XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:07 UTC
Uptrend since Wednesday, stalling under 4200 · RSI 52 · price 4,185.41
Higher lows from 4066.52, consolidating 4168–4207 below the week high.
Gold rebuilt from Wednesday's 4066.52 London-session low, then broke out of Thursday's 4105–4146 range in Friday's Asia session from a 4143 break base and printed a 4207.48 week high as yields eased into the soft Michigan sentiment miss. Since then price has consolidated between the 4168.57 friday low and 4202, with repeated rejection just under 4200. The Sunday open gapped about $6.50 below the 4195.03 fri close, slipping beneath the Thursday–Friday higher-lows trendline and the 4188.56 weekly open. Price is holding only marginally above EMA(20) near 4182, with RSI(14) back to 52.
Support: 4,182.20, 4,168.57, 4,143.14
Resistance: 4,188.56, 4,195.03, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
H1 closes back above the 4188.56 weekly open and 4195.03 fri close would put the 4200 cap and 4207.48 week high back in play
Hourly acceptance above the 4207.48 week high breaks the consolidation ceiling
Loss of EMA(20) near 4182 and the 4168.57 friday low (close to 23.6% of the wed-fri impulse) opens a deeper pullback toward the 4143 break base
Fed's Hammack (Mon 16:50 UTC) and Waller (Tue 07:45 UTC) ahead of US CPI on Wed Oct 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:07 UTC
Recovery uptrend off Wednesday low, stalling under 4200 · RSI 63 · price 4,189.85
Higher lows from 4066.52; lower high at 4202 under 4207.48 week high.
Gold built higher lows off Wednesday's $4,066.52 two-month low, set during the early NY session. It cleared the $4,146 Thursday high in Friday's Asia session and printed a $4,207.48 week high as yields eased. Friday's NY low at $4,168.57 held near EMA(20), and the post-Michigan-miss recovery stalled at $4,202, a lower high under the $4,200 trendline cap. The Sunday open gapped a few dollars below the $4,195 Friday close but held above EMA(20) at ~$4,182, with RSI(14) near 63.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the $4,207.48 week high breaks the lower-high sequence and the range top
Failure to hold the $4,168.57 fri ny low exposes the 38.2% fib near $4,154 and the $4,146 thu high
Unfilled Sunday gap below the $4,195 fri close keeps the rejection-under-$4,200 read intact
US CPI Wed Oct 14 12:30 UTC (f/c 3.6%) is the key catalyst; Fed's Hammack Mon 16:50 UTC and Waller Tue 07:45 UTC could shift the read first
Higher lows since Wednesday, compressing under the week high.
Gold has rebuilt from Wednesday's 4066.52 two-month low in a sequence of higher lows, at 4105 on Thursday and the 4168.57 friday low, as easing yields took over from the mid-week dollar squeeze. Friday's Asia session drove the impulse into the 4207.48 week high. Price has since compressed below the 4200 round number through London and NY, holding above the H1 ema20 near 4186 with RSI(14) around 58. The Michigan sentiment miss defended the friday low but did not produce an H1 close through the range top.
Support: 4,186.00, 4,168.57, 4,145.97
Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,207.48
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 4207.48 week high breaks the range top and invalidates the rejection read
Loss of the 4168.57 friday low and the higher-low trendline exposes the 38.2% fib near 4154 and the thu high at 4146
Sunday Asia open: Hormuz/Iran headlines could gap price around the 4200 round number
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (f/c 3.6%) and Hammack Mon 16:50 UTC could materially shift this read