AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Thursday, 30 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:04 UTC
Range breaking higher · RSI 67 · price 0.70318
Two-week range, upside break in progress.
Price spent two weeks boxed between 0.6920 and the 0.7025 ceiling that had capped every rally, then the last two H4 bars pushed through on the heaviest volume in the window as the FOMC hawkish-hold and soft US GDP/PCE dragged on the USD. The close at 0.70318 clears 0.7025, the level the macro read flagged as flipping near-term structure. A hold above 0.7025 keeps this breakout intact.
Support: 0.7025, 0.6970, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.7050
What it said to watch
H4 close back below 0.7025 negates the breakout and returns price to the range
Failure to hold 0.6970 reopens the 0.6920 two-week low
US ECI Fri 12:30 GMT could re-arm USD demand and stall the break
21:03 UTC
Range breaking to the upside · RSI 65 · price 0.70318
Multi-week range resolving above 0.7026 cap.
AUDUSD spent three weeks pinned in a 0.6920-0.7026 range after the soft June CPI miss gutted RBA hike odds and drove a run of down days. The last two bars cleared the 0.7026 range cap to print fresh highs at 0.70326, with price back above both EMAs, RSI in the mid-60s and ATR expanding off the breakout bar. The turn tracks a softer USD after the hawkish-hold FOMC and weak Q2 GDP.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6920, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7026
What it said to watch
H4 close back below 0.7026 puts price back inside the prior range
0.6900 support (200-DMA) is the multi-week floor if the break fails
US ECI Fri 12:30 GMT could re-arm USD and shift this read
17:03 UTC
Range, rallying to top · RSI 62 · price 0.70222
Multi-day range 0.6920-0.7025, price probing range top.
AUDUSD spent the last two weeks boxed in a 0.6920-0.7025 range, twice basing near 0.6920 before the latest impulse. The final bar surged ~50 pips to 0.70222, testing the range top as softer US GDP/PCE trimmed USD demand post-FOMC. ATR(14) ticked up on that push, but 0.7025 has capped every prior attempt and marks the line that has kept lower highs intact.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6922, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7025
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7025 ends the lower-highs sequence and opens a higher range
Rejection at 0.7025 keeps price inside the range toward 0.6970 mid
Failure to hold 0.6900 pivot confirms a range breakdown
AUD PPI Fri 01:30 GMT and US ECI/UoM Fri could shift the USD-side read
Price rebounded off the 0.6920 two-week low and the latest bar surged ~50 pips to probe the 0.7025 range cap, aided by post-FOMC USD softness after the soft PCE/GDP prints. The move reclaimed the 0.7000 round number and now sits against the sequence of lower highs that has capped rallies for two weeks. ATR(14) near 52 pips shows steady range conditions rather than a full trend expansion.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6965, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.7025
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7025 range cap ends the lower-highs sequence and opens 0.7060+
Failure to hold the 0.7000 round number reopens 0.6965 and the 0.6920 low
AUD PPI Fri and US ECI/UoM could shift the read via USD side
13:03 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 0.69813
Lower highs capping, 0.6920 floor holding.
AUDUSD has spent three weeks oscillating between the 0.6920 two-week low and the 0.7026 range high, with a sequence of lower highs since the mid-month peak after the soft June CPI print (3.8% vs 4%) cemented the RBA pause case. Price swept to 0.6927 then rejected sharply higher on the highest-volume bar of the window, reclaiming the EMA20 and printing 0.69813. ATR is mid-range, keeping the pair inside its established band rather than trending.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7026 invalidates the range-top read
Loss of 0.6920 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6900 200-dma
AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift the AUD read into the next session
H4 is rolling over below the 0.7026 swing high with a sequence of lower highs; the soft June CPI print (3.8% vs 4%) drove price to a two-week low near 0.6920, which held. A bounce back toward 0.6980 has stalled under the 0.7000 round level, keeping the broader 0.6920-0.7026 range intact with ATR in a middling regime.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6920 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6900 200-dma pivot
Reclaim of 0.7000 would challenge the lower-high sequence
AU PPI Fri 01:30 UTC could shift the read
09:03 UTC
Downtrend, rolling over from range top · RSI 43 · price 0.69503
Lower highs, pressing range low.
AUDUSD has rolled over below EMA20/50 after a twin-peak stall near 0.7026, carving lower highs into the 0.6950 zone as soft Q2 CPI cements the RBA pause and a firmer USD weighs. The rejection off 0.6988 and the failure to hold above 0.6950 keeps the range low at 0.6920 in play, with 0.6900 (March trough/200-DMA) the key line below. ATR is mid-range, leaving room for extension if 0.6920 gives way.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6988, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6900 confirms a lower low and opens further downside
Reclaim of 0.6988 negates the rollover read
US GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD leg materially
09:03 UTC
Rolling over, lower highs · RSI 44 · price 0.69503
Range breakdown below 0.6960 after double-top near 0.7026.
AUDUSD spent two weeks capped by a double top near 0.7026 before losing the 0.6960 range floor, leaving a lower-high sequence and price back near the lower end of the multi-week range. The break followed the softer Australian CPI miss and a firmer USD post-FOMC. ATR(14) is steady rather than compressing, and price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 after the breakdown.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6960, 0.7026
What it said to watch
US Q2 GDP and Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.69000 (200-dma) confirms continuation lower
H4 close back above 0.69600 range floor would neutralise the breakdown
05:03 UTC
Rolling over, lower highs · RSI 44 · price 0.69509
Range break lower, bounce into prior range.
AUDUSD carved a rounded top near 0.7026 and has since printed lower highs, breaking down out of the 0.699-0.702 range after the soft Q2 CPI print gutted RBA August hike odds. Price swept the 0.6922 swing low then recovered, but sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the mid-40s. The 0.6900 200-DMA remains the multi-week line, with 0.6990 prior range acting as overhead supply.
Support: 0.6922, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7026
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H4 close above 0.7026 multi-wk high invalidates the lower-highs read
Failure to hold 0.6900 200-dma opens deeper downside
RBA decision Aug 10-11 is the main catalyst ahead
05:03 UTC
Rolling over, lower highs · RSI 45 · price 0.69509
Topping below 0.7026, testing sub-0.6950.
AUDUSD has carved a rounded top below the 0.7026 swing high, with a series of lower highs since mid-window as the soft Q2 CPI print gutted RBA August-hike odds and a hawkish Fed hold firmed the USD. Price sits back below both EMA20 and EMA50 near 0.6951, having swept the 0.6922 swing low and bounced on a high-volume candle before fading. ATR has expanded on that spike, and the 0.6900 200-DMA marks the multi-week line downside is pressing toward.
Support: 0.6922, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6922 swing low confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6900 200-dma
Reclaim of the 0.7000 round number negates the topping read
US Core PCE/GDP cluster today 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 44 · price 0.69602
Sequence of lower highs, testing lower range.
Rolling over below a string of lower highs from 0.7026; the Q2 CPI undershoot yesterday gutted August RBA hike odds and pressed AUD through the 0.6970 pivot into a 0.6922 low. Price is now below both EMA20 and EMA50, with the 0.6900 200-DMA the line in the sand flagged as multi-week support. ATR sits mid-range after the sharp CPI-day expansion.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H4 close back above 0.6970 negates the range break and reopens 0.7025
Failure to hold 0.6922 exposes the 0.6900 200-DMA
US Core PCE/GDP today 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read via USD
01:03 UTC
Rolling over, lower highs since mid-window · RSI 44 · price 0.69602
Range fading, sequence of lower highs below 0.7025.
AUDUSD has carved out a sequence of lower highs beneath the 0.70263 peak, and yesterday's Q2 CPI undershoot (3.8% vs 4.0%) accelerated the roll-over, driving a spike to 0.69219 before a recovery to 0.696. Price sits below both the EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the near-term structure heavy while the 0.6900 200-DMA marks the multi-week floor. ATR remains contained, so the broader 0.6920-0.7025 range still frames the action pending a decisive break.
Support: 0.69219, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70263
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6900 confirms a lower low and breaks the 200-dma floor
Reclaim of 0.7000 and 0.70263 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE cluster Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read via USD