USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 23 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.40825
Consolidation below range high.
Rally off the 1.4056 session low into the 1.40993 range high faded, and the Asia session is now consolidating tight around 1.4082 on thin volume, price pinned to EMA20. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with no momentum in play; USD/CAD held its 1.4088 area after CAD's soft CPI and the firm dollar bid.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 reopens the 1.40993 range high
Loss of 1.4075 swing low exposes the 1.40564 session low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
23:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.40825
Consolidating below session high after rejection at 1.4099.
USDCAD rallied through the London-NY window to a session high at 1.40993 — capped just under the 1.4100 confluence as the USD held firm on safe-haven and hawkish-Fed flows — then faded. Asia hours have been tight and thin, coiling in a 1.4076–1.4090 range with RSI(14) flat near 49 and no fresh directional push.
Support: 1.4076, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4091 reopens the 1.40993 session-high retest
Break below 1.4076 exposes 1.4056 session low
S&P Global flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
23:32 UTC
Range after intraday rally, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.40829
Consolidation below session high.
USDCAD rallied off the 1.4056 session low to a high near 1.4099 through London-NY, where it was rejected shy of the 1.4100 psych level, then faded into a tight 1.4078–1.4084 range in thin Asia hours. RSI(14) sits mid-band and ATR has compressed to ~3.4 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4099 reopens the 1.4100 psych level
USDCAD is pinned in Asia-session drift, ranging 1.40750–1.40910 after the NY rally to 1.40993 faded; volume has thinned to near-zero into the current bar. RSI(14) neutral near 52 with oil-supported CAD keeping the pair contained inside the wider 1.4060–1.4100 band flagged in context.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4064
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40910 opens the path back to 1.40993 swing high
Failure to hold 1.40750 exposes the 1.40640 swing low
USDCAD rallied through the London-NY hours off the 1.40564 london low to a 1.40993 session high, with rejection there fading the move. Price now consolidates 1.40751-1.40890 into the thin late-NY/Asia handover, oil-supported CAD keeping a lid but no fresh direction.
Support: 1.40751, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4089, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40751 swing low breaks the intraday range floor
reclaim of 1.40993 session high reopens the upside
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD tone
23:02 UTC
Range after NY rally faded · RSI 47 · price 1.40824
Consolidation below session high.
NY session extended to 1.40993 before fading, and price has since rounded over into a 1.40745-1.40913 range through thin Asia hours. USDCAD is pinned near 1.4082 with oil the main CAD driver on a bare domestic calendar; RSI(14) sits mid-range at 47 with no momentum edge.
Support: 1.40745, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40745 opens the path to 1.40564
M15 close above 1.40913 puts the 1.40993 session high back in play
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this range read
23:02 UTC
Pullback into range after intraday top · RSI 48 · price 1.40824
Ranging below 1.40993 high.
USDCAD topped at 1.40993 during London-NY hours then rolled into a tight consolidation around 1.4082 as the Asia session thinned out; RSI(14) sits neutral near 48. Price is pinned in the 1.4060-1.4100 band the CAD digest flags, with rising oil capping upside and a soft-CPI-backed BoC pause underneath.
Support: 1.40755, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 opens the path toward 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.40755 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.40564
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after rejection at 1.40993.
NY session pushed to a 1.40993 high before fading to 1.40750, and price is now consolidating 1.40780–1.40850 through thin Asia hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 with USD/CAD grinding sub-1.4100 as firm oil cushions CAD. Move is currently holding around the 38.2% retrace of the 1.40607–1.40993 rally.
Support: 1.40782, 1.4075, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 reopens the 1.40993 session high
Loss of 1.40750 confirms a lower low toward the 1.40607 session low
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
22:46 UTC
Recovery stalling, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.40843
Consolidation after intraday bounce.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.40564 session low, peaked near 1.40993, and is now pinned in a 1.4075-1.4090 range through quiet Asia hours on thin volume. RSI(14) neutral near 54; price holding just above EMA20/50 with no fresh session direction, capped by soft USD tone and firm oil.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 opens a retest of the 1.40993 session high
Failure to hold 1.40750 exposes the 1.40564 session low
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.40839
Consolidating below session high.
NY session ran USDCAD up to 1.40993 before rolling over; price now consolidating 1.40753–1.4085 into thin post-NY hours on tiny volume. RSI(14) neutral near 52, no setup in play with day high capping and swing low holding.
Support: 1.40753, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40924, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 reopens the upside toward 1.4100
Loss of 1.40753 confirms a lower-low back toward the 1.40607 session low
US flash PMIs (Fri 13:45 UTC) could break this range
22:31 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.40839
Consolidating below session high after NY push.
USDCAD ran to a session high at 1.40993 during NY hours then eased into an Asian-session range between 1.40755 and 1.40930, with volume drying up on the last bars. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 as price hovers just above EMA20/50; oil-driven CAD strength and a softer USD are keeping the pair pinned sub-1.41.
Support: 1.40755, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.4093, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40930 reopens the 1.40993 session high
Failure to hold 1.40755 confirms a lower low into the range
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
22:17 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.40823
Consolidation mid-range after fading the spike high.
USDCAD faded a spike to 1.40993 during NY hours and has coiled between 1.40760 and 1.40913 into the Asia session, now sitting mid-range near 1.4082 with RSI(14) flat around 51. Rising WTI has cushioned CAD, keeping the pair pinned below 1.4100 with no directional impulse.
Support: 1.4076, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 opens the path back to the 1.40993 spike high
Loss of 1.40760 exposes the 1.40607 range low
US flash PMIs (24 Jul 13:45 UTC) could break this range
22:16 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.40823
Intraday range, price mid-range.
NY session rallied off the 1.40564 session low to tag 1.40993, then drifted back to the 1.408 mid-range into the late NY-Asia transition. RSI(14) flat near 47, price coiling between 1.40763 support and the 1.40913 prior high with no directional edge in play.
Support: 1.40763, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 reopens the upside
Break below 1.40763 exposes the 1.40564 session low
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could break this range
22:02 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 44 · price 1.40796
Consolidation mid-range after rally faded.
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4075–1.4091 in thin late-session trade, drifting off the 1.40993 high as the earlier oil-driven CAD bid stalled. Price sits mid-range below short EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 44; no setup in play.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4064, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4091, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40910 reopens the 1.40993 range high
Loss of 1.40750 swing low exposes 1.40640 demand
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could break this range
22:02 UTC
Pullback off NY high, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.40796
Retracing the NY up-leg, ranging late session.
Late-NY into Asia, USDCAD faded the 1.40993 NY high and is consolidating around 1.40800 near the 50% retrace of the earlier up-leg, RSI(14) mid-range at 44. Volume thin into the session close; price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with no fresh CAD driver after in-line retail sales.
Support: 1.40755, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40913
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40755 opens the path back to 1.40607
Reclaim of 1.40913 puts the NY high back in play
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY rally into 1.4100 rejected, consolidating at mid-range.
NY session pushed USDCAD up from the London low near 1.4060 to a session high just shy of 1.4100, where it was rejected; price has since eased back to the 50% retrace around 1.4080 as USD softened against a firmer oil-backed CAD. Now consolidating 1.4075-1.4092 in thin, late-session hours with volume drying up.
Support: 1.40745, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4092 reopens the 1.4099 session high
Loss of 1.40745 exposes the 1.4060 session low
US flash PMIs (Fri 13:45 UTC) could shift this read
21:46 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.40802
Range-bound, mid-range.
USDCAD is consolidating around 1.4080 after the session high at 1.40993 was rejected, price now pinned in a tight 1.4076–1.4089 band on fading Asia-hours volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with price hugging both EMAs — no directional edge in play.
Support: 1.4076, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4089, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40890 reopens the 1.40993 session high
Loss of 1.40760 swing low exposes the 1.40564 session low
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) can break this range once the session reopens
21:31 UTC
Pulled back from session high, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.40787
Range after failed push to 1.4099.
NY session drove USDCAD to a session high near 1.4099 then faded, with oil strength keeping CAD supported. Price now consolidates around 1.4079, sitting just below EMA20 after rejection at the 1.4091 high.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4091
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4075 opens the 1.4060 day low
Reclaim of 1.4085 puts the 1.4091 session high back in play
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
21:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.40787
Consolidating below session high after rally.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.40993 before rejecting, with the pair now consolidating around 1.4078 as oil strength cushions CAD. Price has slipped back below the EMA20 and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47, momentum flat into the close.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40750 opens the path to 1.40564 session low
Reclaim of 1.40913 reopens the 1.40993 session high
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 52 · price 1.40813
Ranging inside intraday band.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in the low-1.4080s through a thin Asia session, holding sub-1.4100 as firmer WTI cushions CAD. Price rejected 1.40910 twice and buyers stepped in around 1.40755; last few bars are near-flat on collapsing volume with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.40755, 1.4064
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40910 opens the path to the 1.40993 spike high
Loss of 1.40755 exposes the 1.40640 range low
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could break this range
21:16 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 52 · price 1.40813
Range-bound between 1.4056 and 1.4099.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4056–1.4099 with the pair grinding sub-1.41 near 1.4081, supported by rate divergence against a softer USD and bid oil. The 1.4099 session high rejected during NY hours and price has since drifted back to mid-range into the Asia handover; RSI(14) flat near 52, no setup in play.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4092, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4099 opens the path back toward the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.4056 range low confirms a lower-low
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
21:03 UTC
Sideways after intraday rally · RSI 55 · price 1.40836
Consolidation below session high.
USDCAD rallied off the 1.4056 session low to tag 1.40993 during the London-NY block, then settled into a tight 1.4075–1.4091 range as the Asia session opened. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 55 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips, reflecting stalled momentum after a soft USD/firm oil backdrop capped the move.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 reopens a test of the 1.40993 session high
Loss of 1.4075 exposes the 1.4056 session low
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could break this range
USDCAD is ranging between 1.40766 and 1.40910 into the late-NY session, holding just above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 54. Price rejected the 1.40993 swing high and is grinding back toward the range top; oil strength keeps CAD supported while a softer USD caps upside.
Support: 1.40766, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40910 reopens the 1.40993 swing high
Loss of 1.40766 shifts the read back toward the 1.40564 session low
US flash PMIs (Fri 13:45 UTC) could break this range
USDCAD is ranging 1.4056–1.4099 through the NY session, with price recovering off the 1.4075 swing low back toward 1.4087; RSI(14) is neutral near 57. A softer USD consolidating near DXY 101.00 and oil-supported CAD are keeping this pinned sub-1.4100 with no clean directional break.
Support: 1.40755, 1.4064, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4092, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40993 session high would break the range top
Failure to hold 1.40755 swing low opens 1.40640 range low
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 55 · price 1.40852
Range after rally stalled below 1.4100.
USDCAD climbed off the London low at 1.40564 through NY, tagging 1.40993 just shy of the 1.4100 round number before fading — oil strength kept CAD firm while a softer USD capped the rally. Into the Asia session price is consolidating between the 1.4075 swing low and the 1.4090s, RSI(14) mid-range near 55.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 opens the 1.4100 round number
Loss of 1.4075 swing low exposes the 1.40564 range low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
20:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 55 · price 1.4087
Range after a lower-high.
USDCAD grinding sub-1.4100 near 1.4087, in line with the soft-USD/firm-oil backdrop that has capped rallies. Price recovered from the 1.4056 session low, faded a push to 1.4099, and is now ranging 1.4075–1.4091 with RSI(14) neutral into the NY close.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4099 session high reopens the upside
Failure to hold 1.4075 swing low exposes 1.4056
Fri S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read
USDCAD drifted higher through the NY session and is now grinding in a tight 1.4075–1.4092 range, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with no extreme. Price holds above both EMAs after buyers stepped in around 1.4075 into the late session; the 1.4099 prior high caps upside.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4065, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40924, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4092 opens the path to 1.4099 prior high
Loss of 1.4075 exposes the 1.4065 swing low
Oil direction and Fri US PMIs (13:45 UTC) are the primary drivers for the next leg
Late NY drifting into Asia, USDCAD recovered off 1.40750 to 1.40857 after fading the 1.40993 session high; oil-supported CAD keeps rallies capped below 1.40920. Price is coiling mid-range, RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4092, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40920 opens 1.40993 session high
Failure to hold 1.40750 swing low exposes 1.40564 prior low
Fri 13:45 UTC US S&P Global PMIs could shift this read
Pullback within intraday advance, holding above 1.4075.
USDCAD ran up through NY hours to a 1.40993 session high as a softer oil bid faded, then pulled back to 1.4075 and is now grinding back toward 1.4086 in thin late-session liquidity. RSI(14) mid-range near 56, no extreme; price holding above the 1.4075 pivot keeps the intraday advance intact.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4092, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 reopens the session-high extension
Loss of 1.4075 confirms a deeper pullback toward the 1.4056 session low
Fri US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read
20:02 UTC
Range after intraday rally · RSI 51 · price 1.40833
Consolidating below session high.
Price rallied through the NY session to test the 1.4099 session high near the 1.4100 round number, then rejected and settled into a 1.4075–1.4090 range. RSI(14) sits neutral around 51 with volume thinning into late session; no setup in play mid-range.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 reopens the 1.4100 round number
Loss of 1.40750 puts the 1.40564 session low back in focus
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves in either direction
NY session recovered from the 1.4056 swing low up to 1.4099, and price is now consolidating in the 1.4075–1.4093 zone with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Oil-supported CAD kept USDCAD sub-1.4100 all session; no directional break in play.
Support: 1.40766, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 opens a retest of the session high extension
Loss of 1.40766 exposes the 1.40564 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs (Fri 13:45 UTC) could shift the USD leg
19:47 UTC
Uptrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.40816
Rally to 1.4099 rejected, ranging in upper zone.
USDCAD rallied through the London-NY overlap to a session high of 1.40993 before sellers capped it, and price has since drifted back to 1.4082 as WTI-supported CAD keeps a lid on the topside. RSI(14) neutral near 49, mid-range between 1.4075 support and 1.4092 resistance with no fresh setup in play.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4070, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4092, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4075 opens the path to the 1.4056 session low
Reclaim of 1.4092 reopens the 1.4099 session high
US S&P Global PMIs (Fri 13:45 UTC) could shift this read
USDCAD pushed to a session high at 1.40993 then rejected, easing back to 1.40816 where it is now consolidating just above EMA20 through the late NY session. Soft USD and firm WTI keep the pair heavy sub-1.4100, but the swing low at 1.40750 has held on the pullback. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40913 swing high reopens the 1.40993 session high
Loss of 1.40750 swing low exposes the 1.40564 session low
US S&P Global PMIs later this week could shift the USD leg
19:32 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.40774
Pullback within 1.4056-1.4099 range.
NY session pushed to a 1.40993 session high before fading through the afternoon on oil-led CAD firmness; price now drifts at 1.4077, mid-range. RSI(14) near 43, ATR compressing to ~5 pips — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40850 reopens the 1.40993 session high
Close below 1.40750 exposes the 1.40564 swing low
Oil / US-Iran headlines the main near-term CAD lever with a light calendar
19:31 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 44 · price 1.40774
Consolidation below session high after pullback.
USDCAD rallied through the NY session to a 1.40993 session high before rejecting and drifting back to 1.40774, with RSI(14) cooling near 43 and price now under EMA20/50. Oil-led CAD bid keeps the pair pinned; consolidating between 1.40750 and 1.40850.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40750 opens the path back toward the 1.40564 session low
Reclaim of 1.40850 range top would put the 1.40993 session high back in play
19:17 UTC
Pullback after fade from session high · RSI 46 · price 1.40786
Consolidating below 1.409, lower highs since peak.
USDCAD rejected the NY session high at 1.40993 and faded to consolidate near 1.4078, RSI(14) neutral around 46. CAD stayed firm on oil strength; pair now sitting on the 1.40750 swing-low cluster.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40886, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40750 opens the path to the 1.40564 session low
Reclaim of 1.40886 needed to retest the 1.40993 session high
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
19:16 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 47 · price 1.40786
Consolidating in upper half of day range.
USDCAD pushed to a 1.40993 session high in the NY session then faded, now consolidating around 1.4078 in the upper half of the day's range with RSI cooling toward neutral. CAD stayed firm on oil strength, keeping rallies capped; price is pinned between the 1.4075 shelf and the 1.4092 minor high.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40924, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4075 opens the path back to the 1.40564 session low
Reclaim of 1.40924 puts the 1.40993 session high back in play
Oil / US-Iran headlines the near-term driver; US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the read
19:02 UTC
Up off lows, pullback underway · RSI 42 · price 1.40758
Rangebound 1.4056–1.4099, fading from session high.
USDCAD ranged 1.4056–1.4099 through London-NY, printing a session high at 1.4099 before fading into late NY. Price is now testing the 61.8% retrace of that rally near 1.4073 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; range top respected on the last leg up.
Support: 1.40728, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40826, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4056 session low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.4099 reopens the 1.4100 range top
Oil / US-Iran headlines are the main CAD driver into Asia
19:02 UTC
Up-leg fading, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.40758
Lower highs off 1.4099 peak.
USDCAD faded off the 1.40993 session high through NY hours and is drifting toward 1.40750, oil-led CAD firmness capping rallies after in-line Canadian retail sales. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; price holding just under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4070, 1.4064
Resistance: 1.4088, 1.4092, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40750 opens the path toward 1.40700 then 1.40640
Reclaim of 1.40880 would negate the lower-high sequence
Oil / US-Iran headlines can shift this read outside the calendar
18:47 UTC
Pullback within intraday uptrend · RSI 44 · price 1.40792
Retracing to 50% of the NY leg after rejection at session high.
NY session drove USDCAD up to a session high of 1.40993 before sellers rejected the level; price has since eased back to the 50% fib of that leg around 1.4078 as WTI-supported CAD firms. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price is sitting just under EMA20/50, momentum flat in late NY hours.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4088, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4075 opens the session low at 1.40564
Reclaim of 1.4088 puts the 1.40993 session high back in play
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could reset the intraday read
18:46 UTC
Pullback after rejection at highs · RSI 46 · price 1.40792
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD climbed through the NY session to reject the 1.40993 session high, then rolled back into a tight 1.4077–1.4082 hold as the oil-led CAD bid capped upside. In-line Canadian retail sales left no fresh impulse; RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s with price now pinned just below EMA20.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40924, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40924 swing high reopens the 1.40993 session high
Loss of 1.40750 swing low exposes the 1.40564 session low
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDCAD rejected the 1.40993 session high and rolled back to sit on the 50% retrace of the 1.40564–1.40993 leg, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is pinning below EMA20/50 through late NY hours, consolidating above 1.40750 after today's mixed Canadian retail sales left the oil-led CAD bid intact.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40696, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40750 confirms a lower low toward 1.40696
Reclaim of 1.40850 reopens the 1.40913/1.40993 session high
Oil / US-Iran headlines can drive the next leg with the calendar quiet
18:31 UTC
Pullback after NY push, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.40782
Faded from session high, ranging near 1.4078.
NY session drove USDCAD to a session high of 1.40993 before sellers rejected it, price now consolidating near 1.4078 as CAD stays firm on the oil bid. Micro-structure has rolled off the high without breaking the 1.4075 pivot.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4075 opens the 1.40564 session low
Reclaim of 1.4091 puts the 1.40993 session high back in play
Oil / US-Iran headlines the main driver with the CAD calendar light
18:17 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.40786
Rally off session low, retracing into fib.
USDCAD rallied from the London low at 1.4056 to a NY session high of 1.4099 as the oil-led CAD bid eased, and is now retracing into the 50% fib near 1.4078 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is holding just above the 1.4075 shelf into late NY hours.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4075 opens a retest of the 1.4056 session low
Reclaim of 1.4090 puts the 1.4099 session high back in play
18:17 UTC
Pullback after NY rejection · RSI 45 · price 1.40786
Rally to 1.4099 rejected, consolidating lower.
NY session pushed to 1.40993 and rejected the 1.4100 psych round number, with oil-led CAD bid capping the move. Price has since pulled back to 1.4078 into late NY, RSI cooled to mid-40s and sits below both short EMAs.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 reopens the 1.4100 psych level
Failure to hold 1.40750 session low exposes 1.40564 swing low
Middle East / oil headlines the main intraday driver with no CAD data queued
18:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.40801
Rejection at session high, mid-range pullback.
USDCAD rallied through the NY session from the 1.40564 session low into a rejection just shy of the 1.41 psych level, printing a 1.40993 session high before fading. Price now sits at 1.40801, roughly the 50% retrace of that leg, drifting back below EMA20/50 into the late-NY hours; CAD stayed firm on oil strength while the ex-autos retail miss failed to move the needle.
Support: 1.40751, 1.40639, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40924, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40924 swing high reopens the 1.41 psych level
Failure to hold 1.40751 swing low exposes 1.40639 prior low
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
18:02 UTC
Range, consolidating mid · RSI 48 · price 1.40801
Recovered off session low, ranging near mid.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.4056 session low to tag 1.4099 in NY, oil-led CAD bid capping the top, then eased back to consolidate around 1.4080. RSI(14) neutral near 48; price pinned between EMA20 and EMA50 with no directional push into the late NY session.
Support: 1.40766, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40924, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4099 opens a retest of the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.4076 exposes the 1.4056 session low
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
17:46 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.40788
Lower highs after rally, retracing.
USDCAD rolled off the 1.40993 session high into late NY and is drifting back toward 1.40750, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. CAD held a firm oil-led bid through the session, capping the pair below 1.40913; price now sits mid-range with no clean setup.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40750 opens the path to session low 1.40564
reclaim of 1.40913 puts the session high 1.40993 back in play
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
17:46 UTC
Range, pulled back from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.40788
Rotation inside intraday range, mid-band.
USDCAD rejected the session high at 1.40993 and faded back to 1.40788, sitting mid-range near the 50% retrace of the prior up leg. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s; price slipped below EMA20/50 as the NY-afternoon bid faded, oil-led CAD strength keeping the pair pinned inside the 1.4075–1.4099 band.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40993, 1.4092
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40750 opens the path to the 1.40564 session low
Reclaim of 1.40920 puts the 1.40993 session high back in play
US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
17:31 UTC
Recovery stalling, pullback in play · RSI 46 · price 1.40789
Rally off session low fading into pullback.
NY afternoon: USDCAD rallied from the 1.40564 session low to reject at 1.40993, then pulled back to ~1.40780, roughly the 50% retrace of that leg. Oil-led CAD strength kept the pair pinned inside its 1.4000-1.4100 range with no clean break in either direction.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4088, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40750 opens the path to 1.40564 session low
Reclaim of 1.40880 puts the 1.40993 session high back in range
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
17:31 UTC
Intraday range, off session high · RSI 47 · price 1.40789
Swing high at 1.4099, pulling back into range mid.
USDCAD ran up to a session high of 1.4099 during NY hours on the oil-led CAD bid, then rejected and faded to 1.4079, sitting back below EMA20/50. Price holds inside the broader 1.4000-1.4100 range with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4059, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4099
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4059 session low opens the path toward the 1.4000 psych floor
Reclaim of 1.4099 session high needed to resume the upside
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
17:17 UTC
Intraday recovery stalling near range top · RSI 44 · price 1.40785
V-recovery off 1.4056, capped at 1.4099, now pulling back.
NY session pushed USDCAD to 1.40993 on an oil-led CAD offset fading, but the level was rejected and price has slipped back to 1.40785 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. The pair remains boxed in the broader 1.4056–1.4099 range that has defined the last 24h.
Support: 1.40763, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40993, 1.40924
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4076 opens the path back to the 1.4056 range low
Reclaim of 1.4092 needed to retest the 1.4099 session high
Fri 13:45 UTC US Flash PMIs could shift this read
17:17 UTC
Up-move stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.40785
Range within 1.4056–1.4099, off the high.
NY session rejected the session high at 1.40993 and faded back to 1.40766, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. USD/CAD stays pinned in its intraday range with dip-buyers active near 1.4076 as firm oil offsets the softer Loonie backdrop.
Support: 1.40763, 1.40645, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40763 opens the swing low at 1.40645
Reclaim of 1.40913 puts the session high 1.40993 back in play
Fri 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs could shift this read
17:03 UTC
Intraday recovery, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.40772
HH-HL rally off session low, now retracing.
USDCAD rallied off the 1.40564 session low through the NY session to 1.40993 before rejecting, CAD supported by firmer oil. Price now retracing to the 1.40757 recent low around the 50% fib of that leg; RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s.
Support: 1.40757, 1.40607, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40924, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40757 opens the 1.40607 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40924 puts the 1.40993 session high back in play
Fri 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs could shift the USD leg
17:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.40772
Retrace off session high after HH/HL rally.
NY session drove USDCAD up from 1.40564 to a session high 1.40993, oil-led CAD bid keeping the pair pinned in its 1.40–1.41 range. Rejection at the high has faded price back to 1.40772, now trading below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling toward the mid-40s.
Support: 1.40696, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40924, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40696 confirms the retrace deepening toward the 1.40564 session low
Reclaim of 1.40924 puts the 1.40993 session high back in play
Oil / US-Iran headlines the main driver into the weekend with no CAD data queued
USDCAD rebounded through the NY session from the 1.4056 low to 1.40993, where it was rejected just shy of the 1.4100 round number, and is now consolidating around 1.4083 at the 38.2% pullback. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 49 as the pair drifts off the highs; oil-led CAD bid capped the advance below 1.4100.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4070 breaks the rising sequence off the session low
Reclaim of 1.40993 opens the 1.4100 round number
Fri 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs could shift this read on the USD leg
16:46 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 48 · price 1.40826
Consolidation below session high after rebound.
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.40564 through the London-NY transition then recovered to a 1.40993 high on the oil-led CAD move fading; late-NY it is drifting back to 1.40826 and consolidating just under EMA20. RSI(14) neutral near 47, ATR ~6 pips — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.40757, 1.4064, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40916, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 reopens the upside path toward the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.40757 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.4064 area
Oil / US-Iran headlines the main near-term driver with a light CAD calendar
16:31 UTC
NY recovery, momentum slowing · RSI 52 · price 1.40852
Higher low off 1.4056, capped below session high 1.40993.
USDCAD clawed back through the NY session from the 1.4056 low to tag 1.40993 before rejecting, with CAD supported by firmer oil. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s and price is now drifting sideways just under the session high, holding above the rising support off the lows.
Support: 1.4078, 1.4065, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 opens the 1.4100 psych level
Failure to hold the 1.40780 rising support negates the recovery leg
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could reset the USD leg
USDCAD rebuilt from the London low near 1.4059 back to a session high at 1.4099 on the oil-led CAD bid fading, then rejected and settled into a tight consolidation around 1.4085. RSI(14) mid-range near 54, momentum has flattened after the push.
Support: 1.4084, 1.4075, 1.4059
Resistance: 1.4099, 1.40924
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4099 opens continuation to fresh session highs
Failure to hold 1.4075 breaks the higher-low chain
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
Bounced off session low, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD recovered through the NY session from the 1.4056 session low to 1.4099, where supply capped the move, then pulled back to the 38.2% fib near 1.4083 as the oil-led CAD bid steadied. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-50s and price is sitting on its EMA20; no fresh setup while it holds inside 1.4075–1.4099.
Support: 1.4080, 1.40754, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40924, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40754 breaks the rising-low sequence off the session low
Reclaim of 1.40924 reopens the 1.4099 session high
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
NY session recovery from the London low near 1.4056 stalled with a rejection at 1.4099, just shy of the 1.4100 psych level, and price has eased back to 1.4084. Oil-supported CAD keeps USDCAD pinned inside the broader 1.4000-1.4100 range, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral.
Support: 1.4076, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 opens the range-top break
Failure to hold 1.4076 swing low exposes 1.4056 session low
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
NY-session USDCAD ground higher off the 1.40564 session low, spiking to 1.40993 before rejection at the round 1.41000, now hovering ~1.4088. CAD's oil-led bid capped the pair earlier but dip-buying near 1.4078 has kept structure constructive; RSI(14) mid-range at 57.
Support: 1.4078, 1.4065, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41000 opens continuation toward next session extension
Loss of 1.40780 recent low signals a lower low and stalls the recovery
Fri 13:45 UTC US PMIs could shift the USD leg of this read
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.40564 low into a 1.40993 spike, rejected just shy of the 1.4100 round number, now easing back to 1.40885. Chain of higher lows intact with CAD capped despite firm oil; RSI(14) cooling near 57 as the push stalls under the figure.
Support: 1.40838, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 opens the 1.4100 round number
Failure to hold 1.40838 breaks the higher-low sequence
NY session extended the grind up from the 1.40564 range low, tagging a session high at 1.40993 and wicking the 1.41000 round number before pulling back to 1.40897. Rejection at the figure with RSI(14) cooling from the low-60s; the rising sequence of higher lows off 1.40564 stays intact, aided by a firm USD and oil-capped CAD.
Support: 1.40785, 1.40696, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40785 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Reclaim and close above 1.40993 opens the 1.41000 round number
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could reset the USD leg
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 58 · price 1.40897
Higher lows off session low, rejection at 1.4100.
NY session ground higher off the 1.4056 session low, tapping the 1.4100 psych level before printing 1.40993 and stalling — a modest oil-led CAD bid faded into the round number. RSI(14) cooling from the highs; price holding above EMA20 with the chain of higher lows intact.
Support: 1.4081, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 opens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Failure to hold 1.40810 breaks the higher-low chain
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
15:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend off day low · RSI 64 · price 1.40924
Higher lows, pressing prior highs.
USDCAD recovered from the day low at 1.40564 through the London-NY session, oil-led CAD bid unable to hold the lows, and price now presses the prior high near 1.40944. RSI(14) elevated near 64, no divergence, as the chain of higher lows stays intact.
Support: 1.40696, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40944, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40944 opens the path to the 1.41000 round level
Loss of 1.40696 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the midday session low at 1.40564, building a chain of higher lows as WTI-led CAD strength faded. Price is now pressing the prior high near 1.40945, RSI(14) firm around 64 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4078, 1.4070, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40945, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40945 opens the path toward the 1.41000 psych level
Loss of the 1.40780 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Fri 13:45 UTC US S&P Global PMIs could shift the USD leg
Higher lows off session low, pressing session high.
USDCAD recovered through the NY session from the London low near 1.40564 to press the session high at 1.40913, WTI-driven CAD bids failing to hold the pair down. Price now consolidating just under 1.40913 with RSI near 60, no fresh momentum extreme.
Support: 1.40807, 1.40696, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 opens the path to the 1.41000 psych cap
Failure to hold 1.40807 reopens the 1.40696 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDCAD carved a NY-session recovery from the 1.40564 session low back up to test the 1.40913 session high, riding a mildly softer USD after strong US jobless claims. Higher lows through the London-NY transition keep the intraday grind intact; RSI(14) near 61, room before extremes.
Support: 1.40696, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 opens the path toward 1.4100
Failure to hold 1.40696 reopens the 1.40564 session low
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
Higher lows into session high after double-bottom base.
USDCAD carved a double bottom at 1.40564 mid-session and NY hours have driven a steady chain of higher lows back toward the session high at 1.40913. Buyers stepped in on rallying WTI and a mildly softer USD, but the 1.4100 psych cap flagged in the digest still overhangs; RSI(14) near 62, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.40757, 1.4064, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 opens the path to the 1.41000 psych cap
Failure to hold 1.40757 reopens the session low at 1.40564
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into NY · RSI 62 · price 1.40875
Higher lows since London low, recovery intact.
USDCAD recovered off the London low at 1.40564 and ground higher through NY, printing higher lows into 1.40875 with WTI's rally the CAD offset in play. Session high 1.40913 is the immediate cap; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.4078, 1.40696, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 opens the path to the 1.40945 day high
Failure to hold 1.40780 breaks the rising-low structure
S&P Global PMIs (Fri 13:45 UTC) could shift the USD leg
NY session lifted off the 1.40696 swing low back toward the session high at 1.40913, RSI mid-60s and price above both EMAs. Rallying oil and a mildly softer USD are underpinning the bounce; the 1.4090–1.4100 area is where the recovery is running into supply.
Support: 1.40696, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 opens the path to the 1.41000 round number
Failure to hold 1.40696 breaks the rising-lows structure back toward 1.40564
Oil headlines remain the primary near-term driver for CAD
14:46 UTC
Recovery, pressing session high · RSI 63 · price 1.40885
V-recovery off session low, higher lows.
USDCAD carved a V-recovery off the 1.40564 session low back to the 1.40913 session high through the London-NY session, with dips bought as rising oil offsets a mildly softer USD. RSI(14) sits mid-60s, hot but not extreme; price stalling into the session high with 1.41000 psych just above.
Support: 1.4078, 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 opens the path to 1.41000 psych
Failure to hold 1.40780 swing low reopens the 1.40564 session low
S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDCAD recovered off the 1.40564 session low through NY hours back to 1.40877, printing a chain of higher lows with price now above EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 61, not stretched; the 1.40913 session high is the immediate cap as the oil-vs-USD tug-of-war keeps the pair boxed.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 opens the path to the 1.41000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.40700 reopens the 1.40564 session low
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ground back up to the session high at 1.40913 after the earlier London dip to 1.40564, with a chain of higher lows into the afternoon as a softer USD and firm oil kept dips bought. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.40785, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40913 opens the 1.41000 psych cap
Loss of 1.40785 breaks the higher-low chain
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD recovered off the 1.40564 session low during NY hours and is now chopping mid-range around 1.4083, capped below the 1.40908 session high. Rangebound read intact per the oil-vs-tariffs tug-of-war; RSI(14) neutral near 54 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.40756, 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path to the 1.4100 psych cap
Failure to hold 1.40756 exposes the 1.40564 session low
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
14:17 UTC
Recovery off lows, choppy · RSI 54 · price 1.40835
Range with higher lows since session low.
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.40564 then ground back to 1.40835, holding a chain of higher lows as rallying oil and a softer USD offset the tariff overhang. Price is mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 54; the 1.40908 session high has capped attempts higher and 1.4100 remains the broader ceiling.
Support: 1.40696, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path to the 1.4100 round number
Failure to hold 1.40696 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.40564
S&P Global US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD recovered from the session low at 1.4056 through NY hours and tagged 1.4091 twice before fading to 1.40772, RSI(14) neutral near 46. A softer USD and firm oil keep dips supported, but the 1.4091 area is capping — pair now consolidating mid-range.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.40944
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4091 reopens the 1.4100 cap
Loss of 1.4070 exposes the 1.4056 session low
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
14:02 UTC
Range-bound, choppy · RSI 48 · price 1.40772
Ranging 1.4056–1.4091, mid-range pullback.
USDCAD chopped through the NY session, bouncing off 1.40564 and reclaiming 1.4090 before fading to 1.4077 as a softer USD and firm oil kept a lid on rallies. Price is mid-range and back below EMA20 after a ~38% retrace of the recovery leg; RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.40696, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40908
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40908 reopens the session high; break of 1.40945 needed to reaffirm upside toward 1.4100
Failure to hold 1.40696 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.40564 range low
WTI/Middle East headlines are the primary intraday driver for CAD
13:47 UTC
Range-bound, no directional bias · RSI 48 · price 1.40766
Ranging inside 1.4070–1.4090 after mid-window dip and recovery.
USD/CAD is ranging within roughly 1.4070–1.4090 through the London-NY overlap, capped sub-1.4100 as the WTI rally keeps a CAD bid in play. The 1.4090 area rejected twice this session before price slid back to 1.4076; RSI(14) sits neutral near 47.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path toward the 1.4100 round number
Loss of 1.4070 session low exposes the 1.40564 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this range read
13:46 UTC
Range-bound, no clear bias · RSI 46 · price 1.40766
Choppy range between 1.4056 and 1.4091.
USD/CAD spent the last 24h chopping between the 1.40564 session low and the 1.40908 session high, with oil-linked CAD demand and a soft dollar keeping it capped. NY afternoon rejected 1.40908 and pulled back to 1.40766, RSI(14) hovering near neutral — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.40696, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.40851
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path back toward 1.4100 confluence
Break of 1.40696 exposes the 1.40564 session low
WTI crude headlines remain the CAD swing driver into the close
Bounce from 1.4056, now ranging near session highs.
USDCAD carved a mid-window low at 1.4056 during the NY session then recovered to stall around the 1.4090 session high, price now hugging the 61.8% retracement near 1.4080. Move fits the softer-USD/firmer-oil tone that has kept the pair capped sub-1.4100; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40898, 1.40945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path to 1.40945 prior high
Failure to hold 1.40708 swing low reopens 1.40564 session low
Oil headlines remain the swing driver capping upside
13:31 UTC
Recovered off session low, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.40797
Range after V-recovery from 1.4056.
USDCAD slid to a session low of 1.4056 mid-window before buyers stepped in during the NY session, lifting price back into a 1.4070–1.4090 range as WTI stays firm. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 with price hugging the EMA20; no clean directional break in play.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.40945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40908 session high reopens 1.40945
Failure to hold 1.40708 swing low targets the 1.4056 session low
Oil/Middle-East headlines remain the near-term swing driver for CAD
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.4056 during NY hours then recovered to hug 1.408, oil-driven CAD strength keeping the pair capped sub-1.4100. Now oscillating 1.4070–1.4090 with RSI(14) neutral near 54; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4094
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 opens the path back to 1.4100
Failure to hold 1.4070 reopens the 1.4056 session low
Oil/Hormuz headlines remain the swing driver for CAD
13:16 UTC
Recovery off session low, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.40831
Based at 1.4056, retraced back to session highs.
NY session recovered off the 1.4056 session low back into the prior range, tagging 1.4090 before easing to 1.40831; RSI(14) mid-range near 53. Price now consolidating 1.4076–1.4090 with USD/CAD capped sub-1.4100 as firm oil supports CAD.
Support: 1.40766, 1.40564, 1.40648
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 opens the 1.4100 psych level
Failure to hold 1.4076 reopens the 1.4056 session low
Oil/Hormuz headlines remain the swing driver for CAD
Higher lows since London low, capped near session high.
NY dragged USDCAD back off the London session low at 1.40564, grinding a chain of higher lows into 1.40908 where sellers rejected twice. Pair now hovering 1.40819 with RSI cooling from the high-50s; move sits inside the well-worn 1.4060-1.4100 range framed by firm oil.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path toward the 1.4100 confluence
Failure to hold 1.40708 reopens the 1.40564 session low
Oil/Hormuz headlines the swing driver for CAD near-term
Higher lows since mid-window bottom, testing session highs.
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.40564 then recovered a full leg back to the 1.40908 session high as WTI's rally eased slightly; price now hovers at 1.40819. Buyers stepped in on the dip to 1.40708, RSI(14) mid-range near 55 with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.40944
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40908 session high opens the path toward 1.40944
Failure to hold 1.40708 exposes the 1.40564 session low
Oil/Hormuz headlines remain the near-term swing driver for CAD
USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.4057 mid-window then recovered through the NY session, now retesting the session high at 1.4091 with RSI(14) around 61. Mixed Canadian retail sales (ex-autos miss) and a softer USD leave the pair grinding within its weekly 1.4060–1.4100 frame.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.40945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path back toward 1.40945 prior high
Loss of the 1.40708 swing low reopens the 1.40564 session low
Oil / Middle-East headlines remain the swing driver for CAD
USDCAD carved out a rounded recovery off the 1.4056 session low, reclaiming 1.4088 through the NY session as WTI-driven CAD support faded into a mildly softer USD. RSI(14) mid-range near 58; price back above EMA20/50 but capped by the 1.40908 session high.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.4095
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path to 1.4095/prior high
Failure to hold 1.4070 swing low reopens the 1.40564 session low
Oil/Hormuz headlines remain the swing driver for CAD
USDCAD recovered off the 1.4056 day low through the London-NY session and is now churning mid-range near 1.4082, RSI(14) flat around 51. Rising lows since 1.4056 hold, but the 1.4090 area has capped every push. Canada retail sales just crossed the wire at 12:30 UTC, driving the recent choppy candles.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.40945
What it said to watch
Break above 1.4090 recent high opens the path back to the 1.4094 day high
Loss of 1.4070 session low reasserts the earlier downleg toward 1.4056
Canada retail sales reaction (12:30 UTC) could dictate the next intraday leg
USDCAD recovered off the 1.40564 session low through NY hours and is pressing the 1.40908 session high, RSI(14) mid-range. Higher lows are building and the pullback to 1.40708 was bought, keeping price pinned to the range top ahead of Canada retail sales.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.40945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path toward the 1.40945 prior high
Failure to hold 1.40708 swing low reopens the 1.40564 session low
Canada retail sales (12:30 UTC) could shift this read
12:17 UTC
Pullback within intraday range · RSI 44 · price 1.40736
Range 1.4056-1.4091, mid-range after rejection.
NY session pushed to 1.40908 then sharply rejected, dragging USDCAD back to 1.40736 — the 50% retrace of the 1.4056-1.4091 rally. Price sits mid-range ahead of Canada Retail Sales, RSI(14) cooling near 44.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.40851
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (imminent) could materially shift this read
Close below 1.40708 opens the range low at 1.40564
Reclaim of 1.40908 breaks the session high
12:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.40736
Range-bound sub-1.4090, testing session low.
USDCAD is boxed 1.4056–1.4094 through the London-NY transition; the bounce off 1.40564 stalled at 1.40874 and price is sliding back toward the 1.40708 session low. RSI(14) sub-45, price under both EMAs — no upside follow-through as the market coils into Canada retail sales.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40874, 1.40945
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the 1.4056–1.4094 range
M15 close below 1.40708 opens 1.40564 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40874 needed to re-test the range top
12:02 UTC
Recovery off session low, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.40797
Ranging after V-shaped bounce.
USD/CAD carved a session low at 1.4056 through the London morning then recovered, now ranging 1.4075–1.4090 with price hugging EMA20. RSI(14) neutral near 52; no directional impulse into Canada retail sales.
Support: 1.40745, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the 1.4075–1.4090 range
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path to 1.4100 psych
Failure to hold 1.40745 reopens the session low at 1.4056
12:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.40797
Range sub-1.4100, holding above session low.
USDCAD bottomed twice near 1.4057 during the London session then recovered to a 1.40908 session high before easing back to 1.4080; oil-driven CAD strength is being offset by a softer USD, keeping price boxed sub-1.4100. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 52 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims both 12:30 UTC (~30m) can break this range
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path to 1.4100
Loss of 1.40564 confirms a lower-low and voids the double-bottom read
Higher lows since the 1.4056 low, grinding back toward range top.
USDCAD carved a rounded bottom at 1.4056 through the NY session and has ground back up in a chain of higher lows, last spiking to 1.40908 before easing to 1.40845 with RSI(14) around 61. Price sits back above EMA20/50 but is capped just under the 1.4090–1.4094 session high, consistent with the range-bound sub-1.4100 tone.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4062, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.40945, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (~45m) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.40908 opens the path to the 1.4094 prior high and 1.4100
Loss of 1.40746 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.40564
USDCAD carved a rounded bottom off the 1.4056 NY-session low and rallied back to 1.4091 before easing to 1.4084. Price is holding above EMA20/50 but still capped below the 1.4100 range top flagged in the CAD read, with Canada retail sales due at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.40767, 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.40945, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Canada retail sales at 12:30 UTC (~45m) could break the sub-1.4100 range
M15 close above 1.40908 opens the path to the 1.4100 range cap
Higher lows off London base, capped at session high.
USD/CAD carved a London low at 1.40564 then recovered to a session high at 1.40874, where it was rejected and has pulled back to 1.40777. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 with price hovering on the EMA20; the recovery chain of higher lows is intact but stalling into the highs.
Support: 1.4072, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40874, 1.40819
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40720 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.40564
Reclaim of 1.40874 session high extends the recovery leg
Canada retail sales and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could reset this range
Range between 1.4056 and 1.4087, higher lows off the base.
USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.4056/1.4057 through the London session and rallied into 1.40874 before stalling; the last two bars pulled back to 1.40777, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Price is holding the upper half of the 1.4056–1.4087 range with oil-driven CAD strength capping upside.
Support: 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40874, 1.40945
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.4056–1.4087 range
M15 close above 1.40874 session high opens the path to 1.40945
Loss of 1.40564 session low confirms a fresh lower low
11:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, pulling back · RSI 61 · price 1.40796
Higher lows off session low, pullback to EMA20.
USDCAD recovered off the session low at 1.40564 in a clean chain of higher lows, tagging 1.40874 before easing back to the EMA20 near 1.40790. Pullback is shallow with RSI(14) cooling from ~67, price holding the recovery leg into Canada Retail Sales and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.40775, 1.40719, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40874, 1.4095
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales + US claims at 12:30 UTC could drive the next leg
Close below 1.40775 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.40874 opens the path back to prior high 1.40950
USDCAD ground higher through the London session off the 1.4056 session low, tagging a swing high at 1.4087 before pulling back to retest 1.4078. Structure is a shallow recovery within the broader 1.4000-1.4100 range; RSI(14) sits mid-band near 51 with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.40775, 1.4065, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40874, 1.40952
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (~1h out) could break this read
Close below 1.40775 reopens the path toward the 1.4056 session low
Close above the 1.40874 swing high resumes the recovery toward 1.40952
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.4056 then ground higher into the London-NY transition, printing HH/HL up to a session high near 1.4087 with RSI mid-60s. Recovery holds above EMA20/50; oil-driven CAD bid stayed limited ahead of dual 12:30 UTC data.
Support: 1.4078, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4087, 1.4094
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims both 12:30 UTC (~1h) can break this read
Close back below 1.4078 breaks the higher-low chain
Sustained break above 1.4087 opens the 1.4094 prior high
Higher lows off session low, reclaiming mid-range.
USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.4056 during the London-NY transition and has climbed back to 1.4087 on the softer USD and steady oil bid. RSI(14) mid-60s with price back above EMA20/50; recovery holding a higher-low chain into Canada retail sales.
Support: 1.4062, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4087, 1.4095
What it said to watch
Canada retail sales at 12:30 UTC (~1.5h) could break the recovery read
Close back below 1.4062 negates the higher-low chain
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, recovering from the 1.40564 session low to 1.40861, with RSI(14) mid-60s and price above EMA20/50. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.40560-1.40590 to build the higher-low chain; 1.40945 prior high is the next area to watch.
Support: 1.4078, 1.4064, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40945, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Canada retail sales at 12:30 UTC (~2h out) could shift this read
Break above 1.40945 opens the path to the 1.41000 round number
Loss of 1.40780 breaks the intraday higher-low structure
Higher lows off session low, pressing session high.
USDCAD bottomed at the session low 1.40564 around 06:00 UTC and has ground higher through London, now retesting the session high near 1.40865 with RSI(14) around 66. Recovery tracks a softer USD and limited follow-through selling ahead of Canada retail sales.
Support: 1.4078, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40865, 1.4092
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.40865 opens the path to 1.40920 prior high
Loss of 1.40780 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada retail sales and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Recovery off session low, minor uptrend · RSI 61 · price 1.40835
Higher lows since 1.40564, testing session high.
USDCAD dug out a session low at 1.40564 and clawed back through London, printing higher lows into 1.4085 where price is now stalling. RSI(14) near 61, ATR ~5 pips; the move fits the soft-USD, oil-supported CAD read keeping the pair pinned sub-1.4100.
Support: 1.4078, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40895
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 opens path to the 1.40895 prior high
Loss of 1.4078 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 1.40564
Canada retail sales & US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (~2h out) could reset this range
Higher lows off session low, grinding into session high.
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.40564 and has stair-stepped higher through NY hours to retest the 1.40850 session high, with a softer USD and firm oil the backdrop. RSI(14) around 62, room before overbought; price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4078, 1.4064, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4090, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~2h) could reshape this intraday read
USDCAD recovered off the 1.40564 session low through London hours, stacking higher lows into 1.40845 with RSI(14) near 64. Price is stalling just under that recent high; the 1.40900 swing high caps above.
Support: 1.4069, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40845, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
M15 close above 1.40845 opens 1.40900
Loss of 1.40690 higher low breaks the recovery chain
London session grinding higher off the 1.40564 session low, reclaiming 1.4080 as USD stays soft and firm oil underpins CAD. RSI(14) mid-60s with price back above EMA20/50; recent higher lows intact as it presses the 1.40845 session high.
Support: 1.40777, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40845, 1.40929
What it said to watch
Break below 1.40777 breaks the rising higher-low chain
Close above 1.40845 opens the path to 1.40929
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.40808
Double bottom ~1.4057, higher highs into London-NY.
USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.4057 through the London session and has since reclaimed 1.4081, RSI(14) firming near 61 as the recovery leg makes higher highs. Move fits the softer USD/firm-oil backdrop keeping the pair pinned below the 1.4100 confluence.
Support: 1.40564, 1.40577, 1.4064
Resistance: 1.40819, 1.4090, 1.41047
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40819 session high extends the recovery toward 1.4090
Loss of 1.40564 negates the double bottom and confirms a lower low
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (~2.5h) is the nearest catalyst and could reset this read
10:02 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 1.40808
Double bottom at 1.4056, higher lows into London afternoon.
USDCAD carved a double bottom at 1.4056 and has ground back to 1.4081, stalling at the 50% retrace of the 1.4104-1.4056 decline as oil strength keeps a lid on the pair. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; price back above both EMAs with the session high at 1.4082 now the immediate cap.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40819, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~3h) is the nearest catalyst and could break this range
Close above 1.4082 opens the path toward the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.4056 confirms a lower low and negates the recovery
09:47 UTC
Recovery off lows, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 1.40787
Higher lows since 1.40564, reclaiming range.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.40564 swing low through the London session, stacking higher lows into the 1.40819 session high; RSI(14) around 61. Bounce tracks a softer USD, with firm oil keeping CAD two-way ahead of Canada retail sales.
Support: 1.4064, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40819, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40819 opens the path to 1.40900
Loss of 1.40640 breaks the higher-low structure and reopens 1.40564
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (~175m) could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through most of the window into a 1.4056 base, then rallied off a double-bottom during the London session to reclaim EMA20/50 and print a session high at 1.4082. Recovery stalling at 1.4082 with RSI near 61; oil strength and a soft USD have underpinned the CAD-side pressure that dragged the pair down earlier.
Support: 1.4064, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40819, 1.4087
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
Reclaim and hold above 1.4082 session high extends the recovery toward 1.4087
Failure to hold 1.4064 exposes the 1.4056 swing low again
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.40564 in the Asia/early-London window then ground back above 1.4080 through the London morning, printing a chain of higher lows as WTI's rally kept the pair defensive rather than one-directional. Price is now testing session recovery highs with RSI(14) around 63, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4072, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40873, 1.4094
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.40873 prior high extends the recovery toward 1.40940 swing high
Loss of 1.40720 swing low re-exposes the 1.40564 session low
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reset this read
09:32 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 64 · price 1.40806
Higher lows off 1.40564, capped below 1.4088.
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.40564 and recovered through the London hours, printing higher lows back to 1.4081 with WTI strength cushioning CAD but keeping the pair pinned below 1.4100. RSI(14) firm near 63, no extreme; supply still capping around the 1.4088 prior swing.
Support: 1.4064, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4088, 1.41047, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4088 opens the path to 1.41000 psych
Loss of 1.40640 reopens the 1.40564 session low
CAD Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:17 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 62 · price 1.4080
Higher lows since 1.4056, capped under 1.4085.
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.4056 then climbed steadily back to 1.408 through the London session, RSI(14) firming near 62 and price reclaiming both short EMAs. Recovery now stalls under the 1.4085 prior range, still capped below the 1.4100 confluence.
Support: 1.4072, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 opens the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.4072 higher low reopens the 1.4056 session low
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 GMT could shift this read
Double bottom off 1.4056, higher lows into London.
USDCAD carved a base at 1.40564 during London hours and recovered to 1.4080 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) firm near 66 without stretching. Both EMAs reclaimed; the 1.4090 prior high and 1.4100 psych confluence cap the upside for now.
Support: 1.40728, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 opens the path to the 1.4100 psych level
Loss of 1.40728 higher low re-exposes the 1.40564 swing low
Canada Retail Sales / US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
V-recovery after 24h downdrift, rising lows into current bar.
USDCAD drifted lower through the Asia-London window to a session low of 1.40564 before buyers stepped in, printing a clean chain of rising lows back to 1.40758. Price now sits at the 38.2% retracement of the 1.41047-1.40564 decline; the 1.40773 swing high is the immediate barrier.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4062
Resistance: 1.40773, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40773 opens the path toward 1.40900
Loss of 1.40564 resumes the intraday lower-low sequence
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
09:03 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 61 · price 1.40758
Double bottom, higher lows building.
USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.4057 through the London morning and has climbed to 1.4076, RSI recovering into the low-60s. The session low held twice and price is now pressing the recent high at 1.40773.
Support: 1.4057
Resistance: 1.40773, 1.4080, 1.4087
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40773 opens the 1.4087 prior range
Loss of 1.4057 negates the double bottom
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD sold to a session low at 1.4056 through early London then recovered off rising lows near 1.4062, pushing back to the 1.4077 session high as oil-supported CAD keeps the pair defensive below the 1.4100 confluence. RSI(14) near 58, price holding above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.4062, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40773, 1.4087, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Break above 1.4077 session high opens 1.4085 prior high then the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.4056 session low resumes the downside
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD recovered off the session low at 1.40564 through the London session, buyers stepping in twice near 1.4057 and reclaiming roughly 40% of the session drop. RSI(14) firming near 60; rally now capped at the session high 1.40773 with price consolidating just under it.
Support: 1.4062, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40773, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40773 opens the path toward the 1.40850 prior range
Failure to hold 1.40620 reopens the session low at 1.40564
Rising support off 1.40564 holds the recovery for now
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold through the London session to a low at 1.4056 before demand stepped in, lifting price back to 1.4077 with oil strength cushioning the Loonie. Pair still trades under the descending highs and remains pinned well below the 1.4100 psych level.
Support: 1.40564, 1.40619
Resistance: 1.40773, 1.40883, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (f/c +1% MoM) could shift this read
Reclaim of the 1.4077 recent high needed to extend the bounce toward 1.4085
USDCAD sold through early London to a session low at 1.40564, with a matching low at 1.40577 forming a double bottom, then recovered ~17 pips to 1.40738. RSI(14) has lifted back to neutral and price reclaimed the EMA20; pair still pinned below the 1.4100 pivot as oil strength caps the dollar.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4065, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40773, 1.4087, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40773 session high extends the bounce
Loss of 1.40650 bounce low reopens the 1.40564 swing low
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
08:17 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.40748
Lower highs into session low, near-term recovery.
USDCAD ground lower through the London-NY window to a session low at 1.40564 before buyers stepped in twice near 1.4057, lifting price back to 1.40748 with RSI recovering off the lows. Pair remains pinned below 1.4100 with rallying oil cushioning CAD, per context; the recovery is a retrace within the broader intraday decline.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4064
Resistance: 1.4087, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.40870 invalidates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.40564 confirms a fresh lower low
08:17 UTC
Downtrend, momentum turning up on bounce · RSI 58 · price 1.40748
Lower highs into 1.4056, base and recovery.
USDCAD ground lower through London to a session low of 1.40564, held twice for a double bottom, and has recovered to 1.40748 with RSI(14) lifting off the lows. Oil strength near $86 has kept the pair defensive below the 1.40870 consolidation shelf.
Support: 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.4087
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40870 invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.40564 confirms a lower low
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Session low double-tapped near 1.4057, recovering.
USD/CAD sold through the session to a low of 1.40564 as WTI strength kept the Loonie bid, then double-tapped ~1.4057 and bounced, RSI(14) recovering into the mid-50s. Price now presses the 1.40733 swing high after reclaiming EMA20; still below EMA50 and inside the broader down leg.
Support: 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40733, 1.4080
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40733 opens the 1.40800 prior range
Loss of 1.40564 confirms a fresh lower low and voids the double-bottom read
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD trended lower through the session, pinned below 1.4100 as WTI strength weighed, bottoming at 1.40564 before a modest bounce toward 1.40733. RSI(14) recovered off the lows near 53 and price reclaimed EMA20, but descending lower highs from 1.41047 still cap the tape.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4062
Resistance: 1.40733, 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (f/c +1%) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.40733 session high opens the path to the 1.40850 prior swing
Failure to hold 1.40564 session low confirms lower-low continuation
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.40703
Lower highs and lower lows, testing session low.
USDCAD ground lower through the London session in a chain of lower highs, printing a session low at 1.40564 before buyers stepped in twice near 1.40590; WTI strength keeps the Loonie firm. Price has recovered to 1.40703 with RSI back near neutral, sitting just above EMA20 but capped below EMA50.
Support: 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4079
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Close below 1.40564 confirms a fresh lower low
Recovery above 1.40790 shelf negates the downtrend structure
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.40703
Lower highs into session low, recovery underway.
USDCAD drifted lower through the Asia-London session to a low of 1.40564, then found a double bottom near 1.4057 and recovered to 1.40703, back above EMA20. Higher WTI is cushioning CAD, keeping the pair defensive below the 1.4074-1.4088 supply band.
Support: 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40745, 1.40877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40745 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.40564 confirms a fresh lower-low
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia-London window, easing off 1.4105 toward a 1.40564 session low as firmer oil supported CAD. Price is basing between 1.40564 and the 1.40697 swing high with RSI(14) near 45 — no clear direction inside the range.
Support: 1.40564, 1.40613
Resistance: 1.40697, 1.4079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40564 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.40697 swing high challenges the descending resistance
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the window to a 1.40564 session low on firmer WTI and a softer USD, where buyers stepped in twice to form a small double bottom. Price has recovered to 1.40662 but remains capped below the 1.4070 lower-high chain, RSI back to mid-range.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4070
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40700 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.40564 opens the 1.4050 round number
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, extending lows · RSI 41 · price 1.4059
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCAD ground lower through London hours, printing a session low at 1.4056 as a softer USD and firm crude weighed on the pair. Bounces have been capped along a descending line of lower highs; price sits mid-range with RSI(14) near 40, no oversold extreme.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4066
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4066 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.4056 session low opens the path toward the 1.4000 psych level
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground steadily lower through the Asia-into-London window, printing a fresh session low at 1.40564 before stalling at 1.4059, RSI(14) near 39 and not yet extreme. Price holds below EMA20/50 with sellers capping each bounce below 1.4070; the sub-1.4100 consolidation the CAD digest flagged is resolving lower.
Support: 1.40564, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40697, 1.4076, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.40697 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40564 confirms continuation to the next swing low
USDCAD ground lower through the London-NY handover, printing a session low at 1.40564 before a modest bounce back to 1.40661 with RSI(14) recovering off the low 40s. Descending highs since the 1.41047 peak keep the intraday structure heavy; 1.40693 caps the current bounce, tariff/oil crosscurrents keeping moves two-sided.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.40693, 1.4079
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40693 breaks the descending-highs sequence
Failure to hold 1.40564 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.4050
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session into London open, printing a low at 1.40564 before a shallow bounce to 1.40661; the sub-1.4100 pivot stayed intact all window. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, consolidating just under the 1.40697 swing high.
Support: 1.40564, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40697, 1.40863
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40697 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40564 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, minor bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.4064
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCAD ground lower through the Asian and early London hours, printing a fresh session low at 1.4056 before a shallow bounce to 1.4064; price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43. Descending swing highs keep the tape offered under 1.4070, with the 1.4085 pivot capping.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.4056 confirms continuation toward 1.4000
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, holding lows · RSI 44 · price 1.4064
Lower highs and lower lows, bounce off session low.
USDCAD grinding lower through the session in a descending channel, printing a fresh low at 1.4056 before a modest bounce to 1.4064. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 1.4085 pivot caps and CAD stays firm on higher crude.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 pivot invalidates the lower-high channel read
Loss of 1.4056 session low confirms downtrend continuation
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:32 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 38 · price 1.40621
Lower highs and lower lows.
Steady M15 downtrend through the window, price grinding from 1.41047 to a fresh session low at 1.40564 before a shallow bounce to 1.40621. RSI(14) near 38, no oversold extreme; lower-high sequence still intact into the London session.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.40694, 1.4074
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40694 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40564 opens 1.40500 psych
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD grinding lower through the London session, printing a fresh session low at 1.40564 before a shallow bounce to 1.40621; softer USD and firm WTI keeping the Loonie supported. Chain of lower highs intact, RSI(14) near 36 with no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.40697
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40697 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40564 opens the path toward the 1.40500 psych level
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through Asia and into early London, printing a fresh session low at 1.40564 on the sharp 05:40 UTC drop as the softer USD and firm WTI weighed on the pair. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 33 — extended but not yet at the sub-20 extreme.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4065
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40650 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.40564 opens the path to the 1.4050 round number
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Steady grind lower off the 1.4104 top, with price breaking the 1.40620 base into late Asia hours to print a fresh session low at 1.40564 — consistent with the softer USD and firm oil digest. RSI(14) sits in the low 30s, extended but not yet sub-20.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4070
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.40700 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.40564 opens 1.40500 psych level
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD has ground steadily lower through the Asian/early-London window into 1.40607, with a soft USD and firm WTI keeping the Loonie bid. Price is basing just above the swing low, printing a second low near 1.40607 as RSI(14) sits mid-40s; sellers still cap rallies below 1.40697.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.40697
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40560 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.40697 would break the descending lower-high line
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the NY-Asia handover into early London, printing a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows down to 1.40607, with USD easing and firm WTI weighing on the pair. RSI(14) at ~42 is soft but not stretched; the 1.40697 swing high caps the last bounce.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40697, 1.4074
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40600 opens the path toward the 1.4000 area
Recovery above 1.40740 breaks the lower-high sequence
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the NY-into-Asia hours, printing a fresh low at 1.40607 before a shallow bounce to 1.40697 as firm WTI keeps a bid under CAD. RSI(14) near 41 is off the lows but no reversal signal; price still capped by the descending highs.
Support: 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40697
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40607 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.40697 bounce high needed to challenge the descending highs
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session and into Asia, breaking below 1.4074 to set session lows at 1.4060 as a mildly softer USD and firm WTI weighed on the pair. RSI(14) near 42, holding a shallow bounce back to 1.4066 after the low; lower-high chain still intact under 1.4070.
Support: 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.4074
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4074 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.4060 session low extends the downtrend
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, bouncing off session low.
USDCAD ground lower through late NY and the Asian session, printing successive lower lows into 1.40607 before a shallow bounce to 1.40684 at the London handover. RSI(14) near 41 with price still under EMA20/50; the descending sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40697, 1.40757
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40757 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.40607 confirms continuation lower
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs / lower lows, bouncing off session low.
USDCAD ground lower through NY into the Asian session, printing a steady sequence of lower highs and lower lows down to 1.40607 before a shallow bounce to 1.40684. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43; the descending channel is still intact.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4074
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40740 breaks the lower-high chain and challenges the descending channel
Failure to hold 1.40607 confirms fresh lower-low toward the 1.4000 psych area
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session, extending the pullback from 1.4085 as the USD softened and WTI held firm; RSI(14) around 43 off its lows. Price is now basing between 1.40607 and 1.40694 after the down-leg, no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40694, 1.40792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40607 confirms a fresh lower low
Close above 1.40694 challenges the descending resistance
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session, sliding from 1.4085 to a session low at 1.40607 as a softer USD and firm WTI weighed on the pair. Price is now consolidating tightly between 1.4061 and 1.4066, ATR compressed near 5 pips, with sellers still capping at the 1.40694 swing.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40694, 1.40757, 1.40852
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40607 confirms a lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 1.40694 breaks the descending sequence
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 1.40607 as the softer USD tone weighed; the pair sits mid-range of the descending channel. RSI(14) near 38, not yet oversold, with the drop stalling just above 1.40607.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.40692
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40692 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.40607 opens the path to 1.40500
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
USDCAD ground lower through the Asian session, printing a chain of lower highs and lows down to 1.40607 before stalling. Price now coils just above the session low around 1.40641, RSI(14) subdued near 40 but not oversold; the softer USD and firm WTI cited in the CAD read keep the pressure on the downside.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.40692
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40692 breaks the descending sequence
Failure to hold 1.40607 confirms a fresh lower-low
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reset this range
Late-session grind lower — USD/CAD printing successive lower lows and now pinned at the session low 1.40607 as a softer USD and firm oil weigh on the pair. RSI(14) sub-35 but not extreme; descending highs keep capping rebounds toward the 1.40692 minor high.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.40692
What it said to watch
Break and hold below 1.40607 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.40500 round num
Reclaim of 1.40692 minor high needed to ease downside pressure
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 1.40607 in a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows below the 1.4085 pivot flagged in the CAD read. RSI(14) near 36, soft but not oversold; move remains orderly rather than capitulatory.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.40694, 1.40757
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40694 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40607 confirms continuation lower
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (f/c +1%) could reset this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asian session, printing a fresh session low at 1.40607 as the softer USD and firmer WTI weighed on the pair. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 35 — soft but not yet stretched; sellers capped every bounce under 1.40694.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40694
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40694 breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the downtrend read
Loss of 1.40607 opens the path toward the 1.4000 psych floor
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.40623
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCAD grinding lower through the Asian session, printing a fresh window low at 1.40607 with price below both EMAs and RSI(14) near 34. Sellers stepped in repeatedly on bounces toward 1.40690; softer USD and firm oil keep the drift heavy, no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40692
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40692 would break the run of lower highs
Loss of 1.40607 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.40500
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 1.40616
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCAD ground steadily lower through the NY-into-Asia window, printing a fresh session low at 1.40607 as firmer oil kept the Loonie bid. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37 — sub-30 not yet reached, so the sell-side grind is intact without exhaustion.
Support: 1.40607
Resistance: 1.40694
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40694 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.40607 confirms continuation lower
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.40616
Chain of lower highs and lower lows.
USD/CAD ground steadily lower through the Asian session, printing a fresh low at 1.40607 with RSI(14) near 32 — soft but not yet stretched. Lower highs stack from 1.40876 as the pair drifts under prior consolidation; WTI strength and Monday's soft Canadian CPI frame the two-sided backdrop.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.40694, 1.40876
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40694 breaks the lower-high sequence and neutralises the slide
Failure to hold 1.40607 extends the down-leg toward 1.40500
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.40642
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCAD ground steadily lower through the Asian session, printing a fresh session low at 1.40623 with price pinned below EMA20/50 — consistent with a mildly softer USD and firm oil supporting CAD. RSI(14) near 33, sub-1.4070 keeps the lower-high/lower-low chain intact.
Support: 1.40623, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.40694
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40694 swing high would stall the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.40623 session low extends the downtrend toward 1.4050 psych
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground steadily lower through Asia hours, a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows from 1.4089 down to a 1.40623 session low, price pinned below EMA20/50. Move fits the softer-USD read with WTI firm; RSI(14) near 36, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.40623, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4069, 1.4079, 1.40893
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40690 micro high needed to stall the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40623 session low opens the 1.40600 round number
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.40628
Chain of lower highs and lower lows.
USDCAD ground lower through the Asian session, breaking the 1.40870 shelf and printing fresh lows at 1.40623 with RSI(14) around 31. The slide snapped a two-day advance as firmer WTI and a softer USD weighed on the pair; price sits below both EMAs with no bounce yet.
Support: 1.40623, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4087
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40870 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.40600 opens the path toward the 1.4000 psych floor
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground to a fresh session low at 1.40623 through Asia hours, extending a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows after breaking the 1.4085 consolidation. RSI(14) near 30 flags short-term stretch, with firm WTI and softer USD keeping the Loonie bid.
Support: 1.40623, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40694
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40623 opens the path toward the 1.4000 psych floor
Reclaim of 1.40694 needed to stall the lower-low sequence
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through quiet Asia hours, breaking to a fresh session low at 1.40638 with RSI(14) near 31. The move extends the digest's read of a softer USD and firm oil pressuring the pair; sequence of lower highs stays intact below 1.40790.
Support: 1.40638, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4079
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40790 breaks the lower-high sequence
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.40638 opens the path toward the 1.40500 round level
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, at session low · RSI 31 · price 1.40642
Lower highs, lower lows into Asia.
USDCAD ground to a fresh session low at 1.40638 through the Asian session, extending the downleg as a softer USD and firm oil support the Loonie. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 31 — pressured but not yet extreme, capped on bounces by the 1.40740 minor high.
Support: 1.40638, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4074
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.40638 opens the path toward 1.4050
Reclaim of 1.40740 would ease the lower-low sequence
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the key CAD catalyst that could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session, breaking the 1.4085 consolidation and printing a fresh session low at 1.40638 with RSI(14) near 33 — soft but not yet oversold. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50; firm oil is keeping the Loonie bid even as the broader USD holds up.
Support: 1.40638
Resistance: 1.4079
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40790 would stall the lower-low sequence
Loss of 1.40638 extends the downtrend toward the 1.4060 area
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (f/c +1%) could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asian session on thin volume, breaking the 1.4079 swing low to print a session low at 1.40638; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 33. The move fits the softer-USD, firm-oil read but is still shallow — ATR only ~4 pips per bar.
Support: 1.40638, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4079
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4079 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.40638 opens the path toward 1.4060
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows into Asia · RSI 25 · price 1.40646
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session, breaking the 1.4085 consolidation and printing fresh lows at 1.40638, with RSI(14) down near 25. Chain of lower highs and lower lows intact; oil-driven CAD support cited in the digest keeping USD/CAD capped below the 1.4100 confluence.
Support: 1.40638, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.40876, 1.41047
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40790 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.40638 opens the 1.40600 psych level
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (f/c +1.0%) could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asian session, breaking prior support near 1.4074 and printing fresh lows at 1.40638, RSI(14) around 33. Move is oil-led with WTI firm; price never reclaimed the 1.4088 swing high and momentum stays with sellers into thin late-session flow.
Support: 1.40638, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4074, 1.4088
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4074 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.40638 opens the path toward the 1.4000 psych level
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst that could shift this read
USDCAD ground to fresh session lows at 1.40684 in thin Asia trade, extending the downtrend as firm WTI keeps the loonie cushioned and price stays capped below the 1.40850 consolidation. RSI(14) near 30 and volume drained on the final bars; the leg lower has slowed but the 1.40790 prior swing now caps.
Support: 1.40684, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40850 consolidation would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.40684 opens the 1.40650 psych level
Asia session ground USDCAD to fresh session lows near 1.40684, extending a clean sequence of lower highs and lows; USD stayed broadly firm on safe-haven flows while the loonie leaned on strong oil. Price sits pinned at the lows with RSI cooling toward oversold and no reclaim of 1.40790 yet.
Support: 1.40684
Resistance: 1.40745, 1.4079
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.40684 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.40790 would neutralize the intraday downtrend
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground steadily lower through the Asia session, breaking the 1.40880 range floor and printing fresh lows at 1.40716 as oil strength and a softer USD weighed. RSI(14) near 33, not yet oversold; price is pinned at session lows with no reaction bounce yet.
Support: 1.40716, 1.4070, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.4088
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40790 would ease the lower-high, lower-low sequence
Sustained trade below 1.40700 psych extends the downtrend toward 1.40650
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) is the next scheduled catalyst for this pair
Asia session ground USDCAD lower into a fresh session low at 1.40717 after price broke below the 1.40790 shelf, RSI(14) cooling toward 30. Sellers kept a clean chain of lower highs off 1.40893; no rebound established yet.
Support: 1.40716, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.4088
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40790 breaks the lower-high chain
Reclaim of 1.40880 session high neutralises the downtrend read
Canada Retail Sales / US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
Asia session ground USDCAD to a fresh session low at 1.40721, extending the M15 downtrend with a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) is deep near 18 — oversold after the recent run of losses — with WTI strength keeping the Loonie supported and capping any bounce.
Support: 1.40721, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4079
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40790 breaks the lower-high chain
Break below 1.40721 opens the 1.4070 psych level
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session ground USD/CAD to a fresh low at 1.40721, extending the slide off the 1.4085 shelf as firm oil kept the Loonie bid. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 33 — soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.40721, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4079 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.40721 opens the 1.4070 round number
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session, breaking the prior 1.40790 base to print a fresh session low at 1.40721 as USD demand eased on Iran-diplomacy hopes and firm WTI kept CAD supported. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36, momentum soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.40721, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.40792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40792 would neutralise the lower-low structure
Loss of 1.40700 psych extends the downtrend
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Asia session drifting lower, USD/CAD printed a fresh session low at 1.40721 with price pinned below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) soft near 37. Descending highs since the 1.40893 peak keep the grind intact; firm oil is capping downside momentum but no bounce has held.
Support: 1.40721, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.40893
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40721 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.40790 needed to break the descending-high chain
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, lower lows · RSI 35 · price 1.40742
Chain of lower highs and lower lows.
USDCAD ground lower through the NY-into-Asia handover, breaking beneath 1.40800 and printing a fresh session low at 1.40721 with RSI(14) near 35 — consistent with the soft June CAD CPI and firm oil capping USD upside. Price is stalling just above the low, still below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.40721, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.4087
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40790 unwinds the fresh breakdown
Reclaim of 1.40870 negates the lower-high chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
01:46 UTC
Downtrend, steady grind · RSI 35 · price 1.40742
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCAD ground lower through the Asian session after failing to reclaim 1.4100, printing a fresh session low at 1.40721 with a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) sits mid-30s — soft but not oversold — and sellers are pressing the 1.4075 area into the current bar.
Support: 1.40721, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4088, 1.4095
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40880 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40721 opens the 1.40700 psych level
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 1.40745
Lower highs and lower lows through Asia.
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session, breaking the 1.4080 shelf to print a fresh session low at 1.40741 with USD demand easing on Iran-diplomacy hopes. Price sits on that low with RSI(14) near 37, tracking below EMA20/50; no bounce follow-through yet.
Support: 1.40741, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.40877
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40877 lower high would break the descending sequence
Loss of 1.40741 opens the 1.4070 psych area
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Asia session grinding lower, USDCAD printing a fresh session low at 1.40745 after breaking below 1.40790, with RSI(14) near 37 but not yet stretched. Price is pinned under the 1.4100/200-SMA pivot noted in the CAD read; no downside acceleration yet, just a steady chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.40745, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.4087, 1.4095
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40790 prior low would neutralise the lower-low read
Loss of 1.40745 session low extends the decline toward the 1.4070 round number
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c +1.0% MoM) is the next catalyst
USDCAD drifted lower through the Asia session, sliding off the 1.4100 pivot and breaking the 1.4086 consolidation base to print fresh session lows at 1.40745. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s but not yet extreme; the pair leans soft as USD demand eased on Iran diplomacy hopes and firm oil supports CAD.
Support: 1.40745, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4088, 1.4093, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40880 prior base would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of 1.40745 session low confirms continuation lower
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD drifted lower through the session, breaking the 1.4082 consolidation floor to print a fresh low at 1.40745, RSI(14) near 37. Price sits below EMA20/50 with sellers pressing; CAD cushioned by firm oil into Asia hours.
Support: 1.40745, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4088
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4088 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40745 opens the 1.4070 round number
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, low momentum · RSI 36 · price 1.40766
Lower highs, grinding to session lows.
Thin Asia-session drift lower, price pressing the 1.40761 session low with RSI(14) near 36. Lower highs cap the pair, USD/CAD boxed under 1.4090 as the market waits on Canada retail sales; no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.40761
Resistance: 1.40895, 1.40929
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40761 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40895 negates the lower-high sequence
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could break this range
Asia session drifting lower with USD firm on the safe-haven bid; price is pressing session lows near 1.40760 after a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) mid-30s, soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.40761, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4089
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40760 opens the path to 1.40700
Reclaim of 1.40890 breaks the lower-high sequence
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst for this pair
00:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat into Asia · RSI 43 · price 1.40827
Consolidating above session low.
USDCAD drifted off 1.4108 through London/NY to a session low of 1.40761, then stalled and is coiling 1.4082-1.4089 in thin Asian trade. RSI sits mid-40s and ATR has collapsed to ~5 pips as the pair holds just under the 1.4100 pivot flagged in the macro read.
Support: 1.40761, 1.4080
Resistance: 1.4089, 1.41008
What it said to watch
Break below 1.40761 opens lower continuation
Reclaim of 1.40890 needed to challenge the 1.4100 pivot
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break this range
Lower highs into Asian consolidation near session low.
USDCAD drifted lower through London-NY from 1.4108 to a session low at 1.40761, then consolidated in a tight 1.4082-1.4090 range as Asian-hours volume thinned. Price sits at the range floor with RSI(14) mid-40s; digest reads the pair pinned near the 1.4100 pivot with WTI cushioning the Loonie.
Support: 1.40761, 1.4080
Resistance: 1.40895, 1.4094, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40761 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40895 range top negates the downside drift
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
00:32 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.40847
Consolidating near session lows after a drift lower.
USDCAD drifted lower through the session, tagging a 1.40761 session low before flattening around 1.40850 in thin Asia-hours trade. Volatility has collapsed — ATR barely 4 pips — with price pinned below EMA20 and RSI stalled near 43, no impulse either way.
Support: 1.40761, 1.4078
Resistance: 1.40945
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40761 confirms a lower-low and extends the drift
M15 close back above 1.40945 negates the near-term downdrift
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could break this compression
00:32 UTC
Downtrend faded into consolidation · RSI 46 · price 1.40847
Range-bound in Asia after NY drift lower.
Price bled from 1.4108 through London-NY down to a 1.4076 session low, then stalled — USDCAD pinned at the 1.4100 pivot with WTI near $86 cushioning CAD. Asia session is quiet and coiling around 1.4085, RSI(14) neutral near 46, no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4076, 1.4080
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 puts the 1.4100 psych level back in range
Break of 1.4076 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
00:16 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.40858
Consolidation near session lows.
USDCAD leaked lower through London-NY before stalling; Asia hours have gone dead quiet, coiling in a 1.4076–1.4094 band around 1.4086. RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR compressed — no momentum, price pinned below the recent bounce high as the 1.4100 hurdle keeps a lid on rebounds.
Support: 1.4078, 1.40761
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4094, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4076 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.4094 needed to reopen the 1.4100 area
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could break this range
00:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.40858
Consolidation above session low.
USDCAD drifted lower through the window from 1.4106, carving a floor at 1.40761 before coiling in a tight 1.4080-1.4094 band into Asia hours. Volatility has collapsed with RSI(14) neutral near 46; no directional resolution yet, consistent with the pair pinned at the 1.4100 hurdle noted in the macro read.
Support: 1.40803, 1.40761
Resistance: 1.4094, 1.4101
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40761 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.40940 reopens the 1.41010 pivot
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could break this range
00:02 UTC
Downtrend faded to flat · RSI 44 · price 1.40851
Consolidating above session low.
USDCAD drifted off 1.4105 through the NY session to a low of 1.40761, then stalled — now coiling in a tight 1.4085 band in thin Asian trade with RSI(14) flat near 44. Pair pinned below the 1.41 handle, consistent with the digest's 1.4100 pivot; no follow-through either way.
Support: 1.40761, 1.40803
Resistance: 1.40929, 1.41077, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40929 swing high would break the flat consolidation higher
Loss of 1.40761 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) is the next catalyst to break the 1.4085 range
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.40851
Consolidating near session lows.
USDCAD drifted lower through London-NY into a quiet Asia session, printing lower highs and now consolidating around 1.4085 just above the 1.4079 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with ATR compressing to ~11 pips; the 1.4100 pivot cited on higher TFs still caps overhead.
Support: 1.4079, 1.40761
Resistance: 1.40945, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40761 swing low confirms downside continuation
Reclaim of 1.40945 session high needed to challenge the 1.4100 pivot
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could break this range