AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 17 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after sharp drop · RSI 49 · price 0.70181
Range break lower, now consolidating off the low.
AUDUSD broke sharply lower through 0.7075 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing, tagging 0.6995 before a partial recovery. Now pinned in a tight 0.7011–0.7019 consolidation through the quiet Asia session, RSI(14) back to neutral near 49 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.70107, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70186, 0.70302, 0.70751
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7011 reopens the 0.7000 psych and 0.6995 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70302 drop pivot would ease the downside break read
US jobless claims/Philly Fed (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next USD-side catalyst
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing after drop · RSI 55 · price 0.70181
Sharp break lower, now consolidating off the low.
AUDUSD broke hard through 0.7050 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot, printing a 0.69946 session low before buyers stabilised it. Price now grinds 0.7010-0.7018 in thin Asian trade, recovering toward the 38.2% retrace of the drop; the 0.7000 psych level held on the dip.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70302
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70302 swing needed to negate the FOMC drop
Loss of 0.7000 psych / 0.69946 session low resumes the slide
Thin Asian liquidity; US claims (12:30 UTC) the next USD catalyst
23:31 UTC
Downtrend off FOMC drop, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.70164
Post-drop consolidation above 0.7000.
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing slammed AUDUSD from 0.7075 down through 0.7000, with the 0.69946 low swept and reclaimed. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.7011–0.7018 band during the Asia session, RSI(14) recovering toward neutral after the sub-30 washout.
Support: 0.70107, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70184, 0.7041, 0.70751
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.70107 reopens the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.70184 range top would target the 0.70410 post-drop high
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after flush · RSI 56 · price 0.70164
Sharp FOMC drop, now consolidating above 0.7000.
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing drove AUDUSD ~75 pips lower, sweeping the 0.7000 psych level to 0.69946 before buyers stabilised it. Price now coils in a tight 0.7010-0.70184 range top, RSI(14) back near mid; the prior 0.7050 support sits overhead as resistance.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70184, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70184 range top opens path back toward 0.7050
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.69946 swing low
US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC could revive USD-side momentum
23:16 UTC
Sharp drop, basing · RSI 55 · price 0.70183
Downside break, consolidating above 0.7000.
The hawkish-hold FOMC drove AUDUSD off 0.7075 down to a 0.69946 low, just under the 0.7000 psych level, before a near double bottom held. Price is now consolidating 0.7011-0.7018, recovering barely 30% of the drop and pinned below the 0.7040 fib zone.
Support: 0.7011, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7040
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7000 reopens the session low and undershoot toward fresh lows
Reclaim of 0.7040 needed to repair the FOMC-driven break
Range tightening 0.7011-0.7018 — break either side sets next leg
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after flush · RSI 53 · price 0.70183
Range break lower, now consolidating above 0.7000.
AUDUSD broke down hard during NY hours as the hawkish FOMC hold bid the USD, dropping ~80 pips from 0.7075 and sweeping below 0.7000 to 0.69946 before buyers stepped in. Price has since recovered into a tight 0.7000-0.7018 consolidation, with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70183, 0.7041, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7040 would unwind the post-FOMC range break
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 swing low
Thin Asia-session liquidity keeps ranges compressed near 0.7015
FOMC's hawkish hold drove an ~80 pip flush from 0.70751, sweeping below 0.7000 to 0.69946 before a partial bounce. Price now coils in a tight 0.7010-0.7017 band, holding only a shallow retrace of the drop with RSI(14) flat near 53.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim above 0.70170 would extend the FOMC-drop retrace toward 0.70410
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed (Jun 18, 12:30 UTC) is the next USD catalyst
23:02 UTC
Downtrend post-FOMC, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.70148
Sharp drop then tight consolidation.
AUDUSD broke sharply lower from 0.7075 to 0.6995 as the hawkish FOMC hold bid the dollar, then recovered into a tight 0.7010–0.7016 band through thin early-Asia trade. RSI(14) back near 53 after the washout; ATR is compressed at ~6 pips with volume drained.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.70302
What it said to watch
Sustained move back above 0.70302 negates the post-FOMC lower-high structure
Loss of 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 swing low
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed (Jun 18 12:30 UTC) could break the consolidation
22:46 UTC
Downtrend post-FOMC, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.70161
Lower lows into 0.6995, consolidating just above 0.7000.
FOMC's hawkish hold drove a sharp dump from 0.7075 to a 0.6995 swing low, breaking the prior range. Price has since stabilised into a tight 0.7011–0.7017 band just above the 0.7000 psych level, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range after the oversold flush.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70169
What it said to watch
A close below 0.70000 / 0.69946 swing low extends the post-FOMC slide
Reclaim of 0.70169 session high needed to relieve downside pressure
US Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC) could reignite the USD-side move
22:46 UTC
Sharp selloff, now basing · RSI 48 · price 0.70161
Post-FOMC range break, consolidating above 0.7000.
The hawkish FOMC hold drove a sharp USD-led leg lower, AUDUSD plunged from 0.7075 to a 0.6995 low, sweeping below the 0.7000 round number before recovery. Price has since stabilised into a tight 0.7011-0.7016 band, holding the 0.7000 reclaim.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.7030, 0.70751
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.7000 reopens the 0.6995 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7030 needed to repair the post-FOMC break
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after flush · RSI 44 · price 0.70156
Post-drop consolidation above 0.7000.
AUDUSD flushed ~80 pips off 0.7075 into the NY-session FOMC fallout, sweeping below 0.7000 to 0.69946 before buyers recovered the figure. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.7011-0.7017 range, RSI(14) climbing back toward mid from oversold; the post-drop session high at 0.70170 caps for now.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7030, 0.7041
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70300 would negate the FOMC down-leg structure
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 swing low
US jobless claims/Philly Fed in ~8h could break the consolidation
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sharp drop · RSI 47 · price 0.70156
Range break lower, consolidating above 0.7000.
AUDUSD broke down hard off 0.7075 on the hawkish-hold FOMC fallout, sweeping below 0.7000 to 0.6995 before buyers stepped in. Price has since coiled tightly in a 0.7010-0.7017 range with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 0.7000 round number is the immediate floor.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70169, 0.70302, 0.7050
What it said to watch
15m close below 0.7000 reopens the sub-0.6995 undershoot
reclaim of 0.70302 needed to negate the lower-high structure
low liquidity into Asia keeps moves thin until London
22:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after FOMC drop · RSI 44 · price 0.70152
Impulsive leg lower, now consolidating above 0.7000.
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision triggered a sharp AUDUSD leg down from 0.7075 through 0.7050, sweeping the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.69946 low before snapping back. Price now coils tight 0.7011–0.7016 in thin Asian-session trade, RSI recovering off the lows; the 0.7000 floor held on the first test.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70169, 0.7030
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7030 swing high negates the FOMC-driven down leg
Loss of 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.69946 session low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reshape the USD leg
Sharp breakdown then bounce off lows, consolidating below 0.7040.
Hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision crushed AUDUSD from 0.7075 to a 0.6995 low in two bars, breaking the prior session range. Price has since recovered to consolidate around 0.7015 on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) climbing back off the lows but still sub-50.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7040, 0.70751
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the deeper slide toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.7040 needed to negate the FOMC breakdown
Asia-session liquidity remains thin; range may stay tight near 0.7015
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 41 · price 0.70136
Post-FOMC range break, consolidating above 0.7000.
AUDUSD broke hard through 0.7050 and 0.7000 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, bottoming at 0.69946 before a recovery into NY hours. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.7011–0.7017 band well below EMA20/50, RSI(14) recovering off the oversold flush near 41.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70169, 0.70302, 0.7041
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70302 then 0.70410 would ease the downside break
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 swing low
Volume thinning into Asia hours — range likely until next session
Sharp range break lower, now consolidating above 0.7000.
Hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision triggered a sharp NY-session leg down from 0.7075 to 0.6995, breaking the prior 0.7060-0.7075 range. Price has since stabilized in a tight 0.7011-0.7016 band with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the 0.7000 psych floor held on the recovery.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70157, 0.7030
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70300 needed to retrace more of the FOMC drop
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.70124
Sharp break lower, basing above 0.7000.
Hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision sparked a USD bid that dumped AUDUSD ~80 pips off 0.7075, sweeping below the 0.7000 figure to 0.6995 before reclaiming it. Price is now coiling in a tight 0.7011–0.7015 range just above the psych level, RSI(14) recovering from oversold.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7030
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the session-low sweep toward fresh lows
Reclaim of 0.70300 needed to repair the post-FOMC break structure
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision drove AUDUSD off 0.7075 in a near 80-pip slide to 0.6995, the steepest move of the window. Price has since based between 0.7010 and 0.7015 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the 0.7000 psych level held on the retest.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7030, 0.70408
What it said to watch
Sustained close back above 0.70150 session high opens 0.70300
Loss of 0.70000 psych exposes the 0.69946 swing low
Post-FOMC follow-through could keep volatility elevated for the next bars
Hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision near 18:00 UTC slammed AUDUSD ~80 pips off 0.7075, breaking the prior 0.7060-0.7075 range to a 0.69946 low. Buyers stepped in at the 0.7000 round number and price is now grinding sideways around 0.7015 in thin late-NY/Asia trade.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 reopens the undershoot flagged into the FOMC follow-through
Reclaim of 0.70300 needed to ease the downside pressure from the break
Asia-session liquidity thin — moves around 0.7000 may lack follow-through
AUDUSD collapsed ~75 pips during NY hours after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, breaking from the 0.7070s to a 0.6995 low. Price is now basing in a tight 0.7000-0.7016 range, with RSI(14) recovering off the lows but momentum still soft.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70157, 0.7042
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7000 confirms continuation toward the 0.6995 swing low and below
Reclaim of 0.70420 needed to undo the FOMC breakdown
ATR elevated near 104 pips post-FOMC — bar ranges remain outsized
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 38 · price 0.70114
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision drove AUDUSD off a cliff, breaking the 0.7070 NY range and 0.7050 support to print 0.6995. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.7000 and price has recovered to 0.7011, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. ATR near 13 pips reflects the post-FOMC volatility spike.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70302, 0.7072
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70302 eases the lower-high pressure
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6995 swing low
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed (Thu 12:30 UTC) could revive USD volatility
21:16 UTC
Downtrend after FOMC break · RSI 42 · price 0.70114
Range break lower, basing above 0.7000.
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision sparked a sharp AUDUSD selloff from 0.7075 down to a 0.69946 swing low, slicing through the prior intraday range. Price has since stabilised just above the 0.7000 psych level, with RSI(14) recovering off lows; the last few bars are coiling in a tight consolidation near 0.7012.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7040, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych opens the 0.69946 swing low and the deeper undershoot
Reclaim of the 0.7040 drop pivot would negate the breakdown read
AUDUSD cratered through 0.7050 and 0.7000 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot surprise, spiking down to 0.69946 before buyers stepped in around the round number. Price has since clawed back to 0.7012 and is basing in a tight 0.7006-0.7015 range, RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 41.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7030
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70300 would ease the post-FOMC downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.70000 reopens the 0.69946 session low
ATR elevated near 118 pips — moves remain outsized after the FOMC spike
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision smashed AUDUSD from the 0.7075 prior high to a 0.69946 session low in under an hour, a clean range break lower. Price has since stabilised back above the 0.7000 psych level with RSI cooling off its oversold trough; 0.70408 post-drop area now caps.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70408, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70408 post-drop area would ease the downside pressure
Post-FOMC volatility still elevated — ATR near 118 pips
Impulsive breakdown, lower lows then base above 0.7000.
AUDUSD collapsed during NY hours after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, slicing the 0.7050 area and the prior 0.707 range to a session low of 0.69946. Price is now basing just above the 0.7000 psych level near 0.7012, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. ATR is heavily elevated (~132 pips) reflecting the event-driven expansion.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim of 0.7050 would negate the breakdown
loss of 0.69946 session low opens a deeper slide below 0.7000
Fed follow-through / hawkish commentary could extend the USD bid
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 40 · price 0.70128
Sharp impulsive break, basing above 0.7000.
AUDUSD broke down hard during NY hours as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision sparked a USD bid, tumbling from 0.7075 to a 0.6995 low. Price has since clawed back above the 0.7000 psych level and is consolidating in a tight 0.7006–0.7015 band, RSI(14) lifting off its oversold low.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7041, 0.7072
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of 0.70000 reopens the move toward the 0.6995 low and beyond
Reclaim of 0.70300 needed to begin negating the FOMC breakdown
Thu US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed (12:30 UTC) could extend USD-side pressure
AUDUSD collapsed ~80 pips off 0.7075 into the NY session as the Fed's hawkish hold and a strong US retail sales beat bid the USD, sweeping the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.69946 low. Price has since clawed back to 0.70127 with RSI recovering off oversold; the 0.70300 breakdown shelf now caps overhead.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7041
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70300 would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the session low at 0.69946
Warsh presser / FOMC follow-through could extend USD strength
AUDUSD collapsed through the 0.7060 base into 0.6995 as the Fed's hawkish hold and lifted dot plot bid the USD during NY hours. Price is basing near 0.7010 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the 0.7000 handle held twice on the last three bars.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the slide toward the 0.6995 swing low and below
M15 close back above 0.7050 prior support would negate the lower-low structure
Lingering FOMC follow-through still the dominant driver into Asia
AUDUSD broke down hard during NY hours after the Fed's hawkish hold and a strong US retail sales beat, plunging from 0.7075 to a 0.69946 session low. RSI(14) sits oversold near 31 with a shallow bounce to 0.7007; the 0.7000 psych magnet flagged in the macro read is now the active battleground.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7030
What it said to watch
Hold or loss of 0.69946 — break confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.70300 needed to ease the downside impulse
Elevated ATR (~130 pips) signals outsized swings still in play
Range breakdown, fresh lower lows then stabilising at 0.7000.
AUDUSD collapsed from 0.7075 during NY hours as the Fed's hawkish hold and a hot US retail print bid the USD, slicing through the prior 0.7060-0.7075 range and sweeping 0.7000 to a 0.69946 low. Price has since reclaimed the 0.7000 handle, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 39; ATR is elevated at ~92 pips reflecting the post-FOMC expansion.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7030, 0.7041
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 session low
Reclaim of 0.70120 bounce high needed to ease the breakdown
Volatility still elevated post-FOMC — moves may overextend
AUDUSD collapsed through the 0.7070 range and 0.7050 support after the Fed's hawkish hold and a hot US retail sales print, tagging 0.69946 before stabilising back at 0.70109. RSI(14) is oversold near 33 and the last two bars are basing just above the 0.7000 psych level; the 0.70410 bounce shelf caps any rebound.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.7072
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69946 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.70410 needed to ease the breakdown
FOMC presser tone is the dominant near-term USD driver
AUDUSD collapsed out of the 0.7070 NY range after the Fed's hawkish hold and a hot US retail sales print, breaking through 0.70408 and sweeping the 0.7000 psych level to 0.69946. RSI(14) sits oversold near 25 with price clawing back to 0.70109; the breakdown structure remains intact.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70408, 0.70725
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70408 breakdown would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.70000 psych confirms continuation toward fresh lows
Warsh presser / FOMC aftermath could extend USD bid in the next bars
AUDUSD broke the 0.7060–0.7075 range hard on the hawkish FOMC hold and hot US retail sales, slicing through 0.7050 and tagging 0.69946 before stabilising on the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) near 19 is deeply oversold after the vertical NY-session drop.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70302, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7050 would negate the range breakdown
Close below 0.69946 opens a deeper slide
Warsh presser tone could extend or fade the USD bid
AUDUSD collapsed from 0.7075 to a low of 0.6995 after the hawkish FOMC dot plot and hot US retail sales lifted the dollar. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 24 and price is now pinned at the 0.7000 psych level; ATR has ballooned to ~120 pips on the spike.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70302, 0.70446
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7000 opens the session low at 0.69946 and below
A reclaim of 0.70302 bounce high would ease the breakdown read
FOMC presser aftershocks and US real-rate repricing can extend the move
AUD/USD collapsed through the NY session after the hawkish FOMC hold and lifted dots, dropping from 0.7075 to the 0.7000 psych level — the move flagged in the digest. RSI(14) sub-20 and oversold, ATR blown out to ~116 pips on the FOMC spike; price now pinned at the 0.7000 magnet.
Support: 0.7000, 0.70023
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.70751
What it said to watch
A close below 0.7000 confirms the undershoot extension
Reclaim of 0.70410 would ease the oversold downside pressure
Warsh presser fallout still rippling through USD — could extend or fade this leg
AUDUSD broke hard out of the 0.7065-0.7075 NY range after the hawkish FOMC hold and upbeat US retail sales, shedding ~70 pips to test the 0.7000 psych level. Price prints fresh session lows at 0.70023 with RSI(14) deeply oversold near 22; ATR has blown out to ~116 pips on the impulsive leg.
Support: 0.7000, 0.70023
Resistance: 0.70302, 0.7041
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 psych opens the undershoot flagged into FOMC
Reclaim of 0.70302 swing needed to ease the downside pressure
Warsh presser still in play — tone could extend or fade the USD bid
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, sharp impulsive leg · RSI 27 · price 0.70249
Range break to the downside, fresh lower lows.
AUDUSD broke hard out of its 0.7058–0.7075 range on the hawkish Fed hold, shedding ~50 pips into the NY afternoon to print 0.70249 on a volume spike. RSI(14) is deep oversold near 27 and price sits just above the 0.70228 session low, with 0.7000 the magnet flagged into the slide.
Support: 0.70228, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.7056
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70410 (broken support) would ease the breakdown momentum
Failure to hold the 0.70228 session low opens the 0.7000 psych target
Fed presser/Warsh tone still in play — a dovish lean could snap price back toward the 0.70560 bounce high
AUDUSD broke hard below the 0.7058–0.7075 range into the NY session after the hawkish Fed hold and strong US retail sales beat drove a USD bid, dumping to 0.70228. RSI(14) sub-30 reflects the impulsive leg; price now hugs the session low at 0.70249 with the 0.7000 psych magnet in view.
Support: 0.70228, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7059, 0.7072
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70590 would negate the range-break read
Failure to hold 0.70228 opens the path toward the 0.7000 magnet
Warsh presser could materially extend or reverse this USD-led move
19:01 UTC
Downturn, post-FOMC drop · RSI 37 · price 0.70434
Range break to the downside.
AUDUSD broke the 0.7060–0.7075 NY range hard on the hawkish Fed hold, dropping to a 0.70316 spike low before a partial recovery to 0.70434. The prior range floor near 0.7060 now caps, with the recovery stalling under 0.70562 and RSI(14) climbing off oversold.
Support: 0.70316, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70562, 0.7060, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70600 would negate the downside range break
Failure to hold 0.70316 opens the 0.7000 psych magnet
Warsh presser still in play and could extend or unwind this move
19:01 UTC
Downtrend after FOMC break · RSI 43 · price 0.70434
Range break lower, recovering off spike low.
AUDUSD broke the tight 0.7060-0.7075 NY range as the hawkish FOMC hold and a strong US retail sales beat bid the dollar, spiking to a 0.70316 low before recovering to 0.70434. RSI(14) bounced off oversold as the spike low was swept and reclaimed; price now sits mid the post-FOMC range, below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.70316, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70591, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70591 bounce high would stabilise the post-FOMC break
Failure to hold above the 0.70316 spike low opens the 0.7000 psych magnet
Warsh presser still in play — could extend or unwind the dollar move
AUDUSD broke hard out of its 0.7070–0.7075 NY range on the FOMC hawkish hold, plunging to 0.70316 before buyers reclaimed 0.70562. RSI(14) recovering from oversold; ATR spiked to ~75 pips as the spike low was swept and partially retraced.
Support: 0.70403, 0.70316
Resistance: 0.7070, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70700 negates the breakdown structure
Failure to hold 0.70403 reopens the 0.70316 session low
Warsh presser remains the live driver this session
The hawkish Fed hold (3.75%, dots lifted) knocked AUDUSD out of its 0.707 range, with a sharp drop to 0.70316 before buyers pulled it back to 0.70562. Price now sits mid-range between the bounce high at 0.70591 and the spike low, RSI recovering off the flush.
Support: 0.70403, 0.70316
Resistance: 0.70591, 0.70725
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.70403 reopens the spike low at 0.70316
Reclaim of 0.70725 negates the range break lower
Warsh presser could materially shift this read in the next hours
Range break lower after session-long consolidation.
AUDUSD held a tight 0.7060–0.7075 range through the session then plunged ~30 pips to 0.70391 on the FOMC decision, RSI(14) collapsing into the low 20s. Price is hugging the lows near 0.7041 with the breakdown point at 0.70725 now overhead.
Support: 0.70391, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70501, 0.70725
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70501 would ease the breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 0.70391 opens the path toward the 0.7000 magnet
Warsh presser still in play — further FOMC-driven volatility could reshape this read
The FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC triggered a 30-pip collapse from 0.70725 to 0.70391, breaking cleanly below the day's 0.7053–0.7075 range. RSI(14) is now oversold near 25 and the bounce stalled at 0.70501; price sits pinned just above the session low.
Support: 0.70391, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70501, 0.70725
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70501 would ease the breakdown pressure
A close below 0.70391 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych magnet
Warsh presser still live — further headline-driven volatility likely
The FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC slammed AUDUSD ~30 pips lower, breaking the 0.7050 pivot and the prior 0.7065–0.7075 NY range to print 0.70391. Price is stalling at 0.70438 with RSI(14) near 29, reflecting a hawkish-hold USD bid against an already-soft AUD.
Support: 0.70391, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7050, 0.70725
What it said to watch
Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC could extend the move or unwind the USD bid
Loss of 0.70391 opens the path to the 0.7000 psychological level
AUDUSD chopped in a tight 0.7055-0.7075 band through NY hours before the FOMC hawkish hold smashed it ~30 pips lower, slicing the 0.7050 pivot to a session low at 0.7039. RSI(14) cratered to ~31 on the impulse, current bar holding just above the low at 0.70438.
Support: 0.70391, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7050
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7050 pivot would negate the break and pull price back into the prior range
Sustained trade below 0.7039 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Warsh press conference still live — further USD volatility could extend or reverse this move
18:02 UTC
Range broken lower on FOMC · RSI 36 · price 0.70506
Intraday range gave way, fresh session low.
AUDUSD chopped in a tight 0.7058-0.7075 range through the NY session, then the FOMC hawkish hold sliced price 20+ pips to a 0.70494 low, snapping below the 0.7050 pivot. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-30s as the broken pivot now caps overhead.
Support: 0.70494, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7050, 0.70725, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7050 would negate the downside break
Warsh presser (18:30 UTC) is the immediate volatility driver and can reverse this move
Failure to hold 0.70494 opens the path toward 0.7000
18:01 UTC
Range broken lower on FOMC · RSI 31 · price 0.70506
Range break to the downside.
AUDUSD spent the prior 22 hours coiled in a tight 0.7050–0.7075 range before the FOMC reaction drove a sharp NY-session break to 0.70494, the session low. Price now sits at 0.70506 below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 31; the prior range top at 0.70725 is now overhead supply.
Support: 0.70494, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.70751
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70725 negates the range-break read
Sustained trade below 0.70494 opens the path toward the 0.70000 psych level
Warsh press conference still in play — could materially shift this read in the next bars
17:46 UTC
Grinding higher into session high · RSI 63 · price 0.70731
Higher lows off 0.7054, testing range top.
NY session ground AUDUSD back to the session high at 0.70744 after recovering from the 0.70538 low, building a chain of higher lows with RSI(14) in the low 60s. Move stalls right at the 0.7073-0.7074 cap as the market sits on hands into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.70665, 0.70605, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.70744, 0.70735
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
M15 close above 0.70744 opens the path toward the 0.7080s
Failure to hold 0.70665 puts the 0.70605 swing low back in play
17:46 UTC
Recovery, grinding into session high · RSI 59 · price 0.70731
Rising lows, capped at 0.70744.
NY session ground higher off the 0.70538 range low, posting rising lows and now coiling just under the 0.70744 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 59. Price holds well above the 0.7050 pivot with FOMC due at 18:00 UTC — a binary risk event sitting on top of this read.
Support: 0.70668, 0.70606, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.70744, 0.70685
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC) can override this structure entirely
M15 close above 0.70744 extends the recovery leg
Loss of 0.70606 breaks the rising-low chain and reopens the 0.70538 range low
17:31 UTC
Rangebound, recovered off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.70717
Consolidating below session high into FOMC.
AUDUSD recovered through the NY session from the 0.70538 low, sweeping back to 0.70730 before stalling. A sharp wick to 0.70606 was bought back into the 0.70710-0.70720 band; price now coiling under the session high with the FOMC decision imminent.
Support: 0.70665, 0.70605, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7073
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (30m) will override this read
Close above 0.70730 extends the recovery; failure to hold 0.70665 reopens 0.70605
17:31 UTC
Recovery off session low, stalling near top · RSI 59 · price 0.70717
Ranging, higher lows into resistance.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.70538 session low through NY hours and is now coiling just under 0.70735, the session high, with RSI(14) mid-range near 59. Price sits above both EMAs but momentum has flattened into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.70665, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70735, 0.70726
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~30min could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70735 opens a push toward 0.7080
AUDUSD ranging 0.7053–0.7073, currently pressing the session high after a sharp spike down to 0.70606 was bought back during NY hours. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, no extreme; price holds above EMA20/50 but capped at 0.70730.
Support: 0.70665, 0.70606, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70735
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read within the next bars
M15 close above 0.70735 opens room past the session high
Loss of 0.70606 swing low re-exposes the 0.7050 pivot
17:16 UTC
Range, recovered to top · RSI 61 · price 0.70716
Rangebound, retesting session high.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.70538 session low back to the top of the 24h range, trading just under the 0.70730 session high into the FOMC decision. RSI(14) mid-60s, ATR ~4 pips; price pinned around the 0.7070 pivot per the broader 0.7050 consolidation.
Support: 0.70605, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7073
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC will dominate the next bars
M15 close above 0.70730 extends the recovery; failure to hold 0.70605 reopens the 0.70538 session low
AUDUSD spent the last 24h boxed 0.7054–0.7073, dipping to 0.70538 mid-window then recovering; a strong US retail sales beat (0.9% vs 0.5%) gave the USD little lift. Price now sits at 0.70709, back near the session high with RSI(14) mid-range. FOMC and SEP land within the hour — the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.70601, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~1h) and Warsh presser will set the next leg — this range read is provisional
M15 close above 0.70730 opens a push back toward the 0.7140 region
Loss of 0.70538 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.7050 psych pivot
17:02 UTC
Recovered to range top, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 0.70709
Range, bounced off session low.
AUDUSD recovered through the NY session from a session low at 0.70538 back to the range top near 0.70730, with price now pinned ~0.7071 just under that cap. RSI(14) is neutral around 57; the pair is consolidating into the FOMC decision after strong US Retail Sales gave the dollar little lift.
Support: 0.70665, 0.70595, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70686
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~1h) plus Warsh presser will dictate the next leg
M15 close above 0.70730 breaks the session range top
NY session swept down to 0.70606 on the high-volume bar before snapping back to the 0.7073 session high, leaving a false break and a recovery into mid-range. Price now coils around 0.7070 above EMA20/50, RSI(14) neutral near 54 as traders sit on hands ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.70606, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70738
What it said to watch
FOMC decision (18:00 UTC) and Warsh presser will reshape this read within the hour
Close above 0.70738 reopens the session high break
Failure to hold 0.70606 exposes the 0.70538 session low and 0.7050 pivot
Intraday range, holding above session lows into FOMC.
NY session swept the 0.70725 session high then flushed to 0.70606 on a single bar before snapping back, leaving a false-break wick. Price now pins around 0.7070 with RSI(14) mid-range, holding above the 0.70650 intraday pivot ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70606, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70738
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.70606 reopens the 0.70538 session low
Close above 0.70730 clears the session high
16:31 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 55 · price 0.70707
Ranging with higher lows into FOMC.
NY session ground higher off the 0.70538 session low, with a fast sweep of 0.70606 and recovery back toward the 0.70730 session high. Price is pinned around 0.7070 with RSI(14) neutral near 55 — no setup in play ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.70606, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70752
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC will override this intraday read
Loss of 0.70538 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.7050 psych pivot
Consolidation between 0.7054 and 0.7073, recovered off session low.
NY session ground higher off the 0.70538 session low, with a quick wick down to 0.70606 absorbed before price reclaimed 0.7070. AUDUSD is pinned just below the 0.70730 session high in a tight range, RSI(14) mid-50s, as traders sit on hands ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.70606, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70752
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~1.5h out) is the immediate driver and could break this range
Close above 0.70752 extends the recovery
Loss of 0.70538 session low confirms a downside break
16:16 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 0.70679
Intraday range 0.7054-0.7073, higher lows late.
NY afternoon has AUDUSD pinned near 0.7068 after a spike through 0.7073 was sold back; a sharp wick to 0.70606 was bought up. Price holds the 0.7054-0.7073 range with higher lows building, RSI(14) neutral around 51 ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.70606, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70769
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2h) will likely override this range read
M15 close above 0.7073 opens 0.70769
Loss of 0.70538 confirms a lower low toward 0.7050
16:16 UTC
Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 52 · price 0.70679
Higher lows into NY, capped sub-0.7073.
NY session ground higher off the London low at 0.7054, tagging 0.70730 before a sharp spike down to 0.70606 was bought back. Price now sits mid-range near 0.7068 with RSI neutral, pinned ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.70606, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7073
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.70730 resumes the intraday upside
Close below 0.70606 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.70538
16:01 UTC
Ranging, recovering into FOMC · RSI 55 · price 0.70707
Intraday range, holding above 0.7050.
AUDUSD chopped within a 0.70538–0.70792 range over the last 24h, pinned near the 0.7050 pivot as flagged in the macro read. NY hours saw a quick sweep to 0.70606 then recovery back to 0.70730; price now sits mid-range at 0.70707 with RSI neutral ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.70606, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70792
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70730 reopens the 0.70792 session high
Failure to hold 0.70606 exposes the 0.70538 session low
Higher lows since the spike low, capped near 0.70730.
NY session clawed back from the 0.70538 session low, with a fast spike to 0.70606 absorbed and reversed before price stalled under 0.70730. RSI(14) mid-range near 56; price holding above EMA20/50 but pinned ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.70606, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70792
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.70730 opens the path to 0.70792
Failure to hold 0.70606 reopens the 0.70538 session low
15:46 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 59 · price 0.70722
Intraday range, holding top half.
AUDUSD climbed back to the top of its intraday range near 0.7073 through NY hours after a brief sweep of 0.7060 was bought back. Price is ranging roughly 0.7054–0.7078 ahead of FOMC, RSI(14) near 59 with no extreme in play.
Support: 0.7066, 0.70606, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70783
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70783 breaks the day's range
Failure to hold the 0.7050 pivot opens the prior session low
15:46 UTC
Recovery within broader range · RSI 61 · price 0.70722
Higher lows off session low, testing range top.
NY session climbed off the 0.70538 London low and is now pressing the 0.70730 session high, RSI(14) around 61. A sharp dip to 0.70606 was bought back during NY hours, keeping the higher-low chain intact; price pinned near range top with AUD holding above the 0.7050 area into FOMC.
Support: 0.70605, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2h) is the immediate driver and can override this intraday read
M15 close above 0.70730 opens the path to 0.70790
Loss of 0.70605 breaks the higher-low structure and reopens 0.70538
AUDUSD ranging 0.7054-0.7079 through Asia and London, currently 0.7069 and holding above the 0.7050 pivot. NY bar swept down to the 0.70606 session low then recovered, leaving price mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Negative bias persists into FOMC after AUD faded the hawkish-RBA bounce.
Support: 0.70606, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2.5h) will likely override this intraday range
Break below 0.70538 swing low reopens the 0.7050 psych pivot
Reclaim of 0.70730 session high needed to challenge the 0.70790 asian high
15:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 56 · price 0.70694
Intraday range 0.7054-0.7073, recent higher lows.
AUDUSD pinned near 0.7050-area for a second day, grinding back to 0.7069 into NY hours after the RBA-bounce faded. A spike down to 0.7060 was swept and recovered within the bar; session high at 0.7073 still caps. RSI(14) neutral at ~56.
Support: 0.7060, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2.5h out) plus Warsh presser will dominate the next bars and could break this range
M15 close above 0.7073 reopens 0.7079
Failure to hold 0.7060 exposes the 0.7054 london low
15:16 UTC
Ranging, recovering after sweep · RSI 52 · price 0.70684
NY climb capped at 0.70730, swept to 0.70606, bounced.
NY session climbed from 0.70568 to a 0.70730 high before a sharp sweep down to 0.70606, then price recovered to 0.70684. Sits mid-range above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral around 52 as traders square up into FOMC.
Support: 0.70606, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~3h is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
M15 close above 0.70730 reopens the prior 0.70790 high
Loss of 0.70606 puts the 0.70538 session low back in play
15:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, capped at 0.7073 · RSI 52 · price 0.70684
Range with recent rejection at session high.
NY session recovered from the 0.70538 session low back to the 0.70730 session high before a sharp rejection bar swept down to 0.70606 and snapped back to 0.70684. Price sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 52, traders sitting on hands ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.70606, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70730 reopens the path toward 0.70790
Loss of 0.70538 confirms a lower low toward the 0.7050 pivot
15:01 UTC
Range, mild recovery into NY · RSI 57 · price 0.70665
Intraday range, swept low then recovered.
AUDUSD held a tight intraday range and the last bar swept down to 0.70606 before recovering to close 0.70665, still pinned near 0.7050 into FOMC. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the session high at 0.70730 caps the recovery.
Support: 0.70606, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70730 prior high opens room higher; loss of session low 0.70538 toward 0.7050 psych extends the drift lower
NY pushed to the session high at 0.70730, then the last bar swept above and was rejected back to 0.70665 with RSI cooling near 54. Price holds inside the 0.7054-0.7073 range with mild upward drift; FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver.
Support: 0.7060, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC in ~3h can override this intraday read
Close above 0.70730 opens the path back toward 0.70790
Failure to hold 0.70538 confirms a lower low toward 0.7050
NY session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.70538 session low, with a chain of higher lows carrying price back to the 0.70730 session high as RSI(14) runs hot near 71. The recovery sits against the broader 0.7050 pivot flagged into FOMC; demand stepped in twice around 0.70538.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser can override this read
Acceptance above 0.70730 opens the path to 0.70790
Loss of 0.70650 reopens the 0.70538 session low
14:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, near session high · RSI 64 · price 0.70723
Higher lows off 0.70538, pressing recent high.
NY session has lifted AUDUSD off the 0.70538 session low in a clean higher-low chain, with price now testing the 0.70730 session high and RSI(14) around 64. Move tracks a softer USD into the FOMC decision; the 0.70730 cap is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70566, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70792
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~3h could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70730 opens the path toward 0.70792
AUDUSD recovered through the NY session from the 0.70538 session low, reclaiming 0.7070 with RSI(14) near 61. Price stalled at the 0.70726 session high as USD softened into the FOMC decision; the 0.7050 pivot held all day.
Support: 0.70605, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70726, 0.70792
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~3.5h could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70726 opens a path back toward 0.70792
Loss of 0.70605 reopens the 0.70538 session low and 0.7050 pivot
Higher lows building from 0.70538, capped under 0.70726.
AUDUSD has ground higher through the NY session off the 0.70538 low, reclaiming both EMAs and pressing the 0.70726 session high with RSI(14) near 63. Pair remains pinned around the 0.7050 macro pivot ahead of the FOMC decision, with the recent rally a recovery rather than a clean range break.
Support: 0.70644, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70726, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (3.5h) can override this intraday read
M15 close above 0.70726 opens the path to 0.70790
Failure to hold 0.70644 reopens the 0.70538 session low
AUDUSD clawed back off the session low at 0.70538 through NY hours, posting higher lows and now probing the 0.70726 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s. Still boxed in the broader 0.7053-0.7079 range with FOMC pending.
Support: 0.70566, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.70726, 0.7078
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70726 opens the 0.70780 prior high
Failure to hold 0.70566 reopens the 0.70538 session low
NY session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.7054 session low to 0.7073, with price now holding 0.7071 ahead of the FOMC decision. RSI(14) near 61, momentum constructive but the recovery is capped at the 0.70726 session high; the soft post-RBA tone keeps the wider structure heavy.
Support: 0.70641, 0.7060, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.70726, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70726 opens the asia high at 0.70790
Failure to hold 0.70641 reopens the 0.70538 session low
AUDUSD chopped lower through London to a 0.70538 session low, then ground back up into NY toward 0.70726, RSI(14) firming to ~61. Price now sits mid-range at 0.7068, holding above EMA20/50 with FOMC at 18:00 UTC the immediate driver.
Support: 0.7060, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.70726, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.70790 reclaims the prior session high
AUDUSD carved a base at 0.70538 and ground higher through the NY session, tagging 0.70726 before easing to 0.70684; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme. FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver and dominates this read into the next bars.
Support: 0.7060, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.70726, 0.70776
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC will likely override this intraday structure
M15 close above 0.70726 opens 0.70776
Failure to hold 0.70600 reopens the 0.70538 session low
13:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 0.70693
Higher lows building from 0.7054.
AUDUSD ground down to 0.7054 through the European session then recovered through the NY session, now pressing the 0.70698 session high with RSI(14) near 62. Price sits back above EMA20/50 after a hot US Retail Sales print failed to lift USD into the Fed.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70568, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.70698, 0.70719, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70719 extends the recovery toward 0.70792
Loss of 0.70568 reopens the 0.70538 session low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 64 · price 0.70693
Breakout from intraday consolidation.
AUDUSD ground out a 0.7060-0.7065 consolidation through the European session before NY buyers lifted it off the 0.70538 session low to 0.7069, RSI recovering toward the mid-60s. AUD stays soft into FOMC after the faded RBA hold, but the intraday push has reclaimed the 0.70600 pivot.
Support: 0.7060, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4h out) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.70720 swing high extends the recovery toward 0.70790
Failure to hold the 0.70600 pivot re-exposes the 0.70538 session low
13:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 56 · price 0.70651
Higher lows since 0.70538, mid-range.
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.70538 session low and is grinding into the 50% retrace of the prior decline near 0.70665, RSI mid-range. A chain of higher lows is in place but 0.70686 caps the session for now, all ahead of the 18:00 UTC FOMC.
Support: 0.70595, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.70686, 0.7074
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70686 opens 0.70740
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC will reset this read
Failure to hold 0.70595 reopens the 0.70538 low
13:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 0.70651
Rounded base, grinding higher.
AUDUSD bled from 0.7077 through London to a session low of 0.7054, then rounded back up to 0.7065 into early NY with RSI(14) lifting to the high-50s. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.7057; session high at 0.70686 is the near-term cap as the market sits on hands ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.70568, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.70686, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dots in ~4.5h is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
Close above 0.70686 extends the rebound toward 0.7079
Loss of 0.70538 reopens the session lows and the 0.7050 pivot
AUDUSD has crept back to 0.70654 off the 0.70538 session low, building rising lows into the early NY session with RSI(14) around 61 and a thin ~3-pip ATR. Buyers are testing the 0.70660 session high while the 0.70538 base holds.
Support: 0.70595, 0.70568, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7066, 0.7072
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~5h) is the dominant driver and can override this intraday structure
Drift lower then grind back, micro higher-lows forming.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.70792 session high to a 0.70538 low before grinding back through the NY session, now near the 50% retrace at 0.70654 with RSI(14) mid-range. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 0.70595; 0.70695 swing high caps for now.
Support: 0.70595, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70695, 0.70792
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70695 opens the path to 0.70792 session high
NY session: AUDUSD bottomed at 0.70538 mid-window and rounded a base near 0.70566 before grinding back to 0.7065 after the US Retail Sales print. Move stalled into the 0.70689 prior pivot, RSI(14) mid-range. FOMC and Warsh presser in ~5h is the swing factor.
Support: 0.70566, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.70689, 0.70705
What it said to watch
FOMC decision/SEP at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.70689 opens the path back to the 0.70705 swing high
Loss of 0.70538 session low resumes the downside toward 0.7050
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 58 · price 0.70646
Recovering from session low, back inside range.
AUDUSD slid through London to a session low of 0.70538, then ground higher into the NY session and reclaimed EMA20/EMA50, last printing 0.70646. RSI(14) back near 58 off the lows; price still capped below the 0.70690 prior pivot with FOMC ahead.
Support: 0.70595, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.7072
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70690 reopens 0.70720 swing high
Loss of 0.70538 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could override this read
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 54 · price 0.70617
Lower highs into a 0.7054-0.7064 base.
AUDUSD ground lower through the London session to a 0.7054 low, then stabilised in a tight 0.7054-0.7064 base now trading 0.7062. RSI(14) has recovered toward the midline off the low, but the descending sequence of lower highs since 0.7079 is still intact ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.70538, 0.70568
Resistance: 0.70642, 0.7069
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can override this base
M15 close back above 0.70642 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.70538 session low exposes the 0.7050 pivot
AUD/USD ground lower through the London session to 0.70538 before stabilising near 0.7061, holding the 0.7050 pivot in classic pre-FOMC limbo. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral off the lows; the bounce remains capped at the 0.70643 swing high.
Support: 0.70566, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70643, 0.70689
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.70538 confirms a lower low and opens 0.7050
M15 close above 0.70643 challenges the 0.70689 prior high
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, drift slowing · RSI 49 · price 0.70607
Lower highs, basing above session low.
AUDUSD ground lower through London to a 0.70538 session low before stabilising into the London-NY transition; now coiling 0.70563–0.70642 with RSI(14) flat near 49. Move sits in classic pre-FOMC limbo with US Retail Sales due at 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision at 18:00 UTC.
Support: 0.70563, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70538 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.70500/0.70000 path
Close above 0.70642 breaks the consolidation top
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially reshape this read
Consolidating just above session low after stepwise decline.
AUDUSD ground lower through the window to a 0.7054 session low before stabilising in a tight 0.7056–0.7064 band, RSI back near 50. Ranges are compressing in classic pre-FOMC limbo with US Retail Sales due at the open.
Support: 0.7054, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7064
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~5.5h) is the dominant driver for this read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the 0.7056–0.7064 compression
Loss of 0.7054 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.7050
M15 close above 0.7064 invalidates the consolidation-at-lows read
AUDUSD ground lower through the London-NY transition for a second straight down day, but held the 0.70537 session low with price now coiling in a tight 0.7056-0.7064 band. RSI sits mid-40s and ATR has compressed near 3 pips, reflecting pre-FOMC limbo.
Support: 0.70537, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70643
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the swing factor and could break this range
M15 close below 0.70537 opens 0.7050 then the 0.7042 floor
Reclaim of 0.70643 swing high needed to challenge the lower-high sequence
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.70596
Lower highs, consolidating near session lows.
AUDUSD drifted lower through London, printing a 0.70538 low before stabilising in a tight 0.7056–0.7064 band into the NY open. RSI(14) flat near 44, ATR compressed to ~3 pips — price coiling under the descending high chain ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.70563, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver — likely to break this coil
Loss of 0.70538 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 0.7050
Close above 0.70642 breaks the lower-high sequence
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 0.70593
Lower highs, consolidating near session low.
AUDUSD ground lower through the London session, printing a session low at 0.70538 before stabilising in a tight 0.7056–0.7064 band. RSI sits mid-40s with momentum flat as the dollar consolidates near 99.50 ahead of US Retail Sales and FOMC. Price holding the defended 0.7050 area for now.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC can break this consolidation
M15 close below 0.70538 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.7042 floor
Reclaim of 0.70642 pivot negates the near-term downside drift
AUDUSD ground out a second leg of lower highs through the session, tagging 0.70538 before stabilising in a tight 0.70560–0.70620 range, price pinned below EMA20/50. Move fits the USD consolidation into FOMC; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70643
What it said to watch
Break below 0.70538 opens the 0.70500 psych level
Close back above 0.70643 lower high negates the downtrend read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC ~6h out can materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.70591
Lower highs, basing above 0.7054.
AUDUSD ground lower through the session, posting a low at 0.70538 before stabilising in a tight 0.7056–0.7064 band, holding the defended 0.7050 pivot. Lower highs persist below the 0.7064–0.7079 supply zone with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.7054, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7064, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this read
Loss of 0.7050 confirms continuation toward 0.7000
M15 close back above 0.7064 breaks the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD ground lower through the London-NY session, slipping from 0.70790 to a 0.70538 low before stabilising around 0.7059. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 0.70538 floor has held while supply caps near 0.70642. FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the swing factor for the next move.
Support: 0.70538, 0.70563, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642, 0.7070, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70538 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.70500
Reclaim of 0.70642 needed to negate the descending structure
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the London session, printing lower highs off the 0.70790 peak and basing just above the 0.70538 session low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; pre-FOMC limbo is keeping ranges tight around 0.7050.
Support: 0.70566, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.70642, 0.70688
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70538 confirms a lower low and opens 0.7050
Reclaim of 0.70642 swing high would break the lower-high chain
FOMC decision later today is the swing factor for this read
AUDUSD drifted lower for a second NY session, slipping back to 0.70577 after the 0.70643 session high capped the bounce off the 0.70538 low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI in the mid-40s; choppy pre-FOMC consolidation between 0.70538 and 0.70643.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70643
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver and could break this range
Loss of 0.70538 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.70500 psych
M15 close back above 0.70643 session high neutralises the downside drift
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY-into-Asia drift, tapping 0.70537 before stabilising in a tight 0.70563-0.70642 band. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; pre-FOMC limbo has compressed ranges to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.70537, 0.70563
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver for this read
M15 close below 0.70537 opens the 0.7050/0.7042 floor
Reclaim of 0.70642 negates the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD ground lower through London-NY hours, printing a 0.70538 session low before stabilising around 0.7058, RSI(14) sitting near 44. A chain of lower highs caps at 0.70642 while price holds above the 0.7050 pivot flagged in the RBA context, with all eyes on FOMC.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 0.70538 opens 0.70500 then the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.70642 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
AUDUSD ground lower through London-NY hours, posting a session low at 0.70538 before stabilising near 0.70583 in pre-FOMC limbo. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; rallies have capped at the descending 0.70642 swing high.
Support: 0.70538, 0.70563
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver and could reset this read
Loss of 0.70538 opens the path toward the 0.7050/0.7000 area
M15 close above 0.70642 breaks the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, posting a sequence of lower highs and basing just above the 0.70538 session low as price idles in pre-FOMC limbo. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; sellers capping rebounds at 0.70642.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver and can reset this read
M15 close below 0.70538 confirms continuation toward 0.70500
Reclaim of 0.70642 negates the lower-high structure
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, posting a string of lower highs and probing 0.70538 ahead of the FOMC decision; the broader USD softness has kept it above the 0.7050 pivot for now. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, neutral-to-soft, with price below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70538 confirms continuation toward the 0.7050 pivot
Reclaim of 0.70642 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the London session, slipping to 0.70568 with RSI(14) holding in the low 40s and price under both EMAs. The 0.70642 swing high capped the bounce attempts; sellers keep pressing toward the 0.70538 session low ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.70563, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70538 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.70500
Reclaim of 0.70642 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC can materially shift this read
AUDUSD grinding lower through London hours, printing lower highs and pressing the 0.70538 session low, price below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 43. Soft USD has not lifted the Aussie; it holds the 0.7050 area defended into FOMC.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70538 confirms continuation toward 0.70500
Reclaim of 0.70642 breaks the lower-high chain
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has been bleeding lower through the European session, printing lower highs from the 0.70792 session high down to the current 0.70574, with price pinned under EMA20/50. The 0.70538 session low held on the last test; supply is capping bounces around 0.70642.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642, 0.7070, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70538 confirms continuation toward the 0.70500 psych level
Reclaim of 0.70642 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.70587
Lower highs, sitting on session low.
AUDUSD has ground lower through the NY morning, basing just above the 0.70538 session low with price below both EMAs. The 0.70642 swing high capped the last bounce; pair stuck in a tight 0.70538-0.70642 band ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC.
Support: 0.70567, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70538 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.70500
Reclaim of 0.70642 needed to break the lower-high chain
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 0.70538 before chopping sideways in a 0.70538–0.70642 band, RSI(14) flat near 44. Price sits below EMA20/50 with the down-leg from 0.70792 stalling rather than extending, as the Aussie holds the 0.7050 pivot ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642, 0.7070
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver and can override this intraday read
M15 close above 0.70642 negates the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD drifted lower through the London session, posting a session low at 0.70538 before recovering into a tight 0.7054–0.7064 range. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range, sellers capping at the 0.70642 swing high as the pair holds in pre-FOMC limbo.
Support: 0.70538, 0.70567
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70538 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.7050 pivot
Reclaim of 0.70642 swing high needed to ease the down-drift
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the binding event and could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 46 · price 0.70607
Consolidation above session low.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the London session, bottoming at 0.70538 before stabilising into a tight 0.7058–0.7064 range as price sits on its EMA20. Move is consolidation ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC decision, with the pair holding the 0.7050 pivot it has been defending.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC are the immediate drivers for this range
M15 close below 0.70538 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.7050 pivot
Reclaim of 0.70642 range top would negate the near-term down-drift
AUDUSD ground lower through London to a session low of 0.70538 then recovered to chop around 0.7060, holding the 0.7050 pivot it has been defending. RSI(14) near 48 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips as price coils into the FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision and dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver for this read
Loss of 0.70538 session low exposes the 0.7050 pivot
M15 close above 0.70642 recent high challenges the consolidation read
09:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.70605
Tight range after session low bounce.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the Asian session to a 0.70538 low before recovering into a tight 0.7054-0.7064 range during the London morning. Price sits mid-range at 0.70605 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; no directional setup with the pair in pre-FOMC limbo.
Support: 0.70538, 0.70595
Resistance: 0.70642, 0.70695
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the swing factor — likely to break this range either way
M15 close above 0.70642 reopens 0.70695
Loss of 0.70538 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.7050
Asia session drifted to a 0.70538 session low before buyers stepped in, recovering to 0.70642 and now consolidating sub-0.7065 with RSI(14) mid-range. The bounce stalled at the recent high; US Retail Sales and FOMC ahead are the dominant risks into the next session.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70642
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC could override this range
Loss of 0.70538 session low opens the 0.7050 pivot
Reclaim of 0.70642 recent high needed to extend the bounce
AUDUSD slid through the NY-Asia window to a session low at 0.70538 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 0.70635 against a chain of lower highs. Move is corrective ahead of FOMC; 0.70643 recent high caps and the 0.70700 psych level sits above.
Support: 0.70538, 0.70563
Resistance: 0.70643, 0.7070
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today is the dominant driver and can override this intraday read
Close above 0.70643 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.70538 confirms a fresh lower low
09:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 48 · price 0.70605
Lower lows then basing 0.7054-0.7064.
AUDUSD drifted to a 0.70538 session low through the European morning then recovered to base around 0.7060, with sellers capping at 0.70643. Price is hugging EMA20 but below EMA50 as the pair coils in a tight pre-FOMC range, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.70567, 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70643
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver — guidance can break this range
Loss of 0.70538 confirms continuation toward 0.7050/0.7000
M15 close above 0.70643 negates the lower-high sequence
Lower lows into 0.7054, now consolidating off the low.
AUD/USD ground lower through the European session to 0.70538 before buyers recovered the level, now consolidating near 0.7060. The down move stays well inside range ahead of FOMC, with RSI(14) neutral near 46 and price pinned below EMA50.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70643
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70538 opens the 0.7050 psych pivot
Close back above 0.70643 challenges the descending resistance
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUD slid to a session low of 0.70538 before recovering to chop around 0.7060, holding the 0.7050 pivot AUD has been defending. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with ATR around 3.5 pips; price is pinned below EMA20/50 ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70643
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70538 opens 0.7050 then 0.7042
Reclaim of 0.70643 needed to ease the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term risk
AUDUSD ground lower through the London session, printing lower highs and a session low at 0.70538 before a shallow bounce back to 0.7060. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; the 0.7050 pivot the digest flags is still holding as a floor ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.7054, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7064
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7050 opens the 0.7000 area
Reclaim of 0.7064 would break the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision later today is the swing factor for this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the session, sliding from 0.7078 to a session low of 0.70538 before a shallow bounce to 0.70643 faded back to 0.7059. Price holds above the 0.7050 pivot but stays below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; chop ahead of US Retail Sales and FOMC.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70643, 0.7078
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70538 opens the 0.7050 psych pivot
Reclaim of 0.70643 needed to ease the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC later could reset this read
AUDUSD ground lower through Asia into the London session, printing a low at 0.70538 before a shallow bounce capped at 0.70643. Price now hovers near 0.70588 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; sub-0.7100 cap intact per the soft-growth, hawkish-RBA-hold backdrop.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.70643, 0.7072, 0.70792
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
Loss of 0.70538 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.70500/0.70420
M15 close above 0.70643 negates the lower-high sequence
Lower highs into session low, now ranging near lows.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the session, carving lower highs from 0.70792 down to a session low at 0.70538 before bouncing to 0.70642 and fading back to 0.70599; RSI(14) neutral near 48. Price is pinned ~0.7060 with AUD capped sub-0.7100 ahead of FOMC tonight.
Support: 0.70538, 0.70576
Resistance: 0.70642, 0.7072, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70642 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.70538 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC decision tonight is the dominant near-term driver
Lower highs into 0.70538 low, recovered to 0.7060.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the session, printing a 0.70538 low before recovering to ~0.70600 and stalling under the 0.70642 session high; lower-highs structure intact below the 0.7070 cap. FOMC tonight is the dominant swing factor, and price is pinned mid-range ahead of it.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.70642, 0.7070
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70642 needed to challenge the 0.7070 pinned cap
Failure to hold 0.70538 opens 0.7050/0.7042 downside
FOMC decision tonight could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 49 · price 0.70606
Lower highs into a base above 0.7054.
AUDUSD slid through the London session in a chain of lower highs, sweeping to 0.70538 before buyers recovered it back to ~0.7060. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 and price is hugging the EMA20 below a falling EMA50; the 0.70643 recent high caps the bounce ahead of FOMC tonight.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.70643
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70643 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.70538 session low opens 0.7042 prior low
FOMC decision tonight is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
Lower highs from 0.7079, low at 0.70538, modest bounce.
AUDUSD ground lower through the London session from the 0.7079 high to a 0.70538 session low, then bounced to retest 0.70642 before settling near 0.7060. Lower-highs structure intact and price below EMA50; the pair is pinned ahead of tonight's FOMC, the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.70642, 0.70792
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.70538 confirms a lower low toward 0.7042
Reclaim of 0.70642 challenges the lower-highs sequence
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 0.70633
Lower highs into session low, micro bounce.
AUDUSD ground lower from the 0.70792 high through Asia into a 0.70537 early-London session low, printing a lower-highs chain. A double-bottom near 0.7054 has since lifted price back to 0.7063, but the descending resistance and 0.7100 cap remain intact. Fed decision tonight is the swing factor.
Support: 0.70537, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70689, 0.70792, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70689 breaks the lower-highs structure
Failure to hold 0.70537 opens the path to 0.7050/0.7042
Lower highs into 0.7054 low, corrective bounce in play.
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asian session and into early London, bottoming at 0.70538 before buyers stepped in. Price has since reclaimed 0.7063, retracing roughly 38% of the 0.7079-0.7054 down-leg with RSI back near neutral. FOMC tonight is the dominant swing factor for the USD side.
Support: 0.70595, 0.70538
Resistance: 0.7067, 0.7072, 0.70792
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 0.70670 (ema50) would break the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 0.70595 reopens the 0.70538 session low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 0.70623
Lower highs, holding above session low.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the European morning, printing a 0.70538 session low before buyers stepped in to reclaim 0.70620. Lower-highs structure off the 0.70790 session high remains intact, with price pinned ~0.7060 ahead of tonight's Fed decision.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could override this read
M15 close above 0.70680 challenges the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 0.70538 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.70500
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 49 · price 0.70623
Lower highs into 0.70538 base, fresh bounce.
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asian session in a chain of lower highs, with the 0.70538 low swept twice before buyers stepped in. Price has bounced to 0.70623 back above the EMA20; the pair stays pinned sub-0.7070 with the Fed decision tonight the swing factor.
Support: 0.70538, 0.70567
Resistance: 0.7066, 0.7072
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70660 (ema50) and 0.70720 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70538 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC decision tonight (18:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
Lower highs off 0.7079, holding above session low.
AUDUSD has carved a chain of lower highs off the 0.70792 session peak, sliding to a 0.70538 low before a shallow London bounce back to 0.70606. Price stays pinned below 0.7070 with the AUD capped into tonight's Fed decision.
Support: 0.70538, 0.70567
Resistance: 0.70635, 0.7070, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70700 breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 0.70538 confirms a lower low
FOMC tonight (18:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asian session to a 0.70538 low before a shallow bounce back to 0.70606, holding the lower-highs chain off the 0.7079 peak. Price remains pinned near 0.7070 and capped well below 0.7100, with the FOMC decision tonight the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7066, 0.7070
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight could materially shift this read
Close below 0.70538 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.70660 swing high needed to break the lower-highs structure
AUDUSD drifted lower through Asia into early London, breaking below the 0.7065-0.7078 range that capped the prior NY session and tagging 0.7054 before a shallow bounce to 0.7060. RSI(14) near 42, no extreme; price sits under EMA20 and EMA50 as the pair pins near range lows ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7065, 0.7072
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70650 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.70538 confirms a lower-low toward 0.7050
US Fed decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asian range into London, posting a fresh swing low at 0.70538 before a modest bounce to 0.70601, capped by a chain of lower highs. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the low-40s, the bounce off 0.70538 showing slowing downside momentum.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70665
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70538 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.70500
Reclaim of 0.70665 breaks the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and Fed decision 18:00 UTC are the next USD-side drivers for this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the late session, slipping from the 0.7079 high to a session low of 0.70537 as the prior 0.7060-0.7080 range floor gave way. RSI(14) sits soft near 38 with the pair pinned ahead of US Retail Sales and Wednesday's Fed decision; a shallow bounce to 0.70584 has faded back toward the lows.
Support: 0.70537, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7062, 0.7079
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70537 opens 0.7050 psych toward 0.7000
Reclaim of 0.70620 broken floor negates the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and Fed decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has bled lower through the Asia-into-London window, posting a chain of lower highs and a fresh session low at 0.70537 with price now pinned near 0.7056, below EMA20/50. Move fits the soft-AUD read into the Fed; RSI(14) near 40, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 0.70537, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7063
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70630 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.70537 opens the 0.7050 round number
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and Fed decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 40 · price 0.7058
Lower highs, fresh session low.
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asian session into London, printing a fresh low at 0.7054 before a thin bounce to 0.7058; pair stays pinned in the 0.7050-0.7070 post-RBA zone. Price trades below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 40, a steady chain of lower highs intact.
Support: 0.70538, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.70684, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.7054 confirms continuation toward 0.7040
US Fed decision 18:00 UTC is the main USD-side driver and could reshape this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asia/early-London window, printing a fresh session low at 0.7054 before a small bounce to 0.7058; price stays pinned in the RBA-hold 0.7050-0.7070 zone with RSI(14) near 40. Lower highs from 0.7079 cap the move as the pair drifts into the Fed decision.
Support: 0.70538, 0.70595, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7064, 0.7069, 0.7079
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70538 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.70640 breaks the descending lower-high line
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through Asia into the London open, breaking below the 0.70670 prior range and printing a fresh swing low at 0.70537 with RSI(14) near 31. Pair pinned in the post-RBA 0.7050-0.7070 band, now testing the bottom of it ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.70537, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7067
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70670 negates the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.70537 exposes the 0.70500 psych level
US Fed decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUD/USD ground lower through the Asian session, slipping from 0.7068 to a fresh session low at 0.7054, RSI(14) near 33 but not yet extreme. The lower-high chain stays intact with supply capping near 0.7060 ahead of the Fed decision later today.
Support: 0.70537, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70604
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70604 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.70537 opens a test of the 0.70500 psych level
US Fed decision today (18:00 UTC) is the next key driver for the pair
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 38 · price 0.70581
Stair-step lower into London open.
AUDUSD ground steadily lower through Asia hours, carving lower highs off 0.7078 and pressing the session low at 0.7057 into the London open; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38. AUD stays heavy after the weak China retail print faded the hawkish RBA hold.
Support: 0.70567, 0.7050, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7064, 0.7069, 0.70783
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7057 opens 0.7050 then 0.7042
Reclaim of 0.7064 needed to break the lower-high chain
Fed decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
AUDUSD has bled steadily lower from the 0.7079 peak into the late-Asia/London-open hours, printing lower highs and now pressing the session low at 0.70567 with RSI(14) near 32. AUD stays heavy after the faded hawkish RBA hold and weak China data; price is pinned around 0.7058 with no recovery structure yet.
Support: 0.70567, 0.70493
Resistance: 0.7065, 0.7072
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70650 swing pivot would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.70567 session low confirms continuation toward 0.70493
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the Fed decision could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 0.70567 with RSI(14) heavy near 34. AUD stays pinned around 0.7050 on weak China data, with the pair carving a clean descending channel of lower highs into the Fed.
Support: 0.70567, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70641
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70567 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.70500
Reclaim of 0.70641 needed to stall the descending channel
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant driver and could reset this read
AUDUSD has bled lower through the Asia-to-London transition, printing lower highs off the 0.7079 session high and pressing a fresh session low at 0.70567 with RSI(14) near 35. Move fits the heavy AUD tone after the faded RBA hold and the weak China retail print; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.70567, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.7079
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.70690 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70567 opens a push toward the 0.7050 round number
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and Wed Fed are the dominant near-term USD drivers
05:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 42 · price 0.7060
Drifting lower off session high, pinned at session low.
AUDUSD stalled at the 0.7079 session high and bled lower through the Asia session, now pinned at the 0.7060 session low with RSI mid-40s. Price sits below the 0.7068 EMA zone after a string of lower highs; quiet ATR reflects pre-Fed wait-mode. Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.7060, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7060 opens the path to 0.7042
reclaim of the 0.7068 ema needed to neutralize the lower-highs sequence
Fed decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through late Asia, posting lower highs from 0.7079 down to a session low at 0.7059 as the hawkish RBA hold stays faded on China-growth drag. Price now coils in a tight 0.7059-0.7063 band below EMA20/50; RSI(14) flat near 42 with no reversal signal in play.
Support: 0.70594, 0.70601, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7059 opens the 0.7042 pivot
Reclaim of 0.7068 needed to challenge the lower-high chain
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the Fed decision (18:00 UTC) dominate the next sessions
AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.7079 session high through US hours and printed a chain of lower highs into Asia, pinned at 0.7060. RSI(14) near 40 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips — the last dozen bars are coiling in a tight 0.7060–0.7062 band.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70595 opens the path toward 0.7042
Reclaim of 0.70690 needed to break the lower-high chain
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant driver and could reshape this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session and into Asia, carving a chain of lower highs off 0.70790 and now flat-lining at the 0.70595 session low into the London open. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39; pair remains heavy ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70595 opens a path to 0.7050 then 0.7042
Reclaim of 0.70680 (ema20) neutralizes the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC ahead — material USD risk into the next sessions
AUDUSD topped at the 0.70792 swing high during the NY session and has carved a chain of lower highs since, drifting into the 0.70595 session low through the quiet Asia hours. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) sub-40; ATR has compressed to ~3 pips as the market waits.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70595 session low opens the 0.70500 round number
Reclaim of 0.70690 would break the lower-high chain
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant near-term driver
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into range low · RSI 42 · price 0.70607
Rolled off session high, pinned at range floor ~0.7060.
AUDUSD drifted off the session high at 0.70790 through the late session and is now pinned at the range floor near 0.70600, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. AUD stays heavy after the weak China retail sales miss, with the move structured as lower highs into the 0.7060 base.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7049
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70595 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.70490
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then the Fed decision 18:00 UTC dominate AUDUSD into the next session
Reclaim of 0.70680 would neutralise the lower-highs read
05:02 UTC
Drift lower, lower highs · RSI 40 · price 0.70614
Lower highs since NY top, fading into Asia.
AUDUSD topped at 0.70790 during the NY session and has bled lower through Asia to 0.70614, RSI(14) sub-40 with a lower-high chain intact. AUD stays heavy after the weak China retail sales miss and a faded hawkish RBA hold, churning just above the 0.70595 swing low.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70690 neutralises the lower-highs read
Failure to hold 0.70595 opens the 0.70500 round number
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant driver and could shift this read
Asia session has ground lower off the 0.70790 session high, printing a chain of lower highs into 0.70595 support, consistent with AUD staying heavy after the faded RBA hold and weak China data. RSI(14) sub-40 and price below EMA20/EMA50; range is compressing near the session low.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7054, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.7079
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70595 session low opens 0.70540 swing low then 0.70500 round number
Reclaim of 0.70690 lower high needed to neutralize the descending sequence
Wednesday's Fed decision later today is the dominant driver and can override this read
AUD faded from the 0.7079 session high to base around 0.7060 through thin Asia hours, price holding below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s — RBA's hawkish hold and weak China data still weighing. Sellers pressed the 0.70595 low twice but it held into the current low-volume bar.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70675, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70595 opens the path to 0.7050
Reclaim of 0.70675 needed to neutralize the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision later today is the dominant driver and could reshape this read
AUDUSD faded from the 0.70790 session high and is grinding lower in thin Asia trade, last 0.70606 with RSI(14) sub-45 and price below both EMAs. The pair stays heavy after the hawkish RBA hold was faded and weak China retail sales, with the 0.70595 session low repeatedly tested.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70595 opens the path to 0.70500
Reclaim of 0.70680 ema20 neutralizes the lower-high sequence
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant near-term risk for this read
04:31 UTC
Drifting lower, off session high · RSI 41 · price 0.70614
Lower highs into Asia, fading 0.70790 high.
AUDUSD topped at the 0.70790 session high during the London-NY window and has bled lower through Asia, printing lower highs into a 0.70595 session low. RSI(14) sits near 40 and price trades below EMA20/EMA50; AUD stays heavy after the faded hawkish RBA hold and weak China retail sales.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.7079
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70725 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.70595 opens 0.7050 then 0.7042
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and Wednesday's Fed dominate the next sessions
Lower highs since 0.7079, edging toward session low.
AUDUSD has stair-stepped lower from the 0.70790 window high through the Asia session, printing lower highs and now hovering just above the 0.70595 session low with RSI(14) in the low 40s. Price sits below EMA20/50 and the move stays heavy after the China retail miss kept AUD pinned. Wednesday's Fed is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70685, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70685 neutralizes the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70595 opens the path toward 0.70500
FOMC decision later this session could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, minor bounce · RSI 44 · price 0.70641
Lower highs, recent low holding.
Asia session has bled AUDUSD lower in a chain of lower highs from the 0.70792 swing, with the session low at 0.70595 holding and price bouncing to 0.70641. RSI sits mid-40s and ATR is thin at ~2.7 pips — quiet pre-London drift ahead of the dominant Fed catalyst, AUD still heavy on weak China data.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7068 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.70595 opens the 0.7042 floor
US Retail Sales (~8h) and FOMC later could materially reprice this read
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7079 session high through NY into Asia, carving lower highs and tagging 0.7060 before a shallow bounce to 0.7064. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the move stays heavy as the RBA hawkish hold continues to be faded into the Fed.
Support: 0.70601, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7060 opens 0.7050
Reclaim of 0.7069 swing high neutralizes the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision later today is the dominant driver and could reset this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 40 · price 0.70611
Lower highs into fresh session low.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the Asia session, printing lower highs off 0.70790 and breaking the 0.70650 floor to a fresh low at 0.70595. RSI(14) near 40 with no oversold extreme; supply capped repeatedly around 0.70690. Today's Fed decision is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70595 opens the path to 0.70500 then 0.70420
Reclaim of 0.70690 needed to break the lower-highs chain
FOMC decision later today could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, drifting to lows · RSI 38 · price 0.70611
Lower highs since NY, pressing range low.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.70790 session high through NY and Asia hours, printing lower highs and now grinding the 0.70595 range low. RSI(14) near 37, ATR a thin ~4 pips — a quiet pre-London drift with the Fed decision the dominant event later today.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050, 0.7045
Resistance: 0.70675, 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70595 opens the path to 0.70500
Reclaim of 0.70675 needed to neutralize the lower-highs drift
FOMC (Wed, 18:00 UTC) is the dominant driver and will reprice this read
Stair-step down off session high, testing recent low.
AUDUSD has bled lower from the 0.7079 session high through the Asia session, printing lower highs with RSI(14) cooling near 41 and price under both EMAs. It now sits on the 0.7060 session low; the broader 0.7042–0.7079 range remains the frame, consistent with the heavy AUD tone after the faded RBA hold and weak China data.
Support: 0.7060, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7060 opens the 0.7042 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7072 lower high needed to neutralise the down-drift
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant driver and can override this intraday read
AUDUSD has bled from the 0.70792 session high down to 0.7060 through the late session, carving lower highs with RSI(14) cooling near 38. AUD stays heavy after the faded RBA hold and weak China retail sales; price now sits on the session low at 0.70595.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70595 opens the path toward 0.7050 then 0.70417
Reclaim of 0.70680 would neutralise the lower-high slide
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Rolling over from session high · RSI 38 · price 0.70616
Lower highs, testing session low.
AUDUSD faded from the session high at 0.70792 and broke below the 0.70690 pivot during the Asia session, now pressing the session low at 0.70595 with RSI(14) sub-40. Price sits below EMA20/50 as the lower-high chain extends.
Support: 0.70595, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70690 neutralizes the lower-high read
Failure to hold 0.70595 opens 0.70545 then 0.70417
Fed decision later today is the dominant driver and could reset this read
03:31 UTC
Rolling over from session high, momentum down · RSI 39 · price 0.70616
Lower highs, pressing recent lows after rejection at 0.70792.
AUDUSD rejected the 0.70792 session high and has bled lower through Asia hours, now pressing 0.70595 with RSI(14) near 39. Sequence of lower highs intact, price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.70595, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.70792
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70595 opens 0.70545 then the 0.70417 range low
Reclaim of 0.70725 needed to neutralize the lower-highs structure
FOMC decision later today is the dominant driver and can reset this read
03:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 37 · price 0.70598
Lower-highs into Asia, holding mid-range.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the Asia session off the 0.70790 swing high, slipping under the 0.7065 floor that capped NY to print 0.70598 near the 0.5 retracement of the prior leg up. RSI(14) cooling toward 37; range top respected as price churns the lower half of the 0.70595-0.70790 band into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70595 opens 0.7050 then the 0.70417 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70725 neutralizes the lower-high sequence
FOMC (Wed, 18:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver
03:16 UTC
Uptrend faded, rolling over · RSI 39 · price 0.70598
Lower highs off 0.7079 session top.
AUDUSD topped at 0.7079 during the NY session and has since rounded over, printing lower highs and slipping to a fresh session low at 0.70595 in thin Asian hours. RSI(14) near 39 with price below EMA20/50 confirms momentum has rolled lower; the move sits just under the 50% retrace of the 0.7042-0.7079 leg.
Support: 0.70595, 0.7050, 0.70416
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.70792
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70416 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
Reclaim of 0.70725 neutralizes the lower-highs structure
FOMC decision later today is the dominant driver and can reset this read
AUDUSD has rolled off the session high at 0.70790 and is now pressing the range base at 0.70616, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s in thin pre-London trade. Price sits below both EMAs after a steady Asia-session drift; the post-RBA bounce remains capped under 0.70790.
Support: 0.70616, 0.70545, 0.70486
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70616 opens 0.70545 then 0.70486
Reclaim of 0.70730 would put the session high back in play
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant driver and could override this range
03:01 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 42 · price 0.70622
Lower highs off 0.7079, easing toward range floor.
AUDUSD rallied off 0.7042 to a session high at 0.7079, then faded through Asia hours and now trades 0.7062 below EMA20/50 as RSI(14) cools to ~42. Sequence of lower highs into the 0.7060 round number with the 0.7079 high unchallenged; price churning the lower half of the 0.7042-0.7079 range.
Support: 0.7060, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7060 exposes the 0.7042 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7069 needed to neutralise the lower-highs sequence
Wed FOMC plus US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) can override this intraday read
02:46 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 41 · price 0.7064
Range, lower highs into Asia.
AUDUSD churned in a 0.7042–0.7079 band after the hawkish RBA hold was faded; price slid from the 0.70792 session high to 0.7064 through the Asian session, posting lower highs with RSI(14) near 41. No setup in play — range top respected, current bar pressing the lower-half pivot.
Support: 0.70634, 0.70417, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7042 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 0.7000
Reclaim of 0.70792 neutralises the lower-highs sequence
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC later today dominate the next sessions
02:46 UTC
Ranging, mild drift lower · RSI 44 · price 0.7064
Intraday range, lower highs late.
AUDUSD churning the 0.7064-0.7079 band through the Asia session after a London-NY push to 0.70792 stalled and faded. Price sits back at 0.7064 near the 50% retrace of the prior up-leg, RSI(14) mid-40s with price under both EMAs — no setup in play.
Support: 0.7050, 0.70417, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7050 opens the 0.7042 pivot
Close back above 0.70792 reclaims the session high
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can reset this read
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.7042 swing low to a session high of 0.7079 through London-NY, but has since stalled and is now churning mid-range near 0.7067 on thin Asia-session volume. RSI(14) sits flat near 44 with no momentum signal; the post-RBA heaviness keeps price capped well below the highs ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.7050, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 reopens the path toward 0.7090
Loss of 0.7050 reopens the 0.7042 swing low
FOMC decision (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could override this range
02:31 UTC
Ranging, flat momentum · RSI 47 · price 0.7067
Consolidation near range mid.
Asian session churning around 0.7067 after fading the 0.70792 session high set during NY hours. Price holding above the 0.7065 range low; RSI(14) flat near 47 and ATR(14) ~10 pips reflect thin Asian liquidity. No setup in play between 0.7065 and 0.70792.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7065 opens the 0.70417 swing low and the 0.7042 psych level
Reclaiming the 0.70792 session high needed to revive upside
Fed decision (18:00 UTC) dominates the week and could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.70671
Consolidation off the session high.
Thin Asian-session trade: AUDUSD is coiling around 0.7067 after the rally from 0.70417 stalled at the 0.70792 session high. Price is holding the 38.2% retrace near 0.7065 with RSI flat near 47 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.70647, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.70719, 0.70792
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70647 opens the path back toward 0.70600
Reclaim of 0.70719 puts the 0.70792 session high back in play
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC under Warsh (18:00 UTC) can materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 47 · price 0.70671
Consolidation under session high.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7065-0.7079 through the NY-Asia transition, volume thinning to near zero on the latest bars. The earlier recovery off 0.7042 stalled at the 0.7079 session high and price has since drifted sideways; AUD stays heavy after the faded RBA hawkish hold. No setup in play in thin Asia hours.
Support: 0.70647, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70792, 0.7072
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 reopens the session-high break
Loss of 0.70647 reasserts the move back toward 0.7042
FOMC (Warsh's first) at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that can reset this read
02:01 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.70673
Intraday range after NY push, drifting in Asia.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7065-0.7079 in a quiet Asia session after the NY leg up to 0.7079 stalled; RSI(14) neutral near 49 and price pinned around EMA20. AUD stays heavy on the faded RBA hold and soft China data, with the move now consolidating ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 reopens the upside; loss of 0.70650 confirms a lower low toward 0.70417
FOMC decision (Warsh's first) later today is a major catalyst that could break this range
02:01 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.70673
Range-bound after intraday rebound.
AUDUSD recovered from the early dip to 0.70417 and stalled, now coiling 0.70646–0.70790 in thin late-Asian trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range and price hugs the EMAs — no directional impulse, with the broader tape on the back foot after the faded RBA hold.
Support: 0.70646, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70640 opens the path back toward 0.70417
Reclaim of 0.70790 needed to extend the intraday rebound
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) this week is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
01:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.70684
Range-bound in Asian session.
AUDUSD is grinding sideways in a tight 0.7063-0.7072 Asian range on thin volume, sitting on the EMA20 after fading from the 0.70792 session high. Price stalled after the post-RBA dip to 0.70417 was retraced, with no fresh impulse into the European handover.
Support: 0.70634, 0.70576
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.70792
What it said to watch
Break above 0.70720 reopens the 0.70792 session high
Loss of 0.70634 exposes the 0.70576 swing low
FOMC decision (Warsh's first, 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 48 · price 0.70684
Consolidating below 0.7079 session high.
AUDUSD rallied off the 0.70417 swing low into a 0.70790 session high during the prior NY session, then settled into a tight 0.7065–0.7079 range through Asia hours. Price now sits mid-range near 0.70684, RSI neutral around 48 with no momentum edge.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 reopens the upside; close below 0.7065 confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the upcoming FOMC decision could materially break this range
01:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower late · RSI 46 · price 0.70671
Balanced range, mid-range now.
AUDUSD is grinding sideways in thin Asia-session liquidity between 0.70634 and 0.70790 after the London-NY push to 0.70790 stalled. Price sits mid-range at 0.70671, RSI(14) flat near 46; the deeper unwind narrative since the RBA hold remains, but the chart shows no setup until the range breaks.
Support: 0.70647, 0.70634
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 reopens the upper range; loss of 0.70634 confirms a lower-low
FOMC under new Chair Warsh this week is the dominant catalyst and could override this range read
01:31 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 49 · price 0.70671
Tight range after intraday pullback.
AUDUSD is grinding sideways in the 0.70640-0.70720 band through the quiet Asia session, RSI(14) flat near 50 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips. Price sits just under EMA20/50 after the earlier rejection at the 0.70790 session high; no setup in play.
Support: 0.7064, 0.7057, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70720 reopens the 0.70790 session high
Loss of 0.70640 exposes the 0.70570 prior low
FOMC (Warsh debut) later this week can break this range read
01:16 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 49 · price 0.70686
Consolidation in upper third of range.
Thin Asia session chop, AUDUSD pinned 0.7065–0.7072 after fading from the 0.7079 session high. Price holding the 0.382 retrace of the prior intraday rally; RSI flat near 50, no setup in play.
Support: 0.70647, 0.70486
Resistance: 0.70719, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 reopens the upside leg
Loss of 0.70647 exposes 0.70486 london low
FOMC (Warsh debut) at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this range
01:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.70686
Consolidation inside intraday range.
AUDUSD faded from the session high at 0.70790 and has gone quiet through the Asia session, drifting in a tight 0.70630-0.70720 range on thin volume with RSI(14) parked near 51. Price holds a shallow retrace of the prior intraday up-leg, sitting just above the fib 38.2 at 0.70649.
Support: 0.7063, 0.70649, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70720 reopens the session high at 0.70790
Loss of 0.70630 session low exposes the deeper 0.70417 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC can override this range read
01:02 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 45 · price 0.70676
Consolidation under session high.
AUDUSD is chopping in a 0.70650–0.70792 band through the Asia session on thin volume, with price pinned just under the EMA20 near 0.70685. The 0.70792 range high capped the prior NY push; the 0.70454 day low marks the broader floor. No setup in play.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.70685, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70792 invalidates the range read
Loss of 0.70650 opens the path back to 0.70454
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and will override this intraday read
01:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.70676
Tight consolidation after NY rally faded.
AUDUSD rallied to 0.70792 in the NY session then drifted back, settling into a tight 0.70640-0.70700 range through thin Asian-hours liquidity. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with price pinned around EMA20; no setup in play.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7070, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70700 reopens the path to the 0.70792 NY high
Loss of 0.70640 exposes deeper retrace toward the 0.70417 window low
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the dominant USD-side catalysts ahead
00:46 UTC
Ranging after intraday recovery · RSI 52 · price 0.70681
Consolidation mid-range, flat micro-swings.
NY recovered AUDUSD off the 0.7045 swing low up to a 0.70792 session high, then handed into a quiet Asia session pinned in a 0.70625–0.7075 range. Price now sits mid-range near EMA20 with RSI flat around 52 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips — no directional setup in play, broader tone still soft post-RBA and weak China data.
Support: 0.70625, 0.7045
Resistance: 0.7075, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70792 breaks the range top
Close below 0.70625 opens a retest of 0.7045 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC (USD-side) can reset this range
AUDUSD chopping in a thin Asia session, holding 0.7063–0.7079 after the NY push to 0.70792 faded. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and price is hugging EMA20; no setup in play while the range holds.
Support: 0.70631, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.70792, 0.7074
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70792 reopens the upside test
Break below 0.70631 confirms a lower-low into the window low at 0.70454
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts ahead — likely to override this range
00:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 0.70681
Consolidation inside session range.
AUDUSD ground sideways in 0.7065-0.7072 through the thin Asia hours after rejecting the 0.70792 session high earlier; pair pinned sub-0.71 with AUD soft post-RBA. No setup in play, RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 0.7063, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70792 reopens upside toward 0.7080s
Break below 0.7063 exposes the 0.70454 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC dominate the next session
00:31 UTC
Range, drifting sideways · RSI 49 · price 0.70681
Consolidation inside Asian range.
AUDUSD is ranging tightly between 0.70634 and 0.70790 through a thin Asian session after the London-NY drift lower. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 49 with price pinned around its EMAs; no setup in play ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.70634, 0.70496
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7073
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 reopens the upper range
Loss of 0.70634 puts 0.70496 swing low in focus
FOMC (18:00 UTC, Warsh debut) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
00:16 UTC
Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.70682
Tight Asian range after rejection at session high.
AUDUSD pushed to a 0.70792 session high during NY hours then faded, and has since coiled into a tight 0.7065–0.7070 Asian range on thin volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with price hugging EMA20; AUD stays soft sub-0.7100 after the in-line RBA hold and weak China data.
Support: 0.70634, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70792, 0.7074
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70634 confirms a lower low and reopens the 0.7042 range low
Reclaim of 0.70792 session high needed to revive the prior uptrend
FOMC this week is the dominant USD-side risk for the next sessions
00:16 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 0.70682
Consolidation inside NY session range.
NY session pushed to 0.7079 before fading, and the thin Asian session has gone sideways between 0.7063 and 0.7070 with RSI(14) sitting mid-range near 49. No setup in play — price coiling just under EMA20/50 ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.70634, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70792 reopens the session high
Break below 0.70634 exposes the 0.70417 swing low
FOMC decision this week could materially shift this read
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7042-0.7079, now sitting mid-range at 0.7065 in thin Asian-session trade with RSI flat near 46. The push to 0.7079 was rejected and price has slid back below EMA20/50; no setup in play.
Support: 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7070, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70700 reopens the 0.70792 range high
Loss of 0.70545 exposes the 0.70417 range low
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) later this week could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 44 · price 0.70647
Intraday range, mid-range chop.
AUDUSD drifting in a tight 0.7064–0.7070 band through the low-volume Asian hours, capped by the 0.7079 session high and basing above the 0.70617 swing low. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI neutral near 44 — no setup in play, broader range 0.70417–0.7079.
Support: 0.70617, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70733, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 breaks the session high and opens the range top
Loss of 0.70617 reopens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC this week (Warsh's first decision) is the dominant USD-side driver and can override this range read