EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 28 May 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:45 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 54 · price 1.16505
Rally into 1.1657, pullback consolidating near 1.1650.
M15 ran a sharp London-NY leg from 1.1603 to a session high at 1.1657 before stalling; price has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 1.1650 through the late NY and early Asia hours. RSI has cooled to mid-range and ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips as liquidity thins.
Support: 1.1646, 1.16323, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16576
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1646 swing low opens a deeper pullback to the 1.1632 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.1658 session high reopens the upside leg
Asia session liquidity is thin — moves may lack follow-through until London open
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.
Soft PCE during NY hours triggered a clean breakout from 1.1632, tagging 1.1661 before fading. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1646–1.1654 range through the Asia open, RSI(14) cooled back to mid-50s after running hot near the high.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.1619
Resistance: 1.1654, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1654 reopens 1.1661 NY high
Loss of 1.1646 pullback low exposes 1.1632 breakout base
Thin Asia liquidity — Iran/Hormuz headlines can spike ranges
NY session ripped from 1.1603 to a 1.1657 high on soft PCE and a weaker dollar, then faded into a tight 1.1646–1.1652 coil through the Asian handover. Price now sitting mid-range with RSI cooled to neutral and volume drying up; breakout base at 1.1632 held cleanly on the pullback.
Support: 1.1647, 1.1632, 1.1603
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1658 reopens the path toward 1.1661 prior high
Loss of 1.1647 swing low shifts the read back toward the 1.1632 breakout base
Headline risk from US-Iran ceasefire/Hormuz developments could override structure
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.
NY session ripped higher off 1.1603, breaking out through 1.1626 on softer PCE and tagging 1.1661 before stalling. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 1.1650, holding above the NY breakout zone with RSI cooling back to neutral.
Support: 1.16446, 1.16267, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.1661, 1.16576
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.16446 session low opens path back to 1.16267 NY breakout retest
Reclaim of 1.16610 session high would resume the intraday uptrend
Iran-US ceasefire headlines remain a tail risk for whipsaw
22:45 UTC
Uptrend off Asia low, NY gains stalling · RSI 54 · price 1.16501
Higher highs into 1.1657, now consolidating below.
Sharp NY-session rally lifted price from 1.1603 to a 1.1661 high after the softer US PCE print, then drifted into a tight 1.1646–1.1652 consolidation through the quiet handover into Asia. RSI has cooled back to mid-range and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips as liquidity thins.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.1603
Resistance: 1.1657, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1657 NY high reopens 1.1661 session high
Break below 1.1646 intraday HL exposes 1.1632 breakout base
Iran/Hormuz headline risk could spike volatility outside structure
Higher highs into 1.1660, pulled back, basing near 1.1650.
NY session ripped from 1.1590 up through 1.1650 on softer US PCE and dollar weakness, peaking at the 1.1661 swing high before fading. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.1646–1.1652 range into the late US handover, RSI cooled back to mid-50s.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1628, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1646 swing low opens room back to the 1.1628 asia low
Reclaim of 1.1658 and break of 1.1661 swing high resumes the intraday uptrend
Headline risk elevated — unconfirmed US-Iran ceasefire and Hormuz strike reports could whipsaw the read
Higher highs into NY, pullback consolidating below session high.
NY session drove a clean breakout from 1.1632, peaking at 1.1661 before fading into a tight 1.1646–1.1655 consolidation as Asia opens. Move was fuelled by softer US PCE and US-Iran ceasefire headlines weighing on USD; RSI(14) has cooled to neutral and price is sitting on the pullback low.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1654, 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1646 pullback low opens path back to 1.1632 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.1654 session high needed to resume the intraday uptrend
Thin Asia liquidity — headline risk from Iran/Hormuz could whip the range
NY session pushed to 1.1657 high, now consolidating below.
NY session ripped higher off 1.1607 on a softer PCE print, tagging 1.1661 before stalling. Last 4 hours coiling in a tight 1.1645–1.1655 band into Asia open, RSI back to neutral.
Support: 1.16446, 1.16324, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16538, 1.1661
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1644 opens path back to the 1.1632 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.1657 reopens 1.1661 session high
US-Iran ceasefire headlines remain a binary risk to USD pricing
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.
NY session drove a clean breakout from the 1.1600–1.1640 range up to 1.16576 on softer PCE headlines, then stalled. Late-session drift has price coiling between 1.1646 and 1.1661 with RSI cooling back to mid-range; session high still respected.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16576 reopens upside continuation
Loss of 1.1646 intraday low signals breakout failure back into 1.1632 base
Iran/US headline risk remains live and could override structure
Higher highs through NY, now consolidating below session high.
NY session ripped from 1.1603 to a 1.1661 session high on softer PCE / US-Iran truce headlines, then settled into a tight consolidation between 1.1645 and 1.1657. Price drifting back toward the session high into late NY with RSI cooling to mid-50s, ATR around 5 pips reflecting the post-move compression.
Support: 1.16446, 1.16303, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16576 session high reopens the spike high at 1.1661
Loss of 1.16446 swing low breaks the intraday uptrend structure
Asia session Tokyo CPI release could shift USD tone
Higher highs into NY, pullback stalling above 1.1645.
NY session drove an impulsive leg from 1.1630 to 1.1657 on US-Iran truce headlines and a softer USD, then stalled into a tight consolidation above the pullback low at 1.1647. RSI(14) has cooled from the mid-70s into the mid-50s while price holds the breakout — momentum unwound through time, not price.
Support: 1.1647, 1.1630, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1657, 1.1660
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1647 pullback low opens a retest of the 1.1630 NY breakout zone
Break and hold above 1.1660 NY high extends the intraday uptrend
Iran/US headline risk remains live and can override structure on the next print
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
EUR/USD broke out of the London range during NY hours, tagging 1.1661 before fading on Trump/Iran headlines and Musalem's hawkish lean. Price has settled into a tight 1.1646–1.1651 consolidation just above the breakout base, RSI(14) back at neutral.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1633, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1654, 1.1661
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1646 session pivot opens room back to the 1.1633 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.1654 with a clean push exposes the 1.1661 session high
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could inject volatility on the open
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.
NY session drove an impulsive leg from 1.1603 through 1.1640 into a 1.1661 high after hawkish Musalem comments faded and risk-on flows ran. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1643–1.1655 range with RSI cooling back to neutral; sitting on the swing low at the lower edge of the range.
Support: 1.1643, 1.1627, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1643 swing low opens path back to 1.1627 breakout base
Reclaim and close above 1.1657 puts session high 1.1661 back in play
Tokyo CPI in the upcoming Asia session could reset intraday flows
NY session ripped from 1.1620 to 1.1657 on USD-weakness headlines (US-Iran truce, Musalem hawkish but faded), printing the session high at 1.1657. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1643–1.1655 range with RSI flattening near 52; breakout level at 1.1632 is the line holding the bullish structure intact.
Support: 1.1643, 1.1632, 1.1620
Resistance: 1.1654
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1643 swing low opens a deeper retrace toward the 1.1632 breakout
Reclaim of 1.1654 NY high reopens session high at 1.1657
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could inject volatility into thin late-NY conditions
20:15 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after spike · RSI 55 · price 1.16464
Higher highs into 1.1660, pulling back to 1.1646.
EUR caught a sharp bid into NY hours on US-Iran truce headlines and Musalem-driven USD softness, breaking out from 1.1633 to a session high at 1.1658. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1646–1.1657 range, with the session base at 1.1646 holding so far.
Support: 1.16461, 1.16303, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16576
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16461 session base opens path back to 1.16303 prior swing
Break above 1.16576 session high resumes the impulse leg
Further Fed speaker headlines could shift this read intraday
Higher highs and higher lows since London low, now consolidating below session high.
NY session ripped from 1.1600 through 1.1630 into 1.1657 on US-Iran truce headlines and a softer USD, then stalled. Last 3 hours have coiled between 1.1646 and 1.1660 with RSI(14) cooling back to mid-50s — momentum has paused but the NY breakout at 1.1627 is holding as support.
Support: 1.1643, 1.1627, 1.1586
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1658 session high reopens 1.1661 prior high
Loss of 1.1643 swing low signals deeper pullback toward 1.1627 NY breakout
Failure at 1.1627 invalidates the post-headline up-leg
19:45 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 54 · price 1.16495
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.
EURUSD ripped from 1.1603 to 1.1657 during NY hours on US-Iran truce headlines and softer USD flows, then stalled below the 1.1657 session high. Last eight bars are coiling 1.1646–1.1655, RSI(14) cooling from overbought back to mid-range as the move digests.
Support: 1.16461, 1.16324, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1657 session high reopens the path toward 1.1661 spike high
Loss of 1.1646 recent low shifts the read to a deeper pullback toward the 1.1632 breakout base
Further Fed hawkish commentary (Musalem-style) could undercut the USD-weakness driver behind this leg
Higher highs into 1.1657, pullback holding above 1.1646.
NY session ripped through 1.1640 on US-Iran truce headlines and a softer USD, tagging 1.1657 before stalling. Last 2 hours coiling 1.1646–1.1655 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought back to mid-50s — momentum flat, pullback so far orderly above the breakout level.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1638, 1.1627
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16380 breakout lvl invalidates the uptrend read
Reclaim of 1.16576 session high reopens the spike high at 1.16610
Further Fed hawkish commentary (post-Musalem) could reverse the USD-soft tone
Higher highs into NY, pullback from 1.1660 session high.
NY session ripped from 1.1620 to 1.1661 on USD selling tied to US-Iran ceasefire headlines and softer GDP, with the post-breakout move now consolidating in a tight 1.1646–1.1657 range. RSI(14) cooled from overbought to mid-50s as price drifts under EMA20; structure stays constructive while 1.1646 holds.
Support: 1.16462, 1.1632, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1657, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1646 session low opens path back to the 1.1632 prior pivot
Reclaim of 1.1657 NY high puts 1.1661 session high back in play
Hawkish Fed Musalem comments still digesting, could cap upside
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.1586 low, pullback in progress.
EUR ripped from 1.1586 to a 1.1661 NY high on USD selling tied to US-Iran ceasefire headlines and a softer Q2 GDPNow print, then stalled into Musalem's more hawkish remarks. Price now consolidating in the 1.1645–1.1660 band just above the breakout base at 1.1628.
Support: 1.1645, 1.1628, 1.1603
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1645 session pivot opens a deeper retrace toward the 1.1628 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.1660 NY high reopens the upside extension
Further hawkish Fed commentary in NY afternoon could pressure the consolidation
18:45 UTC
Uptrend, NY spike cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.16486
Higher highs and higher lows from 1.1586 base, current pullback from 1.1657 swing high.
NY session ripped from 1.1603 to a 1.1657 swing high on USD selling tied to US-Iran ceasefire headlines and a softer GDP print, then stalled. Last six bars are consolidating in a tight 1.1648–1.1655 range just under the session high, RSI cooled from overbought to mid-50s.
Support: 1.1645, 1.1632, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1657, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1657 session high reopens the swing high at 1.1661
Break below 1.1645 pullback low shifts read to a deeper retrace toward 1.1632 prior breakout
Musalem hawkish comments and Trump approval of US-Iran MOU are live headline risks that could reprice the move
18:30 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 60 · price 1.16524
Higher highs into 1.1657, pullback holding above 1.1645.
NY session ripped higher on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and a softer USD, posting a session high at 1.16610 before stalling. Price has since coiled between 1.1650 and 1.1657 with RSI cooling off mid-60s; breakout zone at 1.16418 remains the structural pivot below.
Support: 1.1650, 1.16418, 1.16267
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16500 intraday pivot would open the breakout zone at 1.16418 for retest
Close above 1.16610 swing high extends the leg
Hawkish Musalem follow-through could pressure the move
Higher low at 1.1586, breakout through 1.1640, NY session high at 1.1661.
EURUSD ripped through 1.1640 during NY session on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and weak US GDP, tagging 1.1661 before consolidating. Pullback into 1.1650 held; price now coiling just under the NY high with RSI cooling from the 75 spike.
Support: 1.1650, 1.1642, 1.1627
Resistance: 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1642 breakout level negates the breakout and retest read
Sustained acceptance above 1.1661 ny high opens path toward 1.1675 psych
Further Fed Musalem / hawkish Fedspeak headlines could shift this read intraday
Higher highs from 1.1586 base, consolidating below session high.
NY session ripped from 1.1586 to 1.1657 session high on US-Iran ceasefire MOU headlines and weaker US data, then stalled. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.1650–1.1660 band just under the spike high, RSI cooling from overbought into the low 60s.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16460 prior break level opens path back to 1.16320 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16576 session high reopens the 1.16610 spike high
Hawkish Musalem follow-through headlines could pressure the breakout base at 1.16170
Higher highs into 1.1657, pullback from session high.
NY session ripped through 1.1640 on the US-Iran MOU headlines and soft GDP, tagging 1.16610 before fading back to 1.16513. Price now consolidating just above the 1.1645 breakout zone with RSI(14) cooling from overbought, no clean impulse either way into the close.
Support: 1.1645, 1.1632, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1657, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close back under 1.16450 would negate the breakout retest read
Reclaim of 1.16570 session high reopens the path toward NY high at 1.16610
Hawkish Fed Musalem headlines still in flow, risk of USD bid into Asia
NY session ripped EURUSD from 1.1603 through 1.1657 after US-Iran ceasefire MOU headlines and softer GDP weighed on USD, with the spike printing a session high at 1.1661. Price is consolidating in the 1.1645–1.1660 area, RSI cooling from the move; buyers stepped in at 1.16451 on the pullback.
Support: 1.16451, 1.16267, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.1661, 1.16576
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16267 invalidates the breakout retest read
Reclaim and close above 1.1661 session high extends the leg
Trump approval / rejection of the US-Iran MOU could materially shift this read
17:15 UTC
Intraday uptrend after NY breakout · RSI 67 · price 1.16558
Higher highs / higher lows from 1.1586 base.
NY session ripped through 1.1640 on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and softer USD, printing a session high at 1.16610 before consolidating. Pullback into 1.1646 held as a breakout retest, RSI cooling from overbought without losing trend structure.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.16320 swing low would break the intraday uptrend
Trump approval / rejection of the US-Iran MOU could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.16610 session high opens path toward 1.1675 psych
Higher highs / higher lows from session lows, range top capped at 1.1660.
USD sold off sharply into NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and a softer Atlanta Fed GDPNow print, lifting EURUSD from 1.1590 lows through 1.1640 resistance to a session high at 1.1661. Price has since consolidated above the 1.1650 breakout base with RSI cooling from 70s, holding the higher-low structure.
Support: 1.1650, 1.1642, 1.1632
Resistance: 1.1658, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1650 breakout base would invalidate the retest hold
Break above 1.1661 NY swing high opens continuation toward 1.1680
Final Trump approval of US-Iran MOU could materially shift USD tone
NY session breakout, consolidating above prior range.
NY session ripped through the 1.1640 prior high on USD-negative headlines (US-Iran ceasefire MOU progress, Atlanta Fed GDPNow cut to 3.8%), tagging 1.1657 before stalling. Price now consolidating just under session high with RSI(14) at 68 — hot but not extreme, ATR ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1645, 1.1630, 1.1615
Resistance: 1.1661, 1.16576
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16610 extends the breakout leg
Loss of 1.16450 breakout base signals failed breakout back into prior range
Trump approval/rejection of Iran MOU headline risk remains live and can flip USD intraday
Break of prior range, consolidating below session high.
NY session ripped through the prior 1.1630 range and tagged 1.1657 on US-Iran truce headlines and a softer GDPNow print, RSI now cooling from overbought toward 63. Price is consolidating in a tight 1.1647–1.1654 band just below the session high, holding well above the breakout zone at 1.1632.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1654
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1657 session high extends the breakout leg
loss of 1.1646 pullback low opens a retest of the 1.1632 breakout zone
Musalem-style hawkish Fed headlines could fade the move
NY-session breakout above prior range, now consolidating below session high.
EURUSD ripped through 1.1632 during NY hours on USD-negative headlines (US-Iran deal talk, softer Atlanta Fed GDPNow), tagging 1.1657 before settling into a tight range around 1.1648. RSI(14) has cooled from the high-70s into the mid-50s as price consolidates below the session high.
Support: 1.1643, 1.1632, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1654
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1643 pullback low would signal breakout momentum fading
Reclaim of 1.1654 session high reopens the spike high at 1.1657
Loss of 1.1632 breakout base invalidates the intraday uptrend read
Higher highs and higher lows since the 1.1587 swing low.
NY session ripped through the 1.1640 ceiling on the US-Iran deal headline, posting a session high at 1.16576 before consolidating in a tight 1.1650–1.1656 range. Pullback held the 1.1643 breakout base cleanly, RSI(14) cooling from overbought into the high 60s as price coils just under the high.
Support: 1.1643, 1.1627, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1665
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16576 opens the path toward the 1.16650 round number
Loss of the 1.1643 pullback low would invalidate the intraday uptrend read
Trump approval/rejection of the Iran MoU could materially shift this read
15:45 UTC
Intraday up after NY reversal · RSI 64 · price 1.16533
Range break higher off 1.1586 low.
EURUSD reversed sharply during NY hours, breaking out of the 1.1586–1.1640 range after headlines on a US-Iran deal and softer USD post-PCE, tagging a session high at 1.16576. Price has since paused around 1.1653 with RSI cooling from the upper 70s; the breakout base near 1.1646 is the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.16538
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1646 breakout base would negate the breakout
Sustained acceptance above 1.16576 session high opens room for continuation
Trump approval / rejection headlines on the US-Iran MoU could materially shift this read
EURUSD swept the session low at 1.15868 during early NY then ripped 70 pips into 1.16576 on USD softness after PCE data and Iran deal headlines. Price now consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) at 73, hot but trending; 1.16460 breakout shelf is the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.16538
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.16320 pivot would negate the breakout read
Acceptance above session high 1.16576 extends the move
Failure to hold 1.16460 breakout zone reopens 1.16320
15:15 UTC
Intraday uptrend, NY breakout · RSI 70 · price 1.16502
Range break above 1.1640, pullback in progress.
EURUSD ripped through 1.1640 during the NY session on a soft US new home sales print and dovish-leaning Williams remarks, tagging 1.1657 before pulling back. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.1643 pullback low with RSI(14) cooling from overbought near 70.
Support: 1.1643, 1.1632, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1654
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1632 breakout base would invalidate the breakout read
Reclaim of 1.1654 session high opens path to extension
Fed speakers (Musalem hawkish tone) still circulating, could shift the read intraday
15:00 UTC
Intraday reversal higher · RSI 78 · price 1.16535
Range break to upside after NY session low.
NY session put in a double bottom near 1.1590–1.1604 and ripped through the 1.1640 pivot, tagging a session high at 1.1657 with RSI(14) overbought near 78. Price now consolidating just under the high after Williams/Musalem Fed commentary and a soft new home sales print weighed on the dollar.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.16428
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.16460 breakout point would unwind the upside break
Sustained rejection at 1.16576 session high with RSI cooling signals exhaustion
Hold above 1.16460 keeps the higher-high structure intact
NY session pushed through 1.1632 prior high and extended to 1.1657 after a double-bottom around 1.1587, with the last two M15 bars expanding sharply on the back of dovish-leaning Williams comments. RSI(14) at 78 is hot but consistent with an impulsive breakout leg; 1.1646 is the breakout shelf to watch on any pullback.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.1587
Resistance: 1.1658, 1.1665
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1646 would negate the breakout
Failure to break 1.1665 round number sets up rejection risk
Musalem hawkish remarks ongoing could reverse the USD-weakness leg
14:30 UTC
Intraday reversal higher · RSI 74 · price 1.1646
Range break to the upside after NY-session low.
EURUSD swept the NY-session low at 1.1587 then reversed sharply, breaking the 1.1632 cap on the back of softer US Q1 GDP and soft new home sales. Last bars printed a spike high at 1.1654 with RSI(14) stretched into the mid-70s.
Support: 1.1632, 1.1610, 1.1587
Resistance: 1.1654, 1.1665
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1632 broken res would negate the breakout
Acceptance above 1.1654 spike high opens path toward 1.1665 prior high
RSI overbought — consolidation or pullback to 1.1632 is the structural tell
14:15 UTC
Downtrend reversed by NY rally · RSI 60 · price 1.16281
Lower-low sweep then sharp recovery.
Asian/London drift lower bottomed at 1.15868 before NY session reversed sharply on soft US GDP and new home sales, rallying 55 pips to 1.16428 then rejecting. Price now consolidating around 1.16280 after the impulsive leg, RSI cooling from the push.
Support: 1.1617, 1.16037, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.1634, 1.16428, 1.16518
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.16170 swing low negates the recovery read
Reclaim of 1.16340 NY high reopens the path to 1.16518 prior high
Fed Williams commentary still circulating, headline risk on USD
14:00 UTC
NY reversal higher off session low · RSI 68 · price 1.16373
Range break to upside after sweep of 1.1587.
EURUSD reversed sharply during NY hours, rallying from a 1.1587 session low after a soft US Q1 GDP revision (1.6% vs 2%) and reclaiming the prior intraday range. Price tagged 1.1643 then pulled back to 1.1632 as a retest zone, with RSI(14) cooling from overbought near 68.
Support: 1.1632, 1.1617, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16428, 1.16486
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1632 retest zone reopens 1.1617 micro pivot
M15 close above 1.1643 NY high exposes 1.1649 asia high
Continued Fed commentary (Williams) could shift the read intraday
EURUSD swept the session low at 1.15868 during London hours, then ripped 55 pips through the NY session after soft US Q1 GDP (1.6% vs 2%) and Williams' measured tone. Price is now consolidating just below the 1.16428 session high with RSI(14) hot at 71.
Support: 1.1622, 1.1610, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16428, 1.16518
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16428 opens path back toward the 1.16518 asia high
Failure to hold 1.16220 intraday s/r reopens the 1.16100 ny pivot
RSI cooling without a fresh high would set up bearish rsi divergence
Swept session low, V-shaped recovery into prior supply.
Sharp NY rebound off the 1.15868 session low after the soft Q1 GDP revision and inline Core PCE, with price ripping back through 1.1620 and 1.1630 in three impulsive bars. RSI(14) at 68 after a clean bullish divergence into the low; price now testing prior supply at 1.16428.
Support: 1.1617, 1.1600, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16428, 1.16518
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16428 session high opens path back toward 1.16518 prior high
Rejection at 1.16428 with reclaim of 1.16170 swing pivot would re-engage the downside
Fed Williams already crossed wires; further FOMC speakers could re-shift the read
V-shape recovery from session low, breaking back into prior range.
Sharp v-shape recovery during NY hours from the session low at 1.15868 after the US Core PCE printed softer than expected (0.2% vs 0.3%). Price has reclaimed the prior swing zone around 1.16400 with RSI(14) running hot at 78, momentum stretched into the post-data spike.
Support: 1.1617, 1.1604, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.1640
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.16170 intraday pivot would stall the recovery
Failure to clear 1.16400 prior swing keeps the broader range intact
Fed speakers (Williams) post-PCE could inject volatility
EURUSD sold off through the London session into 1.1586 after the firm US data batch (durable goods +7.9%, jobless claims 215K), then carved a double bottom and ripped back to 1.1633 into the NY afternoon. RSI(14) now 72 on M15 — short-term hot — with price reclaiming both EMAs and pushing into the 1.1634 session high.
Support: 1.1620, 1.16037, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.1634, 1.1645
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.1634 session high opens the path back to 1.1645 asia high
Rejection at 1.1634 with M15 close back under 1.1620 intraday pivot stalls the recovery
Lower-high sequence broken by sharp recovery off 1.1586 low.
EURUSD sold off through London into NY on the firm US PCE and hot durable goods prints, basing twice near 1.1587 to form a double bottom before snapping back to 1.1630. RSI(14) at 63 after the recovery, price now reclaiming the EMA20/50 cluster on M15.
Support: 1.16037, 1.15868, 1.15928
Resistance: 1.16309, 1.16486
What it said to watch
Acceptance back above 1.16309 bounce high opens path to 1.16486 prior LH
Failure at 1.16309 and roll back under 1.16037 NY swing low re-engages 1.15868 session low
Continued post-PCE USD flows into NY afternoon could extend either leg
12:30 UTC
Downtrend, corrective bounce in play · RSI 56 · price 1.16189
Lower-low printed at 1.1586, now retracing into prior breakdown zone.
London session sold EUR from 1.1650 down to a 1.1586 low, NY open has produced a steady reclaim back into the 1.1610-1.1622 broken shelf. Bounce is constructive on bullish RSI divergence at the lows, but price is now retesting the breakdown zone where supply previously stepped in.
Support: 1.1610, 1.1586, 1.1560
Resistance: 1.1622, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1622 broken shelf opens path back to 1.1650 asian high
Rejection at 1.1622 with a lower-high keeps the downtrend read intact
Loss of 1.1586 session low confirms continuation lower toward 1.1560
Month-end fix flows (Credit Agricole flagging mild USD selling) could distort the next few hours
Asia/early-London sold EURUSD from 1.1660 down to 1.1586, then NY hours have ground a corrective bounce back to 1.1617 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold into the mid-50s. Price is now pressing the 1.1622 recent high after stalling once already; ECB account citing intensified inflation upside is the live catalyst.
Support: 1.16037, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16223, 1.16336, 1.16599
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16223 recent high opens path to 1.16336 prior pivot
Failure at 1.1622 and loss of 1.16037 session low reopens the 1.15868 swing low
US core PCE print at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs / lower lows, recovering off session low.
Sustained sell-down through the London session printed a swing low at 1.15868, followed by a corrective bounce to 1.16178 before fading. Price now sits mid-range around 1.16112 with RSI(14) neutral near 47 — choppy two-way action into NY hours.
Support: 1.16037, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16178, 1.1629, 1.1637
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16178 bounce high opens path to 1.16290 prior pivot
Loss of 1.16037 session low reopens 1.15868 swing low
US core PCE release at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
11:45 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 44 · price 1.16092
Lower-high sequence with recovery off session low.
London session sold EURUSD from 1.1636 down to 1.1587, then buyers stepped in twice around 1.1587–1.1604 forming a double bottom into NY hours. Recovery stalled at 1.1618 and price now sits mid-range with RSI near 44; reclaim of 1.1625 needed to challenge the prior pivot at 1.1625, while loss of the session low at 1.1604 reopens the swing low at 1.1587.
Support: 1.16037, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16178, 1.16251, 1.16368
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16178 opens the prior pivot at 1.16251
Break of session low 1.16037 exposes swing low 1.15868
US core PCE print tomorrow could materially shift this read
EURUSD sold off through London hours from 1.1660 down to a session low of 1.15868, then mounted a corrective bounce into NY that stalled at 1.16178 before rolling over again. Price is now mid-range around 1.16083 after rejection from the recent high, with RSI(14) neutral near 44 and ATR(14) around 4.6 pips.
Support: 1.16037, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16178, 1.16251, 1.16334
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16178 recent high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.16037 session low reopens the 1.15868 swing low
US core PCE print at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows from 1.1660 swept; basing near 1.1600.
EURUSD sold off through London into NY, sweeping the 1.15868 swing low before buyers stepped in and walked price back to the 1.16178 NY high. Late session has rolled over again, last close 1.16042 sitting just above the 1.16004 session low with RSI(14) at 41 — no clean structure shift yet, still a corrective bounce inside a downtrend.
Support: 1.16004, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16178, 1.16299, 1.16486
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16178 NY high would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Break and hold below 1.16004 session low reopens the 1.15868 swing low
US PCE release ahead could materially shift this read
EURUSD slid through the London session from 1.1630 to a swing low at 1.15868, with a tentative double bottom around 1.1590 producing a bounce into NY session hi at 1.16173 before fading back to 1.1604. RSI(14) at 41 reflects mild downside pressure easing, but price remains below EMA20 and EMA50 with lower highs intact.
Support: 1.16004, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.16298
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 NY session hi would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.16004 session low reopens the 1.15868 swing low
DXY strength noted in BBH/FXStreet flow could pressure the basing attempt
Lower highs into 1.1586 swing low, currently retracing.
M15 sold off through London into a 1.1586 swing low, then NY recovered to 1.1618 before stalling at session high resistance. RSI(14) back near 47, mid-range; buyers stepped in around 1.1609 but the bounce is losing thrust below 1.1618.
Support: 1.16086, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16178, 1.1625, 1.1633
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1618 session high opens path to 1.1625 prior pivot
Failure to hold 1.1609 reopens 1.1586 swing low
US PCE in upcoming sessions could materially shift this read
10:30 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 52 · price 1.1614
Lower highs into 1.1587 low, corrective leg back to 1.1620.
Asia spike to 1.1660 was sold steadily through London, with the NY session printing a fresh swing low at 1.1587 before buyers stepped in. Corrective bounce has reclaimed EMA20/50 and stalled at the 1.1618 session high, RSI(14) recovering off oversold lows.
Support: 1.16086, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16178, 1.16299, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1618 session high extends the corrective leg toward 1.1630 prior pivot
Failure to hold 1.16086 reopens 1.15868 swing low
US PCE release later in the session could materially shift this read
Lower-low at 1.1587 then rebound to 1.1618, slipping back into mid-range.
NY session printed a session low at 1.1587 then rebounded sharply to 1.1618 before fading back to 1.1612. Price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 48 after the bounce relieved oversold conditions, structure remains lower highs from the 1.1660 spike earlier in the window.
Support: 1.16091, 1.15868, 1.15585
Resistance: 1.16178, 1.16299, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16178 ny session high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.16091 session swing reopens the 1.15868 session low
US PCE release later today could materially shift this read
10:00 UTC
Downtrend, recovering · RSI 60 · price 1.16153
Lower low printed, bouncing into prior breakdown zone.
EURUSD sold off through the London session, taking out 1.16090 and printing a swing low at 1.15868 before recovering into NY hours. Price has reclaimed the EMAs and is now grinding into the 1.16178 session high, with 1.16250 the prior breakdown zone overhead.
Support: 1.1609, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16178, 1.1625
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.16250 breakdown zone would neutralise the bearish read
Rejection at 1.16178 session high and roll back under 1.16090 reopens the swing low
US PCE release in coming hours could materially shift this read
London session sold EUR from 1.1650 down to a session low at 1.1587 before NY hours saw a steady recovery back to 1.16177, with RSI lifting off oversold into the high-50s. Price now stalling just under the session high at 1.16173, the immediate level deciding whether the bounce extends or fails.
Support: 1.1609, 1.15868, 1.15925
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.1625, 1.1633
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 opens path to the 1.16250 lower high
Rejection at session high and loss of 1.16090 reasserts the downtrend toward 1.15868
US PCE release later today could materially shift this read
EUR sold off through London hours into a 1.1586 session low, then mounted a steady NY recovery back to 1.1618, reclaiming the EMA20 and EMA50. Price now stalling just under the bounce high at 1.1618, RSI cooling from overbought after a clean bullish divergence at the lows.
Support: 1.16091, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16178, 1.16335
What it said to watch
M15 close above bounce high at 1.1618 opens path to 1.16335 prior swing
Rejection back below session pivot 1.16091 puts session low 1.15868 back in play
US PCE release later today could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, mid-range recovery underway.
EURUSD sold off through London hours into a session low at 1.15868 on Middle East risk-off flows, then NY hours have produced a steady recovery back to 1.1615. Price is consolidating just under the 1.16173 session high with RSI cooling from a push into the mid-60s; reclaim attempt is intact but capped.
Support: 1.15868, 1.16004, 1.16091
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.16251, 1.16336
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 session high opens path back toward 1.16251
Rejection here and break of 1.16091 reopens the 1.15868 session low
Further headline escalation on US-Iran could re-trigger USD bid
09:00 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 50 · price 1.16108
Lower highs into 1.1587 sweep, retrace to 1.1617.
M15 sold off through London into a 1.1587 swing low after Iran-strike risk-off headlines, then NY retraced into 1.1617 before stalling. Buyers stepped in around the session low with bullish RSI divergence on the second push down; price now consolidating mid-range below the 1.1617 NY pivot.
Support: 1.16055, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.16251, 1.16325
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16173 NY pivot opens path back toward 1.16251 prior shelf
Loss of 1.16055 session low re-exposes the 1.15868 swing low
Fresh Middle East / Hormuz headlines can override structure intrabar
Lower highs into 1.1587 low, corrective bounce in progress.
EURUSD slid through the London session on Iran-strike risk-off flows, printing a session low at 1.1587 before bouncing to 1.1617 in early NY. Price has since rolled over and is consolidating just above the 1.1600 swing low, with the bounce high at 1.1617 capping.
Support: 1.16004, 1.15868
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.16251, 1.16325
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1617 bounce high opens path back toward the 1.1625 prior shelf
M15 close below 1.1600 swing low re-exposes 1.1587 session low
Iran/Middle East headlines continue to drive intraday risk tone
Lower highs, lower lows after London-session break.
EUR/USD broke down through 1.1610 during European hours on Iran-strike risk-off, printing a session low at 1.1586 before a corrective bounce to 1.1617. Price now consolidating around 1.1610 just below the pullback high, RSI(14) recovered from oversold to mid-40s — bounce stalling into former support turned resistance.
Support: 1.1586, 1.1592
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.16299
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16173 pullback high would weaken the downtrend read
Break of 1.1586 session low extends the leg lower
Further Middle East escalation headlines could re-accelerate USD bid
Lower highs into 1.1587 low, recovery toward range mid.
London session sold EURUSD from 1.1649 down to a session low of 1.1587 before NY hours found buyers, with price now retracing toward 1.1617 bounce high after rejection from the lows. RSI lifted off oversold during the recovery, leaving a bullish divergence against the lower low; current bar consolidates just under the bounce high.
Support: 1.16005, 1.15868, 1.1559
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.16299, 1.16486
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.16173 bounce high opens 1.16299 prior pivot
Failure to hold 1.16005 swing low exposes 1.15868 session low
US GDP and PCE later in NY session could materially shift this read
08:00 UTC
Downtrend, late selling exhausted · RSI 57 · price 1.16116
Lower highs, lower lows; bouncing off session low.
M15 sold off through London into early NY, printing a session low at 1.15868 before a sharp recovery into 1.16173. Current bar is consolidating just under that bounce high after rejection; sellers stepped back in but failed to retest the lows. RSI lifted from oversold near 22 into the mid-50s alongside the recovery, a bullish momentum shift on this TF.
Support: 1.15868, 1.15925
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.16299, 1.16486
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16173 bounce high opens path back to 1.16299
Loss of 1.15925 swing low reactivates the downtrend toward 1.15868
US Q1 GDP second estimate and PCE data later in NY session could materially shift this read
EURUSD broke down through 1.1610 during NY hours and printed a fresh session low at 1.15868 before bouncing back above 1.1610. The rebound stalled at the 1.16173 pullback high with RSI recovering to neutral, structure still showing lower highs since the Asia high spike at 1.16609.
Support: 1.15868, 1.1559
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.16325, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16325 prior swing invalidates the downtrend read
Loss of 1.15868 session low opens path to 1.15590 psych
US GDP and PCE prints later this session could materially shift this read
Price sold off through the London session, slicing from 1.1640 to a session low at 1.15868 before two equal lows carved a base and a bullish RSI divergence formed. The current bar is rebounding into 1.16173, the immediate resistance, with M15 momentum still constructive but stretched after a +30 pip recovery leg.
Support: 1.15868, 1.16005, 1.1590
Resistance: 1.16173, 1.1625, 1.1640
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16250 prior swing would neutralise the downtrend read
Fresh M15 close below 1.15868 session low confirms continuation lower
US Q1 GDP revision and PCE data in the American session could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, bounce from session low.
EUR slid through the Asian session to a low of 1.1587 on US-Iran risk-off flow, then carved out a bullish RSI divergence and is grinding back up into early Europe at 1.1612. Bounce is shallow so far; intraday resistance sits at 1.1614 with the prior swing at 1.1625 above.
Support: 1.1605, 1.1587, 1.1559
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.1625, 1.1648
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1625 prior swing would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1587 session low resumes the downtrend toward 1.1559
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, bouncing off session low.
EUR took a sharp leg lower through London hours on US-Iran tension flows, breaking the 1.1610 shelf and printing a session low at 1.15868. Price is now recovering into the broken shelf with RSI lifting off oversold, but lower highs remain intact.
Support: 1.15868, 1.1560
Resistance: 1.1610, 1.1623, 1.1633
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1623 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.15868 session low extends the downtrend toward 1.1560 psych
US core PCE release at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
EURUSD slid through the 1.1620 shelf into the London open, posting a session low at 1.15868 on the Iran-tension USD bid. Price has clawed back to 1.1606, but the move sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 41.
Support: 1.15868, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16089, 1.1625
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16250 prior shelf would neutralise the downtrend read
Break of 1.15868 session low extends the leg toward 1.1580 psych
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
06:30 UTC
Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 38 · price 1.16039
Lower-highs lower-lows, weak bounce off session low.
EUR slid through the 1.1620 shelf in the Asian session on renewed US-Iran tensions, accelerating to a 1.15868 session low before a modest bounce into early European hours. Price is now retesting the broken 1.16043 micro high; RSI(14) recovering off oversold but structure remains lower-highs.
Support: 1.15868, 1.1560
Resistance: 1.16043, 1.1620, 1.1633
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the broken 1.16200 shelf would neutralise the M15 downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.15868 session low extends the leg toward 1.15600 psych
US core PCE print at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR sliced through 1.1600 during the Asia session as Gulf escalation headlines bid the dollar, printing a fresh low at 1.15868 before stabilising. Price now hovering just under the broken 1.1600 shelf with RSI(14) lifting off oversold while price holds higher — a tentative bullish divergence, but the broader M15 structure remains a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Support: 1.15868, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16005, 1.16097, 1.1620
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16005 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 1.15868 session low extends the downtrend toward 1.1580 psych
US-Iran headlines remain the dominant driver — any de-escalation could snap the USD bid
Lower highs, lower lows; impulsive sell-off into Asia close.
EUR/USD sold off sharply during Asia, breaking the 1.1620 range floor and tagging a session low at 1.15868 on US-Iran escalation headlines and a USD bid. Price is now consolidating just above the lows around 1.1600, RSI(14) recovering from oversold but EMAs still capping above.
Support: 1.15868, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16055, 1.16199, 1.16325
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16055 breakdown level would neutralise the lower-low read
Loss of 1.15868 session low opens 1.1580 psych area
Further US-Iran escalation headlines remain the dominant driver
EUR/USD broke down through 1.1600 during the Asian session after Gulf headlines bid the dollar, posting a session low at 1.15868 with RSI(14) at 27. Price is now trying to base just below the breakdown level, a shallow bounce holding under 1.15950.
Support: 1.15868, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16005, 1.16097, 1.16229
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16005 breakdown lvl would neutralise the leg lower
Further Gulf escalation headlines could keep USD bid and pressure EUR
05:30 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 25 · price 1.15901
Lower highs / lower lows, breaking session lows.
EUR/USD slid through 1.1600 during Asia after USD bid on renewed US-Iran Gulf hostilities, printing a session low at 1.15868 and breaking the broken shelf around 1.16055. RSI(14) sits near 24 — stretched but consistent with the impulse; price now consolidating just above the session low.
Support: 1.15868, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.15928, 1.16055, 1.16199
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15928 micro pivot would signal exhaustion of the leg
Close below 1.15868 session low extends downside toward 1.1580 psych
Further Gulf headlines remain the dominant driver into London open
Lower highs and lower lows, breaking session lows.
EURUSD slid through the Asian session on safe-haven USD bid from renewed Gulf hostilities, breaking the 1.1610 prior support and extending to a session low at 1.15868. Price is now consolidating just above that low with RSI(14) deeply oversold near 25, suggesting near-term exhaustion but no reversal structure yet.
Support: 1.15868, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16005, 1.1610, 1.1625
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16005 broken shelf would neutralise the downside extension
Loss of 1.15868 session low opens path to the 1.1580 psych zone
Further Iran/US headlines could drive USD bid and override structure
EURUSD accelerated lower into the late Asia / pre-London window, breaking the 1.1609 shelf and printing a session low at 1.15860 as USD safe-haven bid kicked in on renewed Gulf tensions. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 22 and the last two bars stalled, but every bounce so far has been sold and price remains pinned below the broken shelf.
Support: 1.1586, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16005, 1.1610, 1.1623
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16005 broken shelf would neutralise the impulsive leg lower
Range between 1.1615 and 1.1623 broke down hard during the Asia session as USD bid on Gulf hostilities, with price slicing through 1.1605 and 1.1600 to print a fresh session low at 1.1586. RSI(14) at 22 is deeply oversold but momentum is one-way; no rejection candle yet at the lows.
Support: 1.1586, 1.1580, 1.16005
Resistance: 1.16055, 1.16155, 1.1623
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16055 breakdown level would neutralise the impulse
Further Iran/Gulf headlines could extend the USD safe-haven bid
04:30 UTC
Downtrend accelerating into Asia · RSI 21 · price 1.15905
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.
EURUSD broke down through 1.1610 in the Asia session as USD bid on renewed Gulf hostilities and Iran retaliation headlines, printing a fresh session low at 1.1586. RSI(14) is stretched at 21 with price extending below both EMAs; momentum is one-way but conditions are oversold near the psych 1.1580 zone.
Support: 1.1586, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16005, 1.16095, 1.1623
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the broken pivot at 1.16005 would neutralise the breakout
Further Gulf escalation headlines could extend the USD bid
04:15 UTC
Downtrend accelerating into NY close · RSI 16 · price 1.15882
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.
EURUSD has sold off sharply through the late NY session, breaking the 1.16097 prior low and the 1.16005 shelf to print a fresh session low at 1.15868. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 16 as USD bid extends on renewed Gulf hostilities, but no reversal candle yet — price is closing at the lows.
Support: 1.15868, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16005, 1.16097, 1.1625
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.16005 broken shelf would neutralise the breakout read
Failure to bounce from oversold opens 1.15800 psych level
Asia open liquidity could amplify the move given thin late-NY conditions
EURUSD broke the 1.16150 shelf during late Asia hours and extended to fresh session lows at 1.15925, RSI(14) deeply oversold near 18 as the USD bid on renewed Gulf tensions weighs. Sellers have stacked five consecutive bearish closes with no meaningful retracement; price is detached from both EMAs.
Support: 1.15925, 1.1580
Resistance: 1.16055, 1.1615, 1.1623
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16055 would weaken the breakdown read
Loss of 1.15925 opens the 1.15800 psych level
Headline risk around Hormuz/Iran could drive continuation or sharp reversal
03:45 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 22 · price 1.15998
Lower highs, lower lows; breaking down.
Asia session has carved a clean stair-step lower, breaking the 1.1609 floor and sliding to 1.15997 on the latest bar. USD bid across the board on renewed Hormuz headlines and Goolsbee's hawkish AI/oil remarks; RSI(14) at 22 is oversold but no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.15997, 1.1609, 1.1595
Resistance: 1.16135, 1.1623, 1.1630
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16135 needed to neutralise the breakout
Sustained trade below 1.1600 round number opens 1.1595 and lower
London open in ~3h could accelerate or fade the move
Lower highs and lower lows since the 1.1660 spike rejection.
Price spiked to 1.1660 mid-window then was rejected hard, kicking off a steady grind lower into the Asia session with sequential lower highs. Latest M15 just broke 1.1609 prior support to print a fresh session low at 1.1605, RSI(14) at 28 confirming the down-leg without yet flagging exhaustion.
Support: 1.1605, 1.1609
Resistance: 1.1615, 1.1623, 1.1660
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1615 micro pivot would stall the lower-high sequence
Sustained acceptance below 1.1605 session low extends the downtrend
Thin Asia liquidity plus US-Iran headlines can amplify spikes
Spike to 1.16609 during the NY session was fully rejected, with price grinding lower through the late session and into Asia to print a fresh session low at 1.16090. Last few bars have stabilised just above that low with RSI(14) at 32, no reclaim of the 1.16200 intraday pivot yet.
Support: 1.1609, 1.16223
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.1633, 1.16486
What it said to watch
loss of 1.16090 session low extends the lower-low sequence
reclaim of 1.16200 intraday pivot would neutralise the downside pressure
Iran-related risk headlines (ECB Lane, Fed Jefferson) could inject volatility outside the 4-pip ATR
Asia session sold the pair through 1.1620 with a clean break to a fresh 1.1609 session low, RSI(14) stretched into oversold near 22. Price is well below EMA20/50 with the spike high at 1.1660 now distant, and the last two bars show only a shallow bounce off the lows.
Support: 1.1609, 1.1590
Resistance: 1.1623, 1.1660
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1623 micro pivot would neutralise the downside push
Break of 1.1609 session low extends the leg toward the 1.1590 psych handle
Oversold RSI raises odds of a corrective bounce before continuation
EURUSD broke the 1.1620 session floor in the last hour and printed a fresh low at 1.1609, with RSI(14) dipping into oversold near 27. Price has stabilised in a tight 1.1609–1.1614 holding pattern in late NY hours; the prior 1.1620 support now caps as resistance.
Support: 1.1609, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.1629, 1.16335
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1620 would neutralise the range break read
Loss of 1.1609 session low opens the path to the 1.1600 psych level
Thin late-NY/early-Asia liquidity may exaggerate moves
Price spiked to 1.16609 mid-window then unwound steadily, with NY session printing a sequence of lower highs into the Asian session. Latest bars broke the prior low at 1.16155 to mark a session low at 1.16090, RSI(14) stretched near 28 signalling short-term oversold but no reversal print yet.
Support: 1.1609, 1.16155, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1623, 1.1633, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16230 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Thin Asian liquidity — moves at this hour can mean-revert quickly
02:15 UTC
Downtrend after failed spike · RSI 25 · price 1.16106
Lower highs, lower lows since spike rejection.
Spike to 1.16609 during NY hours was sold aggressively back to 1.16246, establishing the high of the window as a false break. Asia session has continued the bleed with a fresh session low at 1.16090, RSI(14) now oversold near 24. Sequence of lower highs intact from the spike fade.
Support: 1.1609, 1.16155, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1622, 1.1630, 1.16486
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.16090 with reclaim of 1.16220 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break and accept below 1.16000 round number extends the downtrend
RSI oversold on M15 raises odds of a corrective bounce into broken support
Lower highs and lower lows since London spike-rejection.
London session spiked to 1.16609 and was fully rejected back below 1.16250, setting an intraday downtrend with consecutive lower highs through NY. Late-session bar just printed a fresh low at 1.16121 with RSI(14) at 33, price extended below EMA20/50 and Asia opening into that weakness.
Support: 1.16121, 1.16155, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1623, 1.1630, 1.16486
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.16230 micro high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.16121 session low opens the 1.1600 psych handle
Several Fed speakers (Jefferson, Kashkari) and ECB Lane on the wires — hawkish tone could extend USD bid
Asia session has been one-way lower after the failed spike to 1.1660 was rejected hard back through 1.1625, taking out the prior pivot at 1.1622 and printing a fresh session low at 1.16155. Price is now basing just above that low with RSI(14) at 38 and the micro lh at 1.1623 capping bounces; geopolitical risk-off (US strikes in Iran, ECB Lane warning on second-round effects) is the backdrop.
Support: 1.16155, 1.16223
Resistance: 1.16232, 1.1630, 1.16487
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16155 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.16232 micro lh would neutralise the immediate pressure
Sharp spike to 1.16609 during NY session was rejected and fully unwound, with the subsequent leg down to 1.16223 setting the tone. Asia session has drifted lower into a fresh session low at 1.16155, RSI(14) sitting mid-40s with no divergence yet.
Support: 1.16155, 1.16223
Resistance: 1.16232, 1.16335, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the micro pivot at 1.16232 neutralises the downside drift
Loss of session low 1.16155 extends the lower-low sequence
Iran-related headline risk could trigger another false break like the NY spike
NY session spike to 1.1660 was fully rejected, reversing into a slide that took out the 1.1625 base and printed a fresh session low at 1.16155. Asia hours have been heavy and one-way, with each bounce capped around 1.1623 and price hugging the lows into the new day.
Support: 1.16155, 1.16218, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1623, 1.16335, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1623 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.16155 session low opens path toward the 1.1600 round number
Headline risk elevated — further Iran strike news or Fed/ECB speakers could overwrite the structural read
01:00 UTC
Downtrend after NY spike rejection · RSI 38 · price 1.16196
Lower highs, lower lows post-1.1660 sweep.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.1660 on Iran strike headlines before fully reversing, leaving a false break and a clean lower-high sequence into Asia. Price has bled to a fresh session low at 1.16155 with RSI(14) near 38; sellers stepping in below 1.1630 micro pivot.
Support: 1.16155, 1.1622
Resistance: 1.1630, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1630 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.16155 session low opens room toward 1.1600 psych
Further Iran/US headline escalation could reignite the spike high zone
00:45 UTC
Downtrend after rejection · RSI 39 · price 1.16215
Lower highs, lower lows post-spike rejection.
Spike to 1.16609 during NY hours was fully rejected, driving a sequence of lower highs and lower lows into the Asian session. Price has since drifted under 1.16300 and broken the prior 1.16223 low to print a session low at 1.16155 before stabilising near 1.16215; geopolitical risk-off (US strikes on Iran) sits behind the USD bid.
Support: 1.16155, 1.16223
Resistance: 1.1630, 1.16486, 1.16609
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16300 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.16155 session low extends the downtrend
Headline risk from Iran developments could materially shift this read
00:30 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY spike fade · RSI 32 · price 1.16205
Lower highs forming, testing session lows.
NY session spiked to 1.1660 then fully retraced after headlines on fresh US strikes in Iran, with sellers extending into Asia and cracking the 1.1620 session low to print 1.16155. Price now grinds just above the low with RSI(14) near 32, no bounce of note yet.
Support: 1.16155, 1.16223
Resistance: 1.1630, 1.16609
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1623 prior swing would neutralise the lower-highs read
Break and hold below 1.16155 session low extends the leg lower
Further Iran headline flow could materially shift this read
EURUSD sliced through the 1.16218 prior swing in late NY hours and printed a fresh session low at 1.16155, with RSI(14) pressing toward oversold near 31. The 1.16299 area capped the late bounce attempt cleanly, leaving lower highs intact ahead of Asia.
Support: 1.16155, 1.16218
Resistance: 1.16299, 1.16336, 1.16486
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16299 rejection would neutralise the downtrend read
Acceptance below 1.16155 session low extends the leg
Jefferson/Lane fireside chat at the BoJ conference could inject volatility into Asia
Lower highs since 1.16609 spike, base building near 1.1620.
A spike to 1.16609 during NY hours was fully retraced within two bars, leaving a sweep failure and a clear lower-high sequence into 1.1620. Asia session has compressed into a 20-pip range above the session low at 1.16213, RSI(14) flat in the mid-30s with momentum drained.
Support: 1.16213, 1.16202, 1.16223
Resistance: 1.16299, 1.16335, 1.16486
What it said to watch
Break below 1.16202 prior low extends the leg lower
Reclaim of 1.16335 prior pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Fed Jefferson / ECB Lane fireside chat at BOJ conference imminent — could disrupt the range