XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 16 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Range after pullback, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 4,332.96

Consolidating between 4322 and 4347 post-rejection from 4354.

Gold rejected the 4354 session high and pulled back to 4313 before settling into a tight Asian-session range around 4332, RSI(14) flat near 49. Volume thinned into the late session with price stalled below the broader 4400 ceiling, sitting near the 50% retrace of the 4354-4313 move.

Support: 4,322.00, 4,313.30

Resistance: 4,347.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 swing high reopens 4354 session high
  • Loss of 4322 swing low exposes 4313 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this range

23:46 UTC

Rangebound, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 4,332.96

Consolidation below session high.

Gold rejected the 4354.88 session high and faded into a tight 4329–4338 range, now drifting on thin Asian-session volume around the 50% fib of the 4354–4313 leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 with price pinned below EMA20/50; no directional setup in play.

Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,338.50, 4,347.04, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4338.5 range top reopens 4347–4354
  • Failure to hold 4329 session low exposes 4319 and 4313
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

23:31 UTC

Range after NY pullback · RSI 51 · price 4,336.33

Consolidating mid-range, swing high rejected.

Gold peaked at 4354.88 in NY then sold off to 4317.63 before stabilising; price now drifting in a thin Asia session around the 50% retrace of that drop, RSI flat near 51. Holding the 4330 area, capped below 4348, low volume into the late session.

Support: 4,329.00, 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,348.00, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 reopens the 4354 swing high
  • Loss of 4329 asia low exposes the 4317 swing low
  • Fed decision 18:00 UTC tomorrow is the dominant risk; Retail Sales 12:30 UTC can shift tone first

23:31 UTC

Range-bound after NY pullback · RSI 49 · price 4,336.33

Consolidating mid-range below session high.

Gold rallied into a session high near 4355 during NY, got rejected and flushed to 4313, then settled into a tight 4329-4340 range through the quiet Asia session. Price now sits mid-range at 4336, capped well below the ~4400 ceiling that has stalled bulls all week ahead of the FOMC.

Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.30

Resistance: 4,348.00, 4,354.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 reopens the 4355 session high
  • Loss of 4329 exposes the 4313 swing low
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:16 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 4,336.59

Pullback from session high, sideways consolidation.

Gold rallied to a session high of 4354.88 then sold off to 4313.32 before settling into a 4329-4347 range, consistent with the stall below the ~4400 ceiling flagged in the macro read. Price now hugs EMA20 near 4336 with RSI mid-range; no directional setup in play.

Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.88, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the 4354.88 session high
  • Loss of 4329 exposes the 4313.32 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

23:16 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 4,336.59

Consolidation inside 4330-4346 after rejection at session high.

Gold rejected the 4354.89 session high during NY hours and slid to 4313.32 before settling into a tight 4330-4346 band through quiet Asia hours; RSI(14) neutral near 52. Price is pinned mid-range below the broader $4,400 ceiling that has repeatedly capped this rally.

Support: 4,330.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,346.00, 4,354.89

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354.89 reopens the path toward the 4,400 ceiling
  • Break below 4313.32 confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and the FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

23:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 4,335.00

Range 4330-4347 after lower high.

Gold pushed to a session high at 4354.88 during NY hours, was rejected and flushed to 4313 before recovering into a tight 4330-4340 band as NY wound down. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with price hugging EMA20; the broader stall under the ~$4,400 ceiling persists ahead of the Fed.

Support: 4,330.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 lower high reopens the 4354 session high
  • Loss of 4330 floor exposes the 4313 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC could materially shift this read

23:02 UTC

Range after pullback from highs · RSI 49 · price 4,335.00

Rotating mid-range, lower high off 4355.

Gold rejected the 4355 day high during NY and faded back into a 4329-4347 range, now drifting on thin late-session volume around 4335 with RSI(14) flat near 49. Price sits just below EMA20/50; the broader read stays capped under the $4,400 ceiling into FOMC.

Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.00

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,355.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the 4355 day high
  • Loss of 4329 exposes the 4313 swing low
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could overrun this range

22:46 UTC

Pullback off session high, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 4,333.58

Ranging after rejection, micro lower highs.

Gold rejected the 4354 session high and pulled back, now ranging ~4329–4342 with RSI(14) mid-range and momentum flat in thin late-session trade. The move stalls below the ~4400 ceiling that has repeatedly capped bulls, ahead of tomorrow's Fed decision.

Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.30

Resistance: 4,342.00, 4,347.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4342 then 4347 reopens the 4354 session high
  • Failure to hold 4329 opens the 4313 swing low
  • Fed decision tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:46 UTC

Pullback within broader uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 4,333.58

Consolidating after rejection at 4354.

Gold faded from the 4354 window high and is now drifting in a tight 4329-4347 band, price hugging just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 45. Late-session volume is thin into the Asia handover; no setup in play. The de-escalation rally remains stalled below the ~4400 ceiling flagged in the macro read.

Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4329 opens the path to the 4313 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4347 reopens 4354 window high
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow can materially shift this read

22:31 UTC

Short-term pullback, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 4,331.76

Lower highs off 4354, drifting to range lows.

Gold rejected the 4354 session high during the prior NY hours and has drifted into a string of lower highs, now hovering near the 50% retracement (~4330) of the 4313–4347 leg with price below both EMAs. Thin late-session volume keeps it pinned at the 4329–4334 lows; the $4,400 ceiling flagged in the macro read remains far overhead into the FOMC.

Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4329 opens the 4317 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4347 negates the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this intraday read

22:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,331.76

Rejection below 4355, ranging 4329-4347.

Gold tagged 4354.88 in the NY session then faded, with price now drifting back to 4331 on thin post-close volume. Sitting on the 38.2% retrace of the 4354.88-4317.63 leg; supply capped repeatedly into 4347-4355 while 4329 has held the latest dips.

Support: 4,329.00, 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4329 opens the 4317 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4347 needed to retest the 4354.88 session high
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could reset this read

22:16 UTC

Pullback after rejection, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 4,332.97

Rejected 4355 high, ranging 4329-4342.

Gold rejected the 4355 session high and flushed to 4318 before recovering, now drifting in a 4329-4342 range into thin Asia-open liquidity. RSI sits mid-range near 47 with momentum flat below the ~4400 ceiling that has repeatedly capped this move.

Support: 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.88, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the 4355 session high
  • Loss of 4317 confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Consolidating after pullback from highs · RSI 46 · price 4,332.97

Range-bound below session high, lower highs since 4354.

Gold drifting near 4333 in thin late-session trade after rejection at the 4354.9 session high and a failed retest of 4347; price has slipped back under EMA20/50 and is mid-range. Move stalls below the broader ~4400 ceiling cited in the macro read into tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,325.00, 4,317.00

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the 4354.9 session high
  • Loss of 4325 range floor exposes the 4317 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read

22:02 UTC

Pullback from session high, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 4,331.11

Rolling over below 4347, holding above 4330.

Gold faded from the 4347 swing high into the late-NY/Asia handover on thinning volume, RSI(14) cooling near 42 with price back below the 20/50 EMAs. Pullback has held above the 4330 shelf so far; broader stall under the ~4400 ceiling remains the dominant intraday read ahead of FOMC.

Support: 4,329.56

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4329 opens the 4317 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4347 reopens the 4354 session high
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can reset this range

22:02 UTC

Drifting lower after stalling below 4354 · RSI 44 · price 4,331.11

Lower highs since the 4354 peak, holding above 4324.

Gold tagged a session high at 4354.88, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs back toward 4331 as the US-Iran de-escalation pop stalled below the ~4400 ceiling. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s, chopping between the 4324 swing low and 4347 resistance.

Support: 4,324.00, 4,313.30

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4324 opens the 4313 session low
  • M15 close back above 4347 challenges the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 42 · price 4,331.11

Lower highs off 4354, drifting toward range base.

Gold rejected the 4354 session high during NY hours and has bled lower into a 4329–4347 range, now pressing the session low near 4329 with RSI(14) sub-42. Move follows a soft US data run (housing starts, Empire State misses) but bulls remain stalled below the ~4400 ceiling into tomorrow's Fed risk.

Support: 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4329 session low opens the path to the 4313 swing low
  • M15 close back above 4347 recent high negates the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) tomorrow could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 44 · price 4,331.11

Lower highs into FOMC, range holding.

NY session faded from the 4354.89 session high, printing lower highs back to 4331 with RSI(14) sub-45. Gold remains capped well below the ~4400 ceiling and is drifting into a holding pattern ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC.

Support: 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.89, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4313.32 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4347.04 reopens the 4354.89 session high
  • Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) then FOMC (18:00 UTC) can override this read

21:31 UTC

Pullback after rejection at highs · RSI 43 · price 4,331.11

Rejection at 4354 session high, drifting lower into Asia.

Gold ground higher through NY to a 4354 session high before stalling, then leaked back to 4331 in a tight late-session consolidation. RSI(14) cooling near 42 with price now below EMA20/50; buyers held the 4329 recent low on the latest probe.

Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,346.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4317 swing low confirms a lower-low and reopens 4313 session low
  • Reclaim of 4346 recent high needed to put the 4354 session high back in play
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

21:31 UTC

Pullback from session high, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 4,331.11

Lower highs since 4347, holding above 4313 swing low.

Gold topped at 4354 mid-window then rolled back; a recovery into 4347 was rejected and price is grinding lower into late NY, now 4331 below both EMAs with RSI(14) cooling near 42. The ~$4,400 ceiling flagged in the macro read remains untested as the de-escalation pop stalls ahead of FOMC.

Support: 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4313 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim above 4347 session high reopens 4354
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Rejected at highs, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 4,331.11

Pullback within NY range, holding mid-pivot.

Gold stalled into the 4354 day high during NY hours and faded, the recovery to 4347 capping under a chain of lower highs. Price now sits at 4331 near the midpoint of the 4313–4347 swing, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s as the market drifts ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,324.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4324 opens 4313 session low
  • Reclaim of 4347 needed to challenge the 4354 day high
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 4,331.11

Consolidation under session high after rejection.

Intraday rally stalled with a rejection at 4354.9, then a sweep of 4313 before buyers based the move; price now consolidates near 4331, holding the ~50% fib of the 4306–4355 leg. Drifting under EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range — gold remains capped beneath the ~$4,400 ceiling into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,313.30

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4313 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4347 reopens the 4354 swing high
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC Wednesday are the defining catalysts

21:03 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,331.11

Lower highs after 4354 peak, consolidating.

Gold topped the session at 4354.88 in the NY afternoon then faded, printing lower highs into 4347 and slipping back to 4331 as the de-escalation pop stalls below the ~4400 ceiling. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44, mid the 4317-4354 range.

Support: 4,331.00, 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,347.86, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347.86 reopens the 4354 session high
  • Loss of 4317.63 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 4306 session low
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) tomorrow can materially shift this read

21:03 UTC

Pullback within intraday range · RSI 43 · price 4,331.11

Lower highs off 4354, holding above 4330.

NY session faded from the 4354 high and gold has drifted back to 4331, stalling well below the broader ~4,400 ceiling into the FOMC. Price now chops between 4330 support and the 4347 recent high, RSI(14) mid-range near 43 with no momentum either way.

Support: 4,330.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4330 opens a retest of the 4313 session low
  • Reclaim of 4347 puts the 4354 session high back in play
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can reset this read

20:46 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 4,331.70

Lower highs below 4347 after 4354 peak.

Gold pushed to a session peak of 4354.88 during NY hours then rejected, carving lower highs and drifting back to 4331.7 below the 4347 session high. Move stalls in line with the broader stall under the $4,400 ceiling; price sits mid-range of the 4354–4313 pullback.

Support: 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4313.32 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4347 session high needed to re-test the 4354 peak
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:46 UTC

Pullback after lower high · RSI 44 · price 4,331.70

Consolidating below session high.

After tagging the session high at 4354.88, gold set a lower high at 4347.04 and has slipped back into a 4330–4347 consolidation through late NY hours, volume thinning out. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with price under EMA20, leaving the recent swing low at 4330 as the pivot.

Support: 4,330.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4330 swing low opens the 4313 session low
  • Reclaim of 4347 lower high re-opens the 4354 session high
  • US Retail Sales (tmrw 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (tmrw 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

20:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, rolling into range · RSI 43 · price 4,333.10

Ranging 4331-4347 after rejection below session high.

Late NY session: gold rejected the 4354.9 session high, recovered off the 4313 swing low to 4347, then settled into a 4331-4347 range now pressing the lower edge near 4333. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under both EMAs — momentum has cooled, no clean break either side.

Support: 4,331.00, 4,313.30

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4331 opens the 4313 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4347 range top needed to retest the 4354.9 session high
  • US Retail Sales (tmrw 12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

20:31 UTC

Pullback off session high, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 4,333.10

Lower high after 4354 peak, testing recent lows.

Gold tagged a 4354.9 session high then sold to 4313 before reclaiming 4347, but supply capped the bounce and price has drifted back to 4333 into the late NY session. Move stalls well below the ~$4,400 ceiling flagged ahead of FOMC; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum extreme.

Support: 4,331.00, 4,313.30

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4331 then 4313 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4347 reopens the 4354.9 session high
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow can override this intraday read

20:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 4,331.95

Lower highs off session high after rejection.

Gold tagged a session high at 4354.88 during NY hours then rejected, printing lower highs at 4347 and drifting back to 4332 as the US-Iran de-escalation pop stalls below the 4400 ceiling. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s and price slipped under both EMAs into the late session.

Support: 4,313.50

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.88, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4313.50 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4347 reopens the path to the 4354.88 session high
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

20:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 4,331.95

Range after rejection from session high.

Gold pushed to a session high of 4354.88 during NY hours then sold off to 4313 before recovering into a 4324–4347 range; price is now fading toward the range low at 4331 with RSI cooling near 42. Move stalls below the ~4400 ceiling flagged into tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,324.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4324 reopens the 4313 swing low
  • M15 close above 4347 puts the 4354 session high back in play
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read

20:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,333.92

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

NY session pushed to a 4354.88 high then sold off sharply to 4313.32; since then price has consolidated 4324-4346 and is drifting back to the 4334 mid, sitting on the 50% retrace of the rejection leg. RSI(14) cooling toward mid-40s as the de-escalation pop stalls below the ~4400 ceiling into the Fed.

Support: 4,324.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,348.00, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4324 reopens the 4313 session low
  • Reclaim of 4348 puts the 4354 session high back in play
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

20:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 4,333.92

Rally to session high then chop below 4354.

Gold ran to a session high of 4354.89 during NY hours then rejected, and is now consolidating roughly 4325–4347 below the $4,400 ceiling flagged into the FOMC. Price slipped back under the EMA20/50 cluster around 4338 on the latest pullback, RSI mid-range and offering no extreme.

Support: 4,325.00, 4,313.30

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354.9 reopens the path toward the $4,400 ceiling
  • Loss of 4325 confirms a lower-low and exposes 4313
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and the FOMC decision 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read

19:46 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 4,338.70

Consolidation below session high after pullback.

NY session pushed gold to 4354.9 then rejected, flushing to 4313.3 before buyers recovered the move back to 4347. Price now coils mid-range around 4338 with RSI(14) flat near 52 — no directional setup as the market parks ahead of the FOMC.

Support: 4,324.00, 4,313.30

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the 4354.9 session high
  • Loss of 4324 confirms a lower low back toward 4313.3
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC, then FOMC 18:00 UTC will reset this range

19:46 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 4,338.70

Consolidation below 4347 after rejection at session high.

Gold spiked to the session high at 4354.88 then sold off to 4317.63 before recovering; it now coils 4336–4342 below the 4347 recent high. RSI(14) flat near 49 as price stalls into the ~4400 ceiling traders keep failing at ahead of the FOMC.

Support: 4,325.33, 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the path to the 4354 session high
  • Loss of 4325 swing low exposes the 4317 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read

19:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating · RSI 52 · price 4,339.42

Range after pullback from session high.

Gold rallied to a session high at 4354.88 then sold off to 4313, recovering to chop in a tight 4335-4347 band. Price now sits mid-range near 4339 with RSI(14) neutral around 52; no setup in play as the market coils ahead of the Fed.

Support: 4,325.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the path to 4354.88 and the $4,400 ceiling
  • Failure to hold 4325 exposes the 4313 swing low
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read

19:31 UTC

Rally stalled, ranging · RSI 52 · price 4,339.42

Consolidation below session high after pullback.

Gold pushed to 4354.88 in the NY session then sold off sharply to 4317.63 before recovering; it's now grinding in a 4334–4347 range with RSI(14) neutral near 52. The ~4400 ceiling remains untested as price coils late in the session ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,334.20, 4,325.33, 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the swing high at 4354.88
  • Loss of 4334 range low exposes 4325 and 4317 swing lows
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC tomorrow can reset this range read

19:16 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 4,337.85

Consolidating 4337-4342 below 4347 after a sweep of session high 4354.

NY session pushed to a session high at 4354.88 then sold off to 4313, before buyers recovered the move to 4347. Price now coils between 4334 and 4342, RSI(14) neutral near 52, with the broader gold tape stalling below the ~4,400 ceiling ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,334.20, 4,313.30

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the 4354.88 session high
  • Failure to hold 4334 reopens the 4313 session low
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC tomorrow could materially reset this read

19:16 UTC

Ranging, upper-half consolidation · RSI 50 · price 4,337.85

Range between session low and swing high, holding mid.

Late NY hours: gold is consolidating in the upper half of the 4313–4355 range after rejection at the 4347 session high, RSI(14) flat near 50. Price sits on the range floor around 4334 with the broader stall below $4,400 intact ahead of tomorrow's Fed event.

Support: 4,334.20, 4,325.33, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 session high reopens the path to the 4354.88 swing high
  • Loss of 4334 range floor exposes the 4325 swing low and 4313 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read

19:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 4,339.10

Rangebound after rejection at session high.

Gold rejected the session high at 4354.88, flushed to 4317.63, then recovered to 4347 and is now coiling in a tight 4334–4347 band. Price sits just above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no momentum either way ahead of event risk.

Support: 4,334.00, 4,325.00, 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the path to the 4354.88 session high
  • Loss of 4334 exposes 4325 then the 4317.63 session low
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and the FOMC decision 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts that can break this range

19:02 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 4,339.10

Consolidating mid-range below 4347.

Gold swept the 4313 swing low during NY hours then recovered to 4347 before stalling; price now grinds 4338-4341 just under the recent high, RSI(14) neutral near 53. Move fits the digest's two-way tone with bulls repeatedly capped well below the ~4400 ceiling.

Support: 4,334.00, 4,325.00, 4,313.00

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354 opens the path back toward the 4400 ceiling
  • Failure to hold 4334 reopens 4325 and the 4313 swing low
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially reset this read

18:46 UTC

Recovery, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 4,339.25

Ranging below session high after rebound from 4313.

Gold rebounded from the 4313 session low back to 4347 and is now consolidating 4335-4347 with RSI(14) neutral near 52, retracing roughly 0.618 of the 4354-4313 drop. Move fits the broader stall below the 4400 ceiling as markets wait on the FOMC.

Support: 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354.88 reopens the path toward the 4400 ceiling
  • Failure to hold 4313.32 confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:46 UTC

Range after pullback from highs · RSI 52 · price 4,339.25

Consolidating below 4355 session high.

Gold rejected the 4355 session high during NY hours, flushed to 4313, and is now consolidating 4334–4347. RSI(14) neutral near 52 as the US-Iran de-escalation rally stalls below the $4,400 ceiling ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,334.31, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.89

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4355 reopens the $4,400 ceiling test
  • Loss of 4334 pivot exposes the 4313 session low
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could break this range

18:31 UTC

Range, mid-range drift · RSI 54 · price 4,340.68

Intraday range 4313–4355, no clear HH/HL chain.

Gold is rotating mid-range around 4340 after a NY-session sweep of 4354.88 was sold back to 4313.32, then recovered to 4347. Momentum is flat with bulls stalled below the broader ~4400 ceiling into tomorrow's Fed decision.

Support: 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the session high at 4354.88
  • Failure to hold 4313 confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

18:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 4,340.68

Higher highs into 4355, consolidating below.

Gold ran into 4354.88 during NY hours then sold off to 4317.63 before buyers stepped back in around 4325; price now grinding sideways near 4340. Move stalls below the 4347 session high as the broader recovery pauses ahead of tomorrow's Retail Sales and the Warsh-led FOMC.

Support: 4,334.20, 4,325.00, 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the path to 4354.88 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4334 exposes 4325 session low then 4317.63
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

18:16 UTC

Recovering off intraday lows, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 4,341.15

Consolidating below session high after a dip.

Gold clawed back from the 4319 session-low dip and is grinding sideways around 4341 in late NY hours, capped by the 4354.88 session high. RSI(14) is mid-range with no extreme; price holds above both EMAs but the ~4400 ceiling remains untested.

Support: 4,325.33, 4,319.67

Resistance: 4,354.88, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • A clean break above 4354.88 reopens the path toward the 4400 area
  • Loss of 4325.33 puts the 4319.67 session low back in play
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales tomorrow are the dominant catalysts and could shift this read

18:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 4,341.15

Higher highs into 4355, capped below 4347.

Gold ground higher through the NY session off the 4317 low, but buyers stalled into 4347 with the prior 4355 spike high rejected sharply. Price now consolidating around 4341 above EMA20/50; RSI(14) neutral near 58 after the de-escalation-driven rally faded below the ~4400 ceiling.

Support: 4,334.20, 4,324.00

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347 reopens the 4355 high
  • Loss of 4334 swing low shifts the read back toward 4324 base
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:02 UTC

Choppy uptrend, stalling near highs · RSI 55 · price 4,340.45

Consolidating below session high after recovery.

Gold rallied to a 4354.88 session high during NY hours then sold off to 4317.63 before buyers stepped back in, leaving price coiling around 4340 below the 4347-4354 supply. RSI(14) is mid-range near 55; the broader stall reflects caution into the FOMC with bulls repeatedly capped near the $4,400 ceiling.

Support: 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4354.88 reopens the path toward the 4400 ceiling
  • Loss of 4317.63 confirms a lower-low and reasserts downside
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

18:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 4,340.45

Higher highs into 4355, pullback holding above 4324.

NY session pushed gold to a 4355 session high before sellers capped it and price pulled back to 4319, with buyers stepping in around 4324 on the recovery. Price now sits ~4340 above EMA20/50, RSI(14) neutral near 54 after cooling from the highs; broad tone stays cautious below the $4,400 ceiling into tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,324.40, 4,308.40

Resistance: 4,354.90

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4355 reopens the path toward the 4,400 ceiling
  • Loss of 4324 swing low exposes 4317 session low then 4308
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read

17:46 UTC

Range, recovering off lows · RSI 52 · price 4,337.74

Choppy range below session supply, higher lows since 4313.

NY session swept the 4313 low then rebounded to 4347 before easing back to 4337, leaving price chopping under the 4347-4354 supply band. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 with no momentum extreme; gold remains capped well below the macro ~4400 ceiling into the Fed cycle.

Support: 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354 reopens the path toward the 4400 ceiling
  • Failure to hold 4313 confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) can materially shift this read

17:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 48 · price 4,334.79

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

Gold ran to a NY session high at 4347 then rejected, slipping back to 4334 as the de-escalation pop faded ahead of the FOMC. Price now consolidates between 4313 and 4347 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; the 4354 swing high caps and momentum has cooled.

Support: 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4347 session high reopens the path to 4354 swing high
  • Loss of 4313 session low confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read

17:16 UTC

Ranging after intraday rally stalled · RSI 49 · price 4,334.82

Range between 4317 and 4354, mid-range now.

Gold rallied to 4354 then sold off into the NY session, rejecting twice in the 4347-4354 zone and basing at 4317; price now drifts mid-range near 4335 with RSI neutral. The ~4400 ceiling noted in flow remains untested as the move stalls ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Resistance: 4,347.04

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354 reopens the path toward the 4400 area
  • Failure to hold 4317 confirms a lower low toward 4306
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 4,334.82

Higher highs into 4355 then pullback to range.

Gold ran up to 4354.89 during NY hours then sold off into 4313, holding the 4324 session base before recovering to 4335. Price now coils mid-range as the de-escalation pop stalls below the ~4400 ceiling; RSI(14) neutral near 48 with EMA20 capping the bounce.

Support: 4,324.30, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.89

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4324 reopens the 4313 NY low
  • Reclaim of 4347 puts the 4355 intraday high back in play
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:03 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 4,339.35

Rally off 4306 stalling below 4354.

NY session lifted gold off the 4306 low to a 4354 session high before sellers rejected it, price now hovering ~4339 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Recovery intact but stalling well below the ~4400 ceiling as the market coils into tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,324.00, 4,313.30

Resistance: 4,354.88, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354.88 reopens the path to the 4400 ceiling
  • Loss of 4324 then 4313.30 confirms a lower-low and breaks the recovery
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and the FOMC decision could materially shift this read

17:03 UTC

Choppy, mid-range · RSI 52 · price 4,339.35

Ranging after rebound off intraday low.

NY session has gold swinging between 4313 and the 4355 swing high, currently mid-range at 4339 after a rebound off the 4313 sweep. Rejection capped the bounce at the 4347 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 52 with no momentum extreme. The ~4400 ceiling noted in the broader read remains well overhead.

Support: 4,322.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and close above 4347 session high opens the path back to 4355
  • Failure to hold 4322 swing reopens 4313 swing low
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:46 UTC

Recovery within a 24h range, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 4,344.33

Choppy higher lows off session base, capped near 4354.

Gold clawed back from the 4306 Asian-session base to tag 4354 during NY before fading; buyers stepped in again near 4317 and lifted price to 4347, now stalling around 4344 as the broader US-Iran de-escalation bid loses steam below the 4400 ceiling. Structure is a series of higher lows but rejections under 4354 keep it range-bound, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.

Support: 4,317.00

Resistance: 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 4354 reopens the path toward the 4400 ceiling
  • Loss of 4317 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 4306 session base
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could reset this range read

16:46 UTC

Recovering off intraday lows, momentum mixed · RSI 57 · price 4,344.33

Range reclaim, higher lows since 4306.

Gold dumped to 4306 in the Asia/early-London window then carved higher lows, reclaiming 4324 and pushing back to 4347 during NY hours; price now sits at 4344 with RSI near 57. Buyers stepped in twice into the 4313–4317 zone as the broader $4,400 ceiling continues to cap, with the Warsh-led FOMC tomorrow keeping the tape two-way.

Support: 4,324.00, 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4354.88 session high opens the path back toward the 4400 ceiling
  • Failure to hold 4324 reopens 4313 swing low and the 4306 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC tomorrow could shift this read pre-FOMC

16:31 UTC

Recovering off lows, capped below 4354 · RSI 55 · price 4,343.03

Choppy range, bounced from 4317 swing low.

NY session saw gold dip to a 4317 swing low then recover to ~4347, easing back to 4343 and stalling below the 4354 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range; price holds above both EMAs but momentum is flat ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Resistance: 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4354 session high opens the path toward 4400 psych
  • Failure to hold 4317 swing low reopens the 4306 session low
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:31 UTC

Recovery off lows, capped · RSI 54 · price 4,343.03

Range with higher lows after sweep of 4306.

Late NY session: gold recovered from the 4306 session low, pushed into 4354.88 and was rejected, then dipped to 4317 before reclaiming 4343. RSI(14) mid-range near 54; price chops between 4324 support and the 4347 prior high with no clean break either way ahead of Wed FOMC.

Support: 4,324.00

Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354.88 reopens the path toward the 4394 area
  • Loss of 4324 pivot then 4317 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read

16:16 UTC

Recovery off intraday lows, capped below prior high · RSI 58 · price 4,345.68

Bounce from 4317 swing low, reclaiming 4324.

NY session reversed the drop to 4313 and rallied back to 4347, reclaiming the 4324 area with RSI(14) mid-range. Price is now pressing the 4354 prior high, with gold broadly stalling below 4400 into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,324.00

Resistance: 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354 opens path to the 4360 session high then 4400
  • Failure to hold 4324 reopens the 4317 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC Wed could materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Recovery off intraday lows, momentum fading near highs · RSI 61 · price 4,345.68

Rebound from 4317 swing low back toward session high.

XAUUSD recovered sharply from the 4317 dip back toward the session high near 4347, RSI(14) around 60 and holding above EMA20/50. Gains stall below the broader 4,394–4,400 resistance band as price consolidates the US-Iran-driven bounce ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,324.00

Resistance: 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4355 reopens the path toward the 4,394 band base
  • Failure to hold 4324 puts the 4317 swing low back in play
  • FOMC dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:02 UTC

Recovering after session-high rejection · RSI 53 · price 4,337.42

Pullback from 4354 high, bounce off 4313.

Gold rejected the session high at 4354.9 and sold to 4313 before a sharp last-bar bounce lifted price back to 4337. RSI sits mid-range and the move stalls well below the 4400 cap into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,313.00

Resistance: 4,354.90

What it said to watch

  • FOMC + dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
  • Close back above 4354 reopens the path toward the 4400 cap
  • Failure to hold 4313 confirms a lower low toward 4306

16:02 UTC

Choppy, no clear intraday direction · RSI 53 · price 4,337.42

Range, lower highs into NY session.

Gold has chopped between 4317 and 4355 through the NY session, rejecting twice near 4355 and finding demand around 4317. Price stalled below the broader $4,400 ceiling as traders square up into Wednesday's FOMC, leaving the M15 picture range-bound with no clean setup.

Support: 4,317.00

Resistance: 4,355.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4355 reopens the path toward $4,400
  • Failure to hold 4317 confirms a lower low toward 4306
  • FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

15:46 UTC

Pullback after session high rejection · RSI 45 · price 4,322.36

Consolidating in tight band below lower highs.

Gold rejected the session high at 4354.89 in early NY trade and sold to 4317.63, now coiling in a tight 4321–4328 band. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with price below EMA20/50 — momentum has cooled into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,344.00, 4,354.89

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4328 range top reopens the 4344 area
  • Loss of 4317.63 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 4306
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC Wed are the dominant catalysts

15:46 UTC

Range, recent pullback · RSI 45 · price 4,322.36

Lower high off 4354, holding 4317.

NY session sold the push to 4354.88 back to 4317.63, gold stalling below $4,400 ahead of Wed FOMC. Price now coiling 4322–4328, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum either way.

Support: 4,317.63, 4,306.50

Resistance: 4,340.61, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4317.63 confirms a lower-low toward session low 4306.50
  • Reclaim of 4340.61 reopens the 4354.88 swing high
  • FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

15:31 UTC

Pullback after rejection, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 4,325.12

Lower high at 4354, higher low holding at 4313.

NY session rejected the 4354 session high and sold ~40 dollars to 4313 before stabilising around 4325, with RSI(14) back in the mid-40s. Gold is stalling below the broader $4,400 cap into Wednesday's Fed; intraday it's coiling between the 4313 higher low and the 4340 cap.

Support: 4,313.32

Resistance: 4,340.13

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 4313 confirms a lower-low and reopens 4306
  • Reclaim of 4340 then 4354 needed to resume the up-leg
  • FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

15:31 UTC

Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 46 · price 4,325.12

Rejected 4355, consolidating mid-range ~4325.

NY session rallied to 4354.88 then sold off sharply to 4317.63, leaving a rejection at the session high; price is now consolidating around 4325, holding the 61.8% retrace of the recovery leg. Gold remains capped below the wider $4,400 band into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,340.00, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4317.63 session low confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4340 pivot reopens the 4354.88 session high
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk

15:16 UTC

Intraday pullback, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 4,326.73

Rejection at 4354, consolidating above 4317.

NY afternoon saw a sharp rejection at the 4354 session high, with price flushing to 4317 before stabilising around 4324. Gold is now coiling in a tight 4322-4327 band, below EMA20/50, momentum cooling ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower low and opens the 4306 session low
  • Reclaim of 4340 needed to challenge the 4354 session high again
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:16 UTC

Rangebound, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 4,326.73

Mid-range after rejection of 4354.

NY session rejected the 4354 high and flushed to 4317 before buyers stepped in; price now balances mid-range near 4326, holding the 0.618 retrace of the 4306–4354 leg. Gold remains capped below $4,400 with momentum fading into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,317.63

Resistance: 4,340.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4317.63 confirms a lower-low, exposing 4306 session low
  • Reclaim of 4340 intraday cap reopens the 4354 session high
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next sessions

15:02 UTC

Intraday pullback after rejection · RSI 44 · price 4,325.01

Rejected at session high, retracing within range.

NY session pushed to 4354.88 then sold off sharply to 4317.63 before a shallow bounce to 4325, RSI(14) cooling near 43. Price sits below EMA20/50; the $4,400 cap noted in the macro read keeps upside heavy ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,317.63, 4,306.50

Resistance: 4,340.00, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4317.63 confirms a lower low and reopens 4306.50
  • Reclaim of 4340 puts the 4354.88 session high back in play
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read

15:02 UTC

Range, recent lower high · RSI 45 · price 4,325.01

Two-way chop between 4306 and 4354, sub-EMA after rejection.

NY session pushed up to a session high at 4354 then got rejected, sliding to 4317 before stabilising near 4325, now back under EMA20/50. Gold stays boxed between 4306 and 4354, consistent with the wider stall below $4,400 ahead of the Fed.

Support: 4,317.00

Resistance: 4,354.00, 4,340.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4317 swing low opens the 4306 london low
  • Reclaim of 4340 prior high needed to re-challenge the 4354 session high
  • Wed Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC dots (18:00 UTC) could reset this range

14:46 UTC

Intraday rally rejected, rolling over · RSI 43 · price 4,323.86

Lower high off 4355, testing recent lows.

NY session pushed gold to a 4354.89 session high before a sharp rejection dragged it to the 4317.63 session low, a double-top print under 4355. Price is recovering to 4324 around the 61.8% retrace of the prior up-leg, RSI(14) cooling near 43 with price back below EMA20/EMA50.

Support: 4,317.63, 4,306.50

Resistance: 4,335.00, 4,354.89

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4317.63 confirms a lower low and exposes 4306.50
  • Reclaim of 4335 needed to negate the rejection read
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

14:46 UTC

Intraday pullback after rejection · RSI 43 · price 4,323.86

Lower high off 4355, holding above session low.

Gold rallied through NY hours to 4355 then was rejected, sliding to a 4313 session low before a shallow bounce to 4324 — price sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling near 42. Soft US data has kept the metal underpinned, but the move stalled into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,313.32, 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4355 invalidates the lower-high pullback read
  • Loss of 4313 then 4300 opens the path to 4306 swing low and below
  • FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

14:31 UTC

NY rally rejected, turning lower · RSI 38 · price 4,318.96

Lower high after rejection at 4354, breaking recent range.

NY session pushed gold to 4354 before a sharp rejection knocked it back to 4319, breaking the 4338–4354 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled to the upper-30s as the metal trades into FOMC-week caution; the recent rising support off 4306 has given way.

Support: 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,335.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4306 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4335 negates the breakdown
  • 4300 psych pivot is the near-term battleground
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC the dominant catalyst this week

14:31 UTC

Intraday up leg rejected, rolling over · RSI 39 · price 4,318.96

Double top at 4354, sharp pullback.

Gold rallied off the 4306.50 session low to retest 4354 twice, where it was rejected, then dropped hard to 4318 on the heaviest volume of the session. Soft US data has kept the dollar contained, but the metal is stalling well under the $4,394 resistance band into the Fed.

Support: 4,317.63, 4,306.50

Resistance: 4,340.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4340 would neutralise the double-top read
  • Loss of 4306.50 confirms a lower low and opens the $4,300 handle
  • Retail Sales Wed 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts

14:16 UTC

Intraday recovery stalling · RSI 44 · price 4,333.05

Rally off 4306 rejected at 4354, pulling back.

Recovery off the 4306 session low stalled at 4354 during NY hours, rejected and pulling back to 4331-4333 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s. Gold remains capped below $4,400 into Wednesday's FOMC, the bounce still corrective.

Support: 4,331.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4331 confirms a lower low, exposing 4306
  • Reclaim of 4354 reopens the path toward 4368
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

14:16 UTC

Intraday rally stalling, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 4,333.05

Rally off 4306 low rejected at 4355, retracing.

Gold ran up through NY hours off the 4306 low to tag 4355, then rejected and slid back to 4333, slipping below the EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling toward 46. Move sits mid-retrace of the intraday rally with the 4331 session low now being retested.

Support: 4,320.00

Resistance: 4,344.00, 4,354.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4331 opens the path back to 4320 then 4306
  • Reclaim of 4344 reopens the 4355 session high
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read

14:02 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 4,337.59

Rejected at session high, holding above 4331.

NY session pushed the up-leg from 4306 to a session high at 4354.88, then sold off to 4331 as the move was rejected; price now hovers near 4337 just under EMA20 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Bounce remains event-driven and capped below $4,400 into the FOMC.

Support: 4,316.00

Resistance: 4,349.47, 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4349 reopens the 4355 session high
  • Failure to hold 4331 session low exposes 4316 swing low then 4306 range low
  • FOMC decision and dot plot tomorrow (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term gold driver

14:02 UTC

Intraday bounce stalling · RSI 47 · price 4,337.59

Recovery off 4306 low, rejected at 4354.

NY session tagged the 4354.88 high then sold off sharply, gold now sitting back below EMA20 around 4337 after recovering off the 4306 session low. Holding above the 4331 swing low keeps the intraday bounce intact, but momentum has flattened into the FOMC wait.

Support: 4,331.56, 4,318.00

Resistance: 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354.88 reopens the 4394+ resistance band
  • Failure to hold 4331.56 confirms a lower-low back toward 4318
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver

13:46 UTC

Choppy, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 4,336.40

Broad intraday range, 4306–4369.

Gold recovered from the session low at 4306 to 4354 during NY hours but met rejection there and slipped back to 4336, leaving price mid-range as the metal stalls below the $4,400 cap into FOMC. RSI(14) near 46, no momentum edge; structure is two-sided between 4333 support and the 4354 swing high.

Support: 4,333.00, 4,318.00

Resistance: 4,354.90, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354.9 reopens the 4369 prior high
  • Loss of 4333 exposes 4318 then the 4306 session low
  • Wed Retail Sales and FOMC dot plot are the dominant near-term catalysts

13:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 4,336.40

Higher lows off session low, rejected at session high.

NY session tagged the session high at 4354.88 then saw a sharp three-bar rejection back to 4336, with the bounce staying corrective below $4,400 per the broader event-driven read. Higher-low structure from the 4306 session low remains intact while 4333 holds; RSI(14) cooled back to mid-40s.

Support: 4,333.19, 4,316.00, 4,305.98

Resistance: 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4333 swing low breaks the higher-low chain toward 4316 then 4306
  • Reclaim of 4348-4354.88 reopens the session high
  • Wed Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read

13:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum fading · RSI 48 · price 4,335.53

Higher lows off 4306, rejected at 4354.

NY-session rally off the 4306 low stalled at 4354.88 and fold three bars later, dropping gold back to 4335 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price slipped below EMA20 but holds above EMA50; structure stays a chain of higher lows until 4333 gives way.

Support: 4,333.19

Resistance: 4,354.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4333 breaks the higher-low chain, exposing 4306
  • Reclaim of 4354 reopens the path toward the 4368 prior high
  • FOMC Wed (18:00 UTC) plus Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) can override this read

13:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum fading after rejection · RSI 49 · price 4,335.53

HH/HL chain off 4306 low, capped by rejection at 4354.

Gold ground higher through the NY session off the 4306 session low to 4354, then a sharp rejection in the last hour wiped ~20 off the move back to 4335. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral as price stalls mid-range; the soft US data backdrop ahead of FOMC keeps the metal supported but capped under 4354.

Support: 4,333.19, 4,309.06

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4354 reopens the swing high and intraday uptrend
  • Loss of 4333 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 4309
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read

13:16 UTC

Recovery leg, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,342.99

V-shaped rebound off 4306, rejected at 4354.

Gold recovered through the NY session off the 4306 swing low, tagging 4354.88 before a sharp rejection back to 4343, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price now hovering at the EMA20 with the ascending lows from 4306 still intact.

Support: 4,335.00, 4,322.00

Resistance: 4,354.88, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4354.88 reopens 4369 and the 4400 band
  • Failure to hold 4335 exposes 4322 then the 4306 swing low
  • FOMC and US Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read

13:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,342.99

Higher lows off 4306, rejected at 4355.

Gold ground higher through NY hours off the 4306 window low, tagging 4355 before the latest bar rejected back to 4343 — RSI(14) cooling from the rally into the mid-50s. Recovery structure of higher lows intact while 4332 holds; 4355 is the immediate cap to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 4,332.00, 4,317.00

Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,394.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4355 opens the path toward 4368 and the 4394 area
  • Failure to hold 4332 exposes 4317, then the 4306 window low
  • Wed FOMC + Retail Sales could materially shift this read

13:03 UTC

Uptrend, recovery leg · RSI 66 · price 4,350.96

Higher lows off 4306 base, climbing toward session high.

Gold based around 4306 during the prior session then ground higher through NY hours, printing a clean higher-low chain into 4355. Soft US data (weak housing starts, light Empire State) keeps the dovish backdrop intact ahead of Wed FOMC; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme as price stalls just under the 4355 session high.

Support: 4,335.00

Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,368.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4355 opens the path toward 4368
  • Loss of 4335 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
  • Wed FOMC + Retail Sales could materially shift this read

13:02 UTC

Recovery, momentum building · RSI 65 · price 4,350.96

Higher highs and higher lows off session low.

Gold carved a base at 4306 through Asia, then NY hours drove a steady chain of higher lows back to the 4355 session high, RSI(14) near 65 and not yet stretched. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 4338 on the way up; the move stalls just under 4355 with bulls capped near 4400 into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,338.00

Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4355 session high opens the 4368 prior high then 4400 psych
  • Failure to hold 4338 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher off intraday low · RSI 64 · price 4,350.17

Higher lows since 4306, testing session high.

Gold recovered off the 4306 swing low through the London session and is grinding back into the session high at 4350, a level that capped earlier in the window. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; price holds above EMA20/50 with a clean higher-low chain, consolidating above 4300 into the Fed.

Support: 4,321.80

Resistance: 4,350.39, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4350 session high opens the path to the 4369 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4322 pivot reopens the 4306 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC + Retail Sales 12:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts and can override this intraday read

12:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend off session low · RSI 63 · price 4,350.17

Higher highs/higher lows since 4306 base.

Gold based twice near 4306 during the Asia-London transition and has ground higher through the NY session, now pressing the 4350 round number with RSI(14) in the low-60s. Price holds above both EMAs, but the 4369 prior high caps the move and the broader read is consolidation under 4400 ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,326.00

Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 psych cap
  • Loss of 4326 pivot invalidates the recovery from 4306
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read

12:31 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 4,343.05

Consolidation under 4349 after rebound from 4306.

Gold rebounded from the 4306 session low through London-NY and is now consolidating around 4343, capped at the 4349 session high. RSI mid-range and EMAs flat — chop, not trend, with the broader bid intact above the 4335 swing low ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,335.00, 4,322.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,349.40, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4349 opens the path back to the 4369 intraday high
  • Failure to hold 4335 swing low exposes 4322 pivot and the 4306 session low
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed are the dominant catalysts and can override this read

12:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 4,343.05

Higher lows off 4306, capped at session high.

Gold recovered from the 4306 session low in a steady chain of higher lows through NY hours, then stalled into 4349-4350 and is now consolidating around 4343. RSI is mid-range with no extreme and price holds above EMA20/50; the metal stays capped well below the $4,400 resistance flagged into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,335.00, 4,322.00

Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,368.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4350 opens the path to the 4368 window high
  • Loss of 4335 breaks the rising-low structure toward 4322
  • FOMC Wed plus US Retail Sales are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read

12:16 UTC

Recovery off session low, stalling · RSI 55 · price 4,344.90

Rebound from 4306 retesting 4349 highs, now ranging.

Gold dug out a session low at 4306 mid-window then ground higher through NY hours to retest the 4349 session high, now consolidating sub-$4,350. RSI(14) mid-range near 55, both EMAs below price — the move is rate/dollar-repricing into FOMC rather than a fresh impulse.

Support: 4,326.00

Resistance: 4,349.40, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4349 opens the path to 4369
  • Failure to hold 4326 reopens the 4306 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

12:16 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 4,344.90

Consolidating below session high after 0.618 retrace.

Gold reclaimed the session after a double-bottom near 4306 and has retraced to the 0.618 of the 4368-4306 drop, now stalling at 4344 just under the 4349 session high. RSI(14) mid-range at 56 — recovery intact but stretched into resistance, with positioning cautious ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,335.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,349.00, 4,368.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4349 opens the path back to 4368
  • Failure to hold 4335 reopens the 4306 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC dominates the next-session read

12:02 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 4,339.79

Higher lows from 4306, stalling below 4349.

Gold recovered from the 4306 session low through the London session and tagged 4349 before stalling, now consolidating near 4340 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. The leg is rate/dollar repricing rather than ETF demand, and price is coiling sub-4400 into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,335.00

Resistance: 4,349.40, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4335 breaks the rising-low sequence toward 4306
  • Break above 4349 opens the path to 4369
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC dominates the next sessions and can override this read

12:02 UTC

Recovery off lows, stalling near highs · RSI 51 · price 4,339.79

Rebound to session high, consolidating.

Gold carved a double bottom near 4306 during the London session, then ground higher into NY to tag 4349 before easing back to 4340. RSI(14) cooled to neutral as the move stalled below the session high; price holding above EMA50 but pinned to EMA20.

Support: 4,335.00

Resistance: 4,349.40, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4349 opens the path toward the 4369 window high
  • Failure to hold 4335 reopens the 4322 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read

11:46 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 4,340.38

Higher highs/lows off session low, pulling back.

Gold recovered from the 4306 session low through London into NY, tagging the 4349 session high twice with rejection before easing back to 4340. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI near 54 — consolidating sub-4400 ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,335.00

Resistance: 4,349.40

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4349 opens the path to the 4368 window high
  • Failure to hold 4335 risks a revisit of the 4306 session low
  • FOMC decision/dots Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read

11:46 UTC

Recovery leg, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 4,340.38

Range bounded 4306-4368, holding mid.

Gold recovered from the 4306 session low to tag 4349 before stalling, RSI(14) easing back to neutral as buyers paused. Now consolidating near 4340 inside the broader 4306-4368 range, with the rally stalling sub-$4,400 into tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,322.00

Resistance: 4,349.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4349 opens the path to 4368
  • Failure to hold 4322 reopens the 4306 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

11:31 UTC

Recovery uptrend, consolidating · RSI 57 · price 4,340.28

Higher lows off session low, stalling sub-4350.

Gold rebounded off the 4306 session low through the morning and built a chain of higher lows back to 4349, where supply capped twice. Now consolidating around 4340 just under the session high; rally was rate/dollar repricing rather than ETF demand into the FOMC.

Support: 4,327.00, 4,316.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,349.40, 4,360.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4349.4 opens the path to 4360
  • Loss of 4327 and the rising support line exposes 4316 then 4306
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

11:31 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 4,340.28

Higher lows off 4306, consolidating below session high.

Gold recovered steadily off the 4306 late-NY swing low, printing higher lows back into the 4349 session high where it has stalled, RSI(14) cooling near 55. Price now consolidating around 4340 as the metal hovers sub-$4,400 into tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 4,327.00

Resistance: 4,349.00, 4,369.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 4327 minor pivot exposes the 4306 swing low
  • A close above 4349 reopens the path toward the 4369 prior high
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

11:16 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 4,339.91

Rebound from 4306, rejected near 4349.

Gold recovered off the 4306 session low through London, tagging 4349 before stalling, with RSI(14) neutral near 49. Rejection at 4349 slipped price back to 4340, consolidating sub-4400 into FOMC — soft US data this week keeping a mild underlying bid.

Support: 4,322.00

Resistance: 4,349.00, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4349 session high reopens the 4369 intraday high
  • Loss of 4322 swing low exposes the 4306 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — gold consolidating ahead of it

11:16 UTC

Short-term uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 4,339.91

Higher lows off 4306, pullback from 4349.

Gold recovered off the 4306 session low through London, grinding higher to 4349 before the last two bars rejected back to 4340. RSI cooling from the highs with price still holding above EMA20; structure of higher lows intact but capped sub-4350.

Support: 4,327.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,349.40, 4,357.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4349.4 reopens the path toward the 4357-4368 highs
  • Loss of 4327 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

11:02 UTC

Recovery, climbing into NY hours · RSI 65 · price 4,349.29

Higher highs / higher lows off the 4306 base.

Gold carved a double bottom at 4306 during the London-NY transition and has stair-stepped higher to 4349, RSI(14) near 65 with room before extremes. Price now sits between the rising 4338 support and the prior swing high at 4368, consolidation sub-$4,400 ahead of FOMC.

Support: 4,338.00, 4,322.00

Resistance: 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4368 opens the path toward the 4400 psych level
  • Loss of rising support at 4338 / break of 4322 negates the recovery read
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

11:02 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 66 · price 4,349.29

Higher highs and higher lows off the 4306 base.

Gold has ground higher through the NY session, building a chain of higher lows off the 4306 base and now pressing 4349 just under the 4357 prior high. RSI(14) near 66 — firm, not yet stretched — consistent with the post-spike consolidation noted into FOMC.

Support: 4,339.00

Resistance: 4,357.00, 4,369.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4357 opens the path back to the 4369 session high
  • Loss of 4339 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts that can override this read

10:46 UTC

Uptrend, recovery extending · RSI 64 · price 4,347.59

Higher highs and higher lows off session low.

Gold ground higher through London hours, recovering from the 4306.5 session low back to retest the 4348 session high, with RSI(14) in the mid-60s — hot but not stretched. The leg up tracks the broader relief bounce on the US-Iran framework and softer USD. Price is pressing the session high after a clean chain of higher lows.

Support: 4,327.00, 4,306.50

Resistance: 4,348.40, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 opens the path toward the 4369 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4327 swing low would break the higher-low chain
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Uptrend, recovering off lows · RSI 63 · price 4,347.59

Higher highs and higher lows since 4306 low.

Gold ground higher through the NY session off the 4306 low, riding the US-Iran-deal relief bid, and now tests the 4348 session high with RSI(14) in the low 60s. Price holds above both short EMAs; the recovery remains a stair-step of higher lows, last defended near 4338.

Support: 4,338.42

Resistance: 4,348.36, 4,357.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 session high opens the path toward 4357
  • Failure to hold 4338 breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

10:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, recovering from session lows · RSI 58 · price 4,344.01

Higher highs and higher lows off 4306.

Gold carved a rounded base around 4306-4320 through the Asia/early-London hours and has climbed back to the 4348 session high, holding above EMA20/50 — a relief bounce off the $4,218 daily low tied to the US-Iran framework and softer USD. RSI(14) near 58 leaves room before stretch; the 4348 area is capping for now.

Support: 4,322.00

Resistance: 4,348.30

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 4348 session high opens the 4368 window high
  • Loss of 4322 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 4306 session low
  • Wed FOMC + Retail Sales (18:00 / 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

10:31 UTC

Uptrend, recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 4,344.01

Higher highs and higher lows since the 4306 low.

Gold ground higher through the London session off the 4306 low, a relief bounce on the US-Iran deal and softer USD, now stalling just under the 4348 session high. Chain of higher lows intact, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme; price holding above both EMAs.

Support: 4,339.00

Resistance: 4,348.36, 4,360.00

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 4348 opens the path to the 4360 prior high
  • Loss of the 4339 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
  • Wed FOMC + Retail Sales could materially shift this read

10:16 UTC

Recovery uptrend, grinding toward session highs · RSI 62 · price 4,345.73

Higher lows since the 4306 base, retesting 4348 area.

Gold has clawed back from the 4306 window low to retest the 4348 session high, riding the US-Iran peace-deal relief bounce and a softer dollar. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on the rise off 4316, RSI(14) holding the low-60s with no extreme. Price stalling just under 4348 — area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 4,316.00

Resistance: 4,348.36

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 opens the path toward 4368
  • Failure to hold 4316 negates the recovery structure
  • Wed FOMC + US Retail Sales are the dominant catalysts ahead

10:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 4,345.73

Higher highs/lows off 4306, stalling at session high.

Gold rallied through the NY session off the 4306 session low to 4348, a relief bounce tied to the US-Iran deal cooling oil and softening the dollar. Price is now stalling under the 4348 session high with RSI(14) cooling near 58 and the last bar a doji.

Support: 4,338.42, 4,316.00, 4,305.98

Resistance: 4,348.36, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 opens the path toward the 4360-4369 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4338 risks a slip back to the 4316 swing low
  • FOMC Wed plus US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

10:02 UTC

Uptrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 4,344.31

Higher highs / higher lows since 4306 base.

Gold ground higher through the session off the 4306 base, posting a steady higher-high chain into 4348 on the US-Iran relief bid and softer USD. RSI(14) sits mid-50s with room, and price is holding above EMA20/50; the 4348 session high is the immediate cap.

Support: 4,327.00

Resistance: 4,348.36, 4,360.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 opens the path toward 4360
  • Failure to hold 4327 breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

10:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, nearing resistance · RSI 60 · price 4,344.31

Rising lows off session base, testing recent high.

Gold ground higher through the London session off the 4306.50 base, printing a chain of higher lows into the 4348 session high; price now stalling at 4344 just below that cap. The bounce tracks the broader US-Iran/soft-USD relief read, but stays below recent highs as RSI(14) holds mid-60s with room left.

Support: 4,327.00, 4,306.50

Resistance: 4,348.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 4348 opens the path to 4360-4368
  • Loss of 4327 breaks the rising-low structure
  • Wed FOMC + Retail Sales are the dominant risk and can override this intraday read

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, recovery leg from intraday low · RSI 66 · price 4,341.10

Higher highs / higher lows off 4306.

Gold ground higher off the 4306 window low into the London session, tagging 4348 before stalling and easing back to 4341 — part of the broader relief bounce on US-Iran de-escalation and softer USD. Micro-structure holds a higher-high/higher-low chain; 4348 session high is the immediate cap, 4332 the nearest support.

Support: 4,332.00, 4,316.00

Resistance: 4,348.00, 4,360.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 opens the path toward 4360
  • Loss of 4332 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 4316
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC low impact; Wed Retail Sales + FOMC the dominant risk

09:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 4,341.10

Higher highs/higher lows off the 4306 low.

Gold ground higher through the London session off the 4306 window low, tagging 4348 before stalling — the broader relief bounce on the US-Iran framework and softer USD. Price now hovers at 4341 inside a rising channel; 4348 session high is the immediate ceiling, with demand having stepped in repeatedly around 4316-4322.

Support: 4,322.00, 4,316.00

Resistance: 4,348.36, 4,360.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 opens the path toward 4360
  • Failure to hold 4322 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

09:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 4,342.42

Higher highs/higher lows off session lows.

London session has driven a steady recovery from 4314 to a session high of 4347.86, with price now consolidating at 4342 as RSI(14) cools from the highs. Gold remains supported above the 4327 pivot, holding the recent HH/HL chain into FOMC week.

Support: 4,327.00

Resistance: 4,347.86

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4347.86 opens the path toward 4368
  • Failure to hold 4327 confirms a lower-low and negates the recovery
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

09:31 UTC

Recovery uptrend off session low · RSI 61 · price 4,342.42

Higher highs, higher lows since 4306.

Gold based twice near 4306-4309 through Asia, then ground higher across London to retest the 4348 session high; price now consolidating around 4342 with RSI(14) near 61. The recovery has reclaimed both EMAs but stalls under 4348 ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,327.00

Resistance: 4,348.36, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 opens the path to 4369
  • Failure to hold 4327 risks a slide back toward the 4306 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC can override this intraday read

09:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 67 · price 4,345.34

Higher lows off 4306, retesting recent high.

Gold based twice around the 4306 range low through the Asia session and has climbed back to the 4348 recent high into the NY morning, RSI(14) near 67. Demand stepped in on each dip above 4316; price now pressing the upper edge of the recovery as the FOMC week consolidation flagged in the digest plays out.

Support: 4,327.00, 4,316.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,348.36

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 opens the path to the 4368 session high
  • Failure to hold 4327 risks a slide back toward the 4306 range low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 4,345.34

Higher highs / higher lows since 4306 base.

Gold has climbed steadily through the London session, basing off the 4306 session low and printing higher lows into 4348. RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extreme — with price now stalling just under the 4348 session high.

Support: 4,327.00

Resistance: 4,348.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4348 opens the path back toward 4356
  • Loss of 4327 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) ahead could materially shift this read

09:03 UTC

Recovery uptrend, higher lows · RSI 67 · price 4,347.22

Rising from session low, retracing prior drop.

Gold based at the 4306 session low through Asia and ground higher in a steady higher-low chain into London, reclaiming 4332 and now testing 4347 — roughly the 0.618 retrace of the earlier 4369-4306 drop. RSI(14) near 67, hot but not extreme; the 4350 psych level and the 4369 prior high are the immediate areas to watch above.

Support: 4,332.00, 4,316.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,369.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4350 psych opens the path to the 4369 prior high
  • Loss of 4332 breakout shifts focus back toward the 4316 swing low
  • FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially reshape this read

09:03 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 4,347.22

Higher highs/higher lows off 4306 low.

Gold ground higher through the London session, extending Monday's peace-deal pop and stair-stepping from the 4306 base up to 4347 with RSI(14) near 71. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 4316; the 4350 round number is the immediate cap.

Support: 4,332.00, 4,316.00

Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4350 opens the path back toward the 4369 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4332 breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC decision and dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:46 UTC

Recovery, rising off the lows · RSI 65 · price 4,342.85

Higher lows off 4306 double bottom.

London session has staged a steady recovery off the 4306 double bottom, retracing the earlier 4369→4306 selloff and now testing the 61.8% fib near 4345 with RSI in the mid-60s. The deal-driven risk-on tone keeps gold bid into the Fed, but FOMC Wednesday remains the dominant catalyst.

Support: 4,326.00, 4,316.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,345.00, 4,357.00, 4,369.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4345 fib opens the path to 4357 then the 4369 session high
  • Failure to hold 4326 negates the higher-low recovery and reopens 4316/4306
  • FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:46 UTC

Recovering, short-term uptrend · RSI 66 · price 4,342.85

Higher lows off 4306 base, pressing into resistance.

Gold sold off from the 4369 session high to a 4306 base, then built higher lows through the recovery and is now testing 4345. Momentum is firm with RSI(14) near 66, not yet stretched, as the deal-driven pop consolidates ahead of the Fed.

Support: 4,314.00

Resistance: 4,345.05, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4345 opens the path toward the 4369 session high
  • Failure to hold 4314 reopens the 4306 base
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

08:31 UTC

Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 69 · price 4,342.88

Double-bottom base at 4306, ascending swing lows.

Gold recovered off the 4306 double bottom through London, reclaiming EMA20/50 and pressing toward the 4351 weekly high, RSI(14) near 69. Price is retracing the earlier 4369-to-4306 down leg with higher lows intact, consolidating into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,327.00, 4,316.00

Resistance: 4,351.00, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4351 weekly high opens the path back to the 4369 session high
  • Failure to hold 4327 base threatens the higher-low chain back toward 4316
  • FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next leg

08:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 67 · price 4,342.88

Higher lows off the 4306 base, retracing Monday's pullback.

London session has staged a steady recovery off the 4306 session low, reclaiming the 4326 minor pivot and pushing to 4342 — roughly a 61.8% retrace of Monday's pullback from the 4368 session high. RSI(14) near 67 confirms momentum without being stretched; the 4351 weekly high is the immediate cap.

Support: 4,326.00, 4,314.00

Resistance: 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4351 weekly high opens the path back toward 4368
  • Failure to hold 4326 reopens the 4314 swing low and 4306 base
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

08:17 UTC

Short-term uptrend, recovering off lows · RSI 63 · price 4,339.69

Higher highs and higher lows since the 4306 base.

Gold built a double bottom near 4306 overnight and has climbed through the London session, now testing 4340 with RSI(14) around 63 — firm but not stretched. The leg up retraces roughly half of Monday's 4369-to-4306 slide on the back of the softer-dollar, US-Iran deal tone.

Support: 4,327.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,357.00

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 4350 psych opens the path back toward 4357 prior swing
  • Loss of 4327 swing low would break the higher-low chain
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

08:16 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 4,339.69

Higher lows off the session low, grinding back to session top.

London-session bid carried gold off the 4306 double-bottom back to the 4340 session high, RSI(14) near 68 and price above both EMAs. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near 4314–4326 to print a chain of higher lows; the 4340 ceiling is the immediate test.

Support: 4,326.00, 4,313.50, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,340.10, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4340 opens the path toward the 4351 weekly high
  • Loss of 4326 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 4313
  • FOMC + Retail Sales (Wed) the dominant catalysts ahead — can override intraday structure

08:02 UTC

Short-term uptrend off the session low · RSI 60 · price 4,333.09

Higher lows building since the 4306 base.

London session grinding higher off a double base near 4306; price reclaimed EMA20/50 and is pressing the 4335 session high as it consolidates into the FOMC. RSI(14) near 60 with room before stretched, while the move retraces roughly 60% of the earlier slide from 4369.

Support: 4,314.00

Resistance: 4,335.55, 4,350.39

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4336 session high opens the path toward the 4350 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4314 swing low reopens the 4306 session low
  • FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

08:02 UTC

Recovering, near-term uptrend · RSI 64 · price 4,333.09

Higher lows off 4306 double bottom.

Gold carved a double bottom near 4306 during the Asia-London transition and has ground back to the 4335 session high, RSI(14) firming into the low-60s. Price sits above both short EMAs after the deal-driven pop stalled below the 4351 weekly high.

Support: 4,316.00

Resistance: 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4335 opens the path to the 4351 weekly high
  • Loss of 4316 reopens the 4306 double-bottom base
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read

07:46 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher off session low · RSI 54 · price 4,326.77

Range with rising lows after morning drop.

Gold sold from the ~4368 window high into a 4306 base during Asia, then clawed back with a chain of higher lows; now ranging 4314–4333 with price at 4326. Consolidation after Monday's +3% deal-driven pop, RSI mid-range near 54 with no extreme in play.

Support: 4,314.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 range top opens the path to 4350
  • Failure to hold 4314 range floor exposes the 4306 session low
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst beyond this window

07:46 UTC

Recovering within range · RSI 55 · price 4,326.77

Ranging 4306-4333 after pullback from 4369.

XAUUSD ran to 4369 early in the window on the US-Iran deal pop, then bled back to 4306 before stabilising; price is grinding in a 4306-4333 range through the Asia-into-London hours. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near 4314, and price holds above EMA20/50, with RSI(14) mid-range and no extreme.

Support: 4,314.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path toward the 4351 weekly high
  • Loss of 4306 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read

07:31 UTC

Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 56 · price 4,329.77

Range with higher lows into range top.

After the prior NY-session push to 4369 faded into a 4306 low, gold has carved higher lows through the Asia-London transition and is now pressing the 4333 range top. RSI(14) mid-range near 56, price back above both EMAs — consolidation under resistance, no break yet.

Support: 4,314.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path toward the 4351 weekly high
  • Loss of 4314 reopens the 4306 session low
  • FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could override this intraday read

07:31 UTC

Choppy recovery within range · RSI 57 · price 4,329.77

Ranging after pullback from 4369.

Gold sold off from the 4369 swing high to 4306 then stabilised, now grinding back to 4329 and pressing the 4333 range top during London hours. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; this is consolidation into Wednesday's FOMC, not a fresh impulse.

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path toward the 4351 weekly high
  • Failure to hold 4306 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next leg

07:16 UTC

Pullback off intraday high, recovering · RSI 55 · price 4,327.15

Consolidating 4306–4333 after sell-off from 4369.

Gold sold off from the 4369 morning high through to 4306, then carved a double bottom and has been ranging 4306–4333 into the London session. Price is recovering toward the range top at 4333 with RSI(14) back near 55, no extreme in play.

Support: 4,314.00

Resistance: 4,333.10, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path toward 4347/4351
  • Failure to hold 4314 reopens the 4306 session low
  • No tier-1 US data in the next 8h; FOMC + Retail Sales Wed are the larger catalysts

07:16 UTC

Ranging, recovering off intraday low · RSI 55 · price 4,327.15

Range, choppy after the 4368 fade.

Gold is ranging 4306–4333 through London hours after Monday's deal-driven pop to 4368 faded. Price has recovered off the 4314 swing low and is pressing the 4333 range top into the current bar, RSI(14) back to mid-50s.

Support: 4,314.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path back toward the 4351 weekly high
  • Loss of 4314 reopens the 4306 session low
  • FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Ranging after Monday's rally · RSI 53 · price 4,323.39

Consolidation between 4313 and 4333.

Gold ripped ~3% Monday on the US-Iran deal and is now coiling between 4313 and 4333 into London hours, RSI(14) flat near 53. Price reclaimed the 4322-4324 mid after dipping to the 4306 session low, no directional break in play.

Support: 4,313.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path back toward the 4350 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4313 exposes the 4306 session low
  • FOMC + SEP Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this range read

07:02 UTC

Range, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 4,323.39

Consolidating after rejection from 4368.

Gold rejected the 4368 high during the prior NY hours and has spent the Asia-into-London window chopping between 4306 and 4333. Price reclaimed 4323 on the latest London push, RSI(14) neutral around 52 — no directional setup in play as the market coils into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path back toward the 4351 weekly high
  • Failure to hold 4306 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

06:46 UTC

Rolling over, consolidating after fade · RSI 47 · price 4,316.77

Range between 4306 and 4333 after rejection of session high.

Gold peaked near 4369 earlier in the window then faded through the session, and is now consolidating between roughly 4306 and 4333. The push to 4332 was rejected and price sits mid-range at 4316, RSI(14) neutral near 46. First FOMC under Warsh on Wed is the dominant catalyst overhanging this range.

Resistance: 4,332.89, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 reopens the 4351 weekly high
  • Failure to hold 4306 confirms a lower low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:46 UTC

Pullback within range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 4,316.77

Consolidating after rejection from 4369.

Gold faded from the 4369 session high back into a 4306–4333 range after Monday's deal-driven +3% pop. Price is mid-range near 4316, RSI(14) flat around 46; buyers defended 4306 and supply capped 4333 on the last rotation.

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4306 confirms a lower low and breaks the range base
  • M15 close above 4333 reopens the path toward the 4351 weekly high
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this range read

06:31 UTC

Downtrend off NY high, basing · RSI 46 · price 4,315.71

Lower highs, ranging 4306–4333.

Gold ran to 4369 in the prior NY session on the US-Iran deal pop, then faded through the Asian session to 4306. London recovered to 4333 but rejected there and price has slipped back to 4316, mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 46.

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 reopens the path to 4351
  • Loss of 4306 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC + Retail Sales Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead

06:31 UTC

Consolidating, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 4,315.71

Rangebound after fading off 4333 swing high.

Gold is consolidating in early London after fading from the 4333 swing high back through EMA20 to 4315, with RSI(14) mid-range near 46. Price holds inside a 4306–4333 band as bullion digests its US-Iran-driven pop into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 reopens the path toward the 4351 weekly high
  • Loss of 4306 session low exposes 4300 swing low
  • FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

06:16 UTC

Rally faded, now sideways · RSI 47 · price 4,317.53

Ranging below 4333 after rejection from 4369.

Gold's deal-driven pop to ~4369 has unwound; price chopped back to 4317 and is now retracing the 4306-4333 bounce, sitting near the 61.8% fib into the pre-London hours. Rejection capped the move at 4333 and price holds just below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range — no directional setup in play.

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 reopens the 4350 prior high
  • Loss of 4306 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC are the dominant pending catalysts

06:16 UTC

Rangebound, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 4,317.53

Ranging after fade from session high.

London session faded the push to 4333 back toward 4317, RSI(14) flat near 46 with price pinned just below the short EMAs. Gold is consolidating the Iran-deal pop inside a 4306–4333 band ahead of Wednesday's FOMC, no clean directional structure in play.

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4306 confirms a lower low and breaks the range base
  • M15 close above 4333 reopens the 4351 weekly high
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

06:02 UTC

Intraday downtrend, fading from highs · RSI 43 · price 4,314.07

Lower highs after the 4368 peak, ranging 4306-4333.

Asia-session drift lower after gold faded the 4332 swing high; price now 4314 with RSI(14) mid-40s, below both EMAs. Holding the 4306 shelf for now after the larger pullback off the 4368 peak.

Support: 4,300.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4306 confirms a lower-low toward 4300 round number
  • Reclaim of 4332 reopens the path back toward the 4351 weekly high
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read

06:02 UTC

Downtrend off intraday peak, fading · RSI 42 · price 4,314.07

Lower highs after rejection at session high.

Asia session pushed to 4332.89 then got rejected, fading back to 4314 with price now below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) around 42. Gold is unwinding part of Monday's deal-driven pop; structure shows lower highs into the session close, swing low at 4306.5 the near-term floor.

Support: 4,306.50, 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,332.89

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4306.5 opens the path to the 4300 round number
  • Reclaim of 4332.89 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could inject volatility ahead of Wed FOMC

05:46 UTC

Range after morning fade · RSI 46 · price 4,317.84

Consolidating, holding 4306-4333 band.

Gold is ranging 4306-4333 through the Asian session after Monday's US-Iran deal pop toward 4351 stalled. The early-London bar rejected 4333 and faded to 4317, parking price near the 0.5-0.618 retrace of the 4306-4333 leg; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum edge.

Support: 4,316.60

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 reopens the path toward the 4351 weekly high
  • Loss of 4306 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range base
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next leg

05:46 UTC

Range after rally faded · RSI 44 · price 4,317.84

Consolidating below 4332 session high.

Gold is consolidating into the Asia session after Monday's deal-driven pop stalled in the 4360s. A push to 4332.9 was rejected and price has slipped back to 4317.84; trade is rangebound between the 4307 session low and 4332 session high with RSI mid-range.

Resistance: 4,332.90, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4307 breaks the range floor and prints a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4332 reopens the path toward the 4351 weekly high
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that can shift this read

05:31 UTC

Ranging, mild recovery off lows · RSI 53 · price 4,328.23

Range-bound 4306-4333 after deal-pop stall.

XAUUSD is ranging 4306-4333 through the Asian session after Monday's US-Iran deal-driven +3% pop stalled near 4368. Demand stepped in around 4306 repeatedly and price has recovered to mid-range, RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 reopens the path toward the 4350 prior high
  • Loss of 4306 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts

05:31 UTC

Range, mild upward drift · RSI 54 · price 4,328.23

Consolidating after recovery off session low.

Gold consolidating ~4322-4328 after recovering from the 4306 low through the Asian session into the London open, tagging 4333 before fading. RSI(14) neutral near 54, ATR wide at ~580 pips. Price action is post US-Iran-deal consolidation, coiling ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path toward the 4351 weekly high
  • Loss of 4306 reopens the 4218 rebound base
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range

05:16 UTC

Pullback off highs, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 4,327.47

Range after rejection from 4368, holding 4310-4333.

Gold rejected the 4368 NY swing high and slid to 4306 before stabilising; price now consolidates 4310-4333 with RSI(14) flat near 51. Buyers stepped in around 4322 on the latest dip, but 4333 is capping the rebound into the Fed.

Support: 4,322.00

Resistance: 4,333.10, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4333 opens the path back toward the 4351 weekly high
  • Failure to hold 4322 exposes the 4306 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will override this range read

05:16 UTC

Ranging after pullback from highs · RSI 54 · price 4,327.47

Consolidation between 4306 and 4333.

Asia session is ranging 4306–4333 after gold faded the deal-driven pop from the 4368 highs. Buyers stepped in twice near 4306–4308 and price reclaimed the EMAs, but 4333 is capping the recovery. RSI(14) mid-range near 54, no momentum extreme in play.

Resistance: 4,333.10, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path back toward the 4351 weekly high
  • Loss of 4306 confirms a lower-low and reopens the rebound base
  • FOMC + Retail Sales Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead — outside this window but will reset the range

05:03 UTC

Range after morning slide, momentum neutral · RSI 51 · price 4,322.66

Consolidating between 4316 and 4333 below the 4368 swing high.

Asia session consolidating 4316–4333 after the slide off the 4368 high, with the broader move part of Monday's deal-driven gold pop now digesting into the Fed. Price bounced off 4306, reclaimed the EMA20 and stalled near 4333; RSI(14) neutral around 50.

Support: 4,316.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 reopens the path toward 4351 weekly high
  • Failure to hold 4306 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst, can override this read

05:03 UTC

Range, drifting lower after peak fade · RSI 49 · price 4,322.66

Consolidating between 4308 and 4333 after rejection of 4368.

Gold faded the deal-driven pop to 4368 through the session and is now ranging 4308–4333, last seen pulling back from a 4332 rejection toward 4322. RSI(14) flat near 49 — no momentum edge intraday as price coils ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,308.00

Resistance: 4,332.89, 4,350.39

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path back toward 4350
  • Failure to hold 4308 confirms a lower low toward 4302
  • FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst, well beyond this window

04:46 UTC

Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 4,323.30

Boxed 4306–4333 after rejection from 4368.

Gold spiked to 4368 then faded through the window on the US-Iran framework relief, and is now ranging 4306–4333. The latest bounce off 4306 stalled at 4333 with rejection, RSI mid-range near 53 — no clear directional setup in play.

Support: 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,340.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 negates the range and opens 4340
  • Loss of 4306 confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC decision/dots Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this read

04:46 UTC

Range-bound after pullback · RSI 51 · price 4,323.30

Choppy range, lower high from 4368.

Gold is ranging ~4306–4333 in early Asia after fading the rebound off Monday's US-Iran-deal bounce; the bounce from 4306 stalled at 4333 and price has eased back to 4323. RSI(14) neutral near 51, no momentum extreme.

Support: 4,306.50

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,347.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens path to the 4347 prior swing
  • Loss of 4306.5 session low confirms a lower low
  • FOMC/Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read

04:31 UTC

Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 48 · price 4,322.33

Recovery off 4306 capped at 4333.

Gold based around 4306 late in the prior session and ran to 4333 before stalling, now back at 4322 sitting on EMA20/EMA50 with RSI near 48. Price is rotating inside a 4306–4333 band as the post US-Iran-deal relief bounce consolidates ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,313.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,349.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path to 4349
  • Failure to hold 4313 reopens 4306 session low
  • Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

04:31 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 4,322.33

Consolidation after fade from 4369.

Gold faded from the 4369 high through the prior NY session and has since coiled in a 4306–4333 range, part of the broader US-Iran relief bounce off the 4024 low. A pop to 4333 was rejected and price has slipped back to 4322 into early Asia, RSI(14) flat around 49.

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,345.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 reopens the path toward 4345
  • Loss of 4306 confirms a lower-low and ends the range
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC/SEP Wed could materially shift this read

04:16 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum building · RSI 55 · price 4,327.38

Higher lows from 4306, pushing into 4333.

Asia session has clawed back from the 4306 low, breaking above the 4318-4322 consolidation to tag a session high at 4333 before easing to 4327. Move sits within Monday's broad US-Iran-deal rebound; RSI(14) mid-range with room either way ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,319.00

Resistance: 4,333.10, 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4333 session high opens the path toward 4350
  • Loss of 4319 swing low reopens the 4306 session low
  • FOMC/SEP Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst — could override intraday structure

04:16 UTC

Recovering off lows, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 4,327.38

Bounce within 4306-4333 range.

Asia session bounced twice off the 4306 double low and pushed to a 4333 session high before fading to 4327, RSI(14) cooling near 57. Move follows Monday's US-Iran-deal rebound that lifted gold off the $4,024 base; price still trades within an intraday 4306-4333 range with no clean break.

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path toward 4350
  • Failure to hold 4306 confirms a fresh intraday lower low
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 GMT) and FOMC/SEP (Wed 18:00 GMT) are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read

04:02 UTC

Rebounding off intraday low, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 4,330.97

Double bottom at 4307, higher lows into Asia.

Asia session rebounded off a double bottom at 4307 after the post-rollover dip, pushing back to 4333 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Price holding above EMA20/50; 4333 recent high is the immediate cap after the US-Iran-deal relief bounce.

Support: 4,307.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,347.00, 4,368.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 opens the path toward 4347 and the 4368 session high
  • Failure to hold 4307 reopens the downside and negates the double bottom
  • Retail Sales/FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

04:02 UTC

Recovering off lows, short-term up · RSI 61 · price 4,330.97

Double-bottom at 4306, higher lows into 4332.

Gold held the 4306 floor three times overnight and the Asia session has climbed back to 4332, reclaiming the 4318 pivot — price now sits on the 38.2% retrace of the prior 4369-4306 drop. The bounce fits the broader US-Iran-deal/softer-USD relief move, but 4333 caps for now and RSI(14) is only mid-60s.

Support: 4,318.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,347.00, 4,369.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4333 recent high opens path toward 4347 swing high
  • Loss of 4306 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC/SEP Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this read

03:46 UTC

Rebound off lows, momentum building · RSI 60 · price 4,330.65

Double bottom near 4306, pushing into 4332 resistance.

Asia session is lifting off a 4306 double bottom, last bar tagging 4332.89 — the session high — as the post-Iran-deal relief bounce continues. RSI(14) recovering above midline; the rally off lows holds while 4318 stays defended.

Support: 4,318.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,340.00, 4,349.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 4318 stalls the rebound and re-exposes 4306
  • Acceptance above 4333 opens the path to the 4340–4349 supply band
  • FOMC/SEP Wed remains the dominant catalyst for this week's direction

03:46 UTC

Recovering off session lows after pullback from highs · RSI 61 · price 4,330.65

Double-bottom base near 4306, higher lows into NY.

Gold sold from the 4369 session peak down to a 4306 double base, then bounced through the Asian session with buyers stepping in twice around 4306. The last bar pushed to 4332.89 on the US-Iran deal/softer-USD backdrop, RSI(14) firming near 61 and price back above EMA20/50.

Support: 4,319.00, 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,350.00, 4,369.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4333 opens path back toward the 4350 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4319 reopens the 4306 session low
  • FOMC SEP/dot-plot Wed could materially shift this read

03:31 UTC

Down off peak, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 4,321.97

Consolidation between 4306 and 4326 after fade from 4369.

Gold faded from the 4369 peak set during prior US hours and has spent the Asia session ranging between 4306 and 4326, part of the broader Iran-deal relief rebound off the 4024 low. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near 4306; price is now grinding back toward the range top with RSI mid-range and no momentum extreme.

Support: 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,326.00, 4,340.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4326 invalidates the range read and reopens 4340
  • Loss of 4306 confirms a lower low and exposes 4300
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC/SEP Wed could materially shift this read

03:31 UTC

Range after pullback from highs · RSI 56 · price 4,321.97

Ranging 4306–4326, basing above range low.

Gold has been ranging 4306–4326 through the Asian session after fading from the 4368 peak; the broad rebound followed Monday's US-Iran framework deal and softer USD. Price has recovered to the 4322 range top, RSI(14) mid-range near 56, with the range low at 4306 holding twice.

Resistance: 4,326.00, 4,340.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4326 range top opens the path back toward 4340 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4306 range low confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales Wed 12:30 GMT and FOMC/dots 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read

03:16 UTC

Downtrend faded, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 4,317.61

Consolidation near session lows after decline from 4369.

Gold rolled over from the 4369 high through London-NY and bled into a 4306–4326 range, now drifting around 4317 in Asia hours with RSI(14) flat near mid. The broad rebound is USD-driven off Monday's risk-on, but intraday structure is corrective with FOMC Wed the binary overhead.

Support: 4,306.00, 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,326.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4326 invalidates the range-top read
  • Loss of 4306 session low opens the 4300 psych level
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

03:16 UTC

Downtrend off session high, now basing · RSI 48 · price 4,317.61

Lower highs into 4306–4325 range.

Gold faded from the 4369 session high through the prior session and based twice near 4306, the USD-driven rebound stalling. Asia hours now coiling between 4306 and 4321 with price at 4317, RSI mid-range — no clean intraday setup in play.

Support: 4,306.00

Resistance: 4,321.00, 4,340.00, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4306 confirms a lower low and reopens 4302
  • Reclaim of 4321 needed to challenge the 4340 swing high
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary that could override this range

03:02 UTC

Down-leg cooling, basing near lows · RSI 52 · price 4,318.63

Consolidation after lower highs off 4369.

Gold faded from the 4369 session high through NY hours and is now basing around 4307 into the Asia session, with buyers stepping in twice at that level. Price reclaimed the EMA20 at 4313 and trades back at 4318, but the 4325 swing high still caps the bounce; broader move is part of the post-Iran-deal, softer-USD rebound.

Support: 4,307.00, 4,313.00

Resistance: 4,325.00, 4,340.00, 4,369.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4325 invalidates the consolidation read and reopens 4340
  • Failure to hold 4307 confirms a lower low
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary driver for this read

03:02 UTC

Downtrend off peak, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 4,318.63

Consolidation between 4306 and 4326 after lower highs.

Gold faded from the ~4369 NY-session peak and is now ranging 4306–4326 through the Asia session, with USD softness from the US-Iran framework underpinning the broader rebound. Price reclaimed EMA20 on the bounce off 4306 but sits below EMA50; RSI(14) is flat near 49, no momentum edge.

Support: 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,326.00, 4,340.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4306 confirms a lower low and reopens 4300
  • Close above 4326 breaks the Asian range top toward 4340
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary that overrides this read

02:46 UTC

Downtrend off NY high, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 4,311.33

Lower highs from 4369, ranging 4306-4326.

Gold faded from the ~4369 NY-session high in a chain of lower highs and is now consolidating 4306-4326 through the Asia session, in line with the USD-driven nature of Monday's rebound. RSI(14) is mid-range near 44 and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50; demand stepped in repeatedly at 4306 while supply caps near 4326.

Support: 4,306.00, 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,326.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4326 invalidates the range top and the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4306 opens the 4300 round number
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary that could override this read

02:46 UTC

Downtrend off the 4369 high, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 4,311.33

Lower highs since peak, ranging 4306-4325.

Gold rolled over from the 4369 high set during the Monday risk-on bid and has carved lower highs, now coiling between 4306 and 4325 into the Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43 with price under both EMA20 and EMA50; the 4325 swing high capped the last bounce.

Support: 4,306.00, 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,325.92

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4325.92 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4306 opens the 4300 round number
  • FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary that could reset this read

02:31 UTC

Downtrend off the highs, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 4,314.75

Lower highs into a 4306–4326 consolidation.

Gold peaked near 4369 mid-window on the softer-USD, US-Iran relief move, then faded through the session to a 4306 low and is now chopping 4306–4326 with price at 4314. RSI(14) mid-range and below both EMAs — the rebound off Monday's lows has stalled into the Asian session.

Support: 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,325.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4326 invalidates the consolidation top
  • Failure to hold 4306 confirms a lower-low toward 4300
  • FOMC dot plot + US Retail Sales Wed are the binary for the next directional leg

02:31 UTC

Downtrend off session high, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 4,314.75

Lower highs from 4369, chop 4306–4326.

Gold faded steadily from the 4369 session high — the top of Monday's risk-on rally on the US-Iran framework and softer USD — and is now ranging 4306–4326. Last few hours show repeated rejection near 4326 with buyers defending 4306; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum extreme.

Resistance: 4,325.92

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4326 invalidates the range-top rejection read
  • Loss of 4306 session low confirms a lower-low continuation
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary that could override this range

02:16 UTC

Downtrend off intraday high, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 4,310.36

Ranging near session lows after fade from 4369.

NY session faded gold steadily from the 4369 high back to the 4306 area, the rebound paradox flagged in the macro read losing steam on a still-hawkish Fed setup. Into early Asia, price is ranging 4306–4326 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 4320 swing capped the latest bounce.

Support: 4,306.00, 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,320.00, 4,326.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4306 confirms a lower low and extends the decline toward 4300
  • Close back above 4326 invalidates the range-bound fade read
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary that reframes this entirely

02:16 UTC

Downtrend off NY high, fading · RSI 43 · price 4,310.36

Lower highs, basing near session low.

Gold faded from the NY high near 4369 through the Asian session, printing a chain of lower highs and now consolidating around 4310 just above the 4306 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-range with price under both EMAs; bounce attempts toward 4320–4326 have been rejected.

Support: 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,320.00, 4,326.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4306 confirms a lower low and extends the decline toward 4300
  • Close back above 4326 negates the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary that could overwrite this read

02:02 UTC

Downtrend off highs, now flat · RSI 44 · price 4,312.57

Consolidation after a fade from 4369.

Gold peaked at 4369 during Monday's NY session on the softer USD post-Iran framework, then faded into a 4306–4325 consolidation through the Asia hours. RSI sits mid-range and price holds below both EMAs, with the recent bounce capped near the range top.

Support: 4,306.00, 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,325.00, 4,369.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4325 breaks the consolidation higher
  • Failure to hold 4306 opens the 4300 round number
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary that overrides this read

02:02 UTC

Downtrend off NY high, now flat · RSI 45 · price 4,312.57

Ranging 4306–4326 after pullback from 4369.

Gold peaked at 4369 during NY hours on the softer-USD/US-Iran tone, then sold off to 4306 into the Asia session. Price now consolidates 4306–4326 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; no clean intraday setup in play.

Support: 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,326.00, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4306 confirms a lower low and reopens 4300
  • Reclaim of 4326 breaks the range top
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary that can override this read

01:46 UTC

Downtrend off session high, basing · RSI 49 · price 4,314.68

Lower highs from 4368, holding 4306.

Gold rolled off the 4368 session high through the day in a chain of lower highs after Monday's ~3% USD-driven rip, basing at 4306 into the Asia session. A bounce stalled at the 4325 swing high and price has faded back to 4314, RSI(14) mid-range near 48.

Support: 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,325.92

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4325.92 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4306 confirms a lower low toward the 4300 psych level
  • FOMC dot plot Wed is the binary that overrides this intraday read

01:46 UTC

Pullback, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 4,314.68

Range after fade from session high.

Gold faded from the 4369 session high through US hours and is now ranging 4306-4326 in early Asia, sitting mid-range at 4314 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Buyers held the 4306 session low twice; the 4326 range top has capped the bounces.

Support: 4,306.00, 4,292.00

Resistance: 4,326.00, 4,347.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4326 range top reopens the path toward 4347 prior high
  • Loss of 4306 session low confirms a lower-low toward 4292 swing low
  • FOMC dot-plot Wed could materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Pullback off highs, stabilising · RSI 53 · price 4,319.86

Ranging after NY decline, double bottom at 4306.

Gold faded from the ~4369 NY high to a 4306 session low, where a double bottom formed, and has recovered to 4319 in early Asia with RSI(14) back to neutral. Price is capped under the 4326 recent high; the broader pullback off 4369 is still in play while 4306 holds.

Support: 4,306.00, 4,292.00

Resistance: 4,326.00, 4,340.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4326 recent high reopens the 4340 prior shelf
  • Failure to hold 4306 session low opens 4292 window low
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary risk for this read

01:31 UTC

Pullback off session high, now flat · RSI 51 · price 4,319.86

Rally to 4369 faded, ranging 4306–4326.

Gold spiked to 4369 on the softer-USD/Iran framework, then faded through NY to print a session low at 4306. Asia hours have it ranging 4306–4326, RSI(14) neutral near 51, price hugging EMA20 but capped below EMA50.

Resistance: 4,326.00, 4,340.00, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4326 reopens the 4340 prior high
  • Break below 4306 session low confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary for this read

01:16 UTC

Pullback off NY high, stabilising · RSI 55 · price 4,320.79

Lower highs into a 4306–4326 Asia range.

Gold faded from the $4,369 NY peak to a $4,306 base, and the thin Asia session has since coiled in a 4306–4326 range. The last bar tagged 4325.92 before easing to 4320.79, with RSI(14) back near mid-range — no directional resolution yet.

Resistance: 4,325.92, 4,340.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4326 reopens the path toward 4340
  • Loss of 4306 asia floor resumes the down leg
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary for this read

01:16 UTC

Pullback recovering off session low · RSI 52 · price 4,320.79

Faded from 4369 high to 4306, now bouncing.

Gold faded from the ~4369 session high to 4306 before buyers stepped in twice around that level, lifting price back to 4320 — roughly a 23.6% retrace of the down leg on a softer USD. Momentum is neutral with RSI near 52; 4326 caps the recovery for now.

Resistance: 4,326.00, 4,340.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4326 reopens the path toward 4340
  • Loss of 4306 confirms a lower low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary for gold — beyond this session

01:03 UTC

Downtrend off session high, bouncing · RSI 54 · price 4,324.80

Lower highs from 4369, basing at 4306.

Gold faded from the session high at 4369 through NY into Asia, basing around 4306 where buyers stepped in repeatedly. The recovery to 4324.8 retraces ~30% of that drop with RSI(14) lifting off neutral; the rebound itself sits on a softer dollar after the US-Iran framework. FOMC dot plot Wednesday remains the binary.

Support: 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,340.00, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4340 negates the lower-high sequence off 4369
  • Loss of 4306 session low opens the 4300 psych figure
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:03 UTC

Pullback off session high, basing · RSI 52 · price 4,324.80

Lower highs since $4,369, $4,306 base holding.

Gold ran to a $4,369 session high on Monday's softer-USD/US-Iran tape, then sold off through Asia hours to a $4,306 double base before recovering to $4,324. Last bar reclaimed EMA20; price still sits below EMA50 with $4,338 the next overhead pivot.

Resistance: 4,338.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4338 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold the 4306 base confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary that overrides this intraday read

00:46 UTC

Pullback off intraday high, now flat · RSI 45 · price 4,311.45

Rally to 4368 faded, consolidating near lows.

Gold ran to a 4368 session high then bled lower through the NY-Asia transition, basing around 4306. Into early Asia hours it's chopping 4306-4319 with RSI neutral near 45 and price under both EMAs. The US-Iran peace framework and softer Dollar fuelled Monday's bounce, but Wed FOMC is the swing factor.

Resistance: 4,319.12, 4,340.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4306 session low confirms a lower low and continuation
  • Reclaim of 4340 week high needed to revive the rebound
  • Wed Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot-plot 18:00 UTC dominate the next sessions

00:46 UTC

Pullback from highs, ranging · RSI 46 · price 4,311.45

Lower highs off 4369, basing 4306–4319.

Gold pushed to 4369 mid-window then faded ~60 USD as the post-Iran-deal relief bid cooled; the last few hours have ranged 4306–4319 after a minor gap higher at the Asia reopen. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI mid-range — supply capping near 4319, demand holding 4306.

Support: 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,319.50, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4319.5 would break the chain of lower highs
  • Loss of 4306 opens the 4300 round number
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC dot-plot (18:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts ahead

00:31 UTC

Intraday pullback off session high, momentum soft · RSI 45 · price 4,309.66

Lower highs since 4369 peak, consolidating near lows.

Gold faded from the 4369 session high down to 4306 and is now consolidating 4306–4319 in early Asia, price under both EMAs. RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s after the slide; the broader rebound has stalled below the 100-day SMA ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,319.50, 4,340.00, 4,369.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4319.50 reopens the path toward 4340
  • Loss of 4306 confirms continuation toward the 4300 round number
  • FOMC dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

00:31 UTC

Downtrend off session high, now flat · RSI 45 · price 4,309.66

Lower highs from 4369, ranging near lows.

Gold faded its NY rebound peak near 4369 and ground lower through a lower-high sequence into 4306. Through Asian hours it has chopped between 4306 and 4319 with RSI(14) mid-range near 45; current bar sits at 4309 below EMA20/EMA50.

Resistance: 4,319.00, 4,337.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4319 reopens the 4337 swing high
  • Loss of 4306 session low confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and the FOMC dot-plot are the dominant catalysts ahead

00:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 47 · price 4,315.57

Lower highs from 4369, double bottom at 4306.

Gold rolled over from the 4369 NY-session high and slid into a 4306 base where buyers stepped in twice. Early-Asia bounce is now probing the 4319 session high with RSI(14) recovering off the mid-30s, but price is still pinned below EMA20/EMA50 after the relief rally faded.

Support: 4,306.00, 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,319.12, 4,338.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4319 session high opens the path back toward 4338 prior swing
  • Loss of the 4306 base confirms a lower low toward the 4300 psych level
  • FOMC dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

00:16 UTC

Short-term downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 48 · price 4,315.57

Lower highs off 4369, basing near 4306.

Gold faded from the 4369 high through the London-NY hours down to 4306, then consolidated near 4315 into Asia after a session-rollover gap. RSI(14) sits mid-range and price holds below EMA20/50 — a bounce within a short-term downtrend.

Support: 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,320.00, 4,336.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4320 breaks the descending highs and opens 4336
  • Failure to hold 4306 confirms continuation toward 4300
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC dot-plot (18:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts ahead

00:02 UTC

Pullback within recovery, basing · RSI 53 · price 4,318.08

Lower highs off 4369, double base at 4306.

Gold topped ~4369 during NY hours then sold off in a clean lower-high sequence to a 4306 base, part of the broader rebound off 4024 flagged in context. Asia session is recovering toward 4318, holding the 4306 double-bottom but capped under EMA50.

Support: 4,306.00, 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,325.00, 4,369.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4325 breaks the lower-high sequence off 4369
  • Failure to hold 4306 confirms a fresh lower low toward 4300
  • Wed US Retail Sales + FOMC dot-plot are the dominant catalysts ahead

00:02 UTC

Intraday downtrend, basing · RSI 53 · price 4,318.08

Lower highs off 4369, bouncing from 4306 base.

Gold rolled over from the $4,369 swing high through the NY session and based around 4306 twice before grinding back to 4318. Price sits below EMA50, boxed in a tight 4306-4320 range with momentum neutral; the US-Iran relief rally has stalled into Wed's FOMC dot-plot.

Support: 4,306.50

Resistance: 4,319.50, 4,334.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4319.50 opens the path back to 4334 swing high
  • Loss of 4306.50 session low confirms a lower low
  • Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC dot-plot (18:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts ahead

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