XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Monday, 9 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
22:06 UTC
Uptrend, pressing prior high · RSI 59 · price 4,138.44
Higher lows since 3870 low, retest of 4147-4149 high.
Gold has printed a sequence of higher lows since the 3870 low: 3895, then the 4027.52 pullback low, then the 4084.68 swing low. The trendline joining the last two higher lows rises beneath price. The latest bar has pushed to 4148.52, retesting last week's 4146.92 prior high, as the USD and oil slump lifts the metal despite elevated December hike pricing. Price holds above both EMAs with EMA20 over EMA50, and ATR near 37 dollars reflects an expanding, active regime rather than compression.
Support: 4,084.68, 4,027.52
Resistance: 4,148.52, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 4148.52 prior high confirms the range break and opens the 4,190 area flagged in the digest, then the 4200 round number
Rejection at the prior high followed by a break of the 4084.68 swing low would end the higher-low sequence
Pullback low at 4027.52 sits inside the 38.2-50% fib zone of the 3870-4147 impulse
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC (~16h) could materially shift this read; a hot core print threatens the higher-low trendline
Higher lows have held since the 3870 low. The impulse to the 4146.92 window high retraced to the 4027.52 NFP low, just beyond the 38.2% fib, before demand stepped in. The Monday low at 4054.37 was absorbed as USD pared its post-NFP gains on Iran peace hopes, but the 4130 cap has turned price back three times, leaving a mild lower-highs line below the window high. Price holds above EMA20 (near 4095) and EMA50, with EMA20 above EMA50, and ATR(14) near 3,700 pips sits below the early-month expansion.
Support: 4,084.68, 4,054.37, 4,027.52
Resistance: 4,146.92
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT (~21h) could materially shift this read in either direction
H4 close above the 4146.92 window high breaks the consolidation and the lower-highs line
Loss of the 4084.68 swing low and the higher-lows line toward the 4054.37 monday low weakens the sequence
Failure to hold the 4027.52 nfp low breaks the higher-low structure and exposes the 50% fib near 4009
Higher lows from the 3870 base; capped under 4146.92 swing high.
Gold has printed higher lows since the 3870 base. The break above the 3971 base top ran to a 4146.92 swing high, and the post-NFP dip held the 4027.52 higher low, between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of that leg. A softer USD and Iran peace hopes have since lifted price back toward 4123. Price is holding above both EMAs and sits just under the 4134 lower high. ATR(14) near 3,800 pips has eased from the breakout expansion, consistent with consolidation under the swing high.
Support: 4,084.68, 4,027.52, 3,971.01
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.92
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 4146.92 swing high extends the higher-high sequence
Failure to hold the 4084.68 pullback low puts the 4027.52 higher low back in focus
A break below the 4027.52 higher low and the rising trendline invalidates the uptrend read, exposing the 3971 base top
US CPI Tue 10 Nov 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read; Fed's Goolsbee, Barkin and Waller speak beforehand
Higher lows intact; 4027-4147 range with a lower high at 4134.
Higher-low structure has held since the 3870 swing low, with the rally peaking at the 4146.9 two-week high before the hawkish NFP beat drove a pullback to 4027.5, holding between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of the 3870-4147 fib. Monday's softer USD and Iran-peace hopes lifted price to 4134, a lower high, and price is now rotating back toward the 4054 swing low while sitting just above a flattening EMA20, with EMA50 rising below. ATR(14) near 3800 pips is off the late-October expansion but still elevated, and the 4027-4147 range defines the swing structure into CPI.
Support: 4,054.40, 4,027.50, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,134.10, 4,146.90
What it said to watch
H4 close below the 4027.5 pullback low breaks the higher-lows trendline and exposes the 61.8% fib near 3976 and the 4000 psych level
Failure to hold the 4054 swing low shifts focus back to the 4027.5 range floor
Close above the 4134 lower high and 4146.9 two-week high would resolve the consolidation higher
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT, plus Waller beforehand and today's Trump–Qatar Iran talks, could materially shift this read
06:06 UTC
Uptrend, retesting the two-week high · RSI 58 · price 4,118.19
Higher highs and higher lows since the 3870 low.
Higher-high, higher-low structure since the 3870 low. The post-NFP pullback held the 4027.52 swing low near the 38.2% of the impulse fib, and Monday's open lifted price back through the 4078 prior cap toward the 4134 monday high, helped by a softer USD in Asia on falling oil and Iran-deal hopes. Price now sits just under the 4146.92 2-week high, which lines up with the 4142 high at the start of the window. EMA20 is above EMA50, and ATR(14) near 37 points shows an expanding regime rather than compression.
Support: 4,078.58, 4,027.52, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,134.13, 4,146.92
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 4146.92 2-week high would extend the higher-high sequence; rejection there leaves a double-top risk against the 4142 window high
A fall back below the 4078.58 prior cap would put price back inside last week's chop
Loss of the 4027.52 swing low, below the higher-lows trendline, breaks the higher-low structure and exposes the 4000 round number
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read; Fed speakers (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin today, Waller Tue) come first
Higher low at 3895.5 and higher high at 4146.9; pullback holding above 4027.5.
The post-midterm USD slide drove an impulse from the 3870 low to a 4146.9 2-week high. Friday's NFP beat pushed hike odds back to 77% and knocked gold back to a 4027.5 swing low, close to the 38.2% retracement of that rally. Since then price has compressed between that swing low and a 4081 lower high, with bar ranges shrinking well below the 38-dollar ATR(14) and price sitting on the rising higher-low line. Price trades just under EMA20 but above EMA50, and EMA20 remains above EMA50, so the swing structure is intact while momentum is neutral with RSI near 50.
Support: 4,027.52, 4,008.59, 3,971.01
Resistance: 4,081.20, 4,100.00, 4,146.92
What it said to watch
H4 close below the 4027.5 swing low and the higher-low line exposes the 50% fib at 4008.6 and the 4000 round number
Loss of the 3971 prior high, near the 61.8% retracement, would break the higher-low sequence
H4 close above the 4081 lower high reopens the 4100 round number and the 4146.9 2-week high
US CPI Tue 10 Nov 13:30 UTC could resolve the compression; Fed speakers Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin and Waller are due ahead of it