AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 16 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 49 · price 0.70682
Choppy range, mid-range in thin Asia.
AUDUSD drifting around 0.7068 in a thin Asia session, boxed between the 0.7079 session high and the 0.7065 swing low. RSI(14) flat near 49 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no setup in play with the pair pinned sub-0.7100 after the RBA hold.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70725
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 session high opens the path back toward 0.7140
Loss of 0.7065 swing low reopens 0.70545 and the 0.70417 range low
FOMC this week (USD-side) could materially shift this read
23:46 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 47 · price 0.70682
Consolidation after recovery off 0.70417 low.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.70417 dip to a 0.7079 session high before fading back to 0.7068, now coiling in a tight 0.7065–0.7073 band on thin Asia-session volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46, price below both EMAs — no momentum either way.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 reopens upside attempts
Loss of 0.7065 range floor exposes 0.70417 swing low
FOMC this week is the dominant USD-side risk for the next sessions
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7065–0.7079 after recovering from the 0.70417 London low; the late Asia session is thin and drifting higher on minimal volume. RSI(14) sits near 53 with no extreme — no setup in play.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 breaks the range top
Loss of 0.70650 reopens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) this week could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.70693
Consolidation after recovery off session low.
AUDUSD is ranging near 0.7069 in thin Asian-session trade after recovering from the 0.70417 session low and stalling below the 0.7079 high. Volume has dried up and the last few hours show no directional structure ahead of midweek Fed risk.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 reopens the upper range
Break below 0.70650 sets up a retest of the 0.70417 session low
FOMC this week could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 0.7069
Consolidation inside session range.
AUDUSD is grinding in a tight 0.7065–0.7079 band through thin Asian-session volume, holding just above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 53. Buyers defended 0.7065 after the dip to 0.7041 earlier in the window; no setup in play.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7041
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 opens the path toward 0.7090
Loss of 0.7065 reopens the 0.7041 swing low
FOMC mid-week is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
23:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.7069
Consolidation under session high.
AUDUSD is pinned in a tight Asia-session range around 0.7069, volume thinning out after rejection at the 0.7079 session high. Pair stays soft sub-0.7100 following the in-line RBA hold and weak China data; no setup in play between 0.7065 and 0.7079.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7074
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 breaks the session high and opens 0.7100
Loss of 0.7065 exposes the 0.7060 swing low
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) this week is the dominant USD catalyst and could override this range
23:02 UTC
Ranging, no directional bias · RSI 49 · price 0.70676
Balanced range, thin Asia liquidity.
AUDUSD ranging 0.7064-0.7079 with volume collapsing into the late NY-Asia transition; price hugging EMA20/50 near 0.7068. Move off the 0.70417 window low stalled at 0.7079 and has drifted back to mid-range, RSI flat near 49. Broader AUD tone stays soft sub-0.7100 but this window shows no setup.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 would break the session range higher
Loss of 0.70640 opens 0.70545 then the window low
US Retail Sales today and Wed FOMC are the dominant USD catalysts
23:01 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.70676
Intraday range, mid-range drift.
AUDUSD is grinding sideways through the Asia session between 0.70625 and 0.70790, volume thinning into the close with no clean direction. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 and price hugs both EMAs after the earlier bounce off 0.70417; the move stalled below the 0.70790 session high.
Support: 0.70625, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7074, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 reopens the session high break
Loss of 0.70625 turns focus to 0.70545 swing low
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) this week is the dominant USD catalyst and can reshape this range
22:46 UTC
Ranging, recovered off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.70689
Consolidation in upper half of session range.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.70417 window low to a 0.7079 session high, now coiling in a tight 0.7065-0.7069 range on thin Asian-hours volume. RSI(14) neutral near 53; pair pinned sub-0.7100 after the in-line RBA hold and soft China data. No setup in play.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7062, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 reopens the session high
Loss of 0.7065 exposes 0.7062 then the 0.70417 low
FOMC mid-week is the dominant USD-side risk for this pair
22:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 50 · price 0.70689
Consolidation after recovery off session low.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.70625–0.70725 into thin Asia-session volume after recovering from the 0.70417 session low to a 0.70790 high. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with no momentum; no setup in play.
Support: 0.70625, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 (session high) opens continuation higher
Loss of 0.70625 range floor reopens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC (Warsh debut) Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.70669
Tight consolidation after rejection at 0.7079.
AUDUSD rejected the 0.7079 session high and has compressed into a tight 0.7063–0.7072 range through the quiet Asian session, volume drying up near 0.7067. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI flat near 44 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.70625
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70790 negates the rejection and reopens the upside
Break below 0.70625 confirms continuation lower
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term driver
22:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.70669
Consolidating after London-low recovery.
Thin Asian-session trade with AUDUSD pinned in a 0.70640–0.70680 micro-range after recovering off the London low at 0.70417 and stalling under 0.70790. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 and price hugs both EMAs; no setup in play.
Support: 0.7064, 0.7049, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70720 reopens the 0.70790 session high
Loss of 0.70640 exposes the 0.70490 swing low
Fed decision (Warsh debut) Wed 18:00 GMT will drive USD and could reset this read
AUDUSD recovered from the session low at 0.70417 to tag 0.70790, then rolled back into a tight 0.70625–0.70735 band; thin late-NY/early-Asia volume has it pinned near 0.70665 with RSI neutral. The broader tone stays soft sub-0.7100 after the faded RBA hold and weak China data, with USD held into the FOMC.
Support: 0.70625, 0.7049, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70735, 0.7079
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70625 reopens session low at 0.70417
Reclaim of 0.70735 needed to retest 0.70790 session high
FOMC this week (USD-side) could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Sideways, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 0.70665
Range-bound, intraday rally faded.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.70417 dip to print a session high at 0.70790 before fading; price now hovers near 0.70665 in thin Asia-session trade. Sub-0.7100 tone persists after the faded RBA hold and weak China data, with the pair coiling between 0.70625 and 0.70730.
Support: 0.70625, 0.70478, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70790 reopens the upside; failure to hold 0.70625 confirms a lower-low
FOMC (Warsh debut) Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD retraced off the NY session high at 0.70790 and is grinding sideways near 0.70670 in thin late/Asia liquidity. Pair stays pinned sub-0.7100 on the soft RBA-and-China backdrop; no directional setup with volume drying up.
Support: 0.70625, 0.70496, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70625 reopens the 0.70496 session low
M15 close above 0.70790 negates the range read
FOMC (Warsh's debut) Wed 18:00 GMT could overhaul this read
22:01 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower in Asia · RSI 44 · price 0.70674
Consolidation in lower half after recovery faded.
London/NY recovered AUDUSD off the 0.70417 low to 0.70790 before fading back through the session. Asia hours are quiet and thin, pinning price in a 0.70625–0.70720 range below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.70625, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70625 reopens the 0.70417 window low
Reclaim of 0.70790 needed to negate the faded recovery
FOMC this week (USD-side) could materially shift this read
21:46 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 0.70634
Lower highs after 0.7079 peak, holding lower half of 24h range.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7079 session high and is grinding sideways near 0.7063 in thin Asia-session volume, RSI(14) mid-40s. The broader 24h band held 0.7042–0.7079; price sits in the lower half with lower highs printing since the peak.
Support: 0.70617, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7074, 0.70792
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70617 exposes the 0.70417 day low
Reclaim of 0.70740 needed to negate the lower-highs sequence
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) this week is the defining catalyst for USD and could override intraday structure
AUDUSD recovered from a 0.70417 session low to 0.70790 through the NY hours, then stalled and drifted back toward 0.70625 on thin late-session volume. Price now sits mid-range below EMA20/50, RSI(14) neutral near 44 — no setup in play with FOMC ahead.
Support: 0.70625, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70685, 0.7079
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70625 opens the path back to 0.70417 session low
Reclaim of 0.70790 needed to resume the recovery
FOMC this week (USD-side) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD pushed to 0.70790 in the NY session before fading, and is now drifting in a tight 0.7064–0.7068 band on thin Asian-session volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 45 with price back below both EMAs after the pullback. AUD stays soft into the Fed decision, with the broader read still sub-0.7100.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70735, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 negates the NY rejection
Loss of 0.70640 reopens the 0.70417 london low
FOMC (Warsh debut) this week could override this range read
21:31 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 46 · price 0.70676
Lower highs off session high, holding above 0.7064.
AUDUSD rejected the session high at 0.7079 and faded back into a tight 0.7064–0.7068 range during thin late-session/Asia hours, RSI(14) flat near 46. Pair stays soft sub-0.7100 after the in-line RBA hold and weak China data.
Support: 0.70646, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7064 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.7042
Reclaim of 0.7079 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) is the defining USD catalyst this week and can override this range
21:16 UTC
Rolling over from intraday highs · RSI 43 · price 0.70657
Range, slipping toward base into Asia open.
AUDUSD rolled off the 0.70792 session high and is drifting to 0.70650 into the Asia open on thin late-session volume, with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. AUD stays soft after the RBA hold and weak China data; price now probing the lower edge of the 0.70650–0.70790 range.
AUDUSD rejected the 0.7079 intraday high and has drifted back to 0.7065 into the Asia open on thin late-session volume, RSI cooling toward mid-40s. Pair remains pinned sub-0.7100 after the in-line RBA hold and weak China data; ranging 0.7064–0.7079 with no clean structure in play.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7064 session low opens 0.70545
Reclaim of 0.70790 intraday high needed to negate the lower drift
FOMC this week is the defining USD-side catalyst
21:03 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.70664
Range-bound, lower highs since 0.7079.
AUDUSD ranged 0.7065–0.7079 through the NY session after the 0.7079 high was rejected; price has drifted back to 0.7066 with RSI neutral near 44. Volume thinning into the Asia transition, no setup in play.
Support: 0.70646, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70646 session low opens 0.70545 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70725 minor swing needed to re-test 0.70792 session high
FOMC and US Retail Sales due in the next session could materially shift this read
21:02 UTC
Range, edging lower late · RSI 44 · price 0.70664
Pullback from session high within intraday range.
AUDUSD rallied off the 0.70417 session low to 0.70790 through NY hours, then faded back to 0.70660 on the Asia open as volume thinned. RSI(14) near 44, price slipping under EMA20/50 — ranging between 0.70646 and 0.70790 with no clean break in play.
Support: 0.70646, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7073, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70646 opens the path to 0.70545
Reclaim of 0.70790 session high revives the upside leg
Recovery off 0.70417 stalled, fading from 0.70790.
AUD/USD topped at 0.70790 during NY hours then faded, now drifting into thin late-session trade around 0.70655 — the 38.2% retrace of the 0.70417–0.70790 leg, sitting just above session-low support at 0.70640. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme; volume drying up into the Asia transition.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70640 session low exposes the 0.70417 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70725 prior high needed to re-engage upside
US Retail Sales and FOMC (Jun 17) could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 43 · price 0.70655
Ranging 0.7065–0.7079, recent lower highs.
AUDUSD spent the NY session boxed between 0.7065 and 0.7079, with supply capping repeatedly at the 0.7079 session high. Price is now drifting toward the range floor into the late session, RSI near 42, AUD soft after the faded RBA hold and weak China data keep it pinned sub-0.7100.
Support: 0.70646, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70545 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 0.70790 needed to re-test the session high
US Retail Sales and FOMC in the next session could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 0.7066
Intraday range, pullback from 0.7079.
AUDUSD drifted back to 0.7066 after repeated rejection at the 0.7079 session high, with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Price is mid-range between 0.7042 and 0.7079, no setup in play as the late-NY session quietens ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC.
Support: 0.7050, 0.7042, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 reopens the 0.7090 swing high
Failure to hold 0.7050 puts the 0.7042 session low back in play
US Retail Sales and FOMC later this week could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Range, fading from session high · RSI 44 · price 0.7066
Intraday range, lower highs forming late.
AUDUSD faded off the session high at 0.7079 back to 0.7066, RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s and price slipping under both EMAs. Pair stays pinned sub-0.7100 after the in-line RBA hold and soft China data; the late slide marks the first lower high of the NY session.
Support: 0.70646, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70758
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70646 confirms a lower low and opens 0.70454
Reclaim of 0.70790 negates the lower-high read
FOMC/US Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read
AUDUSD rallied off the 0.70417 session low to 0.70790 before stalling, and is now drifting back toward the range mid near 0.70650 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Rejection at 0.70790 capped the move; price slipped back under the 0.70680 micro-pivot in the last hour as AUD stays soft into the Fed week.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70790 reasserts the session high
Break below 0.70545 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC decision this week could materially shift this read via USD
20:16 UTC
Rangebound, softening late · RSI 41 · price 0.70652
Recovered off session low, now slipping back inside range.
AUDUSD clawed back from the 0.70417 session low to a 0.70790 session high during NY hours, then stalled and drifted to 0.7065 — roughly the 38.2% retrace of that recovery. RSI(14) cooling near 41 as price slips back into the range; downside soft after weak China data and a faded RBA hold keep the pair pinned.
Support: 0.70502, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7073
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70502 swing low reopens the 0.70417 session low
Reclaim of 0.70790 session high needed to resume the recovery
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) this week could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 42 · price 0.70655
Rejection at 0.70790, range breaking lower.
AUDUSD faded off the NY session high at 0.70790 and has broken below the tight 0.7070–0.7078 consolidation into the late session. RSI(14) cooling near 42 as price tests the 0.70650 recent low; AUD stays soft after the RBA hold and weak China data, with the Fed decision the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70725
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70650 opens path toward the 0.70417 day low
Reclaim of 0.70790 session high negates the pullback
FOMC this week could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Ranging, edging lower late NY · RSI 43 · price 0.70655
Range 0.7065–0.7079, slipping toward lower edge.
AUDUSD has chopped sideways through the late NY session, capped at 0.70790 and now sliding off 0.70725 toward the 0.70650 range floor. RSI(14) near 43 with ATR around 3 pips — quiet, no clean setup as the market waits on the Fed.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70650 opens the 0.70545 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70790 needed to negate the recent rejection
FOMC decision ~22h out could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after bounce off day low.
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.70454 day low and capped at 0.70792, now drifting back toward range support around 0.70684 as the late-session bid fades. Sits between EMAs, momentum flat with RSI near 44; the pair holds the 0.7068–0.7079 box ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.
Support: 0.70684, 0.70651, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.70792, 0.70735
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70650 reopens the path toward the 0.70454 day low
Reclaim of 0.70792 needed to neutralise the rejection
Wed FOMC + US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Rangebound, drifting to range low · RSI 45 · price 0.70688
NY recovery stalling, consolidation.
London sold AUDUSD to 0.70454 before NY recovered to a 0.70790 session high, where it was rejected; price has since faded back to the 0.7068 range low in late NY. AUD stays heavy sub-0.7100 after the RBA hawkish hold was faded and weak China data, with FOMC the dominant catalyst ahead.
Support: 0.7068, 0.70641, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.70715, 0.7079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70680 reopens the 0.70454 session low
Reclaim of 0.70790 session high needed to revive the recovery
FOMC (Warsh) decision this week can materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Recovery stalling into consolidation · RSI 48 · price 0.70722
Coiling below session high after London-low bounce.
NY session rallied off the London low at 0.70417 to a session high of 0.70792, then faded into late-session consolidation around 0.7072. RSI(14) neutral near 48 with price pinned to EMA20; pair coiling between 0.7070 and 0.7079 as the broader AUD tone stays heavy sub-0.7100.
Support: 0.7070, 0.70651, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70744, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7070 reopens the 0.70651 then 0.70417 lows
Reclaim of 0.70792 needed to extend the recovery
FOMC (Warsh's first) this week is the dominant USD catalyst for this read
19:31 UTC
Recovery stalled, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.70722
Consolidation after bounce off session low.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.70454 London session low up to 0.7079, where supply capped it, and has since coiled tightly between 0.7068 and 0.7077 through late NY. Momentum flat with RSI near 52; no setup in play ahead of the FOMC catalyst.
Support: 0.70684, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70775
What it said to watch
FOMC (Warsh's first) Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70790 reopens the upside; failure to hold 0.70684 exposes the session low at 0.70454
19:16 UTC
Sideways, range-bound late session · RSI 48 · price 0.70717
Consolidation after recovery off 0.7042 lows.
Late NY hours, AUDUSD coiling in a tight 0.7068-0.7079 band after recovering off the 0.7042 session low; RSI(14) flat near 47, volume thinning. Pair sits below the 0.7100 cap that held all week with FOMC the dominant catalyst ahead.
Support: 0.70684, 0.70617, 0.70546
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7080
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 reopens the path toward 0.7100
Loss of 0.70684 reopens the 0.7060-0.7055 zone
FOMC (Warsh) Wed 18:00 UTC will override this intraday read
19:16 UTC
Recovered, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.70717
Consolidation in upper range after bounce off session low.
AUDUSD recovered off the session low at 0.70417 to tag 0.70790 during NY hours, then settled into a tight consolidation around 0.7072. Price is now drifting flat between 0.70680 and the 0.70790 session high with RSI near neutral; AUD stays heavy into FOMC after the faded RBA hold.
Support: 0.7068, 0.7064
Resistance: 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC (Warsh) this week is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
Loss of 0.70680 reopens the move toward 0.70640 support
M15 close above 0.70790 session high needed to extend the recovery
19:02 UTC
Ranging after intraday recovery · RSI 52 · price 0.70722
Consolidation between 0.7065 and 0.7079.
AUDUSD is consolidating 0.7065–0.7079 into the NY close after recovering from the 0.7042 session low. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with ranges compressed to roughly 5 pips; FOMC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 opens the path back to the 0.7100 cap
Loss of 0.7065 reopens the 0.7042 session low
FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.70722
Consolidation under session high.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.70417 low through the London-NY session and tagged 0.70792 before stalling; price now drifts sideways near 0.70720 into late NY with RSI(14) flat around 49. Range between the 0.70684 swing low and the 0.70792 session high, no setup in play.
Support: 0.70684, 0.70569, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70792, 0.7090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70792 reopens the path to the 0.7090 cap
Loss of 0.70684 reopens the 0.70569 session low
FOMC (Warsh's first) and US Retail Sales this week are the dominant USD catalysts and could shift this read
18:46 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 47 · price 0.70707
Consolidation near top of NY recovery range.
NY session bounced off the 0.70417 low and pushed to a repeated 0.70790 cap, now consolidating 0.7065-0.7079 and drifting lower into late session, price slipping back below EMA20. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 opens the path back toward the 0.7100 cap
Break below 0.70650 reopens the 0.7040 session low
FOMC (Warsh) tomorrow is the dominant USD catalyst and can shift this read
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.70417 session low to a 0.70792 high through NY hours, then stalled and is consolidating around 0.7070 with RSI(14) flat near 48. Price sits just under EMA20 but holds above EMA50; the 0.70792 session high caps for now.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70792, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70792 reopens the path to the 0.7100 psych cap
Loss of 0.70650 swing low exposes the 0.70417 session low
FOMC (Warsh) and US Retail Sales on Jun 17 are the dominant USD catalysts that could shift this read
18:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.70721
Ranging near intraday highs after V-recovery.
AUDUSD slid to 0.70417 mid-window then recovered through the London-NY session to print a 0.70790 session high; price now ranges 0.70684-0.70790 with RSI flat near 50 and ATR thin at ~4 pips. The broader AUD tone stays heavy sub-0.7100, but the intraday read is a stalled consolidation under the highs.
Support: 0.70684, 0.7064
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7077
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70684 opens the path back toward 0.70640
Reclaim of 0.70790 needed to extend the recovery
FOMC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.70417 session low after soft China retail sales and now grinds in a 0.70680-0.70790 range through NY hours, RSI neutral. Price sits just under EMA20 with no momentum, holding above the recovery EMA50.
Support: 0.7068, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70790 session high opens path toward the 0.71000 cap
Loss of 0.70680 range floor reopens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.7042 session low after the soft China retail sales print and ground back to a 0.7079 high, where it was rejected. Price now coils around 0.7072 between 0.7068 and 0.7079, RSI(14) flat near 51 — no momentum either way.
Support: 0.7068, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 reopens the path toward the 0.7100 cap
Loss of 0.7068 puts the 0.7042 session low back in play
FOMC (Warsh) this week is the dominant catalyst and can shift this read
18:16 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 47 · price 0.70718
Consolidation under 0.7079 after recovery from 0.7042.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.7042 session low to tag 0.7079 during NY hours, then stalled and is now ranging 0.7068–0.7079 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price slipped back below EMA20 in the late session as the recovery momentum faded.
Support: 0.70684, 0.70617, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.7074, 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70684 opens the path back to 0.70617
Reclaim of 0.70792 needed to extend the recovery
FOMC (Warsh) tomorrow is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this range
18:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 51 · price 0.7072
Consolidation below session high after bounce from 0.7042.
AUDUSD recovered through the London-NY hours from the 0.70417 low to a 0.70792 cap, with AUD broadly heavy after the faded RBA hold. Price is now consolidating in the 0.7068-0.7079 band, drifting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 51 — rejection has held the session high twice.
Support: 0.70684, 0.7054, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70792 needed to extend the recovery
Failure to hold 0.70684 reopens the 0.7054 session low
US Retail Sales and FOMC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts for the next sessions
18:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.7072
Consolidation under 0.7079 after bounce from 0.7042.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.7042 session low during the NY session and is now chopping in a tight 0.7068-0.7079 band, with price idling around EMA20. Move follows AUD weakness on soft China retail sales and a faded RBA hawkish hold; momentum is neutral with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.7068, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 reopens the 0.7100 cap
Loss of 0.7068 puts the 0.7042 session low back in play
FOMC (Warsh) this week is the dominant USD catalyst and could override this range
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.70417 session low through the NY session but stalled twice at 0.70792, now drifting back to 0.7071 below EMA20. Price is consolidating mid-range as the post-RBA/soft-China softness keeps a lid near 0.7100; ATR sits around 4 pips.
Support: 0.70684, 0.70546, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70792, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70792 reopens the 0.7100 cap
Failure to hold 0.70684 reopens 0.70546 / 0.70417
US Retail Sales (~19h) and FOMC (~24h) are the dominant catalysts
NY session reclaimed ground off the 0.70417 low back to the 0.70792 session high, where price stalled and is now consolidating in a tight 0.70680-0.70790 band. RSI(14) flat near 46, USD holding firm into FOMC keeps the recovery capped.
Support: 0.7068, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70792
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70680 reopens downside toward the 0.70545 area
Reclaim of 0.70792 needed to extend the recovery
FOMC (Warsh) this week is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Ranging near session highs after bounce from 0.7042.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.7042 intraday low and is now ranging 0.7068-0.7079 through the NY session, RSI(14) flat near 50. Price sits mid-range with no momentum extension; FOMC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.7068, 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7085
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70790 opens a retest of the 0.7085 cap
Failure to hold 0.70680 reopens the 0.7065 session low
FOMC (Warsh's first) tomorrow could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after V-recovery.
AUDUSD bottomed at the 0.70417 session low during the European session then recovered to retest the 0.70792 session high, where supply capped the move. NY hours now see it consolidating in a tight 0.70680-0.70790 band with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR compressed around 5 pips.
Support: 0.7068, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70792 extends the recovery; failure leaves the range intact
Loss of 0.70680 reopens the path toward the 0.70417 session low
FOMC (Warsh) decision this week is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
AUDUSD rebounded off the 0.7042 NY session low and has gone quiet, coiling 0.7068-0.7079 with RSI near neutral and ATR compressed to ~6 pips. Price sits just above EMA20/50; no momentum either way into the FOMC catalyst.
Support: 0.7068, 0.70417, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.70792, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 opens a retest of the 0.7100 cap
Loss of 0.7068 reopens the 0.7042 session low
FOMC + US Retail Sales tomorrow is the dominant catalyst for this read
AUDUSD bottomed at 0.70417 mid-window then ground higher through NY hours back to the 0.7079 session high, which capped repeatedly. Price now consolidating in the 0.7072-0.7079 band with RSI(14) neutral near 52; the broader AUD-heavy tone caps rallies but intraday demand has held the recovery for now.
Support: 0.70651, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7079 opens room back toward 0.7090 cap
Loss of 0.70651 swing low reopens the downside toward 0.70417
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver for AUD/USD
17:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.70722
Consolidating below session high after a V-recovery from 0.7042.
AUDUSD bounced from the 0.7042 session low through the NY session and is now ranging 0.7068-0.7079, RSI(14) flat near 51. Price sits just under EMA20 with the session high repeatedly capping at 0.7079; no setup in play ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 0.7068, 0.7054, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 opens the path toward the 0.7100 cap
Failure to hold 0.70680 reopens the 0.7042 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
Higher lows since 0.7042, consolidating near range top.
AUDUSD clawed back from a 0.7042 session low through the NY hours to retest 0.7079, in line with the digest's 'sub-0.7100 capped' read, and is now consolidating around 0.7074. Higher lows intact since the low, but the 0.7079 session high is rejecting and RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s.
Support: 0.7068, 0.7065, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 opens the path to the 0.7090-0.7100 cap
Failure to hold 0.7068 reopens the 0.7042 session low
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant catalyst once in range
16:46 UTC
Recovery off session low, capped near highs · RSI 54 · price 0.7074
Higher lows since 0.7042, consolidating under 0.7080.
AUDUSD bottomed at 0.7042 in the London session and climbed back through the NY hours, but 0.7080 has rejected the last several pushes and price is now ranging tightly near 0.7074. RSI(14) is mid-range; the broader 0.7100 cap remains untested.
Support: 0.7068, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7080, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7080 opens the path to the 0.7100 psych cap
Failure to hold 0.7068 swing low reopens the 0.7042 session low
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
16:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 0.70758
Consolidation below session high.
Price recovered from the London session low at 0.70417 through NY and is now consolidating in the 0.7068–0.7079 band, repeatedly rejected at the 0.7079 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 with price holding above both EMA20 and EMA50; no fresh directional break in play.
Support: 0.7068, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 opens the path toward the 0.7100 psych cap
Loss of 0.7068 reopens the 0.70545 swing low
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for AUD/USD
16:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 58 · price 0.70758
Range with rising lows into 0.7079 cap.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.70417 session low during NY hours and has clawed back to retest the 0.70790 cap, which has rejected price three times. Higher lows hold above 0.7065 but the 0.7079 ceiling is still respected; RSI mid-range with room either way.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7054, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70811, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 opens the path to 0.70811 then the 0.7100 psych cap
Failure to hold 0.70650 reopens the 0.70540 intraday low
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for AUD/USD direction
AUDUSD clawed back from the 0.7042 range low to retest the 0.70790 session high during NY hours, RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Rally remains capped well below the 0.7100 psych level flagged by the broader AUD-heavy read; price is grinding sideways into the highs.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7068, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 opens the path toward the 0.7100 cap
Failure to hold 0.70650 reopens the move toward 0.7042
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for AUD/USD direction
Higher lows off 0.70417, capped under session high.
AUDUSD ground higher through NY hours off the 0.70417 session low, tagging a session high at 0.70790 before stalling. Price now consolidates just under that cap with RSI(14) easing back near 59; the broader rejection zone toward 0.7100 remains untested on this leg.
Support: 0.70684, 0.70547, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 opens the path to the 0.70820 prior high
Failure to hold 0.70684 swing low negates the recovery and reopens 0.70547
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
16:02 UTC
Recovery off session low, stalling at range top · RSI 56 · price 0.70761
Higher lows since Asia bottom, capped at 0.7079.
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.70417 Asia low and climbed through the London-NY transition back to the 0.7079 session high, which has rejected price twice. RSI(14) near 56, neutral; pair coiling just under resistance with a chain of higher lows from 0.70541.
Support: 0.7068, 0.70541, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7083
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 opens the path to the 0.7083 prior high
Failure to hold 0.70680 negates the recovery and reopens 0.70417
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver for AUDUSD
Higher lows since 0.70417, consolidating below session high.
AUDUSD clawed back from the 0.70417 session low through London into a higher-low recovery, now consolidating around 0.7076 just under the 0.70790 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 57 with no extreme; the 0.7100 cap flagged in the macro read remains well above and untested.
Support: 0.7068, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70790 extends the recovery toward the 0.7100 cap
Loss of 0.70680 breaks the higher-low chain off the session low
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
15:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.70705
Range capped near session high after climb off the day low.
AUDUSD climbed off the 0.70417 day low through the London-NY transition and is now ranging 0.70651-0.70783 into the NY session, RSI(14) neutral near 52. The session high at 0.70783 has capped two attempts; price sits mid-range at 0.70705.
Support: 0.70651, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70816
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70783 opens the path back toward 0.70816
Failure to hold 0.70651 confirms a lower low and reopens the day low
FOMC Wednesday (Warsh's first) is the dominant near-term USD driver
15:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.70705
Intraday range 0.7065–0.7078 after rebound from 0.7042.
AUDUSD rebounded from the 0.7042 session low through the NY session and is now ranging 0.7065–0.7078, with rejection capping the 0.7078 session high. Price sits mid-range near EMA20, RSI(14) neutral around 48 — no setup in play below the 0.7100 cap that has repeatedly held this week.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7078, 0.70816
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70780 reopens the 0.7100 cap
Failure to hold 0.70650 confirms a lower-low toward 0.70545
Wed FOMC (Warsh's first) is the dominant near-term USD driver
AUDUSD recovered through the London-NY session off the 0.70417 session low, tagging 0.70783 before stalling, with buyers stepping in repeatedly near 0.7065. Price now consolidating around 0.7073, RSI mid-range and momentum cooling under the session high.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.7083
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70783 reopens the path toward the 0.70830 prior high
Failure to hold 0.70650 puts the 0.70417 session low back in play
FOMC (Warsh's first) Wednesday is the dominant near-term USD driver
AUDUSD carved a 0.70417 session low during London then recovered through NY hours back to a 0.70783 session high, in line with the soft-AUD-but-risk-supported tone after the faded RBA hold. Price is now consolidating 0.70650–0.70783 into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70546, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.7083
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70783 opens the path toward the 0.7080–0.7090 cap
Failure to hold 0.70650 reopens the 0.70546–0.70417 session low
Wed FOMC (Warsh's first) is the dominant near-term USD swing for this read
AUDUSD bottomed at 0.70417 during London hours after the China retail-sales miss and RBA hold, then ground back up through NY to retest the 0.70783 session high. RSI(14) near 55 and the rally is stalling just under that high with current price at 0.7074.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70839
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70783 opens the path to 0.70839 prior high
Failure to hold 0.7065 reopens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this intraday read
AUDUSD carved a rounded recovery off the 0.7042 session low after China retail sales missed and the RBA held, grinding back to 0.7078 into the NY session. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 56; rising lows since 0.7065 frame the bounce while 0.7078 caps.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7078, 0.7083
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7078 opens the path to the 0.7083 prior high
Loss of 0.7065 reopens the 0.7042 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
15:01 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.70775
Higher lows since 0.7042 base.
AUD bottomed at 0.70417 during European hours after the China retail-sales miss and RBA hold, then ground back up through NY session to retest the 0.7078 session high. RSI(14) mid-60s with a chain of higher lows; FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst overhead.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7050, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.7090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7079 opens the path toward the 0.7090 weekly high
Failure to hold 0.7065 swing low reopens 0.7050 and the session low
FOMC decision Wednesday could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, retesting session high.
AUDUSD carved a base at 0.70417 after China retail-sales miss and the in-line RBA hold pressured AUD, then rallied through NY hours back to the session high at 0.70785, where it is now stalling. Chain of higher lows holds; RSI(14) near 61, hot but not extreme.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70785, 0.7090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70785 opens the path toward the 0.7090 weekly high
Failure to hold the 0.70650 higher low reopens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reshape this read
AUDUSD carved a session low at 0.70417 during London after the China retail-sales miss and RBA hold, then ground back to consolidate 0.70650-0.70780 through the NY session. Rejection capped the 0.70780 area twice; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 with price holding above the EMA20.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7050, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7078, 0.7085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70780 opens the path back toward the 0.70850 prior high
Break below 0.70650 reopens the 0.70500 swing low and session low at 0.70417
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could override this intraday read
14:46 UTC
Recovered off session low, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 0.70704
Double bottom near 0.7045 then grind higher into range.
AUDUSD bottomed twice near 0.7045 during the European session after China retail sales missed (-0.6% vs 0%) and the RBA held, then ground back to 0.7078 before easing to 0.7070 in NY hours. Price now sits on EMA20 mid-range with RSI flat near 51 — no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70454, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70877
What it said to watch
Close below 0.7065 swing low re-exposes the 0.7042 session low
Reclaim of 0.7078 swing high reopens the path toward the 0.7090 weekly high
FOMC Wednesday (Warsh's first decision) is the dominant USD catalyst and could override this intraday read
AUD recovered off the 0.7042 session low to retest 0.7078, where it was capped twice during NY hours; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral. The pullback to 0.70674 keeps price inside the recovery range and just under EMA20.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7078, 0.7090
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7078 session high opens the path toward the 0.7090 weekly high
Loss of 0.7064 swing low reopens the session low at 0.7042
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reshape this read
14:31 UTC
Range, recovery fading · RSI 46 · price 0.70674
Rangebound after bounce off session low.
AUDUSD recovered off the session low at 0.70417 to tag 0.70783 during NY hours, then sold back to 0.70674 as USD stayed firm into the Fed. Price is mid-range, RSI(14) neutral near 46 with EMA20 now capping.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70486, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70783 reopens the path toward the 0.70878 prior high
Failure to hold 0.70640 exposes the 0.70486 dip and 0.70417 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this range
14:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, near-term up · RSI 60 · price 0.7075
Higher lows since 0.7042 base.
AUDUSD based twice near 0.7042 after the China retail-sales miss and RBA hold pressured it, then ground back to 0.7075 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) around 60, price sitting just under the 0.7078 recovery high.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7078, 0.7088
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.7078 opens the path back to the 0.7088 session high
Loss of 0.7065 reopens the 0.7042 base
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reshape this read
14:16 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 57 · price 0.7075
Higher lows since 0.7042 base.
AUDUSD carved a base at 0.7042 during European hours after the China retail miss and RBA hold, and has since clawed back over 60% of the down move into the NY session, last 0.7075. Higher lows are stacking and RSI sits mid-range, with the 0.7079 session high the immediate cap.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7090
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7079 exposes the 0.7090 weekly high
Failure to hold 0.7065 reopens the 0.7042 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
Higher lows since 0.7042, retracing the day's drop.
AUDUSD carved a session low at 0.7042 around 05:45 UTC after the China retail-sales miss and in-line RBA hold, then ground higher through London into the NY session, now testing 0.70753 with RSI(14) near 60. Higher lows are intact and price sits above both EMAs; 0.70783 is the immediate ceiling.
Support: 0.70629, 0.70417, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70783 extends the recovery toward the 0.70878 session high
Failure to hold 0.70629 reopens the 0.7042 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
AUD bounced twice off the 0.7042 session low after the China retail-sales miss, then climbed through NY hours to 0.7078 before easing to 0.7075. RSI(14) mid-range near 56, price holding above EMA20/50 with the recovery still intact.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7078 opens the path to the 0.7088 session high
Failure to hold 0.7064 reopens the 0.7042 session low
FOMC Wednesday (Warsh's first) is the dominant USD catalyst for this read
NY session has clawed back the leg down to the 0.7042 session low, stacking higher lows up to a retest of the 0.7078 swing high. RSI(14) sits mid-50s with no extreme; price holding above short EMAs. Moves come against a soft-AUD backdrop after the China retail miss, with Fed Wednesday the dominant overhang.
Support: 0.7063, 0.7050, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7078, 0.7090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7078 opens the path toward the 0.7090 weekly high
Loss of 0.7063 swing low reopens 0.7042 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can reset this read
13:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.7075
Higher low after 0.7042 base, pressing recent high.
AUDUSD based around 0.7042 during the European session — extending the slide that followed the soft China retail sales and RBA hold — and has clawed back to 0.7075, with the last bar pushing into the 0.7078 session high. RSI(14) near 60, price holding above EMA20/50 as the recovery develops.
Support: 0.70629, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70783 opens the path back toward the 0.7088 prior high
Failure to hold 0.70629 reopens the 0.7042 session low
FOMC Wednesday (Warsh's first) is the dominant USD catalyst for this read
AUDUSD slid to a 0.70417 session low after the China retail-sales miss, then recovered to a 0.70783 session high before fading back to ~0.7069. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and price is pinned to EMA20, consolidating mid-range ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 0.7050, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70417 session low reopens the 0.7000 path
Reclaim of 0.70783 session high needed to extend the recovery
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver for the next sessions
13:31 UTC
Recovery stalling, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 0.7069
Bounce off session low, capped at 0.7078.
AUDUSD sold off to a 0.7042 session low through London after the China retail-sales miss and an in-line RBA hold, then recovered to 0.7078 during the NY session before drifting back to 0.7069. Now consolidating 0.7065–0.7078 with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7078, 0.7088
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7078 reopens the 0.7088 prior high
Loss of 0.7065 reopens the 0.7042 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and can break this range
13:16 UTC
Down then recovered, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.70695
Consolidating mid-range after bounce off session low.
AUD/USD sold off through the session from 0.7088 to a 0.70417 low after the China retail-sales miss, then recovered to 0.70783 before drifting back to 0.7069. Consolidating mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 49; the bounce high at 0.7078 capped the recovery.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.7088
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70783 reopens the 0.7088 prior high
Loss of 0.7065 swing pivot exposes the 0.70417 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this read
AUDUSD rebounded from the 0.70417 session low to a 0.70783 swing high during NY hours before fading back to 0.70695, now sitting mid-range. The pullback follows soft China data and the RBA's in-line hold; price is hovering on its EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.70654, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70783 reopens the path toward the 0.70878 range high
Loss of 0.70654 swing low exposes 0.70417 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can reset this range
13:02 UTC
Recovery fading into NY · RSI 47 · price 0.70684
Rebound from session low, rolling over below london high.
AUDUSD recovered from the Asian session low at 0.7042 through London to 0.7078 — the soft China retail-sales and RBA hold drag from earlier easing — but rejected there and is fading back toward 0.7063 into early NY. RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and price has slipped under EMA20, leaving the rebound stalling.
Support: 0.70629, 0.70496, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70629 swing low reopens the path toward 0.7042 session low
Reclaim of 0.70783 london high needed to extend the recovery
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and will reshape this range
13:02 UTC
Range, recovery fading · RSI 47 · price 0.70684
Intraday range, mid-range fade off session high.
AUDUSD carved a session low at 0.70417 then recovered to the 0.70783 session high before fading back to 0.70684 into the NY session. Price is now mid-range and capped at 0.70783; China retail-sales miss and the pending Fed Wednesday keep this choppy with no clean structure.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70858
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70783 session high reopens the 0.7090 area
Failure to hold the 0.70640 swing low exposes the 0.70417 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
AUDUSD bounced from the 0.7042 day low through the NY session to a 0.70783 session high, then faded back to 0.7068 with RSI cooling to mid-40s. Rejection at 0.70783 left price consolidating above the 0.7064 swing low; FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70576, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.70783 session high reopens the path toward 0.70878 prior high
Loss of 0.7064 swing low exposes the 0.70576 london low
FOMC decision Wednesday could materially shift this read
Session low at 0.70417 reclaimed, lower high vs window peak.
AUDUSD sold off to 0.70417 in the Asian session then recovered to 0.70783 through London, where it stalled and is now fading back to 0.70682. Price is chopping in the 0.70640–0.70783 band ahead of Wednesday's FOMC; RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with no clear momentum.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver — a hawkish dot tweak could pressure AUDUSD toward the session low
M15 close below 0.70640 reopens the 0.70417 session low
Close above 0.70783 reopens the 0.70878 window high
12:31 UTC
Range, pulling back from intraday high · RSI 44 · price 0.70656
Recovery off 0.7042 stalling below 0.7078.
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.7042 swing low through the London-NY window but rejected the 0.70783 intraday high and has rolled back to 0.70656, RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Price is chopping inside a 0.7042-0.7088 range with USD firm into the FOMC and soft China data capping bounces.
Support: 0.7062, 0.70478
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70783 reopens the path to the 0.70878 session high
Loss of the 0.70620 swing low exposes 0.70478
FOMC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
12:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.70656
Lower highs since session high 0.70783.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.70417 day low to a session high at 0.70783 before fading back to 0.70656, carving lower highs as RSI(14) cooled near 43. Price now sits just above the 0.70629 swing low, in line with the soft post-RBA tone and a firm USD into the FOMC.
Support: 0.70629, 0.70486, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70629 reopens the 0.70486 prior low
M15 close back above 0.70783 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver and can override this intraday read
AUDUSD sold from 0.7088 to a 0.7042 session low before buyers stepped in, recovering to 0.7078 in the London-NY transition, now drifting back to 0.7066. RSI(14) neutral near 47; price sits mid-range below EMA20 but above EMA50, with no clean setup in play.
Support: 0.7053, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7078 reopens the 0.7088 prior high
Failure to hold 0.7053 reopens the 0.7042 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD/AUD driver and could reset this read
12:16 UTC
Recovery off lows, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.70666
Ranging after lower-low and bounce.
AUDUSD carved a session low at 0.70417 then recovered to 0.70783 before fading back to 0.70666 through the London-NY window, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Price is now retesting the 0.70640 swing zone, sitting just under EMA20 but holding above EMA50.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70640 reopens the 0.70417 session low
Reclaim of 0.70783 puts the 0.70878 day high back in play
FOMC Wednesday and Warsh's debut is the dominant AUDUSD driver
V-recovery from 0.7042 rejected at 0.7078, easing back.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.70417 session low through NY hours back to 0.70783, where it was rejected and is now easing to 0.70686 with RSI(14) mid-range near 47. Price hovers around EMA20 after the bounce; soft China data and a held RBA keep the pair pinned ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70546, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70783 reopens the path to the 0.70878 day high
Failure to hold 0.7064 reopens 0.70546 and the 0.70417 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver and could reset this read
11:46 UTC
Recovery off session low, pulling back · RSI 50 · price 0.70678
Higher lows since 0.70417, easing from 0.70783.
AUD/USD rebounded off the 0.70417 session low through the London session to tag 0.70783, then rejected and eased back to 0.70678 with RSI cooling toward neutral. Move follows the RBA hold and soft China data, with FOMC Wednesday the dominant swing factor ahead.
Support: 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70783 reopens the path to 0.70878
Loss of 0.70545 reasserts the down leg toward 0.70417
FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Recovering off day low, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 0.70678
Intraday rebound stalling below session high.
AUDUSD rebounded from the 0.70417 day low to a 0.70783 session high before sellers capped it, price now easing to 0.70678 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. The pair holds above EMA20/50 but the recovery is stalling under the session high; price still sits near the subdued 0.7050 area flagged in macro.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70478, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70783 reopens the 0.70878 day high
Failure to hold 0.70650 exposes 0.70478 then the 0.70417 day low
FOMC Wednesday and Warsh's debut is the dominant swing factor for the next sessions
Higher lows since the 0.70417 base, pullback under session high.
AUDUSD rallied off the 0.70417 session low through London to tag a session high at 0.70783, where sellers capped it and price has eased back to 0.70714. The recovery holds a chain of higher lows above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs; structure stays intact while 0.70660 holds.
Support: 0.7066, 0.7060, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70858
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70783 opens the path to 0.70858 prior high
Failure to hold 0.70660 exposes the 0.70600 fib 50 zone
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD/AUD driver and could reset this read
Higher-low chain off 0.7042, pulling back from 0.7078.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.7042 session low into NY hours, rallying to 0.70783 before stalling and pulling back to 0.7071. The recovery leg printed a clean higher-low chain, but the rejection at 0.70783 and current drift back toward 0.7065 shows the bounce losing steam ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70546, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70650 reopens the 0.7055 intraday low
M15 close above 0.70783 reasserts the recovery toward 0.70878
FOMC/Warsh Wednesday is the dominant driver and could override this read
Higher lows off session low, pullback from session high.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.70417 session low and ran to 0.70783 through the London session before easing back to 0.70719, RSI(14) cooling from the rally. The recovery sits against a subdued backdrop after the RBA hold at 4.35% and soft China data, with chains of higher lows intact above 0.70640.
Support: 0.70643, 0.70546, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70783 opens the path to 0.70878
Loss of 0.70640 exposes 0.70546 and unwinds the higher-low chain
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and could reset this read
Higher lows since 0.7042 base, pulling back from session high.
AUDUSD based around 0.7042 and recovered through London hours to a 0.70783 session high before pulling back to 0.7072, in line with the broader 0.7090–0.7000 range BBH flags. RSI(14) near 57 has cooled from the rally peak; the 23.6% retrace of the recovery leg is holding so far.
Support: 0.7066, 0.70546, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70858
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70660 reopens the 0.70546 swing low
M15 close above 0.70783 extends the recovery toward 0.70858
FOMC and Warsh debut Wednesday is the dominant USD/AUD driver
11:02 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 70 · price 0.70763
Higher lows since 0.70417 low, retesting session high.
AUDUSD has clawed back from the 0.70417 session low to retest the 0.70783 session high through London hours, building a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 70 is short-term hot but consistent with the recovery leg; FOMC Wednesday remains the dominant swing factor.
Support: 0.7066, 0.70546, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70783 opens the path to the 0.70878 prior high
Failure to hold 0.70660 undermines the recovery and reopens 0.70546
AUDUSD ground higher through London after a double bottom near 0.70417, reclaiming EMA20/50 and now retesting the session high at 0.70783. RSI(14) ~67, hot but not extreme; the climb tracks a softer USD post Empire/IP misses ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 0.7066, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70858
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70783 opens the path to 0.70858
Failure to hold 0.70660 reopens the move toward 0.70545
FOMC/Warsh Wednesday is the dominant driver and can reset this read
10:46 UTC
Recovery leg, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 0.70774
Higher lows off session low, retracing the prior drop.
AUDUSD rallied through the London session from the 0.70417 session low back to a fresh session high at 0.70783, riding the risk-on bid as the RBA hold and US data misses faded. Chain of higher lows intact; price now has retraced roughly three-quarters of the earlier drop from 0.70878.
Support: 0.7066, 0.7049, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70783 opens the path back to 0.70878
Failure to hold 0.70660 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and can reset this read
10:46 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 0.70774
Rounded base, higher lows into session high.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base off the 0.70417 session low and has climbed through London into the session high at 0.70783, with RSI(14) near 64. Higher lows are holding above the 0.70660 pivot; the 0.70878 prior high caps the upside.
Support: 0.7066, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70783, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70783 opens the path toward 0.70878
Failure to hold 0.70660 pivot reopens 0.70545
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
10:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 60 · price 0.70729
Higher lows off 0.7042, retesting session high.
AUDUSD bottomed at 0.7042 in the early London hours after soft China data and is grinding back up into the 0.70758 session high, RSI(14) near 60. Higher lows have built since the low; the recent high is the level being retested.
Support: 0.70649, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70758, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70758 opens the path back to 0.70878 prior high
Loss of 0.70649 breaks the higher-low chain off the session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant AUD/USD driver into next sessions
10:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 57 · price 0.70729
Higher lows building from 0.70417.
AUDUSD has clawed back from the 0.70417 session low to retest the 0.70758 high, a recovery chain of higher lows after AUD slipped post-RBA hold and soft China data. RSI(14) near 57 with no extreme; the 0.70758 session top is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70497, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70758, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70758 opens the path toward 0.70878
Failure to hold 0.70650 reopens the 0.70497 swing low
FOMC/Warsh Wednesday is the dominant USD/AUD swing factor
Rounded base off session low, higher lows building.
AUDUSD based at the 0.70417 low in early London and recovered to retest 0.70720, roughly a 65% retrace of the prior drop from 0.70878, with price now holding above EMA20/50. RBA's hold and the soft China retail sales miss capped the earlier rally back near 0.7050. RSI lifting toward 60, no overbought stretch yet.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70546, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70722, 0.7081, 0.70878
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70810 reopens the 0.70878 session high
Failure to hold 0.70640 risks a return toward the 0.70546 swing low
AUDUSD has clawed back from the session low at 0.70417 in a steady chain of higher lows, with the latest bar breaking the 0.70689 ceiling to 0.70716, RSI(14) firming near 60. Move comes against a soft post-RBA / weak China backdrop, so this reads as intraday relief into the London-NY transition rather than a trend shift.
Support: 0.70649, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70790 opens the path toward the session high at 0.70878
Failure to hold 0.70649 risks a return toward the session low 0.70417
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant AUD/USD driver this week and can override this intraday read
10:02 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum up · RSI 59 · price 0.7067
Higher highs/higher lows after a downswing low.
AUDUSD slid through Asia to a session low of 0.70417 then recovered through the London morning to 0.7067, reclaiming the 50% retracement of the down-leg as soft post-RBA, weak-China tone faded. Micro-structure is now a chain of higher lows, with the 0.70689 swing high capping the bounce.
Support: 0.70541, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70689, 0.7074
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70689 extends the recovery toward 0.7074
Loss of 0.70541 reopens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant AUD swing factor
10:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 0.7067
V-recovery, higher lows building after 0.7042 low.
London hours drove AUD to a session low of 0.7042 on soft China retail sales and a data-dependent RBA pause; price has since clawed back into midday, reclaiming roughly half the down leg and trading 0.7067. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 58, no extreme in play.
Support: 0.70417, 0.70496
Resistance: 0.70689, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.70417 confirms a fresh lower-low and resumes the down leg
Reclaim of 0.70689 opens the path back toward the 0.7088 session high
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant AUD driver and could override this intraday read
AUDUSD slid to a 0.70417 session low through early London after soft China retail sales weighed on AUD, then recovered in a rounded base back to 0.70689 before easing to 0.7066. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and price is back above both EMAs; the 0.7060 pivot is holding for now.
Support: 0.70546, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70689, 0.7074
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70546 reopens the 0.70417 session low
Close above 0.70689 extends the recovery toward 0.70740 prior high
US Retail Sales and FOMC later this week could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 0.70417, consolidating below 0.70689.
AUD slid to a session low of 0.70417 on the China data miss and dovish RBA-hold read, then recovered through the London session to print a higher low chain into 0.70689. Price now ranges tightly near 0.7066 just below that recovery high, RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-50s.
Support: 0.70496, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70689, 0.7074
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70689 extends the recovery toward 0.70740
Failure to hold 0.70496 reopens the 0.70417 session low
US Housing Starts (~3h) the only near-term USD risk on the calendar
09:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 0.70675
Higher lows building after downswing into 0.70417.
AUDUSD slid to a 0.70417 session low during the Asian/early-London window after soft China retail sales, then recovered in a chain of higher lows to retrace ~56% of the drop, now testing the 0.70689 session high. RSI(14) has lifted off the oversold zone into the high-50s as buyers stepped in around 0.70490.
Support: 0.70545, 0.7049, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70689, 0.7074
What it said to watch
Clean break above 0.70689 session high opens the path back toward 0.70740
Loss of the rising higher-low sequence below 0.70545 reopens the 0.70417 session low
US Retail Sales + FOMC dot plot later this week could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Recovery off session low · RSI 59 · price 0.70675
Higher lows rebuilding after downtrend.
AUD bled through London-NY hours to a 0.70417 session low as weak China retail sales weighed, then carved a rounded base back to 0.70675. Recovery has stalled into the 0.70689 session high, with the 50% retrace of the 0.70878-0.70417 leg at 0.70648 acting as near support; RSI mid-range at 59.
Support: 0.70648, 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70689, 0.7074, 0.70788
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.70689 opens the path back toward 0.70740
Failure to hold 0.70648 reopens 0.70545 and the 0.70417 session low
US Retail Sales + FOMC dot plot later this session could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 0.70675
Higher lows from 0.70417, retesting micro-high.
AUDUSD slid through London-NY into a 0.70417 session low after China data weighed, then carved a rounded recovery back to 0.70675, building higher lows. Price now retesting the 0.70689 micro-high with RSI(14) mid-range near 60.
Support: 0.70486, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70689, 0.70788
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70689 opens the path to 0.70788
Loss of 0.70486 reopens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUD/USD bottomed at 0.70417 during NY hours after the China retail sales miss pinned it near 0.7060, then ground back up in a chain of higher lows to retest the 0.70690 recent high. RSI(14) near 61, price holding above EMA20/50 as buyers stepped in repeatedly off the lows.
Support: 0.70545, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.70788
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70690 opens the path to 0.70788
Failure to hold 0.70545 reopens the 0.70417 session low
AUDUSD sold off through the session to a 0.70417 low, then carved a double bottom and recovered into the London hours back to 0.7067, RSI(14) lifting to the high-50s. AUD stays soft after the RBA hold and the China retail miss, but the intraday bounce has reclaimed EMA20/50.
Support: 0.70547, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70689, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.70547 reopens the 0.70417 session low
Sustained move above 0.70689 session high targets the 0.70878 prior high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 0.70674
Higher highs/higher lows since 0.70417 base.
AUDUSD slid through London to a session low of 0.70417 after the RBA hold and weak China retail sales capped the Aussie, then buyers stepped in and ground price back to 0.70674, reclaiming the 0.7060 area. Recovery has carved higher lows; RSI(14) near 61 with room before overbought, and 0.70744 is the next supply to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.70546, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70744, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70744 opens the path back toward the 0.70878 session high
Loss of 0.70546 would negate the recovery and re-expose 0.70417
FOMC dot plot/SEP Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 59 · price 0.70648
Session low carved, rounded bounce into London.
AUDUSD slid from the 0.70878 day high through the Asian session to a session low at 0.70417 after soft China retail sales and the in-line RBA hold, then carved a rounded recovery into the London session, reclaiming 0.7060 and sitting near the 50% retrace of that down leg. RSI back to mid-range near 59; ATR ~5 pips. Recent push stalls into the 0.70659 session high.
Support: 0.7049, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70659, 0.70788, 0.70878
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70659 opens a run at 0.70788
Failure to hold 0.70490 reopens the 0.70417 session low
US Housing Starts/ADP today and FOMC tomorrow could shift this read
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 0.70648
Double bottom near 0.7042, grinding higher.
Asian session sold off after the RBA hold and China retail miss, printing a 0.70417 low before a double bottom near 0.7042-0.7045. Price has recovered ~35 pips into London, now stalling at 0.70648 just under the 0.7060/0.70710 zone, RSI(14) climbing back to neutral.
Support: 0.70496, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7071, 0.7076
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70710 extends the recovery toward 0.70760
Failure to hold 0.70496 reopens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC dot plot/SEP Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 59 · price 0.70638
Base built at 0.7042, higher lows since.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.70878 to 0.70417 through the Asian session after China retail sales missed and the RBA held at 4.35%, then carved a base near 0.7042/0.7048 and ground higher on rising lows into London. Price is now retesting the 0.70643 prior high with RSI(14) near 59; the 0.7060 zone flagged in context has been reclaimed.
Support: 0.70574, 0.70486, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70643, 0.7072, 0.70788
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70720 extends the recovery toward 0.70788
Failure to hold the 0.70486 base reopens the 0.70417 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 60 · price 0.70638
Recovery off session low, higher lows building.
AUDUSD sold off through the European session to a low at 0.70417 after weak China retail sales and an as-priced RBA hold, then recovered to 0.70638 with RSI(14) lifting back to ~60 from oversold. Price is now retesting the 0.70680 swing high; the broader 24h structure remains lower while the last 3h prints higher lows off 0.70417.
Support: 0.70546, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.70788
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70680 swing high opens 0.70788
Loss of 0.70546 swing low reopens the 0.70417 session low
US Retail Sales / FOMC later this week could override the intraday recovery
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.70593
Higher-low chain into 0.7060 cap.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7088 into a 0.70417 session low overnight, then recovered through the London session to stall at the 0.7060 cap, parking right on the 38.2% fib of the down leg. RSI(14) has lifted back to mid-range and a higher-low chain off 0.70417 is holding; 0.70613 is the level to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.70478, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70613, 0.7066
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70613 opens the path back toward the 0.7066 shelf
Loss of 0.70478 breaks the recovery support and reopens 0.70417
US Retail Sales / FOMC later this week could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.70593
Lower lows into 0.7042, now retracing toward 0.7060 cap.
AUDUSD slid to 0.70417 during London hours then clawed back through the 0.7050 base, now pressing the 0.7060 UOB cap with RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s. Move follows an in-line RBA hold at 4.35%; price sits just under session highs at 0.70613.
Support: 0.70496, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70613, 0.7066
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7060 cap opens the path back to the 0.7066 prior swing
Failure to hold the 0.70496 base reopens the 0.70417 swing low
US Retail Sales / FOMC dot-plot ahead could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.70607
Lower highs into 0.7042 low, now bouncing.
AUDUSD sold off through the London session from 0.7088 to a 0.7042 low before recovering into the 0.7060 UOB cap, where buyers are now retesting the level. RSI(14) back near 55 off the lows; ATR is thin at ~5 pips with the pair coiling under resistance.
Support: 0.70486, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70613
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7060 cap opens the path toward 0.7090
Failure to hold the bounce and a break of 0.70417 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC and US Retail Sales later this week could materially shift this read
AUDUSD slid through the Asian session to a 0.7045 low, printing a double bottom near 0.7041 before recovering into London toward the 0.7060 cap flagged by UOB. RBA held at 4.35% exactly as priced, leaving the move risk/USD-driven; RSI(14) has lifted back to ~58 off the lows.
Support: 0.70417, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70729
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.7060 confirms the recovery and opens 0.70729
Failure to hold 0.7045 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
FOMC Wed and US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.70578
Lower lows into 0.70417, near-term recovery.
NY session sold AUDUSD from 0.7073 down to a 0.70417 low before buyers stepped in, grinding price back toward the 0.7060 UOB cap; RSI(14) recovered to mid-range. RBA held 4.35% exactly as priced, so the bounce is risk/USD-driven rather than data-led.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70417, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70637
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7060 invalidates the lower-high read and opens 0.70637
Failure to hold 0.70454 reopens 0.70417 and the 0.7000 zone
FOMC/Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
London session drove AUDUSD lower from the 0.7088 high to a 0.70417 session low, with price now recovering toward the 0.7060 cap flagged after the in-line RBA hold at 4.35%. RSI(14) back near neutral as the bounce reclaims EMA20 but sits below EMA50.
Support: 0.7049, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.7068
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.7060 invalidates the cap and opens 0.7068
Failure to hold 0.7049 reopens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) and US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovery off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.70583
Lower highs into 0.70417 low, now retracing higher.
Steady London-session slide from 0.70878 to a 0.70417 low, now recovering — the last eight bars closed higher into 0.70583, retracing ~38% of the down leg. RBA's in-line 4.35% hold was a non-event; the 0.7060 cap flagged in context is the immediate hurdle. RSI lifting off the lows as price reclaims EMA20 while staying below EMA50.
Support: 0.70486, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.7066
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7060 opens a retest of 0.70660
Failure to hold 0.70486 reopens the 0.70417 session low
US Retail Sales + FOMC on Wed could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 0.70583
Lower-lows into 0.70417, bouncing.
AUDUSD slid through the Asian session to a low of 0.70417, then recovered toward the 0.7060 cap with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. Buyers stepped in near 0.70486; current bounce sits around the 38.2% retrace of the down-leg.
Support: 0.70486, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70648
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7060 cap opens the fib 50% retest toward 0.70648
Failure to hold 0.70486 swing low reopens the 0.70417 session low
FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 0.7056
Lower highs / lower lows, recovery in progress.
AUDUSD slid through the London session to 0.70417 around the RBA press conference, the dovish lean fading the earlier risk-on bounce. Price is now recovering toward the 0.7060 UOB resistance, RSI(14) back near 48 from oversold territory.
Support: 0.70486, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70688
What it said to watch
Close above 0.7060 opens the path to 0.70688 prior high
Failure to hold above 0.70486 swing low reopens 0.70417 session low
FOMC Wed and lingering RBA presser tone could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, recent base at 0.7042.
AUDUSD slid through the session from the 0.7088 spike high, basing at 0.7042 before a recovery into the 0.7060 round-number resistance. Move follows a balanced RBA hold and the post US-Iran risk-on tone; price is reclaiming EMA20 but caps below EMA50, RSI(14) recovering toward neutral.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70637
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7060 round level reopens the 0.70637 prior swing
Loss of 0.70454 swing low confirms continuation toward the 0.7042 session low
Lingering RBA presser / USD reaction risk can shift this intraday read
AUDUSD has stair-stepped lower through the session, sliding from the 0.7088 peak to a 0.70417 low as the post-RBA risk-on bounce faded. Price is now grinding back to 0.70554, the broken intraday shelf, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the mid-40s. Sub-6-pip ATR shows a slow, low-range tape.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70554, 0.7062
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70620 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.70417 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
US Retail Sales and FOMC on Wed could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, modest bounce · RSI 44 · price 0.70532
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD slid through the London session to a session low of 0.70417 as the RBA presser leaned dovish and faded the earlier risk-on bounce. A modest recovery to 0.70532 is now retesting broken structure near 0.70554; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.70417, 0.70486
Resistance: 0.70554, 0.70612, 0.7060
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70554 reopens the 0.70600/0.70612 area
Failure to hold 0.70417 confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through London hours, slipping from the 0.7088 spike to a 0.70417 session low amid the dovish-lean RBA presser and a softer-USD backdrop. Price has stabilised in a 0.70417–0.70549 band, RSI(14) recovering off the lows but price still trapped below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.70417, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.70549
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70549 challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70417 confirms a fresh lower-low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead
AUDUSD bled from the 0.7088 spike down through the London open to bottom at 0.7042, a slide consistent with a dovish-leaning RBA presser. Price is now consolidating near 0.7052 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; recent high at 0.7055 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.70417, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.70549
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70549 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70417 confirms continuation lower toward 0.7030
US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could shift the read into NY hours
AUDUSD slid through the Asia-London handover after a dovish-leaning RBA presser faded the risk-on bounce, breaking below 0.7060 and printing a session low at 0.70417 before a shallow bounce to 0.70497. RSI(14) near 39, price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with structure marking lower highs.
Support: 0.70417, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.7060
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70417 confirms a fresh lower low and opens the 0.7030 area
Reclaim above 0.70600 round number would neutralise the downtrend read
US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 41 · price 0.70497
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD faded the post-spike 0.7088 high through the NY-Asia session and into European hours, printing a fresh low at 0.70417 as the USD found a footing; the RBA hold and presser left direction to risk sentiment. Price is stabilising near 0.70497 with RSI(14) around 40 — soft but not oversold.
Support: 0.70417, 0.70469
Resistance: 0.70549
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70549 swing high would stall the lower-low sequence
Loss of 0.70417 swing low confirms downtrend continuation
US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum easing late · RSI 39 · price 0.70506
Lower highs into session low, minor bounce off 0.7042.
AUDUSD slid through the European morning, fading the risk-on bounce after the RBA presser leaned dovish, printing a session low at 0.70417 before a shallow bounce to 0.70506. Price holds below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs capping at 0.70549; RSI(14) near 39, off the lows but not oversold.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70417, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.70549
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.70549 would break the lower-high chain and stall the downtrend
Close below 0.70417 confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
Descending intraday sequence, bouncing off session low.
AUDUSD ground lower through London hours after the RBA presser faded the risk-on bounce, printing a session low at 0.70417 before a shallow bounce to 0.70506. Lower highs intact below the descending resistance line; RSI(14) near 39, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 0.70417, 0.70454
Resistance: 0.70549
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70549 swing high breaks the descending sequence
Failure to hold 0.70417 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, at session low · RSI 37 · price 0.70476
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD has ground lower through the US session and into Asia, printing a fresh session low at 0.70417 before a shallow bounce to 0.70476. Chain of lower highs and lower lows intact after the 0.7060 region gave way; RSI(14) near 37, soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.70417, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70637
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70417 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.70600 (uob resis) neutralises the downtrend read
RBA presser tone and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has worked steadily lower from the 0.7088 spike, the post-RBA risk-on bounce fading into a clean lower-high/lower-low sequence through European hours. The latest bar swept 0.70417 before recovering to 0.70476; RSI(14) near 36, ATR around 5 pips. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.70417, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.70535
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70535 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70417 confirms continuation of the down leg
US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.70878 session high into a clean lower-high, lower-low sequence, printing a fresh low at 0.70454 as the dovish-leaning RBA presser faded the earlier risk-on bounce. Price now hugging 0.70498 with RSI(14) near 35 — soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.7055, 0.70878
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70550 would break the lower-high chain and invalidate the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.70454 opens the 0.7040/0.7000 area flagged below
US Retail Sales and FOMC on Wed could materially shift this read
AUDUSD slid from the 0.7088 spike toward 0.7045 as the RBA press conference faded the earlier risk-on bounce, breaking below the prior 0.7060 floor. Lower-high, lower-low chain intact through the Asia-to-London transition, RSI(14) in the mid-30s but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.70637, 0.7060
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70600 would break the descending lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.70454 confirms continuation lower
RBA presser aftermath and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the London open, breaking the 0.7070 floor and printing a session low of 0.70454 as AUD softened into the RBA press conference. A shallow bounce to 0.70536 follows but price sits below EMA20/50 with a clean lower-high chain intact; RSI(14) near 40, not yet oversold.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.7062, 0.7071, 0.70744
What it said to watch
RBA press conference (now live) — dovish lean keeps pressure on, optionality on hikes could fade the selloff
Close back above 0.70620 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.70454 confirms continuation lower
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, recent bounce · RSI 40 · price 0.70536
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
AUDUSD ground lower through the session in a clean lower-high/lower-low chain, printing a low at 0.70454 before a shallow bounce to 0.70536; price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39. The slide tracks the RBA hold at 4.35% as direction shifts to the 05:30 GMT press conference tone.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70486
Resistance: 0.7060
What it said to watch
RBA press conference at 05:30 GMT — tone could materially shift this read
Close back above 0.70600 round level would challenge the downtrend
Loss of 0.70454 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
AUDUSD slid through late-Asia to a fresh session low at 0.70454, breaking below the 0.7060 support shelf as AUD softened into the RBA presser. RSI(14) near 33, price holding below EMA20/50 with no bounce yet established.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70644
What it said to watch
RBA presser at 05:30 UTC is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.70600 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.70454 confirms continuation toward 0.7040
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 0.70507
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
AUDUSD ground lower through the London-NY session, printing a chain of lower highs and a fresh session low at 0.70454 before stabilising near 0.70507. The slide accelerated as US-Iran risk-on faded into the RBA decision; RSI(14) near 33 reflects the bearish momentum, not yet an extreme.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7062
What it said to watch
RBA presser ~05:30 UTC is the primary intraday catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.70620 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70454 confirms continuation toward 0.7040/0.7000
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7080 weekly-high area through the Asia session, breaking 0.7060 and printing a fresh low at 0.70454 before a thin bounce to 0.70509. RSI(14) near 33 reflects the late selloff but is not yet stretched; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.70616
What it said to watch
RBA press conference (~05:30 UTC) is the primary intraday catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.70454 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
AUDUSD slid through the Asia-into-London handover, breaking the 0.70545 base to print a session low at 0.70454 ahead of the RBA decision. Price closed at 0.70509 below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 33, a clean chain of lower highs intact from the 0.70878 spike earlier in the window.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.70616
What it said to watch
RBA press conference at 05:30 UTC (~28m) is the primary intraday catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close back above 0.70616 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70454 exposes the 0.70400 round number
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into RBA · RSI 29 · price 0.70495
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.
AUDUSD broke the 0.7060 support and slid to a fresh session low at 0.70486 as the RBA decision (04:30 UTC) landed with a dovish lean, fading hike pricing. RSI(14) near 28 — short-term stretched but consistent with the impulsive leg lower toward the 0.7000 zone.
Support: 0.70486, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70644
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70600 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.70486 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
RBA press conference at 05:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 31 · price 0.70495
Lower highs, lower lows post-RBA.
AUDUSD slid through the 0.7060 area and is printing fresh session lows at 0.70486 into the RBA decision, a move consistent with a dovish-hold reaction. RSI(14) near 30 shows momentum stretched to the downside but not yet at extreme.
Support: 0.70486, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70545, 0.70637
What it said to watch
RBA press conference at 05:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.70545 would stall the lower-low sequence
Failure to hold 0.70486 opens the path toward 0.70000
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into RBA · RSI 32 · price 0.70514
Lower highs and lower lows, session low broken.
AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session into the RBA decision, breaking the 0.70600 pivot and printing a fresh session low at 0.70486, last close 0.70514. RSI(14) near 31 — short-term stretched but not yet sub-20. RBA rate statement lands right now and is the dominant catalyst for the next bars.
Support: 0.70486, 0.7045
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70644
What it said to watch
RBA statement at 04:30 UTC is live and can override this structural read
M15 close below 0.70486 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.70600 invalidates the breakdown read
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into RBA · RSI 30 · price 0.70514
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.
AUDUSD sold off through the back half of the window, breaking below 0.70620 and printing a fresh session low at 0.70486 as the USD slide reversed ahead of the RBA. RSI(14) near 29 — short-term stretched but not extreme; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with a clean chain of lower highs.
Support: 0.70486, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7062
What it said to watch
RBA decision/statement at 04:30 UTC will dominate the next bars — a hawkish hold could squeeze price back toward 0.70620
Loss of 0.70486 opens the 0.7000 psych zone
Reclaim of 0.70620 invalidates the lower-high structure
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into RBA · RSI 34 · price 0.70548
Lower highs, fresh session low.
AUDUSD bled lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 0.70545 minutes before the RBA decision, with RSI(14) near 33. Price sits below EMA20/50 having broken the prior 0.7060 shelf; the 0.7060 level flagged as resistance now caps from above.
Support: 0.70545, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70644
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC will define the next leg
Reclaim of 0.70600 invalidates the lower-high downtrend read
AUDUSD sliding through the Asian session, breaking below the 0.70620 swing support to print a fresh session low at 0.70545 as the broader USD pullback stalls. RSI(14) near 33, momentum heavy but not yet stretched into oversold. RBA decision is imminent — the chart read is on hold until that prints.
Support: 0.70545, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7062, 0.7072
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision/statement at 04:30 UTC (~15m) is the dominant catalyst and will override current structure
Loss of 0.70545 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.70500
Reclaim of 0.70620 neutralises the breakdown and reopens 0.70720
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.70613
Lower highs into a session low, small bounce.
AUDUSD ground lower through the late NY/Asia hours, fading from 0.70878 to a session low of 0.70554 before a shallow bounce into 0.70613. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43; the 0.70644 swing high caps the recovery so far, with the RBA decision now minutes away.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70644, 0.7070, 0.70744
What it said to watch
RBA Rate Decision at 04:30 UTC will dominate the next bars and can override this structure
Loss of 0.70554 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.70644 swing high and 0.70700 round opens a retest of 0.70744
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.70613
Lower highs into session low, basing.
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asia session, printing a session low at 0.70569 before twin lows near 0.70554/0.70569 stalled the slide and a tepid bounce to 0.70613 followed. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the RBA decision at 04:30 UTC sits ~30 minutes out and dominates the next bars.
Support: 0.70569, 0.70554
Resistance: 0.7066
What it said to watch
RBA Rate Decision at 04:30 UTC will likely override this structure within the next bar
Reclaim of 0.70660 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70554/0.70569 double bottom opens fresh lows
AUDUSD ground lower through late NY into Asia, sliding from 0.70858 to a 0.70554 session low as USD found a marginal post-data bid; price now sits below EMA20/EMA50 with a shallow bounce to 0.70626. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows, RSI(14) near 43 after the rejection at 0.70660.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7066, 0.70858
What it said to watch
RBA Rate Decision at 04:30 UTC plus 05:30 UTC press conference could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.70660 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.70554 confirms the next lower low toward 0.70500
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asian session, printing a fresh low at 0.70554 before a shallow bounce to 0.70626 as the US-Iran risk-on tape kept the USD soft. Structure remains a chain of lower highs and lower lows; price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43 after the bounce.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7068
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC (~45m out) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
M15 close above 0.70680 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70554 confirms continuation lower toward 0.70500
AUDUSD slid from the 0.7088 session high to a 0.7055 low ahead of the RBA, then recovered to 0.7062 and is probing the 0.7060 resistance flagged into the decision. RSI(14) is mid-range at ~43 after the leg lower, momentum cooling rather than extending.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7062, 0.70742, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 04:30 UTC (~1h out) plus 05:30 UTC presser can materially shift this read
Close above 0.7072 breaks the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.7055 confirms a lower low toward 0.7050
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into RBA · RSI 42 · price 0.7062
Lower highs, lower lows since 0.7088 spike.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the Asia session from the 0.7088 spike, posting a fresh low at 0.7057 before a shallow bounce to 0.7062 — the 0.7060 area UOB flagged as resistance. RSI(14) near 42 reflects the soft tape, with the whole move now compressed ahead of the RBA decision.
Support: 0.7057, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7088
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC (~1h) is the dominant risk to this read
Reclaim of 0.7072 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.7057 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Lower highs and lower lows, sitting near session low.
Asia session has bled lower, posting a fresh session low at 0.70554 before a shallow bounce; price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38. The 0.70878 spike earlier was rejected and faded, and lower highs have capped every push since.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70729, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC (~75min) is the dominant risk to this read
Close below 0.70554 opens the 0.70500 psych level
Reclaim of 0.70729 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at lows · RSI 40 · price 0.70609
Lower highs into 0.7055 low, now basing at 0.7060.
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asian session, sweeping down to a 0.70554 low before stalling at the 0.7060 area flagged as resistance. RSI(14) recovering off the lows while price holds below EMA20/50; the RBA decision is ~75 min out and dominates the next bars.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70625, 0.70689
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.70554 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.70689 needed to ease the downside skew
03:01 UTC
Short-term downtrend into RBA · RSI 33 · price 0.70617
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh window low.
AUDUSD slid through the Asian session to a fresh window low at 0.70554 as the post US-Iran risk-on bid faded, RSI(14) pressing into the low 30s. Price now hovers near 0.70617 below both EMAs, with the 0.7060 round level in focus into the RBA decision.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.7072
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.70554 confirms lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 0.70720 swing high invalidates the downside drift
Lower highs into session low, holding above 0.7055.
AUDUSD slid through the Asia session to a fresh low at 0.70554 as the intraday risk-on bid from the US-Iran framework faded, with a tepid bounce to 0.70617 into the close. Chain of lower highs from the 0.70878 session high remains intact; RSI(14) near 37 but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70685, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA Rate Decision at 04:30 UTC (~1.5h) — guidance is the swing factor for this read
M15 close below 0.70554 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.70685 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
AUDUSD slid through the Asia session to a fresh low at 0.70554, extending a lower-high/lower-low chain as the pre-RBA risk bid faded. RSI(14) near 32 with price below EMA20 and EMA50; a small bounce off 0.70554 stalled at 0.70598.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7066
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.70660 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70554 confirms continuation lower toward 0.70500
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 0.70598
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD ground lower through the late NY into Asia hours, posting a chain of lower highs and lower lows off the 0.70878 session high and breaking down to a 0.70554 session low. Risk-on USD softness is in the backdrop, but the move stalled at 0.70554 on thin Asian volume; RSI(14) near 32 reflects the one-sided slide.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7062, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70620 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.70554 extends the downtrend toward 0.70500
RBA decision at 04:30 UTC could materially reset this read
Late Asia session saw AUDUSD break below the 0.70660 prior support and slide to a fresh session low at 0.70554 ahead of the RBA, RSI(14) near 32 but not yet stretched. Sellers have controlled the last several hours in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7066
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.70660 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.70554 opens the path toward 0.70500
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asia session, accelerating into a sharp leg down over the last two hours to a fresh low at 0.70554 before stalling at 0.70601, RSI(14) near 31. The pair sits well below EMA20/EMA50 with a clean chain of lower highs; broad USD weakness on the US-Iran risk-on bid has not lifted AUD ahead of the RBA.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7066
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision/statement at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.70660 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.70554 confirms continued lower lows toward the 0.70500 round number
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 28 · price 0.70577
Lower highs, lower lows into Asia.
AUDUSD slid through the Asia session to a fresh 24h low at 0.70569, extending a clean chain of lower highs off the 0.70878 range high. RSI(14) near 27 marks short-term oversold but momentum is firmly down, with price below both EMAs ahead of the RBA decision.
Support: 0.70569, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7066, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.70660 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.70569 session low opens the 0.70500 round number
AUDUSD broke below the 0.7060 support flagged into the RBA and printed a fresh session low at 0.70569, with USD broadly soft on the US-Iran de-escalation tape. Price trades below EMA20/50, RSI(14) near 31 but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.70569, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7066
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.70660 would negate the support break
Failure to hold 0.70569 opens the path toward 0.70500 psych
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asia session, breaking the prior lows and printing a fresh session low at 0.70611 as the pre-RBA risk-on bid faded. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 33, and a chain of lower highs caps any bounce into the 0.70660 swing.
Support: 0.70611, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.7066
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.70660 swing would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.70600 round number extends the session low
AUDUSD has ground lower through the Asia session, building a chain of lower highs and lower lows off the 0.70878 spike and now printing a fresh session low at 0.70611. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI in the mid-30s; the 0.7060 round number is the line being tested into the RBA decision.
Support: 0.7060, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.7080
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 04:30 UTC (~2.5h out) is the dominant risk and could override this read
Sustained break under 0.7060 confirms downside skew toward 0.7050
Reclaim of 0.70690 would break the lower-high sequence
Asia session drifting lower, AUDUSD just printed a fresh session low at 0.70618 after the 0.7088 spike was rejected mid-window. Price stays pinned under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cooling toward 37; the broad risk-on bid that lifted AUD toward 0.7090 has faded ahead of the RBA.
Support: 0.70618, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.7071, 0.70744, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC (~2.75h out) can override this read
M15 close back above 0.70744 negates the lower-high chain
Asia session grinding lower into a fresh session low at 0.70618 after a string of lower highs, RSI(14) near 36. Price slipped below the 0.70660 floor and is hugging the 0.70600 round number ahead of the RBA decision.
Support: 0.70618, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.7074
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision/statement at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 0.70600 confirms a lower-low extension
Reclaim of 0.70740 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Lower highs off 0.7088 spike, testing session low.
Asia session drifting lower from the 0.7088 spike, with lower highs capping near 0.7074 and price now probing the 0.7064 session low. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme; ATR around 5 pips keeps ranges tight ahead of the RBA.
Support: 0.70639, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.70742, 0.70788, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC, then press conference — guidance is the key risk and can break this range
M15 close below 0.70639 confirms a lower-low into 0.7060
Reclaim of 0.70742 negates the lower-high sequence
01:31 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 41 · price 0.70685
Range, leg lower into session low.
Thin Asia-session bars have drifted AUDUSD off the 0.70878 spike high back toward the session low at 0.70639, with price holding below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 41. Pair is ranging 0.70639–0.70740 ahead of the RBA decision, the move stalling under the 0.7060s area flagged by the wider risk-on bid.
Support: 0.70639, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.7074, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Thin Asia session grinding down to the 0.7064 range low after the 0.70878 spike was sold back. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40; range 0.7064-0.7088 still intact and volume drying up into the RBA decision.
Support: 0.7064, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.70758, 0.70788, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision/statement at 04:30 UTC (~3h out) is the dominant risk and can break this range either way
M15 close below 0.7064 opens the 0.7060 round number
Reclaim of 0.70758 shifts the read back toward the range top
AUDUSD has bled lower through thin Asia liquidity, the current bar printing the session low at 0.70649 with RSI(14) near 39. Price sits below both EMAs after rejection at the 0.7074 swing high; the 0.7090 spike high earlier remains the ceiling of the 24h range. RBA at 04:30 UTC is the binding event — a fully-priced hold leaves the statement tone as the whole trade.
Support: 0.7064, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.7074, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.7064 confirms a lower low and opens 0.7060
Reclaim of 0.7074 negates the downward drift within the range
01:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 0.70707
Ranging below intraday high, mid-low of range.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70878 on the US-Iran risk-on bid then faded back to 0.7070, holding a tight Asian-session range between 0.70664 and 0.70744. Volume thinned through the overnight bars and price is now mid-low of range with RSI flat near 46.
Support: 0.70664, 0.7064
Resistance: 0.70744, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC (~3.5h out) is the key risk and can break this range either way
M15 close below 0.70664 confirms a lower-low toward 0.70640
Reclaim of 0.70744 reopens the 0.70878 session high
01:02 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 49 · price 0.70707
Range-bound between session high and low.
Thin Asia session chop; AUDUSD has drifted off the 0.70878 session high and is ranging around 0.7070 after twice basing near the 0.70664 session low. No directional structure in play — price coiling ahead of the RBA decision.
Support: 0.70664, 0.7064
Resistance: 0.7074, 0.70788, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision/statement at 04:30 UTC is the dominant risk and will likely break this range
M15 close below 0.70640 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 0.70788 reopens the path to the 0.70878 session high
Session high at 0.70878 was rejected and price has drifted back toward the 0.7064 session low, now hovering at 0.7068 on thin Asia-hours volume. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; range structure intact between 0.7064 and 0.7074.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70658
Resistance: 0.70742, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close below 0.70640 confirms a fresh session low
Reclaim of 0.70742 reopens the 0.70878 session high
RBA rate statement ~4h out (04:30 GMT) likely to drive the next leg
Quiet Asia session drift after the risk-on bid faded from the 0.70878 session high; price now pinned near range lows around 0.7068 with thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price holds below EMA20/50, but 0.7064 session low has capped the downside so far.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70664, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70742, 0.70788, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision/statement ~04:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.7064 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.7000
Reclaim of 0.70742 needed to neutralise the downward drift
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70878 mid-window then bled back to 0.7066-0.7068 in thin early-Asia hours, riding the broader risk-on, soft-USD backdrop. Price sits at the lower end of the 0.7064-0.7088 range with a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) sub-45.
Support: 0.7064, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70742, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read
Close below 0.7064 confirms a lower low and opens 0.7000
Reclaim of 0.70742 puts the 0.70878 session high back in play
London spike to 0.70878 was rejected and the pair has bled back through the Asian session to ~0.7067, holding just above the 0.7064 session low with RSI(14) mid-40s. Volumes are thin into the RBA decision in ~4h, which is the swing factor for this read.
Support: 0.7064, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.7074, 0.70788, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA rate statement at 04:30 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read
Break below 0.7064 opens the 0.7060/0.7000 area
M15 close back above 0.70788 negates the lower-high sequence
00:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.70694
Range-bound, holding lower third.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.7064–0.7088, easing back into the lower third on thin Asia-session volume after the risk-on bid faded the dollar overnight. Price slipped below EMA20 with RSI near 45; the 0.70878 session high remains untested since the earlier spike.
Support: 0.70665, 0.7064
Resistance: 0.7074, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70665 swing low exposes 0.70640 session low
Reclaim of 0.70740 swing high needed to retest 0.70878 session high
RBA rate decision/statement at 04:30 GMT could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.70694
Ranging 0.7064–0.7088, fading toward lower end.
Ranging 0.7064–0.7088 through the session, now drifting to the lower end near 0.7069 on thin Asian-session volume. The 0.70878 spike rejected on the US-Iran risk-on bid and price has since faded back below EMA20/50. RBA decision in ~4h is the swing factor for the next leg.
Support: 0.7064, 0.70668
Resistance: 0.70742, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Close below 0.7064 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.70742 reopens the 0.70878 session high
RBA rate decision/statement at 04:30 GMT could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 0.70707
Range-bound after NY spike faded.
NY-session spike to 0.70878 was rejected and the move fully faded into the Asian session, with AUDUSD now coiling around 0.7070 on thin pre-RBA volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46; price is pinned between 0.70665 support and 0.70745 minor resistance with no setup in play.
Support: 0.70665, 0.7064
Resistance: 0.70745, 0.7080, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA decision + statement at 04:30 GMT (~4.5h) — statement tone the key driver, can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.70800 reopens the 0.70878 day high
Break below 0.70665 confirms a lower-low toward 0.70640
00:01 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower in quiet Asia · RSI 47 · price 0.70707
Balance between 0.7064 and 0.7088, mid-range.
AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.70878 mid-window then faded, settling back into a tight low-volume Asia range around 0.7070 ahead of the RBA decision. Price is hugging the EMAs with RSI(14) near neutral; no directional momentum into the event.
Support: 0.70668, 0.7064
Resistance: 0.70744, 0.70878
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 04:30 GMT (and 05:30 GMT presser) is the dominant near-term risk and could break this range either way
Hold below 0.70744 keeps the recent fade intact; a close above re-tests the 0.70878 session high
Loss of 0.70640 session low confirms a lower-low into the event