Sharp NY-session breakout off the 1.1625 low pushed price to 1.1685 spike high on ceasefire-driven USD weakness, then faded into a tight drift lower. Price now sitting on 1.1660 session low with RSI(14) at ~40, momentum cooling but holding above the pre-spike 1.1647 shelf.
Support: 1.16605, 1.16472, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.1676
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1660 session low opens the pre-spike 1.1647 zone
Reclaim of 1.1676 spike high reactivates the breakout leg
Ongoing US-Iran ceasefire headlines can re-trigger USD moves outside of structure
NY session ripped EURUSD from 1.1643 to a 1.1685 session high on Iran ceasefire-driven dollar weakness, then drifted into a tight 1.1661–1.1669 range. Price sits mid-spike candle, RSI back to neutral 54 after the impulse, with the 1.1700 psych level still untested.
Support: 1.16613, 1.16431, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16777, 1.16856, 1.1700
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1685 spike high reopens the path to 1.1700 psych
Break of 1.16613 recent low signals the breakout is fading back into the pre-spike base at 1.1643
Iran headline flow remains the dominant driver; any deal breakdown could unwind the move
Higher high printed at 1.1685, now consolidating in 1.1660–1.1690.
EUR/USD ripped 30 pips off 1.1643 during the NY session on US-Iran ceasefire headlines, tagging 1.1685 before fading into a tight 1.1660–1.1690 consolidation. Price is sitting mid-range with RSI cooling back toward 58 — momentum from the spike has bled off but the higher low at 1.1662 holds.
Support: 1.1664, 1.1662, 1.1644
Resistance: 1.1690, 1.1685, 1.1700
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1690 opens 1.1700 psych level
loss of 1.1662 session low signals failed breakout and return to pre-spike 1.1644
headline risk remains elevated on Iran deal developments
20:00 UTC
Uptrend after impulse, consolidating · RSI 57 · price 1.16666
Higher highs into 1.1685 spike, now sideways above 1.1660.
NY session printed a vertical 40-pip impulse off 1.1643 into 1.1685 on Iran-deal headlines, tagging 1.1856 before fading. Last 6 hours have coiled between 1.1662 and 1.1685, holding above the breakout zone with RSI cooling to mid-50s.
Support: 1.1662, 1.1647, 1.1636
Resistance: 1.1678
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1662 invalidates the post-spike bull hold
Reclaim of 1.1678 reopens the 1.1685 spike high
Headline risk from US-Iran deal progress can re-accelerate the move
19:45 UTC
Uptrend after impulsive NY spike · RSI 60 · price 1.16683
Higher high printed, now consolidating below 1.1685.
NY session ripped through 1.1650 on Iran ceasefire headlines, tagging 1.1685 then extending to 1.1856 wick high before fading back. Price now consolidating around 1.1668 above the pre-spike base at 1.1647, with the 1.1676–1.1681 spike shelf acting as near-term pivot.
Support: 1.1662, 1.16475, 1.16278
Resistance: 1.1676, 1.16813
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1647 pre-spike base would unwind the breakout
Reclaim of 1.1676 spike shelf reopens 1.1813 session high
Further Iran headline flow could drive another impulsive leg in either direction
19:30 UTC
Intraday uptrend after NY spike · RSI 58 · price 1.16677
Post-breakout consolidation above 1.1660.
NY session ripped through 1.1650 on US-Iran ceasefire headlines, printing a spike high at 1.16856 before fading back to the 1.1660s. Price now consolidating just above the breakout base near 1.1647, with buyers stepping in on the pullback low at 1.1662.
Support: 1.1662, 1.1647, 1.1634
Resistance: 1.1678, 1.16856
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1647 breakout base would invalidate the post-spike hold
Reclaim of 1.1678 post-spike high opens a retest of 1.16856 NY spike high
Ongoing US-Iran headline flow can override structure on this TF
19:15 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.1665
Higher high posted, retracing into prior consolidation.
NY session ripped through 1.1646 on Iran-deal headlines, peaking at 1.1685 before fading back toward the breakout base. Price now consolidating around 1.1665 with RSI cooled to mid-range, holding above the 1.1662 recent low.
Support: 1.1662, 1.16464, 1.16278
Resistance: 1.16742
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1662 opens a deeper retest of the 1.1646 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.1674 puts the 1.1685 spike top back in play
Headline risk remains elevated on US-Iran developments
NY session ripped through 1.1650 on US-Iran deal headlines, tagging 1.1685 then fading to 1.1663 where price is consolidating. RSI(14) cooled from overbought back to neutral 52 as the spike high holds.
Support: 1.1662, 1.1647, 1.1634
Resistance: 1.1678
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1678 reopens the spike high at 1.1685
Loss of session low 1.1662 exposes the prior swing at 1.1647
Headline risk on US-Iran deal can override structure at any time
18:45 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.16649
Higher highs into NY, retracing from session high.
NY session ripped through the prior range with a 60-pip impulse to the session high at 1.16856, then rejected and faded back toward 1.1664. Price is now consolidating above the breakout base at 1.1647 with RSI cooling to mid-range — momentum unwound but the broader intraday structure of higher lows still intact.
Support: 1.16613, 1.1647, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.1676, 1.16856
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16613 session low opens path back to 1.1647 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.16760 prior swing would put session high back in play
Headline risk around US-Iran deal speculation can drive sudden repricing
NY session ripped through 1.1650 on the US-Iran deal headlines, tagging 1.1685 before rejection capped the move. Price has since faded back to 1.1664 and is now sitting on the prior breakout shelf with RSI cooling to neutral; no clean structure intraday until either the session high or 1.1661 swing low gives way.
Support: 1.16613, 1.16464, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.1676, 1.16856
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1661 swing low opens path back to the 1.1646 pre-spike base
Reclaim of 1.1676 session pivot would re-engage the session high at 1.1686
Headline risk from US-Iran negotiations remains the dominant driver and can override structure
18:15 UTC
Intraday uptrend after NY spike · RSI 54 · price 1.1662
Higher high printed, now pulling back.
NY session ripped from 1.1644 to 1.1685 on US-Iran deal headlines, then faded back to 1.1662 where price is now coiling. Pullback so far is orderly, holding above the pre-spike base around 1.1644.
Support: 1.1662, 1.1644, 1.1625
Resistance: 1.1681, 1.1685
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1644 fills the spike and negates the breakout read
Reclaim of 1.1681 reopens session high
Headline risk around US-Iran talks remains the dominant driver
Range break higher, retracing into prior resistance.
NY session ripped from 1.1647 to 1.1685 on US-Iran deal headlines, clearing the prior Asian/London range top near 1.1655. Price has since cooled into a 1.1663–1.1680 consolidation; RSI(14) has unwound from overbought back to mid-50s with the pullback finding sellers above 1.1670.
Support: 1.16629, 1.1650, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16856, 1.1700
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.1650 breakout base keeps the intraday higher-high structure intact
Close back below 1.1650 negates the breakout and reopens 1.1625
Reclaim of 1.1685 puts the 1.1700 psych level back in play
Ongoing US-Iran headline flow remains the primary intraday driver
17:45 UTC
Intraday uptrend after sharp NY breakout · RSI 63 · price 1.16669
Breakout from 1.1635-1.1655 range, now consolidating below session high.
NY session ripped through the 1.1655 range top on the Trump Hormuz blockade headline, spiking to 1.1686 then extending to a session high of 1.1856 before fading back to 1.1667. Now consolidating in a tight 1.1667-1.1672 band just above the breakout base, RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward 63.
Support: 1.1667, 1.1650, 1.1634
Resistance: 1.1678, 1.16856
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1650 breakout base would negate the NY breakout read
Reclaim of 1.1678 post-spike high opens path back to 1.1856 session high
Headline risk from US-Iran deal developments could materially shift this read
17:30 UTC
Intraday uptrend after NY spike · RSI 68 · price 1.1669
Breakout to new session high, consolidating below.
NY session ripped 80 pips off 1.16431 on the Trump blockade-lift headline, tagging 1.16856 before stalling. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.16684–1.16813 range just under the spike high, RSI(14) cooling from overbought.
Support: 1.16684, 1.16431, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16813, 1.16856
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16856 spike high extends the breakout leg
Loss of 1.16684 spike base opens a fade back toward 1.16431
Headline risk around US-Iran deal status could materially shift this read
17:15 UTC
Intraday uptrend after impulsive NY breakout · RSI 68 · price 1.16724
Range break higher, consolidation under session high.
EUR ripped through the 1.1650 range top on the Trump blockade-lift headline mid-NY, tagging 1.1685 before fading. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1668–1.1672 band under the session high, RSI(14) cooling from overbought after the impulse.
Support: 1.16675, 1.16505, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16813
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.1681 spike high reopens upside continuation
Loss of 1.1667 pullback low would mark first lower-low and threaten the breakout base at 1.1650
Headline risk remains elevated — further US-Iran developments can override structure
17:00 UTC
Intraday uptrend after impulsive NY breakout · RSI 64 · price 1.16698
Higher highs/higher lows post-breakout, pullback to mid-range.
NY session ripped through prior consolidation with a 40-pip impulse off 1.16464, peaking at 1.16856 before fading back into a 1.1666–1.1681 range. Price now consolidating mid-range on cooling RSI, holding above the breakout shelf around 1.1665.
Support: 1.16664, 1.16431, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16813, 1.16856
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.16664 would void the breakout and reopen 1.16431
Reclaim of 1.16813 session high would extend the impulse leg
Headline risk remains live around US-Iran developments and could override structure
16:45 UTC
Intraday breakout, pulling back · RSI 72 · price 1.16683
Range break above 1.1655, new session high 1.1685.
EUR/USD broke out of a 1.1630–1.1655 range during NY hours on US-Iran de-escalation headlines, spiking to 1.1685 before fading. Price now consolidates just above the breakout base at 1.1647 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought.
Support: 1.16472, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16813
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1647 breakout base would signal failed breakout
Reclaim and close above 1.1685 reopens session high 1.1685
Range break above 1.1655, new session high 1.1685.
NY session ripped through the 1.1650 range cap on the Trump naval-blockade headline, printing 1.1685 in three impulsive M15 candles before stalling at 1.1681. RSI(14) at 73 with the last bar rejecting from 1.1689 — momentum cooling but no structural reversal yet.
Support: 1.1655, 1.1643, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16813
What it said to watch
Pullback into 1.1655 breakout base — failure to hold reopens 1.1643
M15 close back below 1.1655 invalidates the range break
Continued headline flow on US-Iran deal could extend or unwind the move
16:15 UTC
Intraday reversal higher · RSI 78 · price 1.16781
Range break to upside, fresh session high.
NY session ripped through 1.1650 on Trump's naval-blockade headlines, a 50-pip vertical move tagging 1.16856 before fading. Price is now consolidating just under 1.16813, RSI(14) stretched near 78 — typical post-news cooling, breakout base sits at 1.16740.
Support: 1.1674, 1.1650, 1.1634
Resistance: 1.16813, 1.16856
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.16740 negates the breakout and reopens 1.16500
Acceptance above 1.16813 extends the headline-driven leg
Further Iran headlines could materially shift this read given the news-driven nature of the move
16:00 UTC
Intraday range broken to the upside on news · RSI 78 · price 1.16788
Range expansion higher after 70-pip impulse.
NY session ripped through the 1.1650 range top with a 70-pip impulse on Trump's Hormuz blockade lift, tagging 1.1685 before fading. Price now consolidating just under the 1.1681 session high with RSI(14) overbought near 78.
Support: 1.1674, 1.1650, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16813
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1674 keeps the breakout structure intact
Failure back below 1.1650 negates the range break and signals a false break
Headline risk remains elevated — Iran/US comments are driving this move
15:45 UTC
Intraday reversal, sharp bid into NY · RSI 85 · price 1.16755
Range break to upside after Asian/London drift lower.
EURUSD ripped out of the 1.1640-1.1650 range on the Trump headline about lifting the naval blockade, printing a 75-pip spike high at 1.1813 before fading to 1.16755. RSI(14) at 84 flags the move as stretched, with the breakout base at 1.1668 now the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.1668, 1.1650, 1.16246
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1668 breakout base keeps the impulse intact
Loss of 1.1650 would unwind the headline-driven range break
Further Iran/Hormuz headlines could re-accelerate the move
15:30 UTC
Intraday reversal higher · RSI 82 · price 1.16743
Range break to the upside after NY session pop.
EURUSD ripped out of a tight 1.1640–1.1650 NY range on the Trump headline lifting the naval blockade, printing a 27-pip impulse candle to 1.16777. Price now hovering just under the session high with RSI(14) stretched into the low-80s.
Support: 1.16684, 1.16472, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16777
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.16684 keeps the breakout structure intact
Reclaim of 1.16472 would signal a failed break and full mean reversion
Further headline risk on Iran/Hormuz still active and can move price intrabar
Range breakdown then violent recovery to session high.
Asia/early-London leg ground lower from 1.1657 into a 1.1625 swing low, holding a clean downtrend channel through NY morning. The latest 15m bar ripped 27 pips off 1.1646 to print a session high at 1.1674 on Trump's Hormuz/blockade headline, dragging RSI(14) to 78 and flipping price back above both EMAs.
Support: 1.16431, 1.16278, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16742, 1.1657
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1657 prior high keeps the reversal intact; rejection there reopens the 1.1643 pivot
Loss of 1.1643 pivot puts the 1.1628 session low back in play
Headline-driven spike — follow-through on Iran/Hormuz news flow will decide whether the move sticks
15:00 UTC
Intraday range, lower high in place · RSI 53 · price 1.16473
Range-bound 1.1625–1.1660, prior swing high at 1.1661.
Asian session printed the high at 1.1661 before a steady London leg lower swept liquidity at 1.1625 (NY low). NY session has stabilised in a 1.1640–1.1653 range, with buyers stepping in at the session low and supply capping into 1.1653.
Support: 1.16415, 1.16339, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16528, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1653 session high opens path back to 1.1661 asian high
Loss of 1.1625 ny low confirms continuation of the London downleg toward 1.1600 psych
Ongoing Fed commentary (Bowman, Paulson) on stalled inflation progress could shift USD bid intraday
Session range with sweep low, bouncing into mid-range.
EURUSD chopping in a 1.1625–1.1660 band through London and early NY, with a clean sweep of 1.1625 on the Bowman/Paulson Fed comments before buyers stepped in. Price now mid-range around 1.1645, RSI(14) neutral and momentum flat as the US-Iran deal headlines cap directional follow-through.
Support: 1.16339, 1.16246, 1.1640
Resistance: 1.1650, 1.16541, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16246 session low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.16541 ny high reopens the session high at 1.16610
Further hawkish Fed commentary risks another test of the sweep low
14:30 UTC
Intraday downtrend, base forming · RSI 47 · price 1.16423
Lower highs into 1.1625 sweep, recovery stalling at 1.1650.
M15 leaked lower through London into a NY-session sweep of 1.1625 before recovering into a 1.1640-1.1650 balance, with USD bid after hawkish Bowman/Paulson Fed remarks. Price now sits mid-range with RSI back to neutral, NY high at 1.1648 capping the bounce.
Support: 1.16339, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16487, 1.16541
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1650 NY high opens room back to 1.1654 London high
Loss of 1.1634 session low re-exposes the 1.1625 sweep low
Further Fed/Iran headlines could shift the read intraday
Price swept the session low at 1.16246 during NY hours then reclaimed back into the 1.1640–1.1653 range. RSI(14) reset to mid-50s after the rebound, with current bar stalling just under the NY high at 1.16528.
Support: 1.16339, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16528, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16528 NY high opens path back to 1.16610 prior high
Loss of 1.16339 session low re-exposes the 1.16246 sweep low
Fed commentary flow (Bowman, Paulson) keeps headline risk elevated into NY close
14:00 UTC
Intraday range, drift higher into NY · RSI 56 · price 1.16496
Range 1.1624–1.1657, recovering from session low.
M15 has spent the London-NY transition recovering from a sweep low at 1.16246, grinding back into the middle of the 1.1624–1.1657 range with price now leaning on the NY high at 1.16528. RSI(14) middling near 56 and ATR around 4 pips — no momentum extension yet, just mean reversion. Fed Bowman/Paulson commentary on the wires hasn't materially shifted the structural picture.
Support: 1.16433, 1.16335, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16528, 1.16576
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16528 NY high opens the path back to 1.16576 Asia high
Rejection at 1.16528 keeps the intraday range intact
Loss of 1.16433 intraday HL re-exposes 1.16335 session low
Further Fed speak headlines could disturb this read
13:45 UTC
Range-bound, mild fade from session high · RSI 51 · price 1.16497
Intraday range 1.1625-1.1657, current mid-range.
EURUSD churning in a 30-pip NY band after a London push to 1.1661 was faded and a midday sweep of 1.1625 was bought back. Price now mid-range near 1.1650 with RSI(14) neutral; Bowman's stalled-inflation comments and the soft US trade data didn't produce a clean break either way.
Support: 1.16348, 1.16246, 1.16288
Resistance: 1.16541, 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16541 NY high opens path back to 1.16610 London high
Loss of 1.16348 NY low exposes 1.16246 session low
Headline risk from Iran negotiation rhetoric could break the range
EURUSD spent the NY morning bouncing off the 1.16335 session low and the 1.16246 spike low, now grinding back toward the 1.16540 session high during early NY hours. Price is back above EMA20/50 with RSI around 55, structure looks like a contained intraday range rather than directional flow.
Support: 1.1641, 1.16335, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.1654, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16540 session high opens path to 1.16610 prior swing
Loss of 1.16335 session low re-exposes the 1.16246 spike low
Fed Bowman comments on stalled inflation progress keep USD headlines a factor
EURUSD slipped from the 1.1660 area through London after softer German CPI, bottoming at 1.16246 before recovering. NY session has stabilised price in a tight 1.1640–1.1650 band, RSI back to neutral near 54 with no directional impulse.
Support: 1.16335, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16505, 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16505 opens a retest of the asia high at 1.16576
Break below 1.16335 reopens the 1.16246 swing low
Soft US trade and wholesale inventories prints already digested; no major EUR/USD calendar risk in the next 8h
NY session swept the session low at 1.1625 mid-morning then reclaimed, now grinding back toward the 1.1649 swing high with RSI(14) neutral near 48. Price compressing inside a ~35-pip intraday range after the soft German CPI miss earlier capped the London bid below 1.1660.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16339
Resistance: 1.16493, 1.16562, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1649 opens path back to 1.1656 NY swing high
Break and hold below 1.1625 session low confirms a lower-low extension
Range remains intact while price oscillates between 1.1625 and 1.1660
Range between 1.1625 and 1.1660 with failed breakout.
EURUSD chopping in a 1.1625–1.1660 range through NY morning after a soft German CPI print failed to extend the London push to 1.1657. The 1.1625 sweep was bought back immediately and price has recovered to mid-range, RSI flat at 50.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16339
Resistance: 1.16493, 1.16576
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16246 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday range
Reclaim of 1.16493 reopens the London high at 1.16576
US-Iran headlines remain a tail risk into the weekend
EURUSD swept the 1.1625 area during early London after the soft German CPI miss, then reclaimed back into the prior 1.1635–1.1660 range. Price is consolidating mid-range into NY open with RSI(14) neutral around 51 and no fresh structural break.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16339
Resistance: 1.16493, 1.16576, 1.1660
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16576 opens a retest of 1.1660 psych level
Break and hold below 1.16246 session low confirms a lower-low and extends the down-leg
NY open in the next hour could expand the current tight range
Lower high at 1.1657, holding above 1.1625 support.
EURUSD swept down to 1.1625 during early NY hours on the softer German CPI print, then reclaimed 1.1640 with buyers stepping in twice. Price now mid-range between session low at 1.1640 zone and NY high at 1.1654, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.1640, 1.16246, 1.16186
Resistance: 1.16541, 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1654 NY high reopens 1.1660 swing high
Loss of 1.1625 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1619
US-Iran headlines remain a risk for unscheduled volatility
Range between 1.1625 and 1.1660 after morning rally faded.
Asian session rallied from 1.1615 to 1.1657 then faded through London into a 1.1625–1.1655 range. NY opened with a sweep to 1.1654 followed by a sharp drop to a fresh session low at 1.1625, and price has since stabilised mid-range around 1.1645. RSI(14) neutral at 51, ATR around 4 pips per bar.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16335
Resistance: 1.16541
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16246 confirms a lower-low and opens downside
Reclaim of 1.16541 with follow-through invalidates the rejection read
Schmid hawkish Fed comments and ECB hike pricing keep headline risk live
Lower highs from 1.1657, holding above 1.1625 swing low.
EURUSD swept the swing low at 1.1625 during the NY session and has since stabilised in a tight 1.1640–1.1645 range, with RSI(14) near 45 and price under both EMAs. Sellers capped the bounce at the 1.1647 micro pivot; structure is corrective off the 1.1661 session high.
Support: 1.16339, 1.16246, 1.16102
Resistance: 1.16475, 1.16541, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1654 (NY high) reopens upside toward 1.1661 session high
Loss of 1.1625 swing low confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
Schmid Fed comments and ongoing USD headlines could shift the read intraday
Lower highs from session peak, holding above 1.1625.
EURUSD spiked to 1.1657 during the London-NY transition then sold off into a 1.1625 swing low before recovering into the 1.1640s. Price is now consolidating in a tight 20-pip band beneath EMA20/50, with RSI mid-range — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1640, 1.1625, 1.1610
Resistance: 1.1645, 1.1654
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1654 NY session high reopens the upside
Break of 1.1625 swing low confirms a lower-low and shifts intraday structure down
Fed-speak headlines (Schmid) keep USD reactive, could break the range
11:15 UTC
Intraday pullback within higher range · RSI 45 · price 1.16421
Lower highs from 1.1657 peak, holding above 1.1625.
London session pushed to 1.1657 then faded, with NY hours sweeping the 1.1625 swing low before reclaiming back into the 1.1635–1.1645 zone. Sequence of lower highs from 1.1657 to 1.1554 to 1.1545 keeps the intraday tone corrective, though demand stepping in at 1.1625 has stabilised price into the close.
Support: 1.16339, 1.16246
Resistance: 1.16475, 1.16541
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1475 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1625 swing low reopens 1.1610 area
Fed Schmid hawkish inflation remarks already in price; further Fedspeak could extend the pullback
Range between 1.1625 and 1.1657, current bar mid-range.
EURUSD chopped through the London session with a high at 1.1657 and a sweep of intraday support at 1.16246 during early NY before recovering to 1.1642. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 and price is hugging EMA20 from below — no directional setup in play, range between 1.1625 and 1.1657 holding.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16339, 1.16031
Resistance: 1.16541, 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16576 reopens the prior high at 1.1661
Break and hold below 1.16246 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1603
Fed speaker Schmid hawkish tone — headline risk into NY hours
10:45 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over intraday · RSI 43 · price 1.16428
Lower-high after sweep of session high.
London push to 1.16610 faded, then a fresh leg into NY swept down to 1.16246 before a shallow bounce back to 1.16428. Price now sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI mid-40s — intraday momentum has rolled over from earlier highs.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16339, 1.1610
Resistance: 1.1661, 1.1645
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16450 ema20 area would neutralise the lower-high read
Break of 1.16246 session low confirms continuation of the rollover
Heightened JPY intervention headlines spilling into broader USD flows
Consolidation under 1.1655 session high, lower-high sequence forming.
EURUSD spiked to 1.1657 on the European open then faded, with NY hours sweeping down to 1.1625 before buyers stepped in. Price now hovers at 1.1644 inside a 1.1625–1.1650 intraday range, RSI(14) neutral around 45 and ATR compressed to ~4.6 pips.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16335, 1.1640
Resistance: 1.1650, 1.16576
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16246 session low confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1640 round number break
Reclaim of 1.16500 intraday cap would put 1.16576 session high back in play
BoE/Middle East headlines via Bailey have been moving sentiment; further commentary could shift the read
London session faded the 1.1654 session high and printed a lower high at 1.1654→1.1541, with a sharp flush into 1.1625 before a modest bounce. Price sits mid-range under both EMAs with RSI in the high 30s, structure tilts corrective after the soft German state CPI prints.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16339, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16475, 1.16541
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.16475 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high read
M15 close below 1.16246 session low confirms continuation lower
National German HICP print due in NY session could redirect the move
London session pushed EURUSD to 1.1657 before sellers faded the move, and the NY-hours retest at 1.1654 produced a lower high before a sharp leg down to 1.1625. Price is consolidating near 1.1636 with RSI(14) at 38 and both EMAs capping overhead.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16335, 1.16124
Resistance: 1.16541, 1.1646
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1646 intraday pivot would neutralise the lower-high read
Break of 1.16246 session low extends the pullback toward the asia low
BoE/Bailey rate-path commentary already on the wire — EUR cross flows can spill into EURUSD
09:45 UTC
Intraday pullback within higher range · RSI 38 · price 1.16368
Range top rejected, lower-high forming.
Asian session pushed to 1.16576 then faded; London session printed a lower high at 1.16541 before a sweep of 1.16246 during early European hours. Price now consolidating mid-range around 1.1636 with RSI(14) near 38, structure soft below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16339
Resistance: 1.16541, 1.16576
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16541 invalidates the lower-high read
Break and hold below 1.16246 session low confirms downside continuation
German flash HICP release could materially shift this read
09:30 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 39 · price 1.16355
Lower-high after rejection at 1.1654.
EURUSD swept the session high at 1.1657 during the London-NY transition then rejected, printing a lower high at 1.1654 before flushing to 1.1625 session low. Price now consolidating around 1.1635 with RSI(14) at 38 after the leg down; Italian and Bavarian CPI prints did little to support the euro into NY hours.
Support: 1.16246, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16433, 1.16541
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1643 micro high would neutralise the lower-high read
Late NY session — liquidity thins into Friday close, expect choppy tape
09:15 UTC
Intraday pullback within higher base · RSI 32 · price 1.16273
Lower highs forming, testing session support.
Sharp rejection from the 1.1654 NY swing high has driven price to session lows at 1.1625, with RSI(14) cooling to 32. Lower highs since 1.1661 and a sustained slide under EMA20/50 frame this as an intraday pullback from yesterday's run.
Lower high after London push, drifting toward range mids.
London push tagged 1.1654 and was rejected, producing a lower high versus yesterday's 1.1676 spike and a fade back to the session low at 1.1636. RSI(14) at 38 with price below both EMAs — intraday tone has rolled over within the broader 1.1604–1.1660 range.
Support: 1.1636, 1.1604, 1.1575
Resistance: 1.1654, 1.1660, 1.1676
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1636 opens room toward the asia low at 1.1604
Reclaim of 1.1654 london high negates the lower-high read
Soft German/Spanish CPI prints already in; US session headlines on US-Iran MOU could shift USD tone
08:45 UTC
Intraday range, choppy · RSI 41 · price 1.16377
Range between 1.1633 and 1.1657, current bar pressing lower bound.
London session printed a clean rejection at 1.16541 and rolled back to the session low at 1.16335, with price now pinned at the lower bound. RSI(14) at 41 reflects the fade from earlier strength but no oversold extreme; structure is ranging with sellers in control of the last leg.
Support: 1.16335, 1.16267, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16541, 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16335 confirms a lower-low and opens the prior swing at 1.16267
Reclaim of 1.16541 invalidates the rejection read and reopens the London high at 1.16610
German state CPI prints still trickling in could nudge EUR intraday
08:30 UTC
Intraday range after NY rally faded · RSI 38 · price 1.16339
Lower high vs 1.16576 session top, holding above 1.16339 swing low.
EURUSD rallied into 1.16576 during the NY session yesterday then drifted into a 1.16339–1.16541 range through Asia and into the London open. Latest M15 print just tagged the session low at 1.16339 with RSI near 38, sellers capping at 1.16541 on the most recent push.
Support: 1.16339, 1.16357, 1.16267
Resistance: 1.16541, 1.16576
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16339 session low opens path to 1.16267 London low
Reclaim of 1.16541 rejection level reopens 1.16576 session high
German state CPI prints already softer — national CPI release could shift the read
Asia/early-London pushed up through 1.1654 to a day high at 1.16576 on soft European CPI prints, but the move stalled and price rejected from 1.16541 back into the mid-range. RSI cooled to the mid-40s with a bearish divergence vs the earlier high; sitting on the 1.16357 swing low with EMA20 just overhead.
Support: 1.16357, 1.1628, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.16541, 1.16576
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16357 swing low opens 1.16280 London low
Reclaim of 1.16541 session high re-engages the day high at 1.16576
German national CPI print due shortly after the state readings could shift this read
London session pushed to 1.1654 then rejected, dropping back into a 1.1636–1.1654 range as European inflation prints (Spain, France) came in softer than forecast. Price coiling mid-range at 1.1643 with RSI flat near 50; no directional thrust in play.
Support: 1.16375, 1.16339, 1.16267
Resistance: 1.16541, 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1654 reopens path to 1.1661 swing high
Break of 1.1636 session low exposes 1.1626 prior low
German state CPI prints due later could shift the EUR read
M15 rallied through London hours from 1.1603 to 1.1661 after softer French and Spanish CPI prints, then went sideways in a 1.1635–1.1655 range. Latest bar rejected the 1.1654 retest and faded back to 1.1641, RSI cooling to mid-50s with ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 1.16357, 1.1627, 1.1603
Resistance: 1.16541, 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16576 session high reopens 1.16610 swing top
Break of 1.16357 session low breaks the intraday uptrend structure
US session open could re-inject volatility into the range
07:30 UTC
Uptrend, range high pullback · RSI 56 · price 1.16478
Higher highs holding, session range developing under 1.1660.
Asia session pushed off 1.1613 into a strong London leg that tagged 1.1660 prior high before rolling into a 1.1635–1.1655 consolidation. Early European hours rebounded off 1.1638 session low; price now hovering mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 56.
Support: 1.1638, 1.1627, 1.1613
Resistance: 1.1654, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1654 session high reopens 1.1661 prior high
loss of 1.1638 session low exposes 1.1627 prior swing
soft Spain/France CPI prints already in; German state CPIs through European morning could shift the read
07:15 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back then resuming · RSI 58 · price 1.16508
Higher highs and higher lows within rising channel.
Asia session pushed off 1.1635 swing low and reclaimed the 1.1645 area, now grinding back toward the 1.1654 recent high after soft French and Spanish CPI prints. RSI(14) at 58 with EMA20/50 supporting from below — pullback structure holding.
Support: 1.1640, 1.1635, 1.1620
Resistance: 1.1654, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1654 opens path back to session high at 1.1661
Loss of 1.1635 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
1.1650 option expiry at 10am NY cut may cap session range
German states' CPI readings later today could drive next leg
Lower highs after 1.1657 peak, holding above 1.1635.
EURUSD ran up to 1.1657 during NY hours yesterday then drifted into Asia, putting in a low at 1.1635 before recovering into early London. Price now coiling around 1.1649 with 1.1650 option expiry acting as a magnet; soft French CPI just printed but no immediate directional follow-through.
Support: 1.1635, 1.1640, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1650, 1.1657, 1.1676
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1657 reopens 1.1676 prior high
Break of 1.1635 swing low confirms lower-low and exposes 1.1600 expiry
Germany state CPI prints later today could shift the read
1.1650 option expiry at 10am NY cut may pin price
06:45 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 1.1646
Higher highs into 1.1661, now consolidating mid-range.
EURUSD rallied from 1.1604 to 1.1661 during the prior NY session before fading back into a tight 1.1635–1.1650 range through Asia. London open has lifted price back to 1.1646 with the 1.1650 option strike acting as a magnet, RSI flat near 49.
Support: 1.1640, 1.1635, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1656, 1.1661, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1661 reopens the upside leg
Loss of 1.1635 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Germany states' CPI prints later today could shift EUR tone
EURUSD rallied from 1.1605 through the late-Asia/early-London window to print a session high at 1.1657, then faded back to a 1.1636 session low before a small bounce into 1.1646. Price is now mid-range with RSI(14) flat around 49 — chop, not trend, ahead of the German states' CPI readings.
Support: 1.1636, 1.1605
Resistance: 1.1657, 1.1676
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1657 reopens the path toward the 1.1676 prior high
Break of the 1.1636 session low exposes 1.1605
1.1600 and 1.1650 NY-cut option expiries may pin price into the European session
German states' CPI prints later today could shift the read
06:15 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.16423
Lower highs since 1.1661 peak, holding above 1.1635.
After yesterday's NY rally to 1.1661, price has bled lower in a tight falling wedge through Asia, basing around 1.1635-1.1640 with RSI flattening near 41. Quiet pre-London tape, sitting below both EMAs but well off the lows.
Support: 1.16357, 1.16267, 1.1603
Resistance: 1.1647, 1.16562, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1647 micro pivot would neutralise the pullback
Germany state CPI prints during European morning could inject volatility
1.1600 and 1.1650 option expiries at 10am NY cut may cap intraday range
06:00 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY rally · RSI 42 · price 1.16402
Lower highs from 1.1657 peak, retesting 1.1640 breakout zone.
EURUSD spent the NY session pushing from 1.1620 to a 1.1657 session high before fading back through Asia, with sellers capping the early-London bounce at 1.16433. Price now sits at 1.16402 on the retest of the 1.1640 breakout zone, RSI(14) near 42 and below both EMAs — pullback in play, 1.1650 option expiry acting as a magnet overhead.
Support: 1.16357, 1.1630, 1.16204
Resistance: 1.16433, 1.1650, 1.16576
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.16357 session low opens 1.1630 psych and the 1.1620 prior swing
M15 reclaim of 1.16500 puts the 1.16576 session high back in play
US-Iran ceasefire headlines could materially shift the read
05:45 UTC
Intraday pullback after rally · RSI 41 · price 1.16413
Lower highs from 1.1660, testing range mid.
EUR/USD drifted lower through the Asia session from 1.1656 to a 1.1634 session low after Trump headlines around the US-Iran truce kept the dollar bid. Price is grinding back to 1.1641 into the European open with RSI(14) flat near 41, holding inside the 1.1634–1.1656 range.
Support: 1.16339, 1.16267, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16433, 1.16562
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16339 session low extends the pullback toward 1.16267 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16562 asia high invalidates the lower-high read
German prelim CPI later today could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 1.1660 peak, testing 1.1635 demand.
EUR/USD slid from the 1.1660 NY-session peak into a steady chain of lower highs through Asia, now probing 1.1635 with RSI(14) at 38 and price below both EMAs. The early-Europe Trump/Iran headline accelerated the leg lower; current bar pausing just off session low.
Support: 1.16357, 1.1630, 1.16267
Resistance: 1.1647, 1.16562, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1647 (ema20) would neutralise the pullback read
Break and hold below 1.1635 session low opens 1.1630 psych and 1.1627 prior swing
Germany flash CPI later today could re-inject EUR volatility
05:15 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 37 · price 1.16384
Lower highs after 1.1660 rejection.
EURUSD rallied to 1.1661 during the London-NY transition yesterday then drifted lower through Asia, printing a chain of lower highs into the current European open. Price now sits at 1.1638 just above session low 1.1634, RSI(14) at 37 with both EMAs overhead.
Support: 1.16339, 1.16267
Resistance: 1.1647, 1.16562, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16339 opens path to 1.16267 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.16470 micro pivot neutralises the lower-highs sequence
US-Iran ceasefire headlines remain the dominant intraday catalyst
Pullback from session high, holding above prior breakout zone.
Strong London-session breakout drove price from 1.1620 to 1.1657 session high, now pulling back into Asia hours with price drifting to 1.1638 and RSI cooling to 38. Pullback is holding above the 1.1627 breakout base, no rejection signal yet.
Support: 1.16357, 1.16267, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.1647
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.16357 session low opens path back to 1.16267 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.16470 intraday pivot would resume upside toward session high
Thin Asia liquidity — moves into the early European session can extend on low volume
04:45 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 33 · price 1.16355
Lower highs forming after 1.1657 peak.
EURUSD fading from the 1.1661 NY session high, currently 1.16355 and pressing the session low with RSI(14) near 32. Sequence of lower highs through the Asia session has price grinding into the 1.1635 floor; a break opens the 1.1627 prior swing.
Support: 1.16351, 1.16267, 1.1614
Resistance: 1.1641, 1.1656, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16350 confirms continuation toward 1.16267 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.16410 micro pivot neutralises the lower-high sequence
London open in ~2h likely to set direction; current Asia drift is thin
04:30 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 33 · price 1.16374
Lower highs after 1.16576 rejection.
Price spiked to 1.16576 during the prior NY session then faded; the current Asia/early-London window is grinding lower with a chain of lower highs from 1.16562 to 1.16450. Sellers stepping in at the micro pivot near 1.16450, RSI(14) cooling toward 33 as price probes the session low at 1.16357.
Support: 1.16357, 1.16267, 1.1614
Resistance: 1.1645, 1.16562, 1.16576
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16357 opens path to the prior swing at 1.16267
Reclaim of 1.16450 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-highs read
London session open in coming hours could materially shift this read
04:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 33 · price 1.16379
Lower highs after 1.16576 peak.
Pair rallied through London-NY into 1.16610 then rolled over, printing lower highs and breaking the 1.16470 micro pivot during late NY. Asia session now grinding toward the session low at 1.16357 with RSI in the low 30s — no bounce yet.
Support: 1.16357, 1.16267, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.1647, 1.16562, 1.1661
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.16357 session low extends the pullback toward 1.16267
Reclaim of 1.16470 micro pivot neutralises the lower-high sequence
Headline risk around US-Iran ceasefire decision could shift the read
04:00 UTC
Intraday pullback within uptrend · RSI 30 · price 1.16377
Lower highs from session peak, testing range floor.
Price drifted off the session high at 1.16562 through Asia hours and is now grinding session lows near 1.16360, RSI(14) sub-30 on M15. Move down from 1.16562 has been steady rather than impulsive, sitting below both EMA20 and EMA50 intraday.
Support: 1.1636, 1.1629
Resistance: 1.1649, 1.16562
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.16360 opens 1.16290 as next intraday reference
Reclaim of 1.16490 micro pivot would neutralise the pullback
London open in a few hours likely sets the next directional leg
EURUSD rallied through London into a 1.16610 session high before NY faded the move, with lower highs at 1.16562 and 1.16490 carving an intraday pullback. Price now sits on the session low at 1.16401 with RSI(14) near 38, sellers pressing but no clean break yet.
Support: 1.16401, 1.16267, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.1649, 1.16562, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16401 opens path toward 1.16267
Reclaim of 1.16490 neutralises the lower-high sequence
US-Iran ceasefire headlines remain a tape-driver per MUFG note
03:30 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY rally · RSI 38 · price 1.16406
Lower highs since 1.16576 peak, holding above 1.16401.
NY session pushed EURUSD to 1.16610 before fading, and Asia has drifted lower in a stair-step of lower highs into 1.16406. Price is now probing the 1.16401 session low with RSI(14) near 38 — sellers in control on this TF but momentum thinning into a tight Asian range.
Support: 1.16401, 1.16324, 1.16267
Resistance: 1.16548, 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16401 opens path toward 1.16324 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.16548 recent high would void the lower-high sequence
US-Iran ceasefire headline risk could shift dollar tone abruptly
03:15 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 44 · price 1.16445
Intraday range below 1.1657 swing high.
M15 ran from 1.1586 up to 1.1661 through the NY session before stalling and rolling into a tighter range. Last few bars rejected 1.16562 and slipped back to test the session low at 1.16431, RSI cooling into the mid-40s.
Support: 1.16431, 1.16267, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16562, 1.1661, 1.16576
What it said to watch
Close below 1.16431 opens 1.16267 retest
Reclaim of 1.16562 reopens the 1.16610 high
Asia session thin liquidity — moves may be exaggerated
M15 surged through 1.1640 during London/NY hours peaking at 1.1661, now consolidating in a 1.1643–1.1656 range as Asia opens. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price is sitting just below EMA20 but holding above the broader EMA50, intraday momentum flat.
Support: 1.16431, 1.16267, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16562, 1.1661, 1.16576
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.1643 session low opens room toward the 1.1627 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.1656 and break of the 1.1661 recent high reopens the upside structure
Iran-US ceasefire headlines remain a live risk-on/off driver into Asia
Rally from 1.1587 stalling under 1.1657 swing high.
EURUSD rallied from 1.1587 to 1.1657 during the NY session on Iran ceasefire headlines, then consolidated in a tight 1.1645–1.1657 band through Asia. Latest bars rejected 1.1656 and broke below the range to a session low at 1.1643, RSI(14) cooling to 41 — momentum has flattened.
Support: 1.16431, 1.1632, 1.1617
Resistance: 1.1657, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1643 session low extends the pullback toward 1.1632
Reclaim of 1.1657 session high reopens the 1.1661 swing high
Headline risk from US-Iran ceasefire status can override structure
EURUSD rallied roughly 70 pips into the 1.1657–1.1661 swing high on US-Iran ceasefire headlines, then drifted into a 1.1643–1.1655 consolidation through Asia. Last bar prints 1.1647 after rejection from 1.1656; momentum has flattened with RSI back to neutral.
Support: 1.16431, 1.16267, 1.16004
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
Break of session low at 1.16431 opens path to 1.16267 swing low
Reclaim of 1.16576 session high needed to resume the uptrend
Thin Asia liquidity — wider spreads and false breaks possible
02:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 41 · price 1.16448
Higher highs into 1.1657, now pulling back.
Strong London-NY leg pushed EURUSD from 1.1590 to a 1.1661 session high before rejection capped at 1.16562. Asia session now drifting lower, slipping back to the 1.16431 session low with RSI(14) cooling to 41 — consolidation under broken-uptrend EMAs.
Support: 1.16431, 1.16267, 1.16004
Resistance: 1.16562, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16431 session low opens path to 1.16267 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.16562 ny rejection reopens 1.16610 session high
Yen intervention data release at 1000 GMT could spill into broad USD volatility
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.
EURUSD spiked into 1.1657-1.1661 during NY session on US-Iran ceasefire headlines, then drifted into a tight consolidation between 1.1646 and 1.1655. Asia session has produced two failed pushes back to the session high, with the latest bar rejecting at 1.1654 and closing at 1.1648.
Support: 1.16461, 1.16324, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1658 reopens the spike high at 1.1661
Higher highs into NY, consolidation under session high.
NY session ripped through 1.1630 on the US-Iran ceasefire headline, tagging 1.16610 spike high before settling into a tight range above 1.16472 swing low. Asia is drifting sideways under the session high with RSI(14) mid-band; no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 1.16472, 1.1643, 1.1627
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16576 session high reopens the spike high
Loss of 1.16472 swing low breaks the post-breakout base
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could spike JPY crosses and bleed into EUR/USD
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating below 1.1660.
M15 broke out of the 1.1590–1.1620 NY range with a sharp impulse to 1.1660 session high, then settled into tight consolidation just below it through Asia. Price is holding above the 1.1646 swing low with EMA20/50 stacked beneath; momentum has cooled but structure remains intact.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1628, 1.1603
Resistance: 1.1661, 1.1676
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1646 swing low would break the intraday higher-low chain
Clean break above 1.1660 session high opens 1.1676 psych zone
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could inject yen-driven USD volatility
01:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling near session high · RSI 54 · price 1.16488
Higher highs then sideways drift below 1.1657.
Strong NY-session breakout from 1.1632 to 1.1661 has cooled into a tight consolidation between 1.1647 and 1.1655. Price drifting sideways into Asia open with RSI(14) neutral around 54, sitting just under the session high.
Support: 1.1647, 1.1632, 1.1619
Resistance: 1.1655, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1655 reopens path toward the 1.1661 ny high
Break of the 1.1647 swing low signals failure of the breakout and exposes 1.1632
Japan MOF intervention data at 10:00 GMT is a known volatility risk for USD crosses
Consolidating below session high after impulsive NY rally.
NY session drove an impulsive break from 1.1620 up to 1.1661 before stalling; Asia has held a tight 1.1646–1.1655 range under the session high. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought into the mid-50s while price remains above both EMAs — momentum pause, not reversal yet.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16575, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16575 reopens the path toward 1.16610 asia high
Loss of 1.16460 swing low breaks the consolidation lower
Thin Asia liquidity — range may not be representative once London opens
00:45 UTC
Uptrend off Asian low, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.16532
Higher highs, higher lows since 1.1586 low; consolidation under 1.1657.
Sharp NY-session breakout from 1.1630 ran into 1.1657–1.1661 and has been ranging tightly below it since, RSI(14) cooling to ~58 in low-volume Asia hours. Price coiling above 1.1650 minor pivot with intraday low at 1.1644; no fresh structural development until that consolidation resolves.
Support: 1.1650, 1.16446, 1.16267
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
Break above session high at 1.1657 reopens the swing high at 1.1661
Loss of 1.1644 intraday low signals failed breakout and rotation back to 1.1627 breakout base
Tokyo CPI softer than forecast already priced; no scheduled EUR/USD calendar risk in the next 8h
Consolidation under session high after impulsive NY rally.
NY session drove an impulsive leg from 1.1620 to 1.1661, then faded into a tight consolidation between 1.1646 and 1.1657 through the Asia handover. Price is pinned just below the session high at 1.1657 with RSI cooling from prior highs and ATR compressing — range in play until 1.16576 or 1.16460 breaks.
Support: 1.1646, 1.1632, 1.1619
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16576 reopens the path toward 1.16610 NY high
Loss of 1.16460 swing low confirms a lower-low and breakdown of the consolidation
Asia liquidity is thin — moves into Tokyo open can be unreliable
00:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.1653
Rally then consolidation near highs.
London session drove a clean breakout from 1.1620 up to 1.1658, then price has spent the last 6 hours coiling in a tight 1.1646–1.1653 range into the Asia open. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought back to mid-50s while holding above EMA20/50, structure intact but momentum flat.
Support: 1.1647, 1.1632, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1647 breaks the consolidation floor and opens a retest of 1.1632
Break above 1.1658 reopens the 1.1661 spike high
Hormuz / US-Iran ceasefire headlines remain a tail risk into the Asia session
NY session ripped from 1.1626 to 1.1661 on the dollar leg lower, then settled into a tight 1.1646–1.1657 consolidation through late NY into early Asia. Price is sitting mid-range at 1.1651 with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral; no fresh structure since the breakout base at 1.1627 held.
Support: 1.16462, 1.16267, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.16576, 1.1661
What it said to watch
Asia session break above 1.16576 resumes the uptrend toward the rally high
Loss of swing low 1.16462 opens retest of the breakout base at 1.16267
Headline risk from US-Iran ceasefire status could spike volatility on the open