Consolidation after Monday gap-up, capped below week high.
AUDUSD gapped higher into Monday's open and tagged a one-week high near 0.7088 before fading, and has since ranged 0.7045–0.7088 with a series of lower highs into 0.7079. The RBA hold at 4.35% and weak China May data kept a lid on the move, leaving price pinned around EMA20 at mid-range. RSI(14) is sitting near 46, reflecting the loss of upside momentum since the gap.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70385
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7079 reopens the week high at 0.7088
Failure to hold 0.7045 confirms a lower-low toward the weekly open
FOMC Wednesday (Warsh's first decision) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD gapped higher into Monday's open and tagged the week high at 0.70879 before settling into a range; price now sits near the EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering in the mid-40s. Lower highs at 0.70790 have capped the last two NY-session pushes, while demand near the 0.70500 range low has held. The drift reflects soft AUD tone after the RBA's hold and the China retail-sales miss this week.
Support: 0.7050, 0.70417, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70790 negates the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 0.70500 range low opens 0.70000 psych level
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) Wednesday is the dominant USD-side catalyst
22:02 UTC
Sideways after early-week pop · RSI 47 · price 0.70669
Consolidation under week high.
AUDUSD gapped up into Monday's open and ran to a 0.7088 week high, but that level capped two attempts and price has since drifted into a 0.7045–0.7088 range, now sitting mid-range and just under EMA(20). The RBA hold at 4.35% and soft China data have kept a lid on rallies while RSI(14) cycles around the 46–50 zone. Buyers stepped in around 0.7045 on the latest dip, holding the range floor.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7077, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC (Warsh's debut) Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read via USD
H1 close above 0.7088 invalidates the range top and reopens higher
Failure to hold 0.7045 exposes the 0.7000 round number
AUDUSD gapped higher into Thursday's session to a week high near 0.7088 but has since carved lower highs, with rallies into the 0.7079 area repeatedly rejected. Price now sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) hovering mid-40s, reflecting the soft post-RBA tone and weak China data weighing on the Aussie. The 0.7045 swing low marks the floor of this week's range.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.7079 negates the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 0.7045 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.7000
21:03 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.70664
Range below week high, lower highs forming.
AUDUSD gapped higher into Monday's open toward 0.70879 on early-week US-Iran relief, then faded as the RBA hold and a soft China retail print reasserted the heavier tone. Price has since carved lower highs and slipped back to 0.7066, with the 0.70790 range top capping the latest attempt. RSI is hovering in the mid-40s and price sits just under EMA(20) but above the slower EMA(50).
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in the coming hours is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
H1 close back above 0.70790 range top negates the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 0.70450 swing low opens the path toward the 0.7000 round number
AUDUSD has chopped within a roughly 0.7045–0.7088 range since this week's gap-up open, with the soft RBA hold and weak China retail sales keeping a lid on rallies near the 0.70880 week high. Price has slipped back under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling around the midline, and a sequence of lower highs into 0.70790 is capping bounces. The pair sits near the 50% retrace of the 0.70880-to-0.70410 down-leg as the market waits on the Fed.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7041, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC this week is the defining USD catalyst and can break the range either way
H1 close below 0.70410 week low opens the path toward the 0.70000 round number
Reclaim of the 0.70880 week high negates the lower-high sequence
Range below 0.7088 week high, lower highs forming.
AUDUSD rallied off the 0.69787 low into the 0.7088 week high but has spent the back half of the week ranging and is now drifting lower, slipping back under the EMA20 into the NY session. The soft RBA hold and weak China data have kept the pair pinned sub-0.7100, with two pushes into 0.7079–0.7088 rejected. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s as price leaks toward range support.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7045 confirms a lower-low, opening the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.7079 then 0.7088 week high needed to negate the lower-highs sequence
FOMC decision this week (USD-side) could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Rangebound, drifting lower off the highs · RSI 46 · price 0.70654
This-week range with a string of lower highs since Wednesday's peak.
AUDUSD gapped higher into Wednesday's open to a one-week high near 0.7088 on early-week USD softness, then faded back below EMA(20) as the RBA pause and soft China data reasserted pressure. Price has carved lower highs at 0.7088, 0.7079 and 0.7073 since, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range and the 0.7045–0.7088 band still containing trade. Demand has stabilised the dips around 0.7045 but each bounce is capping lower.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7079 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.7045 opens the path toward the 0.7000 round number
AUDUSD gapped higher into the new week then coiled in a roughly 0.7045–0.7090 range. Demand stepped in around 0.7045 mid-week and price has recovered back above EMA20, with RSI(14) cycling near the midline and a sequence of higher lows into the NY session. Aussie still carries a heavy tone after soft China retail sales and a hawkish-leaning Fed backdrop.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC (Warsh's first) this week is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this range
H1 close below 0.7045 confirms a lower low, opening the path toward 0.7000
Reclaim of 0.7090 needed to neutralize the heavy tilt
Consolidation under week high, higher lows since session low.
AUDUSD gapped higher into Monday's open near 0.7082 and tagged the week high at 0.7088 before drifting back; price has since carved higher lows off the 0.7045 session low and now sits mid-range around 0.7072, holding above EMA20. The 0.7088 week high and the 0.7100 cap flagged in the macro read have capped this week, with RSI(14) cycling around the midline. FOMC under new Chair Warsh is the dominant USD catalyst this week and overhangs the range.
Support: 0.7064, 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088, 0.7100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7088 reopens the 0.7100 cap test
Loss of 0.7045 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.7000
FOMC decision this week could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has chopped sideways since the weekend gap higher, with the week high near 0.7088 capping every probe and demand holding the 0.7045 session low. The early-week risk rally on the US-Iran deal partly retraced after the RBA's hawkish hold was overshadowed by soft China retail sales, leaving price coiled around EMA(20) near 0.7068 with RSI(14) cycling near the mid-50s.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088, 0.7100
What it said to watch
FOMC (Warsh) this week is the dominant USD catalyst and could break this range
H1 close above 0.7088 toward 0.7100 cap would neutralize the bearish weekly tilt
Failure to hold 0.7045 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
18:01 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 54 · price 0.7072
Consolidation between 0.7045 and 0.7088.
AUDUSD gapped higher into Monday's open and ran to the week high near 0.7088 before settling into a 0.7045-0.7088 range, with the RBA hold and soft China retail sales capping upside. Price has tracked just above the H1 EMA20 (~0.7067) through the NY session, RSI cycling around 50-55. The 0.7100 area remains the repeated cap that has held all week.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7067, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088, 0.7100
What it said to watch
FOMC (Warsh's first) this week is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 0.7100 would neutralise the range top
Failure to hold 0.7045 session low opens the path toward 0.7000 psych
This-week range 0.7042–0.7088, holding above EMAs.
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7040 and spiked to 0.70879 on the early risk-on US-Iran unwind, but has since carved a tight 0.7042–0.7088 range as a soft China retail print and an RBA hold the market faded capped the upside. Price recovered off the 0.70417 dip into the NY session and now sits above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) neutral around 55. The 0.70879 week high has yet to be retested with conviction.
Support: 0.70417, 0.7068, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70879, 0.7100
What it said to watch
FOMC Wednesday (Warsh's first) is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read
H1 close above 0.70879 reopens the path toward the 0.7100 cap
Loss of 0.70417 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.7000
AUDUSD has churned in a 0.7045–0.7088 band since the weekend gap higher, with the week high stalling just shy of the 0.7100 cap that has rejected rallies. The pair gave back gains after an RBA hawkish-hold the market faded and China's retail sales miss, but late-window higher lows off 0.7045 have nudged price back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) sitting near 55. Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7062, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088, 0.7100
What it said to watch
Fed decision Wednesday — USD direction is the swing factor for this read
Close above 0.70880 puts the 0.7100 cap back in play
Failure to hold 0.70450 opens the path toward 0.7000
16:02 UTC
Range, holding above EMAs · RSI 54 · price 0.70764
Rangebound 0.7045-0.7090 since weekend gap.
AUDUSD has chopped in a 0.7045-0.7090 band since the weekend gap higher, with the 0.7088 area capping rallies repeatedly. Price sits back above EMA(20) and EMA(50) after demand stepped in at 0.7045, with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-50s. The Fed decision Wednesday — alongside the soft China retail print weighing on AUD this week — is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088, 0.7100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7090 opens the path toward the 0.7100 psych cap
Loss of 0.7045 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.7000
FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 58 · price 0.70764
Post-gap range, higher lows building.
AUDUSD gapped higher into Monday's open and has since oscillated in a 0.7045–0.7088 range, with the early-week US-Iran risk-on bid offset by soft China data and a faded RBA hold. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with a series of higher lows since the 0.7045 floor, but the 0.7088 week high has capped each push and 0.7100 remains untested. RSI sits mid-50s, cycling without reaching extremes.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088, 0.7100
What it said to watch
Fed decision Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for AUDUSD direction
H1 close above 0.7088 opens the path to the 0.7100 psych cap
Failure to hold 0.7045 range floor exposes the 0.7000 area
15:02 UTC
Recovering within weekly range · RSI 61 · price 0.7078
Higher lows off 0.7045, testing range top.
AUDUSD based around 0.7045 after the soft China retail sales miss and recovered through the NY session, now grinding back toward the 0.7088 weekly high. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the upper 50s-60 as buyers defend each pullback. The week's range between 0.7045 and 0.7088 is still intact.
Support: 0.7045
Resistance: 0.7088
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7088 weekly high extends the recovery
Failure to hold 0.7045 swing low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wednesday (Warsh debut) is the dominant USD catalyst for this read
Price gapped higher into the new week and has since held a 0.7065-0.7088 range, with a series of higher lows lifting it back toward the 0.70879 weekly high. RSI(14) is cycling in the high-50s/low-60s and price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50), but the soft China retail-sales print and faded RBA reaction keep the broader tone heavy. FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst sitting over this read.
Support: 0.70649, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.70879
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70879 opens room beyond the weekly high
Failure to hold 0.70649 higher low reopens the 0.70417 swing low
FOMC decision Wednesday could materially shift this read
AUD/USD slipped from the post-gap push toward 0.7090 to 0.7042 after China retail sales missed badly and the RBA's hawkish hold was faded, then recovered back to 0.7075 into the NY session. Price now sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s; the 0.7040–0.7090 band has framed the whole week. FOMC Wednesday under Warsh is the dominant near-term USD catalyst.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7040, 0.7065
Resistance: 0.70821, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wednesday could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.70879 reopens the upper range
Failure to hold 0.7040 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.7000 area
14:02 UTC
Recovery within weekly range · RSI 58 · price 0.70757
Rangebound, higher lows forming.
AUDUSD spent the week boxed between 0.7045 and the 0.7088 weekly high after the early-week risk-on push stalled on soft China retail sales and the ignored RBA hold. Price dipped to 0.7042 in the prior session and has since recovered back above EMA(20), printing higher lows into 0.7076 with RSI(14) cycling near 58. The 0.7088 cap has held repeatedly and frames the range top into the Fed.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7068, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088, 0.7090
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7088 opens the path toward the 0.7090 range top and beyond
Failure to hold 0.7045 reopens the BBH-flagged 0.7000 path
FOMC Wednesday (Warsh's first decision) is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this range
13:02 UTC
Range, holding above EMAs · RSI 53 · price 0.70688
Consolidation under 0.7088 cap.
AUDUSD gapped higher into this week and stalled below the 0.7088 weekly high, which has capped two pushes since then. Price has since coiled in a 0.7045–0.7088 range, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 53 — consistent with the digest's stalled risk-on bounce after soft China retail sales and an ignored RBA hold. Pullbacks have found buyers around the 0.7045 swing low.
Support: 0.7045, 0.70417, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088, 0.7079
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7088 weekly high opens path toward 0.7090+
Failure to hold 0.7045 swing low confirms a lower low toward 0.7000
FOMC Wednesday (Warsh's first decision) is the dominant USD catalyst and could reshape this read
13:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound this week · RSI 52 · price 0.70688
Range between 0.7045 and 0.7088.
AUD gapped up to ~0.7082 at Monday's open then chopped sideways all week, oscillating between 0.7045 support and the 0.7088 weekly high after China retail sales missed and the RBA held at 4.35%. Price sits mid-range near EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around 50, showing no directional conviction. The 0.7088 weekly high has rejected price more than once, while dips into 0.7045 have been bought back.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7040, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088, 0.7077, 0.7090
What it said to watch
FOMC Wednesday (first under Warsh) is the dominant USD catalyst and could break this range
H1 close above 0.7088 opens the path back toward 0.7090+
Failure to hold 0.7045 exposes the 0.7040 session low and BBH-flagged 0.7000 undershoot
12:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.70685
Ranging mid-band after weekend gap.
Price gapped up to 0.70821 at the new week's open and has consolidated 0.7045–0.7088 since, with the 0.70880 week-high capping two attempts. AUD held off mid-week lows near 0.6979 on the US-Iran risk-on bid even as soft China data limited the rebound; price now sits on EMA(20) near 0.7068 with RSI(14) flat around 50. The 0.70450 range floor has contained dips, leaving the pair mid-band.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7077, 0.7088
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70880 invalidates the range-top read
Failure to hold 0.70450 opens the 0.7000 psych handle
FOMC Wednesday and Warsh's debug guidance is the dominant USD/AUD driver in the next session
12:01 UTC
Range after early-week gap-up, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.70685
Consolidation between 0.7050 and 0.7088.
AUDUSD gapped higher into the new week and has since coiled between 0.7050 and the 0.7088 week high, with RSI(14) hugging the 50 line as pullbacks find the EMA(20). The risk-on bid from the US-Iran framework offset soft China data, but the pair has lacked direction through the NY session as the market sits on its hands ahead of the FOMC. Price holds just above both EMAs, keeping the range intact.
Support: 0.7050, 0.70385, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7077, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC Wednesday and Warsh's debut presser is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7088 week high opens the path higher
Failure to hold 0.7050 exposes the 0.7000 psych level flagged as an undershoot target
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7040 and spiked to a 0.7088 week high before settling into a 0.7045–0.7088 range; the post-RBA hold and soft China retail sales capped the proxy bid. Twin rejections at 0.7088 leave a double-top look, while the NY dip to 0.7045 yesterday was bought back above EMA20 with RSI cycling around 57. Price now sits in the upper half of the range, above both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.7042, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7088 week high invalidates the range read and opens the path higher
Failure to hold 0.7045 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
FOMC and Warsh guidance Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and could reshape this range
11:02 UTC
Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 57 · price 0.70758
Bouncing off mid-week low, reclaiming ema cluster.
AUDUSD opened the week with a gap higher and tagged the 0.7088 week high before fading to 0.70454 into the NY session; buyers have since stepped back in, stacking higher lows from 0.70454 back to 0.70758. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-50s, but the move stalled after the RBA hold and soft China data, leaving the 0.7082/0.7088 week high as the cap to clear.
Support: 0.70607, 0.70454, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70821, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70821 reopens the path to the 0.70879 week high
Loss of 0.70607 higher low signals the recovery is fading toward 0.70454
FOMC Wednesday and Warsh's debut guidance is the dominant USD/AUD driver and can reset this read
AUDUSD gapped higher into the new week and tagged 0.7088 before stalling, with the move fading into the RBA hold and soft China retail sales. Price sold off through the NY session toward 0.70454, then recovered roughly half the drop to sit back at the EMA20 around 0.7068. Structure is a rotation between 0.7045 support and the 0.7088–0.7090 cap.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70878, 0.7090
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.70878 needed to reopen the 0.7090 cap
Failure to hold 0.70454 exposes the 0.7000 psych level
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver and can reshape this range
10:02 UTC
Range, mid-range after pullback · RSI 52 · price 0.70674
This-week range 0.7042-0.7088, recovering off lows.
AUDUSD has held a 0.7042-0.7088 range since the weekend reopen, with the RBA hold and weak China retail sales capping the early-week rally near 0.7090. Price drifted to a 0.70417 session low yesterday before buyers stepped in, lifting it back to mid-range around EMA(20) with RSI cycling near 52. The 0.7082 week high has capped, and the move sits on the wrong side of a soft-AUD backdrop into the Fed.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70417, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7082, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wednesday is the dominant swing factor for this read
H1 close above 0.70820 reopens the 0.70879 week high
Failure to hold 0.70450 confirms a lower-low toward 0.7000
09:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 0.7068
Range below weekly high after impulse.
AUD climbed off the 0.6979 low early week to test 0.7088 on the risk-on, USD-soft Hormuz theme, but gains faded after the RBA held at 4.35% and weak China retail sales capped the proxy bid. Price has since drifted back to the EMA20 around 0.7065, holding the 0.7045 swing low after a rejection at the weekly high. RSI(14) sits near 51, reflecting the loss of upside momentum into the Fed.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7088 reopens the weekly high and the path toward 0.7090+
Loss of 0.7045 swing low confirms a lower-low and brings the 0.7000 round number into view
FOMC dot plot/SEP at Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD gapped higher into this week's open near 0.708 on the early risk-on Hormuz theme, but the move stalled below 0.7088 and faded as China's May retail sales missed (-0.6%) and the RBA held at 4.35% as priced, keeping the Aussie capped. Price slid to a 0.7045 day low before recovering to 0.7068, now sitting just above EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 51. The series of lower highs from 0.7088 frames the consolidation top.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7040, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC dot plot/SEP Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.70879 reopens the path to the week high break
Failure to hold the 0.7045 day low exposes 0.7000 psych
AUDUSD ran from Monday's ~0.7040 open up to 0.7088, where the 0.7060/0.7090 zone capped two attempts and printed a near-matched double high. The pair has since rolled over below EMA(20), with the soft-USD impulse off the US-Iran framework fading into the RBA's in-line 4.35% hold. Price is now pivoting around the 0.7060 cap after defending 0.70454 in the prior session.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.70600 reopens the 0.70879 week high
Loss of 0.70454 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.7000
FOMC under Warsh (Wed) and US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
AUDUSD gapped higher into the week and spent two sessions ranging beneath the 0.7060 cap flagged by the US-Iran risk-on bid; repeated tries at 0.7088 were rejected. Price has since faded back to the cap, finding demand at 0.7045 while RSI(14) sits mid-40s below both EMAs. The grudging upside noted post-RBA hold shows on the chart — momentum has rolled over within this-week's range.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70385, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.7060 keeps the range top in play toward 0.7088
Failure to hold 0.7045 opens the 0.7000 psych level
FOMC (Warsh) Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Pullback within this-week's uptrend · RSI 44 · price 0.70532
Rolling over from week high, lower highs forming.
AUDUSD topped near 0.7088 twice this week — lifted by the US-Iran de-escalation risk-on bid and an in-line RBA hold — and has since rolled into a pullback, slipping below EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) has cooled toward the mid-40s with momentum failing to match the second high, and price is now testing the 0.7042 session low. Lower highs off the week high mark a corrective leg.
Support: 0.70417, 0.7029, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7071, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.7071 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.7042 session low opens 0.7030/0.7000
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.70532
Rejection from 0.7088 ceiling, lower highs forming.
AUDUSD rallied from the 0.6979 trough to the 0.70878 week high after the US-Iran risk-on bounce and a softer USD, but repeated tests of 0.7088 capped the move and price has since rolled over below EMA20 and EMA50. The pullback has reached the 0.70417 day low, broadly aligning with the 38.2% retrace of the week's impulse, with RSI(14) easing into the low 40s. The in-line RBA hold left direction to the presser, and the 0.7060 prior-support shelf now sits overhead.
Support: 0.70417, 0.70333, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70878
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.70417 day low confirms a lower low and opens the 0.7000 round number
Reclaim of 0.70600 prior low reopens the 0.70878 week high
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.70474
Retreat from week-high double top.
AUD ran from the 0.6979 swing low up to the 0.70880 week high after the US-Iran risk-on bid and a soft US data string drained the dollar; the RBA hold at 4.35% landed in line. Price has since rolled over from twin highs near 0.7088 and slipped back below the H1 EMA(20), with RSI cooling to the low-40s as the bounce fades. Demand is being tested around 0.7042/0.7040, the weekly-open shelf.
Support: 0.70417, 0.7040, 0.7029
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close back above 0.7068 ema20 would re-engage the week-high test
Failure to hold 0.7040 weekly open opens the 0.7029 prior low
06:02 UTC
Rolling over after gap-up stall · RSI 39 · price 0.70474
Double top capping, pulling back toward gap fill.
AUDUSD gapped up at the week open and spent two sessions ranging under 0.7088, where a double top capped two attempts and the risk-on bounce from soft US data stalled. Price has since rolled back below EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) near 38 as the move retraces toward the 0.7045 day low and the gap fill. Demand around 0.7045 is the immediate test; below it, 0.7000 comes into view.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7000, 0.69787
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Hold or loss of 0.7045 day low defines whether the gap fully fills
Reclaim of 0.7060 uob resist would neutralise the rollover
FOMC dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Pullback from week high, momentum down · RSI 39 · price 0.70509
Lower highs after double top near 0.7088.
AUDUSD rallied to a one-week high and stalled on a double top near 0.7088 before sliding into the 0.7050 area as US-Iran de-escalation risk-on flows faded ahead of the RBA. Price has dropped below EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling toward 38, and the last NY session printed a clean lower high. The 0.7045 session low marks first support while 0.7060 has capped the bounce.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.7088
What it said to watch
RBA press conference at 05:30 UTC is the primary intraday catalyst
H1 close below 0.7045 confirms a lower low toward the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.7060 reopens the path to the 0.7088 week high
05:02 UTC
Pullback from week highs · RSI 40 · price 0.70509
Lower highs after double-top stall.
AUDUSD gapped higher into the week and pushed to 0.7088 twice, but the matched highs capped it and price has rolled over below EMA(20) into the latest NY hours. The leg back to 0.70503 — helped along by hotter US PPI earlier and a firmer USD — has now retraced most of the post-gap impulse, with RSI(14) sliding toward 40. The 0.7060 UOB cap is back overhead while 0.70454 marks this week's reaction low.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7040, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70879
What it said to watch
RBA presser at 05:30 UTC is the primary intraday catalyst and can shift this read
H1 close below 0.70454 confirms a lower low toward the 0.7040 weekly open
Sustained move back above 0.7060 negates the double-top rejection
Rebound off 0.6979 stalling below 0.7088, now pulling back.
AUD rebounded sharply off the 0.6979 low through the week as the US-Iran de-escalation drained safe-haven demand from the dollar, peaking near the 0.7088 week high before stalling. Price has since consolidated in the 0.7070s and slipped under EMA20 into the NY-Asia transition, with RSI(14) easing toward the low-40s. The 0.7055 swing low is the nearest demand level as the pullback develops.
Support: 0.7055, 0.7040, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7075, 0.7088
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision and statement at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.7055 swing low confirms the rebound is fading toward weekly open 0.7040
Reclaim of 0.7075 ema20 reopens the 0.7088 week high
03:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.70617
Post-gap consolidation under week high.
AUDUSD gapped higher at the week open from the 0.7044 area and ran to 0.7088 as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the safe-haven USD bid and lifted risk currencies. Price has since rounded over and eased back to 0.7062, slipping below EMA20 while holding above EMA50 with RSI back near 46. The 0.6979 trough earlier in the window now anchors the dominant impulse the market is retracing.
Support: 0.7060, 0.7044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.7088
What it said to watch
RBA decision/statement at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.7060 round level confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.7044 weekly open
Reclaim of 0.7072 EMA20 reopens the path to the 0.7088 week high
AUDUSD rallied from Monday's 0.6979 two-month trough to a 0.7088 week high after the US-Iran de-escalation drained the safe-haven USD bid; a weekend gap higher kick-started the leg. Price has since drifted into the 0.7060 zone flagged as resistance, slipping back below EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling from the upper band into the mid-40s. Lower highs since the gap top mark a stalling impulse ahead of the RBA decision.
Support: 0.70554, 0.7044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70729, 0.70879
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC then presser at 05:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.70554 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.7044 gap base
Reclaim of 0.70729 reopens the path to the 0.70879 week high
02:02 UTC
Uptrend off the week's low, momentum fading near highs · RSI 45 · price 0.70617
Rally from 0.6979 trough stalling below 0.7088, drifting lower in Asia.
AUD rebounded off the 0.6979 week low and gapped higher into the new week on the US-Iran risk-on bid and a softer USD, but the move has stalled below 0.7088 after three touches there. Price has slipped back under EMA(20) in the Asia session and is drifting toward the 0.7060 round number, with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. The week's net structure stays higher, but the failed pushes at 0.7088 leave a double-top look capping the top of the range.
Support: 0.7060, 0.7044, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.7075, 0.7088
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 04:30 UTC, then the press conference at 05:30 UTC, can materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.7060 opens the pre-gap low at 0.7044
An hourly close back above 0.7088 invalidates the double-top cap
Consolidation below week high after gap-up impulse.
AUDUSD gapped higher into this week's open on the US-Iran de-escalation risk-on bid and softer USD, peaking near the 0.7088 week high. Price has since consolidated in a 0.7065-0.7088 band and is now testing the lower edge, with RSI(14) cooling back toward 43 and price slipping under EMA(20). The RBA decision at 04:30 UTC is the dominant near-term event.
Support: 0.7061, 0.7044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7076, 0.7088
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision/statement at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.7060 opens a path back toward the 0.7044 pre-gap close
Reclaim of the 0.7076 range cap keeps the consolidation intact
AUDUSD rebounded hard off the 0.6979 two-month low through last week and gapped into Monday's open above 0.7080 as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the safe-haven USD bid. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.7064-0.7088 band, with the week high near 0.7088 capping two pushes and EMA(20) flattening just overhead. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 47 as the Asian session trades thin into the RBA decision.
Support: 0.7064, 0.7044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7088 week high opens the path higher
Failure to hold 0.7064 session low exposes the 0.7044 prior-week close
AUDUSD gapped higher into the new week and rallied to 0.7088 as the US-Iran peace framework drained the safe-haven USD bid and lifted risk-sensitive currencies. Price has since drifted into a tight 0.7065-0.7088 consolidation above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI flattening near 50. The week high has capped repeated attempts while the 0.7065 floor has held.
Support: 0.7065, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.70879, 0.7100
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision at 04:30 UTC and press conference at 05:30 UTC are the key risk to this read
H1 close above 0.70879 opens the path toward the 0.7100 psych level
Loss of 0.70650 range floor reopens the 0.7040 weekly open
00:02 UTC
Recovery stalling into range · RSI 49 · price 0.70706
Post-gap consolidation near week highs.
AUDUSD gapped higher into the new week as the US-Iran de-escalation and oil drop drained safe-haven USD demand, lifting the pair off the 0.6979 trough toward 0.7088. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 0.7066-0.7088 band, drifting back to the EMA20 around 0.7074 on thin Asian liquidity. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the rally lost momentum ahead of the RBA.
Support: 0.7066, 0.7045, 0.7032
Resistance: 0.7088, 0.7080
What it said to watch
RBA rate decision/statement at 04:30 GMT and presser at 05:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7088 week high reopens the upside path
Failure to hold 0.7066 range low exposes the 0.7045 weekly open
AUDUSD rebounded from the 0.6979 trough printed mid-week and gapped higher into Monday's open as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the oil/USD safe-haven bid. Price has since gone sideways in a 0.7065–0.7088 band, sitting just under the 0.70879 session high with RSI(14) flattening near the midline and EMA20 capping closes. The 0.7000 round number, defended on the way up, is the structural floor for this recovery.
Support: 0.7065, 0.70385, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70879, 0.7090
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 04:30 GMT plus press conference 05:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7090 opens the path to a deeper recovery
Failure to hold 0.7065 puts the 0.70385 weekly open back in play