EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Friday, 24 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
17:01 UTC
Rolling over, downside momentum building · RSI 39 · price 1.13821
Lower highs, broke below range floor.
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.1475/1.1482 swing highs and broke below the multi-day 1.1400 floor that had capped the pair, printing a fresh swing low at 1.1364. EMA20 has crossed below EMA50 with price under both, consistent with the heavy EUR tone as a firm USD and hawkish Fed repricing dominate. The bounce off 1.1364 is shallow, retracing barely 15% of the last impulse.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1435, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H4 close back above 1.1400 negates the range break and reopens 1.1435
Failure to hold 1.1350 confirms the lower-low and puts the 1.1324 13-mo low in play
FOMC Jul 29 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, breaking multi-week range · RSI 41 · price 1.13821
Lower highs since 1.1482 top, range floor lost.
EURUSD rolled over after topping near 1.1482, printing successive lower highs and losing the 1.1400 handle that had floored the multi-week range. The drop to 1.1364 came as USD firmed on hawkish Fed repricing, with the pair now consolidating just below the broken floor. ATR is moderate — no compression signal, momentum is one-directional lower.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1435, 1.1482
What it said to watch
FOMC Jul 29 18:00 UTC is the pivotal catalyst for the next leg
H4 close back above 1.1400 negates the range breakdown
Failure to hold 1.1350 opens the 1.1324 ytd low
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC could shift the near-term read
13:02 UTC
Rolling over into downtrend · RSI 37 · price 1.13754
Range broke down, lower lows.
The multi-day 1.1410-1.1480 range broke lower and price is now below both EMA20 and EMA50, printing lower lows toward the 1.1363 swing low. The break aligns with a firm safe-haven USD bid capping EUR despite hawkish ECB and beat EZ PMIs. ATR(14) sits mid-range, so the down-leg has room without signalling exhaustion.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1435, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close back above 1.1410 would negate the range breakdown
Break below 1.1350 opens the path to fresh three-week lows
US S&P PMIs (13:45 UTC) and ECB Lane (15:30 UTC) could reshape this read
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, at three-week lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13754
Lower highs from 1.1482, breakdown to 1.1364.
EURUSD has rolled over from the 1.1482 mid-window peak, carving lower highs and breaking through the 1.1415 pivot to post three-week lows near 1.1364. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1364-1.1400 band below both EMA20 and EMA50, with a USD safe-haven bid capping euro strength despite firm EUR fundamentals. ATR(14) sits moderate, leaving the breakdown intact while price holds under 1.1415.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1445, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1350 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1415 negates the breakdown read
ECB Lane 15:30 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
09:01 UTC
Rolling over, downside pressure · RSI 42 · price 1.13892
Range broken lower, testing support.
Price spent most of the window ranging between 1.1420 and the 1.1475 swing high before sliding through the floor; it has now dropped to a fresh swing low at 1.1364 and sits below both EMA20 and EMA50. The leg lower followed broad USD strength on safe-haven flows, with the hawkish ECB hold and strong Eurozone PMIs failing to lift EUR/USD off the lows. Momentum is skewed lower while price stays capped under the 1.1420 former range base.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1350 extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery back above 1.1420 negates the downside range break
ECB's Lane speech today 15:30 UTC could shift this read
09:01 UTC
Rolling over, testing range floor · RSI 42 · price 1.13892
Multi-week range breaking lower, lower highs since 1.1482.
EURUSD spent most of the window boxed between 1.1370 and 1.1482, but the last few sessions cracked the range floor with a probe to 1.13636 as USD safe-haven and oil-driven demand capped the euro despite sharp Eurozone PMI beats. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with lower highs off the 1.1482 peak, and the bounce back to 1.1389 is so far holding under the reclaimed 1.1415 shelf. ATR(14) near 48 pips reflects a steady, not explosive, decline.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1350 extends the range break and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1415 pulls price back inside the prior multi-week range
ECB's Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift the front-end euro read
Multi-week range gave way; lower highs, testing base.
EURUSD spent roughly two weeks ranging between 1.1420 and 1.1475 before slipping through the broken floor this session, printing a fresh leg toward the 1.1375 swing low. Price is tracking a series of lower highs off the 1.1482 top and now sits below both EMAs, with the hawkish ECB hold offset by a firm USD safe-haven bid. The read is corrective-lower unless the broken floor is reclaimed.
Support: 1.1375, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H4 close back above 1.1420 negates the range breakdown
Failure to hold 1.1375 opens the 1.1364 range low
EZ/US flash PMIs today (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Range breaking to the downside · RSI 37 · price 1.13821
Lost the 1.1400 range floor, lower low printed.
Price spent two weeks boxed between roughly 1.1400 and 1.1482, then sliced through the 1.1400 floor this session, printing lows near 1.1364 as the dollar held a safe-haven bid and hawkish ECB pricing failed to extend EUR upside. Both EMAs now cap price and the broken floor at 1.1400 flips to first resistance. ATR(14) sits near 33 pips, so the move is orderly rather than a volatility spike.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1435, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs today (Services f/c 49.8) — sub-50 read could extend the break below 1.1364
A reclaim of 1.1400 would neutralise the range break and put the 1.1435 range mid back in play
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could reinforce the dollar bid pressuring this level
01:01 UTC
Rolling over, range break lower · RSI 35 · price 1.13754
Multi-day range broken to the downside.
Price spent nearly two weeks caged in a 1.1410-1.1482 range before the last session drove it through the 1.1410 floor to 1.1364. The break aligns with a firm safe-haven USD bid against a hawkish-but-priced ECB hold; former support at 1.1410 now caps as resistance, and the EMA20/EMA50 have flipped above spot. ATR is expanding as the move accelerates rather than compressing.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1435, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H4 close back above 1.1410 invalidates the range break
Failure to hold 1.1364 opens the path toward the 1.1354 range low
01:01 UTC
Rolling over, range broken to downside · RSI 33 · price 1.13754
Two-week range broke below 1.1410 floor, pressing lows.
EUR/USD held a 1.1410-1.1480 range for two weeks before breaking below the floor this session as the USD safe-haven bid on Middle East escalation forced the pair to fresh window lows near 1.1375. Price is now below both EMA20 and EMA50 with the break through 1.1410 turning the prior floor into resistance. ATR remains contained, so the move is directional rather than volatile.
Support: 1.13636, 1.13539, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14354, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.1410 range floor would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.13636 opens the path toward 1.1354 window low