AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Sunday, 18 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:04 UTC
Downtrend from week high, recovery stalling at 61.8% · RSI 55 · price 0.69627
Lower highs from 0.7013, higher lows off 0.6894; contracting swing range.
The week's dominant move started in Wednesday's NY session, when hot US CPI knocked the pair off the 0.7013 week high and back below the 0.7000 psych level. Thursday's AU jobs miss in Asia and strong US PPI in NY extended the drop to the 0.6894 week low. Friday's recovery hit two rejections at the 0.6967 friday high, right at the 61.8% retracement, before fading to the 0.6936 friday low. The Sunday open gapped higher from Friday's 0.6943 close and has price back above EMA(20) near 0.6950, with RSI(14) mid-range around 55. The higher lows from 0.6894 sit inside the lower highs from 0.7013, a narrowing structure.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6936, 0.6894
Resistance: 0.6967, 0.7000, 0.7013
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6967 friday high and 61.8% retracement breaks the lower-highs line and opens 0.7000 psych, then the 0.7013 week high
Loss of ema20 near 0.6950 fills the weekend gap toward 0.6943; a break of the 0.6936 friday low breaks the higher-lows line and refocuses 0.6894 week low
Monday-open reaction to the Hormuz shipping attacks could materially shift USD tone and this read
US housing data on Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC and any repricing of late-October Fed hike odds could move the pair
22:04 UTC
Rebound from week low, testing Friday's lower high · RSI 57 · price 0.69684
Higher low at 0.6936 after the 0.6894 week low; Monday gap-up pressing the Friday high.
The week's dominant move started at Wednesday's NY open, when the hot 3.7% US CPI print triggered a rejection from the 0.7013 week high. Thursday's AU jobs miss in the Asia session extended the drop to a 0.6894 week low during NY hours. Friday's London rebound stalled at the 0.6967 Friday high, near the 61.8% retracement of the week's drop, and Monday's open gapped about 21 pips above the 0.6943 Friday close, leaving price above EMA(20) near 0.6948 with RSI(14) at 57.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6943, 0.6894
Resistance: 0.6967, 0.7000, 0.7013
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 0.6967 Friday high clears the 61.8% retracement and the week's lower high, putting 0.7000 psych and the 0.7013 week high back in view
Gap fill toward the 0.6943 Friday close and EMA(20) would test whether the 0.6950 monday low holds
A break of the higher-low trendline from the 0.6894 week low reopens that level
Weekend IMF and Fed-speaker headlines, and US housing starts/permits on Tue 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower high at 61.8% fib after Thursday's lower low.
The week high at 0.7013 was rejected on Wednesday's hot US CPI. Thursday's AU jobs miss then drove a lower low at the 0.6894 week low during NY hours. Friday's London rebound stalled twice at the 61.8% fib near 0.6967 as the USD steadied, and the NY session faded the move back through the ema20 to the 38.2% zone, holding the fri low at 0.6936 with RSI(14) slipping to ~47.
Support: 0.6936, 0.6894
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6967, 0.7013
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 61.8% fib at 0.6967 breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.7013 week high back in view
Failure to hold the fri low at 0.6936 exposes the 0.6900 handle and the 0.6894 week low
Price is pinned at the ema20 near 0.6945; repeated closes back above it would shift the read to range
US housing starts and permits on Tue Oct 20 at 12:30 UTC could materially move USD pricing
Weekend IMF headlines and Fed-speak on late-October hike odds carry Monday open gap risk