged by the desk is the next area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6930, 0.6921

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6980 opens room toward the 0.7070 area
  • Loss of 0.6930 higher-low structure would neutralise the advance
  • FOMC minutes Wed could shift the USD leg of this read

23:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 67 · price 0.69575

Higher highs / higher lows off week low.

AUDUSD has ground higher through the NY session, breaking back above the 0.6946 prior high and printing a fresh week high at 0.6958 with RSI(14) pushing into the mid-60s. Price sits clear of both EMA(20) and EMA(50) after basing at the 0.6921 week low, with each pullback since holding a higher low. The context read frames 0.6980 as the near-term cap that has repeatedly stalled rebounds.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6934, 0.69214

Resistance: 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6958 opens the path to the 0.6980 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 undermines the higher-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD leg

22:03 UTC

Uptrend, near-term momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 0.69571

Higher lows since Monday's low, pressing week highs.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, building a run of higher lows off Monday's 0.6921 base and clearing the 0.6935 consolidation to print fresh week highs at 0.6959. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) around 67 as the rebound off the 200-DMA zone extends. The 0.6980 cap flagged into RBA/FOMC risk remains the harder overhead reference.

Support: 0.6935, 0.69347, 0.69214

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6980 opens the next leg higher
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 negates the breakout and returns price into the range
  • FOMC minutes and RBA commentary this week could shift the USD/AUD read

22:02 UTC

Uptrend, extending · RSI 66 · price 0.69571

Higher highs and higher lows off this-week base.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 0.6935 congestion and pressing a session high of 0.69586, with price holding above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The rebound tracks a modest risk-on relief but is now leaning into the 0.6980 cap flagged this week after AUD faded from 0.6950 on cooler inflation gauges. RSI(14) around 66 shows momentum firm but nearing stretched territory.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6935, 0.6921

Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6980 opens the path toward 0.7070
  • Loss of 0.6935 would negate the higher-low structure
  • FOMC minutes (Wed) could shift the USD leg materially

21:04 UTC

Uptrend, pushing prior cap · RSI 68 · price 0.6956

Higher highs off this-week low, testing 0.6950.

AUDUSD has climbed through the 0.6950 cap that rejected two attempts earlier this week, printing session highs near 0.6959 into the NY close with RSI elevated in the high-60s. The leg is USD-led — soft post-NFP dollar tone is the only prop, as cooling AU inflation gauges leave the Aussie without a domestic catalyst. Price holds well above EMA(20) and EMA(50) after basing near 0.6923 mid-week.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6935, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6980 opens the top of the range
  • Failure to hold the 0.6950 retest reopens 0.6935 range mid
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:04 UTC

Uptrend, pressing 0.6950 cap · RSI 67 · price 0.6956

Recovery toward week highs after mid-week base.

AUDUSD has climbed off the 0.6923 swing low into a fresh run at 0.6959, the two-week high that capped it earlier — price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 67. The bid follows lingering post-NFP USD softness rather than any domestic AU catalyst, and the 0.6959 area has now been tested twice this week. FOMC minutes Wednesday are the next material risk to the read.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6923, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 0.6959 opens the 0.6980 band top
  • Loss of 0.6934 session low reopens 0.6923 swing low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read

20:02 UTC

Uptrend, near-term momentum extended · RSI 68 · price 0.69559

Higher lows into break of 0.6950.

AUDUSD built higher lows off the 0.69214 swing low through Monday and pushed hard in the NY session, clearing the 0.6950 pivot (200-DMA/38.2% hurdle) to tag a 0.69586 week high. The move sits within the digest's still-corrective 0.6870–0.6980 band, helped by a soft US NFP capping the dollar; price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) elevated near 68.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69347, 0.69214

Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.6950 turns the break corrective back into the range
  • Sustained acceptance above 0.6980 range cap needed to negate the bearish structure
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the dollar-driven read

20:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extending · RSI 71 · price 0.69559

Breakout above 0.6950, higher highs.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 0.6950 shelf that capped price earlier in the week to print a fresh session high near 0.69586. The move builds on the post-NFP USD softness, with price holding above EMA(20) since Monday's reopen and RSI(14) pushing into stretched territory. The 0.6950 former cap is now the first pivot back below.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69347, 0.6921

Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above 0.6950 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below reverts to the range read
  • 0.6980 range cap is the area to watch for rejection or continuation
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-side driver

19:03 UTC

Corrective rebound, breaking higher · RSI 68 · price 0.69562

Higher lows into a break above the 0.6950 pivot.

AUDUSD pushed through the 0.6950 pivot (two-week high / 38.2% fibo hurdle) into the NY session, with RSI(14) climbing toward overbought as price holds above both EMAs. The move extends the USD-led corrective rebound seen since last week's soft NFP; higher lows off 0.6920 have carried price to a fresh session high near 0.69586. Weekly open at 0.6935 has been left behind.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6935, 0.6920

Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • A close back below 0.6950 negates the breakout and returns price to range
  • 0.6980 range top is the next area to watch for rejection or break
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD-side read

19:03 UTC

Corrective uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 0.69562

Recovery off week lows, breaking prior pivot.

AUDUSD recovered from Monday's 0.6882 low and pushed above the 0.6950 pivot into the NY session, with RSI(14) climbing into the high 60s and price holding above EMA20 and EMA50. The 0.6950 area had capped two attempts earlier this week before today's break; session high at 0.69586 sits just overhead with the 0.6980 range top beyond, consistent with the USD-led corrective rebound flagged in the digest.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6925, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 acceptance back below 0.6950 would negate the breakout
  • 0.6980 range top is the area to watch for rejection or break
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-side read

18:03 UTC

Corrective uptrend, testing week high · RSI 66 · price 0.69509

Higher lows since midweek, retesting 0.6950 cap.

AUDUSD has ground back to the 0.6950 two-week high on a fifth straight rising H1 close, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 as the corrective rebound off last week's USD-led NFP move extends. The 0.6950 level, tagged as the 38.2% retracement hurdle, has capped prior attempts and price is pressing it again into the NY session. Below, demand has stepped in on the higher-lows sequence from today's 0.6921 session low.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6921, 0.6888

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Clean H1 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure at 0.6950 and loss of 0.6935 EMA20 reopens the 0.6921 session low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:02 UTC

Corrective rebound, testing range top · RSI 65 · price 0.69509

Recovery off week lows into 0.6950 resistance.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, printing higher lows since the Sunday reopen and pushing the week high to 0.6953 with price holding above EMA(20)/EMA(50). The rebound reads as corrective within the 0.6885–0.6980 weekly range, and 0.6950 — flagged as the two-week high — is being retested. RSI(14) has cycled up into the mid-60s alongside the move.

Support: 0.6928, 0.69214, 0.6885

Resistance: 0.6953, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 0.6953 opens the path to 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6928 session low reopens 0.6885 week low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD-side read

17:03 UTC

Range, grinding to top · RSI 62 · price 0.69464

Rangebound 0.6910–0.6950, pressing highs.

Since the weekend reopen AUDUSD has ground higher off the 0.6929 area back toward the 0.6950 two-week high, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the upper-50s/low-60s. The move reads as corrective within a broader range: last week's spike to 0.6950 was USD-led on the soft NFP, and cooler AU inflation plus Hormuz risk-off have capped follow-through. The 0.6950 pivot has yet to give way.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6910, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6950 opens the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6910 intraday support reopens the 0.6865 range floor
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:03 UTC

Corrective recovery, capped near range top · RSI 61 · price 0.69464

Higher lows into two-week high resistance.

The week's dominant leg was the USD-led spike off 0.6886 after Friday's soft US NFP, tagging 0.6949 before handing back into the mid-0.6930s. Price has since rebuilt a sequence of higher lows through the NY session and now presses back toward the 0.6949 two-week high, holding above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) cycling in the upper half without extremes keeps the recovery intact but corrective within the broader 0.6865–0.6980 range.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6921, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6949 opens the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6921 intraday low returns focus to 0.6910 range support
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD-side read

16:02 UTC

Range, grinding back to top · RSI 61 · price 0.69434

Consolidation in upper half of week's range.

AUDUSD spiked to the 0.6949 week high after the soft US NFP print, then settled into a 0.6920–0.6949 band through the London-NY sessions. Price is back above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-range, and buyers have stepped in twice near 0.6920 this week. Cooler AU inflation has capped the recovery, leaving price pinned just under the 0.6949 week high into the NY session.

Support: 0.69214, 0.6889, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69491 week high opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69214 swing low reopens the 0.6890 band floor
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via USD

16:02 UTC

Sideways, mild upward drift · RSI 61 · price 0.69434

Range below week high, higher lows forming.

AUDUSD spiked to the week high at 0.69491 on the soft US NFP print, then settled into a tight 0.6925–0.6949 range through the back half of the week. Buyers have stepped in around 0.6925 to build a series of higher lows into the current NY session, with price holding above EMA20 and RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s to low-60s. The move remains USD-driven rather than an Aussie story — cooler AU inflation has trimmed the hawkish-RBA premium.

Support: 0.6925, 0.69214, 0.69117

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69491 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold the 0.6925 range low exposes the 0.69214 swing low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:02 UTC

Rangebound, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.6938

Consolidation under week high.

AUDUSD spiked to the 0.6949 week high on Friday's soft US payrolls print, then unwound the move and has since coiled around 0.6935 with price holding just above EMA20/EMA50. Cooler AU TD-MI inflation trimmed RBA hike bets, keeping the Aussie a passenger inside the well-worn 0.6870–0.6980 band. RSI(14) is sitting near neutral as the week's dominant move gets digested.

Support: 0.6925, 0.6900, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6949 reopens the path to the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6925 shifts focus to the 0.6900 handle and 0.6870 floor
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:02 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 0.6938

Consolidation under week high after NFP spike.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6949 last week on the soft US 57K NFP print, then handed most of it back as the USD rebounded on Hormuz-driven haven demand and cooler AU inflation eroded the RBA-hike premium. Since then price has coiled in a tight 0.6925–0.6949 band, holding just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering around the mid-50s. The week high at 0.6949 has capped two tests while demand keeps stepping in near 0.6925.

Support: 0.6925, 0.6921, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6949 opens the path back to the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6925 exposes the 0.6921 week low and the 0.6890 range floor
  • FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift the USD side of this read

14:02 UTC

Consolidation after spike, soft downside drift · RSI 46 · price 0.69302

Range below 0.6950 week high, lower highs since peak.

AUDUSD spiked to the 0.6950 two-week high on the soft US NFP print, then handed most of that back as cooler TD-MI inflation and a firmer USD pulled it into the 0.6920–0.6940 range. Price has been printing lower highs since the 0.69491 peak and now sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling mid-40s, no clear momentum either way. The 0.6940 supply band capped the last two attempts while dips into 0.6921 have held.

Support: 0.6921, 0.6910, 0.6887

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6950, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6921 confirms a lower-low, exposing the 0.6910 range floor
  • Close above 0.6950 opens the 0.6980 neutral-band top
  • US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Waller could shift the USD leg materially

14:02 UTC

Range, mild downward drift · RSI 48 · price 0.69302

Consolidating below week high after NFP spike.

AUDUSD spiked to a 0.69491 week high on Thursday's soft US NFP but handed most of the gains back, drifting into a tight 0.6929–0.6937 consolidation through this week's sessions. Price is sitting fractionally under both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering near 47, reflecting the two-way, catalyst-starved read after cooler Australian inflation trimmed RBA bets. The 0.69491 high has capped upside while dips are being absorbed above the 0.6921 swing low.

Support: 0.69214, 0.6910, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69491 reopens the path to the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6921 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.6910 range floor
  • US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could materially shift the USD leg of this read

13:03 UTC

Range, mild downside drift · RSI 44 · price 0.69257

Consolidation below week high, capped at 0.6950.

AUDUSD is range-bound this week after the NFP-driven spike to 0.6949 faded, with the 38.2% fib / week high near 0.6950 rejecting the corrective bounce. Price has since drifted into the low 0.693s and now sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) below 50, softened by a cooler TD-MI inflation gauge and negative ANZ job ads today. The 0.6885–0.6950 band still frames the read.

Support: 0.6921, 0.6885, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.6939, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6950 invalidates the range and corrective label
  • Loss of 0.6885 weekly low opens 0.6870 range floor
  • US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed minutes Wed are the USD-side drivers for this pair

13:03 UTC

Range, mild downside drift · RSI 45 · price 0.69257

Consolidation below week high after faded NFP spike.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6949 on Thursday's soft US NFP print but the move wasn't sustained, fading back below the 0.6943 38.2 fibo and the ema20 near 0.6933. Since the new week opened around 0.6935 price has drifted lower, softened further by a cooler TD-MI inflation gauge and negative ANZ job ads. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with the pair consolidating between the 0.69214 swing low and the faded highs.

Support: 0.69214, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6933, 0.6943, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back above 0.6943 38.2 fibo reopens the 0.69491 week high
  • Loss of 0.69214 swing low confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6910 range floor
  • US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Waller could drive the USD leg and break this range

12:02 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69343

Consolidation after faded spike.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways around 0.6934 after the post-NFP spike to 0.6949 was fully retraced and a softer TD-MI inflation gauge kept the Aussie heavy. Price is pinned between EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering near 48, showing no directional conviction since the week reopened. The 0.6928 recent floor and 0.6943 prior high frame the near-term chop.

Support: 0.6928, 0.6900, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.6943, 0.69491, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6943 opens the path back to the 0.6980 range top
  • Break below 0.6900 200sma psych confirms a lower-low toward 0.6870
  • US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift USD-side flows and this read

12:02 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 0.69343

Range-bound below week high.

The post-NFP spike to 0.6949 last week was fully retraced and price has coiled into a tight 0.6928-0.6940 band since Monday's open, with RSI(14) parked near 50 and ATR compressing. The soft TD-MI inflation gauge and a firmer USD have kept the Aussie heavy just above the 0.6900 200-day SMA. EMA(20) is capping pullbacks around 0.6933 while the wider week high at 0.6949 remains untested.

Support: 0.6928, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6943, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69430 reopens the 0.69491 week high
  • Break below 0.69280 exposes the 0.6900 200-dma psych level
  • US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller could drive USD flows through this range

11:03 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 51 · price 0.69338

Consolidation below week high, holding EMA20.

AUDUSD spiked to a 0.69491 week high on Thursday's soft US NFP print, then handed back the move and has since coiled around EMA20 near 0.6934. Monday's session dipped to 0.69214 on soft TD-MI inflation before recovering, keeping price pinned inside a tight 0.6921–0.6949 band. RSI(14) is cycling around the midline with no directional conviction.

Support: 0.69214, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Break below 0.69214 exposes the 0.6900 psych level and a lower low
  • US ISM Services / Fed Waller today and FOMC minutes Wed could reset this range

11:02 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 0.69338

Range after failed breakout.

AUDUSD is consolidating in a 0.6925–0.6945 band after Thursday's soft US NFP spiked it to a 0.6949 week high, a move that has since been handed back. Price sits right on its EMA20/EMA50 cluster with RSI(14) mid-range near 50, showing no directional edge into the NY session. The range top at 0.6945 has capped every recovery this week while the 0.6925 floor keeps absorbing dips.

Support: 0.6925, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6945 range top opens the 0.6980 area
  • Loss of the 0.6925 range floor exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range either side

10:02 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69308

Consolidating below weekly high after pullback.

AUDUSD spiked to the 0.6949 weekly high on Thursday's soft US NFP print, then handed most of it back and has been drifting sideways near 0.6930 into this week's open. Price sits just below the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering around 46, as softer TD-MI inflation and mild Hormuz-driven USD safe-haven flows cap the bounce around the 200-DMA area. The 0.6921 swing low has held on the last two dips, keeping the 0.6921–0.6949 range intact.

Support: 0.6921, 0.6886

Resistance: 0.6934, 0.6949

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6921 confirms a lower-low, exposing the 0.6886 range low
  • Reclaim of the 0.6934 EMA20 and a push through 0.6949 opens the range top
  • US ISM Services today 14:00 UTC and FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg driving this pair

10:02 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 0.69308

Consolidation below NFP-rally high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6949 on last week's soft US NFP print, then handed most of it back and has traded a tight 0.6921–0.6945 range since Monday's open. Price is drifting under EMA(20) into the NY session with RSI(14) mid-40s, and softer TD-MI inflation plus safe-haven USD flows have capped attempts back toward the range top. Demand has stepped in around 0.6921–0.6925 on each dip this week.

Support: 0.6925, 0.6921, 0.6920

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6949

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6920 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's range floor
  • Reclaim of 0.6945 range top reopens the 0.6949 week high
  • US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Wed FOMC minutes could shift the USD leg driving this pair

09:03 UTC

Range-bound, momentum slowing · RSI 46 · price 0.69305

Consolidation below week high.

AUD/USD spiked to the 0.6949 week high on Thursday's soft US NFP print, then handed back most of the gain and has ground sideways since. Price is now hovering under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s, and today's cooler TD-MI Inflation Gauge (3.9% YoY) softened the recovery attempt. The 0.6921 swing low and 0.6949 cap frame this week's range.

Support: 0.69214, 0.6900, 0.68862

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6935

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69491 reopens the 0.6980 range top
  • Break of 0.69214 exposes 0.6900 and the week low at 0.68862
  • US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Waller could shift the USD read
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary near-term risk

09:03 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat after failed push · RSI 45 · price 0.69305

Range-bound below 0.6949 week high.

Thursday's weak US NFP (57K vs 110K) spiked AUD/USD to the 0.6949 week high before the move fully faded, leaving price ranging around 0.6930 since Monday's reopen. Softer TD-MI inflation (3.9% YoY) and negative ANZ Job Ads have capped the recovery, with lower-highs into the 0.6943 area and demand holding the 0.6925 session low. Price sits just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s.

Support: 0.6925, 0.6921, 0.6887

Resistance: 0.6943, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69491 invalidates the range read and re-opens the top of the 0.6870-0.6980 band
  • Failure to hold 0.69250 exposes the 0.6921 swing low and 0.6887 range base
  • US ISM Services and Fed minutes this week are the primary USD driver for this pair

08:02 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 0.69366

Consolidation below week high after NFP spike faded.

AUDUSD spiked toward 0.6949 on Thursday's weak US NFP (57K vs 110K) then handed most of the move back, closing the week near its 200-day average. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.6925-0.6940 band, holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) parked mid-range. The 0.6949 week high has capped and today's 0.6925 low is the near-term floor.

Support: 0.6925, 0.69103, 0.68807

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.69428

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6925 opens the path toward week open at 0.6881
  • H1 close above 0.6949 challenges the 0.6980 range top
  • US ISM Services and FOMC minutes this week are the main USD catalysts

08:02 UTC

Sideways, upper-range consolidation · RSI 53 · price 0.69366

Range after NFP spike, holding above EMAs.

AUDUSD is consolidating in the upper half of the week's range after Thursday's weak US NFP knocked the USD and spiked the pair toward 0.6949. Price handed back most of that move and is trading around EMA20/EMA50 near 0.6935; today's dip to 0.69214 was bought back into the return of US trade. The 0.69491 week high remains unbroken and the 0.6870-0.6980 range still frames the read.

Support: 0.69214, 0.6905, 0.6887

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69491 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69214 exposes the 0.6905 swing low
  • US ISM Services and FOMC minutes this week are the main driver of the USD leg

07:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.69251

Consolidating below week high after impulse.

AUD/USD ran to 0.6949 on Thursday's soft US NFP print and was capped there at the 200-DMA, then drifted lower into this session toward 0.6925. Price has slipped back below EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-40s, and lower highs have formed since the 0.6949 rejection. The 0.6921 swing low is the immediate support being tested.

Support: 0.6921, 0.6895

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6921 opens the 0.6895 support zone
  • Reclaim of 0.6949 needed to retest the 0.6980 range top
  • US ISM Services today and FOMC minutes Wed could shift this read via the USD leg

07:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 43 · price 0.69251

Lower highs below 0.6949 cap.

AUDUSD rallied off Monday's ~0.6887 base to test 0.6949 near the 200-DMA as the USD stayed pressured after Thursday's soft NFP, but two attempts at that cap were rejected. Price has since carved lower highs and slipped back below EMA20/EMA50, drifting toward the 0.6921 swing low into the London session. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s, confirming the loss of the week's upside momentum.

Support: 0.6921, 0.6895, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6921 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.6895
  • Reclaim of 0.6949 reopens the 0.6980 psych level
  • US ISM Services and FOMC minutes this week could shift the read via the USD leg

06:03 UTC

Corrective bounce, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 0.69309

Capped rally, drifting off Friday high.

AUDUSD extended a second-day, weak-USD bounce toward 0.6949 after Thursday's 57K NFP miss, but the 200-DMA capped the spike and Friday coiled in thin US-holiday liquidity. Since Monday's open price has drifted back toward 0.6930, slipping under EMA20 with RSI near 44 as the corrective character noted in the macro read shows through. The 0.69491 high remains the level that has capped this week.

Support: 0.69284, 0.6895, 0.68862

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6949 opens the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69284 exposes the 0.6895 support zone
  • US ISM Services and Wed FOMC minutes drive the USD leg this week

06:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 0.69309

Higher lows into week high, now correcting.

AUDUSD extended a second-day advance off ~0.6886 after Thursday's soft US payrolls kept the Dollar pressured, tagging a week high at 0.69491 into the 200-dma before stalling. Price has since drifted back below the H1 EMel(20), basing at the 0.69214 session low with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. The rally is corrective in tone; the 0.6950 200-dma capped the spike and remains the pivot for the week's higher-low sequence.

Support: 0.69214, 0.6895

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6950 200-dma opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69214 session low exposes the 0.6895 support zone
  • US ISM Services and FOMC minutes this week could shift the USD leg driving this move

05:03 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.69315

Range top capped, lower highs into Monday.

AUD/USD spiked to 0.69491 on Thursday's soft US NFP before handing the gains back, and has since coiled in a tight 0.6930-0.6940 range. The Monday Asia session has drifted lower, slipping below EMA(20) to test 0.69214 with RSI(14) sitting in the low-40s. The 0.6940 shelf has capped every attempt this week while the 0.69491 week high remains untested since.

Support: 0.69214, 0.6900, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.69214 confirms a lower low, exposing the 0.6900 round number
  • Reclaim of 0.6940 needed to put the 0.69491 week high back in play
  • US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could reprice the USD leg driving this pair

05:03 UTC

Range, momentum fading lower · RSI 44 · price 0.69315

Capped below week high, drifting to range mid.

AUDUSD spiked to the 0.69491 week high on Thursday's soft US payrolls before stalling, and price has since faded through a weekend gap to sit mid-range near 0.6931, back below EMA20 and EMA50. The 0.6945 range top capped two attempts this week and RSI has cooled toward neutral as lower highs form. The 0.6921 swing low is the immediate downside marker, with the broader range floor near 0.6865.

Support: 0.6921, 0.6900, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6921 swing low opens the path to the 0.6900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.6945 range top would re-expose the 0.69491 week high
  • US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC and Fed minutes could materially shift this USD-driven read

04:02 UTC

Uptrend faded, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.69257

Rally stalled at 0.6949, lower highs forming.

AUDUSD spiked toward 0.6949 mid-week on the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) that undercut the dollar, but the pair handed most of the gains back and has slipped under EMA(20) into Monday's Asia hours. Price is now drifting toward 0.6920 with RSI(14) rolling off into the low 40s; 0.6949 has capped upside and remains the week's ceiling. The 0.6935 EMA(20) zone is acting as near-term resistance on the retreat.

Support: 0.69214, 0.6900, 0.6884

Resistance: 0.69355, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back above 0.69355 EMA20 would re-open the 0.6949 week high
  • Loss of 0.69000 psych level confirms deeper unwind of the week's rally
  • US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed minutes could shift this USD-driven read

04:02 UTC

Pullback within range, momentum fading · RSI 39 · price 0.69257

Rolling over from week high into range mid.

AUDUSD spiked to a 0.69491 week high Friday on the soft US payrolls miss, then handed the gains back and has drifted lower through the new week's open, now trading below EMA20 with RSI cooling toward 40. The 0.6939 prior-high area has capped the latest bounce and price is grinding toward the session low at 0.69214. This remains the context-flagged 0.6865-0.6950 range, with the pair sitting nearer the middle.

Support: 0.69214, 0.6900, 0.68865

Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.69214 opens the path toward 0.6900
  • Reclaim of 0.6939 needed to re-challenge the 0.69491 week high
  • US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and FOMC minutes could shift this USD-driven read

03:03 UTC

Uptrend fading, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69293

Consolidation below week high after NFP spike.

The week's dominant move was Thursday's soft US NFP print, which spiked AUDUSD off 0.6886 to a 0.6949 week high before the rally faded. Price has since coiled in the 0.6930-0.6949 zone and, after a weekend gap into Monday's open at 0.6935, drifted back toward 0.6929 sitting just above EMA(50) but under EMA(20). RSI(14) has slipped into the mid-40s as this-week momentum stalls.

Support: 0.6927, 0.6900, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6949 week high opens the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6900 exposes the 0.6865 range floor
  • US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and FOMC minutes Wed are the external USD drivers that could shift this read

03:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69293

Consolidation below week highs.

AUDUSD rallied off Monday's 0.6868 open to a 0.6949 week high on Thursday's soft US payrolls, then handed back the momentum and has consolidated in a tight 0.6928-0.6949 band since. Price now sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s as the pair fades from the range top; the move was USD-driven, not domestic. Demand near 0.6928 has held the recent Asia-session dip.

Support: 0.6928, 0.6900, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6950 opens the path back toward the range top extension
  • Failure to hold 0.6928 exposes 0.6900 psych
  • US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed minutes could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.69306

Range below week high after impulse.

AUDUSD opened the week near 0.6868 and spiked to the 0.6945/0.6950 range cap after Thursday's soft US NFP (57K vs 110K) pressured the dollar. Since that impulse the pair has drifted sideways in the 0.6928–0.6949 band, and the latest bars have slipped back below EMA(20) with RSI cycling in the low 40s. The 0.69491 week high has capped every attempt, keeping the pair range-bound.

Support: 0.6928, 0.6900, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6950 range cap reopens the June-high path
  • Loss of 0.6928 range floor exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • US ISM Services and FOMC minutes ahead could shift the USD-driven read

02:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 46 · price 0.69306

Consolidation below week high after impulse.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6949 on Thursday's soft US NFP (57K vs ~110K) then handed back most of the move, holding the 0.6930s through thin holiday trade. Price has coiled below the 0.6945 range cap for two sessions, now hovering just under EMA20 with RSI(14) easing back toward 46. The 0.6900 psych level and week low at 0.6865 mark the downside structure.

Support: 0.69284, 0.6900, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6950 clears the week high and opens 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.6900 exposes the 0.6865 week low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD read

01:03 UTC

Range, upper-band drift · RSI 47 · price 0.69321

Consolidation below weekly high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6949 on Thursday's soft US payrolls (57K vs ~110K) as Fed hike bets were trimmed, then handed back the extreme and has coiled around 0.6935 since. Price is holding above EMA(50) but has slipped under EMA(20), with the weekly high at 0.6949 and the 0.6980 range top still capping. Thin Asia-session tape into current bars, with RSI(14) cycling near the midline.

Support: 0.69297, 0.6895, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69491, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • TD-MI Inflation Gauge ~01:00 UTC could shift the RBA-hike read and this range
  • H1 close above 0.6949 targets the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6895 opens the 0.6865 range base and confirms the bounce as corrective

01:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 47 · price 0.69321

Consolidation under weekly high after impulse.

AUDUSD climbed from Monday's 0.6865 base to a 0.6949 week high as the soft US payrolls print (57K vs 110K) pressured the dollar through the week. Price has since gone flat, coiling in the 0.6930-0.6949 band with RSI(14) cooling back to the midline and price slipping just under the H1 EMA(20). The advance stalled below the 0.6980 range top the digest flags as this week's cap.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6895, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6949 reopens the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6930 exposes the 0.6895 and 0.6865 support band
  • TD-MI Inflation Gauge ~01:00 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reset this read

00:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 0.6933

Consolidation below week high.

AUDUSD climbed from Monday's 0.6865 low toward 0.6949 by Friday's NY session, the bounce driven by USD weakness after the soft US payrolls print (57K vs 110K). Price has since flattened around 0.6935, coiling just under the 0.6945 near-term cap and holding above EMA(50) while RSI(14) has slipped back toward the midline. The advance stalled below the 0.6980 range top, keeping the recovery corrective in tone.

Support: 0.6928, 0.6895, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • TD-MI Inflation Gauge ~01:00 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift the read this session
  • Repeated failure at 0.6945 confirms the bounce is corrective
  • Loss of 0.6895 opens the 0.6865 swing low

00:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now range-bound · RSI 47 · price 0.6933

Consolidation capped below week high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6949 on Thursday's soft US NFP (57K vs 110K) then handed back most of the move, drifting sideways around 0.6933 into the thin holiday session. Price is pinned just under the EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 46, framing the advance as corrective within a broader downtrend. The 0.6949 week high has capped upside while the 0.6885-0.6895 zone has floored pullbacks.

Support: 0.6937, 0.6895, 0.6885

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 0.6949 puts the 0.6980 range top back in play
  • Loss of 0.6895 support confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6835 zone
  • TD-MI Inflation Gauge (~01:00 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

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