XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Sideways, gap filled, pressing range top · RSI 53 · price 4,195.94
4180–4202 range since Friday NY, higher lows intact.
The Sunday open gapped about $6.50 below Friday's 4195 close. Demand stepped in at the 4184.83 gap low, near the 50% of the ny swing fib, and the gap filled within the first hour of the Asia session. Price is now capped just under the 4199.35 Asia high and the 4202.09 prior high, inside the range in place since Friday's NY session, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 4,184.83, 4,180.87, 4,168.57
Resistance: 4,199.35, 4,202.09, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4202.09 prior high breaks the range top and opens the 4207.48 friday high
Loss of the 4184.83 gap low exposes the 4180.87 swing low and the 61.8% of the ny swing fib
A break below the 4168.57 ny low ends the higher-low sequence
Oil and Hormuz headlines during the Asia session could shift the read
Fed's Hammack (Mon 16:50 UTC) and CPI on Wed are the next scheduled USD drivers
23:32 UTC
Range-bound, weekend gap filled · RSI 50 · price 4,195.37
Asia gap-down filled; price boxed below 4200 inside Friday's NY range.
Monday's Asia open gapped about $6.5 lower to 4188.56. Buyers stepped in at the 4184.83 open low, near the 50% retracement of Friday's NY swing, and the gap is now filled back to 4196.98. Price sits under the 4200 cap that held after Friday's UoM-driven rally, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 4,184.83, 4,168.57
Resistance: 4,202.09, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4202.09 late ny high puts the 4207.48 friday high and the 4200 range cap under test
Failure to hold the 4184.83 open low reopens the 4168.57 ny swing low and the 61.8% of the ny swing fib near 4181
Oil and Strait of Hormuz headlines through the Asia session, then Fed's Hammack Mon 16:50 UTC, could shift this read ahead of Wednesday's CPI
23:18 UTC
Pullback after Friday's NY recovery, momentum soft · RSI 39 · price 4,190.88
Weekend gap lower, early Asia holding the 50% retrace of the NY swing.
Gold opened the week roughly $6.50 below Friday's 4195.03 close. Friday's NY recovery from 4168.57 on softer yields after the Michigan miss stalled at the 4202 ny high, below the 4207.5 friday high and the $4,200 cap. Early Asia is holding the open low near 4184.8, about the 50% retrace of the NY swing, with RSI(14) near 39 and price below EMA20 but sitting just above EMA50.
Support: 4,184.80, 4,175.20, 4,168.60
Resistance: 4,195.00, 4,202.10, 4,207.50
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4195 would complete the gap fill and put the ny high at 4202 back in play
Loss of the open low at 4184.8 exposes the london low at 4175.2, then the ny low at 4168.6
Another failure in the 4202–4207.5 friday high zone keeps $4,200 acting as the range cap
Hormuz/Iran headlines in thin Asia trade and Fed's Hammack Mon 16:50 UTC could shift this read; US CPI Wed is the week's main catalyst
The Asia session opened about $6.5 below Friday's 4195.03 close and has drifted to a 4184.83 session low in the first hour, sitting on the 50% fib of Friday's 4168.57–4202.09 NY leg. There was no fresh weekend news, so price is still boxed inside Friday's range under the 4207.48 Friday high and the $4,200 cap, with the open high at 4192.80 and the gap fill above.
Support: 4,184.83, 4,175.20, 4,168.57
Resistance: 4,192.80, 4,195.03, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4184.83 session low exposes the 4175.20 swing low; failure there puts the 4168.57 Friday low in view
Reclaim of the 4192.80 open high and a move into the 4195.03 gap fill neutralises the gap-down read
Strait of Hormuz/Iran headlines during the Asia session could extend or close the opening gap
Fed's Hammack Mon 16:50 UTC is the first scheduled USD risk ahead of Wednesday's CPI
22:48 UTC
Intraday range below 4207, gapped lower at the open · RSI 35 · price 4,186.99
Gap down into the 50% retracement of Friday's NY swing; Asia session range forming 4184–4193.
Gold opened the Asia session about $6 below the 4195.03 friday close. It is holding the 4184.83 session low, near the 50% retracement of Friday's NY swing from the 4168.57 ny low to the 4202.09 ny high. Friday's yield-driven rebound after the UoM sentiment miss stalled at that ny high, short of the 4207.48 friday high.
Support: 4,184.83, 4,175.20, 4,168.57
Resistance: 4,195.03, 4,202.09, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above 4195.03 fills the weekend gap and reopens the 4202.09 ny high and 4207.48 friday high
Failure to hold the 4184.83 session low and the 50% ny swing fib exposes the 4175.20 london low, then the 4168.57 ny low
Iran/Strait of Hormuz headlines at the Asia open, in thin early-week liquidity, could materially shift this read
22:33 UTC
Pullback after Friday rally, early Asia drift · RSI 37 · price 4,188.65
Weekend gap down below Friday close; holding mid-range of Friday's NY leg.
Gold reopened the Asia session about $6.5 below the 4195.03 friday close. Friday's yield-driven rally stalled at the 4207.48 friday high and the 4202.09 ny high, under the 4200 cap flagged in the digest. Price is holding just above the 4184.83 session low, between the 38.2% and 50% fib of Friday's NY leg (4168.57–4202.09), with RSI(14) near 37 and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 4,184.83, 4,175.20, 4,168.57
Resistance: 4,195.03, 4,202.09, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
Gap fill back to the 4195.03 friday close reopens the 4202.09 ny high and 4207.48 friday high
M15 close below the 4184.83 session low and 50% fib exposes the 4175.20 london low, then the 4168.57 friday low
Hormuz/Iran headlines at the Asia open could extend the gap move
US CPI Wed Oct 14 12:30 UTC and Fed's Hammack Mon 16:50 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts for the 4200 cap
22:19 UTC
Range-bound, soft after a gap lower at the reopen · RSI 41 · price 4,188.15
Friday range 4168.57–4207.48 with a lower high at 4202.09; Sunday gap down still unfilled.
Gold reopened about $6.5 below Friday's 4195.03 close. The early Asia session is holding the sunday low at 4186.50, near the 38.2% of the NY swing fib (4168.57–4202.09). Friday's rally on softer yields after the Michigan miss stalled under the $4,200 cap, leaving a lower high at 4202.09 beneath the 4207.48 friday high; RSI(14) 41, price below EMA20 and sitting on EMA50.
Support: 4,186.50, 4,180.87, 4,168.57
Resistance: 4,195.03, 4,202.09, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4195.03 fills the weekend gap and brings the lower high at 4202.09 back into view
Failure to hold the sunday low at 4186.50 exposes the ny pullback at 4180.87, then the ny low at 4168.57
Close above the 4207.48 friday high breaks the lower-high line and the range top
Strait of Hormuz/Iran headlines during the Asia open could widen or close the gap
Weekend gap lower, holding inside Friday's 4168–4207 range.
The week opened with a roughly $5 gap below the 4195 fri close. The first Asia-session bar is holding 4186.5, the open low, inside Friday's 4168–4207 range. Friday's Asia leg off 4131, on softer yields and the Michigan miss, stalled at the 4207.5 friday high, and NY then chopped beneath the 4202 swing high, with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 4,186.50, 4,180.90, 4,168.57
Resistance: 4,195.03, 4,202.09, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
Gap fill back to the fri close at 4195 versus a break of the open low at 4186.5 sets the Asia-session tone
Loss of the 4180.9 swing low exposes the 4168.6 friday low, which sits near the 50% retrace of the friday rally
Acceptance above the 4202 swing high and the 4207.5 friday high breaks the $4,200 range cap
Iran/Hormuz headlines at the Asia open, Fed's Hammack Mon 16:50 UTC, and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:48 UTC
Intraday higher lows, momentum flattening into the weekly close · RSI 57 · price 4,195.03
Higher-low chain from the NY low, compressing below the 4200 cap.
Friday's Asia spike to the 4207.48 session high was rejected, and NY printed the ny low at 4168.57 before softer yields after the Michigan miss lifted price. A higher-low chain along the rising trendline then carried gold to a 4202.09 ny high, and the week closed compressed around 4195 under the $4,200 cap, with RSI(14) near 57 and bar ranges shrinking.
Support: 4,192.50, 4,180.87, 4,168.57
Resistance: 4,202.09, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
Sunday Asia open: Hormuz/Iran headlines could gap price away from the 4195 close and reset session structure
A break of the rising trendline and the 4192.5 swing low ends the higher-low chain, exposing the 38.2% ny swing fib near 4189.3 and the 4180.87 higher low
A close above the 4202.09 ny high puts the 4207.48 session high and the $4,200 range cap back in play
Loss of the 4168.57 ny low would turn the intraday structure to lower lows
Fed's Hammack (Mon 16:50 UTC) is the first scheduled catalyst ahead of Wednesday's CPI
21:33 UTC
Range after Asia rally, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 4,195.03
Friday range 4168–4207 capped below session high; late-session coil near 4195.
Friday's Asia-session rally from 4131 topped at the 4207.48 session high, and London and NY then held a 4168–4207 range. The NY low at 4168.57 held near the 50% asia rally fib as softer yields and the Michigan miss kept the dip shallow. The week closed coiling at 4195 under the 4200 psych and 4202.09 ny high, with the NY higher lows trendline flattening out and ATR compressing.
Support: 4,192.48, 4,180.87, 4,168.57
Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,202.09, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
Sunday Asia open gap vs the 4195 close on Hormuz/Iran headlines could reset the range read
M15 close above the 4207.48 session high breaks the Friday range top
Loss of the 4192.48 swing low and 4180.87 higher low exposes the 4168.57 ny low and 50% asia rally fib
21:18 UTC
Range below $4,200 after Asia rally, momentum neutral · RSI 56 · price 4,195.03
4168–4207 range; higher lows under lower highs into weekly close.
The Asia session rally from 4131 tagged the 4207.48 day high on softer yields. London and NY then held a 4168–4207 range, with the 4168.57 NY open low holding near the 50% level of the asia rally fib. Late NY printed a 4185.31 swing low and a 4192.48 higher low beneath lower highs at the 4202.09 late NY high, compressing under the $4,200 cap into the weekly close with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 4,192.48, 4,185.31, 4,168.57
Resistance: 4,202.09, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
Close above the 4202.09 late NY high and the 4207.48 day high breaks the lower highs trendline and the range top
Loss of the 4192.48 higher low, then the 4185.31 swing low, reopens the 4168.57 NY open low and the 50% asia rally fib
Sunday Asia open: Strait of Hormuz/Iran headlines could gap price away from Friday's close
Fed's Hammack Mon 16:50 UTC and Wednesday's US CPI could materially shift this read
Lower highs under 4207.48, Friday close compressing in a 4192–4202 band.
Gold set its session high at 4207.48 in an Asia spike before London faded it. Sellers pushed price to the 4168.57 NY low at the NY open, near the 50% fib of Friday's 4131–4207 rally, and price recovered toward 4200 after the Michigan sentiment miss. Friday closed compressing in a 4192–4202 band, with the 4202.09 NY high forming another lower high and RSI(14) neutral near 57.
Support: 4,192.48, 4,185.31, 4,168.57
Resistance: 4,202.09, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4207.48 session high breaks the lower highs and clears the 4200 cap
Failure to hold the 4192.48 band low exposes the 4185.31 swing low
Loss of the 4168.57 NY low and the 50% fib undermines the Friday rally structure
Sunday Asia open gap risk on Hormuz/Iran headlines; Fed's Hammack Mon 16:50 UTC
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (f/c 3.6% y/y) could materially shift this read