USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 17 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after V-recovery off 155.33 · RSI 48 · price 156.00
9-hour balance between 155.87 and 156.07, inside the earlier NY-session range.
USDJPY sold off through the London-NY window to 155.33 — a false break that was fully retraced inside two bars — and has since balanced between 155.87 and 156.07 on ATR compressed to under 7 pips. Early Asia trade nudged back to 156.00 around the 23:30 GMT Japan CPI print; RSI(14) at 48 is neutral and price sits marginally above both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 155.87, 155.58, 155.33
Resistance: 156.07, 156.27
What it said to watch
BoJ decision 03:00 GMT (~3h) then Ueda presser 06:30 GMT — either can void this range read outright
M15 close above 156.07 ny high reopens 156.27 prior high
Loss of 155.87 session low would confirm a lower low and put 155.58 swing low back in play
6h range 155.94-156.06 broken lower on the last two bars.
After the NY high at 156.10 the pair traded a tight 155.94-156.06 range for six hours, then slipped through the range floor at 155.96 in thin pre-Tokyo liquidity, printing a session low at 155.87. Lower highs (156.06, 156.03, 156.02) plus RSI(14) near 36 track the JPY-positive drift into the BoJ; ATR(14) is only ~6.5 pips, so ranges are compressed.
Support: 155.87, 155.65
Resistance: 155.96, 156.03, 156.10
What it said to watch
Japan CPI ex fresh food (23:30 GMT) and the BoJ decision at 03:00 GMT land within the next bars and can void this compressed read
Reclaim of the 155.96 range floor invalidates the break lower
Loss of 155.87 session low puts the 155.65 swing low back in focus
23:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after NY recovery · RSI 47 · price 155.946
13-pip coil between 155.93 and 156.07 following the reversal off 155.33.
The pair sold off through London into a 155.331 spike low around the US data block, then fully reversed it — a false break that has since given way to a tight range floor at 155.93 / range top at 156.07 held through NY and into a thin Asia open. RSI(14) is flat near 47 with ATR(14) down to ~5 pips, price pinned between EMA20 above and EMA50 below as JPY holds its pre-BoJ firmness.
Support: 155.931, 155.546, 155.331
Resistance: 156.073, 156.275
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI ex fresh food due 23:30 GMT — first live test of this range floor
BoJ decision 03:00 GMT plus Ueda at 06:30 GMT can void the range read entirely within the next few hours
M15 close above the 156.07 range top puts the 156.275 prior high back in play
Loss of the 155.93 range floor re-exposes the 155.546 swing low and the 155.331 spike low
23:01 UTC
Sideways after intraday V-recovery · RSI 51 · price 155.996
Tight late-NY range inside the 155.33-156.29 daily span.
The 12:15 GMT flush to 155.33 was fully reclaimed within two bars — a false break that left the session low untested since, price grinding back to a 155.93-156.10 range top by the NY close. Last 20 bars are compressed under 15 pips with RSI(14) flat at ~51 and ATR down to ~6 pips, thin volume typical of the rollover into Asia.
Support: 155.93, 155.80, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.29
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT (f/c 1.8%) lands within the next bar and can break this range immediately
BoJ decision 03:00 GMT plus Ueda at 06:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk to the whole read
M15 close above the 156.10 range top puts the 156.29 prior high back in play
Loss of the 155.93 range base reopens the 155.80 swing low
Tokyo morning has USDJPY pinned between the 155.93 range floor and the 156.06 range top on very thin turnover, RSI(14) flat near 49 and ATR(14) down to ~4.6 pips. Thursday's London-hours flush into the 155.33 spike low was fully reclaimed within two bars, but the recovery has stalled into a chain of lower highs and price never revisited the 156.29 prior high as BoJ hike bets built.
Support: 155.93, 155.33
Resistance: 156.06, 156.29
What it said to watch
National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT lands inside the next bar — thin Asia liquidity amplifies the reaction
BoJ decision 03:00 GMT and Ueda at 06:30 GMT dominate the session; either invalidates this range read
M15 close below the 155.93 range floor puts the 155.33 spike low leg back in play
Sustained close above the 156.06 range top would break the lower highs sequence
22:31 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after NY recovery · RSI 44 · price 155.988
Range between 155.93 and 156.06 following the bounce off 155.33.
Sharp NY-session flush to 155.33 was fully retraced to 156.10 as BoJ hike bets built, and early Asia trade has since coiled into a tight 155.93–156.06 range on minimal volume. RSI(14) at 44 with price pinned to EMA20; ATR under 5 pips reflects a pre-event holding pattern.
Support: 155.93, 155.80
Resistance: 156.06, 156.10
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI ex fresh food due within the hour — a print away from 1.8% would break this range read
BoJ decision later in the Asia session is the dominant near-term risk to the current structure
Loss of 155.93 session low exposes the 155.80 prior low
Reclaim of 156.06 range top and 156.10 prior high would restore the recovery leg
Range between 155.93 and 156.05 after a V-shaped recovery off the day low.
USDJPY was pushed to a day low of 155.33 during London afternoon hours as hawkish BoJ repricing dominated, then rebounded to the 156.10 ny high before rolling over into a sequence of lower highs. The last five hours are a tight 155.93–156.05 range with RSI(14) near 46 and ATR(14) compressed to ~4 pips, participation thinning into the Asia open.
Support: 155.93, 155.80, 155.33
Resistance: 156.05, 156.10
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 156.05 range top and then the 156.10 ny high would break the lower highs sequence
Loss of the 155.93 session low reopens 155.80 prior swing and the 155.33 day low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision at 03:00 GMT fall inside the next bars and will override this compression
Six-hour balance inside 155.93-156.10 following a lower high at 156.10.
USDJPY has coiled in a 155.93-156.10 band for roughly six hours after the NY-session slide off the 156.32 prior high to the 155.33 spike low, driven by hawkish BoJ repricing. RSI(14) near 45 and ATR(14) around 5 pips with near-zero participation in the first Asia hours — no structural development in play.
Support: 155.93, 155.65, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.32
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI ex-fresh food at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision at 03:00 GMT land inside the next few bars — either can void this range read outright
M15 close below the 155.93 range floor re-exposes the 155.65 swing low
Reclaim of the 156.10 range top would end the sideways structure and re-target the 156.32 prior high
21:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum fading after NY recovery · RSI 43 · price 155.954
Range between 155.93 and 156.10 following a V-shaped NY reversal off 155.33.
The NY session flushed to 155.33 before a full retrace to 156.10, and the last five hours have been a tight drift between the 156.10 ny high and 155.93 session low on shrinking bar ranges — typical of post-NY-close thinness, with BoJ hike bets the driver of the day's slide. RSI(14) near 43 and price pinned just under EMA20 while EMA50 sits below; ATR(14) ~6 pips shows compressed intraday volatility.
Support: 155.93, 155.55, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.24
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 156.10 ny high would break the current range and put 156.24 prior high in play
Loss of the 155.93 session low reopens 155.55 swing low and the 155.33 ny low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision at 03:00 GMT are both inside the next few bars and can invalidate this range read instantly
21:31 UTC
Sideways with a mild downward drift after the NY rally stalled · RSI 42 · price 155.939
Series of lower highs under 156.10, base holding at 155.93.
NY session recovered the 155.33 false break to print the 156.10 ny high at 17:00 UTC, then faded through three lower highs into the close, leaving price pinned on the 155.93 session low with RSI(14) near 42 and price back under EMA20. ATR(14) is down to ~5.5 pips as post-NY-close liquidity thins; JPY strength on BoJ hike pricing has capped every attempt back above 156.05.
Support: 155.93, 155.86, 155.66
Resistance: 156.03, 156.10, 156.21
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 155.93 session low exposes the 155.86 ema50 and then the 155.66 swing low
Reclaim of the 156.03 lower high and the 156.10 ny high ends the descending sequence and reopens the 156.21 prior high
Japan CPI 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision 03:00 GMT can invalidate this low-volatility range read within a bar or two
21:16 UTC
Sideways after NY flush, momentum flat · RSI 42 · price 155.94
Tight consolidation under the 156.10 range top, holding above the 155.93 range floor.
NY hours produced a sharp sweep to 155.33 before an immediate recovery to 156.10, and the last five hours have compressed into a 155.93–156.10 band with volumes collapsing into the post-NY close. Yen firmness into the BoJ is capping attempts at the range top; RSI(14) at 42 and ATR near 5 pips confirm a dead late-session tape.
Support: 155.93, 155.66, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.21
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision at 03:00 GMT could materially reset this range read
M15 close below the 155.93 range floor puts the 155.66 swing low back in play
Reclaim of the 156.10 range top would reopen 156.21 prior high
21:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now flat · RSI 41 · price 155.955
Tight late-NY range after V-recovery off 155.33.
London sold the Asia high at 156.32 and NY extended to a 155.33 spike low before a full recovery to 156.10, where the move was rejected; the last three hours have compressed into a 155.93–156.07 range with ATR down to ~7 pips. Price is pinned just under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 41 as hawkish BoJ pricing keeps yen bid into tonight's CPI.
Support: 155.93, 155.66, 155.33
Resistance: 156.07, 156.10, 156.32
What it said to watch
15m close above the 156.07 range top would end the late-NY drift lower
Loss of 155.93 range low exposes the 155.66 swing low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT, then BoJ decision 03:00 GMT — event risk that can invalidate this range read
20:46 UTC
Downtrend off the day's high, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 155.965
Recovery off 155.33 capped at 156.10, now coiling in a tight late-NY range.
The 12:15 GMT flush took price to an ny spike low of 155.33 as BoJ hike repricing bit, and the NY rebound stalled exactly at the 156.10 ny high before fading. Last four hours are a 155.93–156.07 consolidation with price pinned just under the ema20 and RSI(14) mid-40s; ATR(14) has compressed to ~6.5 pips.
Support: 155.93, 155.58, 155.33
Resistance: 156.02, 156.10, 156.35
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT lands inside the next few bars and can break this consolidation
BoJ decision at 03:00 GMT Friday is the dominant catalyst — it would invalidate any intraday range read
Loss of the 155.93 range low re-opens the 155.58 swing low
A close above the 156.10 ny high would end the sequence of lower highs from 156.35
20:31 UTC
Recovery leg off the London low, momentum flattening · RSI 51 · price 156.019
Higher lows since 155.33, last 3h coiled in a tight 17-pip range.
London dumped USDJPY into a 155.33 spike low around 12:15 UTC on firming BoJ hike bets, and NY hours have retraced roughly 60% of that move, stalling at the 156.10 NY high. Late NY is now flat and coiled between 155.93 and 156.10 with RSI(14) mid-range near 51 and ATR at ~7.5 pips — a compressed pre-event range rather than a directional leg.
Support: 155.93, 155.59, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.27
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 156.10 NY high opens the path to the 156.27 Asia high
Loss of 155.93 range low breaks the higher-low chain built off the 155.33 spike low, with 155.59 swing low the next reference
Japan National CPI at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision at 03:00 GMT will reset this range regardless of current structure
20:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after NY bounce · RSI 51 · price 155.973
Consolidation 155.93–156.10 following recovery off the 155.33 NY low.
The London–NY transition produced a flush to 155.33 as BoJ hike bets firmed, then price reclaimed the day's mid and topped out at the 156.10 ny high in the NY afternoon. Since then a chain of lower highs has faded, with the pair pinned in a 155.93–156.10 band into late NY and RSI(14) back at neutral — no directional structure in play.
Support: 155.93, 155.80, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.41
What it said to watch
Loss of the 155.93 session low reopens the 155.80 swing low
M15 close above the 156.10 ny high would invalidate the lower highs sequence and put the 156.41 prior high back in range
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT (f/c 1.8%) lands inside the next bars and can break this range
BoJ decision early Friday pre-London is the dominant catalyst for this read
Lower highs since 156.10 after V-shaped bounce off 155.33.
The 12:15 GMT flush swept 155.33 before a steady NY-session recovery capped at the 156.10 session high, with JPY firm into the BoJ decision. Price has since rolled back under the 155.99 ema20 into a tight 155.93–156.07 late-NY range, RSI(14) flat near 48 and ATR(14) around 6.6 pips.
Support: 155.83, 155.58, 155.33
Resistance: 155.99, 156.10, 156.27
What it said to watch
Close below 155.93 would extend the lower-high chain toward the 155.83 swing low
Reclaim of the 156.10 session high invalidates the lower-highs read and reopens 156.27 prior high
Japan National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 GMT, then the BoJ decision at 03:00 GMT, can reprice this range within hours
Failure to hold 155.58 swing low would put the 155.33 session low back in play
Higher lows since the 155.33 spike, capped under 156.10.
The NY-session flush to 155.33 was reversed inside one bar and price has built an hl chain back to the 61.8% retrace of the 156.41–155.33 leg, stalling at the 156.10 ny high. Last hours are thin post-NY-close consolidation between 155.94 and 156.10 with RSI(14) mid-range near 58 and ATR ~7 pips — no fresh structure in play.
Support: 155.94, 155.66, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.27
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above the 156.10 ny high would extend the recovery toward the 156.27 prior high
Loss of the 155.94 minor low breaks the hl chain and reopens 155.66
Japan National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 GMT, then the BoJ decision 03:00 GMT and Ueda presser, can reset this range entirely
Session ranges are compressed on thin post-NY liquidity — early Asia expansion likely resolves the 155.94–156.10 box
Higher lows off 155.33, now coiled under the NY high.
NY morning flushed to 155.33 as BoJ hike bets firmed, then the pair ground back up in a chain of higher lows to a 156.10 NY high. Last eight bars are a 155.98–156.07 coil into the late NY hours with ATR down to ~7.5 pips and RSI(14) mid-to-high 50s — no directional expansion in play.
Support: 155.98, 155.83, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.27
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 156.10 ny high opens the 156.27 prior high
Loss of the 155.98 range base puts the 155.83 swing low back in focus and breaks the higher-low chain
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT (f/c 1.8%) lands inside the next few bars and can reprice this coil
BoJ decision and Ueda presser later Friday are the dominant crosswind for this structure
Higher lows off the NY low, now coiling under session high.
The NY session flushed to 155.33 and immediately reclaimed it — a false break that has since built a chain of higher lows back to the 156.10 session high, in line with the digest's 155.75/156.10 rebound read. Late-NY bars are now flat and thin between 155.97 and 156.10, RSI(14) mid-60s, ATR around 10 pips.
Support: 155.97, 155.84, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.27
What it said to watch
15m close above the 156.10 session high opens the path to the 156.27 prior high
Loss of the 155.97 range base puts the 155.84 swing low back in play and breaks the higher-low chain
Japan CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT can reprice this range before Asia gets going
Higher lows off the London low, coiling under the NY high.
London flushed to 155.33 on BoJ hike bets before NY hours bought it back in a chain of higher lows to the 156.10 ny high, where the last four bars have stalled into a tight 155.97–156.10 range. RSI(14) near 66 with ATR ~10 pips — momentum has flattened rather than reversed, and price sits well under the 156.27 prior high.
Support: 155.97, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.27, 156.41
What it said to watch
Loss of the 155.97 range floor would break the higher-low chain off the london low
A close above the 156.10 ny high puts the 156.27 prior high and 156.41 prior day hi back in play
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT, then the BoJ decision Friday 03:00 GMT, can reset this intraday read entirely
18:16 UTC
Uptrend since London low, momentum flattening · RSI 67 · price 156.009
Higher highs / higher lows off 155.33, stalling under 156.10.
The London flush to the 155.33 session low was fully retraced through NY hours, leaving a clean HH/HL chain and price pinned just under the 156.10 session high. RSI(14) ~67 with ATR(14) around 7.5 pips — grind, not impulse — and the advance is stalling into the 61.8% fib of the 156.41-155.33 drop as JPY held firm on BoJ hike pricing.
Support: 155.85, 155.63, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.27
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 156.10 session high exposes the 156.27 prior high
Loss of the 155.85 swing low breaks the rising support line and the HL chain
Failure to hold 155.63 ny low reopens the 155.33 session low
Japan National CPI ex-fresh-food 23:30 GMT, then BoJ decision Friday — either can reset this intraday structure
17:16 UTC
Uptrend off the NY low, momentum still firm · RSI 71 · price 156.061
Higher highs and higher lows since the 155.331 flush.
Price flushed to the 155.331 ny low at the NY open on mixed US data (claims 196K beat, housing starts and pending sales missing), then ground back up in a clean higher-high/higher-low chain through the NY afternoon to reclaim the 156.00 handle. RSI(14) near 71 with the last bar stalling just under the 156.10 session high; ATR(14) about 9.6 pips.
Support: 155.86, 155.72, 155.33
Resistance: 156.10, 156.27, 156.41
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 156.10 session high opens the 156.27 asia high and 156.41 prior high
Loss of 155.86 (ema20) and then the 155.72 swing low breaks the higher-low chain from the ny low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT, then Friday's BoJ decision, can reset this intraday read
17:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the day low · RSI 65 · price 156.063
Higher highs and higher lows since the 12:15 GMT spike low, retracing yesterday's decline.
USDJPY has ground back up through the NY session after the 155.33 day low, reclaiming the pre-drop 155.91 area and printing a session high at 156.07 with RSI(14) near 65 and price above both EMA20 and EMA50. The recovery has retraced roughly two-thirds of yesterday's slide, with the 156.27 cap and 156.41 prior high the next structural markers as the yen's pre-BoJ bid fades.
Support: 155.83, 155.59, 155.33
Resistance: 156.27, 156.41
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close above 156.27 cap would extend the higher-high chain toward the 156.41 prior high
Loss of the 155.83 ema20 and then 155.59 swing low would break the intraday higher-low sequence
Japan National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled risk and can reset this range read
HH/HL chain off the 155.33 session low, still inside yesterday's NY range.
The 12:15 GMT flush to 155.33 was swept and fully reclaimed within one bar, and price has ground higher in a clean HH/HL chain through the first hours of NY to 155.94, now pressing the 156.01 ny session hi with RSI(14) near 62. Yen firmness ahead of Friday's BoJ decision has capped the pair below the asian rng hi at 156.28 all session; ATR(14) at ~10 pips keeps bar-to-bar travel modest.
Support: 155.83, 155.66, 155.33
Resistance: 156.01, 156.28
What it said to watch
M15 close above 156.01 ny session hi opens the path back to the 156.28 asian rng hi
Loss of the 155.83 recent hl, then 155.66 swing low, breaks the higher-low chain off the session low
Tokyo CPI ex fresh food 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision 03:00 GMT Friday can reset this intraday structure entirely
16:31 UTC
Recovering, grinding higher within NY session · RSI 70 · price 155.961
Higher highs and higher lows off the 155.33 session low, still under the 156.00 psych level.
The NY open flushed USD/JPY to a 155.33 session low as the yen firmed into Friday's BoJ, and price has since ground back up in a tight HL trendline sequence to 155.96 with RSI(14) near 70. Late-NY momentum is intact but the 156.00 psych level, which also sits on the 61.8% retracement of the 156.41-155.33 leg, remains untested.
Support: 155.83, 155.65, 155.33
Resistance: 156.00, 156.19
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 156.00 psych level opens the path back toward the 156.19 prior swing
Loss of the 155.83 hl trendline, then the 155.65 swing low, breaks the recovery structure and re-exposes the 155.33 session low
Tokyo CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and Friday's BoJ decision can reset this intraday read entirely
Higher highs/higher lows since the 155.33 NY low, capped under 155.91.
Pair sold off to 155.33 in the first hour of NY as JPY led the majors into Friday's BoJ, then ground back up in a tight rising channel to 155.87 — the 50% retracement of the 156.41–155.33 leg. Late-NY bars are shrinking (ATR ~11.5 pips) with price stalling just under the 155.91 prior high; RSI(14) at 62 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 155.72, 155.59, 155.33
Resistance: 155.91, 156.00
What it said to watch
Close above 155.91 prior high opens the 61.8% fib at 156.00
Loss of the 155.72 higher low breaks the rising channel and re-exposes 155.59 swing low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 GMT and Friday's BoJ decision can reset this intraday structure entirely
16:01 UTC
Recovering after NY flush, micro uptrend · RSI 63 · price 155.868
Higher lows off 155.331, capped under 155.91.
Early NY hours flushed to 155.331 and reversed inside one bar; since then a clean chain of higher lows has retraced the whole 156.41–155.33 leg back to the 50% mark at ~155.87. Price is grinding into the 155.91 prior high in late NY with RSI(14) near 63 and ATR at ~16 pips, so ranges are compressing rather than expanding.
Support: 155.63, 155.33
Resistance: 155.91, 156.19, 156.41
What it said to watch
M15 close above 155.91 prior high opens the 156.19 swing pivot
Loss of 155.63 swing low breaks the higher-low chain off the session low
Japan CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision tomorrow could reprice this range entirely
HL chain off 155.33 inside the broader 156.41-155.33 pullback.
The 12:15 GMT flush to 155.33 was fully reclaimed within two bars and NY hours have ground out a higher-low chain (155.59, 155.65, 155.72) with price holding above the ema20 near 155.75. At 155.87 price sits on the 50% retrace of the 156.41-155.33 decline, just under the 155.91 pre-drop hi; JPY has been the firmer side all session into tonight's Tokyo CPI.
Support: 155.75, 155.63, 155.33
Resistance: 155.91, 156.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 155.91 pre-drop hi would extend the recovery toward the 156.05 swing high
Loss of the 155.63 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 155.33 session low
Japan CPI 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision Friday 03:00 GMT can reset this intraday read entirely
Lower highs from 156.41, basing 155.55-155.82 in NY.
Post-Fed spike to 156.41 has been fully unwound through Asia and London, with a pre-NY flush to 155.33 immediately bought back — a false break below the 155.55 swing low. Price has since built a tight 155.55-155.82 NY base above EMA20 but under EMA50, RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR(14) at ~17 pips.
Support: 155.65, 155.55, 155.33
Resistance: 155.82
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 155.82 session high would break the lower-high chain from 156.41
Failure to hold the 155.65 ny base re-exposes 155.55 then the 155.33 session low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food tonight 23:30 GMT and Friday's BoJ decision can reset this range entirely
Lower highs from 156.41, now coiling above the session low.
The post-Fed spike to 156.41 has been fully unwound, with lower highs through Asia and London and a 12:30 UTC flush to the 155.33 session low that immediately reversed — a false break below the 155.53 london low, with yen demand holding firm into the BoJ. Price is now compressing in a 155.59–155.80 range top band, RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR(14) around 16 pips.
Support: 155.59, 155.53, 155.33
Resistance: 155.80, 155.91, 156.32
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 155.91 ny high would break the chain of lower highs and reopen the 156.32 asia high
Loss of the 155.59 micro low and 155.33 session low confirms continuation of the intraday downtrend
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT (f/c 1.8%) and Friday's BoJ decision can invalidate this range read
Lower highs from 156.41, higher lows since the 155.33 spike low.
The post-FOMC spike high at 156.41 has been faded steadily, with the NY open flush printing a 155.33 session low that was fully recovered inside two bars — a false break rather than a trend extension. Price has since coiled 155.59–155.80 just under the EMA50 near 155.78, RSI(14) flat around 48 and ATR(14) at ~16 pips, so range conditions until one edge gives.
Support: 155.71, 155.59, 155.33
Resistance: 155.80, 155.91
What it said to watch
M15 close above 155.91 swing high would break the chain of lower highs
Loss of the 155.59 higher low reopens the 155.33 session low
Japan CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision Friday 03:00 GMT are the material event risks for this range
Lower highs into NY, now range-bound 155.55-155.80.
Chain of lower highs from the 156.41 prior high ran into a session low at 155.33 in the run-up to the NY open, with JPY the firmest major on hawkish BoJ repricing. Since then price has bracketed 155.55-155.80, RSI(14) flat near 49 and ATR 16 pips — no directional structure in the last eight hours.
Support: 155.55, 155.33
Resistance: 155.80, 156.41
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 155.80 range top would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 155.55 range floor puts the 155.33 session low back in play
Japan CPI ex fresh food 23:30 GMT, then the BoJ decision Friday 03:00 GMT, can invalidate this range read
Lower highs from 156.41, basing between 155.55 and 155.80.
The hawkish Fed hike spiked the pair from 154.83 to 156.41 late in Wednesday's NY session, and price has ground out lower highs ever since, with the 12:30 GMT US data batch producing a spike low at 155.33 that was reclaimed inside one bar — a false break, not a trend leg. Into the first hours of NY the pair is compressing between the 155.55 range floor and the 155.80 swing high, RSI(14) mid-range at 46 with price pinned on EMA20 and below EMA50; ATR(14) at 16 pips shows contracted intraday ranges.
Support: 155.55, 155.33
Resistance: 155.80, 155.91, 156.00
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 155.91 session high breaks the lower-high chain and puts the 156.00 psych level back in play
Loss of the 155.55 range floor re-exposes the 155.33 spike low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision Friday 03:00 GMT are the events capable of invalidating this range read
Lower highs from 156.41, now ranging above the session low.
Price dropped hard into 155.33 near the London-NY transition on the pre-BoJ yen bid, then recovered and has chopped between the 155.58 range floor and the 155.80 range top for the last five hours of NY trade. RSI(14) at 46 and price sitting just under EMA50 — the chain of lower highs from 156.41 is still intact, ATR(14) 16 pips.
Support: 155.58, 155.33
Resistance: 155.80, 155.91
What it said to watch
M15 close above 155.80 range top would break the lower-high sequence and put 155.91 prior high back in play
Loss of the 155.58 range floor re-exposes the 155.33 session low
Japan CPI tonight 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision plus Ueda press conference Friday can reset this intraday structure entirely
Lower highs from 156.41; higher low after the 155.33 spike low.
Post-FOMC spike to 156.41 has been unwound through London and into NY hours, with a fast flush to 155.33 immediately bought back — that spike low still stands as a false break of the lower range edge. Price is now pinned between 155.53 and the 155.80 swing high, RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR(14) at ~17 pips; no fresh structure while the yen holds its pre-BoJ bid.
Support: 155.53, 155.33
Resistance: 155.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 155.80 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence off 156.41
Failure to hold 155.53 london low re-exposes the 155.33 session low and confirms a lower low
Japan CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and Friday's BoJ decision/presser can reset this range entirely
Lower highs from 156.41, basing above 155.33 session low.
The Asian-session pop to 156.41 has bled off in a clean chain of lower highs, with early NY hours flushing to a 155.33 session low before an immediate reclaim — a false break that has since capped at the 155.80 swing high as traders reprice the BoJ path ahead of Friday. Price is now coiling in a 155.55–155.80 band, sat just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range at ~49 and ATR(14) at ~17 pips.
Support: 155.55, 155.33
Resistance: 155.80, 155.91
What it said to watch
15m close above the 155.80 swing high would put the 155.91 prior high back in play and end the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 155.55 swing low re-opens the 155.33 session low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and Friday's BoJ decision can reset this intraday range entirely
Lower highs since the post-FOMC spike, basing above the London low.
The FOMC spike to 156.41 has bled off all session: London drove a sweep of the 155.55 swing low to a 155.33 session low before an immediate one-bar recovery, and NY hours have chopped between that low and the 155.80 session high. Price sits mid-range under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 50 and ATR(14) ~17 pips; 155.91 remains the last prior high capping the bounce, near the midpoint of the 156.41–155.33 decline.
Support: 155.55, 155.33
Resistance: 155.80, 155.91
What it said to watch
M15 close above 155.91 prior high would end the sequence of lower highs from 156.41
Loss of the 155.55 swing low reopens the 155.33 session low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and Friday's BoJ decision/Ueda presser can reset this range read
Lower highs off post-FOMC spike, mid-range after false break of London low.
The post-FOMC spike to 156.41 has bled off all session, with the early NY hours dumping into 155.33 before the move was reclaimed within two bars — a false break of the 155.53 london low. Price is now pinned mid-range around the EMA20 at ~155.66 with RSI(14) at 49.6 and ATR near 17.5 pips; the 155.78 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 155.53, 155.33
Resistance: 155.78, 155.91
What it said to watch
M15 close above 155.91 session high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 155.33 ny low confirms a lower low and reopens the down leg
Japan National CPI ex fresh food 23:30 GMT, then BoJ decision and Ueda presser Friday — both can reset this intraday read
Asia high at 156.28 gave way through London and the first hour of NY flushed to 155.33 before an immediate reclaim — a false break of the 155.55 swing low, with price now back at the 38.2% retracement of the 156.41–155.33 leg. Yen firmness into Friday's BoJ keeps the pair offered under 155.80 while the lower-high chain from 156.41 stays intact; RSI(14) back at neutral 52, ATR 16 pips.
Support: 155.55, 155.33
Resistance: 155.91, 156.28
What it said to watch
M15 close above 155.91 (pre-drop high) breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 155.55 re-exposes the 155.33 session low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food 23:30 GMT then BoJ decision Friday 03:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 156.41, sharp NY dip fully retraced.
USDJPY has ground out lower highs from 156.41 through London, then flushed to 155.33 in the first hour of NY as the yen led the majors on hawkish BoJ repricing; that spike below the 155.52 London base was fully retraced within two bars, a false break. Price now sits at 155.76, back above EMA20 but under EMA50 near 155.81, with RSI(14) mid-range at 54 and ATR(14) about 16 pips.
Support: 155.58, 155.33
Resistance: 155.91, 156.41
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 155.91 prior high would break the lower-high sequence from 156.41
Failure to hold the 155.58 swing low re-opens the 155.33 session low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision Friday can reset this range entirely
Sustained trade back under EMA50 near 155.81 keeps the intraday downtrend intact
Lower highs from 156.41; sweep of 155.33 then a chain of rising lows.
Steady slide from the 156.41 late-NY high, then a fast flush to the 155.331 session low around 12:15 GMT that was fully reclaimed within two bars — a false break rather than continuation, with JPY firm on hawkish BoJ repricing. First hour of NY has built rising lows off 155.55 back to 155.78; RSI(14) mid-range at 54, ATR(14) 15 pips.
Support: 155.55, 155.331
Resistance: 155.91, 156.05
What it said to watch
Close above the 155.91 session high would extend the reclaim toward the 156.05 prior high and end the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 155.55 higher low re-exposes the 155.331 session low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and Friday's BoJ decision/press conference can reset this range entirely
Lower highs since post-Fed peak, base building above the NY low.
The post-Fed high at 156.41 has capped a chain of lower highs through Asia and London, and the first hour of NY flushed to 155.33 before an immediate reclaim — a false break of the 155.53 swing low rather than continuation. Price is back above the ema20 near 155.70 with RSI(14) mid-range at ~51 and ATR(14) at roughly 16 pips; yen strength into Friday's BoJ is the driver behind the fade from 156.41.
Support: 155.70, 155.53, 155.33
Resistance: 155.91, 156.10, 156.41
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 155.91 session high keeps the corrective sequence of lower highs intact
A close back below 155.53 swing low re-exposes the 155.33 ny low
Reclaim of 156.10 prior swing would break the lower-high chain
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision Friday 03:00 GMT can reset this range read
Lower highs since 156.41, basing above 155.33 session low.
The post-Fed spike high at 156.41 has bled off through the Asia range and London, with the 12:15 GMT flush taking out the 155.55 swing low to a 155.331 session low before an immediate reclaim — hawkish BoJ repricing into Friday has kept the yen the firmer side. Price is now pinned at the 38.2% retracement of that decline in the first hour of NY, RSI(14) back at 50 and ATR(14) 16 pips.
Support: 155.55, 155.33
Resistance: 155.91
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 155.91 session high would break the chain of lower highs off 156.41
Loss of 155.33 session low on a closing basis re-opens the downleg; the 155.55 reclaim is what currently invalidates the flush
Japan National CPI ex fresh food 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision Friday 03:00 GMT can reset this intraday structure entirely
The post-FOMC push to 156.41 has unwound through London into NY, with a lower-high chain capping at 155.91 and the London-NY transition flush into 155.33 immediately reclaimed — a false break rather than a trend extension. Price is back at 155.73, above EMA20 but under EMA50, RSI(14) flat near 52 and ATR(14) at ~16 pips.
Support: 155.58, 155.33
Resistance: 155.91, 156.41
What it said to watch
Close above the 155.91 session high would break the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 155.58 swing low re-opens the 155.33 session low
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and Friday's BoJ decision/press conference are the dominant near-term risks to this read
Chain of lower highs from 156.41; London low at 155.53 broken, price back at it from below.
The post-FOMC spike high at 156.41 has been sold in a clean lower-high chain, and the first hour of NY sliced the London low at 155.53 down to 155.33 as yen repricing into Friday's BoJ took over. Price has since retested the broken 155.55 area from below and stalled at 155.71, with RSI(14) back to a neutral 48 and both EMA20 (155.68) and EMA50 (155.73) overhead.
Support: 155.55, 155.33, 155.00
Resistance: 155.71, 155.91
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 155.91 session high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 155.33 confirms continuation of the session low sequence toward 155.00
Sustained trade above the 155.68/155.73 EMA cluster would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Japan National CPI ex fresh food 23:30 GMT and Friday's BoJ decision can materially reset this structure
Lower highs from 156.41, price basing above the 155.33 session low.
Post-Fed Asia-session spike to 156.41 has bled off all day, with each London/NY bounce capped lower — 156.05, then a rejection at 155.91 ahead of the 12:00 GMT flush to 155.33 as hawkish BoJ repricing kept the yen the day's strongest major. That low was reclaimed within two bars and price is now pinned just under the EMA20 at 155.68, RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR ~16 pips.
Support: 155.55, 155.33
Resistance: 155.68, 155.91, 156.05
What it said to watch
A close above 155.91 prior high breaks the lower-high chain that has held since the Asia session
Failure to hold the 155.55 swing low re-opens the 155.33 session low
Japan CPI ex fresh food 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision Friday 03:00 GMT are the events that can invalidate this intraday read
Chain of lower highs since the post-FOMC spike; probe below the london low reclaimed.
USDJPY leaked through the london low at 155.53 into the pre-NY hours and printed 155.33 before an immediate reclaim, with JPY firm as positions are squared ahead of Friday's BoJ. Lower highs from the post-FOMC 156.41 spike are still intact — 155.68 has capped the bounce so far, with the 155.91 prior high the next marker above; ATR(14) at ~16 pips.
Support: 155.53, 155.33
Resistance: 155.68, 155.91
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above the 155.68 bounce high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 155.33 session low confirms continuation of the intraday downtrend
Japan CPI ex fresh food 23:30 GMT and Friday's BoJ decision/press conference are the dominant event risks for this pair
US Pending Home Sales 14:00 GMT lands inside the next hour of NY trade
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 45 · price 155.562
Lower highs / lower lows off 156.41, session low swept at 155.33.
Chain of lower highs from the 156.28 asian high through London, then a flush to 155.33 into the 12:30 GMT US claims/Philly print, immediately snapped back to 155.68 — a false break of the session low that has since faded, with the yen firm ahead of Friday's BoJ. Spot sits back under the ema20 near 155.69, RSI(14) ~44, ATR(14) 16 pips, having been rejected at the 155.91 ny high earlier in the hour.
Support: 155.53, 155.33
Resistance: 155.68, 155.91, 156.28
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 155.68 ema20 would break the lower-high sequence running down from the asian high
Failure to hold the 155.53 london low re-opens the 155.33 session low and invalidates the false-break read
Japan CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision/press conference Friday are the next material risks to this structure
US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 GMT falls inside the next bars
Lower highs from 156.41, session low swept at 155.33 then reclaimed.
NY hours opened with a sharp flush from 155.91 into the 12:30 GMT US claims/Philly Fed slot, printing a session low at 155.33 before the entire move was reclaimed within two bars. Price is now pinned at the EMA20 near 155.69 with RSI(14) back to mid-range at ~46, still inside a chain of lower highs from yesterday's 156.41 peak, with JPY firm ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 155.33
Resistance: 155.69, 155.91
What it said to watch
M15 close above 155.91 prior high would break the lower-highs chain
Failure to hold 155.33 session low confirms continuation of the intraday downtrend
ATR(14) at ~16 pips is elevated versus the Asian range — moves are running wider than earlier in the window
Japan CPI at 23:30 GMT and the BoJ decision Friday 03:00 GMT are the material event risks beyond this session
Post-FOMC spike high at 156.41 has been unwound in a clean chain of lower highs through Asia and London, with the 12:30 GMT US claims/Philly Fed window producing a flush to 155.33 that was immediately reclaimed — a false break of the 155.53 swing low. Price is back mid-range under EMA20 near 155.69, RSI(14) neutral around 47 and ATR(14) at roughly 16 pips.
Support: 155.53, 155.33
Resistance: 155.91, 156.19
What it said to watch
A 15m close below 155.33 confirms a lower low and reopens the session low as the pivot
Reclaim of the 155.91 session high breaks the lower-high chain off 156.19
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 GMT, then the BoJ decision and Ueda press conference tomorrow, can materially shift this read
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg lower · RSI 41 · price 155.431
Lower highs from post-FOMC peak, fresh lower low into NY open.
Rejection at the 155.913 session high into the NY open flipped the London grind into a 58-pip flush, breaking the 155.525 prior low and printing a session low at 155.331 as yen buying ahead of the BoJ met pre-data dollar profit-taking. Chain of lower highs from the post-FOMC peak at 156.412 stays intact; last bar is a shallow 10-pip bounce with RSI(14) near 41 and ATR(14) at 14 pips.
Support: 155.331, 155.00
Resistance: 155.525, 155.913, 156.412
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 155.525 prior low would invalidate the lower-low read and put 155.913 session high back in play
Failure to hold 155.331 session low opens the path toward the 155.00 psych level
US claims / Philly Fed landing now and BoJ decision plus Ueda presser tomorrow can reset this intraday structure
Lower highs from 156.41, session low broken at 155.33.
Two 30-pip bars into the 12:30 UTC US data cluster knocked USDJPY out of the 155.52–155.91 London range, printing a session low at 155.331 before a 10-pip bounce; JPY has been the firmer side all session on hawkish BoJ repricing. Price is below EMA20 (155.68) and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 41 — no reversal signal yet, just an unresolved break lower.
Support: 155.331, 155.114
Resistance: 155.68, 155.913
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 155.68 (ema20) would invalidate the range break read
Failure to hold 155.331 session low opens the path toward the 155.114 prior day low
US claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC and Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC can reset this intraday structure
12:16 UTC
Downtrend off 156.41, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 155.679
Lower highs since the Asia peak, base holding 155.53.
The post-Fed impulse that ran 154.83 to 156.41 in Asia has been unwound in steps, with London basing at the 155.53 session low before a push into 155.91 was rejected for a 33-pip candle into the London-NY transition — a false break of the session high, consistent with the pre-BoJ yen firmness flagged this session. Price is back mid-range at 155.68, under EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) neutral at 46 and ATR(14) around 12 pips.
Support: 155.53, 155.42
Resistance: 155.91, 156.19
What it said to watch
M15 close above 155.91 invalidates the false-break read and re-opens the 156.19 prior high
Failure to hold the 155.53 session low confirms a lower low toward the 155.42 impulse base
US claims / Philly Fed cluster at 12:30 UTC and Friday's BoJ decision are the near-term risks to this range read
The window contains yesterday's 18:00 UTC FOMC spike from 154.97 to 156.41, and price has bled lower since as hawkish BoJ repricing firmed the yen. Asia held 155.87–156.32, London broke beneath it to a session low of 155.52, and the last hour saw a marginal poke above 155.91 immediately reversed 33 pips ahead of the 12:30 UTC US data cluster — ranging 155.55–155.91 with RSI(14) at 46.
Support: 155.55, 155.52
Resistance: 155.91, 156.13, 156.32
What it said to watch
US claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC lands on the next bar and can break this 155.55–155.91 range in either direction
A 15m close above the 155.91 session high invalidates the lower-high sequence and reopens 156.13 prior swing
Loss of the 155.52 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
Japan National CPI tonight 23:30 UTC and Friday's BoJ decision are the larger scheduled risks beyond this session
12:01 UTC
Intraday recovery inside a wider range · RSI 57 · price 155.90
Higher-high/higher-low chain since the Asian low, still capped below the range mid-upper edge.
The post-FOMC spike to 156.41 has fully unwound; Asia bottomed at 155.53 (session low) and London has stacked a higher-low chain back up to the london high at 155.91. Price sits mid Asian range with RSI(14) near 57 and ATR(14) around 10.5 pips, with 156.05 prior swing then the 156.28 asian high capping the recovery while JPY stays supported into Friday's BoJ.
Support: 155.62, 155.53
Resistance: 155.91, 156.05, 156.28
What it said to watch
US claims/Philly Fed cluster lands ~30 minutes after this bar and can break the Asian range either way
A close back below the 155.62 higher low ends the recovery chain and re-exposes the 155.53 session low
Acceptance above the 156.05 prior swing opens the path to the 156.28 asian high
12:01 UTC
Recovery leg inside a broader post-FOMC pullback · RSI 56 · price 155.90
Higher lows off 155.53, pressing session high.
The post-FOMC spike topped at 156.41 and unwound to 155.53 in the Asia/early-London window, where a double bottom formed with a second low at 155.55 as the yen firmed into Friday's BoJ. London hours have built a chain of higher lows and cleared the 155.85 minor high; price now sits on the session high at 155.91 with RSI(14) mid-range at 56 and ATR(14) about 10.5 pips.
Support: 155.66, 155.53
Resistance: 155.91, 156.05, 156.21
What it said to watch
US claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC land in the next bar and can materially shift this read
Acceptance above the 155.91 session high opens the 156.05 prior swing and 156.21 prior high
Loss of the 155.66 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 155.53 session low
BoJ decision Friday 03:00 UTC keeps overnight risk two-sided
11:55 UTC
Pullback stabilising, higher lows since London low · RSI 54 · price 155.856
Lower high at 156.41, double bottom 155.53/155.55, higher lows into NY.
USDJPY leaked from the 156.41 prior day high through Asia into London, basing at the 155.53 london low with a second low at 155.55 — a double bottom — as hawkish BoJ repricing kept the yen the firmest major. NY hours have price grinding back to the 155.89 session high with RSI(14) near 54 and price reclaiming both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) around 11 pips.
Support: 155.65, 155.53
Resistance: 155.89, 156.05, 156.41
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 155.89 session high opens the 156.05 prior swing
Holding the 155.65 micro low keeps the higher-low chain intact; loss of 155.53 london low negates the double bottom
US claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC land in the next bars — range expansion beyond the ~11 pip ATR likely
Japan National CPI ex fresh food 23:30 GMT then Friday's BoJ decision could reset this structure entirely
Lower highs from 156.41, double bottom base at 155.52/155.55.
The post-FOMC spike to 156.41 has fully faded through Asia and early London, with a double bottom at 155.52/155.55 halting the slide and price now pressing the 38.2% fib of that decline near 155.86. RSI(14) ~53, ATR(14) ~11 pips; price is back above EMA20 but under EMA50 with the chain of lower highs from the 156.21 prior high still intact.
Support: 155.55, 155.52
Resistance: 155.89, 156.05, 156.21
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 155.89 session high would break the lower-highs chain and open the 156.05 swing pivot
Failure to hold the 155.55 session low / 155.52 prior low confirms a lower-low continuation
US claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC land inside the next bar hour and can re-price this range immediately