USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Sunday, 4 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:05 UTC
Uptrend, stalling under week high · RSI 55 · price 1.42509
Higher lows since Wed; 1.4201–1.4262 range under the week high.
USD/CAD has printed higher lows since Wednesday's PCE-driven dip to the 1.4155 wed low. NY sessions drove each leg up, to the 1.4262 week high on Thursday and a near-retest at 1.4261 on Friday. Friday's NFP miss briefly broke below the London low to the 1.4201 nfp low, holding near the 50–61.8% fib of the Wed low–week high leg, before NY hours fully reversed it into a false break even as the USD weakened broadly. Price sits just above the 1.4249 weekly open and EMA(20) near 1.4244, with RSI(14) neutral around 55 beneath the range top.
Support: 1.42485, 1.42014, 1.41544
Resistance: 1.4262, 1.4300
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 1.4262 week high breaks the range top and opens the 1.4300 round number
Failure to hold the 1.4249 weekly open and EMA(20) near 1.4244 returns price to the middle of the range
Loss of the 1.4201 nfp low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 1.4155 wed low
US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC, f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read; Canada LFS on Fri Oct 9 is the CAD-side risk
22:04 UTC
Uptrend, pressing the week high · RSI 58 · price 1.42517
Higher lows from Wednesday's 1.4154 low, capped at 1.4262.
Since Wednesday's NY-session low at 1.4154 after the core PCE miss, the pair has printed higher lows. It reached the 1.4262 week high on Thursday, and the Friday pullback held near the 38.2–50% fib before the NFP spike to the 1.4201 nfp low was bought back. The NY session recovery retested the week high at 1.4261 despite the soft payrolls, with CAD weighed by softer crude. Price now sits just above the weekly open at 1.4248 and EMA(20) near 1.4242, and RSI(14) is around 58, compressing under 1.4262.
Support: 1.4248, 1.4232, 1.4201
Resistance: 1.4262, 1.4300
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 1.4262 week high extends the uptrend to fresh highs, with the 1.4300 round number next
Back below the weekly open at 1.4248 and EMA(20) ~1.4242 turns the second week-high test into a rejection
Loss of the 1.4232 thu low reopens the 1.4201 nfp low and the higher-lows trendline
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Canada Sept LFS on Fri Oct 9 and crude direction are the CAD-side risks to the structure
21:05 UTC
Uptrend, pressing the week high · RSI 60 · price 1.42558
Higher lows since Wednesday, capped twice at 1.4262.
USD/CAD has carved higher lows since Wednesday's PCE-driven dip to the 1.4154 wed low, with NY hours driving each leg higher. Friday's soft NFP knocked the pair to a 1.4201 nfp low, between the 50% and 61.8% retrace of the Wed–Thu rally, but the dip met rejection and reversed through NY as US long-end yields firmed. The week closed at 1.4256, above EMA(20) near 1.4238 with RSI(14) near 60, just under the 1.4262 week high that capped Thursday and Friday.
Support: 1.4238, 1.4201, 1.4154
Resistance: 1.4262, 1.4300
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 1.4262 week high extends the uptrend toward the 1.4300 round number
Repeated rejection at 1.4262 with a slip back under EMA(20) at 1.4238 shifts the read to a range below the week high
Break of the 1.4201 nfp low breaks the higher-lows trendline from Wednesday; the 1.4154 wed low is the next structural floor
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read; Canada LFS Fri Oct 9 is the CAD-side risk