AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 21 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:03 UTC
Sideways, momentum rolling over after Monday's fade · RSI 43 · price 0.71199
Range between 0.71046 and 0.71398 with lower highs since the London afternoon peak.
The week opened with a small gap-down to 0.71087, which was immediately bought back above 0.7100 and extended to a 0.71398 week high in the London afternoon before fading through the NY session as a firm, hawkish-Fed USD capped the move. Price has since slipped back under the EMA(20) at 0.71234 and printed a 0.71164 session low, leaving a sequence of lower highs off 0.71398 and RSI(14) back near 43. Friday's prior high around 0.71360 remains the ceiling that two attempts have failed to clear.
Support: 0.71164, 0.71087, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71234, 0.7136, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above the 0.71234 ema20 would negate the lower-highs sequence off the 0.71398 week high
Loss of the 0.71164 session low exposes the 0.71087 weekly open and the 0.71046 monday low
RBA Gov Bullock at 03:10 UTC falls within the next few bars and can reprice this range in either direction
Lower highs since Monday's NY high, still above the week open low.
AUDUSD spent Monday grinding back from a gap-down open near the 0.71046 week open low, and the NY session push to 0.71398 set the week high before supply capped it in line with the hawkish-Fed dollar bid. Price has since drifted back under the H1 ema20 at 0.71240 into Asia hours, printing a 0.71164 session low with RSI(14) down near 42. The move still sits above the 38.2% retracement of the Friday-low-to-Monday-high impulse, so the recovery leg is intact but stalling.
Support: 0.71164, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7124, 0.71398
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock at 03:10 UTC is the nearest catalyst and could reset this H1 range read
Hourly close back above the 0.71240 ema20 would reassert Monday's recovery leg toward the 0.71398 week high
Failure to hold the 0.71164 session low shifts focus to the 0.71046 week open low
Sustained trade under the 0.71000 psych pivot would negate the structure built since Friday's low
Range between 0.7117 and 0.7140 after Monday's gap-down was bought back above 0.7100.
AUDUSD gapped lower into Monday's Asia open, was dip-bought straight back above the 0.7100 pivot and then spent London and NY grinding inside a 0.7117-0.7140 range. The week high at 0.71398 was set early in the NY session and the subsequent rejection has left price back under EMA(20) near 0.71245, with a firm USD on hawkish Fed pricing capping each attempt higher. RSI(14) has slipped to the low 40s as the late-NY hours drift toward the session low at 0.71169.
Support: 0.71169, 0.71034, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71245, 0.71398, 0.7168
What it said to watch
RBA Governor Bullock Tue 03:10 UTC is the nearest catalyst and can materially shift this read
An hourly close back above the ema20 at 0.71245 would reopen the 0.71398 week high and the 0.7168 gate
Loss of the 0.71169 session low puts the 0.7100 pivot and last week's 0.71034 prior low back in play
Sustained trade under 0.7100 invalidates the range read built off Monday's recovery
0.7100-0.7140 range; Monday's push to 0.7140 rejected, lower highs into the NY close.
The window is framed by Wednesday's FOMC bar, which dumped AUDUSD ~50 pips to the 0.70744 fomc low before three sessions of grind-back put price into a 0.7100-0.7140 band. Monday opened with a small gap-down to the 0.71046 monday low, that gap was bought and London extended to the 0.71398 monday high, but the move faded steadily through NY hours with a firmer USD capping, leaving the close at 0.71184 back below both EMA(20) at 0.7124 and EMA(50) at 0.7122. RSI(14) near 40 with a sequence of lower highs since the London high shows the intraday push losing traction rather than a fresh leg down.
Support: 0.71046, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71224, 0.71238, 0.71398
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.71398 monday high would break the four-day range ceiling
Reclaiming 0.7124 (ema20) would neutralise the lower-high sequence off the London high
Failure to hold the 0.71046 monday low puts the 0.7100 psych pivot and the 0.70744 fomc low area back in focus
RBA Gov Bullock speech at 03:10 UTC is the nearest catalyst and could materially shift this read
Range between 0.7105 and 0.7140, price back under EMA20.
Monday gapped lower to 0.71087 at the weekly open, was bought straight back and built to a 0.71398 monday high during the NY session before fading into the close — the hawkish-Fed USD keeping AUD capped just under the 0.71360 week cap that also held Friday. Price is now pinned back below EMA20 at 0.71249 with RSI(14) flat near 49 and hourly ranges compressing to roughly 6 pips. The recovery leg off last week's 0.70744 week low remains intact while the 0.71087 weekly open and 0.71046 monday low hold.
Support: 0.71087, 0.71046, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71249, 0.7136, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.71249 (ema20) and then 0.71360 week cap would re-open the 0.71398 monday high
Loss of the 0.71087 weekly open and 0.71046 monday low would end the higher-lows sequence off the week low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Tue 03:10 UTC is the nearest catalyst and could invalidate this compressed range read within a few bars
Range between 0.7105 and 0.7140, back under EMA20.
AUDUSD opened the week with a gap down to 0.71046, filled it inside the first Asia hours, then ground higher through London to a week high of 0.71398 before fading back through the NY session; the digest's renewed RBA hike pricing after Bullock's remarks explains the bid, while the hawkish Fed keeps the 0.7140 area capped. Price has since slipped back under EMA20 (0.71251) with RSI(14) around 46, and the last three hours have coiled tightly just above the 0.71204 session low. The whole 96-bar window remains contained by the 0.7105-0.7140 band that has held since Friday, with the mid-week spike low at 0.70744 the only excursion below it.
Support: 0.71204, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71251, 0.71398
What it said to watch
An hourly close above the 0.71398 week high would break the 0.7140 cap and invalidate the range read
Loss of the 0.71204 session low and then the 0.711 psych level exposes the 0.71046 week low
Reclaiming EMA20 at 0.71251 would restore the Monday upward drift
RBA Gov Bullock speech at 03:10 UTC could materially shift this read before the Asia session closes
17:04 UTC
Sideways, mild pullback from week high · RSI 47 · price 0.71229
Range between 0.7105 and 0.7140 after the recovery off 0.70744.
Monday's session opened with a small gap lower to the 0.71046 week low and filled it within the first hours, but the grind into the NY session stalled at 0.71398 — the week high and the same 0.7140 area that capped Friday. Price has since slipped back under EMA(20) around 0.71265 with RSI(14) near 47, leaving the 0.7105–0.7140 range read intact after the recovery off 0.70744. The backdrop is RBA hike pricing for next week set against a firm post-FOMC dollar, which has kept the band narrow.
Support: 0.71204, 0.7110, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71265, 0.71398
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.71398 week high would break the range top
Loss of the 0.711 round number re-exposes the 0.71046 week low
Failure to reclaim ema20 at 0.71265 keeps the pullback structure in place
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:10 UTC and US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Monday's gap low, capped by a flat 0.7140 ceiling.
The 0.7105-0.7140 band built after last Wednesday's hawkish-FOMC slide has held through Monday: the week gapped lower to 0.71046, filled the gap inside the first hours of Asia and then ground up through London to the week high at 0.71398 on firmer RBA hike pricing. That is the same 0.7140 cap that rejected price ahead of the FOMC drop, and the NY session has faded the move back under EMA(20) at 0.71256 with RSI(14) flat at 50. Price is now pressing the session low at 0.71204, with the weekly open at 0.71087 the next reference beneath.
Support: 0.71204, 0.71087, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71256, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Sustained trade back above EMA(20) at 0.71256 re-opens the 0.7140 cap; repeated failure there keeps the week's advance corrective
An H1 close below the weekly open at 0.71087 breaks the range floor read and exposes the week low at 0.71046
RBA Gov Bullock speaks Tue 03:10 UTC, Australian PMIs at 23:00 UTC — the scheduled risks to this range
15:03 UTC
Sideways with a mild upward drift · RSI 51 · price 0.71253
Range between 0.7104 and 0.7140, higher lows since Friday's low.
Price gapped lower into Monday's open at 0.71046, was bought back within the first hours and then ground higher through the London and NY sessions to a 0.71398 monday high before stalling — the same 0.7136/0.7140 cap that held after Friday's hawkish RBA-driven rebound. The pair has since slipped back to 0.71253, marginally under EMA(20) at ~0.71265 but well above EMA(50), with RSI(14) parked near 51 after failing to hold above 60 at the highs. The Fed's hawkish hike keeps the dollar firm, so the week's structure so far is a tight 35-pip range rather than a directional leg.
Support: 0.71218, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71265, 0.71398
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.71398 would clear the 0.7136/0.7140 cap that has rejected two attempts
Sustained trade back under EMA(20) with a break of the 0.71218 session low would put the 0.71046 monday low back in focus
Loss of 0.71046 exposes the 0.7100 round number, the pivot the market has defended all week
RBA Governor Bullock Tue 03:10 GMT is the nearest catalyst and could materially shift this range read
Higher lows since the FOMC low, lower highs capped at the 0.7140 zone.
The dominant move of the window was the Wednesday NY-session slide from 0.71384 to 0.70744 on the FOMC hike and higher dot path; since then the pair has built a steady sequence of higher lows back through 0.7100. Monday opened with a gap lower to 0.71046, filled it inside the Asia session and pushed into the NY session to 0.71398, where the 0.7140 cap rejected the advance and price settled back onto EMA20 at 0.7127. RSI(14) has cycled back to 51.8 after failing to hold above 60 at the Monday high, and the fri high at 0.7135 is now the nearer band of supply.
Support: 0.7127, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7135, 0.71398
What it said to watch
An hourly close above 0.71398 (monday high) would break the 0.7140 cap that has held every attempt since Friday
Loss of the ema20 at 0.7127 followed by 0.71046 (monday low) would end the higher-low sequence
RBA Governor Bullock Tue 03:10 GMT and Australian PMIs Tue 23:00 GMT fall inside the next bar period and could reset this range read
Repeated failure to reclaim the fri high at 0.7135 keeps the recovery corrective rather than impulsive
13:03 UTC
Recovery uptrend, capped at range top · RSI 63 · price 0.7135
Higher lows since Monday's gap-down open, supply at 0.7140.
AUDUSD gapped lower into Monday's open, printed 0.71046 and was immediately bought back, then ground higher in a sequence of higher lows through the Asia and London sessions to a 0.71398 session high before closing back at 0.7135 — the same 0.7140 cap that held Friday after Bullock's hawkish testimony drove the rebound off the week's 0.70744 low. Price sits above EMA20 (~0.7128) and EMA50, with every pullback this session holding the EMA20, while RSI(14) near 63 is rising but has not pushed into extremes. The 0.7136/0.7140 band has now rejected price twice, leaving the recovery from the Fed-driven drop still inside that ceiling.
Support: 0.7128, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7140, 0.7168
What it said to watch
An hourly close above the 0.7140 cap would extend the recovery structure toward 0.7168
Loss of the EMA20 and a close back under 0.7100 would break the higher-low sequence and re-expose Monday's low at 0.71046
RBA Governor Bullock 03:10 GMT and Australian PMIs 23:00 GMT are the nearest catalysts capable of resetting this read within the next few bars
Rejection at 0.7140 with RSI rolling back under 50 would restore the pre-gap range read
Higher lows since the FOMC low, pressing the week cap.
AUD/USD has ground higher for a third session after Wednesday's hawkish FOMC bar dumped it 45 pips to 0.70744; Friday's Bullock testimony fuelled the recovery and Monday's London-NY hours have pressed the 0.7136/0.7140 week cap, the last bar printing 0.71388. Price has held above EMA(20) near 0.7124 for the entire Monday session, with RSI(14) around 63 — upper half of the range but not extended. The Monday low at 0.71046 and the 0.7100 pivot define the base of this week's higher lows.
Support: 0.7124, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7140, 0.7168
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7140 would confirm the week cap break and open the 0.7168 next level
Loss of ema20 at 0.7124, then the monday low at 0.71046, would bring the 0.7100 pivot back into focus
RBA's Bullock speaks Tue 03:10 GMT — a neutral tone would materially shift this read
11:04 UTC
Recovering from FOMC drop, momentum flattening into the cap · RSI 58 · price 0.71294
Range 0.7105-0.7136 with higher lows since Monday's open.
Wednesday's 18:00 FOMC hike knocked AUDUSD from 0.71384 to 0.70744 in two bars, and the entire Thursday-Friday recovery has been a grind back into that zone, stalling twice at the friday high of 0.71358. Monday's session opened with a gap-down to 0.71046, filled it within the first hours, and has since built higher lows back above the ema20 with price closing at 0.71294 just under the monday high of 0.71329. RSI(14) is cycling in the 45-62 band with no divergence — consistent with range behaviour rather than trend extension, and the 0.7136/0.7140 cap flagged by the rate-differential backdrop is still intact.
Support: 0.7125, 0.71087, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.71358, 0.71384
What it said to watch
An H1 close above 0.71384 (pre-fomc hi) invalidates the 0.7136 cap and the consolidation read
Loss of the weekly open at 0.71087 and the monday low at 0.71046 would confirm a lower low in the recovery sequence
RBA Gov. Bullock Tue 03:10 UTC and Australian PMIs Tue 23:00 UTC can materially reset this range
Failure to hold the ema20 near 0.7125 on pullbacks would break the higher-low sequence built since Monday's open
Higher lows since the FOMC low, capped under 0.7136-0.7140.
Wednesday's FOMC hike cut roughly 60 pips out of AUD/USD in a single hour, to 0.7074, before the Thursday-Friday grind and hawkish Bullock remarks retraced almost all of it into the 0.71384 week high. Monday opened with a gap lower to the 0.71046 monday low and buyers have lifted price steadily through the Asia and early London hours, with the 0.7130 session high capping the last three attempts. Price sits above EMA(20) at 0.7124 and above EMA(50), but RSI(14) at 54 shows the recovery has flattened rather than extended.
Support: 0.71243, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7133, 0.71384, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the 0.71384 week high and the 0.7140 psych cap would extend the recovery toward 0.7168
Loss of the 0.71046 monday low and the 0.7100 psych handle confirms a lower low and reopens 0.7075
A slip back under EMA20 at 0.7124 would end the Monday sequence of higher lows
RBA Bullock speaks Tue 03:10 GMT — nearest catalyst able to reshape this range
Higher lows since Wednesday's post-Fed low, capped under 0.7130/0.7136.
The week's defining bar was Wednesday's NY session collapse from the 0.71384 pre-Fed high to 0.70744 after the hawkish 25bp hike and upgraded dots; price has since ground back up in a stair-step of higher lows, helped by Bullock's hawkish Friday remarks, and now sits at 0.71294 above EMA(20) at 0.71248. Monday's Asia open gapped lower to a 0.71046 monday low and that gap was filled inside the first two hours, with trade since pinned in a 0.71203–0.71329 band. RSI(14) at 54 and ATR near 7 pips show a market compressing rather than trending, with the 0.7130 cap and the 0.71358 friday high still unbroken.
Support: 0.71248, 0.71203, 0.71046
Resistance: 0.71329, 0.71358, 0.71384
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.71358 friday high would put the 0.71384 pre-fed high back in play
Loss of the 0.71203 week open re-opens the 0.71046 monday low
Repeated rejection at the 0.71329 session high keeps the consolidation read intact
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the nearest catalyst capable of breaking this range
06:03 UTC
Range-bound, recovery stalling below the cap · RSI 51 · price 0.71223
Higher lows off 0.70744 but capped under 0.7136; Monday compressing around EMA20.
Last week's dominant move was the single-bar flush from 0.71384 to 0.70744 during the London-NY transition on the hawkish Fed/5% 10-year story; price has since ground back up in a sequence of higher lows without reclaiming the 0.7136-0.7140 cap. AUDUSD opened this week with a gap down to 0.71046, filled it inside the first Asian hours, and has held a tight 0.71201-0.71302 band since, with RSI(14) flat near 51 and price pinned to EMA20. Asia-session ranges of 4-8 pips show no directional resolution ahead of the week's AUD event risk.
Support: 0.71201, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71302, 0.71384
What it said to watch
RBA Gov. Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the first material catalyst and could break the Monday range
An H1 close above the 0.71302 session high, then the 0.71384 week high, would end the sideways read
Loss of the 0.71046 gap low would break the higher-low sequence and put the 0.71000 psych level in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT remain the main external driver via the dollar
Range between 0.7103 and 0.7136, higher lows intact.
The dominant move of the window was Thursday's vertical drop off 0.71384 to 0.70744 on the hawkish Fed hike and the push in US 10-year yields back to 5%, since retraced grind-style back into the old range with Friday's session peaking at 0.71358. Monday opened with a gap lower to 0.71046 and that gap has now been filled, with price back at 0.71263 above both EMA20 near 0.7122 and EMA50, RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR compressed to roughly 7.5 pips. Structure is a 0.7103–0.7136 range with higher lows off the 0.71034/0.71046 area; the day high at 0.71290 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.7122, 0.71046, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.71358 prior high invalidates the range read and exposes the 0.7140 psych cap
Loss of the 0.71046 monday low confirms a lower low and puts the 0.7100 round number in focus
RBA Gov Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT (no forecast) is the nearest scheduled risk to this compressed range
Sustained trade back below EMA20 would end the recovery drift off Thursday's low
Range 0.7103-0.7134 with higher lows off the week low.
AUDUSD spent the week rebuilding after the hawkish Fed hike knocked it from the 0.71384 week high to 0.70744 in a single NY hour; the recovery leg retraced most of that move before supply capped it under the 0.71340 prior high. The new week opened with a ~15-pip gap lower that has already been filled, leaving price pinned to EMA(20) near 0.7121 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s and ATR compressed to roughly 7 pips. The 0.71034 friday low to 0.71340 range is the operative structure as Asia hours get going.
Support: 0.71034, 0.70885, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.7134, 0.71384, 0.7140
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock speech Mon 03:10 GMT (06:10 broker time) is the first material risk to this range read
H1 close above the 0.71340 prior high puts the 0.71384 week high and the 0.7140 round number back in play
Loss of the 0.71034 friday low re-exposes the 0.70885 swing low and the 0.70744 week low
Sustained trade back below EMA(20) near 0.7121 would end the higher-lows sequence off the week low