EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:08 UTC
Downtrend, oversold after NFP leg · RSI 28 · price 1.11361
Lower highs and lower lows since Wednesday's high; Tuesday range floor broken.
Since Wednesday's 1.1273 midweek high, H1 has printed a run of lower highs and lower lows. Friday's London session broke below Tuesday's 1.1175 range floor, then the NFP beat (165K vs 65K) drove the leg to a 1.1131 week low in the first hour of NY. The week closed at 1.1136, below EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) near 28 and only shallow bounces after the data.
Support: 1.1131, 1.1100
Resistance: 1.1175, 1.1200, 1.1273
What it said to watch
An H1 close back above the 1.1175 range floor and the 38.2% fib (~1.1185) would print the first higher high since Wednesday.
Failure to hold the 1.1131 week low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1100 round number.
A reclaim of the 1.12 pivot (50% fib) and the lower-highs line would neutralise the downtrend read. The 1.1273 midweek high caps above that.
Fed speakers on Monday and US CPI on Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read. EZ HICP follows on Wed 07:00 UTC.
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended after NFP · RSI 29 · price 1.11361
Lower highs from 1.1273 week high, Tuesday range broken lower.
Wednesday's Asia-London rally to the 1.1273 week high faded into NY, and the lower-highs line from Thursday has capped every bounce since. The US payrolls beat (165K vs 65K) extended Friday's slide through the Tuesday low at 1.1175 to a 1.1131 week low, erasing the week's gains. Price sits below EMA(20) near 1.1160, which also marks the post-NFP bounce high, with RSI(14) under 30; the 61.8% fib of Friday's leg sits at 1.1195 above that.
Support: 1.1131, 1.1100
Resistance: 1.1160, 1.1175, 1.1195
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the ema20 / 1.1160 bounce high would be the first break of Friday's lower-high sequence
A reclaim of the tuesday low at 1.1175 puts price back inside Tuesday's range and weakens the range break read
Failure to hold the 1.1131 week low exposes the 1.1100 round number
Oversold RSI(14) without a new low below 1.1131 would leave the slide stalling at the week low
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC and EZ HICP Wed 07:00 UTC could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, stretched into the weekly close · RSI 26 · price 1.11361
Lower highs and lower lows since Wednesday's 1.1273 top.
A double top near 1.1270 from Wednesday and Thursday gave way to a run of lower highs. Friday's London session broke below Tuesday's 1.1175 range low, and the blowout US NFP (165K vs 65K) then extended the slide to the 1.1131 nfp low. The post-NFP bounce stalled at 1.1160, under the 23.6% retracement of the Wednesday-Friday drop and a falling EMA(20), and the week closed near the lows with RSI(14) oversold around 26.
Support: 1.11308, 1.1100
Resistance: 1.11598, 1.1175, 1.12028
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 1.1175 tuesday low would reopen the prior range and weaken the downtrend read
A break of the 1.1131 nfp low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1100 round number
A recovery through the 1.1160 nfp bounce high and the lower-highs line would mark the first break in Friday's sequence
The 1.1203 thu low aligns with the 50% retracement of the Wednesday-Friday drop, a key test for any rebound
Fed speakers Mon and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read; EZ HICP follows Wed
20:18 UTC
Downtrend, oversold into Friday close · RSI 28 · price 1.11361
Lower highs from the 1.1273 week high; range break Friday, trading near the NFP low.
Wednesday's breakout peaked at 1.1273 in the NY session. Thursday's early retest at 1.1268 failed, and lower highs formed under the descending trendline as price rotated back through the 1.1205–1.1270 range. Friday's Asia and London sessions broke Thursday's 1.1203 low, then the NFP beat (165K vs 65K) extended the drop to the 1.1131 nfp low, erasing the week's gains. Price closed the week below the ema20 near 1.1164 with RSI(14) at 28 (oversold), and the NY session stalled just above the low with no recovery.
Support: 1.1131, 1.1100
Resistance: 1.1164, 1.1185, 1.1200
What it said to watch
A close below the 1.1131 nfp low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1100 round number
Recovery above the ema20 and the fib 38.2 at 1.1185 would mark the first higher high since the NFP drop
A close above the descending trendline and 1.1200 psych, ING's consolidation pivot, invalidates the downtrend read
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC, with Waller earlier the same day, could materially shift this read
EZ HICP Wed 07:00 UTC; a hot print risks short-covering in crowded EUR positioning
Lower highs from 1.1273; Tuesday range low broken, trading at window lows.
The window high at 1.1273 printed into Wednesday's NY open. Thursday's 1.1268 lower high gave way during London, and each rebound since has been capped by a falling lower-highs line. Friday's London session pushed through the tuesday low at 1.1175, and the US NFP beat (165K vs 65K) extended the drop to the 1.1131 nfp low. Price closed at 1.1136, below the ema20 near 1.1153, with RSI(14) near 27 in oversold territory and post-NFP bounces stalling under 1.1160.
Support: 1.1131, 1.1100
Resistance: 1.1153, 1.1175, 1.1203
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 1.1175 tuesday low would mark a reclaim of the broken range and weaken the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 1.1131 nfp low exposes the 1.1100 round number
50% fib of the Wednesday-to-Friday drop sits at 1.1202, near the thursday low; a rebound stalling there keeps the lower-highs sequence intact
Fed speakers Mon and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read; EZ HICP Wed 07:00 UTC is the EUR-side risk