Rolled off 1.1400, consolidating near session lows.
EURUSD topped at 1.14006 midday, capped below the 1.1400 barrier, then rolled over to grind out session lows around 1.1367. Price is now drifting flat in a tight 1.1367-1.1372 band with RSI mid-40s and volume thinning into the late session; still below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1367, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.1380
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13800 negates the intraday downside drift
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves in either direction
Lower highs off 1.1400, consolidating at session lows.
NY session tagged the 1.1400 round number and rejected hard, dropping to 1.1364 before basing. Price is now consolidating just above the session low at 1.1367 into late NY on thin volume, trading below both EMAs with RSI in the low 40s.
Support: 1.1367, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1372 minor high breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1367 session low exposes 1.1345 zone
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC could reset the intraday read
20:32 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 41 · price 1.13683
Lower highs, ranging near session low.
Late NY hours: EUR/USD drifted back to 1.1368 after rejection at 1.13903, capped by lower highs from the 1.1401 session high. Range has compressed hard into the Asia handover with price pinned just above the 1.13645 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1368
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13903, 1.1401
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13645 confirms a fresh lower low
M15 close above 1.1380 challenges the descending lower-highs read
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC could reset the intraday range
Lower highs into tight consolidation near session lows.
EURUSD peaked at 1.14006 during the NY session, sub-1.1400 as the digest flags, then sold off through the afternoon; buyers stepped in at 1.13645. Price is now grinding a tight 1.13680-1.13710 range on fading late-session volume, RSI(14) mid-40s with no extreme.
Support: 1.1367, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13886, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13645 confirms a lower low and opens the path toward 1.13324
Reclaim of 1.13780 needed to challenge the 1.13886 lower high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Durable Goods Mon are the pivotal catalysts for this pair
20:16 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.1369
Consolidation above session low after fade from 1.1400.
EUR was rejected at the 1.1400 cap earlier in the session and drifted down into the late NY range, now consolidating tightly around 1.1365-1.1370 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Sub-1.1400 pressure persists as USD holds near monthly highs; buyers stabilised at the 1.1365 session low but no push higher.
Support: 1.1365, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1365 opens the path toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1380 needed to challenge the 1.1400 cap again
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC could shift this read
20:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now flat · RSI 41 · price 1.1369
Consolidating near session lows after decline off 1.1400.
EUR/USD slid off the 1.1400 psych cap through the NY session and has coiled into a tight consolidation around 1.1369, holding just above the 1.1365 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 41 and ATR has compressed to under 4 pips as late-NY volume thins; price remains capped below 1.1400 in line with the broader sub-1.1400 theme.
Support: 1.1365, 1.1367
Resistance: 1.1389, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1365 confirms a lower low and extends the decline
Reclaim of 1.1389 opens the path back toward the 1.1400 cap
German IFO Mon and FOMC Wed are the near-term catalysts that could break this consolidation
20:02 UTC
Downtrend from session high, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.13698
Lower highs, tight consolidation at lows.
NY session sold off from the session high at 1.1400, printing lower highs into 1.13645 before flattening. Last ~2.5 hours have coiled in a tight 1.1367-1.1372 band with RSI(14) mid-range; price stays capped sub-1.1400 as the digest notes.
Support: 1.1367, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.13903, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 confirms a lower low and extends the down leg
Reclaim above 1.13720 range top would break the late-session coil
FOMC Wed is the pivotal catalyst that could reset this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 44 · price 1.13698
Lower highs, now coiled near session lows.
EURUSD faded from 1.14006 through the NY session and is now coiled in a tight 1.13669–1.13722 band during the late-NY/Asia transition, RSI(14) mid-40s. The move stayed capped under the 1.1400 zone flagged in context; the 1.13645 swing low held earlier before this drift lower.
Support: 1.13669, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13722, 1.1380, 1.13886
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13722 range top reopens the 1.13800 prior swing
Break of 1.13645 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
Thin Asia liquidity keeps ranges tight until London open
19:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13709
Consolidating just above session low after fade from 1.1400.
NY session faded from the 1.1400 cap to session lows near 1.1365, then coiled tightly into the close with ATR compressed to ~5 pips. EUR stayed capped sub-1.1400 versus a firm USD per the macro read; RSI mid-40s, no directional momentum in the last few hours.
Support: 1.13669, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13903, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13903 would negate the intraday downtrend
Late-session liquidity thin — moves may lack follow-through
NY session drifted lower off the 1.13886 high, printing lower highs before basing in a tight 1.13669–1.13720 range into the late session. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) subdued near 42; no setup in play.
Support: 1.13669, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13886
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.13800 negates the lower-high sequence
EUR rolled over from the 1.14006 NY high on the firmer dollar and risk-off bid, printing lower highs into 1.13645. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.13669-1.13722 band just above the session low, RSI(14) mid-40s with no extreme.
Support: 1.13669, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13886
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13669 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.13645 swing
M15 close back above 1.13800 breaks the descending sequence
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Lower highs, tight consolidation near session lows.
EUR/USD drifted lower through late NY, printing lower highs off the 1.1388 session high and settling into a tight 1.1368-1.1370 consolidation just above the session low. RSI(14) near 38 reflects the fade; euro remains capped below 1.1400 with strong Eurozone PMIs offering little lift against a firm dollar.
Support: 1.13669, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13775, 1.13886
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13775 breaks the consolidation and eases the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13645 opens the path toward 1.1350 support
FOMC next week is the pivotal USD catalyst but sits outside this window
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, flattening at lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13699
Lower highs into flat base near 1.1370.
NY session drifted lower off the 1.1390 high, with EUR capped below 1.1400 near the multi-month lows. Price is now flat-lining around 1.1370, holding just above the 1.1367 session low; RSI(14) has cooled but is flattening rather than diverging.
Support: 1.13669, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13886
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1380 would break the descending sequence of highs
Loss of 1.1367 session low opens 1.1345 and the 13-month low at 1.1324
EURUSD rolled off the 1.1390 area during late NY, printing lower highs into a 1.13645 session low, and is now consolidating flat near 1.1370. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 42 with momentum flattening after the drop; the pair stays capped below 1.1400 as the firmer USD narrative holds.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13805, 1.13886
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1360 round number
Reclaim of 1.13805 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.14006 session high and printed lower highs through NY, sliding into 1.1367 as the evening range tightened on thin volume. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the pair stayed capped sub-1.1400 despite the strong EZ PMI beat, in line with the broader USD firmness.
Support: 1.1367, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13903, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13645 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.13800 would break the lower-high sequence
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC could reshape this read on the next session
18:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 40 · price 1.13689
Lower highs, lower lows off 1.1390.
NY session peeled off the 1.1390 high and stair-stepped lower, printing lower highs into a stall around the session low at 1.13645. USD stayed firm on the restrictive-for-longer theme, capping EUR below 1.13800; RSI(14) sub-40, no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13886
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.13500
Reclaim of 1.13800 negates the lower-high structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC dominates the next-session read
Lower highs, lower lows; flattening near session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing lower highs off 1.13903 down to a 1.13669 session low, with RSI(14) near 40 as the pair stayed capped well below 1.1400 amid a firm USD. Last few bars have flattened around 1.1369, a shallow consolidation just above the session low.
EURUSD faded from the 1.14006 NY session high in a clean lower-high sequence, now pinned near session lows around 1.13672-1.13691. USD stayed firm on hawkish Fed repricing, keeping the pair capped well below 1.1400 as it heads into the London-NY transition.
Support: 1.13672, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13804, 1.13903, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 confirms a fresh lower low and opens further downside
Reclaim above 1.13804 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed is the week's pivot but sits well beyond the next bars
EURUSD rejected the 1.1400 session high and ground lower through NY hours, now pinned at the 1.1367 session low with RSI(14) sub-40. USD firmness (blockbuster PMIs, 1969-low jobless claims) keeps the pair capped below 1.1400; price sits below both EMAs.
Support: 1.13672, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13903, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13645 opens the path toward 1.1350
M15 close back above 1.13800 negates the lower-high sequence
Durable Goods Mon 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed could reset this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14006 midday then faded through the NY session, and late NY is grinding back toward the day's lows near 1.1367 with RSI(14) at 38. The failed 1.1400 test and the break below 1.1380 leave price capped under a chain of lower highs, consistent with the digest's sub-1.1400 read.
Support: 1.13672, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13903, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13645 opens a path toward the YTD/13-month low
M15 close back above 1.13800 negates the lower-high chain
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed could reset this read
EUR was capped at 1.14006 in the London window and reversed lower, printing lower highs into late NY with price now probing session lows near 1.13672. RSI(14) mid-30s and price below EMA20/50 — no bounce in play, capped move consistent with the USD-firm, sub-1.1400 backdrop.
Support: 1.13672, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13886, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.13800 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed is the week's pivot and could shift this read
Late NY session grinding lower off the 1.13903 session high, chaining lower highs with RSI(14) sub-40. Price sits at 1.13694 just above the 1.13645 session low; USD firm on hawkish Fed repricing has kept EUR capped well below 1.1400.
Support: 1.13672, 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13903
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13645 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.13800 negates the lower-high chain
FOMC Wed is the week's pivot and could shift this read
EUR/USD stalled at the 1.1400 figure in NY hours and has since printed lower highs (1.13903 the last), now grinding back to session lows near 1.13645 with RSI(14) sub-40. Firm USD near month highs on strong PMIs and jobless claims is keeping rallies capped below 1.1380.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 opens the path toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.13800 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed and German IFO Mon are the next scheduled risk, not imminent
EURUSD poked to 1.14006 during NY hours then reversed — a false break of the 1.1400 round number. Price has since carved lower highs and is pressing session lows near 1.1365, RSI(14) sub-40, with every bounce capped below 1.1390.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13903, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1365 session low opens the 1.1350 round number
reclaim of 1.1390 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC Jul 29 is the week's pivot for USD
17:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs late NY · RSI 39 · price 1.13691
Rolled over from session high, probing session low.
EUR rejected the session high at 1.13886 and has printed a chain of lower highs through late NY, now probing the session low at 1.13645. Move fits the digest's read of EUR capped below 1.1400 on firm USD; RSI(14) near 39 with no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.13775, 1.13886, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.13775 negates the intraday downtrend read
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reshape this read
NY session peaked at 1.14006 and was rejected at the 1.1400 cap, unwinding a run of PMI-led gains as firm-USD flows dominate. Price has since carved lower highs, faded from 1.13886 and is pressing back toward the session low around 1.13683.
Support: 1.13683, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13886, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13645 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1350 area
Reclaim of 1.13886 negates the lower-high sequence
EUR faded from the 1.1400 cap during NY hours — strong flash PMIs couldn't lift it — and price is sliding back toward session lows near 1.1368. A chain of lower highs (1.14006, 1.13886) with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR only ~5 pips; grinding lower, no clean bounce yet.
Support: 1.13683, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13886, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13645 opens fresh downside toward the 1.1350 area
EURUSD stalled at the 1.1400 cap during NY hours and has faded back toward the session low, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price now sits at the lower end of a 1.13645–1.13900 range with lower highs stacking off the 1.14006 peak.
Reclaim of 1.13900 swing high needed to re-challenge the 1.1400 cap
17:16 UTC
Pullback within range · RSI 43 · price 1.13721
Faded from 1.1400, lower highs into NY.
NY session faded from the 1.1400 psych cap tagged in early NY, with EUR back to 1.13720 after a swing high at 1.13886. Session low 1.13645 has held as the intraday floor, but the last three bars leg lower and price sits below both EMAs.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13886, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 session low opens fresh downside
Reclaim of 1.13886 swing high needed to negate the pullback
17:02 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.13768
Intraday range, lower high printed.
EURUSD rejected the 1.14006 session high mid-window and flushed to 1.13645 before NY buyers recovered it to a lower high at 1.13903. Price is now fading back to 1.13768, sitting near the mid of that recovery leg; RSI(14) neutral around 46, still boxed inside the 1.1365–1.1400 range with the pair pinned below 1.1400 as the digest notes.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13645 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.13900 puts the 1.14000 session high back in play
FOMC Jul 29 is the next major catalyst, not imminent this session
17:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 44 · price 1.13768
Intraday range, lower high after 1.1400 rejection.
EURUSD failed at the 1.1400 psych level earlier and has since carved a 1.1364–1.1390 range through the NY session. Current fade from the 1.1390 NY swing high with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s; price sits just under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13715, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13903, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13903 reopens the 1.1400 day high
Loss of 1.13715 exposes the 1.13645 session low
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC could reset the intraday range
NY session bounced hard off the 1.13645 session low back to 1.13903 before stalling; price now consolidating around 1.1380 near the 61.8% retrace of the earlier 1.14006 drop. RSI(14) mid-range, sitting near the EMAs — no directional edge in play, consistent with EUR capped below 1.1400 in the digest.
Support: 1.1372, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13903, 1.14006
What it said to watch
close above 1.13903 opens the path back to 1.14006
failure to hold 1.13645 confirms a lower low
FOMC Jul 29 is the pivotal catalyst that could reset this read
Range after 1.1400 rejection; higher lows into 1.1388 cap.
NY session faded a run at the 1.1400 psych level (high 1.14006), selling to a session low of 1.13645 before buyers lifted price back toward 1.1388. Recovery has stalled and price is now easing to 1.1380, with the dollar staying firm on oil-driven Fed repricing keeping EUR capped sub-1.1400.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13886, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13886 swing high reopens the 1.1400 psych cap
Failure to hold 1.13760 exposes the 1.13645 session low
FOMC Jul 29 remains the dominant catalyst but sits outside the next bar period
16:32 UTC
Sideways after London fade, NY recovering · RSI 52 · price 1.13826
Range, mid-band consolidation.
London push to 1.14006 was rejected below the 1.1400 pivot, then EUR faded to the 1.13645 session low around midday before the NY session recovered to mid-range near 1.1383. RSI(14) neutral around 52; price is chopping between 1.13700 and 1.13903 with no clean intraday direction.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13903, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13903 reopens the 1.14006 session high
Failure to hold 1.13700 puts the 1.13645 session low back in play
FOMC/Durable Goods next week could shift this range read
NY session bounced off the session low at 1.1365 back to 1.1383, retracing roughly half the drop from the 1.1400 rejection. Price now consolidating just under 1.1390 with RSI(14) flat near 54; the 1.1400 round number stayed unbroken on the earlier push.
Support: 1.13716, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13903, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13903 reopens the 1.14006 session high
Failure to hold 1.13716 exposes the 1.13645 session low
FOMC (Jul 29) is the dominant upcoming risk for USD legs
NY session bounced from the 1.1364 session low on a double-bottom base and reclaimed 1.1385, RSI(14) around 56 after cooling from the pullback. EUR still pinned under the 1.1390 recent high and the 1.1400 psych level, in line with the broader below-1.14 tone.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13905, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13905 opens the path to the 1.1400 psych level
Close below 1.13645 confirms a lower low and voids the recovery
NY afternoon recovered from the session low at 1.1365 back to 1.1385, RSI(14) lifting through the mid-50s. Price remains capped under 1.1400 — the round-number ceiling EUR has failed to clear all week despite the PMI beats. Ranging 1.1365-1.1400, no clean break either way.
Support: 1.1365, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1400 opens the path back toward the 1.14006 session high
Loss of 1.1365 session low confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
FOMC Wed and IFO Mon are the dominant catalysts ahead
NY session dug out a double bottom at 1.13645 and clawed back to 1.13826, RSI(14) mid-range near 55. EUR remains pinned below 1.1400 as a firm USD on safe-haven/oil flows offsets the strong EZ PMIs, per the macro read; price is ranging 1.1365-1.1390 with a higher-low chain intact.
Support: 1.1374, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13903, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13903 opens the path to 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.13740 reopens the 1.13645 session low
German IFO Mon and FOMC Wed sit outside this window but could reset the range
NY session dipped to a session low of 1.13645 before buyers recovered price back to the 50% mark of the down move around 1.13826. Earlier eurozone PMI beats failed to lift EUR, which was rejected at the 1.1400 psych level; price now sits mid-range between 1.1364 and 1.1390.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13900 opens the path toward the 1.14006 psych level
Failure to hold 1.13645 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst but sits outside the next-bar window
15:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 1.13855
V-recovery within daily range.
NY session flushed to 1.13645 before buyers stepped in twice around 1.1367, driving a recovery back to 1.13855. EUR stays capped well below the 1.14006 session high and the 1.1400 psych level, in line with the digest's above-market reluctance to buy strength.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13900 prior high opens the path back toward the 1.14006 session high
Loss of 1.13760 swing low reopens the 1.13645 ny low
ECB Lane speech could shift the near-term read
15:46 UTC
Recovery off session low · RSI 56 · price 1.13855
Double bottom holding, bouncing into NY.
EUR rejected the 1.14006 session high and sold to 1.13645, staying capped below 1.1400 in line with the broader tone. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1365 and price has recovered to 1.1385 into the NY session, RSI(14) back near 56.
Support: 1.13715, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13905, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13905 opens the path back to the 1.14006 high
Failure to hold 1.13715 puts the 1.13645 session low back in play
ECB's Lane speech (15:30 UTC) could shift this read
NY session rejected the 1.1400 psych mid-window and sold to a 1.13645 session low, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. Price has recovered to 1.13836, sitting mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1372
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 opens the path toward 1.1350
Close above 1.14006 clears the 1.1400 psych cap
ECB Lane speech (15:30 UTC) could shift this read intrasession
15:31 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.13836
Intraday range, low swept and reclaimed.
London session topped at 1.14006 before NY swept the range low to 1.13645 midday, then buyers reclaimed back to 1.13836. Price is consolidating mid-range with RSI(14) near 54; the 1.1400 pivot remains the cap.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 opens the path toward the 1.1415 pivot
Failure to hold 1.13645 confirms a lower low
ECB Lane speech (15:30 UTC) could shift this read intrabar
Sweep of session low then rebound, capped below 1.1400.
NY session dipped to 1.13645, swept the session low then recovered to 1.13887 — roughly a 67% retrace of the earlier drop from 1.14006. RSI back to mid-range as buyers stepped in on the rising lows; price still capped below the 1.1400 pivot flagged in the EUR read.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14006, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 psych pivot opens 1.14006 session high
Failure to hold 1.13645 confirms a lower low
ECB Lane speech at 15:30 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
15:17 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 1.13887
Range, higher low after dip.
NY session bounced off the 1.1365 session low and is retracing the drop from the 1.1400 top, price back near 1.1389 with RSI(14) climbing toward 60. Move stalls below the day's high; EUR remains capped under 1.1400 per context.
Support: 1.13715, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.13927, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 breaks the session high
Failure to hold 1.13715 reopens the 1.13645 session low
EURUSD faded from the session high at 1.14006 into the NY afternoon, bottoming at 1.13645 with RSI(14) dipping to oversold before recovering. Price is now basing back near 1.1377, still capped below the 1.1380 bounce shelf as USD safe-haven strength keeps EUR near 3-week lows.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1380 opens the path back toward the 1.1400 session high
Break of 1.13645 session low exposes 1.1350
ECB Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift this read in the next bar
EURUSD sold off from the NY session high at 1.14006 to a session low of 1.13645 as the USD safe-haven bid dominated despite firm EUR PMIs; buyers stepped in twice near 1.1365 and price is grinding back to 1.1376. Recovery is holding higher lows but capped under the 1.1379 pivot.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.13878, 1.1400
What it said to watch
ECB's Lane speech at 15:30 UTC could shift this read
Loss of 1.13645 confirms a lower-low and resumes the downmove
Close above 1.13790 opens the path back toward 1.13878
NY afternoon: EUR/USD rolled over from a session high at 1.14006, printing a lower high at 1.13927 before dipping to 1.13645 and recovering to 1.1376. Price now chops around EMA20/50 with RSI near 45 — no clean intraday direction after the pullback.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13927, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13645 opens toward the 1.13500 area
Reclaim of 1.13927 would negate the lower-high sequence
ECB's Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift this read
14:32 UTC
Pullback after failed push to 1.1400 · RSI 47 · price 1.13756
NY session pushed to 1.14006 then rejected, selling off to 1.13645 before stabilising around 1.1376; strong EU PMIs failed to hold the bid as the firm USD capped EUR/USD. Price now consolidating between the 1.1365 session low and the 1.1379 pivot, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
ECB's Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift this read
Close below 1.13645 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1350 key support
Reclaim of 1.13790 reopens the 1.14006 session high
Lower highs from 1.1400, session low at 1.1365 holding.
EUR/USD was rejected at the 1.14006 session high during NY hours and sold off to a 1.13645 low despite the strong EZ flash PMIs — the USD safe-haven bid capped the pair. Price is now consolidating near 1.1376 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the 1.13880 prior high is the level to reclaim.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.1388, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 opens the path toward 1.1350 key support
Reclaim of 1.13880 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
ECB's Lane speech at 15:30 UTC could shift this read within the hour
Lower highs off session high, holding above session low.
NY session saw EUR/USD reject the 1.1400 round number (session high 1.14006) despite strong Eurozone flash PMIs, as the USD safe-haven bid capped the pair. Price slid to a 1.13645 session low then recovered to 1.1373; RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s and price is trading below EMA20/50. A chain of lower highs from 1.14006 keeps the intraday bias to the downside while 1.1350 support holds.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13879, 1.14006
What it said to watch
ECB's Lane at 15:30 UTC could shift this read within the next bar period
Loss of 1.13645 session low exposes the 1.1350 key support
Reclaim of 1.13879 lower high invalidates the pullback structure
14:17 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.13727
Lower highs since 1.1400, holding above 1.1365.
EUR/USD was rejected at the session high 1.14006 during NY hours and slid to 1.13645 as the USD firmed on safe-haven demand, despite strong EU flash PMIs. Buyers stepped in at 1.13645 and the pair is now hovering near 1.1373 with RSI(14) mid-40s; lower highs since the peak keep the pullback intact.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 opens the path to 1.1350 key support
Reclaim of 1.13790 swing high needed to challenge the session high
ECB's Lane speech ~15:30 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1400 in the NY session then rejected sharply, sweeping the session low at 1.1365 before buyers stepped in; price now back at 1.1378. Strong Eurozone flash PMIs failed to lift the pair as a firmer USD safe-haven bid capped it, keeping it pinned above 1.1350 support.
Support: 1.1365, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1350 confirms a lower low and opens fresh lows
Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to negate the rejection
ECB's Lane speech at 15:30 UTC could shift this read
14:01 UTC
Pullback off 1.1400, bouncing · RSI 47 · price 1.1378
Rejection at session high, recovering off lows.
EUR/USD was rejected at the 1.1400 session high during NY hours and sold off ~35 pips, printing a double low near 1.1365 where buyers stepped in twice. Price is now recovering to 1.1378; strong EZ flash PMIs failed to lift the pair as a USD safe-haven bid caps upside.
Support: 1.1365, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400
What it said to watch
ECB's Lane at 15:30 UTC could shift tone on the September hike
A close below 1.1365 exposes the 1.1350 key support
Reclaim of 1.1385 puts the 1.1400 session high back in play
13:46 UTC
Pullback after NY rejection at 1.1400 · RSI 39 · price 1.13704
Lower highs off session high, testing session low.
EUR spiked to a session high of 1.14006 during NY hours on the strong Eurozone/US PMI beats, then got rejected and sold back to 1.13645 as a USD safe-haven bid reasserted. Price now hovers near the session low around 1.1370, RSI(14) sub-40, printing lower highs since the 1.1400 rejection.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 confirms a lower low, opening the path toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.13800 would negate the lower-high sequence
ECB Lane speech 15:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs after 1.1400 rejection, testing session lows.
EUR/USD rejected 1.14006 during NY hours and rolled over, printing lower highs as the USD safe-haven bid held. The last few bars broke the 1.13800 pivot and are grinding the session low at 1.13645, RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13645
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13927, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.13800 invalidates the intraday lower-high structure
Loss of 1.13645 extends the session low
ECB Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift this read
13:32 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 1.13698
Lower highs off session high, pressing session low.
EUR/USD faded off the 1.14006 session high through the London-NY transition, printing a chain of lower highs despite morning EZ PMI beats, with USD holding a safe-haven bid. Price now presses the session low near 1.13645, RSI(14) cooling into the high-30s.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13887, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13645 session low opens the 1.13500 psych level
Reclaim of the 1.13800 base negates the lower-high sequence
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD spiked to 1.14006 during the London-NY session then reversed sharply, with sellers capping every retest below 1.13920 despite the strong EZ flash PMI beats — the USD safe-haven bid keeps price pinned. Now trading at 1.13698 into fresh session lows near 1.13645, RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s.
Support: 1.13645, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13887, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Break of 1.13645 session low confirms continuation toward 1.1350 psych support
Reclaim of 1.13887 recent high needed to invalidate the lower-high sequence
NY session rejected the 1.1400 psych level and rolled over into a chain of lower highs, sliding to a session low at 1.1365 before stabilising near 1.1370. Move followed strong EZ PMI beats that failed to lift EUR against a safe-haven-bid USD; RSI(14) tracking mid-30s, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.13645, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1388, 1.14006
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially move this read
ECB Lane speech 15:30 UTC is upcoming risk
M15 close below 1.1364 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1380 needed to challenge the lower-high sequence
Lower highs off 1.1400, breaking session range low.
NY session sold the 1.1400 print, rejecting the session high as USD held a safe-haven bid, and price has since broken the 1.13750 range floor toward the session low at 1.13645. RSI(14) near 36, momentum tilted lower with price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.13645, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.14006, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13645 session low confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.13880 swing high invalidates the lower-high structure
ECB Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift this read
13:02 UTC
Rolled over from session high, lower highs forming · RSI 40 · price 1.13697
Lower highs / lower lows off 1.1401 top.
NY session faded the 1.1401 session high and price has broken down through the 1.1385 consolidation, now pressing the session low at 1.1367 with RSI(14) sub-40. Firm USD safe-haven bid keeping EUR/USD capped despite hawkish ECB tone; chain of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.14006
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
ECB's Lane speech 15:30 UTC in scope for the next bars
Loss of 1.1367 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1388 invalidates the lower-high sequence
13:01 UTC
Rolling over, lower highs · RSI 36 · price 1.13697
Rejection off 1.1400, breaking below intraday support.
NY session swept the 1.1400 round number twice and was rejected, rolling the pair back to a fresh session low at 1.13672 with RSI cooling to the mid-30s. USD firmness on Mideast safe-haven flows is capping EUR upside despite firm European fundamentals; price now sits below both EMAs.
Support: 1.13672, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.14006
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC land inside the next bar and can materially shift this read
ECB's Lane speech 15:30 UTC is a further EUR risk this session
Loss of 1.13672 confirms lower-low continuation; reclaim of 1.13860 negates the rejection
Lower highs after 1.1400 rejection, breaking session lows.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1400 session high twice, then broke down through the 1.1382 pivot into a fresh session low at 1.1367 during NY hours as a firm USD safe-haven bid capped the euro despite hawkish ECB tone. RSI(14) around 37 with ATR near 6 pips; price now probing the 1.1367 low.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1382, 1.1400, 1.1415
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC (within the hour) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.1367 opens the path toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1382 negates the breakdown
12:46 UTC
Pullback, momentum turning down · RSI 40 · price 1.1370
Rolled off 1.1400, printing lower highs into session low.
NY session rolled off the 1.1400 session high and is now testing the session low at 1.1367, RSI(14) fading toward 40. USD safe-haven bid is capping EUR despite firm European PMIs; lower highs stacking since the 1.14006 print.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1387
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1367 confirms a lower-low, exposing 1.1350
M15 close back above 1.1387 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift the read
12:32 UTC
Pullback after uptrend stalled · RSI 43 · price 1.13756
Lower highs off the session high.
EUR ran to a session high at 1.14006 during London hours on the strong Eurozone PMI beats, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs and probed the 1.13708 swing low before the current bounce to 1.13756. RSI(14) around 43, price back below the 20/50 EMAs — momentum has cooled off the highs.
Support: 1.13708, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13878, 1.14006
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
Close below 1.13708 swing low opens the path to 1.13636 asia low
Reclaim of 1.13878 lower high would neutralise the rollover
12:32 UTC
Pulling back after session-high rejection · RSI 41 · price 1.13756
Lower highs off 1.14006, fading toward session low.
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.14006 on the PMI-beat bid before rolling over; price has since carved lower highs and now sits at 1.13756. Recent low at 1.13708 held on the last dip, with the down leg cooling RSI near 41.
Support: 1.13708, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13887, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Break below 1.13708 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.13636 swing low
Close back above 1.13887 negates the lower-highs sequence
ECB's Lane 15:30 UTC could materially shift this read
12:17 UTC
Pullback after rejection at session high · RSI 42 · price 1.1376
Lower highs off 1.1400, holding above session low.
London pushed to a session high of 1.1400 on the across-the-board EU PMI beats, then rejected and drifted back to 1.1376 into the NY open. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price sits below EMA20/50; a chain of lower highs is capping under the 1.1392 swing high while the 1.1371 session low holds.
Support: 1.1371, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US S&P PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
M15 close below 1.1371 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1364
London pushed to a session high at 1.1400 on the PMI-beat bid, then rejected and rolled over into a chain of lower highs, last printing 1.1376. Price now sits on the 61.8% retrace of the 1.1364–1.1400 swing with RSI cooling into the mid-40s; 1.1371 swing low is the near-term floor.
Support: 1.1371, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1371 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1350 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1387 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
ECB's Lane speech ~15:30 UTC could shift this read
London open spiked to a session high of 1.14006 on the across-the-board EU PMI beats, then rejected and retraced the full leg back to 1.13745, now probing the 1.13708 swing low. RSI(14) cooling near 42 as lower highs stack up under 1.13878.
Support: 1.13708, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13878, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13708 opens 1.13636 then the 1.1350 pivot
Reclaim of 1.13878 negates the pullback read
ECB Lane 15:30 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
12:02 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 42 · price 1.13745
Retracing London high, testing support.
EUR/USD faded from the London session high at 1.14006 — set on the strong Eurozone PMI beats — and is now unwinding through NY hours toward 1.13708. RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s as the recent leg down accelerates.
Support: 1.13708, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13887, 1.14006
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
ECB's Lane 15:30 UTC a fresh EUR driver
Break below 1.13708 exposes 1.13636 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13887 negates the pullback
11:47 UTC
Pullback within intraday range · RSI 44 · price 1.13803
Faded off session high, lower highs forming.
London PMI beats lifted EUR to a 1.1400 session high before the move was rejected and faded back to 1.1380. Price now consolidates with a chain of lower highs; RSI(14) mid-range near 44 and ATR ~5 pips signal a compressed, low-momentum range.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14006
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1376 swing low opens the 1.1364 session low
Reclaim of 1.1390 lower highs needed to re-target the 1.1400 session high
US S&P PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB's Lane 15:30 UTC could shift this read
11:46 UTC
Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.13803
Consolidation under 1.1400 after rejection.
London push tagged 1.1400 (aided by the strong Eurozone PMI beats) but was rejected; price has since faded to 1.1380, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the 1.1364-1.1400 leg. RSI cooling into the mid-40s with price slipping back below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1390, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1376 opens the 1.1364 range low
Reclaim of 1.1390 re-exposes the 1.1400 session high
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC (~2h) could shift this read
EUR/USD drifting through the London session after the NY-day push to 1.14006 was rejected, leaving a false break of the 1.1400 psych level; PMI beats keep dips shallow. Price ranging roughly 1.1376–1.1400, RSI(14) neutral near 48, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1381, 1.1376, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1392 reopens the 1.1400 session high
Failure to hold 1.1376 exposes the 1.1364 range low
11:32 UTC
Range, faded from session high · RSI 48 · price 1.13821
Consolidating mid-range after 1.1400 rejection.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.1400 during the London morning on the strong Eurozone flash PMI beats, then rejected and faded back to 1.1382 — currently sitting on the 50% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) neutral near 47, price ranging 1.1376–1.1390 with no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1376, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1390
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the 1.1376–1.1400 range
M15 close above 1.1400 reopens the session-high push; loss of 1.1376 exposes the 1.1364 session low
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14006 on the strong Eurozone flash PMI beats before fading back to 1.1383; price now consolidating between the recent low at 1.13807 and 1.13935. RSI(14) neutral near 53, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.13807, 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13935, 1.14006
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14006 reopens the upside; failure to hold 1.13807 confirms a lower low
Consolidating below session high after failed push.
EUR spiked to a session high 1.14006 on the sharp Eurozone flash PMI beats, then faded back to 1.1387 and is now consolidating mid-range. RSI(14) neutral near 51; the 1.13807 area held on the pullback while 1.13955/1.14006 capped the upside.
Support: 1.13807, 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13955, 1.14006
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC (~2.5h) could break this consolidation
Close above 1.14006 reopens the upside; loss of 1.13807 signals a lower low
ECB's Lane at 15:30 UTC a further risk to the read
11:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13826
Faded off session high, mid-range.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14006 during London hours after the EZ PMI beats, then faded back to 1.13826 and is now mid-range below EMA20. Ranging between 1.13760 and 1.14006 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.14006
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.13760 exposes the 1.13636 session low
M15 close above 1.14006 reopens the upside
11:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.13826
Range after rejection at 1.1400.
EUR/USD pushed to 1.1400 during the London-NY window after the flash EZ PMI beats, then rejected and drifted back to 1.13826. Now ranging mid-structure with RSI(14) neutral near 46, sub-EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 reopens the 1.1415 range top
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1364 session low through London and spiked to 1.1400 before sellers capped it, leaving price consolidating near 1.1388. The move fits the two-way sub-1.1415 read — firm PMIs offsetting the oil-driven USD bid — with the 1.1400 handle now the near-term ceiling.
Support: 1.1382, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14006 opens the path to 1.1415 resistance
Failure to hold 1.13820 exposes the 1.1364 session low and 1.1350 key support
EUR/USD ground higher off the 1.1364 London low, tagged 1.14006 then rejected, and is now coiling in a tight 1.1383–1.1390 band supported by the EZ PMI beats. RSI(14) mid-range at ~55, ATR compressed to ~6 pips — no momentum extension into NY.
Support: 1.1383, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14006 opens the 1.1415 area; failure to hold 1.1383 exposes the 1.1364 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC and ECB's Lane at 15:30 UTC could break the coil
London hours ground back up after the mid-window dip to 1.13636, with a spike to 1.14006 rejected and price settling near 1.13900. EUR/USD stays pinned near three-week lows, caught between the hawkish ECB/PMI beat and a firm USD; range holds between 1.13810 and the 1.13955/1.14006 highs.
Support: 1.1381, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13955, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.14006 opens the path back toward 1.1415
Loss of 1.13810 exposes the 1.13636 session low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB Lane 15:30 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD recovered from the London low at 1.13636, spiking to a session high of 1.14006 before rejection there trimmed the move back to 1.13810. Price is grinding back up near 1.1390 on a higher-low chain, RSI(14) mid-range around 58.
Support: 1.1381, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.14006 session high opens the path to 1.1415 resistance
Failure to hold the 1.13810 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
10:17 UTC
Sideways after London pop faded · RSI 54 · price 1.13874
Consolidation below session high.
London session spiked to 1.14006 on the EU PMI beat then faded straight back, leaving a rejection wick below 1.1415 resistance. Price now consolidating 1.1383–1.1390, RSI(14) neutral near 54 with ATR compressed around 5 pips.
Support: 1.1383, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 session high reopens the 1.1415 resistance test
Loss of 1.1383 swing low exposes the 1.1364 session low
US S&P PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB Lane 15:30 UTC could break this range
10:16 UTC
Recovery off session lows, capped near 1.1400 · RSI 54 · price 1.13874
Range, holding above the London low.
EUR/USD recovered from the session low at 1.1364 through London hours, but the push into 1.1400 was rejected at 1.14006 and price has settled back near 1.1387. RSI(14) mid-range; still boxed inside the 1.1364-1.1400 range with the 1.1350 macro floor untested.
Support: 1.1381, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 opens the path to 1.1415
Loss of 1.1381 reopens the session low at 1.1364
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB Lane 15:30 UTC could shift this read
10:02 UTC
Range-bound, minor bounce off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.13885
Recovery within 1.1375–1.1400 range after test of 1.1364 lows.
EUR spiked to 1.1400 on the Eurozone PMI beats before sellers rejected the level, fading back to 1.1385. Price now holds mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 55, buyers having stepped in around 1.1375 into the London session.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 opens the path toward 1.1415 range top
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.1375 reopens the 1.1364 session low
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1401 into the NY approach then got rejected, drifting back to consolidate around 1.1388 with RSI(14) neutral near 54. Price is holding above the 1.1376 swing low after recovering off the earlier 1.1364 session low; range-bound below 1.1401 for now.
Support: 1.1376, 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1401 opens the path to 1.1415 range top
Failure to hold 1.1376 exposes 1.1364 session low and 1.1350
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB's Lane 15:30 UTC could shift this read
09:47 UTC
Up-leg faded, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.13852
Pullback into rising support after rejection at 1.1400.
London session broke the 1.1375-1.1380 consolidation and pushed to 1.14006 on stronger-than-forecast Eurozone PMI beats, then got rejected and faded back to 1.13852 — parking on the 61.8% fib of that up-leg. RSI(14) mid-range, ATR ~8 pips; momentum has stalled at the session high.
Support: 1.1381, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.14126, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 reopens the path toward the 1.1415 cap
Loss of the 1.13810 pullback low would break rising support and set a lower low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB's Lane 15:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD climbed off the session low at 1.13636 through a chain of higher lows and spiked to 1.14006 on the stronger-than-forecast Eurozone PMIs, then rejected and faded back to 1.1385. Now consolidating in the low 1.1380s, holding above rising support but below the 1.1400 session high.
Support: 1.1377, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14006 opens the path back to 1.1415 resistance
Failure to hold 1.13770 breaks the rising-lows structure
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB Lane 15:30 UTC could reshape the read
09:32 UTC
Recovery off day low, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 1.13867
Consolidation below session high after rejection.
London session drove EUR/USD to a session high of 1.14006 on stronger-than-expected Eurozone PMIs, but the level was rejected and price has since drifted back to consolidate around 1.1387. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49; the 1.1381 swing low is the immediate floor.
Support: 1.1381, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14006 opens the path back toward 1.1415 resistance
Break below 1.1381 exposes the 1.13636 session low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB's Lane 15:30 UTC could shift this read
EUR bounced from the 1.1364 session low and pushed to a high of 1.14006 as stronger-than-expected Eurozone PMIs gave the euro a tailwind, but the move was rejected and price faded back to 1.1387. Now consolidating above the 1.1381 swing low, RSI(14) mid-range near 53.
Support: 1.1381, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14006 opens the path back toward 1.1415
Close below 1.1381 exposes the 1.1364 session low
ECB Lane 15:30 UTC could shift this read
09:17 UTC
Range, spike faded · RSI 47 · price 1.13837
Consolidation after rejection near 1.1400.
London session spiked to 1.14006 on the strong Eurozone PMI beats, then got rejected and faded back to 1.13837, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is back inside the 1.13776–1.14006 range with the 1.1400 psych level capping.
Support: 1.13776, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.14141
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14006 opens the path back toward 1.14141
Failure to hold 1.13776 exposes the session low at 1.13636
EUR spiked to 1.14006 on stronger-than-forecast Eurozone PMIs early in the session, then faded straight back to 1.1384 where it now sits mid-range. RSI(14) neutral near 51, price hugging the EMAs — no directional follow-through after the rejection.
Support: 1.1377, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13868, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 1.14006 reopens the spike high
Loss of 1.13770 range floor exposes the 1.13636 session low
ECB's Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift this read
09:02 UTC
Range, faded off intraday high · RSI 47 · price 1.13832
Rejection at 1.1400 after London pop, back mid-range.
London session spiked EURUSD to 1.1400 on the string of Eurozone PMI beats, then got rejected and faded to 1.1383. Prior Asia hours were dead, holding a tight 1.1376–1.1380 range after the early drop into the 1.1364 session low.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.14141
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB's Lane 15:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.14006 reopens the 1.14141 prior high
Loss of 1.1376 range floor exposes the 1.13636 session low
09:02 UTC
Range after London decline, NY push faded · RSI 48 · price 1.13832
Consolidation under 1.1400, holding above 1.1376.
London sold EUR/USD from 1.1410 to a 1.1364 session low, then price based in a tight 1.1376-1.1386 range through the Asian hours. NY hours pushed to a 1.1400 session high and got rejected, RSI(14) cooling back to ~48 as price settled at 1.1383.
Support: 1.1376, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.13865
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1400 opens a retest of the 1.1415 area
Loss of 1.1376 exposes the 1.1364 session low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB's Lane 15:30 UTC could reshape this read
08:47 UTC
Recovery stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.13847
Range with rejection off session high.
London morning pushed to 1.14006 then got rejected, RSI(14) cooling back near 46 as price fades toward 1.1380. Euro capped despite firm PMI beats — a stronger USD safe-haven bid is dominating, keeping the recovery contained under 1.1400.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13677, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.13868
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 reopens the path toward 1.1415 resistance
Loss of 1.13760 range low exposes 1.13677 swing low
ECB Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift this read
08:47 UTC
Range-bound, brief pop faded · RSI 54 · price 1.13847
Consolidation under 1.1400 after a spike rejection.
EUR/USD popped to 1.14006 in London hours on the upside Eurozone PMI beats, but the move was rejected and price has drifted back to 1.1385. The pair is holding a 1.1376–1.1400 range with RSI near neutral; the 1.1400 round number capped the advance.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13677
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1386
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 reopens the path to 1.1415 resistance
Loss of 1.1376 range base exposes the 1.13677 session low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB's Lane 15:30 UTC could shift this read
London session: strong Eurozone flash PMI beats lifted EUR/USD off the 1.1376 intraday base to a session high of 1.14006, where it was rejected. Price has since retraced to 1.13861 with RSI cooling from the spike; still holding above the intraday base.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 opens the path to 1.1415
Failure to hold 1.1376 intraday base exposes the 1.1364 session low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
London session: the 08:00 UTC Eurozone flash PMI beat (Composite 51.2 vs 49.8) drove EURUSD off the range floor to a session high at 1.14006, but the move was rejected and price has since faded back to 1.1386. Structure is a chain of higher lows off the 1.13636 swing low, though the spike into 1.1400 was sold.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 opens the path to 1.14150 resistance
Loss of the 1.13760 range floor reopens the 1.13636 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1364 session low through London hours, broke above 1.1385 and spiked to 1.14006 into the Eurozone PMI beat before fading back to 1.1387. RSI cooling from the spike; buyers defended 1.1376 on the pullback.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 opens the 1.1415 prior high
Loss of 1.1385 breakout level puts the 1.1364 session low back in play
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows into a break above the 1.1385 congestion.
EUR spiked to 1.14006 into the London session after Eurozone flash PMIs beat (Composite 51.2 vs 49.8), breaking the 1.1385 congestion, then pulled back to 1.13872 as US safe-haven bid capped the move. RSI(14) cooling from the spike; buyers stepped in repeatedly off the 1.1376 area which now frames the pullback.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13760 negates the breakout retest and reopens the 1.13636 session low
Close above 1.14006 exposes the 1.14150 prior high
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend off intraday base · RSI 64 · price 1.13897
Breakout from consolidation, higher lows building.
EUR popped after the 08:00 UTC Eurozone flash PMI beat (Composite 51.2 vs 49.8), breaking the 1.1380 consolidation and tagging 1.14006 before easing to 1.13897. Higher lows since the 1.13636 session base keep the intraday bid intact, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before overbought.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415, 1.14192
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14006 opens the path to the 1.1415 resistance
Failure to hold 1.13760 negates the breakout and reopens 1.13636
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
08:01 UTC
Recovering off session lows, momentum picking up · RSI 63 · price 1.13897
Range break higher after PMI beat.
EUR/USD chopped in a tight 1.13760–1.13860 range through the Asian and early London hours before the Eurozone flash PMI beat (Composite 51.2 vs 49.8) sparked a pop to 1.14006. Price now holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 63, cooling slightly on the pullback to 1.13897.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.14168
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.13760 negates the breakout and reopens the 1.13636 session low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
07:47 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum picking up · RSI 64 · price 1.13911
Breaking above intraday consolidation into London.
EURUSD spent the Asian and early-London hours grinding sideways in a 1.1376–1.1385 band before a sharp push into the London open lifted price to a session high of 1.14006, ahead of imminent Eurozone flash PMIs. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around the 1.1376 range base; price now sits at 1.13911, above both EMA20 and EMA50, RSI cooling from the spike.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs (07:30–08:00 UTC) could immediately reshape this read
Close above 1.14006 opens the path toward 1.14150
Close back below 1.13760 negates the breakout and reopens 1.13636
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC a later intraday risk
07:46 UTC
Recovering off session lows, momentum building · RSI 69 · price 1.13911
Range base broken to upside intraday.
EURUSD leaked from 1.1424 down to 1.1364 through the London-NY handover before basing around 1.1377 for most of the Asian session. The early London push broke that base and tagged 1.14006, RSI(14) climbing near 68; the move fits a two-way USD tape ahead of flash PMIs.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14006 opens the path to 1.1415 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1377 session base reopens 1.1364 swing low
Eurozone flash PMIs (~07:30-08:00 UTC) and US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
07:31 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 1.13982
Higher lows since 1.13636, pushing range top.
EUR/USD carved a double bottom at 1.13636/1.13677 through the London session and has since climbed back toward 1.14000, clearing the 1.13860 range top on a late impulsive push. RSI(14) near 68 and price above both EMAs, but the leg comes with Eurozone flash PMIs due imminently.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs due 07:30-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.14000 opens the path to 1.14150
Failure to hold 1.13760 reopens the 1.13636 session low
07:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 71 · price 1.13982
Higher lows since 1.1364, breaking above intraday range.
London session pushed EUR/USD off the 1.1364 swing low up through the 1.1376–1.1386 range and toward the 1.14000 round number, RSI(14) now hot near 71. Move runs against the broader USD bid noted in the digest, so this is a countertrend intraday bounce into flash-PMI risk.
Support: 1.1386, 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14156
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs due imminently (07:30–08:00 UTC) could spike this pair either direction
Rejection at the 1.14000 round number would confirm the intraday range cap
Loss of 1.13860 session pivot reopens the 1.13760 range low
Higher lows off 1.13636, breaking consolidation top.
London session bounced off the 1.13636 session low and pushed through the 1.1385 consolidation to a session high at 1.13955, RSI(14) firm near 63. EUR remains under a broad USD bid on oil/geopolitics but is recovering intraday ahead of Eurozone flash PMIs.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13955, 1.1402
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs due imminently (07:30-08:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.13955 opens the path to 1.14020
Failure to hold 1.13760 negates the recovery and reopens 1.13636
07:16 UTC
Basing, recent leg up · RSI 66 · price 1.13931
Breakout above intraday consolidation.
London session pushed off the 1.13636 swing low and broke the 1.1375-1.1385 consolidation, spiking to a session high at 1.13955 with RSI(14) near 66. Move came as USD held its geopolitics/oil bid but EUR clawed back the earlier leak; price now sits just under fresh resistance.
Support: 1.1380, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13955, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs (07:30-08:00 UTC) imminent — could reshape this read
M15 close above 1.13955 opens the path to 1.1415
Failure to hold 1.1380 drops price back into the prior range
Tight range after prior selloff, pressing session high.
EURUSD sold off to 1.1364 during the prior NY session then consolidated through Asia in a 1.1376–1.1387 range. Price is now pressing the session high at 1.1387 into the EZ flash PMIs, retracing ~38% of the down move; RSI(14) mid-band near 60 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1396
What it said to watch
EZ/German flash PMIs 07:15–08:00 UTC could break this tight range
M15 close above 1.13872 opens path to the 1.1396 prior high
Loss of 1.13760 range floor exposes the 1.13636 session low
EUR/USD sold off to 1.13636 during London yesterday, then based through the Asian session and ground back up to retest the 1.13872 range high. RSI(14) near 61, price back above EMA20/50 as buyers stepped in on the 1.13760 floor twice overnight.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1396
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13872 opens the path toward 1.13960 prior high
Loss of 1.13760 range floor re-exposes the 1.13636 session low
EZ flash PMIs 07:30–08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1425 through the London session down to 1.13636, then based and ground back toward 1.1386 across thin Asian hours. Now consolidating 1.1376–1.1386 into the European open; RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1398
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15–08:00 UTC could break this range
Close above 1.1386 opens the path back to 1.1398
Loss of 1.1376 range floor exposes the 1.1364 swing low
06:46 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 55 · price 1.13844
Consolidation above 1.1376 after sell-off.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1427 into 1.1364 through the London-NY window, then based and ground into a tight 1.1376-1.1386 range across the Asian session on the firm-USD safe-haven bid. Current bar sits near the range top into the London open with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13677
Resistance: 1.13868, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13868 opens the path back toward 1.1415
Failure to hold 1.1376 reopens the 1.1364 swing low
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could break this range
Base built after London selloff, grinding higher lows.
Early London selloff drove EUR/USD from 1.1426 to a 1.13636 session low, after which a rounded base formed and price has ground back to the session high near 1.13872. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s; the recovery holds above the 1.1376 intraday base but caps into 1.1387.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.13872 opens room toward the 1.1415 cap
Loss of 1.1376 base reopens the 1.13636 session low
06:31 UTC
Early downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 57 · price 1.13856
Range after selloff into session low.
EUR sold off from 1.1427 to a session low at 1.1364 as USD firmed on Middle East risk, then based and drifted back up into a 1.1376–1.1386 range. Price is pressing the range top at 1.1386 with RSI(14) mid-range; no clean break yet.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13868, 1.1396
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13868 reopens 1.1396 swing high
Loss of 1.13760 exposes the 1.13636 session low
Eurozone flash PMIs ~07:15-08:00 UTC could reset this range
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 52 · price 1.1380
Consolidation above session low.
EUR/USD sold off through 1.1400 to a 1.1364 session low overnight on USD safe-haven strength, then stabilised into a tight 1.1370–1.1386 range through the London open. RSI(14) back near 52 as the drift flattens; range top capping and 1.1364 holding below.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Eurozone HCOB flash PMIs ~07:15-08:00 UTC could break this range
M15 close below 1.1364 exposes 1.1350 key support
Reclaim of 1.1386 range top needed to shift the intraday read
06:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 1.1380
Tight Asian range after impulsive leg lower.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1428 to a session low of 1.1367 as the USD firmed on Middle East risk, then coiled into a tight 1.1373–1.1386 Asian range. Price is pinned near 1.1380 with RSI flat around 49 — no directional development ahead of the European open.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1415
What it said to watch
EZ/German flash PMIs 07:15–08:00 UTC can break this range on release
Break below 1.1367 session low opens the path to 1.1350 key support
M15 close above 1.1386 range top would reopen 1.1415 resistance
06:02 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13783
Tight range after NY sell-off.
EUR sold from 1.1431 down to a 1.1364 swing low during the prior NY session, then the Asian range coiled into a tight 1.1376–1.1386 band with volume drying up. Price sits mid-range at 1.1378, RSI(14) neutral near 47; no directional setup while the band holds.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1376 exposes the 1.1364 swing low then 1.1350 key support
Reclaim of 1.1386 range high needed to shift the intraday read higher
Eurozone HCOB flash PMIs ~07:15–08:00 UTC could break this range
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.13783
Range near session lows after London selloff.
London session drove EUR down to 1.13636, pressing three-week lows as USD held a safe-haven bid on Middle East risk. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 1.13636–1.13868 band, RSI neutral around 48 with no directional impulse into the European open.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13868
What it said to watch
EZ flash PMIs ~07:15-08:00 UTC could break the range
close below 1.13500 key support opens fresh downside
reclaim of 1.13868 session high would shift the range read
05:47 UTC
Prior downtrend, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.1380
Consolidating above session low after base.
EURUSD sold off to 1.1364 during prior NY hours as a safe-haven USD bid dominated, then based and recovered to consolidate in a tight 1.1377–1.1387 band through the Asian session. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and ranges have compressed sharply ahead of the European open.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1396
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1377 reopens the 1.1364 swing low and 1.1350 key support
Close above 1.1387 session high extends the recovery toward 1.1396
High-impact German/EZ flash PMIs (07:30–08:00 UTC) could break this range
05:46 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 52 · price 1.1380
Consolidation after leg lower.
EUR bled lower through the session to a 1.1364 swing low on the safe-haven USD bid, then based and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1376-1.1386 range. RSI(14) neutral near 51 with no directional momentum ahead of the flash PMI batch.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1396
What it said to watch
Eurozone/German flash PMIs 06:00-08:00 UTC could break this range read
Close below 1.1364 opens the path to 1.1350 key support
Close above 1.1386 reopens 1.1396 swing high
05:32 UTC
Prior downtrend, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.13817
Range after selloff, higher lows into session high.
Prior-session slide from 1.1430 bottomed at 1.1364, and price has since built a range between the 1.1377 floor and the 1.1387 session high through the Asian session. USD firm on Iran/oil safe-haven demand keeps EUR/USD pinned mid-range, RSI(14) neutral near 53 ahead of Eurozone flash PMIs.
Support: 1.1377, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13868, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1387 opens the path toward 1.1415
Break below 1.1364 resumes the prior downtrend
German flash PMI at 07:30 UTC could shift this read
05:32 UTC
Downtrend paused, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 1.13817
Asia-session range after NY leg lower.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session yesterday to a swing low at 1.13636 as safe-haven USD demand on Iran tensions dominated, then based out overnight. Price is now grinding a tight Asia-session range between 1.13763 and the 1.13872 session high on thin volume, RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 1.13763, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1396
What it said to watch
Break above 1.13872 session high opens the path back toward the 1.13960 swing high
Loss of 1.13763 range low re-exposes the 1.13636 swing low
German/EZ flash PMIs (07:30/08:00 UTC) are high-impact and could break the range
05:17 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.1380
Basing above session low after London selloff.
A London-session slide dragged EUR/USD from 1.1430 to a session low at 1.1364 on the US-Iran safe-haven USD bid, near 3-week lows. Price has since based and is consolidating between the 1.1377 range floor and the 1.1386 range top, RSI(14) neutral near 50 with price pinned between EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1415
What it said to watch
German/Eurozone flash PMIs 06:00–08:00 UTC could break this consolidation
Break below 1.1364 session low opens the path to 1.1350 key support
M15 close above the 1.1386 range top would end the consolidation
05:17 UTC
Downtrend paused, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.1380
Tight consolidation above swing low.
Quiet Asian session has EUR/USD pinned in a tight 1.1375–1.1386 range after yesterday's London/NY slide bottomed at the 1.1364 swing low on safe-haven USD demand. Price is holding the recovery's 61.8% area near 1.1378 with RSI flat around 49; ATR shows sub-4-pip bars, no impulse in play.
Support: 1.1375, 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1386
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs (07:30–08:00 UTC) could break this range decisively
M15 close below 1.1375 range low reopens the 1.1364 swing low and 1.1350 key support
Close above 1.1386 range high needed to signal continuation of the recovery
05:02 UTC
Prior downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 1.13787
Asian range basing above swing low.
EUR/USD sold off through London-NY yesterday toward 1.13636 as a hawkish ECB hold failed to lift EUR while the USD held a safe-haven bid; price has since based and gone quiet in the Asia session, ranging 1.1376-1.1386. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips, no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.13763, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13868, 1.13944
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1386 opens the path back toward 1.1394
Loss of 1.1376 exposes the 1.13636 swing low
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 GMT could break the Asian range
05:02 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.13787
Base after sell-off, tight range.
EUR sold off from 1.1432 to a 1.13636 swing low through the London-NY session as USD caught a safe-haven bid and the hawkish ECB hold offered limited fresh support. Price has since based and is ranging 1.1377-1.1386 into the low-volume Asian open, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.1377, 1.13718, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13858, 1.1396
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13858 opens a retest of 1.1396
Loss of 1.1377 exposes the 1.13636 swing low
Eurozone flash PMIs (07:15-08:00 GMT) — sub-50 services print is the near-term downside risk
04:47 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.1378
Tight consolidation after London-NY sell-off.
EUR sold off from 1.1432 to the 1.1364 session low through the London-NY hours as USD caught a safe-haven bid; since the NY close price has coiled in a tight 1.1377–1.1387 band through the thin Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and ATR has compressed to ~10 pips, confirming the range read.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1387 reopens the path toward 1.1420
Break below 1.1377 exposes the 1.1364 session low
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15–08:00 GMT — sub-50 services print is the near-term downside risk
04:47 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.1378
Range after impulsive leg down.
EUR sold off through the NY session to 1.1364 as the USD caught safe-haven bid and the hawkish ECB hold offered limited fresh upside, then chopped sideways in a tight 1.1368-1.1386 range through the thin Asian session. Price sits mid-range near 1.1378 with RSI(14) neutral around 46; no directional setup in play ahead of the European open.
Support: 1.1368, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 GMT are the near-term catalyst that could break this range
M15 close below 1.1364 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Close above 1.1386 exits the range toward the 1.1400 round number
04:32 UTC
Downtrend cooled into range · RSI 52 · price 1.13806
Consolidation above session lows.
EUR/USD is ranging 1.1377–1.1386 through the Asian session after yesterday's hawkish-ECB hold and a firmer USD dragged price from 1.1435 down to a 1.1368 swing low. RSI sits neutral near 52 and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips as the market coils below the range high ahead of European PMIs.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1368
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1395
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1386 opens the path to 1.1395
Loss of 1.1377 exposes the 1.1368 swing low
EZ flash PMIs (07:30-08:00 UTC) could break this range
04:32 UTC
Downtrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.13806
Recovery off session low, higher lows into range.
EUR/USD sold off through the prior session toward 1.1364 after the hawkish ECB hold met a firm USD, then based twice near that level and recovered into a tight 1.1377–1.1386 range through thin Asian hours. Price sits mid-range at 1.1381, RSI(14) neutral near 54; no directional break yet.
Support: 1.1377, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1396
What it said to watch
EZ/German flash PMIs (07:30–08:00 UTC) are imminent and could break this range
Close above 1.1386 session high opens the 1.1396 prior high
Loss of 1.1377 range low re-exposes the 1.13636 swing low
EUR/USD sold off through London into 1.1364 after the hawkish ECB hold left the pair capped, then based and ground back to 1.1383. Asian session has been tight between the 1.1377 range floor and 1.1387 session high, RSI mid-range near 54, ATR compressed around 6 pips — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1377, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13868, 1.1396
What it said to watch
German/EZ flash PMIs (07:30-08:00 UTC) are imminent and could break this range
Close above 1.1387 session high opens 1.1396
Break below 1.1364 session low reopens the downside
04:17 UTC
Downtrend stalling, base forming · RSI 53 · price 1.13831
Consolidation above session low after decline.
EUR/USD sold off through the ECB-hold aftermath to a 1.13636 session low, then carved a rounded base and recovered to a 1.13872 session high. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.13765-1.13872 band, RSI neutral near 53 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.13765, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13872 session high opens the 1.14200 recovery pivot
Failure to hold 1.13765 range low reopens the 1.13636 session low
EZ flash PMIs (07:30/08:00 UTC) could break this consolidation
04:02 UTC
Prior downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.1382
Based after NY decline, higher lows.
Prior NY session dragged EUR/USD from 1.1435 down to 1.1364 on the hawkish ECB hold and a firmer safe-haven USD. The quiet Asian session has based and recovered to 1.1382, RSI back near neutral, now consolidating in a 1.1375–1.1386 band into the European open.
Support: 1.1375, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1416
What it said to watch
German/EZ flash PMIs at 07:30/08:00 UTC could break this range
Close below 1.1364 session low resumes the down-leg to a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1386 session high opens the path back toward 1.1416 prior high
04:01 UTC
Downtrend cooling, basing · RSI 52 · price 1.1382
Decline then consolidation, higher lows.
EUR/USD sold off to 1.1364 through the London-NY session, then based and ground back to 1.1382 with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Higher lows are building beneath the 1.1387 session high — the soft tone fits the hawkish ECB hold and a firmer safe-haven USD.
Support: 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13868, 1.1396
What it said to watch
German/EZ flash PMIs at 07:30-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1387 opens the path toward 1.1396
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY session toward 1.1364 on the hawkish ECB hold plus a firmer safe-haven USD, then based and coiled in a tight 1.1377-1.1386 band through thin Asian hours. Price sits mid-range at 1.1381, RSI(14) neutral near 55, no intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.1377, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1396
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 reopens the 1.1364 swing low
Close above 1.1386 session high targets 1.1396
German/EZ flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could break the Asian range
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session to a 1.1364 swing low as USD firmed and the hawkish ECB hold left EUR capped near ING's 1.1380 area. The Asian session has been a tight consolidation between 1.1375 and 1.1386, price now hugging EMA20 at the top of that base.
Support: 1.1375, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1386 opens the path back to the 1.1394 shelf
Failure to hold 1.1375 re-exposes the 1.1364 swing low
German/EZ flash PMIs at 07:30/08:00 UTC could break this range
03:32 UTC
Down then flat, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.13799
Range after impulsive selloff.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1435 to a 1.13677 swing low through the London-NY session yesterday after a hawkish ECB hold met a firmer USD safe-haven bid. Asia has since gone quiet, ranging 1.1375–1.1387 on thin volume with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13677
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1394
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.13872 session high opens the path back toward 1.1394 prior high
Loss of the 1.13750 asia low reopens the 1.13677 swing low
HCOB flash PMIs (German 07:30 UTC, EZ 08:00 UTC) can break this range
03:32 UTC
Downtrend faded, now basing · RSI 53 · price 1.13799
Consolidation after decline, holding 1.1375-1.1386.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1435 to 1.1364 through the London-NY session as a hawkish ECB hold met a firmer USD haven bid, matching the digest's drift toward 1.1380. Price has since based between 1.1375 and 1.1386 in quiet Asia hours, with RSI back near neutral at 53 and buyers absorbing twice near the 1.1364 low.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1396
What it said to watch
Break above 1.1386 opens a retest of the 1.1396 pivot
Loss of 1.1375 base exposes the 1.13636 swing low
HIGH-impact German (07:30 UTC) and Eurozone (08:00 UTC) flash PMIs due in ~4h could shift this read
03:17 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 49 · price 1.13787
Consolidation above session low after NY drop.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1435 to 1.1364 during the NY session on the firmer USD/post-ECB flows, then based and clawed back to a 1.1375–1.1387 range. Asia hours are quiet, RSI(14) mid-range near 49 and price hugging EMA20 just under the 1.13872 session high.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13677, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1396
What it said to watch
Break above 1.13872 session high opens path back toward 1.13960
Loss of 1.13750 base exposes 1.13677 swing low again
EU/German flash PMIs (07:30-08:00 UTC) could break this range
03:16 UTC
Downtrend cooled, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.13787
Range after impulsive leg lower.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1435 toward a 1.1364 session low as the USD firmed on safe-haven bid after yesterday's hawkish ECB hold. Price twice held ~1.1364-1.1368 and recovered into a 1.1374-1.1386 consolidation through the Asian session; RSI(14) back to neutral near 48.
Support: 1.1374, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13868, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13636 confirms a fresh lower-low and ends the consolidation
Reclaim of 1.13868 opens the path back toward 1.1400
EZ/German flash PMIs at 07:30-08:00 UTC could break this range
03:02 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 54 · price 1.13806
Based at 1.1364, grinding higher lows.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session to 1.1364 after the hawkish ECB hold met a firmer safe-haven USD, then based and recovered into Asia. Price is grinding higher lows off 1.1376, capped so far at the 1.1387 session high; RSI(14) mid-range near 54.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13677, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1396
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13872 opens the path back toward 1.1396
Loss of 1.13760 base re-exposes the 1.13636 session low
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and flash PMIs (07:30 UTC) could reshape this read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, base built · RSI 56 · price 1.13806
Consolidation above range low after NY sell-off.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session to a range low at 1.1364 — in line with the softer-EUR/USD-safe-haven story after the hawkish ECB hold — then built a double bottom and recovered into a quiet Asia session, now consolidating near 1.1381 at the 23.6% fib of the decline. ATR is compressed to ~4 pips; no directional development in play.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1396
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1387 session high opens room toward 1.1396 prior high
Loss of the 1.1375 base risks a retest of the 1.1364 range low
German/EZ flash PMIs at 07:30/08:00 UTC could break this range
Asia session grinding higher off the 1.13636 low after London's ECB-driven sell-off dragged EUR/USD down from 1.1435. Price now consolidating just below the session high at 1.13872, RSI mid-range and holding above 1.13760.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13872 extends the recovery toward 1.13940
Late Asia session: EUR/USD clawed back to 1.1387 after yesterday's ECB-hold, USD-safe-haven slide bottomed near 1.1364, printing a double bottom. Now consolidating just under the session high on thin ATR (~3.6 pips); higher lows intact.
Support: 1.1376, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1405
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1387 opens the path to 1.1405
Failure to hold 1.1376 reopens the 1.1364 swing low
EZ/German flash PMIs at 07:30–08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:32 UTC
Prior downtrend, now basing · RSI 62 · price 1.1386
Recovery off session low, pressing highs.
EUR/USD sold off to a swing low at 1.1364 during the prior session after the hawkish ECB hold and a firmer safe-haven USD, then based and ground back up to press the session high at 1.1386 in thin Asia trade. Recovery holding above a rising base off 1.1376; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.1376, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1394
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.1386 opens the path to 1.1394
Failure to hold 1.1376 reopens the 1.1364 swing low
EZ/German flash PMIs (07:30/08:00 UTC) and US S&P PMIs (13:45 UTC) could reset this read
02:32 UTC
Recovering after NY drop · RSI 62 · price 1.1386
Based above session low, micro HH/HL into Asia.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1435 to a 1.1364 session low during NY hours as the hawkish ECB hold met a USD safe-haven bid, then based around 1.1375 and ground back to 1.1386 in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) near 62, price back above EMA20/50 with a shallow micro-uptrend; session high at 1.1387 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1375, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1387 session high opens 1.1400 round number
Failure to hold the 1.1375 base risks a retest of 1.1364 session low
EUR/USD slid through the London session to a 1.13636 swing low after the hawkish ECB hold and firmer USD, then based twice near 1.1364-1.1368 and recovered into Asian hours. Price now grinds at the session high 1.13868 with RSI(14) mid-range; range floor 1.13760 has held.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13868, 1.1396
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13868 opens the path to 1.13960
Failure to hold 1.13760 reopens the 1.13636 swing low
German/EZ flash PMIs (07:30/08:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read
London leg lower, Asia consolidation with higher lows.
London session drove EUR/USD from ~1.1435 down to a 1.1364 session low on the hawkish ECB hold and a firmer USD safe-haven bid. Asia based between the 1.1375 range base and the 1.1387 session high, grinding back to the top of the range with RSI recovering to the low-60s.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13868, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13868 session high extends the recovery toward 1.14000 round number
Loss of 1.13750 range base reopens the 1.13636 session low
EZ/German flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC and US S&P PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off hard mid-window to a 1.1364 swing low, then based through the overnight session in a 1.1375-1.1386 range. Last few bars pushed to the session high at 1.1386 with RSI mid-60s; pair pinned near 1.1385 into the Eurozone PMIs as the digest flagged.
Support: 1.13755, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1386 opens the 1.1420 recovery zone
Failure to hold 1.1375 reopens the 1.1364 swing low
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could break this range
US S&P PMIs 13:45 UTC also in play
02:02 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 60 · price 1.13841
Base built after drop, higher highs printing.
EUR/USD dropped from 1.1435 to a session low of 1.13636 through the London-NY slide, then built a base and is grinding higher in the Asia session, now at 1.13841 with RSI(14) near 60. Recent higher highs to 1.13868 show demand stepping in off the 1.1376 base.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13868, 1.1396, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13868 opens the path toward the 1.1396 prior swing
Failure to hold 1.1376 puts the 1.13636 session low back in play
Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15 UTC could materially shift this read
London-NY decline bottomed at 1.13636, then price based in a 1.1376–1.1380 range through late NY. Asian session is grinding higher on thin volume, pushing the session high at 1.1386; RSI(14) firm near 64 but not extended.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1386 session high opens the path to 1.1394
Loss of 1.1376 base reopens the 1.13636 swing low
Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15 UTC could shift this read
01:47 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 61 · price 1.13855
Range break higher after basing.
EUR/USD sold off to 1.1364 during London-NY hours post-ECB as the dollar held safe-haven bids, then based through the Asian session. The bounce has cleared the 1.1376 range base and is pressing the 1.1386 session high with RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1376 range base reopens the 1.13636 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.1420 recovery zone needed to extend the bounce
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rounded base after London selloff, higher lows building.
London dumped EUR/USD from 1.1435 to a 1.1364 session low as safe-haven USD demand overrode the hawkish ECB hold. The Asian session has ground back up in a rounded base, reclaiming 1.1380 with RSI near 59; session high at 1.1386 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1377, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1396
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1386 extends the recovery toward 1.1396
Failure to hold 1.1377 base reopens the 1.1364 low
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could reshape this read
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 56 · price 1.13816
Consolidating above swing low post-drop.
EUR/USD sold off to 1.1364 during the London-NY window on the hawkish-but-guidance-light ECB hold and a USD safe-haven bid, then the Asian session consolidated a tight 1.1376-1.1386 band. Price now sits at 1.13816, grinding off the lows with RSI mid-range; range low at 1.13760 has held while the session high at 1.13858 caps.
Support: 1.1376, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13858, 1.1395
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC are the near-term catalyst that could break this range
Close below 1.13760 reopens the 1.13636 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13858 puts the 1.13950 prior high in play
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY session toward 1.13636 as safe-haven USD demand overrode the hawkish ECB hold. Price has since gone flat in thin Asia liquidity, chopping 1.1375-1.1380 and now edging to a session high near 1.13838; ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.13982
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13860 opens the 1.13982 prior swing
Loss of 1.13750 exposes the 1.13636 swing low
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could break the range
01:17 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 58 · price 1.13833
Sold off to 1.1364, higher lows since.
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY session to 1.1364 as a safe-haven USD bid overrode the hawkish ECB hold. Thin Asian trade has since carved higher lows off that base, and price is now nudging the session high at 1.1386.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13858, 1.13944
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1386 session high opens the path to 1.1394 prior high
Loss of 1.1375 range floor re-exposes 1.1364 swing low
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1435 through the London-NY session toward the 1.13636 swing low, then went quiet in a tight 1.1375-1.1385 range through Asia. The current bar nudges the session high near 1.1385, RSI(14) recovering toward neutral; still capped below the 1.13944 swing high.
Support: 1.1375, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.13944
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1385 session high opens the path to 1.13944 swing high
Loss of 1.1375 range base re-exposes the 1.13636 swing low
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could break this range
01:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 57 · price 1.13842
Tight Asian range after London-NY selloff.
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY session post-ECB as safe-haven USD demand dominated, bottoming near 1.1364 before basing. Asia has been flat, coiling in a 1.1375-1.1385 range with the last bar nudging the range top at 1.1385; RSI(14) mid-range near 57, ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.13754, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1395
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1385 range top would extend the recovery toward the 1.1395 swing high
Loss of 1.1364 session low reopens the downside
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range
00:47 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.13764
Sold off to session low, ranging in lower quarter.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from 1.1417 to a 1.13636 session low on USD safe-haven/oil bid post-ECB. Since then it has stalled into a quiet Asia range, coiling 1.1370–1.13801 with RSI(14) flat near neutral.
Support: 1.13677, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13801, 1.13859
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13636 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of the 1.13801 range top exposes the 1.13859 swing high
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30–08:00 GMT could break the range
00:47 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.13764
Consolidation above session low.
NY session drove a slide from 1.1435 to a 1.1364 session low on USD safe-haven bid (Iran/oil, record-low jobless claims), before Asia settled into a tight 1.1375-1.1380 range. RSI(14) neutral near 49 and volume thin; no setup in play at current levels.
Support: 1.1371, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1386, 1.1404
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13636 extends the lower-low sequence
Break above 1.13860 clears the consolidation cap
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 GMT could reprice the range
00:32 UTC
Downtrend paused, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.13791
Tight consolidation after NY down-leg.
NY session sold EUR off post-ECB into a 1.13636 swing low, then price recovered and has coiled into a tight 1.1375-1.1380 range through thin Asia hours. RSI(14) back to neutral near 52; momentum flat with volume drying up.
Support: 1.13749, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13801
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13801 range top would end the consolidation to the upside
Loss of 1.13749 range floor reopens the 1.13636 swing low
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 GMT could break the range either way
00:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.13791
Range after impulsive selloff.
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY window from 1.1435 to a session low at 1.13636, pressured by oil-led USD safe-haven demand post hawkish-ECB hold. Price has since stabilised, chopping in a tight 1.1372-1.1380 range through thin Asia hours with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.1372, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13859
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13800 range top would reopen 1.13859
Failure to hold 1.13636 session low confirms a lower-low
Eurozone flash PMIs (07:30-08:00 GMT) and US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.13784
Consolidating above session low.
NY session drove EUR/USD from 1.1435 down to 1.1364 as a USD safe-haven bid and record-low jobless claims lifted the dollar. Asia is now consolidating tightly between 1.1375 and 1.1380 on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 50 after basing off the session low.
Support: 1.1375, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1386, 1.1394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1380 range top opens 1.1386 swing high
Loss of 1.1364 session low confirms lower-low continuation
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 GMT and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range
00:16 UTC
Downtrend paused, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.13784
Consolidating after NY selloff.
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.1435 down to a 1.1364 session low on the oil-led USD safe-haven bid post hawkish ECB hold. Since then price has consolidated 1.1371-1.1381 through the thin Asian hours, RSI neutral near 52.
Support: 1.1371, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13806, 1.1385, 1.1394
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13806 opens the 1.1385-1.1394 band
Break below 1.13636 resumes the prior downside leg
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 GMT could break this range
EUR/USD sold off through US hours to a 1.13636 session low amid the post-ECB USD/oil safe-haven bid, then based and drifted into a tight 1.13700-1.13800 range across quiet Asia trade. Price sits at 1.13752 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed near 5 pips — no directional development in play.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1380
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13800 breaks the consolidation cap
Loss of 1.13700 reopens the 1.13636 session low
Eurozone flash PMIs at 08:00 GMT could shift this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13752
Lower highs, lower lows into consolidation.
EUR slid from 1.1435 through the London-NY hours to a session low at 1.1364 as the hawkish ECB hold and USD safe-haven bid weighed. Price has since consolidated in a tight 1.1371-1.1380 band through thin Asian-hours trade, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.
Support: 1.13677, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13856
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1380 range top would ease the downside pressure
Close below 1.1364 session low confirms continuation lower
German flash PMI 07:30 GMT and Eurozone PMI 08:00 GMT could break the range