EUR clawed off the 1.1417 low through the NY session to tag 1.14803, an oversold bounce in thin Juneteenth trade; the push has stalled there with RSI cooling toward 56. Late-session grind now holding the 1.1470 pivot, well above the prior 1.1462 swing.
Support: 1.1470, 1.1462
Resistance: 1.14803, 1.1476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14803 extends the recovery toward 1.1490
Failure to hold 1.14700 opens a retest of 1.14620
Asia-session liquidity thin — moves may lack follow-through
EUR clawed off the 1.1417 intraday low through London/NY to tag a 1.1480 session high, an oversold bounce as USD buyers paused in thin Juneteenth trade. Price now coils 1.1474–1.1477 with RSI cooling; the move is corrective into next week's Lagarde/PMI risk per the digest.
Support: 1.14735, 1.14628, 1.14564
Resistance: 1.14803
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14803 extends the session high
Loss of 1.14735 range floor opens 1.14628 swing low
ECB Lagarde Mon and Tue eurozone PMIs could reset this read
Higher highs/lows off session low, consolidating sub-1.1480.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.14803, recovering the full leg down from 1.14175 — a corrective bounce per the broader USD-led read. Price is now coiling between 1.14685 and 1.14803 with volume thinning into the Asia handover in holiday-thinned trade.
Support: 1.14685, 1.1462, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14803
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14803 extends the recovery toward the 1.1500 area
Failure to hold 1.14685 base risks a roll back toward 1.14620
Thin Juneteenth liquidity can exaggerate moves into the Asia session
EUR/USD ground higher through thin Juneteenth trade, recovering from the 1.1417 low to a session high at 1.1480 where a double top has stalled the move. Price now hovers near 1.1475 with RSI cooling from the highs; pullbacks held above 1.1468.
Support: 1.14685, 1.1462, 1.14564
Resistance: 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14800 invalidates the double top and extends the recovery
Failure to hold 1.14685 opens a retest of the 1.14620 prior high
Tue EZ/US flash PMIs are the next major catalyst and could reshape this read
EUR/USD ground higher from the 1.1417 low to a session high of 1.1480 in thin Juneteenth holiday trade, a corrective bounce after the USD-driven slide. Ranges have compressed sharply into the close with RSI(14) cooling around 66; price is stalling just under 1.1480.
Support: 1.14735
Resistance: 1.14803, 1.14758
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14735 would break the intraday higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.14803 extends the recovery toward 1.1485+
Thin holiday liquidity is exaggerating small moves into the late tape
EUR/USD has ground up off the 1.1417 base to a fresh session high at 1.1480 in thin Juneteenth tape, the corrective bounce flagged in the macro read pushing through the 1.1460 barrier. Higher-low chain intact and RSI(14) elevated near 68; price holding above the 1.1465 swing low.
Support: 1.1465, 1.1442, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.1465 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.1480 opens the path toward 1.1500
Lagarde (Mon) and EZ flash PMIs (Tue) are next high-impact catalysts
19:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 65 · price 1.14764
Higher highs and higher lows off intraday low.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session, a short-covering bounce off this week's 3-month lows as USD bulls eased in thin Juneteenth liquidity. Price pushed to 1.14800 and is consolidating just under it with RSI(14) near 65 — hot but not stretched. The higher-low chain off 1.14175 remains intact.
Support: 1.14685, 1.1462, 1.1442
Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1485
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14800 opens the path to 1.14850
Loss of 1.14685 breaks the higher-low chain
Euro-area flash PMIs Tue could shift this corrective read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 72 · price 1.14802
Rising HH/HL chain off intraday low.
EUR ground higher through the NY session off the 1.1417 intraday low, printing a fresh session high at 1.14803 as the stretched USD eased in thin Juneteenth tape. RSI(14) near 72 — hot but consistent with the up-leg; price has cleared prior intraday highs around 1.14758.
Support: 1.14686, 1.14564, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14803
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14686 breaks the rising low chain
Lagarde speeches Mon and Eurozone PMIs Tue could shift this read
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 1.1476 ceiling to a session high of 1.14771 as the dollar eased off 13-month highs in thin Juneteenth tape. Recovery off the 1.1417 low has built a clean higher-high/higher-low chain; RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not extended.
Support: 1.14685, 1.14622
Resistance: 1.14771
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14685 breaks the higher-low chain
Failure to hold above 1.14771 confirms rejection at session high
Thin Juneteenth liquidity can exaggerate moves on either side
EURUSD recovered from the 1.1417 low set during early NY and ground steadily higher to a fresh session high at 1.14761, with RSI(14) near 68 — firm but not extreme. The advance came on a softer dollar fading off its yearly high; volume thinned into the late-session close, leaving the move stretched but intact.
Support: 1.14685, 1.1460, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14761, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14761 opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.14685 risks a pullback to the 1.1460 pivot
ECB Lagarde Monday could shift the EUR read
18:15 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 65 · price 1.14747
Higher highs and higher lows off the 1.1418 low.
NY session ground higher into the 1.1476 session high, reclaiming the 1.1470 area despite EUR's broader two-month-low theme. Higher-low chain intact from the 1.1418 swing low; RSI(14) near 65, elevated but not stretched.
Support: 1.1462, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14761
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1462 breaks the higher-low chain
Failure to clear 1.1476 keeps price capped at the session high
Fed's Waller (Mon) and EZ flash PMIs (Tue) could shift this read
Higher highs/lows off 1.1417 low, testing prior high.
EUR/USD ground back through the NY session from the 1.14175 two-month low to retest the prior high at 1.1476 in thin Juneteenth tape, RSI(14) easing near 63. Buyers held a chain of higher lows above 1.1456, but the 1.1476 high has now capped twice — a developing double top.
Support: 1.14628, 1.14564, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14758, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14758 invalidates the double-top read and opens 1.1480
Failure to hold 1.14628 confirms a lower high and stalls the recovery
Lagarde and EZ flash PMIs Mon/Tue could reset this intraday read
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below session high.
EURUSD carved a session low at 1.14175 mid-window then ground higher through the London-NY transition, tagging 1.14758 before stalling. Price is now consolidating near 1.1470 in thin Juneteenth tape, RSI cooling from the recovery push; the broader EUR backdrop stays soft with the pair pinned near two-month lows.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1442, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14758
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14758 opens the path toward the 1.1480 area
Failure to hold 1.1462 reopens the move back toward 1.1442
Holiday-thin liquidity is amplifying small-range moves
Consolidating just under session high after rally off 1.1417.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1417 session low through the NY session, tagging 1.1476 before stalling, and is now coiling between 1.1462 and 1.1476 in thin Juneteenth tape. RSI(14) near 58 — momentum cooling, no extreme.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1449, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14758, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.1476 reopens upside toward the rally extension
Close below 1.1462 swing low breaks the consolidation and risks a retrace toward 1.1449
Lagarde (Mon) and EZ flash PMIs (Tue) are the next material drivers for this pair
Higher lows off 1.1418, grinding into session highs.
EURUSD clawed back from the 1.1418 two-month low into NY-afternoon hours, reclaiming 1.1450 and tagging a 1.14758 session high before stalling. Buyers held 1.1463 on the latest pullback; price now coils in a tight 1.1463–1.1476 range as volume thins late in the session.
Support: 1.14628, 1.14564, 1.14419
Resistance: 1.14758, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14628 breaks the chain of higher lows
Sustained move above 1.14758 opens the path back toward 1.1482
EZ flash PMIs Tue 07:30 GMT could reset the intraday read
Recovery off session low, consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD recovered from an early-London low near 1.1417 — printed as soft German PPI and dollar strength weighed — climbing through NY to a session high at 1.1476. Price now consolidates around 1.1465, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI cooling back to mid-50s.
Support: 1.14628, 1.14564, 1.14415
Resistance: 1.14758, 1.1471
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1476 session high opens path higher
Loss of 1.1462 swing low breaks the rising intraday structure
Lagarde (Mon) and EZ flash PMIs (Tue) are the next material risks to this read
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD recovered through the NY session from the 1.1418 session low, posting a chain of higher lows back to a session high at 1.1476 — a bounce off two-month lows after a soft US-Iran haven unwind capped the dollar. Price now hovers near 1.1468 in thin Juneteenth-holiday flow, RSI mid-range and momentum flattening just under the session high.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1450, 1.1418
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1476 opens the path toward 1.1500
Loss of 1.1450 reopens the 1.1418 session low
Lagarde (Mon) and EZ flash PMIs (Tue) are the next scheduled drivers for this pair
EUR/USD clawed back from the 1.14175 session low through the NY session, peaking at 1.14758 before being rejected and easing to 1.14638. Price is now consolidating just under the highs, with RSI(14) neutral around 54 after the recovery cooled.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1450, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14758
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14758 reopens the upside
Loss of 1.14620 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
1.14500 barrier — area to watch on a deeper pullback
NY session afternoon: EUR/USD recovered from the 1.1418 session low to tag 1.14758 before easing back to 1.1464. A USD bid on Fed repricing capped the bounce; rejection at 1.14758 leaves price ranging 1.1456–1.1476 with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.14564, 1.14521, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14758, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14758 opens the path toward 1.1480+
Failure to hold 1.14564 reopens the move back toward the session low
USD direction is the primary driver — dollar strength would pressure the lower band
EUR/USD V-recovered from the session low at 1.14175 near London open back to the 1.14758 session high, and is now consolidating in the 1.1460s on thin Juneteenth holiday liquidity. RSI(14) neutral near 53 with price hovering at EMA20 after stalling below the high.
Support: 1.14564, 1.1442, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14758, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14758 reopens the session high
Loss of 1.14564 breaks the rising support off the 1.14175 low
Thin Juneteenth NY afternoon: EUR/USD recovered from the 1.1417 session low to tag 1.14758 before easing back to 1.1465. Higher-low chain intact but momentum has cooled, RSI(14) back near 57 after the push.
Support: 1.14564, 1.14417, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14758, 1.14708
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14758 extends the recovery toward 1.1480
Loss of 1.14564 breaks the higher-low chain
Thin holiday volume can exaggerate moves into the close
15:46 UTC
Intraday recovery off lows · RSI 59 · price 1.14673
Higher lows since 1.1418, pressing session high.
EUR/USD recovered off the two-month low at 1.1418 through the European afternoon, now stalling just under the session high at 1.1476. RSI(14) near 60 — no extreme — on thin Juneteenth holiday flow; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.1452 to build a chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.14589, 1.14521, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14758
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1476 extends the recovery; rejection there caps the session range
Failure to hold 1.1459 reopens the path toward the 1.1418 session low
EUR/USD ground higher through the London-NY session, recovering from the 1.1417 session low to retest the 1.1476 session high after the US-Iran headline relief. RSI(14) near 63 — firm but not stretched — and ATR around 6 pips keeps ranges tight; buyers stepped in repeatedly on each pullback to build a chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1442, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1477
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1476 opens the path toward the 1.1477 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1462 pullback support risks a return toward the 1.1442 swing low
15:15 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the lows · RSI 62 · price 1.14699
Higher highs / higher lows since the 1.1417 base.
EUR/USD bottomed near the two-month-low zone at 1.1417 mid-window and has climbed a clean higher-high/higher-low chain through the NY session into 1.1470, with RSI(14) holding the low-60s. Price now presses the 1.14743 session high after a soft German PPI print earlier kept the broader EUR tone heavy.
Support: 1.14564, 1.1442, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14809
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14743 opens the path to 1.14809
Loss of 1.14564 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
Thin Juneteenth liquidity can exaggerate moves into the weekend
15:00 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the low · RSI 59 · price 1.1467
Higher highs / higher lows after basing at 1.1418.
EUR/USD recovered off the two-month low at 1.1418 in a steady chain of higher lows, peaking at 1.14743 before settling into a tight 1.1459–1.1467 range in thin Juneteenth (US closed) liquidity. RSI(14) is mid-range near 59 with price holding above EMA20/50; no fresh signal while it consolidates under the session high.
Support: 1.1459, 1.1442, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14872
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14743 opens the path back toward 1.1487
Loss of 1.1459 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes 1.1442
Lagarde and US PMIs early next week could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.1462
Consolidating mid-range after bounce.
EUR/USD rebounded from the session low at 1.14175 up to 1.14743 and is now consolidating around 1.1462 in thin Juneteenth tape with US cash markets shut. Price is pinned near EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral; the swing low at 1.14564 has been defended on the latest dips.
Support: 1.14564, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1487
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14564 reopens the move toward the 1.14175 session low
Break above 1.14743 session high exposes the 1.1487 window high
Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves on either side
EUR/USD carved a fresh low near 1.1418 mid-window then rebounded sharply to 1.14743 before stalling; the pair now drifts around 1.1459 in thin NY-hours liquidity with US markets shut for Juneteenth. RSI(14) back to neutral ~52 as the bounce loses thrust, price coiling between 1.1452 and the session high.
Support: 1.1452, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1487
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14743 reopens 1.1487 session high
Loss of 1.1452 swing low puts 1.1418 session low back in play
ECB Lagarde Mon and euro-area flash PMIs Tue are the next catalysts beyond this window
EURUSD clawed back from a fresh 2-month low at 1.1417 through the European session as the USD bid eased into thin Juneteenth liquidity with US markets shut. Price was rejected at the 1.14743 session high and has slipped back to 1.1462, RSI(14) hovering mid-range. Holding above the 1.1450 prior-resistance-turned-support so far.
Support: 1.14564, 1.1449, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1466
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14564 confirms a lower low and risks a retest toward 1.1450
Close above 1.14743 extends the recovery leg
Loss of 1.14175 session low resumes the prior downtrend
Fed's Waller Mon 13:00 GMT could reset the USD read
EUR carved a fresh 2-month low at 1.1417 in the London session before recovering through to a 1.1474 session high as the firm DXY paused. Price has since faded back to 1.1461 on rejection at the high, RSI cooling to mid-range; the recovery is intact via a chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.14564, 1.14411, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14743
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1456 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.1411
Reclaim of 1.1474 session high needed to extend the recovery
Lagarde/Waller Mon and PMIs Tue are the next catalysts to shift this read
13:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.14642
Bounce from 2-month low, ranging under session high.
EUR/USD recovered from the two-month-low region near 1.1418 through the London-NY transition, tagging a 1.14743 session high before pulling back to 1.1464. The push faded with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-50s; price now grinds under the session high with the firm USD still capping rallies.
Support: 1.14521, 1.1443, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1487
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14743 opens the path toward 1.1487
Failure to hold 1.14521 reopens the 1.1418 range low
ECB's Lane (14:30 UTC) could shift this read within the next bar
EUR carved a fresh intraday low at 1.14175 during European hours then recovered in a chain of higher lows back to 1.14743, in line with thin Juneteenth holiday flows rather than fresh data. Sellers rejected the 1.14743 session high and price has eased to 1.14633, RSI cooling back to neutral.
Support: 1.14521, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1486
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14743 opens the path to 1.1486
Failure to hold 1.14521 reopens the 1.1417 intraday low
Lagarde (Mon) and US PMIs (Tue) are the next catalysts to shift this read
EUR/USD recovered through the NY session off the 1.14175 session low, building a chain of higher lows back to the 1.14743 session high where it now stalls. RSI(14) near 62, no extreme; the bounce fits the oversold backdrop with EUR pinned near range lows.
Support: 1.14559, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14872
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14743 opens the path to 1.14872 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.14559 swing low risks a return to the 1.14175 session low
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1417 during the NY session and recovered to 1.1465, building a chain of higher lows with RSI(14) back to mid-range. Price stalls just under the 1.1468 session high; the broader picture has EUR pinned near two-month lows with 1.14 cited as the summer floor.
Support: 1.1452, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1468, 1.1487
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1468 session high opens room toward 1.1487 prior high
Loss of 1.1452 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 1.1417
V-recovery off session low, now consolidating below 1.1468.
EUR bounced sharply off the 1.14175 session low to 1.14676 and is now consolidating roughly 1.1458–1.1467 through the London-NY transition, with DXY holding near one-year highs. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54 after the recovery; the bounce has stalled just below 1.14676.
Support: 1.1458, 1.1443, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14676, 1.1476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14676 opens the path back toward 1.14760
Failure to hold 1.14580 reopens 1.14430 and the session low
Lagarde Mon and Tue euro-area PMIs could materially shift this read
EURUSD carved a session low at 1.14175 then staged a steady V-recovery through the NY session, printing higher lows back to 1.14678 — the oversold bounce flagged after the German PPI miss and hawkish-Fed USD bid. Price now consolidating near the session highs around 1.1466, RSI(14) mid-range with room either way.
Support: 1.14583, 1.1450, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14678, 1.1473
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14730 session high extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 1.14583 recent low risks a return toward the 1.1450 psych barrier
ECB Lane speech 14:30 UTC could shift this read intraday
EUR/USD carved a rounded base at the 1.1418 session low after the soft German PPI print, then recovered to 1.1468 through the London-NY transition. Price now consolidates just under that high with RSI cooling toward mid-range; both EMAs sit below price.
Support: 1.1452, 1.14411, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14676, 1.1473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1468 opens the path toward 1.1473
Failure to hold 1.1452 reopens downside toward 1.1441
ECB Lane speech at 14:30 UTC could shift this read
12:01 UTC
Intraday recovery off the lows · RSI 57 · price 1.14642
Higher lows after V-bottom, consolidating near session high.
EURUSD carved a V-bottom at 1.14175 — near the 2-month low and ING's 1.14 floor — during the late-Asia/London window, then climbed back above 1.1450 to stall at the 1.14676 session high. Price is now consolidating around 1.1464 into the NY open, RSI mid-range at 57 after the bounce. Soft Eurozone PPI added a mild dovish tilt but the chart's near-term move has been a USD-driven retrace higher.
Support: 1.14521, 1.14392, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14676, 1.1476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14676 session high opens the path to 1.14760
Loss of 1.14521 swing low breaks the rising support and the recovery read
Failure to hold above 1.1450 risks a retest of the 1.14175 session low
11:46 UTC
Recovering off day low, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 1.14632
Higher lows since 1.1417, capped under 1.1468.
EUR/USD rebounded off the 1.1417 day low — soft US-Iran headlines and a dovish PPI miss easing the dollar bid — and built a chain of higher lows into the European session, peaking at 1.1468. Price now consolidating just under that session high with RSI(14) cooling back toward neutral; the 1.1452 reaction low is the nearest pivot.
Support: 1.14521, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14676, 1.14758
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14676 opens the path toward 1.14758
Failure to hold 1.14521 reopens the 1.14175 day low
Light calendar into the weekend; no near-term EUR/USD catalyst
Higher lows since 1.14175, consolidating under 1.14655.
EURUSD carved a session low at 1.14175 — near 2-month lows on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid — then recovered in a higher-low chain back toward 1.14655. Price is now consolidating just under that swing high with RSI(14) mid-range; the recovery line off the 1.14520 higher low is intact.
Support: 1.1452, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14655, 1.1473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14655 opens the path toward 1.14730
Failure to hold 1.14520 reopens the 1.14175 session low
Lagarde (Mon) and Tue flash PMIs are the next catalysts for the EUR read
Higher lows since the 1.1417 base, now consolidating.
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1417 session low through London, peaking at 1.1465 before stalling into the NY open; soft Eurozone PPI capped the bounce. Price now consolidates 1.1452–1.1465 with RSI(14) cooling back near 57.
Support: 1.1452, 1.14175, 1.1411
Resistance: 1.14655, 1.1487
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1452 breaks the higher-low chain off the 1.1417 base
Reclaim of 1.1465 opens the path toward the 1.1487 prior high
ECB's Lane speech 14:30 UTC could shift the EUR read
11:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 55 · price 1.14604
Consolidation near top of intraday bounce.
EURUSD slid to a session low of 1.14175 — pressured by soft Eurozone PPI and a firm dollar — then rallied ~48 pips into the London session to 1.14655 before stalling. Price now consolidates 1.14521–1.14655 with RSI(14) cooled into the mid-50s; the 1.14655 high has capped the last several attempts.
Support: 1.14521, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14655, 1.1473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14655 opens the path to 1.14730
Failure to hold 1.14521 reopens the 1.14175 session low
EUR sank to a session low of 1.14175 during the London morning as soft Eurozone PPI added a dovish tilt, then rebounded ~48 pips into 1.14655. Price is now consolidating around 1.1455, holding above the 1.14521 pullback low after the session-low rejection.
Support: 1.14521, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14655, 1.14744
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14521 reopens the path toward the 1.14175 session low
Reclaim of 1.14655 needed to extend the bounce toward 1.14744
V-recovery from session low, now consolidating below session high.
EURUSD slid to the 1.14175 session low during early London then V-recovered to 1.14655 — a largely USD-led bounce as the US-Iran deal eased the energy premium. Price is now consolidating around 1.14585 after rejection at the session high, RSI cooling back to mid-range.
Support: 1.1443, 1.14175, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14655, 1.1473
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14655 session high extends the recovery toward 1.1473
Close below 1.1443 reopens the 1.14175 session low
ECB Lane speech (14:30 UTC) could shift this read into NY hours
Bounce from 2-month low, consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD bounced off the two-month low at 1.14175 in early London, rallying ~48 pips to a session high of 1.14655 before stalling and easing to 1.14610. The recovery was largely USD-led after soft Eurozone PPI tempered inflation angst; RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-50s as the move consolidates below the session high.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1442, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14655, 1.1473
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14655 opens the path toward 1.14730
Failure to hold 1.14530 reopens the 1.14175 two-month low
Higher lows since the 1.1418 base, consolidating below 1.1465.
EUR carved a double bottom near 1.1418 in the early London hours and recovered to 1.1465 as the post-FOMC USD impulse softened on the US-Iran deal. Price now consolidates around 1.1460 just below the recent high, RSI(14) cooling back toward mid-range.
Support: 1.1458, 1.1442, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14655, 1.1478
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14655 reopens the path to the 1.1478 break level
Loss of 1.14580 puts the rising sequence of higher lows at risk
ECB speakers (Lane 14:30 UTC) could shift this read intraday
09:46 UTC
Recovering off session lows, short-term up · RSI 58 · price 1.14612
Bounce from session low, consolidating below session high.
London session clawed back from the 1.1417 two-month low, a corrective bounce as the US-Iran deal softened the USD bid; pair now consolidating ~1.1461 below the 1.14655 session high. RSI(14) near 58 with price holding above EMA20/50 after the recovery leg.
Support: 1.1443, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14655, 1.1477
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14655 session high opens the path toward 1.1477
Failure to hold 1.14430 swing low reopens the 1.14175 session low
ECB's Lane (14:30 UTC) on July-hike guidance could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum up · RSI 62 · price 1.14622
Rally from 1.1417 low, higher lows building.
EURUSD carved a base at 1.1417 (fresh two-month low) through early London and recovered to 1.14655, where it stalled and is now consolidating ~1.14620 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. The corrective bounce ties to the softer USD impulse off the US-Iran deal; structure shows higher lows since the 1.1417 print.
Support: 1.1446, 1.1429, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14655, 1.1476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14655 opens the path toward 1.14760
Failure to hold 1.14460 reopens the 1.14175 session low
ECB's Lane 14:30 UTC could shift this read
09:17 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 63 · price 1.14622
Bounce off 1.1417, higher lows building.
EUR/USD carved a London-morning low at 1.14175 and recovered ~45 pips into the session high at 1.14655, helped by a corrective bounce after the US-Iran deal eased the prior leg lower. Price now consolidating around 1.14620 between the 61.8% and 78.6% retracement of the day's down-move, RSI(14) cooling from the bounce high.
Support: 1.1458, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14655, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14655 session high opens the path back to the 1.1478 prior 2-mo low
Loss of the 1.1458 rising support reopens the 1.14175 session low
EUR rebounded ~48 pips off the 1.14175 session low through the London open, reclaiming the 1.14655 session high as the US-Iran deal eased energy-driven pressure. RSI(14) firm near 63 with the micro-structure printing higher lows; the bounce remains corrective against this week's broader USD strength.
Support: 1.1449, 1.1442, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14655, 1.1471
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 1.14710 extends the recovery toward the prior swing
Failure to hold 1.14490 risks a retest of the 1.14175 session low
ECB speakers (Cipollone 10:15, Elderson 10:30, Lane 14:30 UTC) could shift this read
London session is grinding a corrective bounce off the 1.1418 two-month low, with a double bottom and a push back above EMA20 to 1.1457 — EUR clawing back after the US-Iran deal eased energy fears and a soft US PPI print. Session high at 1.1460 is the immediate cap; structure is recovering but still inside the wider decline from 1.1492.
Support: 1.1443, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14599, 1.1471, 1.1486
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14599 opens the path to the 1.14710 swing high
Failure to hold 1.14430 reopens the 1.14175 low
ECB speakers (Cipollone, Elderson) due this morning could shift the read
London session is bouncing off the 1.1418 area after a clean leg down through the prior swings, with price reclaiming 1.1451 — a corrective rebound consistent with the soft Eurozone PPI / broad USD strength backdrop. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1418-1.1422, and the recovery is now testing into the 1.1455 session high.
Support: 1.1427, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14551, 1.14656
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1455 session high opens the path back to 1.1466 prior swing
Failure to hold 1.1427 swing re-exposes the 1.1418 session low
ECB speakers (Lane) later today could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, corrective bounce in play · RSI 56 · price 1.14514
Session low at 1.1417, recovering through London.
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1417 in early London and is grinding back up toward the 1.14551 bounce high, a corrective rebound consistent with the post US-Iran deal EUR relief. RSI(14) recovered off oversold into the mid-50s; the broader move down from 1.1502 leaves the 38.2% retrace around current price.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.14551, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14551 bounce high opens the path back to the 1.1478 2mo low pivot
Failure to hold 1.1445 swing reopens the 1.14175 session low
ECB speaker flow (Lane) during NY hours could shift this read
EUR carved a fresh session low at 1.14175 in early London then bounced to 1.14476, a corrective recovery after this week's two-month low sub-1.1478. RSI(14) has lifted off its oversold extreme but the session high at 1.14489 is capping the bounce so far, consistent with the soft EUR tone.
Support: 1.14322, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14489, 1.1457
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14489 opens the path toward the 1.14570 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14322 reopens the 1.14175 session low
ECB speaker Lane (14:30) could shift this read
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.14471
Lower highs/lows, recovery into London.
Decline extended to a fresh session low at 1.14175 — keeping EUR near 2-month lows on post-FOMC USD strength — before buyers recovered the move into the London session. Price is now stalling at the 61.8% retracement around 1.14471, with the 1.1470 prior 2-month low capping overhead and the session high at 1.14489 just above.
Support: 1.14175, 1.14228
Resistance: 1.14489, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1470 (prior 2-month low) negates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold the 1.14175 session low opens the 1.14/1.15 summer floor
ECB speakers today (Lane 14:30 UTC) could shift the read
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.14462
Fresh lows swept, recovering.
EUR/USD swept fresh two-month lows at 1.14175 during the Asia-London transition then recovered to 1.1449, in line with the broad USD-strength theme keeping the pair pinned near lows. Price now sits back above EMA20 with the session high at 1.14489 capping the bounce; RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to mid-range.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14489, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14489 opens the 1.1470 two-month low zone
Failure to hold 1.14175 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.14 floor
ECB speakers (Lane 14:30 UTC) could shift this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.14446
Fresh session low printed, recovery underway.
London session pushed EURUSD to a fresh two-month low at 1.14175 on the post-FOMC dollar bid, before buyers stepped in and dragged price back to 1.14446. RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s as the recent down-leg unwinds, but price still sits below EMA50.
Support: 1.14225, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.14489, 1.1457, 1.1466
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14489 breaks the descending intraday structure
Failure to hold 1.14175 opens the 1.14/1.15 floor
ECB speakers (Lane 14:30 UTC) could shift the read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.14436
Lower highs / lower lows, corrective bounce in play.
EUR/USD pressed to a fresh two-month low at 1.14175 during the session as USD rate-diff strength kept the pair pinned, then bounced ~26 pips to 1.14436 with RSI lifting off oversold. Price remains below EMA20/50; the 1.14500 round number is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1457
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14570 prior swing would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14175 session low opens the 1.1400 psych floor
HCOB flash PMIs (Jun 23) are the week's key catalyst and could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14336
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh two-month low swept.
EUR/USD ground to a fresh two-month low at 1.14175 during the descent before a bounce back to 1.14336, RSI(14) lifting off sub-30 — the move extends the broad USD-bid downtrend with EUR pinned near ING's 1.14/1.15 floor. Lower highs remain intact and price sits below EMA20/50 into the early London session.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1453
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14430 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14175 opens the 1.1400 floor
ECB Lane speakers through the session could shift the read
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14367
Lower highs/lows, recovery off session low.
EURUSD ground out fresh session lows at 1.14175 amid the USD rate-diff bid keeping the pair pinned near two-month lows, with RSI(14) lifting out of oversold. Late-Asia buyers stepped in off 1.14175 and price has clawed back to 1.14386; lower-high structure still intact below.
Support: 1.14175, 1.14225
Resistance: 1.14386, 1.1453
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14175 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.14 floor
Reclaim of 1.14530 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
ECB Lane (07:10 UTC) and London open could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low printed.
EUR/USD extended its slide to a fresh session low at 1.14175 during early London hours, pressing the 1.14/1.15 floor as the post-FOMC dollar bid persists. A small bounce has lifted price to 1.1433, RSI(14) recovering from sub-40; the 1.1448 swing high caps the rebound and 1.1478 (the prior two-month low) sits above as broken support turned resistance.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1448, 1.1478
What it said to watch
ECB Lane speech ~07:10 UTC could materially shift this read
Clean break below 1.14175 opens the lower 1.14 round number floor
Reclaim of 1.1448 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
EUR/USD sold through the prior consolidation into early London hours, printing a fresh two-month low at 1.14175 as the post-FOMC dollar bid persists. A modest bounce off that low has lifted price to 1.14313, RSI(14) recovering from oversold-adjacent levels but still sub-40 with price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1443
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14175 opens the 1.1400 floor
Reclaim of 1.14430 swing would stall the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD ground to fresh session lows near 1.1417, extending the slide from 1.1522 as the Greenback held its post-FOMC gains. Clean lower-high/lower-low chain across the window with RSI(14) pressed into the low 30s. German PPI at 06:00 UTC is the immediate risk into the next bars.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.1457
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14175 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14380 needed to challenge the downtrend
German PPI 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 25 · price 1.1425
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session lows.
London session extended the slide to fresh lows near 1.1417 as the dollar held post-FOMC gains and EUR sat at two-month lows. RSI(14) sub-25 marks the move as stretched, but the lower-low chain stays intact with price pinned to the 1.14 area.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1457
What it said to watch
German PPI at 06:00 UTC could shift this read on a hot print
M15 close back above 1.1457 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1417 opens the path toward 1.1400
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into lows · RSI 31 · price 1.14237
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh window low.
EUR/USD ground to fresh two-month lows at 1.14225 into the early London session, extending a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows as the post-FOMC USD bid held. The break below the 1.14350 swing accelerated selling; RSI(14) near 30 is stretched but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.14225, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14353
What it said to watch
German PPI 06:00 UTC (~30m out) could shift this read
Reclaim of 1.14353 swing needed to ease downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.14225 session low confirms continuation lower
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into the close · RSI 28 · price 1.14275
Lower highs, lower lows; range break to fresh lows.
EUR/USD broke down from the 1.1455–1.1462 consolidation and slid to fresh two-month lows at 1.14275 through the Asia–early London transition, with USD holding post-FOMC YTD highs. RSI(14) near 27 reflects a stretched move; 1.14 round number is the next reference below.
Support: 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1453, 1.1462
What it said to watch
German PPI at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A reclaim of 1.1453 broken range would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.1400 round number extends the lower-low sequence
EURUSD ground to fresh two-month lows near 1.1435 as the post-FOMC USD bid held, breaking the 1.1455–1.1463 consolidation that capped through the Asia-into-London transition. RSI(14) near 31 and at the lows, momentum firmly down; 1.14 is the next handle, flagged as ING's summer floor.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1463
What it said to watch
German PPI 06:00 UTC and ECB Lane 07:10 UTC could shift this read
Loss of 1.1430 opens the path toward the 1.1400 floor
Reclaim of 1.1463 consolidation top would neutralise the breakdown
04:45 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.14398
Lower highs, lower lows; breakout below Asian range.
EURUSD ground sideways through Asia in a tight 1.1455–1.1464 range top, then broke lower into the London open to print fresh session lows at 1.14376, extending the USD-bid downtrend. RSI(14) near 31, soft but not yet stretched; sellers remain in control below the 1.14640 range top.
Support: 1.14376, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1464
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14640 range top would stall the lower-low sequence
A close below 1.14000 round number opens further downside
German PPI 06:00 UTC and ECB speakers could shift this read in the next bars
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.14403
Lower highs, lower lows intact.
EUR/USD ground to fresh session lows at 1.1438 through the Asia-into-Europe handover as the post-FOMC USD bid persisted. A clean lower-high, lower-low chain remains in force with no bounce structure, RSI(14) cooling toward oversold near 31.
Support: 1.14385, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1457, 1.1463
What it said to watch
German PPI at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 1.1438 session low opens the path toward the 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14630 lower high needed to challenge the downtrend
EURUSD ground lower through NY into the Asian session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14415 with RSI(14) near 34 — the dollar staying bid post-FOMC. Each bounce has stalled below the prior swing, keeping the lower-high, lower-low chain intact.
Support: 1.14415, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1453
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14530 breaks the lower-high chain on M15
EUR/USD ground to fresh two-month lows near 1.1442 in the Asia session, extending the post-FOMC slide as a hawkish-Fed dollar stays bid. Price broke the prior 1.1453 base and sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the low 30s but not yet oversold; the 1.14 floor flagged by ING is the next focus.
Support: 1.14415, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1457
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.14570 negates the fresh-low breakdown
Failure to hold 1.14415 opens the path toward the 1.1400 round number
German PPI 06:00 UTC and Lane speeches could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the Asian session to fresh two-month-area lows at 1.14415, extending the post-Fed USD bid; the 1.1460 consolidation broke down in the last hour with price below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) near 33 — soft but not yet stretched, leaving room to test lower.
Support: 1.14415, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1457
What it said to watch
German PPI at 06:00 UTC could shift this read near the London open
Reclaim of 1.14570 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.14415 confirms continuation lower
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.14452
Lower highs into a breakdown below the prior consolidation.
EUR/USD slid through the 1.1460-1.1463 consolidation in late Asia hours to print a fresh two-month low at 1.14432, extending the post-FOMC dollar move; price sits pinned below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 33, weak but not yet extreme, with the 1.14 area flagged as the summer floor below.
Support: 1.14432, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1463
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14630 range top would neutralise the breakdown read
German PPI 06:00 UTC and Lane speeches could shift the next bars
Failure to hold 1.14432 opens the path toward the 1.1400 psych floor
Lower highs / lower lows, breaking to new session low.
EURUSD is grinding lower through the session, printing a fresh low at 1.14432 in the latest bars as the hawkish-Fed dollar keeps EUR pinned near two-month lows. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 36 — soft but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.14432, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1457, 1.14656
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14570 would stall the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 1.14656 negates the fresh-low break
German PPI 06:00 UTC and Lane speeches could shift this read
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.14439
Lower highs, lower lows; range break down.
EURUSD broke down from the 1.1455–1.1462 consolidation into a fresh session low at 1.14432, extending the post-FOMC USD-led slide. RSI(14) near 32 with price below EMA20/50; no sign of demand stepping in yet.
Support: 1.14432, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1462
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14620 consol top would neutralise the range-break read
Sustained acceptance below 1.14432 opens the 1.1400 floor
German PPI 06:00 UTC could shift this read in the next few bars
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.14439
Lower highs / lower lows, range breakdown.
EURUSD broke down from the 1.1457–1.1463 consolidation to fresh session lows at 1.14432 in early Asian hours, extending the USD-led slide toward the widely cited 1.14 floor. RSI(14) near 33 — soft but not yet stretched. German PPI at 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.14432, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1457, 1.1463
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1457 invalidates the breakdown
Sustained break of 1.14432 opens the 1.14 floor
German PPI 06:00 UTC could shift the USD-led read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.14485
Lower highs/lows, range break lower.
Asian session ground to a fresh session low at 1.14485, extending the USD-led slide that pinned EUR/USD at two-month lows. After consolidating 1.1455–1.1463 overnight, price broke lower; RSI(14) near 33, not yet oversold, with ATR ~4 pips on thin Asian liquidity.
Support: 1.14481, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1457, 1.1463
What it said to watch
German PPI 06:00 UTC (~3h out) could shift this read
Reclaim above 1.1463 invalidates the breakdown
Sustained close below 1.1448 confirms lower-low extension
Lower highs / lower lows, breaking Asian range floor.
EURUSD sliding to a fresh two-month low at 1.14481 as the Asian range floor near 1.14555 gives way, the dollar holding post-FOMC gains. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 33 — soft but not yet stretched; the asian high at 1.14656 caps any bounce.
Support: 1.14481, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1457, 1.14656
What it said to watch
German PPI at 06:00 UTC (~3h out) could shift this read
Reclaim of 1.1457 intraday would stall the breakdown
Asia session is grinding lower, drifting back toward the session low near 1.1451 after the prior leg down to two-month lows. Price has consolidated between 1.1451 and 1.1464 with lower highs capping; RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme. German PPI at 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst into this thin range.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1464
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1450 opens path toward the cited 1.14 floor
Reclaim of 1.1464 swing high negates the lower drift
German PPI 06:00 UTC could break the range either way
03:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 44 · price 1.14541
Ranging near session lows after intraday slide.
EUR/USD is pinned near two-month lows after hawkish-Fed USD strength, ranging roughly 1.1451–1.1466 through the Asian session after the earlier slide from 1.1528. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price below EMA20/50, drifting back toward the session low.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.1470, 1.1487
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1451 opens fresh downside toward the 1.14 floor
Reclaim of 1.1470 needed to ease the downside pressure
German PPI at 06:00 UTC (~3h) could shift this read
Consolidating above session low after the leg down.
EUR/USD slid through London-NY to a session low near 1.1451, with the dollar bid post-FOMC keeping rebounds capped. Asia hours are quiet and rangebound between 1.1451 and 1.1466; demand stepped in twice at 1.1451, but lower highs persist.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1447
Resistance: 1.14656
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1451 confirms a lower low and reopens the slide
Reclaim of 1.14656 breaks the lower-highs sequence
German PPI at 06:00 UTC could shift this read within a few hours
Lower highs into a tight range above session lows.
EUR/USD drifted to fresh two-month lows below 1.1478 on the USD-driven slide from Tuesday's 1.1525 area, and is now grinding in a 1.1451–1.1466 range through the early Asia session. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the low 40s; the session low at 1.14509 has held twice.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14478
Resistance: 1.14656, 1.1473, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14509 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1478-area pivot extension
M15 close above 1.14656 invalidates the near-term lower-high sequence
German PPI at 06:00 UTC and Lane speeches could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through a quiet Asian session, sweeping the session low near 1.1451 before recovering to 1.1457. The day's structure is a clean downtrend off 1.1527 with lower highs capping each bounce; hawkish-Fed USD strength keeps EUR pinned near two-month lows.
Support: 1.14512, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14656, 1.1473, 1.14872
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14656 breaks the lower-high chain
Sustained loss of 1.14512 opens the 1.1450 range floor
German PPI 06:00 UTC and Lane speeches could shift this read
EUR/USD slid through the NY session to fresh lows near 1.1451 as the dollar held post-FOMC gains, then stalled into Asia hours, chopping in a tight 1.1451–1.1466 band. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43 — downside momentum cooling but no reclaim of structure.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14656
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1451 extends the slide
Close above 1.14656 breaks the consolidation top
German PPI at 06:00 UTC (~3.5h) could shift this read
Lower highs into tight Asian-session consolidation, just slipped to session low.
EURUSD slid through the London-NY window to fresh lows near 1.1451 as the dollar held post-FOMC gains, then went into a tight Asian-session range between 1.1451 and the 1.1466 range top. Price just printed a session low at 1.14528 on the last bar; RSI(14) sits sub-45, ATR around 7 pips reflecting the thin overnight liquidity.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14656, 1.14872
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14509 confirms continuation toward the 1.14/1.15 summer floor
Reclaim of the 1.14656 range top would ease the downside pressure
German PPI 06:00 UTC and Lane speeches could break the Asian range
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 39 · price 1.14528
Lower highs, fresh session low.
EURUSD slid back to session lows near 1.1453 in thin Asia hours, breaking below the 1.1455–1.1463 consolidation that held through the overnight session. The pair remains pinned at two-month lows as the dollar holds post-FOMC gains; RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1448
Resistance: 1.1463
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14480 (2mo low) extends the slide
Reclaim of 1.14630 range top negates the lower-low read
German PPI 06:00 UTC could shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14529
Overnight range slipping back to session low.
After the London-NY slide to fresh two-month lows, Asian session has ranged thinly between 1.1458 and 1.1466 on a dollar-led move post-FOMC. Price is now edging back toward the 1.1451 overnight low; RSI(14) near 41 and ATR thin at ~3.6 pips reflect quiet Asia.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14656
What it said to watch
A close below 1.14509 confirms a lower-low and reopens the slide
Recovery above 1.14656 negates the retest of the lows
EUR slid through the London-NY sessions to a low near 1.14509, then consolidated 1.14580-1.14630 into the Asia hours as the dollar held post-FOMC gains. The latest bars are slipping back toward the session low with RSI(14) sub-45; range floor still in play.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1463
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14509 confirms a lower-low and extends the slide
Reclaim of 1.14630 range top negates the downside press
German PPI 06:00 UTC could shift this read
01:47 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 44 · price 1.14574
Consolidation at two-month lows.
London/NY drove EUR/USD to fresh two-month lows near 1.1450 as the dollar held post-FOMC gains; price has since gone quiet in the Asia session, ranging 1.1451–1.1466 with ATR compressed to a few pips. Price sits at the lower end of that range, capped by stacked lower highs from the 1.14872 bounce.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14541
Resistance: 1.14656, 1.14872
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14509 extends the slide toward fresh two-month lows
Close above 1.14656 challenges the range top
German PPI 06:00 UTC could break the Asian compression
01:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.14574
Tight range after intraday slide.
EUR/USD slid through the London-NY hours toward 1.1451 as the dollar held post-FOMC gains, then went quiet into the Asia session. Now coiling 1.1451–1.1463, RSI(14) flat near 46; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1451, 1.14527
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.14656
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1463 reopens the 1.1470 area
Break below 1.1451 confirms a fresh lower-low
German PPI at 06:00 UTC could break the range
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14603
Ranging near session lows after leg down.
EUR/USD bled lower through the London-NY hours toward 1.14509 as the hawkish-Fed Dollar bid extended, then went flat through the Asia session in a tight 1.1457–1.1466 band. RSI(14) hovering near 46, ATR compressed to a handful of pips — no setup in play.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.14715
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14509 opens the path toward the 1.14 area
Reclaim of 1.14715 would shift the short-term lower-high structure
German PPI 06:00 UTC and ECB speakers could move EUR intraday
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.14603
Tight range after a session selloff.
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY window to a session low at 1.14509, in line with the soft-EUR, hawkish-Fed dollar bid that pinned the pair near two-month lows. Price has since flattened into a tight 1.1457-1.1466 range through the low-volume Asia hours, RSI(14) back to neutral near 47.
Support: 1.1457, 1.14509
Resistance: 1.1466
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14660 would break the consolidation range to the upside
Loss of 1.14509 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
German PPI at 06:00 UTC and ECB speakers could shift this read
01:17 UTC
Downtrend, now stalled in range · RSI 50 · price 1.14612
Consolidation above two-month lows.
London-NY hours drove EUR to fresh two-month lows near 1.1452 on the hawkish-Fed Dollar bid; Asia session has since coiled into a tight 1.1456–1.1466 range with RSI(14) flat near 50. No directional setup in play — price is pinned mid-range and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.14563, 1.14509
Resistance: 1.14656
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1452 confirms a lower low toward the 1.14 floor
Close above 1.1466 breaks the Asian range top
German PPI at 06:00 UTC could break the range
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, paused in low-volume range · RSI 48 · price 1.14612
Consolidation near session lows after London/NY leg down.
EURUSD sold off through London/NY to fresh two-month lows near 1.1451 as hawkish-Fed USD strength weighed, then went into a tight Asia-session range between 1.1456 and 1.1466. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with momentum flat; price is pinned just above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14563
Resistance: 1.14656
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14509 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.14656 range top would ease the immediate downside pressure
German PPI at 06:00 UTC could break this low-volume range
EUR/USD sold off through London-NY toward two-month-low territory near 1.1450 on the post-FOMC dollar bid, then stabilised into a tight 1.1457-1.1466 range during thin Asian hours. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral mid-40s; price sits just above EMA20 but capped below EMA50, with the broken 1.1478 level now acting as overhead supply.
Support: 1.1457, 1.1451, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.1471, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1451 session low opens the path toward the 1.14 floor
Close above 1.1466 range top, then 1.1471, invalidates the consolidation read
German PPI 06:00 UTC and ECB Lane speakers could shift this read into the next bars
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, paused in consolidation · RSI 49 · price 1.14628
Tight Asian range after NY leg lower.
EUR/USD slid from 1.152 to fresh two-month lows near 1.1451 through the NY session on the post-FOMC dollar bid, then carved a tight Asian range around 1.1460. Volume and ATR have compressed to ~3-4 pips with RSI neutral — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1457, 1.1451
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Break above 1.1466 range top opens the path back toward the 1.1480 swing high
Loss of 1.1451 session low confirms continuation lower toward the 1.14/1.15 floor
German PPI 06:00 UTC and ECB speakers (Lane) could break the Asian range
00:46 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.14618
Lower highs into low-volume range near session low.
Sold off from 1.1525 through the European afternoon to a session low at 1.14509, then settled into a low-volume Asian range between 1.1457 and 1.1471. Price holding 1.14618 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; consolidation intact, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1457, 1.14509
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.14813
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14509 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above the 1.1471 swing high breaks the Asian range
German PPI 06:00 UTC and ECB speakers (Lane) could shift this read
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating at lows · RSI 46 · price 1.14618
Tight range after sustained sell-off.
EUR/USD slid through the London-NY sessions to fresh lows near 1.1451 on the post-FOMC dollar bid, then stalled into a tight 1.1455-1.1466 band through the quiet Asia hours. RSI sits mid-range and ATR has compressed, with the prior 1.1478 two-month low now acting as overhead supply.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1452
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1451 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above 1.1466 challenges the 1.1478 pivot
German PPI at 06:00 UTC plus ECB Lane could break the range
00:32 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 47 · price 1.14614
Tight consolidation above session low.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1528 into a session low at 1.14509 on the post-FOMC dollar bid, then stalled into a tight 1.1457-1.1463 range through thin late-session hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no momentum either way while price holds just above the low.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1457
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1471, 1.14813
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14630 range top opens 1.14710 swing high
Break below 1.14509 session low resumes the down-leg
German PPI 06:00 UTC could break the consolidation
00:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.14614
Consolidation near session lows.
EURUSD bled lower through the London-NY session to a fresh low at 1.14509, in line with the post-FOMC dollar bid keeping EUR pinned near two-month lows. Price has since gone flat, coiling in a tight 1.1456–1.1464 band on thin Asia-hours volume with RSI back near 50.
Support: 1.1456, 1.14509
Resistance: 1.1464, 1.1471
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14509 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above 1.14640 range top opens 1.14710
German PPI 06:00 UTC could break the consolidation
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 48 · price 1.14622
Consolidation after NY-session selloff.
Asian session is grinding a tight 1.1455-1.1463 range on thin volume after the NY-session selloff that drove EURUSD to a session low of 1.14509, in line with the post-FOMC dollar bid. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 and price is pinned just under the 1.14630 range top.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14527
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14630 opens the path back toward 1.14710
Loss of 1.14509 confirms a fresh lower-low
German PPI at 06:00 UTC could break the current consolidation
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 1.14622
Tight range after NY sell-off.
EUR/USD sold off through London-NY to a session low of 1.1451 on the post-FOMC dollar bid, then stalled. Asia session is quiet and rangebound between 1.1457 and 1.1463, RSI(14) flat near 50 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1457, 1.1451
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1471, 1.1487
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1451 confirms a lower low toward the 1.14 floor
Close above 1.1471 breaks the consolidation and reopens 1.1487
German PPI 06:00 UTC and ECB speakers could shift this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, paused in consolidation · RSI 47 · price 1.14608
Tight Asian range after London-NY sell-off.
EUR/USD sold off through London-NY hours to fresh two-month lows near 1.1451 on the post-FOMC dollar bid, then recovered to 1.1486 before fading. Asia session is now coiled in a tight 1.1456-1.1463 range with ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1456, 1.1451
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1471, 1.1486
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1463 range top opens a retest of the 1.1486 ny high
Break below 1.1451 confirms a lower low toward the 1.14/1.15 floor
German PPI at 06:00 UTC (~6h) could break this Asian range
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14608
Consolidation near session lows after selloff.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1528 to 1.1453 through the NY session on the post-FOMC dollar bid, then went flat in thin Asia trade, coiling 1.1456-1.1463 just above the swing low. Volume has dried up and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips; no setup in play while the session-low base holds.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1486
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 swing low extends the down leg
Reclaim above 1.1486 swing high needed to shift the read
German PPI 06:00 UTC and ECB Lane could break this Asian range