EUR/USD AI Live Scan, daily chart, Friday, 30 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD daily chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
22:44 UTC
Downtrend, momentum easing into a base · RSI 36 · price 1.11679
Lower highs and lower lows from the late-August 1.1711 peak; 1.1104–1.1276 consolidation since early October with descending highs.
EUR/USD has printed lower highs and lower lows since the 1.1711 late-August peak. The mid-September loss of 1.1500 accelerated that Aug–Oct decline, and price now sits below both a falling EMA(50) near 1.136 and EMA(20) near 1.122. Since early October the slide has slowed into a 1.1104–1.1276 consolidation capped by a run of lower highs: Thursday's post-ECB drop set a 17-month low at 1.1104, and Friday's rebound met rejection at 1.1214 as a firm USD and building EUR spec shorts outweighed the hawkish ECB pause and the GDP beat. RSI near 36 is holding above oversold, which points to fading downside momentum rather than a reversal.
Support: 1.1104, 1.1000
Resistance: 1.1214, 1.1276, 1.1336
What it said to watch
Daily close above the 1.1214 rejection and the lower-highs trendline would open a test of the 1.1276 range top
Daily close below the 1.1104 17-month low would resume the lower-low sequence, with the 1.1000 psych level the next reference
A reclaim of 1.1276 shifts focus to the 38.2% fib of the Aug–Oct decline at 1.1336, near EMA(50)
Monday's EZ PMIs and US ISM Manufacturing (f/c 54.7), then Tuesday's US midterms, could materially shift this read; crowded EUR shorts leave room for a sharp short-covering move
12:15 UTC
Downtrend since late August, momentum stalling near lows · RSI 46 · price 1.11833
Lower highs and lower lows from 1.1711; basing in a 1.1104–1.1269 range through October.
Quarter-long downtrend from the 21 August swing high at 1.1711. Price broke the 1.158–1.165 September base mid-month and slid through early October. Daily closes sit below the falling EMA(20) and EMA(50). For three weeks the pair has compressed between the 1.1104 swing low and the 1.1269 Oct high. Wednesday's dip under the mid-October low reversed into a strong close, a false break that leaves RSI near 46 and well off oversold. EUR is drawing support from the hawkish ECB hold, Thursday's Q3 GDP beat and hot Italian CPI. The dollar has faded for three sessions after the FOMC.
Support: 1.1104, 1.1000
Resistance: 1.1269, 1.1336
What it said to watch
Daily close below the 1.1104 swing low resumes the lower-low sequence and exposes the 1.1000 psych level
Daily close above the 1.1269 Oct high breaks the October lower-high cap and brings the 38.2 fib near 1.1336 into view
Eurozone HICP flash at 13:00 UTC and US ECI at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
ECB's Lane at 16:10 UTC: pushback on December hike pricing would undercut the EUR-supportive backdrop
The 1.1215–1.1250 zone inside the October range is the first area to watch for rejection or break