Lower highs into a tight coil off the session low.
Price bled off the 0.71398 NY-session high in a clean lower-high chain and has been pinned in a 0.71164–0.71232 coil since the NY close, with a firm post-Fed USD capping every bounce. Early Asia bars are thin — ATR(14) ~2.6 pips — and price sits right on EMA20 with RSI(14) near 48, so no directional structure is in play above the asia low.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71232, 0.7132
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:10 broker time is the immediate catalyst for this range
Loss of the 0.71164 asia low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward the 0.71100 psych level
A 15m close above the 0.71232 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and puts the 0.71320 prior high back in focus
Lower highs off 0.71398, now coiled in a 4-pip range above the Asia low.
Price rolled over from the 0.71398 day high through the NY session in a clean lower-high chain, bottoming at the 0.71164 asia low as a firmer post-FOMC USD capped the Aussie. Last two hours are dead flat between 0.71183 and the 0.71209 range top on collapsing volume, with ATR(14) down to ~2 pips and RSI(14) at 44 — no setup in play into the early Asia session.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71209, 0.71232, 0.71398
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 03:10 GMT, roughly 3.5h out — the immediate catalyst for this coil
A close above the 0.71232 prior high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.71164 asia low exposes the 0.71100 psych pivot
Liquidity is minimal until the Asia session proper; ranges of 2 pips are not representative
Lower highs off the 0.7140 area, now compressed in a tight Asia range.
AUDUSD faded through the NY session from the 0.71398 prior day hi as a firmer, hawkish-Fed USD capped the upside, printing a 0.71164 session low before stalling. Early Asia is dead flat — 4-5 pip bars, ATR(14) just 1.6 pips, price pinned under 0.7120 and both EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71232, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71232 swing high would break the lower-high chain built since the 12:00 UTC high
Loss of the 0.71164 session low extends the fade toward the 0.7100 psych pivot
RBA Bullock at 03:10 UTC, roughly four hours out, is the nearest catalyst to break this compression
Lower highs off session high, now flat-lining above session low.
AUDUSD rejected Monday's session high at 0.71398 around the London-NY overlap and bled lower through NY hours as the USD held firm on hawkish-Fed pricing, printing a 0.71164 session low late in the day. Price is now compressed in a sub-5-pip consolidation pinned to the EMA20, RSI(14) near 44 and ATR(14) only ~2 pips on thin Asia-reopen liquidity, with rally attempts capped under the 0.71267 lower high.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71267 lower high would break the descending sequence off the session high
Failure to hold the 0.71164 session low exposes the 0.71100 psych pivot
RBA Gov Bullock at 03:10 UTC, roughly four hours out, is the nearest catalyst and can void this compression
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat at the lows · RSI 41 · price 0.7119
Lower highs / lower lows since London, now compressed in a 3-pip band.
AUDUSD topped at 0.71398 during the London-NY overlap and has printed a clean lower-high chain since (0.71267, then 0.71232) as a firmer USD on hawkish Fed commentary capped the upside. Post-NY-close trade is thin and coiled in a 3-pip band just above the 0.71164 session low, price under both EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 41 and ATR(14) only ~1.7 pips.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71232, 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71232 lower high would break the descending sequence off 0.71398
Loss of the 0.71164 session low extends the sequence toward the 0.71100 psych pivot
RBA Gov Bullock at 03:10 UTC is the nearest catalyst and can invalidate this compression read within hours
ATR(14) at ~1.7 pips means any Asia-session expansion is a genuine structural change, not noise
Lower highs off 0.71398, base building above 0.71164.
AUDUSD faded through the NY session from the London high at 0.71398 to a 0.71164 day low as a firm USD and hawkish Fed commentary capped the upside, and has since flatlined in a 5-pip band into the thin Asia open. ATR(14) at ~2 pips and RSI(14) near 42 show compression, with price pinned on EMA20 and still under EMA50.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71232, 0.71279, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71232 swing high needed to end the lower-highs sequence
Loss of the 0.71164 day low confirms continuation toward the 0.7110 psych area
RBA Gov Bullock at 03:10 UTC (~4h) is the nearest catalyst and can break this compression
Lower highs off 0.71398, now basing in a 4-pip band above the session low.
Price ground down from the 0.71398 NY high in a clean lower-high chain as a firmer USD capped the pair, bottoming at 0.71164 into the Asia open and since coiling in a sub-4-pip band around 0.71190-0.71204. ATR(14) at ~1.8 pips and RSI(14) near 46 — thin post-NY-close conditions, no structural setup in play with price pinned just under EMA20 at 0.71203.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71231, 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71231 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.71164 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.7110 psych pivot
RBA Gov Bullock at 03:10 UTC (~5h) is the nearest catalyst; thin Asia liquidity can amplify the reaction
AUDUSD faded from the 0.71398 session high through NY hours, stacking lower highs into a 0.71164 session low as a firmer USD on hawkish Fed pricing capped every bounce. Price is now coiled in a 4-pip consolidation beneath the 0.71232 swing high, ATR(14) down to ~2.3 pips with volume collapsing into the Asia open; 0.71267 prior high is the next cap above.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71232, 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.71232 swing high breaks the lower-high chain built off the session high
Failure to hold 0.71164 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.71100 psych pivot
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:10 UTC, roughly five hours out, is the nearest catalyst and can void this consolidation read
Lower highs off 0.71398, base building at session low.
AUDUSD faded through the NY session from the 0.71398 session high to 0.71169, a firmer USD on hawkish Fed pricing capping the move, and has since flatlined in a 3-pip band above that session low with volumes collapsing after NY close. RSI(14) near 39 and ATR(14) at ~2 pips — no structural setup in play, price pinned between the 0.71232 swing high and the session low.
Support: 0.71169, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71232, 0.7132, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71232 swing high breaks the lower-highs sequence off 0.71398
Loss of 0.71169 session low extends the downtrend toward the 0.71100 psych pivot
RBA Gov Bullock 03:10 UTC (within hours) is the nearest catalyst and can override this thin-liquidity range
Lower highs from day high, flat base on session low.
The 0.71398 day high set in the London afternoon gave way to a slow NY fade, with a clean chain of lower highs down through the 0.71320 ny open high and 0.71240, and the move basing on the 0.71164 session low as the USD stayed firm on hawkish-Fed pricing. Early Asia is consolidating in a sub-3-pip band below EMA20 and EMA50 with ATR(14) near 2.4 pips and RSI(14) at 41 — no structure in play at this size.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.7124, 0.7132, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71164 session low extends the lower-high chain toward the 0.71100 psych level
A close back above the 0.71240 lower high invalidates the intraday downtrend read
RBA Gov Bullock at 03:10 UTC, roughly 5-6h out, is the nearest catalyst and can reprice this range
Lower highs since the 12:00 UTC day high, compressing on session lows.
The day high at 0.71398 into the London-NY handover was faded through the NY session as USD held firm on hawkish Fed commentary, leaving a clean chain of lower highs (0.71267, then 0.71232) and a drift to the session low at 0.71164 in thin late-NY liquidity. Price is pinned just under the ema20 near 0.71210 with RSI(14) at 38 and ATR(14) only ~1.9 pips — range has collapsed rather than extended.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.7121, 0.71232, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71232 swing high breaks the lower-highs chain
Failure to hold 0.71164 session low puts the 0.7100 psych pivot in play
RBA Gov Bullock 03:10 UTC could materially shift this read as Asia gets going
Lower highs off 0.71398, fresh session low late NY.
London's push to 0.71398 was rejected and NY spent the session carving lower highs, with the last hours of the day sliding to a fresh session low at 0.71169 as the firm, hawkish-Fed USD capped AUD. Price is pinned under the micro pivot at 0.71232 with RSI(14) near 37 and ATR(14) just ~2 pips — thin, late-session conditions rather than a directional move.
Support: 0.71169, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71232, 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71232 micro pivot would break the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 0.71169 session low puts the 0.71100 psych pivot in play, then Monday low 0.71046
RBA Gov Bullock 03:10 UTC (~6h) is the nearest catalyst and can reset this intraday read at the Asia open
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower into the close · RSI 35 · price 0.71187
Lower highs off 0.71398, price pinned near session low.
AUDUSD topped at 0.71398 early in the NY session and has bled lower since, printing a chain of lower highs with price now sitting a few pips off the 0.71169 session low and below both EMA20 and EMA50. A firmer USD on hawkish Fed commentary capped the move; RSI(14) at ~35 and ATR(14) near 2 pips show a compressed, low-participation tape into the late-NY close.
Support: 0.71169, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71232, 0.7129, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71232 minor high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.71169 session low opens the 0.71100 round number
RBA Gov Bullock speech ~6h out (Tue 03:10 UTC) is the nearest catalyst and could reset this range
20:31 UTC
Downtrend into the close, momentum slow · RSI 36 · price 0.71185
Lower highs / lower lows since the 0.7140 London-NY high.
Rejection at the 0.71398 session high just before the NY open has given way to a slow lower-high chain, price now pressing the 0.71169 session low with RSI(14) at ~36 and a 2.3-pip ATR — thin, grinding conditions. The fade sits right on the 61.8% retracement of the Asia-low-to-session-high rally, with firm-USD/hawkish-Fed tone doing the capping.
Support: 0.71169, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71233, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71233 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.71169 session low opens the 0.7110 area and the 0.7100 psych pivot
RBA Gov Bullock Tue 03:10 UTC is the next catalyst and can reset this intraday read
20:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower into late NY · RSI 33 · price 0.71175
Lower highs from 0.71398, fresh session low at 0.71169.
AUDUSD rolled off the 0.71398 session high through NY hours and has just broken the 0.71210-0.71240 chop to print a fresh session low at 0.71169, price under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 33. Ranges are tiny — ATR(14) about 2 pips — and the last bars are late-NY thin liquidity with a firm USD capping the Monday recovery off the 0.71088 Monday low.
Support: 0.71169, 0.71088, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7123, 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71230 micro pivot would negate the break lower
Sustained trade below 0.71169 session low extends the lower-high chain toward the 0.71088 Monday low and 0.7100 psych level
RBA Gov Bullock Tue 03:10 UTC (~7h out) is the nearest catalyst and can reset this intraday read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower into NY close · RSI 35 · price 0.71186
Lower highs / lower lows since the 0.7140 rejection.
The London-NY transition capped AUDUSD at 0.71398 — the flagged 0.7136/0.7140 area — and a firmer USD has ground price down in a chain of lower highs (0.71267 the last one) to a fresh session low at 0.71184 into the NY close. Ranges are thin, ATR(14) about 2 pips, with RSI(14) near 34 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.71184, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7123, 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 0.71184 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.7110 round number
Reclaim of 0.71267 prior high would invalidate the lower-highs read
RBA Gov Bullock 03:10 UTC lands in the next Asia session and can reprice this structure
Lower highs off 0.71398, compressing above session low.
AUDUSD topped at the 0.71398 day high into the 12:00 UTC London-NY transition and has ground out a chain of lower highs since, with a firmer USD on hawkish-Fed pricing capping the move. NY afternoon printed a 0.71189 session low and the last six bars are coiling in a 2-pip band under the 0.71240 micro pivot, ATR(14) at just 2.1 pips and RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.71189, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7124, 0.71329, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71240 micro pivot would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.71189 session low exposes the 0.71100 round number and Monday low at 0.71046
RBA Gov Bullock Tue 03:10 UTC is the next catalyst and could reset this intraday read
Lower highs off the NY high, now compressed in a tight range.
Monday's gap-down was bought back through 0.7100 and pushed to a 0.71398 day high in early NY before a steady fade into lower highs, with a firmer USD capping the move. Late NY has price pinned in a 0.71189–0.71255 range, ATR down to ~2 pips and RSI(14) near 41 — no structure in play.
Support: 0.71189, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71255, 0.71318, 0.71398
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.71189 session low extends the lower-high chain and puts the 0.7100 psych pivot back in focus
Reclaiming the 0.71255 range top would neutralise the fade from the day high
RBA Gov Bullock speaks 03:10 UTC (~8h) — nearest catalyst able to break this range
Lower highs off 0.71398, compressing above 0.71189.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.71398 session high through the NY session as a firmer, hawkish-Fed USD capped the rebound, and has since compressed into a 0.71189-0.71267 range with ATR down to roughly 2 pips. Price is pinned to the EMA20 with RSI(14) near 49 and EMA50 overhead — late-session drift rather than a structural break, with 0.7100 still untested below.
Support: 0.71189, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close below the 0.71189 session low would confirm a lower low and put the 0.7100 psych pivot back in focus
Reclaiming 0.71267, the recent high, would end the current compression and re-open 0.71398
RBA Gov Bullock speaks 03:10 UTC — inside the next few hours and capable of resetting this range
Lower highs off 0.71398, compressing into a tight late-NY range.
AUDUSD rejected the day high at 0.71398 into the NY open and has spent the afternoon grinding in a 0.71189-0.71267 range under a firmer USD, printing a fresh session low at 0.71189 in the last hour. RSI(14) near 47 and ATR(14) at ~2.4 pips — price is below both EMA20 and EMA50 with no expansion in play.
Support: 0.71189, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.7134, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71267 ny high breaks the lower-high chain off 0.71398
Failure to hold 0.71189 session low opens 0.7110 and the 0.7100 psych pivot
RBA Gov Bullock speech Tue 03:10 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst and could reset this range
Lower highs off the session high, tight consolidation just broken to the downside.
AUDUSD was rejected at the 0.71398 session high during the London-NY transition as the USD firmed, then ground out a chain of lower highs into 0.71267. Late NY hours have seen the 0.7120-0.7127 consolidation break down to a fresh session low at 0.71189, with ATR(14) at just ~2.3 pips and RSI(14) near 42 — thin, directionless drift rather than an impulse.
Support: 0.71189, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 0.71189 keeps the session low broken and puts the 0.7110 psych pivot in range
A reclaim of 0.71267 would invalidate the lower-high chain and repair the intraday structure
A slip under 0.7110 exposes the 0.71046 monday low
RBA Gov Bullock Tue 03:10 UTC is the next catalyst and could reset this range read within hours
Lower highs off 0.71398 into a tight late-NY range.
Monday's gap-down to 0.71046 was bought back, but the London-NY push stalled at the 0.71398 day high and price has since bled into a 0.71204-0.71267 range as a firmer USD capped the move. Last four hours are dead flat with ATR(14) near 2 pips and RSI(14) around 43, price pinned just under EMA20 and EMA50 — no structure in play into the NY close.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71143, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71329, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71267 range top would re-open 0.71329 swing high
Loss of the 0.71204 session low confirms a lower low and exposes 0.71143 asia high, then the 0.71100 psych pivot
RBA Gov Bullock Tue 03:10 UTC lands inside the Asia session and could reset this range
Lower highs off 0.71398, now coiling in a 25-pip range.
London afternoon printed the day high at 0.71398 before a clean rejection unwound the entire move into the NY session, with price now stalled at 0.71222 under both EMA20 and EMA50. Late NY hours are compressing into a 0.71204–0.71267 range, ATR(14) down to under 3 pips and RSI(14) at 42 — the firmer USD after last week's hawkish Fed has kept the upside capped, per the macro read.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71143, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.7132, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71204 session low reopens the Asia high at 0.71143 and the 0.71046 day low
A 15-minute close above the 0.71267 micro cap would put the 0.71320 prior high back in play
RBA Gov Bullock Tue 03:10 UTC lands inside the next Asia session and could invalidate this range read
Lower highs off 0.71398, compressing above 0.71204.
Monday's gap-down open at 0.71088 was filled early, price ran to 0.71398 into the London-NY transition and was rejected, then bled back to 0.71204. Late NY hours have compressed into a 6-pip band under 0.71267 with ATR(14) at 2.6 pips and RSI(14) at 41 — no structural setup in play.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71088
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.71204 on a 15m close confirms a lower low and opens the 0.71143/0.71088 gap open area
Close above 0.71267 swing high invalidates the lower-high sequence and re-targets the 0.71398 day high
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Tue 03:10 UTC) is the next scheduled catalyst and could break this consolidation outside the current band
NY session rejected 0.71398 and gave back the whole London leg, price now pinned at the 50% fib of the 0.71046–0.71398 advance with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR just 3.2 pips. Last four hours are a 0.71204–0.71267 coil under a chain of lower highs — no directional structure in play into the late-NY drift.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71181, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.7132, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Hold or loss of 0.71204 session low decides whether the 61.8% fib at 0.71181 comes into play
A 15m close back above the 0.71267 lower-highs line puts 0.71320 prior high and the 0.71398 session high back in focus
RBA Bullock speech at 03:10 UTC is the next scheduled risk that could break this range
Lower highs off the NY high, base holding above session low.
Monday's small gap-down open was filled and London extended to a 0.71398 session high before NY hours faded the move back to 0.71204, keeping the 0.7140 cap intact. Last eight bars are coiled in a 0.71204-0.71267 band under the ema20, ATR(14) down to ~3 pips — no structural development into the late NY session.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71143, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71329, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.71267 ema20 area would end the lower-highs sequence off the session high
Loss of the 0.71204 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the asia high at 0.71143
RBA Gov Bullock Tue 03:10 UTC could materially shift this read; the 0.7140 cap is the level in focus
Monday's gap-down to 0.71046 was filled inside the first Asia hour, then a steady grind higher through London topped at the 0.71398 session high and was faded straight back into NY hours to 0.71204. Price is now chopping in a sub-6-pip band beneath EMA20 with RSI(14) near 32 and ATR(14) only 3.4 pips — no setup in play, consistent with the 0.7095-0.7140 band AUD has been pinned in ahead of RBA's Bullock.
Support: 0.71204, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71268, 0.7129, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71290 asia high would break the lower-high chain built off 0.71398
A close under the 0.71204 ny low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.71100 round number
RBA Gov Bullock (Tue 03:10 UTC) is the first scheduled risk able to reprice this range
16:47 UTC
Drift lower off the London high, momentum flat · RSI 41 · price 0.71232
Lower highs into a tight 0.71204-0.71267 NY range.
AUDUSD topped at the 0.71398 London high just before the NY open and has since faded into a 0.71204-0.71267 range, price sitting below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 41. Lower highs at 0.71279 and 0.71267 mark the cap while demand has held the 0.71204 session low three times; ATR(14) at ~3.5 pips shows compressed intraday movement into the late NY hours.
Support: 0.71204, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71267 range top ends the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 0.71204 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.71100 round number
RBA Gov Bullock speech (03:10 UTC) is the next event risk that could break this range
Price was rejected at 0.71398 into the London-NY transition — just under the 0.7140 cap flagged while RBA hike bets stay largely priced — and has since unwound the whole NY leg, printing lower highs and basing at 0.71204. Last hour is flat and coiled between 0.71204 and the 0.71290 ema20, with ATR down to ~3.5 pips.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71088
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71290 ema20 breaks the lower-high chain off the day high
Loss of 0.71204 ny low opens the 0.71088 asia low
Continued sub-4 pip ATR keeps this a late-NY consolidation rather than a directional leg
RBA Gov Bullock speech Tue 03:10 UTC can reprice this range quickly
16:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, pullback in force · RSI 33 · price 0.71253
Lower highs off 0.71398 into a tight 0.71204-0.71285 band.
Asia-to-London grind topped at the 0.71398 day high just after midday — consistent with the well-flagged cap under 0.7140 on priced-in RBA hike bets — and NY hours have retraced to a 0.71204 session low, roughly the 50% mark of that advance. The bounce back to 0.71253 leaves price marginally below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 33 and ATR(14) only ~3.5 pips; lower highs from 0.71398 through 0.71279 are still intact.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71143
Resistance: 0.71285, 0.7134, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71285 swing pivot breaks the lower-high chain; 0.71340 prior support is the next reference
Failure to hold the 0.71204 session low exposes the 0.71143 asia range area
Sub-4 pip ATR means the current band can hold into the late NY session absent a catalyst
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:10 UTC is the first scheduled event capable of resetting this read
16:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the NY high, momentum flattening · RSI 33 · price 0.71214
Lower highs and lower lows since 12:00 UTC, now compressing just above the session low.
Price was rejected at 0.71398 into the London-NY transition and has stair-stepped lower through NY hours, with a firm USD after last week's hawkish Fed repricing keeping AUD capped near the 0.7140 UOB cap. Last four bars are pinned in a 3-pip coil above the 0.71204 session low, below a flattening ema20 at ~0.71270; RSI(14) near 33, ATR(14) only 3.2 pips.
Support: 0.71204, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.7127, 0.71398, 0.7140
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the ema20 at 0.71270 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.71204 session low extends the sequence toward the 0.7100 psych area
RBA Gov Bullock Tue 03:10 UTC and Fed speakers Tue could reset this intraday read
Lower highs / lower lows since the 12:00 UTC session high, now basing on session low.
NY hours have unwound the entire London advance: the 0.71398 session high was rejected right under the 0.7140 cap that RBA hike bets have failed to clear, and price has since printed lower highs into the 0.71204 session low with RSI(14) at 34. Last three bars are compressing just above that low, below ema20, with ATR(14) only ~3.4 pips — ranges thinning after the London close.
Support: 0.71204, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7128, 0.7134, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.71204 session low confirms continuation toward the 0.71100 psych area and the 0.71046 asia low
A close back above ema20 at 0.71280 and then the 0.71340 london shelf breaks the lower-high chain
RBA Gov Bullock speech Tue 03:10 UTC is the next scheduled risk to this intraday read
NY fade from session high, basing near session low.
Rejection at the 0.71398 session high during the first hours of NY unwound ~18 pips, and price has since been consolidating 0.71215–0.71280 under EMA20 with a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) at 31 reflects the one-way slide rather than an extreme; ATR(14) is a thin 3.5 pips, so ranges are compressed with the market unwilling to commit ahead of Bullock.
Support: 0.71215, 0.71204, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.7128, 0.7134, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71280 ema20 area would break the lower-highs sequence
Loss of the 0.71215 session low exposes the 0.71204 swing low and the 0.71100 psych pivot
RBA Governor Bullock (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the nearest catalyst and can reset this intraday range
0.71340 prior high is the first level that must clear to re-open the 0.71398 session high
15:17 UTC
Intraday rollover after London high, momentum down · RSI 31 · price 0.71224
Lower highs since 0.71398, now coiling just above session low.
Price was rejected at the 0.71398 session high late in the London afternoon and unwound the whole NY leg down to 0.71218 as the post-Fed USD stayed firm. Last five bars are consolidating in a 0.71225–0.71280 range top band, RSI(14) near 31, price under EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) ~3.8 pips keeps ranges tight.
Support: 0.71218, 0.71143, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.7128, 0.7135, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71280 range top would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.71218 session low exposes the asia range at 0.71143 and 0.71100 psych level
RBA Governor Bullock (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the next scheduled AUD catalyst and could reset this range
15:03 UTC
Intraday pullback, now flat · RSI 35 · price 0.71253
Lower highs off 0.71398, basing above 0.71218.
London pushed AUDUSD to 0.71398 — just under the 0.7140 cap flagged into Bullock — then the NY open unwound the entire move to 0.71218 as the Dollar firmed. Last four bars are pinned in a 0.71229–0.71279 box beneath EMA20 at ~0.71290, RSI(14) at 34.5 with ATR(14) only 3.6 pips.
Support: 0.71218, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.71290 ema20 re-engages the 0.71398 london high
Loss of the 0.71218 ny low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.71100 psych pivot
RBA Governor Bullock Tue 03:10 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst and can reset this intraday range
14:47 UTC
Intraday pullback after rejection at 0.7140 · RSI 36 · price 0.71257
Lower highs since the session high, holding above 0.71218.
Monday's grind up from the 0.71046 asia low stalled at a 0.71398 session high — the 0.7136/0.7140 cap flagged in the AUD read — and the first hours of NY unwound it to 0.71218 before stabilising near 0.7125. Price is back under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 36 and ATR(14) just 3.7 pips, so the pullback is orderly rather than impulsive.
Support: 0.71218, 0.7120, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7135, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.71218 exposes the 0.71200 psych level and confirms a lower low on the session
Reclaim of the 0.71350 swing high would negate the lower-high sequence and put the 0.71398 session high back in play
RBA Governor Bullock Tue 03:10 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst and can reset this intraday structure
14:32 UTC
Intraday pullback after London push higher · RSI 39 · price 0.71248
Lower highs since the 0.71398 session high, holding above the 0.7120 floor.
Monday gapped lower to 0.71046 then London lifted price to a 0.71398 session high — the 0.7140 cap flagged into Bullock — before the NY open faded it back to 0.71218. Price is now sub-EMA20 (0.71313) with RSI(14) near 39 and ATR only ~3.6 pips, so the last hour is drift rather than trend.
Support: 0.71218, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71313, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes below 0.71218 session low would extend the lower-high chain toward the 0.71046 asia low
Reclaiming the 0.71313 ema20 would put the 0.71398 session high back in play
RBA Bullock speech in roughly 12h is the next scheduled catalyst and can reset this intraday read
14:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend rolled over, lower highs into NY · RSI 41 · price 0.71246
London breakout above Asian range failed; price back inside range, testing session lows.
London pushed above the 0.71302 Asia high to a session high of 0.71398 — right into the 0.7136/0.7140 cap flagged by the market — then the move was rejected and price has bled back inside the Asian range through the NY open, printing 0.71218. RSI(14) at ~41 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50, with ATR(14) just 3.4 pips, so ranges are tight and the breakout now reads as a false break.
Support: 0.71218, 0.71204, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.71218 session low exposes the 0.71204 asia low and opens the 0.7100 psych pivot
Reclaim of 0.71302 asia high invalidates the false break read and puts 0.71398 session high back in play
No AUD or USD releases in the next 8h; RBA Bullock (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the nearest catalyst that could reset this intraday structure
14:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, fading off the day high · RSI 45 · price 0.7128
Higher lows through London, lower highs into NY.
Monday's grind up from the 0.71046 Asia spike low stalled at 0.71398 just under the 0.7140 cap desks have flagged into Bullock, and price has bled back through the ema20 at 0.71320 in the first NY hours to sit on the 0.71275 prior base. ATR(14) is a thin 3.0 pips and RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s — the day range is intact, no extension in play.
Support: 0.71275, 0.71205, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.7132, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71320 (ema20) would put the 0.71398 day high back in range
Failure to hold 0.71275 prior base exposes the 0.71205 range low, below which 0.71100 psych is the next reference
RBA Governor Bullock (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the nearest catalyst and could materially reset this read
Higher lows off the gap-fill low, capped under 0.7140.
Monday's gap-down open at 0.71046 was bought back inside the first hour, and London hours extended to a session high of 0.71398 — stalling right under the 0.7140 cap flagged by the hawkish-RBA-vs-firm-USD standoff — before fading to 0.71305, back below the EMA20 at ~0.7133. RSI(14) near 55, ATR(14) about 3 pips; the higher-low chain from the asia low at 0.71204 stays intact while 0.71275 holds.
Support: 0.71275, 0.71204, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71325, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.71275 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Reclaim of the 0.71398 session high is needed to re-engage the 0.7140 area
Loss of the 0.71204 asia low puts the 0.7100 psych pivot back in reference
RBA Bullock (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the next scheduled catalyst for this range
The London leg tagged 0.71398 — the session high — and stalled right under the 0.7140 cap, with price back at 0.71319 in the first NY hour and RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s. Rising lows from the 0.71046 Asia low through the 0.71211 London low are still intact; ATR(14) near 2.9 pips keeps intraday ranges thin ahead of this week's AUD events.
Support: 0.7128, 0.71211, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71398 session high would extend the higher-high sequence toward 0.7168
Loss of 0.71280 breaks the rising-lows chain and puts the 0.71211 london low back in play
RBA Governor Bullock (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the nearest catalyst and could reset this intraday read
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling near cap · RSI 64 · price 0.7134
Higher highs / higher lows off 0.71046, stalling under 0.7140.
London session ground out a steady higher-high chain from the Monday gap low at 0.71046 and tagged 0.71398 before stalling — the 0.7140 cap flagged into Bullock is holding on first test, with price easing back to 0.71340 and RSI(14) off its highs near 64. Rising trendline support through 0.7130 is still intact and ATR(14) is a thin 2.8 pips, so ranges remain compressed ahead of the NY open.
Support: 0.7130, 0.71259, 0.71206
Resistance: 0.71398, 0.7140, 0.71468
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above the 0.7140 cap would extend the breakout toward 0.7168
Loss of 0.71259 prior high breaks the higher-low chain and puts the swing low at 0.71206 back in play
Rejection wicks repeatedly at the 0.71398 session high without a close above would confirm a double-top style stall
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the nearest catalyst and could invalidate this compressed range read
13:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 67 · price 0.7135
Higher highs / higher lows since Asia low, capped at 0.7140.
Monday gapped lower from Friday's 0.71239 close, held 0.71046 in Asia and has ground higher in a clean HH/HL chain through London, breaking the Asian range high and printing a session high at 0.71398 — the 0.7136/0.7140 cap flagged into the RBA event risk. Price has stalled 5 pips below that high into the London-NY transition with RSI(14) near 67 and ATR only ~2.8 pips, so the advance is tight rather than impulsive.
Support: 0.7130, 0.71211, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71398, 0.7150
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes above 0.71398 session high would extend the breakout; repeated wicks there mark it as a cap
Loss of 0.713 prior high would break the higher-low chain and reopen 0.71211 london low
Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the nearest high-impact catalyst and could reset this intraday structure
12:47 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 69 · price 0.71364
HH/HL chain since the Asia gap fill, now pressing the session high.
Monday opened with a gap lower to the 0.71046 day low, filled inside the Asian range, and price has climbed in a tight HH/HL chain through London into the 0.71398 session high — the 0.7140 area flagged as the cap. RSI(14) near 69 with ATR only ~3 pips, so this is a grind rather than an impulse; the 0.71300 intraday shelf is the first structure below.
Support: 0.7130, 0.71201, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71398, 0.7168
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes above the 0.71398 session high would open the 0.71680 next cap
A close back under the 0.71300 intraday shelf breaks the HL chain built since the Asia gap fill
Loss of the 0.71201 london low would put the 0.71046 day low back in range
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 GMT land within the next two bars and could reshape this read
Price spent Asia and London grinding in a 0.71201–0.71320 band, then broke the range top in the first hour of NY and printed a session high at 0.71398, right into the 0.7140 area that has capped AUD since the hawkish-Fed Dollar bid. RSI(14) near 73 with ATR only ~3 pips means the extension is thin rather than impulsive; the reclaimed 0.71320 range top is now the first shelf.
Support: 0.7132, 0.7126, 0.71201
Resistance: 0.71398, 0.7168
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close above 0.71398/0.7140 would confirm the breakout and expose 0.71680 as the next level
Loss of the 0.71320 range top puts price back inside the day's band and reads as a false break
Failure to hold the ema20 near 0.71260 would break the higher-low chain, with the 0.71201 session low the reference below
RBA Governor Bullock speaks Tue 03:10 GMT — the nearest catalyst capable of resetting this intraday read
12:17 UTC
Grinding higher, momentum building late London · RSI 70 · price 0.71366
Higher highs and higher lows since the Monday open; Asian range high taken out.
AUDUSD gapped lower into the Monday Asia open at 0.71046, was bought back immediately and has built a steady HH/HL chain through London, clearing the 0.71302 asia high to print a 0.71398 session high with RSI(14) near 70. The push is running directly into the 0.71400 psych cap flagged as the pair's ceiling, and ATR(14) is a thin 2.6 pips so the move has been a grind rather than an impulse.
Support: 0.71302, 0.71223, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71398, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 0.71400 psych cap would extend the range break; repeated rejection there keeps the Monday range intact
A close back below 0.71302 asia high would invalidate the breakout read and put the 0.71223 london low back in focus
US Fed speakers from 14:05 GMT land in the first hour of NY and can reprice this intraday
RBA's Bullock Tue 03:10 GMT is the nearest high-impact catalyst for AUD
12:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending into London afternoon · RSI 68 · price 0.71367
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday's gap-lower open.
Monday's gap-lower open at 0.71046 was bought immediately and price has ground out a higher-high/higher-low chain all session, breaking the 0.71329 swing to print a session high at 0.71388 on hawkish-RBA repricing ahead of Bullock. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not stretched; ATR(14) is a thin 2.6 pips, so the drift is orderly rather than impulsive, with the 0.7140 cap immediately overhead.
Support: 0.71267, 0.71204, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71388, 0.7140, 0.7168
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.7140 cap would extend the breakout toward 0.7168
Rejection at the session high back under 0.71267 higher low would stall the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.71204 session low confirms a lower low and ends the intraday uptrend read
NY open in ~1.5h plus Fed speakers later today can reprice the USD leg quickly
RBA's Bullock Tue 03:10 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst for AUD
11:47 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into the 0.7140 cap · RSI 67 · price 0.71377
Higher highs/higher lows since the Asia low, session high just broken.
Monday opened with a gap lower to 0.71046 and demand there started a clean HH/HL chain through Asia; the 0.71260 range floor held on every pullback. London has now taken out the prior high at 0.71329, last print 0.71377 with RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not stretched — leaving the 0.7140 psych cap, the level the market has treated as the ceiling since the Fed-driven USD bid, directly overhead.
Support: 0.71329, 0.7126, 0.71204
Resistance: 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71400 psych cap would extend the break; repeated rejection there keeps the day capped
Loss of 0.71329 prior high and then the 0.71260 range floor would reverse the HH/HL sequence
A close back under the 0.71204 swing low invalidates the intraday uptrend read
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst and could reset this range
Higher lows since the Monday gap low, just poking above session high.
Monday's gap-down to 0.71046 was filled inside the Asia session and price has ground higher in a 0.71200–0.71330 consolidation through London, with the last bar tagging a new session high at 0.71349. RSI(14) near 60 and ATR(14) at just 2.7 pips — no expansion yet, and the digest's 0.7140 cap sits immediately above.
Support: 0.7128, 0.7120, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71349, 0.7140
What it said to watch
A close back under 0.71280 returns price inside the 0.71200–0.71330 consolidation and negates the session-high break
Loss of 0.71200 range base would break the higher-low chain off the monday low
Rejection at the 0.7140 cap keeps the London grind contained
RBA Bullock testimony (Tue 03:10 UTC) is the next scheduled event able to reset this read
Higher lows since the Monday gap low, capped under the session high.
Monday's gap-down to 0.71046 was filled inside the first hours and price has ground out a higher-low chain through Asia into London, topping at the 0.71329 session high. Last two hours are a tight 0.71259-0.71329 consolidation with ATR down to ~2.6 pips and RSI(14) near 61; the 0.7136 cap flagged by the hawkish-Fed/rate-differential backdrop is still untested.
Support: 0.71259, 0.71204, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.7136
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.71329 session high exposes the 0.7136 cap
Loss of the 0.71259 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-opens the 0.71204 asia low
RBA Gov. Bullock Tue 03:10 UTC is the next scheduled event able to reset this intraday range
Monday's gap-down to 0.71046 was filled inside the first hour of Asia, and London has ground out a higher-low chain (0.71204, 0.71259) into a 7-pip coil under the 0.71329 session high. RSI(14) near 59 and ATR(14) at ~2.8 pips — compressed, with the rate-differential cap near 0.7136 still unchallenged.
Support: 0.71259, 0.71204, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.7136
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71329 session high would extend the higher-low sequence toward the 0.7136 cap
Loss of 0.71259 swing low breaks the rising support line and puts 0.71204 session low back in play
RBA Gov. Bullock (Tue 03:10 UTC) is the next scheduled AUD risk and could reset this intraday range
AUDUSD has ground higher all through the Asia and London sessions off the 0.71046 session low, printing a clean higher-low chain (0.71206, then 0.71259) with price now pinned just under the 0.71329 session high after two rejections there. RSI(14) at 58 and ATR(14) of just 2.8 pips show a slow, low-range drift rather than an impulse — consistent with the 0.7100-0.7140 band the market has held while sidelined ahead of Bullock.
Support: 0.71259, 0.71206, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71329 opens the path toward the 0.7140 cap
Loss of 0.71206 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and invalidates the intraday uptrend read
RBA Gov. Bullock speech (Tue 03:10 UTC) could materially shift this read; a hold of 0.71259 keeps the drift intact into NY hours
Higher lows off the Monday gap fill, now consolidating under the session high.
Monday's gap-down to 0.71046 was filled inside the first hour and the Asian range held a tight 0.7120–0.7130; the London open pushed through it to a 0.71329 session high before a shallow london fade back to 0.71282. Price is now coiling above the 0.71260 london base with RSI(14) near 57 and ATR just 2.9 pips — the whole move sits inside the 0.7100–0.7140 band the AUD digest describes as capped by US yields.
Support: 0.7126, 0.71202
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.7136
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71260 london base would put the 0.71202 asia low back in play
A close above the 0.71329 session high opens the 0.7136 range cap
Fed's Goolsbee due around the London-NY transition — a near-term headline driver for this range
Sub-3-pip ATR means the Monday leg structure invalidates quickly on any single impulse bar
Higher lows since Asia low, London extended above Asian range high then stalled.
Monday's small gap-down to 0.71087 was filled inside the Asia session, and London took price above the Asian range high to a session high of 0.71329 before flattening into a tight 0.71259–0.71320 consolidation. RSI(14) back to neutral near 52 and ATR(14) only ~3 pips — grind, not impulse, with the broader 0.7100–0.7140 band the context named for AUD still intact.
Support: 0.71259, 0.71201, 0.71087
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.71329 session high opens the 0.7140 cap as the next area to monitor
A close back below 0.71259 breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.71201 range low back in play
Loss of 0.71087 gap low would invalidate the Monday recovery read
RBA Gov. Bullock speech (Tue 03:10 UTC) is the next scheduled AUD risk and could reset this intraday structure
Higher lows off the Monday low, capped under 0.71329.
The weekend gap lower to the 0.71046 Monday low was bought back within the first Asia hours, and the Monday leg has ground up in small steps to a 0.71329 session high during London, consistent with firm RBA hike pricing running into renewed Fed hike pricing. Price is now pinned to the EMA20 at 0.71273 with RSI(14) at 54 and ATR(14) only 3.2 pips — a tight, low-range grind rather than an impulse.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71329 session high brings the 0.7140 cap into view
Loss of the 0.71204 asia low breaks the higher-low chain built through Asia and London
Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the nearest catalyst and could reprice this range entirely
Higher lows off the Monday gap low, capped under the 0.71329 session high.
Monday opened with a small gap down to 0.71046 and that gap has since been filled, Asia building a flat base at the 0.71211 asian lows before London pushed to a 0.71329 session high. Price is now consolidating two to five pips under that high and sitting right on the ema20 with RSI(14) near 56 and ATR just 3.5 pips — a very compressed range ahead of the 0.71360 daily cap flagged in the AUD read.
Support: 0.71273, 0.71211, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.7136
What it said to watch
M15 close back under the 0.71211 asian lows breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the monday low at 0.71046
A close above the 0.71329 session high puts the 0.71360 daily cap in play
Fed's Goolsbee due shortly (10:30 UTC) is the nearest catalyst; RBA's Bullock early Tuesday is the bigger one for AUD
Higher highs / higher lows off the gap low, now consolidating under the session high.
Monday's gap low at 0.71046 was filled within the first hour of the Asia session, and London took price through the Asian range high to a session high at 0.71329 before easing back to the EMA20 area near 0.71274. RSI(14) at 57 and ATR(14) of just 3.4 pips describe a tight, low-range tape with traders sidelined ahead of RBA's Bullock.
Support: 0.71223, 0.71204, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.7136
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.71223 london low negates the London breakout and returns price into the Asian range
Loss of the 0.71204 asia base puts the 0.71046 gap low back in play
Break and hold above the 0.71329 session high is the condition to extend toward the 0.7136 prior cap
RBA Bullock speech (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the nearest catalyst that could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the Monday gap low, fresh session high.
Monday's gap down to 0.71046 was bought back inside the first hour and Asia then coiled 0.7120–0.7129 for eight hours before the London morning took out that range top, printing a session high at 0.71329. Price is holding the 0.71284 breakout base with RSI(14) near 66 and ATR(14) only ~3.4 pips — a slow, narrow grind rather than an impulse, with the 0.7140 cap flagged in the AUD read still untested.
Support: 0.71284, 0.71204, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71284 breakout base and a return inside 0.7120–0.7129 invalidates the range break
Sustained trade above 0.71329 puts the 0.7140 cap in play
A close back below the 0.71204 asia low would re-open the 0.71046 gap low
RBA Bullock speech in the next Asia session is the nearest catalyst and could reset this intraday structure
Gap-down low reclaimed; tight range breaking topside.
Monday's open gapped down to 0.71046 and was immediately reclaimed, after which Asia and early London chopped in a 0.7120–0.7130 range on a tiny 3.4-pip ATR. The last hour broke the range top to a session high of 0.71329 with RSI(14) near 64, price holding above EMA20 and EMA50, consistent with the digest's hawkish-RBA carry read into the 0.7136/0.7140 cap.
Support: 0.7120, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 0.71329 puts the 0.7140 cap in play
Loss of the 0.7120 range floor negates the breakout and re-opens the gap low at 0.71046
RBA Governor Bullock (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the nearest catalyst able to reshape this intraday structure
08:47 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into London · RSI 68 · price 0.71315
Higher highs and higher lows since the Monday gap low, session high just broken.
AUDUSD gapped lower at the Monday open, held the 0.71046 gap low and has ground out a higher-low chain through Asia, breaking the session high at 0.71329 in the first hours of London with RSI(14) near 68. The bid reflects firm RBA hike pricing, but the 0.7140 cap remains untested and ATR is a thin 3.2 pips.
Support: 0.71206, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71206 rising support line breaks the higher-low chain built through the Asian range
Sustained trade back under the 0.7100 round number reopens the 0.71046 gap low
Acceptance above the 0.71329 session high puts the 0.7140 cap in play
RBA Governor Bullock speech tomorrow 03:10 GMT is the nearest catalyst that could reset this intraday read
08:32 UTC
Grinding higher off the Monday gap low · RSI 62 · price 0.71315
Intraday range 0.7121-0.7132, higher lows into London.
Monday's gap open at 0.71087 was bought immediately and the Friday close was reclaimed within the first hour of Asia, after which price spent the session boxed between the 0.71205 range floor and 0.7130. London has just pushed through to a session high at 0.71322 with RSI(14) near 62 and ATR only ~3 pips, so the move is orderly rather than impulsive — consistent with traders sidelined ahead of Bullock.
Support: 0.71205, 0.71087, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71322, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes above the 0.71322 session high put the 0.7140 cap in play
Loss of the 0.71205 range floor returns price to the middle of the Asian range and re-exposes the 0.71087 gap open
A break back under the 0.7100 psych pivot would invalidate the higher-low sequence
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the nearest catalyst capable of resetting this intraday range
08:17 UTC
Recovering off the gap low, drift higher · RSI 59 · price 0.71312
Tight Asian range, session high just taken out.
Sunday's gap down to the 0.71046 monday low was absorbed immediately and Asia spent the session grinding sideways in a 0.71206–0.71302 range, with dip demand repeatedly holding the range floor. The last bar has pushed the session high to 0.71318 into the London open; RSI(14) near 59, ATR(14) only 3.3 pips, so the 0.7136 cap flagged by desks is still untested.
Support: 0.71206, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71318, 0.7136
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.71318 session high on a full bar is needed to make the break stick; otherwise it reads as a false break of the Asian range
A close back under the 0.71206 range floor puts the 0.71046 monday low and the 0.71000 psych level back in play
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC lands inside the next few bars and can widen this narrow range
08:03 UTC
Sideways, no directional impulse · RSI 51 · price 0.71266
Tight intraday range above the Monday gap low.
AUDUSD gapped lower at the Monday open, tagged 0.71046 and was bought straight back, since when it has coiled between the 0.71204 session low and the 0.71302 session high through the European morning. RSI(14) at 51 and ATR(14) of just 3 pips confirm no impulse — price is pinned to the EMA20 with traders sidelined ahead of Bullock.
Support: 0.71253, 0.71204, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7136
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes above the 0.71302 session high would end the range read and put the 0.7136 range cap in play
Loss of the 0.71204 session low reopens the Monday low at 0.71046
RBA Governor Bullock (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the nearest catalyst capable of voiding this compression
07:47 UTC
Sideways, no directional impulse · RSI 47 · price 0.71256
Asian range intact, gap filled, flat micro-swings.
AUDUSD gapped lower into the Monday Asia open and dip-buyers immediately reclaimed the 0.71100 psych area, leaving price boxed between 0.71206 and the 0.71302 asia high for the last eight hours. ATR(14) is a compressed 3.0 pips and RSI(14) sits mid-range at 47 with price pinned to EMA20 — no structural setup in play as the first hour of London begins.
Support: 0.71206, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7136
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71302 asia high would end the range read and put the 0.71360 cap in focus
Loss of the 0.71206 session low reopens 0.71100 psych and the 0.71046 asia low
London open typically expands the 3-pip ATR; a failed push either side would mark a false break
Gap-down low then higher lows into a flat range top.
Monday opened with a gap down to the monday low at 0.71046, Asia ground back up and has since compressed into a 0.71200–0.71302 band, with three rejections capping at the asia high. Price is 0.71268 in the first half-hour of London, RSI(14) around 52 and ATR(14) just ~3 pips — no range expansion yet, consistent with a market sidelined between hawkish RBA pricing and a firm USD.
Support: 0.7120, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7136
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71302 asia high would open the 0.7136 cap
Loss of the 0.71200 range floor reopens 0.71100 psych and the monday low at 0.71046
No AUD or USD calendar events in the next 8h; Bullock (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the next scheduled catalyst that could reset this range
07:17 UTC
Sideways, no directional impulse · RSI 47 · price 0.71245
Tight Asia range above the gap-open low.
Monday opened with a gap lower to 0.71046, immediately reclaimed, and price has since coiled in a 10-pip Asia range between 0.71204 and the 0.71302 session high. ATR(14) is just ~3 pips and RSI(14) at 47 — flat, mid-range, with the hawkish-RBA vs renewed-Fed-hike pricing standoff keeping AUD pinned; nothing structural in play ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71143, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7136
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71302 session high extends the range higher toward the 0.7136 cap
Loss of the 0.71204 asia low reopens the 0.71143 gap fill and the 0.71046 monday low
London open typically expands this range — current 3-pip ATR is unsustainably compressed
07:03 UTC
Sideways after gap recovery, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 0.71271
Intraday range 0.71206-0.71302, higher lows into London open.
The weekend gap down to the 0.71046 monday low was bought back within the first hour of Asia, and price has since ranged 0.71206-0.71302 with the session high capping three probes. RSI(14) at 56 and ATR(14) of just 2.7 pips show heavy compression into the London open, with the 0.7140 cap flagged by the hawkish-RBA-versus-hawkish-Fed standoff still untested.
Support: 0.71206, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71302 session high would turn this into a range break toward the 0.7140 cap
Loss of the 0.71206 range floor reopens 0.71100 psych and the monday low
London open expansion would end the ATR compression; RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst
06:47 UTC
No directional trend, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 0.71255
Balanced inside the Asian range after the Monday gap fill.
AUDUSD gapped down at the Monday open to 0.71046 and filled it inside the first hour, then spent the Asian session compressing between a 0.71205 range floor and the 0.71302 session high. RSI(14) at 54 and ATR(14) of just 2.7 pips describe thin, directionless pre-London conditions with price pinned to EMA20.
Support: 0.71205, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7140
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.71302 session high would end the Asian range compression and put the 0.71400 range cap in view
Loss of the 0.71205 range floor reopens the 0.71046 monday low and the 0.71000 psych level
London open should expand the 2.7-pip ATR; the current range read only holds while volatility stays this thin
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 GMT is the first scheduled USD risk after this window
06:32 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.71245
Tight Asian range after gap fill, micro higher-low chain stalled.
Monday opened with a gap to 0.71046, filled within the first hour, and Asia has since compressed into a 0.71204–0.71302 band with ATR(14) just 2.5 pips. Price sits mid-range at 0.71245 with RSI(14) near 53 and EMA20/50 clustered a pip below — no structural development in play.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71143, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71302 session high would extend the micro higher-low chain toward the 0.7140 cap
Loss of the 0.71204 range floor reopens the gap fill mid at 0.71143
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 GMT is the only near-term event risk to this range read
06:17 UTC
Flat, drifting after gap fill · RSI 49 · price 0.7122
Tight Asian range 0.7120–0.7130, lower highs into pre-London.
AUDUSD gapped lower at the Monday open to 0.71046, filled the gap within the first hour of Asia and has since ranged 0.71204–0.71302 with the session high set late in the Asia session. Price has slipped back under the ema20 at 0.71237 and sits on the range low with RSI(14) mid-range at 49 and ATR(14) just 2.4 pips — no structural setup in play ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.71237, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.71204 range low reopens the gap low at 0.71046 and the 0.7100 round number
Reclaim of 0.71237 ema20 and a break of the 0.71302 session high would end the Asian-range read, with 0.7140 the upper cap above
London open in under an hour typically expands this 10-pip range
RBA Gov. Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the next scheduled AUD risk event
06:03 UTC
Sideways, no directional momentum · RSI 49 · price 0.71223
Tight Asian range after Monday gap fill.
Monday's open gapped lower to 0.71046 and the gap fill through 0.71130 was complete inside the first hour, since when price has coiled in a 0.7120–0.7130 band with ATR compressed to roughly 2 pips a bar. Asia session high 0.71302 rejected twice, RSI(14) flat near 49 and price pinned just under EMA20 — no structural development ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.7120, 0.7113, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7136
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71302 session high would break the Asian range and expose the 0.71360 range cap
Loss of the 0.71200 range floor reopens the 0.71130 gap fill area
London open volatility likely to resolve the compression; RBA Bullock speech in the next session is the main AUD event risk
05:47 UTC
Sideways, no directional impulse · RSI 45 · price 0.71214
Monday gap filled, then tight Asian range.
AUDUSD gapped lower to 0.71046 at the Monday open, filled the gap inside two bars and has since ranged 0.71201–0.71302 through thin Asia hours. ATR(14) at ~2.5 pips is heavily compressed and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 with price a few pips under EMA20/EMA50 — no structural setup in play.
Support: 0.71201, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7136
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.71201 session low would extend the drift toward the 0.71100 psych level and the 0.71046 gap low
Close above the 0.71302 session high puts the 0.71360 range cap back in view and invalidates the range read
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks Tue 03:10 GMT — the next scheduled event able to break this compression
05:32 UTC
Flat, intraday drift after gap fill · RSI 45 · price 0.71231
Monday's open gapped lower to the 0.71046 asia low and the gap fill was completed inside the first hour of Asia trade, with firmer USD on hawkish Fed commentary capping the rebound at the 0.71302 session high. Since then price has ground sideways between the 0.71200 range floor and that high, RSI(14) near 45 and ATR(14) at just 2.4 pips — no structure in play.
Support: 0.7120, 0.7113, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7136
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71302 session high puts the 0.71360 range cap in focus
Loss of the 0.71200 range floor reopens the gap fill zone at 0.71130 and the 0.71046 asia low
RBA Gov. Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the next event able to break this range
05:17 UTC
Sideways, no directional impulse · RSI 53 · price 0.71246
Gap filled, then tight Asia-session range.
The Monday open gapped lower to the 0.71046 monday low and that gap was fully filled inside the first two hours, price then settling into a 0.71200–0.71302 band for the rest of the Asia session. ATR(14) at just 2.6 pips and RSI(14) near 53 confirm a dead, rangebound tape with the USD holding its post-FOMC firmness but no fresh AUD catalyst.
Support: 0.7120, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71302 session high would extend the move toward the 0.7140 range cap
Loss of the 0.71200 session low reopens the 0.71046 monday low and the 0.7100 psych handle
RBA Gov. Bullock speaking next session (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the first event able to break this range
04:47 UTC
Mild uptrend off the Monday gap low, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 0.71266
Higher lows through Asia, price capped under session high.
AUDUSD gapped lower into the Monday open at 0.71046 and reclaimed the gap area within the first hour, then ground out a chain of higher lows through Asia to a session high of 0.71302. Price is stalling 3–4 pips under that high with RSI(14) near 54 and ATR(14) only 2.4 pips — a compressed pre-London consolidation, USD still firm after last week's hawkish Fed but risk tone steady.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71143, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7136
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.71302 session high puts the 0.7136 range cap in focus
Loss of the 0.71204 swing low breaks the Asian higher-low chain and re-opens the gap area at 0.71143
London open liquidity in roughly an hour can expand the 2.4-pip ATR conditions sharply
Monday's opening gap down to the 0.71046 monday low was filled within the first hour and price has ground higher through Asia to the session high at 0.71302, closing at 0.71271 with RSI(14) near 57 — hot but nowhere near extreme. The 0.7120 floor has been defended repeatedly and ATR(14) at 2.6 pips confirms an unusually compressed Asian range, with the firm dollar tone post-FOMC keeping the advance shallow.
Support: 0.71205, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.7136
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.71302 session high shifts focus to the 0.7136 cap
Loss of the 0.7120 floor reopens the monday low at 0.71046
London open later this session — the Asian range between 0.7120 and 0.71302 is the reference for any break
04:17 UTC
Mild uptrend within Asian range · RSI 60 · price 0.71296
Higher lows since the gap-lower open, session high just taken.
AUDUSD gapped lower into the Monday open at 0.71088, dipped to the 0.71046 asia low and has filled the gap area, grinding out higher lows and printing a fresh session high at 0.71296 on the last bar. RSI(14) near 60 with ATR just 2.6 pips — thin Asian-session ranges; Friday high 0.71320 is the first real structural test, with the 0.7140 cap above it.
Support: 0.71201, 0.71143, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7132, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Close back under the 0.71201 swing low breaks the Asian-session higher-low chain
Rejection at the 0.71320 friday high keeps price inside the Asian range; acceptance above opens the 0.7140 cap
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC lands into London hours and could shift this read
Balanced inside a 0.7120-0.7129 asia range, higher low at 0.71204.
Monday opened with a gap down to 0.71046, filled within the first hour and set the asia high at 0.71290 before drifting back to the 0.71204 asia low twice. Price now sits mid-range at 0.71254 just above EMA20/EMA50, RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR at only 2.6 pips — thin Asian conditions with USD firm post-FOMC and no AUD data to trade.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71290 asia high extends the gap-fill recovery toward Friday's 0.71358 prior high and the 0.7140 cap
Loss of the 0.71204 asia low reopens the 0.71046 monday low
ATR at 2.6 pips is compressed; London open is the first likely source of range expansion
RBA Gov. Bullock speech (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the next scheduled AUD risk and would invalidate this range read
03:32 UTC
Flat, drifting within Monday's opening range · RSI 50 · price 0.71242
Gap down filled, then balanced range 0.71201–0.71289.
AUDUSD gapped ~15 pips lower at the Monday open, filled it within the first hour of Asia and peaked at the asia high 0.71289 before settling back to 0.71242, right on EMA20. Since then a 9-pip band between 0.71201 and 0.71289 with ATR(14) at 3.0 pips and RSI near 50 — thin, balanced Asia trade with no Australian data on the tape.
Support: 0.71201, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71289, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Break and hold above the asia high 0.71289 would end the post-gap balance and put 0.71358 friday high in range
Loss of the asia low 0.71201 reopens the unfilled ground toward the gap low 0.71046
ATR(14) at 3.0 pips flags compression — expansion typically arrives on the London open
Fed's Goolsbee ~10:30 UTC is the first scheduled risk that could break this range
03:17 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.71231
Gap down filled, then rotation inside a 9-pip Asia band.
Asia opened with a weekend gap down to 0.71046, which was filled inside the first hour and extended to a session high of 0.71289 before stalling. Price has since ground back into a 0.71201–0.71271 band with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR at 2.6 pips — no structural development in play, consistent with defensive AUD positioning under a firm post-FOMC dollar.
Support: 0.71201, 0.71088, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71289, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.71289 session high re-opens the upper part of Friday's range toward the 0.71358 friday high
Loss of the 0.71201 session low puts the gap open at 0.71088 and the 0.71046 asia low back in focus
Sequence of lower highs off 0.71289 keeps the range read intact while it holds
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:10 UTC and Australian PMIs Tue 23:00 UTC are the next scheduled risk to this band
Tight Asia range after gap-down open was filled; lower highs since the session high.
Monday Asia opened with a gap down to 0.71087, immediately filled and pushed to a session high at 0.71290 before fading back into a 0.7121–0.7129 band; USD stays firm post-FOMC so the recovery has stalled rather than extended. RSI(14) at 52 and ATR(14) around 2.5 pips confirm a low-volatility, thin-liquidity session with price pinned to the round number at 0.7120.
Support: 0.7120, 0.71087, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71345
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71290 session high would end the lower-high sequence and open the 0.71345 prior high
Loss of the 0.71200 round number puts the gap open at 0.71087 and the 0.71046 session low back in play
RBA Governor Bullock speech Tue 03:10 UTC is the first event capable of breaking this Asia range
Intraday range 0.71209-0.71290, lower highs since session high.
Monday's gap-down open at 0.71087 and the 0.71046 session low were fully recovered within the first two hours, price back through Friday's close as a hawkish-Fed dollar is offset by hawkish RBA rhetoric. Since the 0.71290 session high it has been a flat 0.71209-0.71290 band of lower highs through Asia hours, RSI(14) near 52 and price pinned to EMA20, with ATR(14) just 3.2 pips.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71143, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71290 session high extends the recovery leg toward the 0.71358 prior high and the 0.71400 psych cap
Loss of the 0.71209 pivot low reopens the 0.71143 gap open and the 0.71046 session low
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT and Australian PMIs Tue 23:00 GMT are the next scheduled AUD inputs that could reset this range read
02:17 UTC
Sideways, no directional impulse · RSI 49 · price 0.71224
Intraday range, mid-range after failed push.
Monday's Asia open gapped lower to 0.71046, filled within two bars and pushed to a session high at 0.71290 before fading back under the EMA20 at 0.71240. Price is now pinned mid Asia range around 0.7122 with RSI(14) near 49 and ATR(14) only 2.6 pips — compression, nothing structural in play.
Support: 0.71201, 0.71143
Resistance: 0.7124, 0.7129
What it said to watch
Close back above the ema20 at 0.71240 and then the 0.71290 session high would extend the Asia range higher
Loss of the 0.71201 asia low re-exposes the 0.71143 gap area
London open liquidity is the likely trigger to resolve the 2.6-pip ATR compression
Gap-down open filled, now balancing in a tight Asia range.
AUDUSD gapped lower to 0.71046 at the Asia open and filled the gap within the first two hours, tagging a session high of 0.71290 before settling into a 0.71200–0.71290 band. ATR(14) at ~2.5 pips and RSI(14) near 49 confirm a thin, directionless tape — dollar firmness on post-FOMC hike pricing is capping, not driving.
Support: 0.7120, 0.71143, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.71290 session high would extend the range and expose the 0.71358 prior high
Loss of the 0.71200 session low re-opens the gap midpoint at 0.71143
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Tue 03:10 GMT) is the next event risk capable of breaking this range
Liquidity returning at the London open typically resolves an Asia range of this width
01:47 UTC
Mild grind higher off the Asia low, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 0.7125
Gap-lower open then higher lows, now boxed 0.7121–0.7129.
AUDUSD gapped lower into the Monday Asia open near 0.7109, spiked down to a 0.71046 session low and has since ground back up through a chain of higher lows to a 0.71290 session high, stalling into 0.7125 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR only ~2.4 pips. The USD bid after Kashkari's hawkish weekend remarks is capping the recovery well short of Friday's 0.71358 high.
Support: 0.71201, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71201 breaks the rising-lows sequence and re-exposes the 0.71046 session low
Acceptance above the 0.71290 session high puts Friday's 0.71358 high and the 0.7140 psych cap back in play
RBA Gov Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the next scheduled event able to reshape this intraday range
01:32 UTC
Gap-down open recovered, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.71243
Consolidation 0.7121–0.7129 after the weekend gap was filled.
AUDUSD gapped lower into the Monday open, printed a session low at 0.71046 and recovered the whole gap within the first two hours of Asia, tagging a session high at 0.71290 before stalling. Price is now pinned around Friday's closing level with RSI(14) near 52 and ATR(14) only ~3.6 pips — early-Asia conditions, no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71143, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.71209 pivot low reopens the 0.71143 gap area
Acceptance above the 0.71290 session high puts the 0.71358 prior high and 0.71400 round number in view
Liquidity is thin this early in Asia; RBA Bullock speech later Tuesday is the next scheduled AUD catalyst and could reset this read
Monday's Asia open gapped lower to 0.71046, filled the gap within the first hour and has since ground back above Friday's close, printing a session high at 0.71290 before stalling. Price is now coiled in a 0.7120-0.7129 range with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR at only ~3.6 pips — thin early-Asia liquidity with the USD still firm on Fed hike pricing.
Support: 0.7120, 0.71143, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71358
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech at 03:10 GMT falls inside the next bars and can reprice this range immediately
Acceptance above the 0.71290 session high opens the 0.71358 friday high
Loss of the 0.71200 micro pivot re-exposes the 0.71143 gap fill and the 0.71046 session low
The 0.7104 floor is the structural marker — a break below it invalidates the recovery read
01:05 UTC
Mild uptrend off the Monday open low, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.71258
Higher highs and higher lows within a thin 0.7105–0.7129 Asia range.
AUDUSD gapped lower into the Monday Asia open near 0.7109, filled the gap within two bars and has ground out a chain of higher lows to a session high of 0.71290 before easing to 0.71258. Structure is intact but thin — ATR(14) is only ~3.6 pips and RSI(14) at 57 shows no extreme; the USD's 5% yields bid is capping the move rather than reversing it.
Support: 0.71201, 0.71143, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71201 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 0.71143 gap fill
A 15m close above the 0.71290 session high extends the Asia range toward Friday's 0.71358 high
RBA Gov Bullock speech 03:10 GMT is a high-impact event inside the next few bars and could reset this range
00:47 UTC
Short-term uptrend off the session low · RSI 69 · price 0.71282
Higher highs / higher lows since the Asia open, weekend gap filled.
Monday Asia opened with a gap lower to the 0.71046 session low, which was filled inside the first two hours; price has since built a higher-low chain off the 0.71200 pullback low and is closing on the 0.71290 session high with RSI(14) near 69. Drift is liquidity-thin — ATR(14) about 3 pips — with the grind consistent with the deep AUD net short and a USD that has stalled near 7-week highs.
Support: 0.7120, 0.71143, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71290 session high exposes 0.71358 friday high, then 0.71400 psych
Loss of the 0.71200 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain and re-opens the 0.71143 monday open area
RBA Gov Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the next scheduled event able to reshape this intraday read
00:33 UTC
Sideways, recovering from weekend gap · RSI 56 · price 0.71271
Gap-down filled, higher lows inside a tight Asia range.
Monday's Asia open gapped lower to 0.71046, the session low, and the gap was fully filled within four bars; the last close at 0.71271 sits back above Friday's close at 0.71239. Since then the tape has coiled in a 7-pip band above the 0.71201 asia base, with ATR(14) at just 3.6 pips and RSI(14) mid-range near 56 — no structural break in play yet.
Support: 0.71239, 0.71201, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71287 prior high would extend the recovery toward the 0.71358 friday high
Loss of the 0.71201 asia base re-exposes the 0.71046 session low and unwinds the gap fill
Asia liquidity is thin versus Friday's tape; ranges likely widen into the London open
No AUD or USD releases scheduled inside the next session — RBA Bullock is the next event risk
Tight Asia range above the week's opening gap low.
Monday's Asia open gapped lower to 0.71046 and the gap was fully filled inside the first hour, price stalling at a 0.71250 session high. Since then AUDUSD has compressed into a 0.71200–0.71250 band with RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR under 4 pips — no structural development in play.
Support: 0.7120, 0.71046, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.7125, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.71250 session high would extend the Asia leg toward Friday's 0.71358 prior high and the 0.71400 psych cap
A close back below the 0.71200 session low re-opens the 0.71046 open low and Friday's 0.71034 low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the next scheduled risk that could break this range
Week-open gap down filled, now compressing under the session high.
Asia reopened ~15 pips below Friday's close, filled the gap within three bars and tagged 0.71248 before stalling; price has since ground sideways in a 4-pip band with RSI(14) back to neutral near 46. ATR(14) at 3.4 pips confirms early-week liquidity is thin — no structure in play until the session high or the 0.71088 week open gives way.
Support: 0.71088, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71248, 0.71273
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.71248 session high reopens the 0.71273 prior high
Loss of the 0.71088 week open re-exposes the 0.71046 session low
3.4-pip ATR means levels are prone to false break until London liquidity arrives
RBA Governor Bullock's scheduled remarks are the next AUD event risk and could reset this range