Gold rallied ~6.5% off the $4,024 area this week on US-Iran de-escalation; this week opened with a weekend gap up near 4296 and pushed to a 4369 high before stalling under the $4,400 ceiling. Price has since consolidated in a 4313-4355 band with RSI(14) cycling near neutral and holding above EMA(50). The de-escalation pop is largely in price, leaving the read pinned ahead of the Fed.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,295.00, 4,218.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 4313 exposes the 4295 wk open then 4218 prior low
US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could firm USD and pressure gold below 4300
FOMC 18:00 UTC Wed (Warsh first presser, fresh dots) could materially shift this read
Gold gapped higher into this week's open and extended the recovery off the $4,024 base, tagging a 4369 week high before stalling — the de-escalation pop and softer US data (Empire State, housing starts) carried the move. Price has since coiled in a 4306–4355 band, holding above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI mid-range, as the ~4400 ceiling repeatedly caps. Higher lows since the gap keep the structure constructive but momentum is flattening into the decision.
Support: 4,306.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
H1 close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 ceiling
Loss of 4306 breaks the run of higher lows and exposes the 4280 gap low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could pressure price ahead of the Fed
Gold rallied roughly 6.5% off the $4,024 base this week as the US-Iran de-escalation pressured oil and softened the USD, but the advance has stalled below the 4,350-4,369 area into the FOMC. Price is grinding sideways just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) flattening near 50 after the post-gap push higher. Higher lows since the weekend reopen are still intact above 4,313.
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4,369 opens the path toward the 4,400 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 4,313 then 4,300 confirms a lower low
Fed decision tomorrow 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold gapped higher into this week's open near 4296, extending the US-Iran de-escalation rebound off the 4218 base and printing a week high at 4369 before stalling. Bulls have repeatedly capped into the ~4400 area while rising lows hold above 4313; price now sits just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) flattening around 50. The two-way tone is FOMC-driven — the de-escalation pop is largely in price.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,295.90, 4,218.00
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Fed decision 18:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC tomorrow precedes the decision
H1 close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 ceiling
Gold rallied roughly 6.5% off the $4,024 base into this week on US-Iran de-escalation and a softer USD, gapping higher into Monday and topping at the $4,369 week high. Price has since gone sideways in a 4310-4355 range, pinned around EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 50 as the de-escalation pop fades into FOMC caution. The $4,400 psych ceiling remains untested with two attempts capped near $4,369.
Support: 4,310.00, 4,295.00, 4,218.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision and Warsh presser in the next session is the defining catalyst for this read
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could firm USD and pressure the range
H1 close above 4369 week high opens the path toward the 4400 psych ceiling
Loss of 4310 range low exposes the 4295 week open, then 4218
Gold rebounded ~6.5% off the $4,024 base into this week on US-Iran de-escalation softening oil and the USD, gapping higher over the weekend and pushing to a week high of 4369 before stalling. Price is now consolidating in the 4313–4369 band, holding above the week open at 4295 and pinned around EMA20 with RSI(14) flattening near 50. The repeated stall into ~4400 noted in context lines up with the H1 cap at 4369.
Support: 4,313.32, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 4295 week open exposes the 4280 post-gap low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
Gold rebounded ~6.5% off the 4024 base into this week on US-Iran de-escalation softening the USD, gapped higher over the weekend and pushed to 4369 before stalling under the ~4400 ceiling. Price has since oscillated around EMA20 while holding above EMA50, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range as the rally consolidates. The ~4300 zone has absorbed two pullbacks this week.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,285.00
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4369 opens the path to the 4400 ceiling
Failure to hold 4300 exposes the 4285 gap base
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the FOMC decision (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Gold gapped higher into this week's open after the ~6.5% three-day rebound on US-Iran de-escalation and a softer USD, then pushed to 4369 in NY hours before stalling below the well-flagged 4400 ceiling. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 4333, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range. Higher lows off the 4280 gap low keep the near-term structure constructive, but two-way risk dominates into the FOMC.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 ceiling
Failure to hold 4300 exposes the 4280 gap low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
Higher highs since Monday, now consolidating below week high.
Gold rallied roughly 6.5% from the $4,024 base into Monday, gapping higher over the weekend on US-Iran de-escalation that drained the oil and safe-haven premium. Price has since stalled in a $4,300-4,369 consolidation, repeatedly capped below the $4,400 ceiling flagged in the macro read, with RSI(14) cycling around the midline as momentum cools. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50, and pullbacks have so far found demand near the $4,300 round number.
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot-plot tomorrow 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC tomorrow could firm USD and pressure gold back below 4,300
Hourly close above 4,369 week high opens the path toward the 4,400 ceiling
Failure to hold 4,300 turns focus to the 4,280 post-gap low
Higher highs/lows, now consolidating below week high.
Gold rebounded ~6.5% off the $4,024 base this week on US-Iran de-escalation softening the USD and oil; price gapped higher over the weekend and ground up through the London/NY sessions to stall repeatedly below the 4369 week high. It is holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, but the last few sessions have flattened into consolidation under the $4,400 ceiling. The Fed decision tomorrow at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst into this range.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 4300 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 4280 gap low
Gold gapped higher into the week's open near 4290 and ran ~6.5% off the prior base on the US-Iran de-escalation that drained the geopolitical premium and softened the USD. The push topped at 4369 in the NY session and price has since coiled between 4306 and 4369, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling mid-range. The ~4400 ceiling that capped prior attempts remains untested this leg.
Support: 4,290.00
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot tomorrow 18:00 UTC under new Chair Warsh is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC tomorrow — a beat firms USD and pressures gold toward 4290
H1 close above 4369 opens the path to the 4400 psych level
Failure to hold 4306 breaks the higher-low sequence
Gold gapped higher into this week's open near 4296 and ran to 4369 on the US-Iran de-escalation and softer USD, then stalled just under the $4,400 ceiling. Price has spent the last sessions consolidating in a 4306–4369 band, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around the midline — momentum has flattened rather than reversed. The move is treading water into tomorrow's FOMC under new Chair Warsh.
Support: 4,296.00
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC tomorrow plus Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4369 week high opens the path toward the 4400 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 4306 swing low exposes the 4296 weekly open
Consolidating below week high after strong rebound.
Gold rebounded ~6.5% off the $4,024 area on US-Iran de-escalation softening oil and the USD, gapping higher over the weekend and grinding into the $4,369 week high. Price has since stalled and is consolidating in the 4,306–4,369 band, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling near the midline. The ~$4,400 ceiling flagged in macro context remains untested on this window.
Support: 4,306.50
Resistance: 4,369.40
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tomorrow 18:00 UTC (first under Warsh) and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4369.40 opens the path toward the 4,400 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 4306.50 confirms a lower-low and exposes the post-gap low
Gold rebounded roughly 6.5% off the $4,024 base this week and gapped higher into the new week's open near 4295 on US-Iran de-escalation and a softer USD. Price has since coiled between 4313 and the 4368 week high, repeatedly stalling short of the well-documented 4400 ceiling, with RSI(14) cycling in the low-50s and price holding above both H1 EMAs. The move is consolidating gains ahead of tomorrow's Retail Sales and the Warsh-led FOMC.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,295.00, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,368.72, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision tomorrow 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4368.72 opens the path toward the 4400 ceiling
Failure to hold 4313 exposes the 4295 week open and 4280 gap low
Gold rallied from the $4,024 base early in the week and gapped higher into Monday's open on the US-Iran de-escalation and softer dollar, then stalled below the 4369 week high. Price has chopped 4305–4369 since, holding above EMA20 with RSI near the mid-50s as the broader bounce loses steam ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. The 4400 psych level caps the wider resistance band into the dots.
Support: 4,305.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 psych level
Rally off week lows consolidating below resistance.
Gold rebounded hard from the ~4036 area early in the window and gapped higher into this week, peaking at 4369 before stalling — the move tied to US-Iran de-escalation and softer USD. Price now consolidates between 4313 and the 4369 week high, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) easing back to the mid-50s as upside steam fades. The 4400 psych cap flagged in flow remains untested into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
Hourly close above 4369 week high opens the path to 4400
Failure to hold 4313 swing low exposes 4300 then the 4280 gap base
Gold gapped higher into Monday's open and extended the rebound off the 4024 region to a 4369 week high, but upside steam faded as the US-Iran de-escalation euphoria cooled. Price now drifts back below EMA20 around 4322, with the 4369 week high and 4400 psych level capping the move and RSI cycling back to neutral. Higher lows since the gap remain intact above 4300.
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
US Retail Sales Wed 12:30 UTC may set the pre-Fed tone
H1 close below 4300 breaks the higher-low structure
Repeated rejection at 4369/4400 confirms stalling momentum
Gold gapped up over the weekend and ran to a week high at 4369 before momentum faded below the 4400 psych level, in line with the post US-Iran de-escalation bounce stalling into Wednesday's FOMC. Price has been carving higher lows off the gap low at 4280 but slipped back under EMA20 in the NY session, with recent highs near 4348 capping the latest push. RSI(14) has cooled toward the midline as the rally consolidates.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Repeated rejection at 4369 / failure under 4400 confirms stalling momentum
H1 close below round 4300 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the gap low at 4280
Gold gapped higher into this week's open and ground up to 4369 before stalling, with the relief bounce off the prior 4024 low fading below the 4400 psych level. Price holds above the H1 EMA20 (~4332) with RSI cycling around the mid-50s, and the 4306 swing low has anchored higher lows through the NY session. The move is event-driven ahead of FOMC, not a fresh trend leg.
Support: 4,306.00, 4,332.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
Failure to clear 4369 keeps the bounce corrective below the 4400 psych level
H1 close below 4306 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence toward 4280 gap low
Consolidating below week high after impulsive rally.
Gold staged a ~6.5% rebound off Monday's 4024 low on US-Iran de-escalation, gapping higher over the weekend before tagging 4369 in the NY session. Price has since stalled and is consolidating in a 4305–4369 band, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling around the mid-50s. The bounce remains event-driven and capped below the 4400 psychological line into the Fed.
Support: 4,305.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC are the dominant near-term drivers
H1 close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 psych level
Failure to hold 4305 range low exposes 4280 swing low
Higher highs and higher lows since the weekend gap.
Gold gapped higher into this week's open near 4295 and has ground up in a tight rising channel, tagging 4369 before stalling just under the 4400 psych barrier that the digest flags as repeatedly capping bulls. Price holds above EMA20 with pullbacks finding the 4320 area, and RSI(14) is cycling in the upper half without pushing to extremes. The advance reflects the post US-Iran-deal rebound and soft US data, but the move has flattened ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 4,320.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision/dots Wed 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Clean H1 close above 4369 then 4400 opens the 4394-4580 band
Failure to hold 4320 puts the 4295 week open and 4280 post-gap low back in play
Gold rallied ~6.5% off the 4,024 area this week as the US-Iran framework deal crushed oil and eased inflation/rate expectations; after a weekend gap higher price tagged 4369 then settled into a 4306–4369 range. It holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, the impulse paused rather than reversed. FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst overhanging this consolidation.
Resistance: 4,369.40
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4369 week high reopens the path higher
Loss of 4306 swing low confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied roughly 6.5% off the 4036 area into 4369 this week, the leg driven by the US-Iran framework deal crushing oil and trimming rate expectations after benign CPI/PPI. Price has since stalled, consolidating 4305–4369 and holding above EMA20 into the NY session. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought toward the high-50s as the advance flattens just under the week high.
Support: 4,305.00, 4,280.00, 4,218.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4369 reopens the path toward the 4400 psych level
Failure to hold the 4305 swing low exposes 4280 then the 4218 Monday low
Gold rebounded sharply off Monday's 4036 area and gapped higher into this week's open, riding the disinflation/lower-oil repricing flagged in the digest; price holds above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the 55-62 zone. The week high near 4369 has capped the advance, and the pullback found demand around 4306 before grinding back to 4348. Structure stays constructive as long as higher lows hold below the 4369 cap.
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision and dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
Close above 4369 week high opens the path toward the 4400 psych level
Failure to hold 4306 this-wk low breaks the higher-low sequence
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
Gold has climbed steadily since Monday's gap-up open, printing higher lows and holding above EMA20 through the London-NY transition; the move traces back to the US-Iran framework and oil rout that cooled inflation/rate expectations. The 4369 week high has capped the latest push and price is consolidating in the 4305-4369 band. RSI(14) is mid-60s, ticking up but not yet stretched.
Support: 4,305.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 4369 opens the path to 4400 psych resistance
Failure to hold 4305 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
FOMC decision and dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
Gold gapped higher into the new week and has trended up steadily, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half. The 4280 gap top and the 4306 swing low have framed pullbacks, while 4369 marks the week high that capped the move. The advance follows the US-Iran framework crushing oil and softening the dollar, but price stalls just under last week's highs into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,369.40
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC plus Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4369 opens the path to higher continuation
Failure to hold 4306 swing low confirms a lower-low
Gold gapped higher into this week's open and extended to 4369 on the signed US-Iran framework that crushed oil and softened the USD. Price has since coiled between 4306 and 4351, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper-50s/low-60s on each pullback. The rebound off Thursday's 4218 base remains intact but caps below the week high into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 4,218.00
Resistance: 4,351.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 4369 extends the rebound toward the recent high zone
Failure to hold 4306 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
09:03 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 4,346.81
Higher lows post-gap, capped below week high.
Gold gapped higher into this week's open and ran from ~4280 to 4369 on the US-Iran framework deal that weakened the dollar and crushed oil. Price has since consolidated above EMA(20), printing higher lows off 4306 and holding above the 4285 gap base. The 4350 round level and 4369 week high are capping the latest NY push as the market bases into the FOMC decision.
Support: 4,285.48
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,350.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary driver and could reset this read
US Retail Sales Wed 12:30 UTC ahead of it
H1 close above 4369 opens continuation of the squeeze
Loss of 4306 would break the higher-low sequence and expose the 4285 gap base
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday's gap up.
Gold gapped higher into Monday's open and rallied roughly 3% on the US-Iran framework deal that crushed oil and softened the dollar, peaking at the 4368 week high. Price has since consolidated 4305-4350 above EMA(20), with buyers defending a rising sequence of higher lows; RSI(14) holds in the upper-50s/low-60s through pullbacks. The latest NY-session push is retesting toward the 4350 session high.
Support: 4,305.00
Resistance: 4,350.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4368 week high opens the path to extend the squeeze
Loss of 4305 higher low breaks the rising structure off Monday
FOMC decision and dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 54 · price 4,333.76
Gold rallied from Monday's ~4036 base toward 4369 and gapped higher over the weekend on the US-Iran framework deal that crushed oil and softened the dollar. Price is now consolidating between the 4306 swing low and the 4351 weekly high, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range. The dominant move of the week is intact but momentum has flattened into the consolidation.
Support: 4,295.00
Resistance: 4,351.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could shift this read sharply
Hourly close above 4351 weekly high opens the path back to the 4369 swing high
Loss of the 4306 swing low exposes the weekend gap toward 4295
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 54 · price 4,333.76
Higher highs/lows, ranging below week high.
Gold gapped up over the weekend toward 4295 on the US-Iran framework deal, then extended through the NY session to a 4369 swing high before stalling. Price has since consolidated 4308–4351 and holds above EMA(20), with RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range as the rally pauses into Warsh's first FOMC.
Support: 4,307.70, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,351.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Hourly close above 4351 reopens the path to the 4369 swing high
Gold ripped ~3% off the weekend gap as the US-Iran framework deal crushed oil and softened the dollar, peaking at the 4369 weekly high before stalling. Since then H1 has gone sideways between 4351 resistance and a 4307 swing low, with RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range and price slipping just under EMA(20). The 4280 weekend low marks the rally base that has held all week.
Support: 4,307.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,351.00, 4,369.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
Close above 4369 weekly high reopens the upside
Loss of 4307 swing low confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Consolidating below week high after impulse off the base.
Gold ripped ~3% off the $4,024 base through Monday on the US-Iran framework deal and softer dollar, peaking at the 4369 week high before stalling. Price is now consolidating in the 4309–4356 band, slipping back under the H1 EMA20 around 4335 as RSI cools toward neutral. The 4351 weekly high has capped attempts while demand has stepped in around 4309 on pullbacks.
Support: 4,309.00, 4,285.00
Resistance: 4,351.00, 4,369.00, 4,335.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Retail Sales Wed 12:30 UTC could move the dollar ahead of the Fed
H1 close above 4351 weekly high opens the path back to the 4369 week high
Failure to hold 4309 swing low exposes the 4285 gap low
Consolidating below week high after gap-up impulse.
Gold gapped up ~$75 into Monday's open on the US-Iran framework deal and ran to 4369 before stalling. Price has since consolidated into the 4305-4351 range, slipping below EMA20 while holding above EMA50, with the latest pullback parking right on the 61.8% retracement of the post-gap leg. RSI(14) has cooled back toward the midline as the rally loses pace.
Support: 4,305.00, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,351.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
Retail Sales Wed 12:30 UTC could shift the tone ahead of the Fed
Failure to hold 4305 exposes the 4280 gap low
Close above 4369 reopens the path beyond the week high
Gold gapped up into Monday's session on the US-Iran framework deal, extending from the prior-week 4218 area toward a 4369 week high. Since that peak price has drifted into a tight range, slipping back below EMA(20) (~4328) while holding above the gap base near 4290. RSI(14) has cooled toward the mid-40s as momentum flattens ahead of the Fed.
Support: 4,290.00
Resistance: 4,328.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
H1 close above 4369 reopens the path higher; failure to hold 4290 gap base reverses the post-gap structure
Retail Sales Wed 12:30 UTC could shift the range into the decision
Consolidating below week high after weekend gap-up.
Gold gapped up over the weekend from 4218 toward 4295 on the US-Iran framework deal and extended to a 4369 week high, then stalled. Price has since drifted into a 4306–4348 range and sits just under EMA(20) near 4323, with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s as the rally loses steam. The weekend gap remains unfilled above the 4280 base.
Support: 4,306.00, 4,280.37, 4,218.00
Resistance: 4,369.40
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
H1 close above 4348 range top reopens the 4369 week high
Loss of 4306 range floor exposes the 4280 gap-day low and the 4218 rebound base
Gold gapped higher into this week's open on the US-Iran framework deal, extending the rebound from the $4,024 base toward a $4,369 swing high before stalling. Price has since pulled back into the 50% retracement of the gap-to-high leg near 4325 and is hovering just below the EMA(20), with RSI(14) flattening around the midline as the move cools. The 4305 swing low has contained the dip so far while supply has capped attempts back toward 4356.
Support: 4,305.00, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,356.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4356 reopens the 4369 week high
Loss of 4305 swing low exposes the 4280 gap low
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst; Retail Sales 12:30 UTC ahead of it
Gold gapped up over $70 at Monday's open and ran to 4369 as the US-Iran framework deal sank oil and the dollar, lifting the metal off the 4024 June low. Price has since drifted into a 4306-4345 consolidation above the EMA20, with RSI easing back toward the mid-50s after the impulse. The weekly open near 4296 and the gap base around 4280 sit beneath as the structure's support.
Support: 4,306.00, 4,295.90, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,345.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4306 breaks the rising consolidation support
Reclaim of 4345 reopens the path to the 4369 week high
FOMC decision/dot-plot Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Gold gapped higher into Monday's open on the US-Iran framework deal that knocked oil and the dollar, rallying from the 4280 area to a 4369 high before stalling. Price has since carved higher lows above the EMA(20), consolidating in the 4306–4356 band with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-50s. The 4356–4369 zone has capped the advance, while demand has stepped in repeatedly above 4306.
Support: 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,369.40
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4369 reopens the path toward the 4360+ rebound extension
Loss of 4306 support exposes the 4295 gap base and 4280 post-gap low
FOMC decision/dot-plot Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Gold gapped higher into Monday's session on the US-Iran framework and a softer USD, then ran to a week high at 4369 before fading. Price is now consolidating near 4318, slipping just below the H1 EMA20 while the 4306 swing low holds. RSI(14) has cooled back to the midline after the impulse, leaving the move balanced ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 4,306.00, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,356.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4306 swing low opens the gap low at 4280
Close above the 4356 session high reopens the 4369 week high
FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary for this read
Gold gapped higher into this week's open after the US-Iran framework and a softer USD, extending the rebound off the $4,024 base and rallying to a week high at 4369.40. Price has since faded back below EMA20 and is consolidating in a 4307–4325 band with RSI(14) drifting toward the midline. The FOMC dot plot Wednesday is the binary for the next leg.
Support: 4,307.00
Resistance: 4,356.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
Hold of the 4307 recent low keeps the higher-low sequence intact; a close below 4285 gap open reopens the downside
An hourly close above 4356 swing high re-engages the move toward 4369.40 week high
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into this week, now pulling back from the high.
XAUUSD gapped ~80 higher at this week's open and ran to 4369 through the NY session, extending the rebound off the 4024 base as a softer dollar and the US-Iran framework eased the risk premium. Price has since slipped back under EMA20 near 4330 with RSI cooling from overbought, while the 4305 session low has so far held. FOMC dot plot Wednesday is the defining event for the next leg.
Support: 4,305.00, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,330.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4280 week low would break this week's rising sequence of higher lows
FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary — could materially shift this read
Reclaim of EMA20 near 4330 reopens the path back toward the 4369 week high
Gold gapped higher into Monday's session off the ~4295 weekly open and ran to 4369 as a softer USD and the US-Iran framework fuelled the bounce off the June-10 base. The week-high test was rejected and price has since drifted back below EMA20, basing around the 4306 session low. RSI has cooled toward neutral as the impulse stalls.
Resistance: 4,330.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary for this read
Loss of 4306 session low opens the 4295 weekly open
Reclaim and hold above EMA20 near 4330 reopens the 4369 week high
Higher highs post-gap, pulling back into consolidation.
Gold gapped higher into this week's open after the US-Iran framework and softer USD, extending the rebound off the $4,024 base and pressing to 4369 before easing back. Price now consolidates near 4324, just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling back to neutral; demand has stepped in three times around the 4306 area. FOMC and the dot plot Wednesday remain the binary for this read.
Support: 4,306.00, 4,295.00
Resistance: 4,369.00
What it said to watch
FOMC dot plot/SEP Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of the 4306 swing low exposes the 4295 gap/wk open
Hourly close above 4369 week high opens the path higher
Gold gapped higher into this week and ran to 4369 as the softer dollar and US-Iran framework eased the rate-hike premium, before fading back to the 4306–4324 band. Price now sits just under the EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing to mid-50s, but the sequence of higher lows off the 4280 gap base is intact and the metal still holds well above the EMA(50). Supply at 4356 capped the latest NY-session push.
Support: 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,356.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary for this read
H1 close below 4306 confirms a lower low and breaks the higher-low sequence
Gold gapped up into the new week and rallied to a 4369 week high before stalling, with the US-Iran peace framework and a softer Dollar fuelling the bounce off Thursday's 4024 base. Price has since drifted back to 4318, slipping under the EMA(20) as RSI cools to the high-40s, with the 4306 area capping the downside on each test. The 4348 swing high has capped the latest attempts higher.
Support: 4,306.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,348.00, 4,369.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4306 opens the gap-fill toward 4280
Reclaim of 4348 reopens the 4369 week high
FOMC dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
Gold opened the week with a sharp gap higher off Thursday's 4024 base after the US-Iran peace framework softened the Dollar, extending through NY to a week high at 4369 before stalling. Price has since drifted back under EMA(20) to 4318 with RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s, holding above EMA(50) and the 4295 weekly open. The rebound remains intact but momentum has flattened into the FOMC window.
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,340.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close below the 4295 weekly open would mark a lower-low and erode the post-gap structure
Reclaim of 4369 reopens the path back toward the prior 4340 area and higher