157.25–158.77 weekly range; lower highs since Tuesday, higher lows since Friday Asia.
Tuesday's NY-session week high at 158.77 has been followed by lower highs, after the Wednesday Asia drop on hawkish BoJ minutes and Thursday's NY slide kept price in a 157.25–158.77 range. The Friday rally off the 157.25 week low in early Asia extended on the NFP beat (165K vs 65K) to a 158.58 NFP high. The late-NY dip held a 158.00 higher low, and price is back at 158.49, above the EMA(20) near 158.23 with RSI(14) near 61. Price now sits just beneath the descending lower-highs line from Tuesday.
Support: 158.23, 158.00, 157.25
Resistance: 158.58, 158.77, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.58 NFP high and the lower-highs line reopens the 158.77 week high and the 159.00 range top
Failure below the 158.00 higher low breaks the Friday higher-lows line. The Friday rally fib 61.8% (157.76) and the 157.25 week low then come back into view
Loss of the EMA(20) at 158.23 on a closing basis would mark the first sign the post-NFP leg is fading
Fed speakers Mon and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read; a Monday Asia open with deeper equity risk-off is a gap risk
157.25–158.77 weekly range; lower highs since Tuesday, higher lows on Friday.
USD/JPY has rotated inside a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday's NY-session spike to the week high, and each recovery since has printed a lower high. Friday's Asia-session probe to the 157.25 week low undercut Wednesday's 157.40 low and failed. The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) then drove an NFP rally to the 158.58 NFP high in NY before price stalled. Price is holding above the EMA(20) near 158.20, with higher lows through Friday and RSI(14) in the low 60s.
Support: 158.20, 158.00, 157.25
Resistance: 158.58, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.58 nfp high breaks the lower highs line and exposes the 158.77 week high
Loss of the 158.00 round number and the higher lows line returns focus to the 157.25 week low
Ueda's remarks on December BoJ timing could materially shift this read
US October CPI on Tue Nov 10 is the next major risk to the range
18:02 UTC
Range-bound, rebounding off the week low · RSI 56 · price 158.198
157.25–158.77 weekly range, Friday higher lows inside it.
Tuesday's London-NY rally set the week high at 158.77, and every attempt since has been capped below it as risk-off flows and December BoJ hike bets pressed the pair. Thursday's late slide dipped through Wednesday's low to the 157.25 week low and then failed, a false break that set up a Friday rebound of higher lows. The NFP beat spiked the pair to 158.58 (nfp high), but that gain has faded back toward 158.20. Price sits just above EMA(20) near 158.15, the 158.00 round number is holding the pullbacks, and RSI(14) is in the mid-50s, mid-range rather than stretched.
Support: 158.00, 157.69, 157.25
Resistance: 158.58, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.58 nfp high opens the path to the 158.77 week high and 159.00
Loss of the 158.00 round number and the Friday higher-low trendline puts the 157.69 swing low back in play
A break below the 157.25 week low invalidates the range read
Ueda's wording on December timing, Fed's Daly, and US CPI on Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from Tuesday's 158.77 peak inside a 157.25–158.77 range; Friday printing higher lows.
USD/JPY has rotated inside a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday's NY-session week high. Each rally has capped lower, at the 158.67 wed high, near 158.50 Thursday and then the 158.58 nfp high, all tracking a lower-highs line. The blowout payrolls beat extended Friday's lift off the 157.25 week low set in early Asia, and price now sits on the 61.8% retracement of the weekly decline at 158.19, just above EMA(20) at 158.13 and Friday's rising line, with RSI(14) easing to the low 50s as the NY push faded.
Support: 158.13, 157.69, 157.25
Resistance: 158.58, 158.67, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close below EMA(20) at 158.13 and Friday's rising line exposes the London low at 157.69
Close above the 158.58 NFP high breaks the lower-highs line and opens the 158.67 Wed high and 158.77 week high
Loss of the 157.25 week low turns the range into a lower-low sequence
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC), then US CPI Tue 10 Nov 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
157.25–158.77 weekly range with lower highs since Tuesday; NFP bounce stalled below week high.
USD/JPY has rotated inside a 157.25–158.77 range all week. Highs stepped lower from Tuesday's 158.77 week high through Wednesday and Thursday, and the Thursday NY selloff extended into Asia to a 157.25 week low on risk-off flows and December BoJ hike bets. The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) drove a rebound to the 158.58 NFP high, where supply capped the move just under the lower-highs line. The post-NFP low at 158.10 held near the 38.2% level of Friday's rebound, with price above EMA(20) and EMA(50) and RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 158.10, 157.92, 157.25
Resistance: 158.58, 158.77, 159.00
What it said to watch
BoJ Governor Ueda speaking now (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read in the next bar
H1 close above the 158.58 NFP high breaks the lower-highs line and opens the 158.77 week high, then the 159.00 round number
Failure to hold the 158.10 post-NFP low exposes the 50% retrace of Friday's rebound at 157.92
A break of the 157.25 week low would turn the range into a lower-low sequence
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) remarks on a December hike could move USD into the close
157.25–158.77 range; lower highs since Tuesday, higher lows on Friday.
USD/JPY has rotated inside a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday's NY-session week high. Rallies have capped progressively lower along the lower-highs line, while Thursday's NY selloff on safe-haven yen demand extended into a 157.25 week low at the Asia open. Friday's rebound has carved higher lows, and the 165K NFP beat spiked price to a 158.58 nfp high that faded back to 158.30, still above the ema20 near 158.08 with RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 158.08, 157.92, 157.25
Resistance: 158.58, 158.67, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.67 prior high breaks the lower-highs line and brings the 158.77 week high into view
Rejection again below the 158.58 nfp high keeps the lower-highs sequence intact
Loss of Friday's higher lows and the ema20 near 158.08 exposes the fib 50% at 157.92 of Friday's rally
A break below the 157.25 week low would end the range read
Ueda at 16:00 UTC, then Fed's Bowman (17:15) and Daly (18:00), could materially shift this read
157.25–158.77 range; lower highs since Tuesday, false break of lows Friday.
USD/JPY has rotated inside a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday's week high, with rallies capped along a lower-high line (158.77, 158.67, 158.50) and the sharpest drops coming in Wednesday's Asia session and Thursday's NY session. Friday's Asia dip to a week low at 157.25 turned into a false break: safe-haven USD demand into NFP drove a Friday rebound, the 157.69 higher low held through London, and price reclaimed EMA(20) at 158.13 and edged through the lower-high line. The NFP bar printed an NFP high at 158.58 and faded to 158.44, with RSI(14) near 58, mid-cycle and below Tuesday's overbought readings.
Support: 158.13, 157.69, 157.25
Resistance: 158.58, 158.77, 159.00
What it said to watch
BoJ Governor Ueda at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read; wording that opens the door to a December hike would put the 157.69 higher low and 157.25 week low back in focus
An H1 close above the 158.58 NFP high and the 158.77 week high would put the 159.00 range top in play, an area tied to intervention-risk headlines
An H1 close back below EMA(20) at 158.13 would return price to mid-range and undo the lower-high line break
NFP, AHE and UR actuals are still pending in the feed; UoM inflation expectations at 15:00 GMT and Fed's Bowman at 17:15 GMT add event risk
157.25–158.77 range with descending highs; Friday rebound testing the lower-high line.
USD/JPY has chopped inside a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday's week high, with each rally capping lower: 158.67 Wednesday, then 158.50 at Thursday's thu high, before the AI-led equity rout and hawkish BoJ signals drove Thursday's NY-session drop. Friday's rebound from the 157.25 week low through the London session has reclaimed EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 62. Price is now pressing the lower-high line at the 158.38 friday high into NFP, past the 61.8% of the week high-low fib.
Support: 158.03, 157.69, 157.25
Resistance: 158.38, 158.50, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.50 thu high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 158.77 week high
Rejection at the lower-high line near the 158.38 friday high keeps the descending-highs read intact
Loss of ema20 near 158.03 and the 157.69 london low would return focus to the 157.25 week low
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) and Ueda's speech at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY has traded a 157.25–158.77 range this week, with lower highs at 158.67 and the 158.50 thu high after Tuesday's week high. The BoJ minutes in Wednesday's Asia session and Thursday's NY-session tech rout each knocked the pair down by roughly 100 pips. Safe-haven USD demand drove a rebound from the 157.25 week low during the Asia session. Price has held the 157.69 london low and moved back above the converged EMA20/50 near 158.06 and the 61.8% fib, with RSI(14) near 58. It is now pressing the lower-highs trendline around 158.38.
Support: 158.06, 157.69, 157.25
Resistance: 158.38, 158.50, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.38 trendline and the 158.50 thu high breaks the lower-highs sequence and reopens the 158.77 week high
A drop back below EMA20/50 at 158.06 and then the 157.69 london low returns focus to the 157.25 week low
US NFP at 13:30 GMT and Ueda at 16:00 GMT could materially shift this read
157.25–158.77 range; descending highs, Friday rebound testing the lower-highs line.
The pair has printed successive lower highs since Tuesday's NY-session week high at 158.77: 158.67 on Wednesday and 158.50 on Thursday, before the AI-equity rout and BoJ hike talk drove a sharp NY-session drop. Friday's Asia session dipped below Wednesday's 157.40 low to a week low at 157.25 and was quickly reclaimed. Safe-haven USD demand then lifted price back above the ema20 to a Fri high at 158.38, right at the lower-highs trendline and the 158.30 area flagged in the digest. RSI(14) is near 59, well off overbought, and price holds above both EMAs, with the London swing low at 157.69 the last higher low.
Support: 157.95, 157.69, 157.25
Resistance: 158.38, 158.67, 158.77
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read; a soft print puts the 157.25 week low back in play
An H1 close above the Fri high at 158.38 breaks the lower-highs trendline and exposes the wed high at 158.67 and week high at 158.77
Failure to hold the ema20 near 157.95, then the 157.69 swing low, returns price to the lower half of the range
Ueda speaks at 16:00 UTC; an explicit December hike signal could cut across any post-NFP USD move
10:03 UTC
Range with lower highs, rebounding from week low · RSI 61 · price 158.354
Lower highs from 158.77 inside a 157.25–158.77 range; Friday higher lows.
Since Tuesday's 158.77 week high, reversed after the US midterm shock and hawkish BoJ minutes, H1 has printed lower highs at 158.67 (wed high) and 158.50 (thu high), with Thursday's NY session driving the latest drop. The Asia-session flush to the 157.25 week low after the 4.6% wage print slipped under Wednesday's 157.40 low and was quickly reclaimed, a false break that has left Friday higher lows. London has lifted price back above the ema cluster near 158.00 and into the lower-high trendline around 158.35, between the 61.8% and 78.6% of the Tuesday high to Friday low fib, with RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 158.00, 157.69, 157.25
Resistance: 158.50, 158.67, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.50 thu high breaks the lower-high trendline sequence and opens the 158.77 week high
Rejection at the lower-high trendline and a close back below the 158.00 ema cluster puts the 157.69 higher low and Friday higher lows line back in play
Loss of the 157.25 week low would turn the range read into a lower-low extension
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) and BoJ Governor Ueda at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since Tuesday inside a 157.25–158.77 range.
USDJPY has set lower highs since the 158.77 Tue high: 158.67 on Wednesday, then 158.50 on Thursday, before a NY-session drop. Friday's Asia session added a false break to the 157.25 week low after Japan's wage beat, undercutting Wednesday's 157.40 trough, but the low did not hold. Price has since reclaimed EMA(20) near 157.95, with RSI(14) back around 55, and is pressing the fib 61.8 level at 158.19 of the Tuesday-to-Friday decline after buyers absorbed the dip to the london low at 157.69.
Support: 157.95, 157.69, 157.25
Resistance: 158.19, 158.50, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the fib 61.8 at 158.19 and the lower-highs line near 158.37 opens a retest of the 158.50 thu high
Rejection at 158.19 keeps the lower-highs sequence intact; loss of ema20 at 157.95 and the london low at 157.69 returns focus to the 157.25 week low
A break above the 158.77 tue high would end the lower-highs read
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) and BoJ Ueda at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 158.77, lower low at 157.25, rebound stalling.
Since Tuesday's NY-session weekly high at 158.77, USDJPY has printed successive lower highs at 158.67 Wednesday, 158.50 Thursday and 158.16 today, while the week's low extended to 157.25 early in the Asia session. Hawkish BoJ minutes, the 4.6% wage beat and risk-off yen demand drove the decline, with Thursday's leg coming in the first hours of NY. The rebound met rejection at the 158.16 lower high near the 61.8% retracement, and price now sits just above EMA(20) at 157.85 with RSI(14) near 52.
Support: 157.85, 157.54, 157.25
Resistance: 158.16, 158.50, 158.77
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT: an hourly close above the 158.16 lower high and the trendline near 158.40 breaks the descending structure; the thu high at 158.50 sits just above
Hourly close below the 157.54 thu ny low reopens the 157.25 weekly low; a break there extends the lower-low sequence
Loss of EMA(20) at 157.85 returns price to the lower half of the Tuesday-Friday decline
Ueda speaks at 16:00 UTC; a clear December-hike signal could press against the weekly low, while a non-committal tone puts 158.50 and the 158.77 weekly high back in focus
157.25–158.77 range; failed break of lows, rebound into 61.8% retrace.
USD/JPY has printed lower highs since Tuesday's NY-session 158.77 week high, and Thursday's NY slide from the 158.50 thu high carried into an Asia-session break of the wed low. That move set a 157.25 weekly low after Japan's 4.6% wage beat, then failed fast. The rebound has reclaimed the ema20 near 157.92 and is pressing the 158.16 friday high, near the 61.8% level of the Tue–Fri fib, just below the falling lower-highs line around 158.38.
Support: 157.92, 157.40, 157.25
Resistance: 158.16, 158.50, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the lower-highs line and the 158.50 thu high breaks the descending sequence and reopens the 158.77 week high
Loss of the ema20 and the 157.40 wed low would put the 157.25 weekly low back in play
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, US NFP at 13:30 UTC and BoJ Governor Ueda at 16:00 UTC could each materially shift this read
Lower highs 158.77/158.67/158.50, fresh week low at 157.25.
USD/JPY has printed successively lower highs since Tuesday's 158.77 peak. Wednesday's Asia-session drop on the midterm result and Thursday's NY-session slide on the tech sell-off drove the move. The 4.6% Japan wage beat at Friday's Asia open pushed price to a week low of 157.25, but the rebound stalled at the 158 pivot, the 50% retracement of the week's decline. Price now sits just under EMA(20) near 157.88 with RSI(14) around 45.
Support: 157.54, 157.25
Resistance: 157.88, 158.50
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158 pivot and the lower-high trendline near 158.40 would break the lower-high sequence, exposing the thu high at 158.50
Failure to hold the thu low at 157.54 reopens the week low at 157.25, the 157.00–157.39 range floor
US NFP at 13:30 UTC and Ueda at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
157.25-158.77 weekly range with descending highs and a fresh lower low.
Since Tuesday's 158.77 week high the pair has printed lower highs at 158.67 and 158.50, with Wednesday's election-led drop in the Asia session and Thursday's slide into the London-NY transition, as hawkish BoJ minutes and the US tech rout lifted the yen. Friday's Asia session set a new week low at 157.25 before rebounding, and the bounce stalled at 158.01, the 50% fib of the week high-to-low drop, where EMA(50) also sits. Price is pinned on a flat EMA(20) near 157.90 with RSI(14) at 49, so momentum is neutral heading into the US jobs data.
Support: 157.54, 157.25
Resistance: 158.01, 158.50, 158.77
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) and Ueda at 16:00 UTC could break the 157.25-158.77 range in either direction
H1 close above the 158.01 50% fib and EMA(50) reopens the 158.50 thu high and the lower-highs trendline
Failure to hold 157.54 thu low exposes the 157.25 week low; a close below it extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaiming 158.77 week high would invalidate the lower-highs read
04:02 UTC
Short-term downtrend inside the 157.25–158.77 weekly range · RSI 43 · price 157.80
Lower highs since Tuesday's peak, fresh lower low late Thursday, rebound capped at 158.00.
USD/JPY has carved lower highs since Tuesday's 158.77 weekly high. Thursday's NY session sell-off from the 158.50 lower high, on hawkish BoJ minutes and the US tech slide, took out the 157.40 Wed low and printed a weekly low at 157.25 late in the day. The Asia rebound stalled at the 158.00 Asia high, just under the 61.8% retracement of Thursday's drop, and price has slipped back below EMA(20) near 157.89 with RSI(14) in the low 40s, leaving the 157.54 Thu NY low as the nearest shelf.
Support: 157.54, 157.40, 157.25
Resistance: 158.01, 158.50, 158.77
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) and Ueda at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below the 157.25 weekly low breaks the weekly range floor
Recovery through the 158.00 Asia high and the Thursday sell-off fib 61.8% reopens the 158.50 lower high
A break of the lower highs trendline from the 158.77 weekly high would neutralise the downtrend read
Lower highs 158.77/158.67/158.50 with a fresh low at 157.25; bounce stalling at 50–61.8% fib.
USD/JPY has printed successively lower highs since Tuesday's 158.77 week high. Thursday's NY-session drop from the 158.50 thu high came as US yields slid, and it extended to a weekly low at 157.25 in Asia after Japan's 4.6% wage beat revived BoJ December hike bets. The rebound has stalled at 158.01, just under the 61.8% fib of Thursday's drop and EMA(50) near 158.05. Price is now pinned at the ema20 around 157.91, with RSI(14) in the low 40s.
Support: 157.54, 157.40, 157.25
Resistance: 157.91, 158.02, 158.50
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 61.8% fib/EMA(50) zone at 158.02–158.05 and the lower-high trendline would challenge the downtrend read and expose the 158.50 thu high
Failure to hold the 157.54 thu ny low reopens the 157.40 wed low and the 157.25 weekly low
Fed Williams at 09:30 UTC, then US NFP at 13:30 UTC and BoJ Ueda at 16:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
02:03 UTC
Range-bound with lower highs, rebounding off week low · RSI 48 · price 157.966
Lower highs at 158.77, 158.67 and 158.50 inside a 157.25–158.77 week range; failed break below the Wed low.
USDJPY has printed lower highs from Tuesday's 158.77 week high to Wednesday's 158.67 and Thursday's 158.50 high. Thursday's NY-session drop from 158.50 came as the US tech sell-off, lower yields and hawkish BoJ minutes lifted the yen. The early-Asia push through the 157.40 Wed low on the 4.6% Japan wage beat set a 157.25 week low and reversed fast, and price is back at the EMA(20) near 157.92 with RSI(14) recovered to 48 from below 30. It sits just under the 158.00 round number, where EMA(50) and the 50% retracement of the week decline converge.
Support: 157.92, 157.40, 157.254
Resistance: 158.00, 158.50, 158.766
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.00 round number and EMA(50) shifts the read toward the 158.50 thu high and the lower-highs line near 158.42
Failure to hold the ema20 and a return below the 157.40 wed low reopens the 157.25 week low
A break above the 158.77 week high would end the lower-highs sequence
US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) and AHE could materially shift this read. Fed's Williams speaks at 09:30 UTC
BoJ Governor Ueda speaks later Friday, and explicit December guidance could materially shift the read
01:02 UTC
Lower highs since Tuesday, rebounding off week low · RSI 42 · price 157.816
157.25–158.77 weekly range with a descending sequence of highs; Wednesday low swept and reclaimed.
USD/JPY has printed lower highs at 158.77 Tuesday, 158.67 Wednesday and 158.50 Thursday. The latest leg lower came during Thursday's NY session as hawkish BoJ minutes and a US tech sell-off lifted the yen. The early-Asia dip on the hot Japan wage print broke the 157.40 Wednesday low and set a 157.25 week low before price reclaimed it. Price now sits near the 38.2% fib of Thursday's drop, just under EMA(20) at 157.92, with RSI(14) recovering into the low 40s.
Support: 157.54, 157.40, 157.25
Resistance: 157.92, 158.02, 158.50
What it said to watch
H1 closes back below the 157.54 Thu low and 157.40 Wed low would put the 157.25 week low back in play
A hold above EMA(20) at 157.92 and the 61.8% fib near 158.02 would bring the lower-high trendline near 158.42 and the 158.50 Thu high into view
Williams at 09:30 UTC, US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) and Ueda at 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, oversold · RSI 25 · price 157.434
Lower highs since Tuesday's 158.77 peak; fresh lower low at 157.25.
Highs have stepped lower all week, from Tuesday's 158.77 peak to 158.67 on Wednesday and the 158.50 thu high, where Thursday's NY-session drop erased the London rally as hawkish BoJ minutes, a US tech sell-off and softer UST yields lifted the yen. Price now sits below the week open at 157.79 and EMA(20) near 157.88. The late push into the Asia open printed a new week low at 157.25 under the 157.40 wed low, leaving RSI(14) near 25 in oversold territory.
Support: 157.40, 157.25, 157.00
Resistance: 157.79, 157.88, 158.50
What it said to watch
Hourly closes below the 157.25 week low extend the lower-low sequence toward the 157.00 round number, the base of the 157–159 range
Failure to reclaim the wed low at 157.40 keeps the break of Wednesday's floor intact
A recovery through the week open and ema20 (157.79–157.88, near the 50% retracement of Thursday's drop) would soften the lower-highs read; the 158.50 thu high caps the structure
BoJ Governor Ueda (Fri 16:00 UTC) and US NFP on Friday could materially shift this read