USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 18 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, gap-down extension at the Sunday open · RSI 39 · price 1.4125
Lower highs from Friday's NY high; thin early-Asia range 1.4107–1.4134 below the weekend gap.
USD/CAD gapped about 23 pips lower at the Sunday open, extending Friday's London-NY slide from the 1.4164 ny high. The move fits the digest's read of CAD firm on oil after the weekend Hormuz vessel attacks. An early Asia session spike to 1.4134 was rejected at the gap/fri low area. Price is now capped near the 38.2% fib of the slide (~1.4129), with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 1.4107, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4134, 1.4164
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4134 fills the weekend gap and breaks the lower-highs line
Failure to hold the 1.4107 open low extends the gap-down move toward the 1.4100 round number
1.4164 ny high caps the Friday-to-Sunday structure; reclaiming it negates the lower-highs read
Hormuz/Iran headlines during the Asia session could materially shift this read via oil
Canada Sep CPI Mon 12:30 UTC (core vs ~1.9%) is the next scheduled swing factor
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, early-Asia rebound off gap low · RSI 42 · price 1.41284
Gap-down open, higher lows rising into gap-fill zone.
The Sunday open gapped about 23 pips lower to a 1.4107 session low, extending Friday's CAD strength on oil and softer US yields. Higher lows have since lifted price back to the 38.2% retracement of the Friday prior high–session low drop near 1.4129. The 1.4134 spike stalled at Friday's low, with the 1.4136 gap fill directly above.
Support: 1.4120, 1.4107, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4134, 1.4136, 1.4164
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4136 completes the gap fill and invalidates the downtrend read, exposing the 1.4164 prior high
Break of the rising line and the 1.4120 higher low puts the 1.4107 session low and 1.4100 round number back in play
Hormuz/Iran headlines and oil moves during the Asia session could materially shift this read
Canada Sep CPI (Mon 12:30 UTC) is the next scheduled swing factor; core above ~2.0% would add CAD pressure
Friday lower highs and lower lows; Sunday higher lows off the 1.4107 open low, still below Friday's 1.4136 close.
The week opened with a ~23-pip gap down from Friday's 1.4136 close. That extended Friday's London/NY slide to a 1.4107 open low, with oil and the weekend Hormuz headlines keeping CAD firm. Early Asia session has climbed back to the 38.2% fib of the NY high–open low drop, with a rejection at the 1.4134 session high, which lines up with Friday's low.
Support: 1.4118, 1.4107
Resistance: 1.4134, 1.4164
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4134 session high fills the gap and opens the 50% fib area, with the 1.4164 NY high above that
Failure to hold the 1.4118 pullback low exposes the 1.4107 open low
Canada Sep CPI Mon 12:30 UTC: core above ~2% vs ~1.9% expected could materially shift this read
Oil and Hormuz/Iran headlines into London open remain the nearest swing factor
Weekend gap down below Friday close; lower-high sequence intact.
Friday's fade from the NY high at 1.4164 extended into a weekly-open gap down to 1.4107, with CAD holding two-week highs on firm oil and softer US yields. The thin early rebound off the open low is stalling at the 38.2% fib near 1.4129, just under the 1.4136 gap fill, with a swing low at 1.4118 underneath.
Support: 1.41181, 1.41071, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41291, 1.41364, 1.41643
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4136 gap fill weakens the lower-high read and exposes the 1.4164 fri ny high
Failure at the 38.2% fib and a break of the 1.4118 swing low puts the 1.4107 open low and the 1.4100 round number back in play
Hormuz/oil headlines into the London open could swing the pair sharply in thin early-week liquidity
Canada September CPI (core vs ~1.9%) Monday 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this read
Weekend gap down, early-Asia spike rejected below gap fill.
The Sunday open gapped below Friday's 1.4136 close to a 1.4107 gap low, extending the lower-high chain as CAD keeps its oil and yields-driven bid. The early-Asia spike high at 1.4134 stalled near the 50% fib retracement of the 1.4164 swing high to 1.4107 leg, leaving the gap unfilled. RSI(14) sits near 30.
Support: 1.4107, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4134, 1.4164
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4134 spike high and Friday's 1.4136 close fills the gap and breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 1.4107 gap low exposes the 1.4100 round number
Clearing the 1.4164 swing high would void the Friday downtrend structure
Hormuz/oil headlines through the Asia session and Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, oversold after weekend gap · RSI 30 · price 1.41207
Lower highs and lower lows, gap down at open.
Friday's London and NY sessions made lower highs from the 1.4198 Asian high to a 1.4136 close as falling US yields and firm oil weighed on the pair. The Sunday open gapped about 23 pips lower to a 1.4107 low. The first rebound stalled at 1.4134, just short of the 1.4136 gap fill, with RSI(14) near 30.
Support: 1.4107, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4136, 1.4164
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.4136 gap fill and the 1.4164 NY high breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 1.4107 Sunday low exposes the 1.4100 round number
Thin early Asia session liquidity after the gap can exaggerate intraday swings
Canada Sep CPI Mon 12:30 UTC: core above ~2.0% vs ~1.9% expected could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Downtrend, early bounce off the weekly open · RSI 37 · price 1.41274
Lower highs through Friday; Monday gap down then rebound into the gap.
Monday's open gapped about 23 pips below Friday's 1.4136 close, extending the slide driven by falling US yields and firm oil, and printed an open low at 1.4107. Early Asia is bouncing into the gap, with the current bar at the 38.2% retracement near 1.4129. Price stays below both EMAs inside a sequence of lower highs from Friday's NY session.
Support: 1.4107, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41364, 1.41643
What it said to watch
A close above 1.4136 completes the gap fill and puts the 1.4164 swing high back in view
Failure back below the 1.4107 open low resumes the lower-low sequence toward the 1.4100 round number
Canada Sep CPI (Mon 12:30 UTC), especially core vs ~1.9%, could materially shift this read
22:03 UTC
Downtrend, early bounce after gap lower · RSI 41 · price 1.41274
Lower highs and lower lows through Friday. The weekly open gapped below the Friday close and is now bouncing back toward the gap..
The weekly open gapped about 23 pips below Friday's 1.4136 close. That extends Friday's lower-high sequence, which ran on falling US yields and firmer oil lifting CAD to two-week highs. The early Asia-session bounce off the 1.4107 open low is stalling at the fib 38.2 level near 1.4129, with the gap fill at 1.4136 overhead in thin liquidity.
Support: 1.4107, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4129, 1.4136, 1.4164
What it said to watch
Gap fill to Friday's 1.4136 close, with EMA20 near the same level, is the first test. Acceptance above it opens the 1.4164 NY high and the lower-highs trendline.
Failure below the 1.4107 open low confirms a fresh lower-low, with 1.4100 round number next.
Canada Sep CPI Mon 12:30 UTC (core vs ~1.9%) could materially shift this read.
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, stretched after weekend gap · RSI 16 · price 1.4109
Lower highs and lower lows; gap open below Friday low.
USD/CAD gapped about 23 pips lower at the weekly open, trading below Friday's 1.4134 low after Friday's lower-highs sequence (1.4173, then 1.4164) on falling US yields and firmer oil. RSI(14) near 16 is oversold in thin early Asia trade. The 1.4121 open high and the unfilled gap up to the Friday low sit above, with the 1.4107 session low and the 1.4100 round number below.
Support: 1.4107, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4121, 1.4134
What it said to watch
A gap fill back above the 1.4134 Friday low would neutralise the weekend break
An M15 close above the 1.4121 open high would point to the gap retracing toward the NY high fib levels
Failure to hold the 1.4107 session low exposes the 1.4100 round number
The lower-highs trendline from 1.4173 continues to define the downtrend while it holds
Canada Sep CPI on Mon 12:30 UTC (core vs ~1.9%) could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, oversold after weekend gap · RSI 14 · price 1.41158
Lower highs through Friday NY; Sunday gap below the Friday close.
Friday's London session broke below the Asian low at 1.4171. NY then printed lower highs at 1.4173 and 1.4164 (ny high) before closing near 1.4136. The Sunday open gapped ~23 pips lower, tagged 1.4107 (open low) and now sits at 1.4116 with RSI(14) near 14, as CAD firmness on lower US yields and oil holds the pair below the 1.4140–1.4150 fair-value area.
Support: 1.41071, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41364, 1.41643
What it said to watch
Gap fill toward the 1.4136 Friday close, the 50% fib of the ny high to open low move, is the first test; rejection there keeps the lower-highs sequence intact
Failure to hold the 1.4107 open low exposes the 1.4100 round number
M15 close above the 1.4164 ny high breaks the lower-highs structure
Thin early-Asia liquidity at the Sunday open can exaggerate moves
Canada Sep CPI Mon 12:30 UTC, core vs ~1.9%, could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, extended after weekend gap · RSI 26 · price 1.41158
Lower highs and lower lows through Friday; week opened with a gap below the Friday close.
Friday's London and NY sessions printed lower highs at 1.4173 and 1.4164 before closing near the 1.4136 low, in line with the CAD-firm, softer-USD backdrop. The week opened with a roughly 23-pip gap lower to a 1.4107 Sunday low, and RSI(14) sits near 26 with the gap fill at 1.4136 still open.
Support: 1.41071, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41364, 1.41643
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.4107 Sunday low exposes the 1.4100 round number
A reclaim of the 1.4136 gap fill would neutralise the weekend gap
A move back above the 1.4164 lower high breaks the descending lower highs line
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC, core vs ~1.9%, could materially shift this read
21:04 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs intact into weekly close · RSI 32 · price 1.41364
Lower-high/lower-low chain, retesting NY session low.
London broke below the Asian range (1.4171–1.4198) and NY extended the slide to a 1.4134 NY low as softer US yields and firm oil underpinned CAD. The bounce stalled at the 1.4164 bounce high under the 61.8% fib, then price faded through the 1.4145 london low to retest the NY low into the weekly close, with RSI(14) near 32 and not yet oversold.
Support: 1.4134, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4145, 1.41643, 1.41728
What it said to watch
A break of the 1.4134 NY low extends the lower-low chain, with the 1.4100 round number next below
Recovery above the 1.4164 bounce high and the lower-high trendline breaks the descending sequence; 1.4173 lower high caps above that
Reclaim of the 1.4145 london low is the first sign the retest is holding
Weekend IMF headlines carry Monday open gap risk
Canada Sep CPI Mon 12:30 UTC, core vs ~1.9%, could materially shift this read