AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 7 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:03 UTC

Pullback after mid-week rally · RSI 43 · price 0.69266

Lower highs off 0.6960, fresh swing low at 0.6920.

AUDUSD climbed from Monday's 0.6884 open to a week high near 0.6960 into Thursday's NY session, but has since rolled into a lower-high sequence and printed a fresh swing low at 0.6920. Price now sits back below EMA(20) with RSI in the low-40s, consistent with the pair churning inside this week's 0.6900–0.6980 band as softer AU inflation and a soft US NFP leave no clear driver. The mid-week rejection near 0.6960 remains the cap.

Support: 0.6920, 0.6900, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.6942, 0.6960, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6900 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6870 range base
  • Reclaim of the 0.6942 EMA(20) would stall the pullback back toward 0.6960
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read

23:02 UTC

Pullback from week high, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 0.69266

Range, rejected at week high.

AUDUSD climbed from Monday's ~0.6890 open to a week high near 0.6959 during Friday's NY session, then rolled over as the soft-NFP USD dip stalled and disinflation-driven fading of hawkish-RBA bets kept the Aussie capped. Price has since slipped back below EMA20 into 0.6927, testing the 0.6920 swing low with RSI(14) rolling off toward 40. The 0.6900–0.6980 consolidation flagged in the macro read still frames this week's action.

Support: 0.69194, 0.6900, 0.6887

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69594, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6920 exposes the 0.6900 psych pivot
  • Reclaim of 0.6940 EMA20 would neutralise the pullback
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read

22:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 0.69234

Pullback from two-week high into rising support.

AUDUSD climbed from Monday's ~0.6887 base to a two-week high at 0.6959 on post-NFP USD softness, before the advance stalled and eased into the close on the soft ANZ Job Ads print. Price has since slipped back below EMA20 and is sitting on the 50% retrace of that week's impulse near 0.6923, with RSI cooling toward 40. The 0.6959 week high capped the rally and the 0.6900 range floor remains the reference below.

Support: 0.6919, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6900 breaks the range floor and the week's rising lows
  • Reclaim of 0.6950 reopens the 0.6959 week high
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-driven read

22:02 UTC

Pullback after failed push higher · RSI 41 · price 0.69234

Lower highs from week high, testing 0.6920.

AUDUSD stalled at 0.6959 twice into the NY session and has since faded toward 0.6920, slipping back below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) as the softer-USD tailwind cooled. The recovery off Monday's lows lost momentum after the double-top rejection, with RSI(14) rolling from the mid-50s back toward 40. Price now sits on the lower edge of this week's range with 0.6900 the floor beneath.

Support: 0.6920, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6900 opens the path toward the 200-DMA zone 0.6870/0.6830
  • Reclaim of 0.6944 EMA20 negates the near-term pullback read
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for USD flow this week

21:04 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.69283

Double top near week high, easing off.

AUDUSD climbed into Thursday's session to a two-week high at 0.6959, driven more by post-NFP dollar softness than domestic data. A twin peak around 0.6959 capped the advance and price has since slipped back below EMA(20) with RSI cycling down into the mid-40s. The pullback is now testing the 50% retrace of the week's impulse near 0.6923.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.69208 opens the path back toward the 0.6900 round level
  • Reclaim of EMA20 at 0.6944 would re-engage the week-high area
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD-driven read

21:03 UTC

Pullback from two-week high · RSI 43 · price 0.69283

Range, easing off week high toward support.

AUDUSD rallied to a 0.6959 two-week high midweek as a softer USD post-NFP dominated, then eased back after the -0.2% ANZ Job Ads print. Price has since slipped below EMA(20) and EMA(50), retracing most of the week's up-leg and now probing the lower half of the 0.6900–0.6980 range with RSI(14) rolling into the low 40s.

Support: 0.6920, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6920 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • Recovery back above 0.6944 re-engages the 0.6959 high
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-driven read

20:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69317

Higher highs into 0.6959, now easing off.

AUD climbed off Monday's 0.6884 low to a two-week high at 0.6959 through the NY session, driven more by post-NFP dollar softness than domestic data. Price has since slipped back below the EMA20 into 0.6931, with the last hours capping under the 0.6941 EMA20. The 0.6959 week high stalled two attempts, while 0.6921 swing low is holding as the near-term floor above 0.6900.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6941, 0.69586

What it said to watch

  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close below 0.6900 opens the door toward the 0.6870 zone
  • Reclaim of the 0.6941 EMA20 puts 0.6959 back in play

20:02 UTC

Recovery stalling below week high · RSI 41 · price 0.69317

Pullback from week high, holding range.

AUDUSD climbed a third straight session off Monday's 0.6886 base to a two-week high at 0.6959 in NY hours yesterday, driven more by a softer USD post-NFP than domestic strength. Price has since eased back below EMA(20) and the 0.6946 prior high, with RSI(14) cooling toward 41 as the recovery loses pace. The 0.6900 psych level remains untested this week while supply capped attempts at 0.6959.

Support: 0.69208, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6900 opens the path toward the 200-DMA support zone
  • Reclaim of 0.6946 and a break of 0.6959 exposes the 0.6980 range top
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD-driven read

19:02 UTC

This-week uptrend fading, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.69312

Rally off Monday's open rolling over below EMA20.

AUDUSD opened Monday near 0.6935 and drifted higher through the NY session into Wednesday, tagging a two-week high at 0.6959 as a softer USD post-NFP dominated. Price has since eased back below EMA20 toward the weekly open, with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. The 0.6948 prior high capped the pullback's first bounce; demand around 0.6928-0.6931 has so far held.

Support: 0.69214, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6948, 0.69594

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.69214 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.6900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.6948 reopens the 0.6959 week high
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD-driven read

19:02 UTC

Uptrend this week, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.69312

Higher highs, pulling back from week high.

AUDUSD climbed since Monday's open, driven more by post-NFP dollar softness than domestic data, tagging a two-week high at 0.6959 before easing back into the NY session. Price has since slipped under EMA(20) and EMA(50) to 0.6931, holding above the 0.69284 swing low as RSI cools toward the low-40s. The pullback is retesting the 38.2% area of the week's advance while the broader 0.6900–0.6980 range still contains price.

Support: 0.69284, 0.6921, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.69284 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6900 range low
  • Reclaim of 0.6959 reopens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD flow and this read

18:03 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 49 · price 0.69411

Higher lows since Monday, capped near 0.6958.

AUDUSD has ground higher since Monday's open, lifting off ~0.6887 on soft-NFP USD weakness, but rallies stalled at the 0.6958 week high into the NY session and rejected. Price now hovers at the EMA20 near 0.6944 after a shallow pullback, with higher lows at 0.6921 and 0.6933 still intact. RSI(14) is mid-range and momentum is flattening near the highs.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69214, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6958 week high opens the 0.6980 topside pivot
  • Failure to hold the 0.6933 swing low breaks the week's higher-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

18:02 UTC

Uptrend this week, momentum flattening · RSI 48 · price 0.69411

Higher highs into 0.6959, now consolidating.

AUDUSD climbed off Monday's 0.6887 base into a 0.69586 week high during Friday's NY session, lifted by soft-NFP USD weakness. Since then price has drifted back to 0.6941 and is chopping just under EMA20 while holding the 0.6933 range floor, with RSI cycling back to mid-range. The move looks corrective within this week's advance rather than a reversal so far.

Support: 0.6933, 0.6929, 0.6887

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69586

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 0.6933 range floor exposes 0.6929 and opens the 0.6887 week low
  • H1 close back above 0.6946 puts the 0.69586 week high in play
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:03 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback underway · RSI 44 · price 0.69369

Rejected at week high, easing off.

AUDUSD climbed off the weekend gap through the NY session and tagged 0.6959 twice before supply capped it, consistent with the pair stalling near the 0.6960 area as softer domestic inflation trims RBA hike bets. Price has since rolled over below EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling under 50, holding a shallow pullback into the 0.6937 zone. The week's higher-low structure is intact but momentum has flattened at the range top.

Support: 0.6929, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 0.6959 reopens the 0.6980 topside pivot
  • Failure to hold 0.6929 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's rising-low structure

17:03 UTC

Recovery stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.69369

Lower highs after rejection near 0.6960.

AUD climbed off Monday's 0.6920 area to a week high near 0.6960 into the NY session, riding soft-NFP USD weakness, but twin rejections around 0.6959-0.6960 capped the move and price has drifted back toward the session low at 0.6933. Softer domestic inflation is offsetting the USD-driven bid, and RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s with price now sitting back below both EMA20 and EMA50. The 0.6933-0.6960 band frames near-term structure.

Support: 0.6933, 0.6920, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6960 reopens the 0.6980 topside pivot
  • Failure to hold 0.6920 swing low exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this USD-driven read

16:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback underway · RSI 46 · price 0.69352

Week high rejected, easing off the top.

AUDUSD pushed to a week high near 0.6959 into the NY session yesterday on soft-NFP USD weakness, then rejected and slipped back under EMA(20) as softer AU inflation eroded RBA hike bets. RSI(14) has cooled toward the mid-40s as the pullback rotates back into this week's 0.6900-0.6980 band. Price is now hovering at the EMA(50) with 0.6946 capping intraday recoveries.

Support: 0.6929, 0.6900, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6959 week high reopens the 0.6980 topside pivot
  • Failure to hold 0.6929 swing low exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:02 UTC

Recovery stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.69352

Range with lower highs into close.

AUDUSD opened Monday near 0.6935, dipped into 0.6920 and rallied through the NY session to a 0.6960 week high before stalling on soft-NFP USD weakness. The last several hours have faded that push, printing lower highs and slipping back under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI easing toward the mid-40s. Domestic disinflation is capping follow-through, leaving price mid-range between 0.6928 support and the 0.6960 week high.

Support: 0.6928, 0.6920, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close below 0.6928 exposes the 0.6920 week low
  • Reclaim of 0.6960 reopens the 0.6980 topside pivot
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 49 · price 0.69397

Higher lows into consolidation below week high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the week off the 0.6883 low, the move fuelled by USD weakness after last Thursday's soft 57K NFP rather than domestic support. Buyers tagged 0.69594 into the NY session before price eased back toward the EMA20 and is now consolidating around 0.6940. RSI has cooled to the mid-40s and momentum has flattened after the two-day push.

Support: 0.6928, 0.6900, 0.6883

Resistance: 0.69594, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69594 reopens the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6928 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for USD direction

15:02 UTC

Uptrend off Monday lows, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.69397

Higher highs, higher lows; near-term pullback.

AUDUSD has ground higher since Monday's session open, the leg driven by a softer USD after last week's weak NFP; the week impulse ran from 0.6886 to a Thursday session high at 0.6959. Price is now easing back toward EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s, holding above the higher-lows line off Monday. The 0.6959 week high capped the latest push and 0.6980 remains the range top flagged all week.

Support: 0.6928, 0.6900, 0.6883

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6959 reopens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6928 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

14:02 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 0.69425

Higher lows since gap, capped under week high.

AUDUSD has ground out higher lows since the post-weekend gap open, climbing off 0.6921 to a week high at 0.69586 before easing back toward 0.6942 as the 0.6955-0.6960 zone capped the move. Softer US NFP has kept the USD on the back foot, giving AUD a mild upside lean, but RSI(14) is sat mid-range near 52 with no fresh Aussie catalyst. Price is holding above EMA(50) while stalling around EMA(20).

Support: 0.69214, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69586 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6921 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg driving this read

14:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 0.69425

Higher lows into a consolidation below week high.

AUDUSD has ground higher off Monday's 0.6884 base, tagging a week high at 0.6959 into the NY session before easing back toward 0.6940. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the 45-60 band on each pullback — the softer USD post-NFP story is doing the lifting while thin local data keeps it two-way. Consolidation persists below the 0.6959 high with the weekly open at 0.6935 acting as a pivot.

Support: 0.69347, 0.69214, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69586 reopens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.69214 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg

13:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 0.69492

Higher lows into range top.

AUDUSD ground higher off Monday's ~0.6886 base as the soft US NFP trimmed Fed pricing and pressured the dollar, peaking at 0.69586 before easing back. Price sits above EMA20 with a series of higher lows, but the advance has flattened just under the week high as cooler AU inflation and a weak trade balance cap the rebound. RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s reflects the loss of upside momentum near the range top.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69256, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69586 opens the path to the 0.6980 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read

13:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 0.69492

Higher lows since Monday, capped near week high.

AUDUSD has ground out higher lows since Monday's 0.6886 base, with a soft US NFP keeping the USD offered and providing a floor. Price tagged the week high at 0.69586 into the London session before easing back to the EMA20, where demand has stepped in. RSI(14) is cycling around 55, holding above the midline without pushing into overbought.

Support: 0.6945, 0.6930, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 0.69586 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6930 breaks the higher-low sequence

12:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 57 · price 0.69478

Higher lows since last week, capped below 0.6960.

AUDUSD has ground out higher lows since last week's base near 0.6890, extending to a 0.6960 two-week high in Asia before easing back toward EMA(20). The soft US NFP has kept the USD offered, but cooler Aussie TD-MI inflation is capping the rally, leaving price boxed under 0.6960 with RSI(14) mid-range. Pullbacks into the 0.6942 area have so far been bought.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6928, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6960 opens the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6942 support exposes the 0.6928 swing low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 0.69478

Higher lows since Monday's open.

AUDUSD has ground out a chain of higher lows since Monday's open, riding a soft post-NFP USD, with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50. The 0.6960 two-week high capped a push in the NY session before a shallow pullback; RSI(14) is cycling in the mid-50s, consistent with a controlled advance rather than an exhausted one. The move is still pinned inside the broader 0.6870-0.6980 band.

Support: 0.6945, 0.6934, 0.6921

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6960 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6934 breaks the higher-low sequence back toward the 0.6921 Monday low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read

11:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 52 · price 0.69447

Corrective recovery stalling under week high.

AUDUSD staged a corrective recovery through the week, lifted by soft-NFP USD weakness, tagging a two-week high near 0.6960 in the NY session before easing back to hover around the EMA20. Rallies have stalled twice under 0.6960 and price is now churning between 0.6934 and that cap. RSI(14) has cooled back toward the midline as the push higher lost pace.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69214, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 0.6960 opens the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6934 negates the recovery and reopens 0.6921
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via USD repricing

11:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 53 · price 0.69447

Higher lows into resistance, now consolidating.

AUD has recovered off Monday's base since a softer US NFP trimmed Fed pricing and weighed on the dollar, printing a two-week high near 0.6959 before easing back. Price now consolidates around 0.6945, holding above EMA(50) but hovering at EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range. The 0.6959 area capped the latest push and remains the near-term cap into the range top at 0.6980.

Support: 0.6935, 0.69214, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69594, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could shift this read
  • H1 close above 0.6959 opens the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 exposes the 0.69214 swing low then 0.6900 psych

10:03 UTC

Uptrend flattening into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.69426

Holding below week high after corrective climb.

AUDUSD ground up to a two-week high near 0.6959 through Monday's NY session as soft US NFP kept the dollar offered, then eased back below 0.6950 into consolidation. RSI(14) is cycling around 50 and price is now hugging EMA20, with the 0.6935 swing area holding on the pullback. This week's advance sits inside the broader 0.6870-0.6980 band flagged in the macro read.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6929, 0.6895

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6959 week high opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 swing low exposes 0.6929 session low then the 0.6895 week open
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could shift this read

10:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 0.69426

Higher lows into week-high stall, now consolidating.

AUD climbed off Monday's 0.6884 base to a week high near 0.6960, the leg driven by softer USD after last week's NFP miss trimmed Fed-hike bets. The rally stalled at 0.6960 and price has since eased back to 0.6942, slipping under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. Higher-low structure from the week open remains intact while 0.6935 holds.

Support: 0.6935, 0.69214, 0.68979

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69596 week high opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6935 swing low breaks the week's higher-low structure
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 49 · price 0.69406

Higher lows since Monday, now consolidating below week high.

Since Monday's open AUDUSD ground higher from the 0.6927 week low to a week high at 0.69596 into the NY session yesterday, aided by a softer USD after the soft NFP print. Price has since eased back to 0.694, dipping below the EMA20 while holding the rising sequence of higher lows; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range around 49. The 0.6960 area capped the advance and remains the near-term ceiling.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6927

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6960 opens the path to the 0.6980 fibo gate
  • Failure to hold 0.6934 threatens the higher-low sequence, exposing the 0.6927 week low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read

09:03 UTC

Uptrend this week, pullback underway · RSI 47 · price 0.69406

Higher highs into 0.6959, now consolidating.

AUDUSD climbed off the ~0.6887 base into a 0.6959 week high during the NY session, helped by a softer USD after last week's weak NFP print, then eased back toward 0.6940. Price sits just under EMA(20) but holds above EMA(50), with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s as the pullback develops. Disinflation signals at home are capping upside conviction, keeping the move corrective within the broader 0.6870–0.6980 band.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6921, 0.6898

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6935 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
  • Reclaim of 0.6959 reopens the 0.6980 fib gate
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD leg of this read

08:03 UTC

Uptrend this week, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 0.69393

Higher lows into week high, now pulling back.

AUDUSD bounced off Monday's 0.6884 area and ground higher through the week, tagging a 0.6959 week high into the NY session yesterday before rejecting there. Price has since slipped back below EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s, sitting on the rising higher-low trendline near EMA(50). Soft US NFP is the main prop under the Aussie while a firm USD caps the 0.6980 range top; the pair remains inside the broader 0.6870-0.6980 band.

Support: 0.69214, 0.68843, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back above 0.69586 reopens the path to the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69214 confirms a lower-low and threatens the range base
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD-driven direction

07:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 0.69438

Higher highs into pullback below EMA20.

AUDUSD firmed through the Monday-Tuesday sessions off the 0.69214 swing low, tagging a 0.69596 week high before pulling back into NY hours — the advance was largely a softer-USD story after last week's weak NFP trimmed Fed hike bets. Rejection near 0.6960 capped the run and price has slipped back below EMA20 to 0.6944, with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. The 0.6950 round number now sits overhead as price retests the EMA50 zone.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69214

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69596

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69596 reopens the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 day low exposes the 0.69214 swing low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing on pullback · RSI 49 · price 0.69438

Higher lows off midweek base, stalling below week high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the week off the ~0.6920 base to tag 0.69596 into the NY session, the move almost entirely a softer-USD story after last week's weak NFP trimmed Fed bets. Price has since pulled back to 0.6944, slipping under EMA(20) while holding above EMA(50), with RSI(14) cycling back to neutral. Softer AU inflation (TD-MI 3.9% YoY) has capped follow-through, leaving price consolidating below the week high.

Support: 0.6928, 0.69214, 0.68914

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69596 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69280 signals loss of the higher-low structure
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for USD direction

06:03 UTC

Uptrend this week, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 0.69415

Pullback from week high, higher lows intact.

AUDUSD ran to a week high near 0.6959 through Monday's NY session before fading back under EMA(20) to ~0.6941, in line with an Aussie that couldn't hold rallies after the soft TD-MI inflation gauge and a firm USD. Higher lows off Thursday's payroll-driven spike remain intact, but the latest push stalled and RSI(14) has cooled back toward the midline. Price sits above EMA(50) but the pullback has ceded the EMA(20).

Support: 0.6925, 0.6914, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6925 confirms a lower low and breaks the higher-low sequence
  • Reclaiming 0.6959 reopens the week-high area
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD flows and this read

06:02 UTC

This-week uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 0.69415

Higher lows into week high, now pulling back.

AUDUSD climbed off Monday's 0.6921 dip through the NY session to a week high at 0.6960 before easing back to 0.6942, now sitting just under EMA(20). The recovery has been capped by softer AUD inflation (TD-MI gauge -0.4% MoM) unwinding hawkish-RBA bets, while the USD stays firm into Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Price still holds the rising higher-low sequence off Monday's low.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6921

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6921 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
  • 0.6960 week high — area to watch for rejection or break toward 0.6980 range top
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

05:03 UTC

This-week uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 52 · price 0.69414

Higher highs into 0.6959, shallow pullback.

After the weekend gap open near the weekly open at 0.69347, price built higher lows and pushed through NY hours to a week high at 0.69586 before easing back to 0.6941. The move fits the softer-AUD, firmer-USD backdrop, with cooling Australian inflation capping rallies while the broad 0.6870-0.6980 range stays intact. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s as the pullback found the EMA(50).

Support: 0.69347, 0.69214, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.69347 weekly open negates the this-week uptrend
  • Reclaim of 0.6980 range top needed to extend the advance
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read

05:03 UTC

Uptrend stalling into resistance · RSI 49 · price 0.69414

Higher lows this week, pullback from week high.

H1 built a series of higher lows off Monday's ~0.6930 base and pushed into a 0.6959 week high during yesterday's session before easing back to slip under the EMA(20) near 0.6948. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs as the pullback developed, with the advance capped at the week high in line with the broader 0.6870-0.6980 AUD grind. Price now sits between EMA(20) resistance and the 0.6930 swing-low band.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6921

Resistance: 0.6948, 0.6959

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.6948 EMA(20) reopens the 0.6959 week high
  • Failure to hold 0.6930 swing low exposes 0.6921 week low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift this read via USD flows

04:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 0.69465

Higher lows since Monday, pulling back from week high.

AUDUSD climbed off Monday's swing low near 0.6923 through the NY session to print a week high at 0.6959, then rejected and eased back to 0.6946 into the Asia session. The grind higher held above EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s, but soft Aussie inflation and job-ads prints keep the Aussie capped while a firm USD limits follow-through. Price now sits just under EMA20 after the pullback.

Support: 0.69347, 0.69234, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 0.69596 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69347 week open exposes the 0.69234 swing low
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read

04:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 0.69465

Higher lows since week open, capped at 0.6959.

AUDUSD has ground higher-lows since the week's open, with the NY session pushing to a 0.6959 week high before fading back to 0.6946. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s, but the 0.6959 area capped the advance and a soft Aussie inflation gauge plus a firm safe-haven USD leave the range top under pressure. The 0.6929 swing low marks the base of the current higher-low sequence.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69214, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6959 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6929 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near week high · RSI 59 · price 0.69499

Higher lows since week open, capped at 0.6959.

AUDUSD has traded a sequence of higher lows since this week's open, rallying off the 0.69214 swing low into the NY session to a week high at 0.6959 before easing back to 0.6950. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s to low-60s on each pullback. Softer Aussie inflation and a firm USD cap the broader tone, but this-week structure remains constructive above 0.6935.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6935, 0.69214

Resistance: 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6980 range cap needed to extend the move
  • Loss of the rising higher-low line / 0.6935 pivot breaks the this-week uptrend
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD-driven direction

03:03 UTC

This-week uptrend, momentum easing near week high · RSI 62 · price 0.69499

Higher lows since Monday low, testing week high.

After the weekend gap the week opened near 0.6935, dipped to a 0.6921 low, then rallied steadily through the NY session to a week high at 0.6960 — price holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50). The push stalled at 0.6960 and faded to 0.69499, with soft Aussie TD-MI inflation keeping the broader tone heavy while the USD stays firm. Range cap at 0.6980 remains the ceiling; 0.6935 is the intraweek pivot below.

Support: 0.6935, 0.69214, 0.6870

Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6980 needed to break the range cap
  • Failure to hold the 0.6935 pivot re-exposes the 0.6921 week low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 64 · price 0.69571

Higher highs and higher lows since Monday's low.

AUDUSD has ground higher through the NY session, extending from Monday's 0.6921 base to a week high at 0.69596 and holding above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The post-NFP spike toward 0.6950 was reclaimed after soft TD-MI inflation initially capped the Aussie, with RSI cycling in the 55-65 band on each pullback. The 0.6980 band top from the broader consolidation remains the next overhead reference.

Support: 0.6925, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.69596 keeps the path toward the 0.6980 band top open
  • Failure to hold the rising support / 0.69250 swing low confirms a lower low
  • US FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD

02:02 UTC

Uptrend, near week highs · RSI 64 · price 0.69571

Higher lows since Monday open.

AUDUSD has ground higher since the weekly open near 0.6935, carving higher lows through the Monday and NY sessions and breaking the mid-week consolidation to print a fresh week high at 0.69596. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 64, though the earlier post-NFP spike toward 0.6950 and softer TD-MI inflation leave the broader tone capped near the 0.6980 band top. Pullbacks this week have been shallow, finding demand around the EMA20 zone at 0.6935.

Support: 0.6935, 0.69214, 0.6884

Resistance: 0.69596, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6980 opens the path toward the range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 signals a lower high and stalls the week's uptrend
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read

01:03 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back from weekly high · RSI 56 · price 0.69479

Higher highs/higher lows, week high capping.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh week high at 0.6959, extending the leg that began off the soft US NFP print, before backing off toward 0.6948 into the close. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s on the pullback, and the sequence of higher lows off 0.69214 remains intact. Momentum stalled at the 0.6959 cap while broader tone stays soft as cooling AU inflation chips at RBA hike bets.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69214, 0.68915

Resistance: 0.69594, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break above 0.69594 opens the path toward the 0.6980 psych cap
  • Loss of the 0.69214 swing low breaks the week's higher-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD

01:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 0.69479

Higher highs and higher lows since Monday's low.

AUDUSD has ground higher off Monday's 0.6889 open, accelerating through yesterday's NY session to a session high at 0.6959 before easing back to 0.6948; price holds above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. The bid reflects a still-soft USD after last week's 57K NFP miss, though AUD remains capped near the top of its broad 0.6870–0.6980 range as cooling domestic inflation weighs. The pullback from 0.6959 stalled above the rising-lows line.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6921, 0.6889

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.6959 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6921 breaks the higher-low structure

00:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 64 · price 0.69538

Higher highs and higher lows since Sunday open.

AUDUSD has climbed steadily through the NY session to retake two-week highs near 0.6959, holding above EMA20 with pullbacks finding demand around 0.6934. The bid comes despite the softer TD-MI inflation gauge, as a broadly firmer risk tone lifted the Aussie back toward the 0.6980 cap. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s, tracking the grind higher without an extreme.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6921

Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6959 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6934 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift this read

00:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 65 · price 0.69538

Higher lows, breakout above prior-week high.

AUDUSD ground higher through this week off the 0.6921 low, clearing prior-week resistance at 0.6949 and printing a two-week high near 0.6959 into the NY session, holding above both EMAs with RSI cycling into the mid-60s. The advance runs against a neutral-to-soft AUD narrative after the TD-MI inflation gauge cooled, so the move is as much a firm-USD pause as an Aussie story. 0.6980 is the next interim cap flagged by the range read.

Support: 0.69347, 0.69214, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69594, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6959 opens the path toward the 0.6980 interim cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69347 weekly open threatens the higher-low sequence
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

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