AUDUSD broke down hard from the week's 0.7060–0.7088 range after the FOMC hawkish hold lifted the USD, dropping ~75 pips to test the 0.7000 psych level. Price now sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) oversold near 29 after the impulsive sell-off through the NY session. The broken 0.7065 floor now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.70058, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70415, 0.7065, 0.70751
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70000 psych and 0.69946 week low extends the breakdown
Recovery back above 0.70415 breakdown bar would negate the fresh leg lower
Reaction at the 0.7000 round number — area to watch for rejection or break
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 0.70149
Range break below 0.7050, new lows.
AUDUSD broke the multi-day 0.7050 floor in the NY session as a hawkish FOMC hold and stronger US retail sales lifted the dollar, slicing to 0.6995 before stabilising. Price now consolidates near 0.7015, well below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) depressed in the low-30s. The 0.7050 prior support is the immediate cap, with 0.7000 acting as the magnet flagged into the decision.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7050
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7000 confirms continuation toward the 0.6995 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7050 prior support would neutralise the breakdown
AU S&P Global PMIs (Jun 22) the next domestic catalyst for this read
AUDUSD spent the week pinned in a 0.7040–0.7088 range before a hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision drove a sharp NY-session breakdown, slicing through 0.7050 support to print 0.6995. Price has since stabilised near 0.7013, holding just above the 0.7000 psych level, with RSI oversold after the impulsive drop. Both EMAs sit well overhead following the leg lower.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7035
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.7000 opens the deeper slide flagged toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.7050 prior support would negate the breakdown
Thu Jobless Claims / Philly Fed (12:30 UTC) is the next USD-side catalyst
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, sharp drop on FOMC · RSI 28 · price 0.70138
Break below week's range, fresh lower low.
AUDUSD broke hard out of a multi-day 0.7050-0.7088 range, dumping to 0.6995 after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision and hot US retail sales lifted the USD. Price is pinned below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) at oversold extremes, and the 0.7000 psych level has been pierced. The week's lower-highs structure is now confirmed by a decisive lower low.
Support: 0.6995, 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70415, 0.70821
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70415 would negate the breakdown read
Hold below 0.7000 keeps the downside path toward 0.6890 open
Asian session follow-through after the FOMC repricing
AUDUSD broke down hard through the 0.7050 floor into the NY session as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision lit a broad USD bid, extending a second straight down day. Price spiked to 0.69946 before stabilising just above the 0.7000 psychological magnet, with RSI(14) now in oversold territory after the drop. The prior 0.7050–0.7070 range now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7050, 0.70725
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance below 0.7000 opens the deeper slide toward 0.6890
An H1 close back above 0.7050 negates the breakdown
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed (Thu 12:30 UTC) could extend or fade the USD move
AUDUSD broke hard out of its multi-day 0.7050-0.7088 range, sliding from 0.70725 to a 0.69946 low after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision and hot US retail sales lifted the dollar. Price closed at 0.70127, below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) pressed into oversold near 30. The 0.7000 psych level is the immediate magnet flagged all week.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70415, 0.70725, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.70415 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych opens the undershoot below the swing low
FOMC follow-through and US claims could extend the dollar bid
AUDUSD broke down through the 0.7050 floor that had capped the week's range as the Fed's hawkish hold and a strong US retail sales print drove the USD, producing a sharp two-bar slide into the 0.7000 magnet with a low of 0.69946. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI deeply oversold. The week's lower-highs structure capped repeatedly at 0.70725 before this drop.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7050, 0.70725
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7050 would negate the range break
Failure to hold 0.7000 confirms continuation toward the undershoot
FOMC follow-through / Warsh tone could extend USD strength
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 0.7060-0.7088 range before the FOMC hawkish hold and a blowout US Retail Sales print drove a sharp NY-session breakdown, dumping price from 0.7070 to a 0.69946 low. The move sliced clean through EMA20 and EMA50 and a fresh lower low is now in place with RSI(14) near oversold. Price is hovering just above the 0.7000 magnet flagged into the decision.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7045, 0.70725, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Recovery and H1 close back above 0.70450 would negate the range break
Failure to hold 0.7000 confirms the lower-low and opens the undershoot
Thu US jobless claims / Philly Fed could extend or fade the USD bid
AUDUSD has carved a steady sequence of lower highs since the gap-up to the 0.70879 week high, never reclaiming the 0.71 handle. The pair sliced through its multi-session range into the NY session as the hawkish Fed hold (3.75%, lifted dots) and a strong US retail sales beat drove a broad USD bid, dropping price to a 0.70316 session low and back below both EMAs. RSI(14) has rolled to the high-30s confirming the downside break.
Support: 0.70316, 0.70207, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70725, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.70725 prior high negates the week's lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.70316 session low opens the 0.7000 psych magnet
Warsh presser fallout could materially shift this read in the next bars
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 0.7050–0.7088 band before a sharp downside break on the hawkish Fed hold and strong US retail sales, driving the pair to a session low of 0.70316 in one high-volume bar. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI back toward the mid-30s, confirming the lower-highs pattern that capped each rally near 0.7079–0.7088. The 0.7000 psych magnet flagged into FOMC is now the next reference below.
Support: 0.70316, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7070, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.70700 negates the range-break and re-opens the prior band
Failure to hold 0.70316 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.7000 psych level
Warsh presser fallout could materially shift this read in the next bars
18:02 UTC
Range with lower highs, drifting lower · RSI 39 · price 0.70517
Consolidation under week's highs, pivot 0.7050 in play.
AUDUSD has carved lower highs since Wednesday's 0.70879 peak, with rallies into the 0.7079 area capped repeatedly through the week. Price has pinned around the 0.7050 pivot flagged in the macro read, and the latest bar sliced to 0.70464 before closing back at 0.70517 as the FOMC decision landed. RSI(14) sits near 39 and price trades below both H1 EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 0.7050, 0.70207, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision and Warsh presser are live — could materially shift this read in the next bar
Sustained H1 close below 0.7050 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.70790 swing high would negate the lower-highs structure
Lower highs since Friday, holding above 0.7050 pivot.
AUDUSD has been carving lower highs since Friday's gap to 0.7088, with price now trading under both EMA(20) and EMA(50) after the latest bar rejected sharply into the FOMC decision. The 0.7050 pivot is still holding, but the soft post-RBA tone has kept rallies capped below 0.7079. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, in line with the gentle drift lower.
Support: 0.70464, 0.7025, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision now and Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close below 0.70464 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.7079 would negate the lower-highs structure
AUDUSD gapped up to the 0.7088 week high at the Monday open then faded, settling into a range above the 0.7050 pivot for a second day after the hawkish-hold RBA failed to inspire. Two attempts at 0.7088 stalled to form a double top, and price now sits back above EMA20/EMA50 near 0.7071 with RSI mid-range — chop ahead of the FOMC decision. The 0.70454 swing low and the 0.7050 pivot mark the range base.
Support: 0.7050, 0.70454, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser will likely set the next H1 leg
H1 close below 0.7050 pivot opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim and close above 0.7088 week high negates the double top read
Rangebound below week high, higher lows since Wed low.
AUDUSD has chopped within roughly 0.7042–0.7088 all week, fading the hawkish-RBA bounce into Tuesday's 0.70879 high and basing at the 0.70417 swing low Wednesday. Price has since ground out higher lows back above EMA20/EMA50 near 0.7071, with RSI cycling around the mid-50s — a soft USD on US-Iran optimism is offsetting the AUD's negative tilt. The 0.7050 pivot flagged in the macro read has held as the floor on every retest.
Support: 0.7050, 0.70417, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~1h) plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
Hourly close below 0.7050 reopens the 0.7042 swing low and the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.70790 then 0.70879 week high negates the lower-highs structure
AUDUSD has been pinned in a 0.7045-0.7088 band since midweek, fading the hawkish-RBA bounce as traders sit on hands into FOMC. Price hugs the EMA20/EMA50 cluster near 0.7065 with RSI(14) flat around 53, no clear momentum either way. The week high at 0.70879 has capped, while the 0.7045 floor has held repeated probes through the NY session.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70385
Resistance: 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2h) is the immediate driver and can break this range
H1 close below 0.7045 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.7000
Reclaim of 0.70879 week high negates the lower-highs structure
AUDUSD gapped up at the week's open and ran to 0.7088, but has drifted on a series of lower highs since, sitting near 0.7070 hugging EMA(20). The hawkish-hold RBA failed to inspire and the pair is pinned above the 0.7050 pivot, with rejection capping each attempt back toward 0.7088. Price is coiling ahead of the FOMC decision with RSI(14) flat around the mid-50s.
Support: 0.7050, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088, 0.7079
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.7050 pivot opens the path toward 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of 0.7088 wk high would negate the lower-highs structure
AUDUSD gapped up to a 0.70879 week high on Monday's open then bled lower through London and NY hours, printing a series of lower highs as the hawkish-RBA bounce faded. Price now coils around the EMA20 near 0.7066 with RSI cycling around the midline, holding above the 0.7050 pivot flagged in the macro read. Two-day negative drift remains intact below the 0.70790 lower-high cap.
Support: 0.7054, 0.7050, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the immediate USD driver — could reshape this read in the next bars
Loss of 0.7050 pivot exposes the 0.70417 wk low
Reclaim of 0.70790 lower high would negate the descending sequence
AUDUSD has chopped between 0.7045 and 0.7088 since the hawkish-RBA bounce faded, with each push higher into the NY session this week leaving a lower high. Price is pinned around the 0.7050 pivot flagged in the AUD read, hugging EMA(20) with RSI(14) idling near 50 as traders sit on hands into the FOMC. Strong US Retail Sales gave the dollar little lift, keeping the range intact.
Support: 0.7050, 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7077, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.7045 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.7077 prior high negates the lower-highs sequence
AUDUSD ran to a week high of 0.70879 into the NY session before slipping into a string of lower highs, pressured by a soft post-RBA Aussie and a hot US retail sales print. Price is back hugging EMA(20) near 0.7068 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, and demand stepped in twice around 0.70454 to hold the floor. FOMC today is the immediate driver into this consolidation.
Support: 0.7056, 0.70454, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.70790 would break the lower-highs structure
Failure to hold 0.70454 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
AUDUSD has chopped between 0.7045 and the 0.7088 week high since this week's gap-higher open, with each NY-session push leaving a lower high. Price sits back at the EMA(20) near 0.7066 with RSI(14) mid-range around 50, consolidating ahead of today's FOMC. The soft AUD tone after the RBA's hawkish-but-hollow hold keeps the 0.7045 floor in focus.
Support: 0.7066, 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4h) is the immediate driver and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7088 invalidates the lower-highs range read
Failure to hold 0.7045 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
13:02 UTC
Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.70646
Consolidation under week high after pullback.
An early-week rally peaked near the 0.70879 week high before fading through the NY sessions, with AUD holding above 0.7050 as the RBA's hawkish hold underwhelmed and soft China retail sales weighed. Price now chops between the 0.70537 swing low and the 0.70790 prior high, hovering on the EMA20 but sub-EMA50, RSI mid-40s. The descending lower-highs since Monday's peak cap the upside into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.70537, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~5h is the swing factor for this read
Loss of 0.7050 and the 0.70417 week low opens the 0.7000 zone
H1 close above 0.70790 prior high challenges the week high
AUDUSD gapped up to the 0.70879 week high after Monday's open, then bled lower through a series of lower highs as weak China retail sales and a fading RBA hawkish-hold weighed. Price has spent the last day chopping around the EMA20 near 0.7064, sitting below the EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering near 50. The 0.7050 pivot and 0.7042 floor have so far held the downside.
Support: 0.70503, 0.70417
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant swing factor for this read
Loss of 0.7042 floor confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 0.7000
H1 close above 0.70790 prior high negates the lower-high sequence
Lower highs since Wednesday's peak, range floor holding.
AUDUSD has been grinding lower since Wednesday's 0.7088 week high, printing successive lower highs with the 0.7079 area now capping bounces and price trading under EMA20 near 0.7068. The Aussie continues to defend the 0.7050 pivot and 0.7054 swing low after soft China retail sales and an underwhelming RBA hold, with RSI(14) sub-50 reflecting the fade. Range remains intact between the 0.7042 floor and the week high.
Support: 0.7054, 0.7050, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver and could reshape this read
Loss of 0.7050 pivot / 0.7042 floor confirms a lower-low and opens 0.7000
Hourly close back above 0.7079 lower high negates the descending sequence
Lower highs since Wednesday, holding 0.7050 pivot.
AUD/USD rallied off Monday's 0.6980 open to a 0.7088 mid-week high, then has ground lower into the FOMC decision, posting successive lower highs and slipping below EMA20 and EMA50. Price is parked just above the 0.7050 pivot it has defended this week, with RSI(14) sub-50. The fade reflects soft China retail sales and a hawkish-hold RBA that underwhelmed, leaving direction tied to the Fed.
Support: 0.7050, 0.7042, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today (18:00 UTC) is the swing factor and could materially shift this read
Loss of the 0.7042 floor would confirm the lower-low and open 0.7000
Reclaim of 0.7068 EMA20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
11:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower off the highs · RSI 45 · price 0.70586
Lower highs under 0.7088 week high, holding 0.7050 pivot.
AUDUSD rallied from Monday's 0.6979 open to a 0.7088 week high, then settled into a lower-highs drift that has kept it pinned under the EMA20 around 0.7066. Price is defending the 0.7050 pivot after the hawkish RBA hold underwhelmed and softer China data weighed, with the 0.7042 swing low marking the floor of the week's range. RSI(14) sits sub-50 as momentum cools into the FOMC.
Support: 0.7050, 0.7042, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7066, 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the swing factor for this read
Loss of 0.7042 swing low opens the 0.7000 psych level
H1 close back above the 0.7066 ema20 and 0.7079 prior high needed to re-challenge the 0.7088 week high
AUDUSD has carved a range between the week high at 0.70879 and the 0.7050 psych pivot, with a sequence of lower highs since Wednesday's NY session as price slips under EMA20 and EMA50. The pullback follows the soft China retail sales print and an underwhelming RBA hawkish hold, leaving the Aussie capped below 0.7088. RSI(14) is mid-40s, reflecting the slow drift rather than impulsive selling, with the 0.7042 intraday floor still intact.
Support: 0.7050, 0.70537, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.70689, 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver and could reshape this read
Loss of 0.7042 floor opens the path toward 0.7000
H1 close above 0.70689 swing high reopens the range top at 0.7079/0.70879
Pullback off week high, holding above 0.7050 pivot.
AUD/USD gapped higher into Monday's open and tagged 0.70879 before fading through the week, with the soft China retail print and an underwhelming RBA hold capping upside sub-0.7100. Price now drifts below EMA20 into the NY session, posting lower highs while the 0.7050 pivot holds and the 0.70537 swing low is being tested. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, reflecting the gradual offer rather than capitulation.
Support: 0.70537, 0.7050, 0.7042
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today is the immediate swing factor for this read
Loss of 0.7050 pivot exposes the 0.7042 week floor
H1 close back above 0.70680 EMA20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
AUD gapped up to 0.708 at Tuesday's open and held above 0.7050 after the RBA's hawkish hold, but the week high at 0.70879 capped two attempts and price has rolled into a series of lower highs. It now sits below EMA20 around 0.706 with RSI(14) under 50, drifting toward the 0.7045 swing low. Soft China retail sales and a discounted RBA bias have kept the upside limited ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7065, 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver for this read
H1 close below 0.70454 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.7000
Reclaim of EMA20 near 0.7065 and the 0.7079 prior high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Lower highs since week high, holding above 0.7050.
AUDUSD has drifted lower for a second day from the week high near 0.7088, capped below 0.7100 after the hawkish RBA hold and weak China data; price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s. Lower highs have built since Monday's session while the 0.7050 pivot has so far been defended into NY hours. FOMC today is the swing factor for the read.
Support: 0.7050, 0.7042, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7042 floor opens 0.7000
Reclaim of 0.7088 week high needed to negate the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision today (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has chopped in a 0.7042-0.7088 band since Monday's open, capped sub-0.7100 after the RBA's hawkish hold underwhelmed and soft China retail data weighed. Price slipped back under EMA(20) and EMA(50) into the European session with RSI(14) below 50, leaving the week high at 0.7088 unchallenged on the latest attempts. The drift lower keeps the 0.7042 week floor in focus ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.7042, 0.7053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088, 0.7100
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC today is the immediate driver and could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.7042 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.7000
Capped below 0.7100, drifting off this-week highs.
AUDUSD gapped higher into Monday's session and has been pinned ~0.7070 all week, with twin rejections at 0.7088 leaving a double top and the 0.7100 psych cap untested. Price has slipped back under EMA(20)/EMA(50) into the NY session with RSI(14) drifting toward the mid-40s, mirroring the digest read of an AUD capped below 0.7100 on China/growth concerns. The week's range remains intact between the 0.7088 highs and the 0.7042/0.7045 wk low.
Support: 0.7054, 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088, 0.7100
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight is the dominant swing factor for the next bars
H1 close above 0.7088 invalidates the double top and reopens the 0.7100 cap
Loss of the 0.7042 wk low confirms a lower-low toward 0.7000 psych
Lower highs since Tuesday's peak, pinned mid-range.
AUD/USD has ground lower since Tuesday's 0.7088 peak, carving a sequence of lower highs and now pinned near 0.7063 below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) is sub-50, reflecting the soft drift as faded RBA hawkishness and China growth worries keep the Aussie capped under 0.7100. FOMC tonight is the dominant swing factor for the next sessions.
Support: 0.70537, 0.70417, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70878, 0.7100
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tonight is the dominant near-term driver for this read
H1 close above 0.7079 breaks the descending lower-highs line
Failure to hold 0.7042 swing low opens the 0.7000 psych level
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since week high · RSI 43 · price 0.70566
Descending lower highs, compressing near range low.
AUD/USD has carved a series of lower highs since the 0.7088 week high printed early week, drifting back under EMA20 and EMA50 through the NY-into-Asia sessions. The hawkish RBA hold and soft China retail sales (-0.6%) offered no lasting lift, and RSI sits in the mid-40s. Price is now compressing into a tight Asian range near 0.7056 ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.7068 (ema20) would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.7045 swing low opens the path toward 0.7000 round number
Fed decision 18:00 UTC is the next major USD driver for the pair
AUDUSD rallied off Monday's 0.6979 base toward the 0.70879 week high but has carved a sequence of lower highs since, now slipping back to 0.7057 below EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s. The RBA's hawkish hold went unrewarded and soft China retail sales weighed, leaving price drifting from the week high toward the 0.70454 swing low. Sessions have been quiet, with the bulk of the topside stall coming during the NY-Asia transition.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7000, 0.69928
Resistance: 0.7072, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC (Warsh's first) is the next major USD-side driver for this read
A close back above 0.70720 lower high would stall the drift toward 0.70454
Loss of 0.70454 swing low confirms continuation toward the 0.7000 round number
AUDUSD ran to a one-week high near 0.7088 early in the week on the US-Iran-driven USD unwind, but the hawkish RBA hold and soft China retail sales failed to extend the move — twin highs at 0.7088 mark a double top. Price has since faded under EMA20 with successive lower highs, sitting at 0.70569 and RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s. The 0.7045 swing low is the line holding the range floor.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7042, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver into the next bars
Close back above 0.7088 would neutralize the lower-highs structure
AUD pushed to a one-week high near 0.70879 early in the week before fading as the hawkish RBA hold failed to impress and weak China retail sales weighed on the proxy currency. Price has since carved lower highs and now sits below the H1 EMA20 (~0.70680) with RSI(14) slipping into the low 40s. The 0.70454 swing low is the immediate floor; 0.70790 has capped the latest bounce attempt.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70385
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.70454 swing low confirms continuation toward 0.70385 week low
H1 close back above 0.70790 lower high neutralises the fading structure
05:02 UTC
Range, drifting to floor · RSI 44 · price 0.70617
Week range 0.7042-0.7090, lower highs forming.
AUDUSD has churned in a 0.7042-0.7090 range all week, with the hawkish RBA hold faded on soft China data and the early-week risk-on bounce capping near 0.7090. Price has slipped below EMA20 and EMA50 into the NY-to-Asia transition, setting lower highs at 0.7079 as it drifts toward the range floor. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, reflecting the heavy tone without an extreme.
Support: 0.70454, 0.70417, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.7042 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 0.7000
H1 close back above 0.7079 neutralises the lower-highs sequence
05:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.70617
Range-bound below week high, lower-highs forming.
AUDUSD gapped up early in the week and has churned in a 0.7045-0.7088 range since, with a hawkish RBA hold and the weak China retail print failing to push it higher. Price has slipped back below EMA20/EMA50 as lower-highs build off 0.7088 then 0.7079, with RSI(14) easing into the low 40s. The pair now sits mid-range and is drifting toward the 0.7045 floor ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7042, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
H1 close below 0.7045 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.7000 round number
Reclaiming 0.7088 week high needed to neutralise the lower-highs structure
04:02 UTC
Capped, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.70614
Lower highs below week high, holding mid-range.
AUDUSD gapped higher into Monday's open near 0.7082 and tagged the 0.70880 week high, but has rolled over since, posting lower highs and slipping below EMA20 with RSI in the mid-40s. The hawkish RBA hold failed to hold the bid as soft China data weighed; the recent high at 0.70790 capped the latest bounce and price now churns in the 0.7060s. Demand around the 0.70450 swing low has held the downside so far this week.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7027, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC today dominates this read and can override the range
Close below 0.70450 swing low opens the path toward the prior low at 0.70270 and the 0.70000 psych
Reclaim of the 0.70790 recent high needed to re-challenge the 0.70880 week high
AUDUSD gapped up to 0.70879 at the week's reopen but has bled lower since, printing lower highs into 0.70792 and now trading back below EMA20 near 0.70614. The pair is churning the 0.7042-0.7088 band as the hawkish RBA hold and soft China data offset early-week USD softness. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, reflecting the loss of upside momentum.
Support: 0.70417, 0.70385, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70792, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Wednesday's Fed decision (18:00 UTC) is the dominant driver and could shift this read
H1 close below 0.70417 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.70385/0.7000
Reclaim of 0.70792 neutralises the lower-highs sequence
03:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 0.70627
Lower highs capped below week high.
AUDUSD gapped up to the 0.7088 week high on Monday's risk-on open but has since carved lower highs, with the hawkish RBA hold faded and a weak China retail sales print keeping the pair heavy. Price now sits below EMA20 around 0.7063, churning in the 0.7045-0.7090 range with RSI(14) mid-40s. Buyers have defended the 0.7042-0.7045 zone all week, while supply caps each push toward 0.7088.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7042, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7088
What it said to watch
Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close below 0.7042 confirms a lower-low and opens the path to 0.7000
Reclaim of 0.7088 week high needed to neutralise the lower-highs structure
03:02 UTC
Range, slow drift lower · RSI 44 · price 0.70627
Capped below 0.7090, lower highs forming.
AUDUSD has churned in a 0.7045-0.7090 band since the weekend gap higher, with the week high at 0.70879 capping the move after early-week strength on the US-Iran risk-on bid. Price has slid back below the H1 EMA20 into the NY-Asia transition, printing lower highs off 0.70879 as soft China data kept the pair heavy. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, reflecting the listless drift rather than directional momentum.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7042, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Wednesday's Fed decision (18:00 UTC) is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
Close below 0.7045 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.7042 area then 0.7000
Consolidation under week high, lower highs forming.
AUDUSD gapped higher into this week's open and tagged a week high at 0.70880 before sellers capped it, leaving a string of lower highs and a slow drift back toward 0.7067. Price has chopped sideways since, pinned between the 0.70790 supply shelf and the 0.70450 week low, with RSI(14) hovering near 50 and EMA20/EMA50 flat. The post-RBA softness and weak China data noted in the macro digest fit the lack of upside follow-through.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC decision (Warsh's debut) this week is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
Failure to hold 0.70450 week low opens the path toward the 0.7000 round number
An H1 close back above 0.70790 lower high negates the lower-high sequence toward the 0.70880 week high
AUDUSD rallied to 0.7088 early in the week on the US-Iran risk bid before sellers returned, leaving a sequence of lower highs as soft China data and the faded RBA hold weighed. Price has since coiled between 0.7045 and 0.7079, sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering near 46. The 0.7088 area capped the only fresh attempt this week and remains the line in the sand.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC decision (Warsh's debut) later today is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg
H1 close below 0.7045 confirms a lower low and opens the path toward 0.7000
AUD gapped up to a week high near 0.7088 at Monday's open but has since faded into a tight 0.7065–0.7080 consolidation, with soft China data and a faded RBA hold capping the move. RSI(14) is hovering near 47 with price tracking just below EMA(20) and EMA(50). The early-week relief bounce has clearly stalled into the FOMC.
Support: 0.7045, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (Warsh's debut) is the dominant USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.7045 range low confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 0.7000 psych
Close above 0.7088 week high negates the lower-highs and consolidation read
Consolidation under weekly high, mild downward drift.
AUDUSD gapped higher into Monday's open and spiked to a week high near 0.7088 before settling into a tight range, with lower highs building since the peak as the RBA hold and soft China data reasserted the cap. Price is hugging EMA(20) around 0.7069 with RSI(14) flat near 50, and the 0.7045 swing low has held the base of the range. The 0.7088–0.7079 zone has rejected each push higher this week.
Support: 0.7060, 0.70454, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.7088
What it said to watch
FOMC decision (Warsh debut) at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
Close above 0.70790 negates the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 0.70454 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.7000 round number
AUDUSD gapped up at the weekly open and pushed to 0.7088 in Tuesday's session, but has since faded in a series of lower highs and now sits back below EMA20 near 0.7064. The pullback reflects the RBA's in-line hold at 4.35% and soft China retail sales reasserting the AUD downtrend after early-week risk-on relief. RSI(14) is sitting in the mid-40s as momentum cools.
Support: 0.70454, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7068, 0.70879
What it said to watch
FOMC (Warsh's first decision) this week is the dominant USD driver and could shift this read
Close below 0.70454 wk low confirms a lower low and opens the path toward 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of EMA20 / 0.7068 needed to ease the lower-highs pressure
AUDUSD gapped higher into the weekly open and tagged the week high at 0.7088, but successive attempts have made lower highs and price has rolled back into the mid-0.706s, slipping below EMA20. The early-week relief came as a softer USD lifted risk; the RBA hold and weak China data have since reasserted the heavier tone, leaving the pair coiled between the 0.7079 lower high and 0.7050 demand. Price is hovering on the 50% retrace of the weekly impulse near 0.7063.
Support: 0.70417, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7079, 0.70879
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70417 week low confirms a lower-low and opens 0.7000 round number
H1 close back above 0.70790 lower high negates the rounded-top read
FOMC decision later this week is the dominant USD-side risk for this pair