XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Sunday, 25 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:05 UTC
Downtrend, stalled near 4000 · RSI 40 · price 4,001.15
Lower highs since Tuesday; tight base 3991–4006 below EMA20.
Gold has printed lower highs every session since Tuesday's 4155.49 peak. Thursday's leg ran through London and NY, breaking former supp near 4066 as oil-driven December hike pricing kept bullion offered. Friday's PMI beat at the NY open produced the 3975.70 3-month low. Since then price has compressed between the 3991 range low and 4006, capped below EMA(20) near 4011, with Monday's open flat around 4000 and RSI(14) holding near 40 instead of rebuilding.
Support: 3,991.00, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,011.30, 4,034.26, 4,066.81
What it said to watch
H1 close back above ema20 (~4011) and the fib 23.6% near 4018 would be the first break of the lower-highs sequence
A move through the 4034.26 friday high invalidates the lower-highs trendline from Wednesday
Loss of the 3991 range low exposes the 3975.70 3-month low; a close below it extends the downtrend
Tue US data from 12:30 UTC and Wed's FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
4066.81 former supp is the upper reference if a short-covering bounce develops
Lower highs and lower lows below a descending trendline after the Tue–Wed range broke.
Gold has printed successive lower highs since Wednesday's 4142 high. Thursday's Asia-to-NY selling broke the 4105–4155 Tue–Wed range, and the slide reached a 3975.70 3-month low during Friday's NY session after the firm US PMI and Michigan prints, with oil-driven hawkish-Fed pricing in the background. Rebounds have stalled at EMA(20) and the descending lower-highs trendline, now converging near 4013; Friday's high at 4034 failed short of the 38.2% retracement, and the week opened pinned at the 4000 psych level, while RSI(14) near 35 held a higher low against Friday's lower wick low.
Support: 3,986.72, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,013.00, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 4013 ema20 and the lower-highs trendline would break the sequence of lower highs
Close above the friday high at 4034.26 and the 38.2% retracement (~4039) would mark the first structural shift since Wednesday
Failure to hold the fri asia low at 3986.72 and the 3-month low at 3975.70 confirms a fresh lower low
Tuesday's US Durables and Consumer Confidence, then Wednesday's FOMC at 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read; WTI near $100 remains the main driver
Lower highs and lows since Wednesday's 4142 peak; tight base under 4000.
Gold broke the 4105–4155 Monday–Wednesday range in Thursday's Asia session and has printed lower highs since Wednesday's 4142 peak. The selling extended through Thursday's NY session as oil-driven Fed hike pricing kept bullion offered. Friday's firm US PMI beat knocked price to a 3975.7 week low in the first hour of NY, and it then rebounded to the 4000 psych level. Since then, H1 has compressed between the asia low near 3991 and 4006. Price sits below EMA(20) near 4007, and RSI(14) is holding the mid-30s.
Support: 3,991.00, 3,975.70, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,007.00, 4,034.30
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the friday high at 4034 would break the lower-high sequence. That level lines up with the lower-high trendline and the 38.2% fib near 4039.
Repeated rejection at the 4000 psych level and the ema20 near 4007 keeps the post-drop consolidation capped.
Failure to hold the asia low at 3991 exposes the 3975.7 week low. Below that, the june low zone near 3960 is the next reference.
Weekend oil and Middle East headlines raise gap risk at the open. Tuesday's Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence, then the FOMC on Wed Oct 28 at 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read.