AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Thursday, 29 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:03 UTC
Downtrend since Thursday's high, trading below both EMAs · RSI 39 · price 0.70196
Failed breakout above Mon–Tue range; lower highs from 0.7068.
Hot AU CPI on Wednesday and the post-FOMC bid lifted the pair out of its 0.7009–0.7040 Mon–Tue range to a week high of 0.7068 in Thursday's Asia session. Strong US Q3 GDP and claims then drove a full unwind through London and NY. Price is back below the weekly open at 0.7029 and near the 78.6% retracement of the Tue–Thu impulse. Lower highs at 0.7068 and 0.7041 have each capped a rebound, and RSI(14) is sitting near 38 with no divergence.
Support: 0.70141, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70288, 0.70414
What it said to watch
AU PPI at 00:30 UTC could test the Thursday low at 0.7014
An H1 close below 0.7009 week low would complete the false break and put the 0.7000 round number in play
A close back above the 0.7041 lower high would break the lower-highs trendline and neutralise the reversal read
US ECI at 12:30 UTC Friday and Daly/Musalem remarks could shift the USD side of the read
Holding below the 0.7029 weekly open keeps the pair inside the old Mon–Tue range
Lower highs from 0.7068, back inside early-week range.
Wednesday's AU CPI beat and the Fed hold lifted AUDUSD from the 0.7009 week low to a 0.7068 week high in Thursday's Asia session. Rejection there gave way to lower highs through London, and the firm US Q3 GDP print dragged price to a 0.7014 gdp low in the NY session, below the 61.8% retracement of the week's range. The NY rebound stalled at a 0.7041 lower high, and price now trades below the ema cluster near 0.7035, where EMA(20) has crossed under EMA(50), with RSI(14) at 46, back inside the Monday–Tuesday range.
Support: 0.7023, 0.7014, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7041, 0.7068
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7041 lower high and the ema cluster would break the lower-high sequence from 0.7068
Failure to hold the 0.7023 cpi base reopens the 0.7014 gdp low and the 0.7009 week low
Only a move back through the 0.7068 week high would restore the post-Fed advance
US ECI Fri 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.8%) and AU PPI at 00:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:05 UTC
Range, pulling back from week high · RSI 42 · price 0.70282
0.7009–0.7068 week range; lower highs since Thursday peak.
Wednesday's hot AU CPI and the post-Fed USD dip lifted the pair to a 0.7068 week high in Thursday's Asia session, but the move unwound through London and into the NY session as the US Q3 GDP beat firmed the dollar, printing a 0.7014 Thursday low. The rebound stalled at a 0.7041 lower high near the 50% retracement of that drop. Price is back at the 0.7027 weekly open, below an ema20/EMA(50) cluster around 0.7035, with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.7027, 0.70141, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.70414
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.7014 Thursday low exposes the 0.7009 week low and a break of the week's range
Reclaim of the ema20 near 0.7035 and the 0.7041 lower high would break the lower-high sequence and reopen the 0.7068 week high
Holding the weekly open at 0.7027 keeps price mid-range after the failed breakout above Tuesday's 0.7040 high
AU PPI at 00:30 UTC and US ECI at 12:30 UTC Friday could shift this read, with the RBA decision on 3 Nov the larger risk
Failed breakout above early-week range; lower highs from 0.7068, higher low at 0.7014.
Wednesday's hot AU CPI and the Fed hold pushed AUDUSD out of the Monday–Tuesday 0.7009–0.7040 range to a week high of 0.7068 in Thursday's Asia session. That breakout has since fully unwound. Lower highs formed through London, and the US Q3 GDP beat extended the drop to a 0.7014 Thursday low in the first hours of NY. The bounce from that low stalled at 0.7041, and price is now back near the week open, under EMA20 and EMA50, which have converged around 0.7036. RSI(14) sits near 43, and price is at the 61.8% retracement of the week's 0.7009–0.7068 leg.
Support: 0.7027, 0.70141, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.70414
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7041 bounce high breaks the lower-high sequence from the 0.7068 week high
Holding below the converged ema20/ema50 near 0.7036 keeps the failed-breakout read intact
Failure to hold the 0.7014 Thursday low tests the higher-low line and the 0.7009 week low
AU PPI at 00:30 UTC in the Asia session and US Q3 ECI at 12:30 UTC Friday could materially shift this read
Daly and Musalem on December Fed hike guidance Friday could move the pair during NY hours
Lower highs from 0.7068 back inside Mon–Tue range.
Wednesday's AU CPI beat and the Fed hold lifted the pair out of the Monday–Tuesday 0.7009–0.7040 range to a 0.7068 week high in Thursday's Asia session. That move has fully unwound through London and NY, and the 12:30 UTC US data (GDP beat, sub-200K claims) drove the Thursday low at 0.7014. The NY bounce stalled at 0.7041, the 50% fib of the Thursday selloff, and price now sits below EMA(20) near 0.7036 with RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 0.7027, 0.70141, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.70355, 0.70414
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.7041 (50% fib) and the lower-highs line from 0.7068 would reopen the week high
Failure to hold the 0.7027 week open exposes the 0.7014 Thursday low and the 0.7009 week low on the range floor
AU PPI at 00:30 UTC and Friday's US ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read, with the RBA decision on 3 Nov behind them
Midweek breakout above 0.7040 unwound back into Mon-Tue range.
Monday and Tuesday held a 0.7009-0.7040 range. Hot AU CPI and the Fed hold then pushed price through the range top, first to the 0.7054 CPI high and then to a 0.7068 week high in Thursday's Asia session. That extension unwound through London and the US GDP/PCE releases, retracing about 90% of the week low-to-week high move to a 0.7014 NY low. A bounce has since put price back at 0.7033, just under EMA(20) and EMA(50) near 0.7036, with RSI(14) back to ~49 from the high-60s midweek.
Support: 0.7027, 0.7014, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.7054, 0.7068
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7041 range top and Thursday's lower-highs line (~0.7038) would neutralise the failed-breakout read and reopen the 0.7054 CPI high and 0.7068 week high
Failure to hold the 0.7027 weekly open exposes the 0.7014 NY low and 0.7009 week low; a close below the week low marks a range break lower toward 0.7000
AU PPI at 00:30 UTC and Friday's US ECI (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read, with the RBA decision on 3 Nov the larger event risk
Lower highs since Thursday's 0.7068 peak; back inside the Mon–Wed range.
The CPI and Fed-hold spikes carried price above the Mon–Wed range to a week high of 0.7068 in Thursday's Asia session. The Thursday decline then printed successive lower highs through London and NY and gave back the whole move. The GDP beat and in-line core PCE pushed the drop to a 0.7014 NY low before a bounce back to the weekly open at 0.7027. Price sits below a flattening EMA(20) near 0.7036, and RSI(14) has recovered to the low 40s from the mid-30s on the bounce.
Support: 0.7027, 0.7014, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7041, 0.7068
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7041 lower high breaks the Thursday sequence of lower highs and reopens the week high at 0.7068
Failure to hold the 0.7009 week low confirms a range break lower, with the 0.7000 round number next
Rejection at the 0.7036 ema20 keeps the false break above the range intact
AU PPI 00:30 UTC Fri and US ECI 12:30 UTC Fri could materially shift this read
14:04 UTC
Rally from the week high fully reversed, momentum lower · RSI 34 · price 0.7019
Lower highs since Thursday's Asia peak; post-FOMC breakout retraced back into the Mon–Tue range.
The hot AU CPI spiked the pair in Wednesday's Asia session, and the Fed hold carried it to a week high at 0.7068 early Thursday. Since then the move has unwound in a steady run of lower highs through London. The US GDP beat and firm claims during NY hours added to the drop, taking price through the weekly open at 0.7027 and the fib 61.8 near 0.7031, a level that had held twice this morning. Price now sits at today's day low around 0.7017, back at the Monday–Tuesday range floor, below an EMA(20) near 0.7036, with RSI(14) near 34 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.70166, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7031
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.7009 week low breaks the Mon–Tue range floor and exposes the 0.7000 round number, the pivot the digest also flags
Recovery above the weekly open and fib 61.8 (0.7027–0.7031) puts the drop back inside the range and softens the false-break read
The lower highs trendline near 0.7034 lines up with EMA(20); a close above it ends Thursday's sequence
ECB/Lagarde today, AU PPI at 00:30 UTC and US ECI Fri 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg; the 0.7068 week high remains the upside reference
Lower highs from the 0.7068 week high; price back at the top of the Mon–Tue range.
The week's dominant move came Wednesday. The hot AU CPI print spiked the pair to the 0.7054 cpi high in Asia, and the Fed hold extended it during NY hours to a 0.7068 week high in Thursday's Asian session. Since then a run of lower highs through London has given back nearly all of the post-Fed leg as the USD steadied. Price is below EMA(20) near 0.7043 and below EMA(50), and tagged the 0.7030 today low near the 61.8% retracement of the Tuesday–Thursday advance. RSI(14) has slid to around 40, its lowest reading since before the CPI release.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7027, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7043, 0.7054, 0.7068
What it said to watch
US Q3 GDP and core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read in either direction
H1 close below the 0.7030 today low puts the 0.7027 week open and the 0.7009 week low back in focus
Reclaim of ema20 near 0.7043, above the lower-highs trendline, would break the pullback sequence and reopen the 0.7054 cpi high
RBA decision Tue 3 Nov (hike ~82% priced) is the next scheduled AUD risk beyond this window
10:03 UTC
Range with higher lows, post-Fed gains unwound · RSI 38 · price 0.70325
Higher lows since Monday intact; Thursday's Asia high fully retraced through London.
The hot AU CPI print produced a cpi spike to 0.7054 in Wednesday's Asia session that faded into the 0.7023–0.7045 range. The Fed's hold lifted the pair to a week high of 0.7068 in Thursday's Asia session, but London unwound the entire move. Price is back at the fomc low near 0.7030, which lines up with the 61.8% of the week's range and the rising trendline from Monday's 0.7009 week low. RSI(14) has slipped to the high 30s, and price now sits below both the ema20 near 0.7044 and the EMA(50).
Support: 0.7029, 0.7023, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7044, 0.7054
What it said to watch
US Q3 GDP and Sep core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below the 0.7029 fomc low and the rising trendline turns the failed breakout above 0.7054 into a confirmed false break, putting the 0.7023 wed low in focus
Failure to hold the 0.7023 wed low would break the higher-low sequence and expose the 0.7009 week low
Recovery back above the ema20 near 0.7044 and the 0.7054 cpi spike would restore the higher-low structure toward the 0.7068 week high
AU PPI on Fri 00:30 UTC is a further inflation input for AUD
Back inside Mon–Wed 0.7009–0.7054 range, testing rising support.
Monday to Wednesday held a 0.7009–0.7054 range, and Wednesday's hot AU CPI spike to the 0.7054 cpi high faded within the Asian session. The post-FOMC rally in NY broke the range and printed a 0.7068 month high in Asia today. London has since unwound most of the move as the USD firmed ahead of US GDP/PCE, carving lower highs and slipping below ema20 at 0.7045 and EMA(50) near 0.7039. Price now sits on the rising support line from the week low, just above today's low at 0.7031, which is also the 61.8% retracement of the week's advance, with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.7031, 0.7023, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7045, 0.7054, 0.7068
What it said to watch
An H1 close below today's low at 0.7031 breaks rising support and opens Wednesday's low at 0.7023, then the 0.7009 week low.
A recovery above ema20 at 0.7045 and the intraday lower-highs line would revive the post-Fed breakout read toward the 0.7054 cpi high.
US Q3 GDP and Sep core PCE at 12:30 GMT (about 3.5h away) could materially shift this read. A soft print opens a retest of the 0.7068 month high.
Holding inside the 0.7009–0.7054 range keeps the post-Fed breakout classed as failed.
07:03 UTC
Uptrend since Wednesday, pulling back · RSI 51 · price 0.7044
CPI breakout from Mon–Tue range, retest of former range top.
AUD/USD held a 0.7009–0.7040 range from the weekly open (0.7027) through Tuesday, then broke higher on Wednesday's hot AU CPI. The FOMC-hour spike cleared the cpi high at 0.7054 and extended to the fomc high at 0.7064, with the week high printed at 0.7068 in Thursday's Asia session. Since then the pair has faded through the Asia session into London open as the USD steadies. Price is back below EMA(20) at the asia low of 0.7041, which sits on the 38.2% retracement of the week's rally and near the old 0.7040 range top, with RSI(14) cooling to about 51.
Support: 0.7041, 0.7027, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7054, 0.7064, 0.7068
What it said to watch
US Q3 GDP and September PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
An H1 close below the 50% fib near 0.7038 and the asia low would put the weekly open at 0.7027 and the higher-lows line in play
Failure at 0.7027 reopens the week low at 0.7009 and negates the CPI breakout
A recovery above the cpi high at 0.7054 brings the fomc high at 0.7064 and the week high at 0.7068 back into focus
Shifts in RBA 3 Nov hike pricing (~82%) and Friday's AU PPI
06:04 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back after range break · RSI 54 · price 0.70471
Mon–Tue range 0.7009–0.7040 broken on Wed NY; now retesting the breakout zone.
Monday and Tuesday held a 0.7009–0.7040 range above the 0.7027 weekly open. Wednesday's hot monthly CPI spiked price to 0.7054 in the Asia session, but it faded back into the range. The USD dip after the Fed hold broke the range top during NY hours, and the move extended to a 0.70675 week high in Thursday's Asian session. Price has since eased to 0.7047 and sits on EMA(20), the 38.2% retracement of the 0.7009–0.70675 leg, just above the former range top. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s from the post-Fed push.
Support: 0.70465, 0.7040, 0.70289
Resistance: 0.70584, 0.70675, 0.7070
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 0.7040 range top puts price back inside the Mon–Tue range and exposes the 50% fib near 0.7038 and the 0.7029 fed low
Holding EMA(20) and 0.7040 keeps the breakout retest intact; a close above the 0.7058 post-fed hi brings the 0.70675 week high back into play
A break of the week high opens the 0.7070 major res area flagged in the macro digest
US core PCE and GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6.5h) could materially shift this read
Failure of the higher-low line from Tuesday's 0.7009 low would mark a change in this week's structure
Mon–Wed range 0.7009–0.7040 broken higher; consolidating below week high.
After a gap lower at the 0.7027 weekly open, price held a 0.7009–0.7040 range through Wednesday. The hot Australian CPI spike to 0.7054 in Wednesday's Asia session faded, but the Fed hold during NY hours drove a breakout above the 0.7040 breakout level, and price extended to a 0.7068 week high in Thursday's Asian range. Price is now drifting in the 0.7050s just above EMA(20) at 0.7047, which lines up with the 38.2% retracement of the week's impulse. Rising lows since Tuesday remain intact, and RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s from the post-Fed push.
Support: 0.7047, 0.7040, 0.7029
Resistance: 0.70675, 0.7070
What it said to watch
US PCE and Q3 GDP in today's NY session (~12:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
H1 close back below the 0.7040 breakout level returns price to the Mon–Wed range and puts the 0.7029 fed bar low in focus
Clearance of the 0.7068 week high exposes the 0.7070 round number
Failure to hold ema20 at 0.7047 would mark the first loss of the post-Fed trend support
Australia PPI on Oct 30, 00:30 UTC, lands in the next Asia session
04:04 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back to EMA(20) · RSI 59 · price 0.70519
Higher highs and higher lows after a range break above 0.7040.
AUDUSD was capped in a 0.7009–0.7040 range through Monday and Tuesday. Wednesday's hot CPI spike and the post-Fed USD dip during NY hours then drove a range break, extending to a 0.70675 week high in today's Asia session. Price has since eased back to EMA(20) near 0.7047, sitting on the asian low with RSI(14) cooled to ~59, while higher lows from the week low stay intact and the 0.7060 psych level caps the bounce.
Support: 0.70468, 0.7040, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7060, 0.70675
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.7047 asian low and EMA(20) exposes a retest of the 0.7040 range top
Acceptance back below the 0.7040 range top, near the 50% fib of the week impulse at 0.7038, would mark the move as a false break
Close above the 0.70675 week high reopens the 0.7070 resistance flagged in the macro digest
US core PCE and Q3 GDP at 12:30 UTC (~8.5h) could materially shift this read
Australia PPI on Oct 30 at 00:30 UTC is the last inflation check before the Nov 3 RBA decision
Break of the higher lows trendline from the 0.7009 week low would end the uptrend read
03:04 UTC
Uptrend, pausing near week high · RSI 62 · price 0.70561
Higher highs and higher lows since Tuesday's 0.7009 low; Mon–Wed range broken.
AUDUSD has printed higher lows since Tuesday's Asia-session low at 0.7009 and sits well above the 0.7027 weekly open. Wednesday's hot Australian CPI spiked price to 0.7054. The Fed hold and the softer USD after Warsh's presser then drove a NY-session break of that cap. Thursday's Asia session extended to a 0.7068 week high around the import-price release, and price has since eased to 0.7056, still above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 62.
Support: 0.70468, 0.70359, 0.7027
Resistance: 0.70675, 0.7070
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below the 0.7047 asia low opens the week impulse 50% retracement near the 0.7036 prior close
Break of the higher-lows trendline (~0.7030) and the 0.7027 weekly open would negate the uptrend read
Sustained trade above the 0.7068 week high and the 0.7070 round number extends the range break
US core PCE and Q3 GDP at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
Australian PPI at 00:30 UTC Friday is the next AUD-side risk before the Nov 3 RBA decision
Higher lows since Monday; range break above 0.7054 cpi high.
AUD/USD spent Monday and Tuesday boxed in 0.7009–0.7040 on higher lows. Wednesday's Asia-session CPI beat spiked it to the 0.7054 cpi high, but that faded to a 0.7023 swing low during London. The Fed hold and a softer USD after Warsh's press conference then drove a range break through the cpi high during NY hours, and the Asia session today extended it to a 0.70675 week high. Price is holding above the rising ema20 near 0.7046, and RSI(14) at 63 has room before overbought.
Support: 0.7054, 0.7046, 0.7023
Resistance: 0.70675, 0.7070
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 0.7054 cpi high would leave the breakout looking like a false break
Loss of the ema20 near 0.7046 and the 38.2% fib of the post-low leg (~0.7050) brings the higher-lows line and the 0.7023 swing low into focus
Week high at 0.70675 and the 0.7070 round number are the cap; an H1 close above extends the leg
US core PCE and Q3 GDP at 12:30 UTC (~10h) could materially shift this read
01:05 UTC
Uptrend after range break, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 0.7050
AUD/USD held a 0.7009–0.7045 range from Monday through Wednesday's London session. The Asia-session spike on the hot AU CPI beat faded back inside that range. The break came during NY hours on the Fed hold and softer USD, carrying price to a 0.7064 week high on a series of higher lows. The Asia session has since compressed between the 0.7047 post-Fed low and a 0.7057 Asia high, with price above a rising EMA(20) and RSI(14) easing to around 60.
Support: 0.7047, 0.7040, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7057, 0.7064
What it said to watch
An H1 close back below the 0.7040 range top would turn the move into a false break and reopen the range
Failure to hold the 0.7047 post-Fed low exposes the 38.2% fib near 0.7043 and EMA(20)
A close above the 0.7064 week high extends the breakout leg toward the 0.7070 resistance cited in the macro digest
US core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC (~12h), and AU PPI on 30 Oct, could materially shift this read
A break of the higher-lows trendline toward the 0.7009 week low would negate this week's structure
00:04 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout from weekly range · RSI 66 · price 0.7055
Mon–Tue range 0.7009–0.7040 broken on Wed NY session; higher lows since Tuesday.
The week opened with a gap below Friday's close, then ranged 0.7009–0.7040 through Monday and Tuesday. Wednesday's hot Aus CPI pushed price to 0.7054 in the Asia session, but the move faded back toward 0.7023 by London. The FOMC hold and softer USD in NY then broke the range top and printed the week high at 0.7064. Today's Asia low at 0.7047 has held above EMA(20) near 0.7043, with RSI(14) near 66 cooling from the post-Fed push.
Support: 0.7047, 0.7043, 0.7040
Resistance: 0.7064, 0.7070
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 0.7040 range top returns price to the Mon–Tue range and marks the breakout as a false break
A clean break of the 0.7064 week high brings major resistance at 0.7070 into play
Loss of the Asia low and EMA(20) at 0.7047–0.7043 would leave the higher-low line and the week impulse fib 50% near 0.7037 as the next references
Aus PPI at 00:30 UTC today, then US core PCE and GDP at 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read