A late-NY breakout from the 4100–4130 band ran to the 4148.52 Monday high as the oil rout and a softer USD outweighed post-NFP hike pricing. Since then price has held a 4134–4148 range. Early Asia session is trading just under the Asian high at 4146.65, with RSI(14) cooled to about 62.
Support: 4,134.02, 4,130.60, 4,100.52
Resistance: 4,146.65, 4,148.52
What it said to watch
Close above the 4148.52 monday high clears last week's 4146–4150 cap and extends the breakout
Loss of the 4134 range low exposes the prior highs near 4130.6, which line up with the 38.2% fib
Break below the ny low at 4100.5 would undo the breakout and the rising lows sequence
Waller at 09:00 UTC and US CPI at 13:30 UTC Tue could materially shift this read
Breakout above 4130-4134 cap, now consolidating 4134-4148.
A late-NY rally from the 4100.5 NY low broke the 4130-4134 cap set by Monday's Asia and NY highs, printing the 4148.5 Monday high as USD and oil slid on Iran ceasefire hopes. Early Asia session is consolidating between the 4134 pullback low and that high, just under last week's 4146-4150 area. RSI(14) near 66 is cooling, not stretched.
Support: 4,134.00, 4,100.50
Resistance: 4,148.52, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4148.5 Monday high and 4150 round number clears last week's high
Loss of the 4134 pullback low exposes the 4130 breakout lvl near the 38.2% fib of the 4100-4148 leg
Failure back below 4130 turns the breakout into a false break and reopens the 4100.5 NY low
Fed's Waller 09:00 UTC and US CPI 13:30 UTC Tuesday could materially shift this read
Late-NY range break above 4130, consolidating 4134–4148.
After London faded to 4084.68, the 4130 range top capped NY three times before the 19:30 UTC range break. The break came as the USD slid with oil and carried to a 4148.52 session high, at last week's 4146–4150 high. Into the daily close price is consolidating 4134–4148, with the 21:30 dip holding the asian high, and RSI(14) near 65, not stretched.
Support: 4,134.00, 4,130.80, 4,100.50
Resistance: 4,148.50, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC (~16h) is the main event risk. Waller at 09:00 UTC lands during London and could shift the read earlier.
An M15 close back below the 4130.8 range top turns the move into a false break and opens the 38.2–50% fib zone at 4130–4124.
Acceptance above the 4148.5 session high and the 4150 round number clears last week's high.
Losing the 4134 asian high on a closing basis puts the ny low at 4100.5 back in range.
22:32 UTC
Uptrend after late-NY breakout, stalling under day high · RSI 64 · price 4,141.06
Broke 4100–4131 range, now consolidating 4134–4148.
Late NY broke the 4100–4131 range as the USD slid on the oil rout and Iran ceasefire hopes. Price was capped at the 4148.5 day high, near last week's 4146–4150 high. Post-NY close it is holding a 4134–4148 consolidation, with the 4134 pullback low respected twice; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-60s.
Support: 4,134.00, 4,130.80, 4,100.50
Resistance: 4,148.52
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4130.8 range top, which sits at the fib 38.2%, would turn the breakout into a false break
Clearance of the 4148.5 day high would open the 4150 area
Loss of the range top exposes the 4100.5 NY low
Waller at 09:00 UTC and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC (~15h) could materially shift this read
Gold spent most of Monday capped at 4130–4134, rejected there through Asia and twice in NY, before a late-NY breakout from the 4100.7 swing low as the USD slid on the oil rout and the softer 3-year auction. Since the 4148.5 session high it has compressed between a range low near 4134 and a range top near 4145, with RSI(14) cooled to about 59 and the prior cap sitting just under the 38.2% fib of the breakout leg.
Support: 4,134.00, 4,100.70
Resistance: 4,145.30, 4,148.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4148.5 session high clears last week's 4146–4150 area
Failure at the range low and a close back below the prior cap near 4130 turns the breakout into a false break
A slide back toward the 4100.7 swing low would retrace the entire breakout leg
Fed's Waller (09:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Broke 4130–4134 cap, holding 4134–4148.5 band into the close.
Late NY broke the 4130–4134 prior cap that had held through Asia, London and early NY, running to a 4148.5 session high as the USD slid on the oil rout. Price is now consolidating between the 4134 swing low and the session high, just under last wk high near 4150, with RSI(14) at 64.
Support: 4,134.00, 4,130.50, 4,100.50
Resistance: 4,148.50, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
Close back below the 4130.5 prior cap (38.2% of the breakout leg) would turn the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 4134 swing low exposes the prior cap; a move through the 4118.9 61.8% level puts the 4100.5 ny low back in play
Close above the 4148.5 session high and 4150 last wk high clears the post-breakout band
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC (~16h) and Fed's Waller at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Broke 4130–4134 cap, retesting it after 4148.5 rejection.
Late in the NY session gold ran from the 4100.5 NY low through the 4130 cap and the 4134 asian high, as the USD and oil slid. It tagged a 4148.5 session high next to last week's 4146–4150 high and was rejected there. Price is now retesting the asian high, with the 38.2% fib of the breakout leg sitting at the 4130 cap and RSI(14) cooled to ~57.
Support: 4,134.00, 4,100.50
Resistance: 4,145.25, 4,148.50
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4134 asian high fails the breakout retest; losing the 4130 cap exposes the 50% fib near 4124.5, then the 4100.5 NY low
Close above the 4145.25 lower high and 4148.5 session high clears last week's 4146–4150 high
Fed's Waller (09:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 4084.68 London low; Asian high cleared, now holding above.
A late-NY surge off the 4100.52 NY low broke the 4134.13 Asian high and stalled at the 4148.52 session high, just under last week's 4146–4150 high (last wk high). The move came as a slumping dollar and oil lifted gold. The pullback held the 4136.60 swing low after NY close, and RSI(14) is at 71 with ATR near 860 pips.
Support: 4,136.60, 4,134.13, 4,100.52
Resistance: 4,148.52, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
Close back below the 4134.13 Asian high would turn the breakout into a false break and put the 50% fib near 4124.5 in play
Clean close above 4150 (last wk high) extends the session high breakout
Loss of the 4136.60 swing low breaks the post-breakout higher-low sequence
Fed's Waller at 09:00 UTC and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read; a hot core print puts the 4100.52 NY low back in focus
Broke 4130–4134 range top, tight flag-like pause below 4148.5.
Late NY broke the 4130–4134 range top, which capped price three times and marked the Asian high. The breakout leg launched off a double low at 4100.5 and ran to a 4148.52 session high as USD and oil slid on Iran-talk headlines. Price is now consolidating in a 4137–4143 band above the pause floor and just under the 4146–4150 last wk high, with RSI(14) cooling to ~61.
Support: 4,137.10, 4,100.50
Resistance: 4,148.50, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4130 range top, also the 38.2% of the breakout leg, would turn the move into a false break
A close above the 4148.5 session high and the 4150 last wk high extends the breakout
Loss of the 4137 pause floor opens a retest of the 4130 range top
Fed's Waller (09:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Broke above the 4100–4134 day range, holding near the session high.
After London close, gold lifted off the 4100.5 NY low and cleared the 4134 Asian high, which had capped three NY-session tests near 4130. The rally off the NY low ran to a 4148.5 session high as the USD slid back below DXY 102.00 on US-Iran deal hopes. Price is now consolidating at 4137–4143 late in the NY session, RSI(14) cooling to about 68.
Support: 4,134.10, 4,113.10, 4,100.50
Resistance: 4,148.50, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 4134 Asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
Clearing the 4148.5 session high brings the 4150 round number and last-week highs into play
Loss of the 4113 swing low reopens the 4100.5 NY low
Fed's Waller (Tue 09:00 GMT) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
Late-NY range break above 4130/4134, stalling below 4150.
Late in the NY session gold broke out of the day's 4100.5–4130.8 range. A single bar added about $29 as USD weakness on Iran-deal hopes extended, taking out the 4134 Asian high. The move stalled at the 4148.5 session high, just under last week's 4146/50 zone, and the latest bar rejected that high. RSI(14) is cooling to ~68.
Support: 4,134.10, 4,130.80, 4,100.50
Resistance: 4,148.50, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
Holding above the 4134 asian high and the 4130.8 prior high, where the 38.2% fib of the NY leg sits, keeps the range break intact
A return below 4130 reopens the 50–61.8% fib zone at 4124/4119 and then the 4100.5 ny low
An M15 close above the 4150 round number clears the session high and last week's 4146/50 cap
Fed's Waller Tue 09:00 GMT and US CPI at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Late-NY range break above 4130–4134; higher lows at 4084.68 and 4100.52.
A late-NY surge cleared the 4130–4134 cap, which had rejected price three times since the Asian high, and printed a day high at 4148.52 into last week's highs as USD softened on Iran-deal hopes. RSI(14) is near 69 after the push, and the higher low at 4100.52 holds above London's 4084.68 low. The 38.2% of the breakout leg sits at ~4130, overlapping the old range top.
Support: 4,134.13, 4,113.09, 4,100.52
Resistance: 4,148.52, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
A slip back below the 4134 asian high would turn the breakout into a false break inside the 4100–4134 range
An M15 close below the 4113 ny swing low puts the 4100.52 higher low, and the rising higher-lows line, in play
Acceptance above the 4148.52 day high and the 4150 round number extends the breakout beyond last week's highs
Waller Tue 09:00 GMT and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Breakout from 4100–4108 NY base through 4130/34 caps; higher lows since the London low.
After London close, gold broke out of the 4100–4108 NY base. A 29-dollar 19:30 UTC bar cleared the 4130 prior cap and the 4134 Asia high, and price has since printed a session high at 4147.83, just under the 4150 last-wk high, as USD extends its post-NFP give-back. RSI(14) is near 77 and the 38.2% fib of the 4100→4147 leg sits on the prior cap.
Support: 4,134.13
Resistance: 4,147.83, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4130 (prior cap / 38.2% fib) would turn the breakout into a false break
Rejection at the 4147.83 session high / 4150 last-wk high would mark the push as a sweep of the highs
A break of the rising lows line from 4084.68 and loss of the 4100 ny base would reopen the session range
Waller Tue 09:00 GMT and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Broke 4100–4131 NY range to the upside, extended above the Asian high.
Late in NY hours gold left a double bottom at the 4100.5 NY low and ran through the 4130.8 range top and 4134.1 Asian high. It printed a 4139.3 session high as USD extended its post-NFP give-back. RSI(14) sits near 70 after the impulse, with the 4146–4150 week high just overhead.
Support: 4,134.10, 4,130.80, 4,100.50
Resistance: 4,139.30, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
Holding above the 4130.8 range top and 4134.1 Asian high keeps the breakout intact; a slip back below returns price to the 4100–4131 NY range
4146–4150 week high is the next test; a rejection there would leave a spike-and-fade just above the session high
A pullback toward the 50% fib of the spike near 4120 that holds keeps the up-leg's structure intact
Loss of the 4100.5 NY low negates the double bottom
Fed's Waller (Tue 09:00 GMT) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
19:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, capped in the 4130s · RSI 63 · price 4,129.16
Higher lows from 4084.68, 4100–4134 range, false break above.
A late-NY spike to the 4139.25 spike high briefly cleared the 4130.80 NY high and the 4134.13 Asia high, but the bar closed back below both. Price is holding 4129 inside the upper wick. The 4100.5–4134 range is still intact, and the day's lows are rising off the 4084.68 London low as the USD gives back its post-NFP gains on US-Iran peace hopes.
Support: 4,113.10, 4,100.50, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,130.80, 4,134.13, 4,139.25
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4134.13 asia high would turn the false break into a breakout, with the 4139.25 spike high next
Repeated rejection at the 4130.80 ny high keeps the 4100–4134 range read in place
A break below the 4113 swing low, near the fib 61.8% of the late spike, reopens the 4100.5 ny low and rising support
Fed's Waller (Tue 09:00 GMT) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
19:33 UTC
Intraday range after Asian rally, late-NY fade stalling · RSI 41 · price 4,110.44
Capped at 4130.8 range top, holding 4100.5 ny low.
The Asian rally peaked at the 4134.1 asian high, and NY failed three times at the 4130.8 range top. The late-NY fade held the 4100.5 ny low near the 61.8% retrace of the london low to NY high leg. Price is back at 4110, just above flat EMA20/50 and under the 4113 shelf, with a softer USD into CPI keeping the pullback shallow.
Support: 4,100.50, 4,084.70
Resistance: 4,113.10, 4,130.80, 4,134.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4113 shelf reopens the 4130.8 range top
Acceptance above the 4134.1 asian high breaks the day's range
Loss of the 4100.5 ny low breaks the 61.8% hold and exposes the 4084.7 london low
Waller Tue 09:00 GMT and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
19:17 UTC
Intraday pullback inside a wide Asian range, momentum soft · RSI 34 · price 4,102.66
Triple top at 4130–4131, neckline broken, late-NY compression 4100–4108.
NY rejected 4130–4131 three times under the 4134 Asian high. The break of the 4113 neckline at 16:00 GMT ran to the 4100.5 ny low, the 61.8% retrace of the rally off the 4084.7 london low. Late NY is compressing between 4100 and the 4108 lower high, below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) near 34. The softer-USD bid has stalled ahead of Tuesday's CPI.
Support: 4,100.52, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,108.19, 4,113.09, 4,130.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4100.5 ny low and round 4100 exposes the 4084.7 london low
Recovery through the 4108 lower high and back above the 4113 neckline negates the triple top read
Waller (09:00 GMT) and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
19:03 UTC
Intraday pullback inside Monday's up day · RSI 37 · price 4,103.36
Triple cap at 4130 broke the 4113 neckline; basing above the 4100.5 NY low.
The Asian high at 4134.1 held as London and NY were capped three times at 4129.6–4130.8. The last rejection of that triple cap broke the 4113 neckline, and price is now basing at 4100.5–4108 in late NY, close to the 61.8% retracement of the London leg. Monday's gains came on a softer USD and lower yields, but the session has given back roughly half of them.
Support: 4,100.50, 4,084.70
Resistance: 4,113.10, 4,130.80, 4,134.10
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 4100.5 ny low exposes the 4084.7 swing low, which is the base of the London leg fib.
Reclaiming the 4113 neckline negates the triple-top break and puts the 4130.8 triple cap and 4134.1 asian high back in play.
Waller (09:00 GMT) and US CPI (13:30 GMT) on Tuesday could materially shift this read. Thin Asia liquidity precedes them.
Triple top at 4130–31 broke the 4113 shelf, lower highs into a 4100.5 base.
Monday's softer-USD rally from the london low stalled at 4130–31, where three NY tests failed. The triple top broke down through the 4113 shelf, and price is now retracing toward the 61.8% fib of the London low–NY high leg. Demand has stepped in three times at the 4100.5 session base late in the NY session, with RSI(14) near 39 and price under both EMAs.
Support: 4,100.50, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,113.10, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4100.5 session base exposes the london low at 4084.7
Recovery above the 4113 shelf (38.2% fib) reopens the 4130 triple top and the asian high at 4134
Fed's Waller (Tue 09:00 GMT) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
18:17 UTC
Intraday pullback inside a day range · RSI 35 · price 4,103.94
Three NY-session failures near 4130 under the Asian high; lower lows since 16:00 GMT.
Gold recovered its post-NFP losses on a softer USD, but the NY session stalled three times near the 4130.8 ny high, below the 4134.13 asian high. The 16:00 GMT rejection has retraced to the 61.8% fib of the London-NY leg near 4102, with RSI(14) near 35, price under both EMAs and the 4100.68 swing low as the nearest floor.
Support: 4,100.68, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,113.10, 4,130.80, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4100.68 swing low confirms a lower low and exposes the 4084.68 london low
Recovery back above 4113.1, the prior floor that held twice in NY, would neutralise the pullback read
A break of the 4134.13 asian high would end the day range
Iran ceasefire headlines and US CPI on Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
18:04 UTC
Intraday range, rolling over from NY highs · RSI 33 · price 4,102.53
Triple top at 4130.8, neckline lost, testing 4100.
Asia's 80-dollar spike to the 4134.13 asian high faded into a 4084.68 london low. The NY rebound then capped in a triple top at 4129.6–4130.8, and the post-London-close slide has broken the 4113 neckline. Price now sits on the 4100 round number, which coincides with the 61.8% fib of the NY leg, with RSI(14) near 33 and ATR(14) around 710 pips.
Support: 4,084.68, 4,054.37
Resistance: 4,113.10, 4,130.80, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 4100 round number exposes the 4084.68 london low and, beyond it, the 4054.37 asian low
A recovery back above the 4113 neckline weakens the triple top read
A close above the 4134.13 asian high breaks the session range to the upside
Trump–Qatar PM meeting headlines and Waller (Tue 09:00 GMT) could shift this read ahead of US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT
17:47 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY triple top · RSI 31 · price 4,103.40
Lower highs below 4134, 4113 neckline broken.
NY hours built a triple top near 4130, capped below the 4134.13 Asia high. The neckline at 4113 gave way after London close, and price is now testing the 61.8% fib of the 4084.68–4130.80 London-NY leg, just above psych 4100. RSI(14) is near 31 and the day's USD-softening bid has faded into the close.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,113.00, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below psych 4100 exposes the 4084.68 london low
Reclaim of the 4113 neckline negates the triple top break; the 4134.13 asia high caps above
Trump–Qatar PM meeting headlines and Barkin's remarks could materially shift this read ahead of Tuesday's 13:30 GMT CPI
17:32 UTC
Intraday pullback inside Monday's up day · RSI 32 · price 4,104.33
Triple top at 4131 broken below 4113 range floor, lower lows.
Three rejections at 4130–4131 during NY hours, under the 4134 Asian high, built a triple top. Price broke the 4113 range floor after London close and now sits at 4104, near the 61.8% of the London rally and just above 4100 psych. RSI(14) is near 32 with price under both EMAs, though gold is still up on the day as the USD pares its post-NFP gains.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,113.00, 4,130.80, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 4113 range floor negates the range break and reopens the 4131 triple top.
Failure to hold 4100 psych and the 61.8% exposes the 4085 London low.
The Trump–Qatar PM meeting outcome and Barkin's remarks (in progress), then US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT, could materially shift this read.
Triple top near 4130, 4113 range floor lost after London close.
Gold's Asia run from 4054 to the 4134.13 Asia high faded into a 4084.68 London low. NY, helped by USD softness on Iran peace hopes, rebuilt to a triple top near 4130.8, then the late NY drop broke the 4113 range floor. Price sits between the 50% and fib 61.8 levels of the London-low-to-NY-high leg, with RSI(14) near 34 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 4,102.30, 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,113.10, 4,130.80, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 4113 range floor negates the range break
Failure at the fib 61.8 (4102.3) and the 4100 round number exposes the 4084.68 london low
A clear break above the 4130.8 triple top and the 4134.13 asia high invalidates the rejection read
The Trump–Qatar PM meeting outcome and Barkin's remarks around 17:15 GMT could shift this read; US CPI is due Tue 13:30 GMT
17:03 UTC
Intraday range, rolling over from highs · RSI 42 · price 4,111.14
Triple top at 4130 during NY hours, 4113 range floor broken.
Gold recovered the 4084.68 london low on a softer USD but was capped three times at 4130–4131 in NY, forming a triple top below the 4134.13 asia high. The 4113 range floor and the rising trendline from the London low gave way at 16:45 GMT, printing a 4105.19 ny low. Price is holding near the 38.2% of the London-NY leg with RSI(14) at 42.
Support: 4,105.19, 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,113.10, 4,130.80, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4113 range floor negates the range break
Failure to hold the 4105 ny low exposes the 4100 round number and the 4084.68 london low (61.8% of the London-NY leg near 4102)
Clearance of the 4130.8 triple top and 4134.13 asia high reopens the 4146/4150 area
Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 GMT) and Fed's Barkin (17:15 GMT) could materially shift this read; US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the larger risk
16:54 UTC
Sideways after Asian rally, momentum fading · RSI 41 · price 4,113.51
NY range 4113–4131, price testing range low.
Gold recovered from the 4,084.68 London low as the USD softened on Iran peace hopes, but NY has been rejected at the 4,130–4,131 ny high three times, short of the 4,134.13 Asian high. After London close, price is back at the 4,113 NY range low, where the 38.2% fib and EMA50 converge. RSI(14) is near 41 and price is below EMA20.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4,113 NY range low exposes the 50% fib at 4,107.7, then the London low at 4,084.68
Close above the 4,130.8 ny high and the 4,134.13 Asian high breaks the range read
Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 GMT) and Fed's Barkin (17:15 GMT) land within the hour; US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
16:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend from London low, stalling in NY range · RSI 53 · price 4,115.75
NY range 4113–4131 below the Asian high; higher low at London open still intact.
Gold climbed back from the 4084.68 London low as USD pared post-NFP gains on Iran peace hopes. NY stalled twice at the 4130.80 NY high, just under the 4134.13 Asian high, and the latest rejection returned price to the 4113 NY low, which lines up with the 38.2% fib of the London-to-NY leg. RSI(14) sits at a neutral 53 and price has slipped back below EMA20.
Support: 4,113.10, 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,130.80, 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4113 NY low breaks the NY range and exposes the 50% fib near 4107.7, then the 4100 round number
A break below the 4100 round number puts the 4084.68 London low back in play
A close above the 4134.13 Asian high clears the double rejection and opens a path toward the 4146/4150 prior high
The Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT and Barkin at 17:15 GMT could shift this read within the hour
Higher lows off London low, NY range capped 4130–4134.
Gold has rebuilt from the London low at 4084.68 as the USD pares its post-NFP gains. The NY session is ranging 4113–4131 after the dip held the 38.2% retrace at the NY low 4113.35. Supply is capping at the NY high 4130.80 for a fourth time, just under the Asian high at 4134.13, with RSI(14) ~57 and rising support intact.
Support: 4,113.35, 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,130.80, 4,134.13, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the Asian high at 4134.13 breaks the range top; the two-week high at 4146–4150 sits next overhead
Loss of the NY low at 4113.35 breaks rising support and exposes the round number at 4100, then the London low at 4084.68
Trump–Qatar PM meeting 17:00 GMT and Barkin 17:15 GMT could materially shift this read; US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the larger risk
16:03 UTC
Recovery stalling below Asia high · RSI 54 · price 4,120.63
Lower high at 4130.58 under 4134.13; 4113–4130 NY range above rising support.
Gold recovered the whole London dip to the 4084.68 london low as USD and yields eased, but NY stalled at 4130.58, a lower high under the 4134.13 asia high, and the 14:30 UTC rejection bar found demand at 4113.35, the 38.2% fib of the London-to-NY rally. Price is now chopping 4113–4126 with RSI(14) neutral near 54 and EMA20 flat beneath.
Support: 4,113.35, 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,130.58, 4,134.13, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134.13 asia high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 4146–4150 two-wk high in view
Loss of the 4113.35 ny low and rising support opens the 50% fib near 4107.6, then the 4100 psych area
Break of the 4084.68 london low would erase the day's recovery structure
Trump–Qatar PM meeting 17:00 GMT and Fed's Barkin 17:15 GMT could move USD and break the NY range
Lower highs 4134→4130.6, higher lows from 4084.68.
Gold retraced the whole London-open slide to the 4084.68 london low as the USD eased. It then stalled at the 4130.58 ny high, just under the 4134.13 asia high. The NY-open spike found demand at 4113.35, the 38.2% fib of that move, and price is now compressing on the rising trendline near 4117 with RSI(14) neutral around 52.
Support: 4,113.35, 4,106.35, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,130.58, 4,134.13, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4113.35 ny low and rising trendline exposes the 4106.35 higher low
Break above the 4130.58 ny high and 4134.13 asia high opens the 4146–4150 prior high
Trump–Qatar PM meeting 17:00 GMT and Fed's Barkin 17:15 GMT could shift USD and this read; US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the larger catalyst
15:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend from London low, stalling under Asia high · RSI 55 · price 4,118.42
Higher lows since London low; lower highs 4134/4132/4130 capping.
Gold has recovered the NFP drop as USD and yields ease. Asia ran 4054–4134; London bottomed at the 4084.68 london low and NY ground back to 4130.58, a third lower high under the 4134 asia high. The NY rejection pulled back to the 4113 ny low at the 38.2% fib of the London leg, RSI(14) near 55, with price two hours into NY just above EMA20.
Support: 4,113.35, 4,107.60, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,130.58, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4113 ny low and the trendline from the London low (~4111) exposes the fib 50% at 4107.6, then the 4084.68 london low
M15 close above the 4130.58 ny high and 4134.13 asia high breaks the lower-high cap; the 4146–4150 2-week high is next
Trump–Qatar PM meeting 17:00 GMT and Fed's Barkin 17:15 GMT could jolt USD during late NY
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the main event risk for this read
15:16 UTC
Intraday range, pulling back from range top · RSI 56 · price 4,117.19
4085–4134 range; London lower high at 4130.58 under the Asia high.
Gold spiked to the 4134.13 Asia high as USD gave back post-NFP gains, faded to the 4084.68 London low, then the London leg rebuilt to a 4130.58 London high. The first NY hour produced a rejection from that level down to the 4113.35 NY low, which coincides with the 38.2% retracement of the London leg. Price is sitting on the EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 4,113.35, 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,130.58, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4113.35 NY low exposes the 4100 round number and the 50% of the London leg near 4107.6
Close above the 4134.13 Asia high breaks the range to the upside; repeated rejection at the 4130.58 London high keeps the lower-high in play
Loss of the 4084.68 London low would turn the two range-top rejections into a completed reversal
Trump–Qatar PM meeting 17:00 GMT and Fed's Barkin 17:15 GMT could shift USD and this read; US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the larger event risk
15:03 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling below Asia high · RSI 56 · price 4,119.97
Higher lows from London low, lower high under Asia high.
Gold has retraced the London-open drop to the 4084.68 London low on a softer USD. The NY push stalled at 4130.58, short of the 4134.13 Asia high, and was rejected to a 4113.35 NY low that held at the 38.2% fib. Price is now ranging mid-session around 4120 with RSI(14) near 56 and an ATR(14) of about $8.4.
Support: 4,113.35, 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,130.58, 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134.13 Asia high opens last week's 4146 prior high
Loss of the 4113.35 NY low and 38.2% fib exposes the 4100 round number, then the 4084.68 London low
Goolsbee (15:00 GMT), Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 GMT) and Barkin (17:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the larger event risk for the session range
14:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling under the Asian high · RSI 58 · price 4,117.75
Higher lows from the London low, NY high capped below the Asian high.
Gold climbed from the 4084.68 London low as the USD slipped and yields eased. In NY it tested twice just under the 4134.13 Asian high. The 4130.58 NY high produced a 17-dollar rejection bar, and price is now sitting on the 38.2% fib at 4113.35 with the 4106.35 swing low below; RSI(14) has cooled to about 58.
Support: 4,113.35, 4,106.35, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,130.58, 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134.13 Asian high breaks the Monday range and brings the 4146 last wk high into view
Failure to hold 4113.35 (38.2% fib) and the 4106.35 swing low breaks the NY higher-low sequence and reopens the London low at 4084.68
Fed's Goolsbee at 15:00 GMT and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift USD and haven flows within the NY session
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the larger catalyst; pre-data positioning may compress the range late in NY
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing the Asia high · RSI 70 · price 4,128.70
Higher-low chain off the London low, testing Asia high.
The London session dropped to 4084.68. NY hours then erased the move on a softer USD and lower yields, and a higher-low chain carried price back under the 4134.13 Asia high. The NY pullback low at 4118 held twice, with RSI(14) near 70.
Support: 4,118.08, 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134.13 asia high opens last week's 4146 prior high
Break of the 4118 ny pullback low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain; the 38.2% of the NY rally (~4113) and the 4100 round number come next
Loss of the 4084.68 london low confirms a lower-low and voids the recovery
Goolsbee at 15:00 GMT and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT could materially shift this read; CPI is due Tue 13:30 GMT
14:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend from London low, stalling below Asian high · RSI 63 · price 4,125.33
Higher lows since 4084.68, capped by lower highs at 4134/4133/4130.
London open flushed price from the 4134.13 Asian high to 4084.68. The London rally into NY hours, on a softer USD and lower yields, has retraced about 80% of that drop and is now pressing the 4129.57 ny high, just under the asian high. The 4118 swing low and the ny trendline are holding underneath, with RSI(14) at 63 and not stretched.
Support: 4,118.08, 4,112.42, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,129.57, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134.13 asian high breaks the lower-high sequence and clears the Asian range
Loss of the 4118 swing low and the ny trendline exposes the fib 38.2 of the london rally at 4112, then the 4100 round number
Fed's Goolsbee (15:00 UTC), the Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 GMT) and Barkin (17:15 UTC) could materially shift this read
14:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under Asia high · RSI 69 · price 4,124.85
HH/HL chain from London low, capped at 4128–4130.
Asia ran from 4054 to a 4134.13 high as a softer USD erased Friday's NFP drop. London faded that rally to 4084.68, then a higher-low chain carried price back up into the first hour of NY. Three straight bars have been rejected at 4128–4130, just under the Asia high and the 4129.57 NY high, with RSI(14) near 69.
Support: 4,118.08, 4,106.35, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,129.57, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134.13 Asia high clears the day's session range top
A break of the 4118.08 higher low and the rising support line exposes the 4106.35 pullback low
Loss of the 4084.68 London low would fully reverse the NY recovery
Goolsbee (15:00 UTC), the Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 GMT) and Barkin (17:15 UTC) could materially shift this read ahead of Tuesday's CPI
13:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at NY high · RSI 58 · price 4,119.63
HH/HL chain from the London low, rejected below the Asian high.
Gold climbed from the 4084.68 London low in a HH/HL chain as USD slipped on US-Iran peace hopes. The first NY hour stalled at 4129.57, short of the 4134.13 Asia high, and a rejection bar pulled price back to 4119 with RSI(14) near 58. The rising trendline from the London low sits near 4115, just above the fib 38.2 at 4112.4.
Support: 4,112.40, 4,106.35, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,129.57, 4,134.13, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134.13 asia high clears the session ceiling and puts the 4150 last wk high in view
M15 close below the 4106.35 swing low breaks the rising trendline and the HL chain, exposing the london low
Fed's Bowman (13:40) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift this read; US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the larger risk
13:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, approaching Asian high · RSI 68 · price 4,127.20
Higher-low chain from London low, below Asian high.
Gold ran from 4054 to the 4134.13 Asian high as USD pared its NFP gains, then London sold it to the 4084.68 London low. A higher-low climb since late London has retraced past the fib 61.8 at 4115.2 into the NY open, with the intraday hi at 4129.57 just short of the Asian high and RSI(14) near 68.
Support: 4,115.20, 4,106.35, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,129.57, 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134.13 Asian high opens the path to the 4146 last wk high
Break of the HL trendline and the 4106.35 swing low undercuts the higher-low chain, exposing the fib 61.8 retrace back toward the 4084.68 London low
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) during NY hours could shift this read on December-hike signalling
Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT on an Iran ceasefire. US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the bigger structural risk
HH/HL chain off 4084.68, back inside the 4115–4134 Asian band.
London open sold gold out of the Asian band to a 4084.68 London low. The recovery from 11:00 GMT broke the 4100.75 London top and stair-stepped higher lows to 4121.72, with the 4126.05 session high capping the 13:00 bar. The move tracks the softer USD on Iran-ceasefire hopes, and RSI(14) at ~65 is not stretched.
Support: 4,117.91, 4,100.75, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,126.05, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
Break of the 4117.91 swing low ends the higher-low chain; the 4100.75 london top, at the 61.8% of the recovery fib, is next below
Close above the 4126.05 session high and the 4134.13 asian high clears the overnight band, with the 4146–4150 last-week top above
Loss of the 4084.68 london low negates the recovery read
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) plus the Trump–Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT could materially shift this read ahead of Tuesday's CPI
13:04 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since London low · RSI 64 · price 4,122.71
V-recovery from London low, retesting Asian high.
Asia ran from 4054 to the 4134 asian high as gold absorbed Friday's NFP beat, then London sold back to the 4084.68 london low. The 4091–4100 base broke higher late in London on a softer USD, building higher lows into the London-NY transition. Price is now at about a 77% retrace of the asia-london drop and is pressing the 4132.7–4134.13 double top area, with RSI(14) in the mid-60s.
Support: 4,106.35, 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134 asian high opens 4146 week high (last week's top)
Break of the 4106 swing low would turn the late-London leg into a lower high under the Asian high
Loss of the 4100 round number re-exposes the 4084.68 london low and breaks the higher-lows line
Fed's Bowman 13:40 and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT, then Trump–Qatar PM meeting 17:00 GMT, could materially shift this read
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the next major volatility event
12:32 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since London low · RSI 66 · price 4,114.89
HH/HL chain off 4084.68, testing 61.8% of Asian-London decline.
The Asian rally to 4134.13 faded through London, bottoming at the 4084.68 london low before a chain of rising lows lifted price back to the 4115 session high, right at the 61.8% fib of that decline. USD softness on Iran-peace hopes is underpinning the rebound into the late-London / pre-NY window. RSI(14) is near 66 and not stretched.
Support: 4,106.35, 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,115.00, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 4115 session high and 61.8% fib opens a retest of the 4134 asian high.
Losing the rising lows trendline and the 4106.35 swing low puts the 4100 round number back in focus. Failure there reopens the 4084.68 london low.
Bowman at 13:40 GMT and the Trump–Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift this read during NY hours. Tuesday's CPI sits beyond this window.
12:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since London open · RSI 66 · price 4,109.64
HL chain off the 4084.68 London low; morning range broken, stalling at the 50% retrace.
The Asia rally topped at the 4134.13 Asian high, and early London faded it to the 4084.68 London low. Price then built higher lows and broke the 4091–4100 morning range at 11:00 GMT on a softer USD tied to Iran ceasefire hopes. It is now stalling just under the 4113.15 London high, between the 50% and 61.8% fib retracement, with the range top at 4100 and the EMA50 directly beneath.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,113.15, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 GMT and the NY open could materially shift this read; the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT is a later headline risk
M15 close above the 4113.15 London high and the 61.8% fib retracement (~4115) opens the 4125–4134 shelf below the Asian high
Close back below the 4100 range top and the rising trendline returns price to the morning range
Losing the 4084.68 London low breaks the higher-low sequence
12:03 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off London low · RSI 59 · price 4,108.01
HL chain inside wide Asian range, stalling below session high.
Gold's Asia rally on the softer USD ran to the 4134.13 asian high before London unwound it to 4084.68. Higher lows at 4091.62 and 4094.95 then lifted price through the 4100.75 range top to a 4113.15 session high, stalling just under the 61.8% fib of that drop late in London with RSI(14) near 59.
Support: 4,100.75, 4,091.62, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,113.15, 4,115.24, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4100.75 range top and rising support turns the breakout into a false break
Clearance of the 4113.15 session high and the 61.8% fib at 4115.24 opens a run at the 4134.13 asian high
Loss of the 4091.62 higher low, then the 4084.68 london low, breaks the HL chain
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) during NY hours, plus the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT, could shift USD and this read
11:32 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since London open · RSI 56 · price 4,106.62
HL chain off 4084.68 london low; broke 4100 consolidation lid, testing 50% retrace.
The Asia session rally topped at the 4134.13 asian high. London opened with a pullback to the 4084.68 london low, and higher lows since have lifted price through the 4100 round number. The 4108.68 london high is stalling just under the 50% retrace (4109.4) of that pullback. The bounce tracks a softer USD on Iran-ceasefire hopes and lower oil; RSI(14) is near 56 and ATR around $5.80.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,091.62, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,108.68, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4100 round number puts the 4091.62 higher low and rising support back in focus
M15 close above the 4108.68 london high clears the 50% fib; 61.8% sits at 4115.2, below the 4134.13 asian high
A break of the 4084.68 london low negates the higher-low sequence
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 UTC (first hour of NY) and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT could materially shift this read
11:17 UTC
Pullback from Asia high, stabilising · RSI 49 · price 4,100.38
Tight London range with higher lows, capped near 38.2% retrace.
Gold gapped up from the 4073 gap base early in Asia on a softer USD and Iran-peace hopes, then printed a double top at the 4134.13 asia high. Early London broke the 4115 asian floor down to the 4084.68 london low. Since then price has held a 4091.6 range floor to 4102.5 range top band on higher lows, stalling at the 38.2% retrace.
Support: 4,091.60, 4,084.68, 4,073.03
Resistance: 4,102.50, 4,115.00, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4102.50 range top clears the 38.2% retrace and opens the 4115 asian floor
Break of the 4091.60 range floor and the higher lows line exposes the 4084.68 london low, then the 4073 gap base
Reclaim of the 4134.13 asia high would negate the double top
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) into the NY open, plus the Trump–Qatar Iran talks at 17:00 GMT, could materially shift this read
11:04 UTC
Intraday pullback from Asian high, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 4,098.80
Double top at the Asian high, lower highs since; London compressing in a 4091–4101 range.
Asia ran from 4054 to a double top at the 4134.13 Asian high, then broke the 4114.50 neckline and slid to a 4084.68 swing low into London. London has since held a tight 4091.60 range low to 4100.75 range high box, capped at ema20 near the 23.6% fib of the drop, with a softer USD on Iran-ceasefire headlines underpinning the bounce.
Support: 4,091.60, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,100.75, 4,114.50, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4100.75 range high and ema20 reopens the 4114.50 neckline, near the 61.8% fib of the drop
Failure to hold the 4091.60 range low exposes the 4084.68 swing low; a break there extends the lower-low sequence
Recapture of the 4134.13 asian high would void the double top read
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) during NY hours, then Trump–Qatar Iran talks at 17:00 GMT, could break the London range
10:47 UTC
Intraday pullback, now compressing · RSI 44 · price 4,096.65
Asian rally fully retraced to the 61.8%; tight 4091–4101 box since 08:30 UTC.
Asia ran from the 4054 Monday low to a 4134.13 session high on the softer USD. London then unwound it to the 4084.68 london low, almost exactly the 61.8% of the rally, before stalling. Mid-London, price sits in a 4091.6–4100.8 box below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 4,091.62, 4,084.68
Resistance: 4,100.75, 4,114.48, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4091.6 range low exposes the 4084.7 london low and 61.8% fib; failure there confirms a lower-low below the Asian rally
M15 close above the 4100.75 range high reopens the 4114.5 asian base, where the London breakdown started
Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) during NY hours, plus the Trump–Qatar Iran talks at 17:00 GMT, could break the compression; US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the larger risk
10:32 UTC
Intraday pullback, now compressing · RSI 42 · price 4,095.70
Asia rally to 4134 retraced 61.8% in London; tight range since.
The Asia session rally on a softer USD and Iran peace hopes, from the asian low at 4054.4 to the asian high at 4134.1, stalled, and early London sold it back to the london low at 4084.7, almost exactly the 61.8% retrace. Since about 08:00 UTC, price has compressed between the range low at 4091.6 and the range top at 4100.8. It sits just under EMA20, with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) around $6.5.
Support: 4,091.60, 4,084.70, 4,054.40
Resistance: 4,100.80, 4,134.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the range top at 4100.8 ends the compression and opens the 38.2% retrace near 4103.7
Failure to hold the range low at 4091.6, then the london low at 4084.7 (61.8% of the Asia rally fib), exposes the asian low at 4054.4
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 GMT and the Trump–Qatar Iran talks at 17:00 GMT could break the range during NY hours
Asian high at 4134.1 is the ceiling; no retest likely while price holds below the range top
10:17 UTC
Intraday pullback, basing after London selloff · RSI 45 · price 4,098.64
Asia rally faded, London lower-low, now tight 4091–4101 range.
Asia session ran from the 4054.37 asia low to a 4134.13 asia high on a softer USD and Iran-talks hopes, but the high was rejected and London open sold through the 4110.96 breakdown point to a 4084.68 london low. Mid-London, price is compressing between a 4091.62 range floor and 4100.75 range top, under EMA20 and EMA50 and just above the 23.6% retrace of the drop.
Support: 4,091.62, 4,084.68, 4,054.37
Resistance: 4,100.75, 4,110.96, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4100.75 range top and 38.2% fib (~4103.6) points to a retest of the 4110.96 breakdown level
Failure at the 4091.62 range floor exposes the 4084.68 london low; a break below extends the London lower-low
Fed speakers (Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00 GMT) and Trump–Qatar Iran talks at 17:00 GMT could materially shift this read
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the larger volatility risk for the session ranges
Asia double top at 4134, London lower highs, now a tight 4091–4100 band.
Asia lifted gold from the 4054 asia low to a 4134 asia high double top on the softer USD and Iran-peace headlines. London broke the 4114 asia floor and slid to a 4084.68 london low. Mid-London, price is compressing in a 4091–4100 band below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) near 42 and the bounce capped at the 4100 round number, about 31% of the leg.
Support: 4,084.68, 4,073.00, 4,054.37
Resistance: 4,100.18, 4,114.48, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4100 round number and the 38.2% fib at ~4103.6 would weaken the London downtrend line read and put the 4114 asia floor back in play
Failure to hold the 4084.68 london low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 4073 asia base, where the overnight breakout started
Fed speakers (Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT could materially shift this read ahead of Tuesday's US CPI
09:49 UTC
Pullback within Asia rally, stabilising · RSI 41 · price 4,094.75
London broke the Asian range base, 61.8% retrace held, lower high capped at 4100.
The Asia rally from 4054 to 4134 came on a softer USD and Iran-peace hopes. Early London gave it back to the london low at 4084.7, a near-exact 61.8% retrace of the move. The bounce stalled at the 4100 psych, and price is coiling 4091–4100 below EMA20/50 mid-London session.
Support: 4,084.70, 4,070.70, 4,054.40
Resistance: 4,100.20, 4,114.50, 4,134.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4100 psych reopens the range base at 4114.5, where the Asian consolidation broke
Failure to hold the london low at 4084.7 breaks the 61.8% hold and exposes the friday close near 4070.7
Below 4070.7, the asian low at 4054.4 is the full retrace of the Asia rally
The asian high at 4134.1 stays the session ceiling while price holds below the range base
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 GMT and the Trump–Qatar Iran talks at 17:00 GMT could materially shift this read
09:32 UTC
Asia rally unwinding, pullback stalling at 61.8% · RSI 38 · price 4,093.80
A softer USD and Iran-talks hopes drove the Asia session rally from 4054 to the 4134 asian high. A double top there gave way to a slide into the 4084.7 session low, right at the 61.8% retracement of the Asia rally fib. The London open bounce met rejection at the 4100 round number, and price now sits near the 50% level, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) ~38 and ATR ~$7.
Support: 4,084.68, 4,070.71
Resistance: 4,100.18, 4,114.48, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4084.7 session low breaks the 61.8% hold and exposes the 4070.7 friday close
Close back above the 4100 round number reclaims the 38.2% level and puts the 4114.5 range floor back in play
Only a recovery through the 4134 asian high would negate the double top read
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT), plus the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT, could materially shift this read
09:17 UTC
Intraday pullback from Asia high, bounce stalling · RSI 39 · price 4,097.08
Asia range floor broken in London, lower highs from 4134; bounce off 61.8% fib.
Asia rallied from the 4054 Asia low to a 4134 Asia high on a softer USD and Iran-diplomacy hopes. Early in the London session, price broke the 4114 Asia floor and fell to the 4084.68 London low, which sits on the 61.8% retracement of the rally. The bounce from there is stalling just under the 4100 psych level and EMA20, and RSI(14) is near 39.
Support: 4,084.68, 4,054.37
Resistance: 4,100.18, 4,114.48, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4084.68 London low (61.8% fib) exposes the 4054 Asia low
M15 close back above the 4100 psych and the 4114 Asia floor would turn the range break into a false break
Fed speakers from 13:40 GMT and the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT could materially shift this read
09:04 UTC
Pullback within Monday's Asia rally, downside momentum fading · RSI 39 · price 4,096.01
Asian range broken lower in London, holding the 50–61.8% retrace zone.
Asia ran from 4054 to a 4134.13 asian high on a softer USD and Iran-talk headlines. Price then held a 4114–4133 range until London open broke the range floor and sold off to the 4084.68 london low, the 61.8% retrace of the Asia move. The bounce has stalled at the 4100.18 bounce high, with price below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 4,084.68, 4,073.03
Resistance: 4,100.18, 4,114.48, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4084.68 london low breaks the Asia-move retrace and exposes the 4073 breakout pt where the Asia rally launched
Reclaim of the 4100.18 bounce high and the 4114.5 range floor would put price back inside the Asian range
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT), then the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT, could materially shift this read during NY hours
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the larger event risk; positioning into it may compress the range late in the session
08:47 UTC
Intraday pullback, bouncing off fib support · RSI 39 · price 4,099.28
Asia rally to 4134 reversed at London open; Asian range floor broken, low held at 61.8%.
Asia ran from 4054 to a 4134.13 session high on a softer USD and Iran-talk hopes, then ranged above 4114.5. London open broke that range floor and the slide stopped at the 4084.68 London low, right on the 61.8% fib of the Asia leg. Price is now back at the 4100 round number, under EMA20 and just above EMA50, with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 4,084.68, 4,073.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,114.50, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 4100 round number keeps the post-London lower-high sequence intact
M15 close back above the 4114.5 range floor negates the London range break
Loss of the 4084.68 London low and the 61.8% fib exposes the 4073 asia base, where the Asia breakout started
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 GMT and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT fall in the NY session and could shift this read
08:32 UTC
Pullback from Asia spike, lower highs since 05:30 UTC · RSI 33 · price 4,094.95
Asian range broken lower; bounce off 61.8% at London open.
Gold spiked from the 4054.37 Monday low to a 4134.13 session high in early Asia on Iran-diplomacy hopes and a softer USD, held a 4114–4133 range, then broke the Asian low before London and dropped to a 4084.68 session low, right at the 61.8% retracement. The first London hour is bouncing into the 50% level near 4094, with RSI(14) lifting off 31 and price still below the 4103 breakdown.
Support: 4,084.68, 4,077.55, 4,054.37
Resistance: 4,103.00, 4,114.48, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4103 breakdown would put the asian low at 4114.48 back in play
Failure to hold the 4084.68 session low / 61.8% opens the friday high at 4077.55, then the monday low at 4054.37
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) could shift December hike pricing in the NY session
Trump–Qatar PM Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT could reprice oil and USD after NY hours begin
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the main event risk for this structure
Lower highs from 4,134 asian high; range floor broken, bounce off 61.8 fib.
Gold ran from the 4,054.37 asian low to a 4,134.13 asian high on Iran diplomacy hopes and a softer USD. A double top near 4,133 then gave way through the 4,114.5 range floor, and the slide into London tagged the 61.8 fib at 4,084.68. Price is now bouncing just under the 4,100 round number, with RSI(14) near 35 and price below both EMAs.
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4,084.68 (61.8 fib) exposes the 4,081 friday high and the 4,065/75 zone
Reclaim of the 4,100 round number and then the 4,114.5 range floor would undo the range break
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT), plus the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT, could materially shift this read
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the larger event risk sitting behind today's session
Asia rally rejected at 4134; lower highs and lower lows into London open.
Asia rallied from the 4054.37 asian low to a 4134.13 session high on Iran-diplomacy and softer-USD support, but the 4132.70 retest formed a double top. The break of the 4114.48 swing low has retraced 61.8% of the Asia rally into the London open, with the 4084.68 low sitting on the 61.8% fib and RSI(14) near 23.
Support: 4,084.68, 4,076.66, 4,054.37
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,114.48, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 4100 round number would stall the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 4084.68 (61.8% fib) exposes the 4076.66 breakout pt and 78.6% at ~4071
A return above the 4114.48 swing low would negate the double top
Loss of the 4054.37 asian low would fully unwind the Asia rally
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT), Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
Double top at 4134/4133, range low broken, lower highs since 02:00 UTC.
The Asian session rally from the 4,054 Monday low to the 4,134 session high, built on Iran diplomacy hopes and a softer USD, has been half unwound. A double top at 4,134/4,133 broke the 4,115 range low ahead of London open, and price now sits near 4,090, between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the rally. RSI(14) is near 33 and not yet oversold.
What it said to watch
Holding the 61.8% fib at 4,084.8 keeps the drop a retracement of the rally; a break exposes the Friday high at 4,081.2, then the Monday low at 4,054.4.
Reclaiming the 38.2% fib at 4,103.7 and the 4,115 range low would neutralise the double top read.
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) during NY hours, plus the Trump–Qatar PM Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT, could reshape intraday structure.
US CPI on Tue 10 Nov at 13:30 GMT is the larger event risk beyond this window.
Asian range low broken; second high at 4132.7 failed below the 4134.1 session high.
Gold rallied in the Asia session from 4054 to a 4134.1 session high on Iran-diplomacy hopes and a softer USD. A second high at 4132.7 failed, then a late-Asia break of the 4114.5 asia low ran into the 4100 round number ahead of London open. Price is now just under the EMA50 near 4100, with the 50% fib at 4094 next and RSI(14) near 28.
Support: 4,094.25, 4,090.90, 4,073.03
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,114.48, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
Holding the 50% fib at 4094 and the 4090.9 swing low keeps this a retracement of the Asia rally; a loss of both exposes the 4073 breakout base
A move back above the 4114.5 asia low and the lower-highs line negates the double top read
A sustained close back above the 4100 round number puts the fade on hold
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar PM Iran meeting (17:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
07:17 UTC
Intraday pullback after Asian rally, momentum fading · RSI 36 · price 4,103.26
Lower highs below 4134 asian high; double top neckline 4114.5 broken.
Asia session ran from the 4054 gap low to a 4134 asian high on softer USD and Iran diplomacy headlines, then stalled. A double top at 4134/4133 resolved through the 4114.5 neckline, and lower highs have walked price into London open at the 4100 psych level and the 38.2% fib, with EMA50 just beneath.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,094.25, 4,076.66
Resistance: 4,114.48, 4,126.90, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4114.5 neckline negates the double top read
Failure to hold 4100 psych exposes the fib 50% at 4094, then the 4076.7 base high
Trendline from the asian high capping the lower high at 4126.9; a break above it reopens 4134
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) could materially shift this read during NY hours
Trump–Qatar PM Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT is a headline risk for the USD and oil
Asia session ran from 4054 to a 4134 session high on a softer USD and Iran diplomacy headlines. A second failed push at 4133 and the break of the 4114.5 swing low into London open have price sitting just above the 38.2% fib of the Asian leg. RSI(14) is at 37 and EMA50 sits near 4100.
Support: 4,103.70, 4,094.20, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,114.50, 4,134.10
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4114.5 broken low negates the double top read
Failure to hold the 38.2% fib at 4103.7 exposes the 50% fib at 4094 and the friday high at 4081
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 GMT and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Asia session ran about 80 dollars from the 4054 open dip to the 4134 asia high as the USD softened on Iran-diplomacy headlines. It then formed a double top at 4134/4133, and late Asia broke the 4114.5 neckline. Price is just under the 23.6% of the asia rally fib, RSI(14) neutral near 51, with the 38.2% near 4104 sitting above the 4100 round number.
Support: 4,109.40, 4,100.00, 4,090.90
Resistance: 4,114.50, 4,127.30, 4,134.10
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4114.5 neckline puts price back inside the 4115–4127 range, with the range top at 4127.3
A London-open close below the 4109.4 intraday low opens the 38.2% fib near 4104 and the 4100 round number
Loss of the 4090.9 pullback low undercuts the Asia rally structure
A close above the 4134.1 asia high voids the double top read
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) ahead of Tuesday's US CPI could materially shift this read
Double top at Asian highs, price testing 4114.5 neckline.
Asia opened with a gap down to 4054, then ran to the 4134 asia high as the USD softened and oil slipped. The 4132.7 retest failed to extend, leaving a double top. Late in the Asian session price is pressing the 4114.5 neckline, close to the 23.6% retracement, with RSI(14) near 44 and the 4126.9 lower high capping bounces.
Support: 4,114.48, 4,103.66, 4,094.25
Resistance: 4,126.90, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4114.5 neckline confirms the double top. The 38.2% fib at 4103.7, then the 50% fib at 4094.3, sit below.
Reclaim of the 4126.9 lower high and a break of the 4134 asia high negates the double top read.
London open at 07:00 UTC is the first test of the Asian range extremes.
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin could shift Dec hike pricing ahead of Tue CPI at 13:30 UTC.
06:17 UTC
Asian rally stalled, sideways near the session high · RSI 51 · price 4,120.50
Tight range 4114.5–4134.1 after an 80-point Asian leg, with a lower high at 4132.7.
Monday's Asia session dipped to 4054.4 after the open, then ran through Friday's prior high at 4081 to a 4134.1 session high, helped by a softer USD and Iran-deal hopes. Since 02:00 UTC price has ranged between the 4114.5 range low and the session high, holding the 23.6% fib, with a lower high at 4132.7 and RSI(14) flat near 51 ahead of London open.
Support: 4,114.50, 4,100.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,132.70, 4,134.10
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4114.5 range low opens the 38.2% fib near the 4100 psych level
A break above the 4132.7 lower high and the 4134.1 session high would extend the Asian leg
Failure back below Friday's 4081 prior high would undo the Asian breakout
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee (15:00) and Barkin (17:15), plus Trump–Qatar Iran talks at 17:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Pennant below the Asian session high after an 80-dollar impulse leg.
Gold gapped lower at the Asia open and dipped to 4054.37, then ran to a 4134.1 session high as the USD softened on falling oil and Iran-deal hopes. Since then it has coiled in a pennant. The 03:45 UTC pullback to the 4114.5 swing low held the 23.6% fib, a 4132.7 lower high formed, and price is now sitting between the 4119 range low and 4127 range high just above ema20, with London open close.
Support: 4,119.10, 4,114.50, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,126.90, 4,132.70, 4,134.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134.1 session high breaks the pennant top and the Asian range high
Repeated caps at the 4127 range high keep price coiled inside the pennant
Loss of the 4119 range low exposes the 4114.5 swing low; below that, the 4100 psych area and the 38.2% fib near 4103.7
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin, plus the Trump–Qatar meeting at 17:00 UTC, could materially shift this read ahead of Tuesday's CPI
05:47 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating below the Asia high · RSI 60 · price 4,120.56
Impulsive Asia rally from 4054 to 4134, now a 4114–4134 range with a marginal lower high.
Asia session lifted gold from 4054 through Friday's 4081 post-NFP high to a 4134 Asia high as the USD softened on Iran-talk and lower-oil headlines. Price has since held a 4114–4134 range, with the range low sitting on the 23.6% of the rally fib. A lower high at 4132.7 and RSI(14) easing to about 60 show momentum cooling into the London open.
Support: 4,114.50, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,132.70, 4,134.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4114.5 range low exposes the 4100 round number, near the 38.2% of the rally fib
Close above the 4134 Asia high resumes the higher-high chain; holding under the 4132.7 lower high keeps the range intact
London open in about 2h is likely to test the Asian range edges
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin today and Tuesday's US CPI (13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below the Asia high · RSI 63 · price 4,124.63
Asian-session rally from 4054, now a 4114–4134 consolidation.
Asia rallied from 4054 to the 4134 Asia high and cleared the 4100 round number as the USD softened on Iran-deal hopes and lower oil. Since then price has held a tight 4114–4134 range, with dips to the range low stalling at the 23.6% retracement. RSI(14) has cooled to about 63 and London has not opened yet.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,134.10, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134 Asia high breaks the range and opens the path to the 2-week high near 4146
Failure to hold the 4114 range low and the 23.6% retracement exposes the 4100 round number, then the friday high at 4081
London open in roughly 90 minutes is the first test of the Asian range
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin today, and Tuesday's US CPI, could materially shift this read
Asia session ran an 80-point leg from 4054 to a 4134 session high, clearing the 4081 Fri high as USD eased on Iran-talk hopes and lower oil. Since then price has held a 4114.5 range low, roughly the 23.6% fib, with a 4132.7 lower high capping the bounce. RSI(14) has cooled to ~66, and ATR(14) is near 8.4 points.
Support: 4,114.50, 4,106.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,134.10, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
London open is the first test of the 4114.5–4134 Asian consolidation
M15 close below the 4114.5 range low exposes the 4106 breakout shelf near the 38.2% fib, then the 4081 Fri high
Close above the 4134 session high reopens the 4146 two-wk high
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin later today, plus US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
05:04 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after Asia impulse · RSI 63 · price 4,123.15
Bull flag 4114–4134 below session high.
Asia session ran from the 4054 low through Friday's 4081 high to a 4134.13 session high as USD softened on lower oil and Iran-talk headlines. Price is now coiling in a 4114–4134 flag late in Asia, with a marginal lower high at 4132.7 and the swing low holding near the 23.6% retracement. RSI(14) is around 63.
Support: 4,114.50, 4,103.70, 4,094.30
Resistance: 4,132.70, 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4114.5 swing low breaks the flag and exposes the 38.2% fib at 4103.7, then the 50% fib at 4094.3
Close above the 4132.7 lower high and 4134.13 session high reopens the 4146 two-week high
London open in ~2h is the first test of the Asian range
Fed's Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00 and Barkin 17:15 UTC could materially shift this read ahead of Tuesday's CPI
04:47 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below the session high · RSI 68 · price 4,126.98
Impulsive Asia rally, now a tight 4114–4134 flag above the 23.6% fib.
Monday opened on a small gap below Friday's 4070.71 close. Price dipped to 4054.37, then rallied about 80 to a 4134.13 Asia high as gold shrugged off the NFP drop on Iran and defence-budget headlines and a softer dollar. Late Asia has compressed into a flag, with the flag low near 4114.48 holding at the 23.6% fib and RSI(14) around 68.
Support: 4,114.48, 4,100.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134.13 asia high breaks the flag and puts the 4146 2-wk high next
Loss of the 4114.48 flag low and the rally trendline exposes the 4100 round number, then the 4081 friday high
London open could set the direction out of the Asian range; Bowman at 13:40 UTC and Tue CPI are the larger event risks
Asia breakout above Friday's range; higher low at 4114.48 shelf.
Gold dipped to 4054.37 at the Asia open, then broke out of Friday's post-NFP range and ran to a 4134.13 session high on Iran de-escalation speculation. The pullback low at 4114.48 held a shelf well above the 38.2% fib, and price is grinding back toward the session high late in Asia with RSI(14) near 64, not stretched.
Support: 4,114.48, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4114.48 pullback low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 4100 round number and 38.2% fib
Close above the 4134.13 session high opens the 2-week high at 4146
London open in ~3h could set a new session range; Asia trend line support rising toward 4118
Fed speaker Bowman at 13:40 UTC, then Goolsbee and Barkin, could shift this read ahead of Tuesday's CPI
Impulsive Asia leg, tight consolidation above 23.6% fib.
Asia session opened with a small gap below Friday's 4070.71 close and dipped to 4054.37. It then rallied ~$80 through the 4081 friday high to a 4134.13 asia high, on speculation over ending the Iran war and blocking the defence budget, which outweighed the post-NFP hawkish read. Price has since held a 4114–4122 band above the 23.6% fib, with RSI(14) cooled to ~60.
Support: 4,114.48, 4,100.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4114.5 pullback low exposes the 4100 round number, near the 38.2% fib at 4103.7
Clearance of the 4134 asia high puts the 4146 2-week high in play
Failure to hold 4100 would put the friday high at 4081 back in focus
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) during NY hours could materially shift this read ahead of Tuesday's US CPI
04:04 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after Asia impulse · RSI 62 · price 4,117.92
Asia rallied from a 4054 post-gap low to a 4134 session high and cleared Friday high 4081. The digest ties the move to Iran-deal and Congress headlines that outweighed Friday's NFP-driven drop. Price is now holding a 4114–4122 consolidation near the 23.6% fib, above EMA20 (~4107), with RSI(14) cooled to 62 and a lower high at 4122.
Support: 4,114.48, 4,100.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,122.31, 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4114 swing low exposes the 4100 round number and the 38.2% fib (~4104)
Break above the 4122 lower high reopens the 4134 session high, then the 4146 2-week high
Loss of 4100 brings Friday high 4081 back into play as a breakout retest
London open and Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) could shift the read; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger risk
03:47 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after impulsive Asia leg · RSI 66 · price 4,122.31
Breakout above Friday high and 4100. Shallow flag holding the 23.6% retracement..
Asia session gapped lower and dipped to 4054. An impulsive leg then cleared the friday high at 4081 and the 4100 round number, topping at the 4134.13 Asia high as USD softened on Iran de-escalation hopes. The pullback stalled at the 4115 pullback low, the 23.6% retracement of the rally, forming a tight flag with RSI(14) cooled to ~66.
Support: 4,115.30, 4,100.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4115 pullback low opens a deeper retracement toward the 4100 round number (38.2% near 4104)
Break above the 4134.13 Asia high resumes the leg, with the 2-week high at 4146 the next reference
Loss of 4100 puts the friday high at 4081 back in play and negates the breakout
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) could shift the USD tone; Tue CPI 13:30 UTC is the larger swing risk
03:32 UTC
Uptrend, first pullback after Asia impulse · RSI 64 · price 4,116.16
80-dollar Asia leg 4054→4134, lower highs since 02:00 UTC.
Monday's gap down to 4054 reversed fast. Gold ran to a 4134 session high in the Asia session, clearing the Friday high at 4078 as Iran de-escalation hopes outweighed the hawkish NFP read. Price is now pulling back into the 23.6% fib near the 4115 pullback low with lower highs since 02:00 UTC. RSI(14) has cooled to 64 and price is still above EMA20 near 4105.
Support: 4,115.28, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4115 pullback low exposes the 4100 round number and the 38.2% fib near 4104
Reclaim of the 4134 session high reopens the 4146 two-week high
Failure to hold 4100 puts the Friday high at 4078 back in focus
London open in ~3.5h and Bowman at 13:40 UTC could reshape the Asian range
03:17 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 67 · price 4,117.72
Impulsive Asia leg above Friday high; first lower high at 4132.76, pullback to 23.6% fib.
Monday's Asia session dipped to 4054 after a soft open, then ran about $80 through the 4081.2 Friday high and the 4100 handle to a 4134.13 session high as USD softened on Iran de-escalation hopes. RSI(14) cooled from above 80 to about 67 as price eased to the 4115 pullback low, which sits on the 23.6% rally fib.
Support: 4,115.28, 4,103.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4115 pullback low exposes the 38.2 fib and breakout area near 4103
A close back below 4103 opens a return toward the 4081 Friday high and retraces most of the Asia rally
Reclaiming the 4134 session high reopens the 4146 2-week high
London open liquidity is the first test of whether the Asia range holds
Fedspeak from 13:40 UTC (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) and Tuesday's CPI could materially shift this read
03:03 UTC
Uptrend, first pullback off session high · RSI 68 · price 4,120.12
Asia impulse broke Friday high; HH/HL chain intact, pulling back.
Monday's Asia session opened with a dip to 4054, then a ~$80 impulse cleared the Friday high at 4081 and the 4100 round number. Iran de-escalation and defense-budget headlines outweighed Friday's hot NFP. Price is now pulling back from the 4134 session high to a pullback low at 4119, sitting just above the 23.6% fib at 4115, with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-70s.
Support: 4,119.41, 4,100.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4119 pullback low and the 23.6% fib at 4115 opens a deeper retracement toward the 4100 round number / 38.2% at 4104
An M15 close back below the Friday high at 4081 would negate the Asia breakout
A close above the 4134 session high puts the 4146 two-wk high in play
London open is likely to test the Asian range extremes; Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Tuesday's US CPI could materially shift this read
Asia impulse leg with HH/HL chain, now compressing below session high.
Monday's Asia session opened slightly lower, dipped to 4054.37 and then rallied about $80. The Asia rally cleared the Friday high at 4081.20 and the 4100 round number on Iran de-escalation and defense-budget headlines, retracing all of Friday's NFP drop. Price is now stalling just under the 4134.13 session high, with RSI(14) near 78 and bar ranges shrinking.
Support: 4,118.85, 4,100.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
A close above the 4134.13 session high opens the 4146 2-week high flagged in the digest
A close below the 4118.85 micro low breaks the intraday HL chain
A pullback that holds the 4100 round number (fib 38.2% near 4104) keeps the breakout structure intact
Losing 4081.20 (friday high) unwinds the breakout
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin later today could shift this read ahead of Tuesday's US CPI
Asia session HH/HL chain after weekend gap down; Friday high taken out.
Monday Asia gapped lower to a 4054 low, then reversed in an ~80-dollar run through the 4081 friday high and the 4100 round number, erasing Friday's NFP-driven drop to 4027 on de-escalation headlines. Price is easing off the 4134 session high with RSI(14) near 76; the 4112 breakout shelf and the 38.2% fib near 4104 are the first areas where the pullback meets prior structure.
Support: 4,112.30, 4,100.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
Hold of the 4112 breakout shelf keeps the Asia-session HH/HL sequence intact
M15 close back below the 4100 round number and 38.2% fib opens a deeper retrace toward the 4081 friday high
Break above the 4134 session high brings the 4146 2-week high into play
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) during NY hours could materially shift this read ahead of Tuesday's CPI
Asia breakout above Friday high; HH/HL chain from 4054.
Asia session ran $80 off the 4054 open dip and cleared the 4081 Friday high. The move fully reversed the post-NFP drop on Iran-peace and Congress headlines, and has printed a session high at 4134 with a minor HL at 4118.85. RSI(14) near 77 is hot, and the 4100 round number sits at the 38.2% fib of the Asia leg.
Support: 4,118.85, 4,100.00, 4,081.20
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4118.85 minor HL breaks the micro HH/HL chain
Loss of the 4100 round number / 38.2% fib puts the 4081 Friday high back in play
Rejection at the 4134 session high or the 4146 two-week high would mark a stall in the Asia leg
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read ahead of Tue CPI
HH/HL chain off the Asia low, stalling just under the session high.
Gold opened the Asia session with a gap lower, then reversed from the 4054.37 Asia low. The rebound cleared the Friday high at 4081.20 and the 4100 round number in a near-vertical rally to a 4126.95 session high, on Iran de-escalation hopes that are outweighing Friday's NFP beat. RSI(14) is near 77, and the last two bars are stalling just under that high.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,081.20, 4,054.37
Resistance: 4,126.95, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4100 round number puts the move into a 38.2% retrace of the rally
A break of the rally trendline turns the read toward a deeper pullback into the Friday high at 4081.20
Clearance of the 4126.95 session high opens the path to the 4146 2wk high
Loss of the 4054.37 Asia low would fully unwind the post-gap rally
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the main scheduled risk; Fed speakers from Mon 13:40 UTC could shift the read
Asia breakout above Friday's range, HH/HL chain from 4054.
Monday's Asia session opened with a gap down, dipped to 4054, then rallied about $70. It broke Friday's 4097 high and the 4106 friday cap where the post-NFP rebound stalled, and printed a 4125.5 session high. RSI(14) near 79 is stretched; buyers held the 4100 psych shelf on each pause during the climb.
Support: 4,106.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,125.50, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
Holding above the 4106 friday cap keeps the breakout intact; an M15 close back below 4100 psych would flag a false break
38.2% retrace of the Asia leg sits near 4098, alongside the 4100 psych shelf
A push through the 4125.5 session high puts the 4146 2-week high in view
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin speak today ahead of Tue CPI; hawkish hike signalling could reverse the Asia leg
V-shaped Asia rally from gap-down low; higher highs/higher lows above Friday high.
Monday's Asia session opened with a gap below Friday's 4070.71 close and dipped to a session low at 4054.37. It then rallied about $58 through the friday high at 4100.42 to a session high at 4112.31, retracing the post-NFP selloff with no fresh catalyst in the news flow. RSI(14) sits near 71 and the last two bars are stalling under 4112, with the rally's 38.2% fib close to the 4090.90 pullback low.
Support: 4,100.42, 4,090.90, 4,076.66
Resistance: 4,112.31, 4,146.00
What it said to watch
A close back below the friday high at 4100.42 would mark the breakout as a false break
Holding the pullback low at 4090.90 keeps the higher-low chain intact; losing it exposes the 61.8% fib near 4076.66
A clean break of the session high at 4112.31 brings the 4146 2wk high into view
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin speak from 13:40 UTC, and China CPI is due later today; any of these could shift this read ahead of Tuesday's US CPI
Higher low above the NFP low; Friday high cleared by 4.5.
Monday's Asia open dipped to 4054 and then ran $57 in about an hour. The rally cleared the 4106.9 Friday high and printed a 4111.4 session high, and price is now hovering at that Friday high with RSI(14) near 74. The digest offers no fresh headline for the move, which cuts against Friday's post-NFP dollar tone; the 4100 round number and the 4090.9 swing low are the first pullback pivots.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,090.90, 4,077.50
Resistance: 4,106.90, 4,111.40
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4100 round number would mark the Friday-high break as a false break
Deeper pullback meets the 61.8% fib near the 4077.5 fri ny high
Sustained trade above the 4111.4 session high leaves the 4146 two-week high as the next reference
A break of the higher-low trendline from the NFP low would undo the recovery structure
Fed speakers Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin (13:40–17:15 UTC) and Tuesday's US CPI could materially shift this read
Asia breakout above Friday range, testing Friday high.
Early Asia session Monday gapped down to 4061, set a 4054 low, then ran about 56 to a 4110 session high, clearing Friday's 4078 prior high and poking above the 4106.87 Friday high. The digest carries no fresh catalyst and still frames gold as heavy after Friday's NFP beat, so the move stands out against that tone. RSI(14) is near 71 and the current bar is wicking back toward 4102.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,090.90
Resistance: 4,106.87, 4,110.11
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4106.87 Friday high marks the poke above it as a false break; a close above the 4110 session high extends the breakout
Loss of the 4100 psych level and the 4090.90 pullback low opens the 38.2% fib near 4089, then the 4078 prior high
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin speak later Monday, ahead of Tuesday's US CPI; hike signalling could materially shift this read
Asia opening range broken higher, pressing Friday high.
Early Asia session filled the weekend gap, then broke the 4054–4074 opening range with a single 30-dollar bar to a 4103.03 session high. Price is stalling just under the 4106.87 Friday high, with RSI(14) near 71. The move runs against the digest's heavy post-NFP tone, which flags no fresh catalyst behind it.
Support: 4,074.40, 4,054.37
Resistance: 4,103.03, 4,106.87
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4106.87 Friday high clears Friday's failure point and opens the path toward the 4146 two-week high cited in the digest
Return below the 4074 range top, the 61.8% of the Monday leg, would turn the range break into a false break
Loss of the 4054.37 session low reopens Friday's 4027–4030 NFP lows
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin speak 13:40–17:15 UTC today, ahead of Tuesday's 13:30 UTC CPI, and could materially shift this read
Higher lows since NFP low; Monday gap filled, pressing Friday high.
Monday's Asia session opened below the 4070.71 Friday close and dipped to a 4054.37 Monday low. A single bar then reversed it to fill the gap, and price is now pressing the 4077–4078 Friday high zone alongside the 61.8% fib of Friday's post-NFP selloff at 4076.6. Higher lows from the 4027.52 NFP low remain intact on the rising lows line, and RSI(14) near 60 is not stretched.
Support: 4,070.71, 4,054.37, 4,027.52
Resistance: 4,081.20, 4,106.87
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4081.20 London high clears the Friday high zone and opens the path to the 4106.87 Fri Asia high
Rejection at the Friday high / 61.8% fib and a close back below the 4070.71 Fri close puts the gap fill at risk, with the 4054.37 Monday low next
Loss of the rising lows line and the 4054.37 Monday low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 4027.52 NFP low
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) speak later Monday; Tuesday's US CPI at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Rebounding off the open low, testing range top · RSI 61 · price 4,075.10
Post-NFP range 4027.52–4081.20; Monday gap filled; price at the range top.
Monday's Asia open gapped below the Fri close at 4070.71 and dipped to the 4054.37 open low. One bar then reversed the drop and filled the gap, putting price against the 4078.54 Friday NY high and 4081.20 London high. That leaves most of Friday's NFP drop to the 4027.52 nfp low retraced, despite the payrolls beat lifting the USD.
Support: 4,070.71, 4,054.37, 4,027.52
Resistance: 4,078.54, 4,081.20, 4,106.87
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4081.20 london high breaks the post-NFP range top and puts the 4106.87 asia high in view
Slip back below the 4070.71 fri close reopens the gap and exposes the 4054.37 open low
Rejection at the 4078.54 ny high keeps the 4027.52–4081.20 range read intact
Fedspeak from 13:40 UTC (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) and Tuesday's US CPI could materially shift this read
00:03 UTC
Short-term down, early Asia weakness · RSI 42 · price 4,057.56
Gap lower at the open, lower high at 4073, trading under Friday's late range.
Gold gapped about $9 below Friday's 4070.71 close, and early Asia session buyers stalled at a 4073.29 session high, short of the 4078.54 NY swing hi. Friday's post-NFP dollar strength carried over and price slid to a 4054.37 session low, now sitting just under the 38.2% retracement of the NFP low-to-high move, with the 50% near 4053 and the fib 61.8% at 4047 beneath.
Support: 4,054.37, 4,047.00, 4,027.52
Resistance: 4,070.71, 4,073.29, 4,078.54
What it said to watch
Acceptance below the 4054.37 session low opens the fib 61.8% at 4047 and then the 4027.52 NFP low
A reclaim of 4070.71 completes the gap fill and puts the 4073.29 session high back in play, extending the lower-highs line
An M15 close above the 4078.54 NY swing hi breaks the lower-highs sequence
Fedspeak from 13:40 UTC (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) could materially shift this read ahead of Tuesday's CPI