USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 18 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Sideways after Friday's whipsaw · RSI 53 · price 0.82424
Sunday-open range 0.8233–0.8252 inside Friday NY range.
Friday's NY flush to 0.8218 briefly breached the 0.8227 double-top neckline, then reversed into a rally to the 0.8260 friday high. Price has held around the 38.2% retrace of that friday ny swing since. The early Asia session open is range-bound between the 0.8233 sunday low and 0.8252 sunday high, with price pinned at EMA20, RSI neutral near 53 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 0.82331, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.82523, 0.82596
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8233 sunday low exposes the 0.8218 friday low and the neckline area
Close above the 0.8252 sunday high reopens the 0.8260 friday high
Failure to hold 0.8218 turns Friday's false break into a confirmed lower low
Hormuz/Iran headlines into the Asia and London open could expand ranges well beyond ATR
23:31 UTC
Two-way chop, mid-range after Sunday open spike · RSI 55 · price 0.82448
Range 0.8233–0.8252 inside Friday's 0.8218–0.8260 NY range.
The Sunday open spiked to 0.8252 (sunday high) on the Hormuz haven bid, then faded to 0.8233 (sunday low), near the 61.8% of Friday's NY swing fib, and now sits mid-range at 0.8245. Friday's dip to 0.8218 (friday low) was a false break of the 0.8227 neckline, reversed into a 0.8260 friday high.
Support: 0.82331, 0.8227, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.82523, 0.82596
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8233 sunday low (61.8% NY swing fib) exposes the 0.8227 neckline and 0.8218 friday low
Close above the 0.8252 sunday high reopens the 0.8260 friday high
Hormuz/Iran headlines into the Asia session and London open are the main swing factor; thin early-Asia liquidity exaggerates moves
Monday open range 0.8233–0.8252 inside Friday's 0.8218–0.8260 NY swing.
Friday NY briefly pierced the 0.8227 neckline to a 0.8218 friday low and was reclaimed, rallying to a 0.8260 ny high. The Monday open swung on Hormuz headlines, from a 0.8252 open high to a 0.8233 open low that held near the 61.8% of that NY rally fib. Price is now pinned around 0.8244 on flat EMAs, with lower highs still in place.
Support: 0.8233, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.8252, 0.8260
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8260 ny high breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 0.8233 open low exposes the 0.8218 friday low and the 0.8227 neckline
Escalation in Hormuz/Iran headlines during the Asia session could materially shift this read
US housing data Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC is the next scheduled risk
23:03 UTC
Range after Friday rebound, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 0.82437
Early Asia range 0.8233–0.8252 inside Friday's 0.8218–0.8260 swing.
Friday's dip below the 0.8227 neckline to the friday low at 0.8218 failed and price rebounded to the friday high at 0.8260 before fading into the close. The Asia session open spiked to an open high at 0.8252 on weekend Hormuz headlines, met rejection, and dropped to an asia low at 0.8233, holding near the fib 61.8 of Friday's rebound.
Support: 0.8233, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.8252, 0.8260
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8233 asia low breaks the fib 61.8 hold and re-exposes the friday low at 0.8218
Close above the 0.8252 open high opens the friday high at 0.8260
Escalation in Hormuz/Iran headlines through the Asia session could materially shift this read
22:46 UTC
Sideways after Friday's sell-off, early-week chop · RSI 46 · price 0.82395
Lower highs 0.8260→0.8252 against a higher low at 0.8233; range contracting.
The Sunday Asia open spiked to the 0.8252 sunday high and was rejected back to 0.8233 as Hormuz headlines revived haven demand for CHF. That sunday low sits on the 61.8% retracement of Friday's NY rebound from 0.8218 to the 0.8260 ny high. Price is pinned near 0.8240, just under both EMAs, with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 0.82331, 0.8227, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.82523, 0.82596
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8233 sunday low exposes the 0.8227 neckline and the 0.8218 friday low
Acceptance above the 0.8252 sunday high reopens the 0.8260 ny high and breaks the lower-high sequence
Hormuz/Iran headlines through Asia and into London open are the main swing factor; no scheduled data in the next 8h
Lower highs under 0.8260 after Friday's false break below the neckline.
Thin weekly-open trade saw a pop to the 0.8252 open high rejected. Price slipped to 0.8233, testing the 61.8% fib of Friday's NY rebound from the 0.8218 Friday low. Friday's dip through the 0.8227 neckline was a false break, but lower highs since the 0.8260 Friday NY high keep price below both EMAs, with US yields and risk sentiment the drivers per the CHF digest.
Support: 0.82339, 0.8227, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.82523, 0.82596
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8233 (61.8% fib) exposes the 0.8227 neckline and the 0.8218 Friday low
Recovery above the 0.8252 open high breaks the lower-highs line and puts the 0.8260 Friday NY high back in play
Weekend IMF headlines and Asia session yield moves could shift this read while open liquidity is thin
Lower highs from 0.8260; holding above the 0.8218 NY low.
London broke below Friday's Asian range on the CHF bid from softer US yields and risk aversion. The NY session pushed through the 0.8227 neckline to a 0.8218 NY low, then rebounded to 0.8260, the NY high. The Sunday open pop to the 0.8252 sunday high was rejected, putting price back at the 0.8236 fri close, about 50% of the NY rebound, with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.8236, 0.8227, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.8252, 0.8260, 0.8282
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 fri close exposes the 0.8227 neckline and the 0.8218 NY low
A break under the 0.8218 NY low on a closing basis confirms a lower-low and the neckline break
Close above the 0.8252 sunday high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8260 NY high back in play
Weekend IMF headlines and unscheduled Fed commentary could move price in thin early-Asia liquidity; 0.8282 asian high caps the window
22:02 UTC
Downside drift from Friday NY high, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 0.82374
Lower highs since 0.8260; testing Friday late low inside a 0.8218–0.8260 range.
Early Asia session: the Sunday reopen ran to an open high at 0.8252 and was rejected back to Friday's late low near 0.8237. Price sits between the 50% and 61.8% retracement of Friday's NY rally from the 0.8218 NY low to the 0.8260 NY high, with lower highs intact. CHF's safe-haven bid from this week's yield pullback still frames the tape.
Support: 0.82365, 0.82234, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.82523, 0.82596
What it said to watch
M15 close below the fri late low at 0.8237 exposes the london low at 0.8223 and the 0.8227 neckline flagged in the CHF digest
Loss of the 0.8218 NY low breaks Friday's range to the downside
Reclaim of the 0.8252 open high, then the 0.8260 NY high, breaks the lower-highs sequence
Thin early-Asia liquidity and weekend IMF headlines can distort the opening moves
Higher lows from 0.8218 NY low, Friday range top cleared.
Friday's yield-driven CHF bid broke the 0.8262–0.8282 Asian range in London and briefly pierced the 0.8227 neckline. The NY low at 0.8218 failed to hold as a break, and the pair rebounded to 0.8260 before settling into a 0.8236–0.8246 range into the close. The Sunday open lifted price above that range top to a 0.8252 Sunday high on thin liquidity, with RSI(14) near 61 and ATR(14) about 4 pips.
Support: 0.8246, 0.8236, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.8252, 0.8260, 0.8282
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.8246 range top keeps the Sunday range break intact; a close back below 0.8236 range low puts the move back inside Friday's range
M15 close above the 0.8260 NY high opens the path toward the 0.8282 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8218 NY low would turn Friday's false break of 0.8227 into a confirmed break
Thin Sunday liquidity: the Asia session may not follow through, and weekend IMF or Fed headlines could shift the read
21:31 UTC
Rebounding off Friday low, Sunday gap higher · RSI 57 · price 0.82487
Friday's 0.8218 low held. Price is gapped up inside the 0.8218–0.8260 NY range.
Friday's London sell-off from the 0.8282 asia high briefly broke the 0.8227 neckline to a 0.8218 friday low, a move the digest ties to softer US yields and risk aversion. The NY rebound was capped at the 0.8260 ny high and faded into the close. Sunday's thin Asia-session open has gapped about 10 pips higher to 0.8249, sitting just under the 0.8251 midday high from Friday.
Support: 0.8239, 0.8236, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8260, 0.8282
What it said to watch
A gap fill back to 0.8239 puts the 0.8236 late low back in play
An M15 close above the 0.8260 ny high reclaims Friday's rebound top and opens the 0.8282 asia high
A break below the 0.8218 friday low would turn the 0.8227 false break into a confirmed breakdown
Weekend IMF headlines and US yield moves at the open could materially shift this read in thin liquidity
21:16 UTC
Recovering inside Friday's range after the selloff · RSI 57 · price 0.8249
Higher low at 0.8236 above the 0.8218 NY low; reopen gap-up testing 0.8251.
Friday's London break of the Asian range ran to the 0.8218 Friday low in NY. That was a brief false break of the 0.8227 neckline before USD steadied on hot data and price rebounded to the 0.8260 NY high. The Sunday reopen lifted price about 10 pips off the late-Friday 0.8237 base to 0.8249, just under the 0.8251 swing high, with RSI(14) near 57.
Support: 0.8237, 0.8227, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8260
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.8251 swing high exposes the 0.8260 NY high; rejection keeps the reopen move inside Friday's range
Slip back below the 0.8237 friday base and the rising support line puts the 0.8227 neckline back in play
Close below the 0.8218 friday low turns the false break into a confirmed neckline break
Thin early Asia session liquidity: weekend IMF headlines or Fed commentary could materially shift this read
Lower highs into the Friday close, holding above the 0.8218 day low.
London broke the 0.8261 Asian range low. The NY open extended the slide to a 0.8218 day low, a brief false break of the 0.8227 neckline, before a rebound to the 0.8260 NY high as the USD steadied. Into the Friday close price drifted under a line of lower highs, sitting on the 50% retrace of the NY rally near the 0.8236 late lows.
Support: 0.82363, 0.8227, 0.8218
Resistance: 0.8246, 0.82596, 0.82822
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8236 late lows exposes the 0.8227 neckline and 0.8218 day low; a hold under the neckline turns the false break into a confirmed break
Break of the 0.8246 lower highs line reopens the 0.8260 NY high
Weekend IMF headlines could gap the Monday Asia open; the 0.8282 Asian high is the upper reference