EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Friday, 24 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, near week lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13698
Lower highs, broke week range base.
EUR/USD rolled over after Wednesday's rejection at 1.14354, with a sharp NY-session leg lower breaking the week's range base and printing 1.13636. The 1.1400 cap held through the week per the broader EUR-vs-USD story, as USD stayed firm near monthly highs on hawkish Fed repricing. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s, grinding sideways just above the week low.
Support: 1.13636, 1.13324
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.13903, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.13636 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1324 13-mo low
Reclaim of 1.1379 EMA20 would ease the downside pressure
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower since the midweek rejection below 1.1400, with a sharp NY-session drop Thursday carrying price from 1.1435 to the 1.1364 week low as USD firmed on hawkish Fed repricing. Bounces have stalled at successive lower highs (1.1400, then 1.1390) and price is now grinding back toward the low, pinned beneath EMA20 near 1.1380. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, off its extremes but yet to reclaim 50.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1400 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13636 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend after range break · RSI 43 · price 1.13701
Lower highs, lower lows below 1.1400.
EURUSD spent Monday-Wednesday holding a 1.1400-1.1435 range before a sharp sell-off through 1.1400 into Thursday's NY session, bottoming at the week low 1.13636 as a firmer USD and risk-off flow dominated despite the strong Eurozone PMI beats. Price has since consolidated in a 1.1365-1.1390 band beneath EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s and failing to reclaim 1.1400. Rejections at 1.1390 have capped the bounce, keeping the down-move structure intact.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.14155
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13636 opens the 1.1350 / 1.1324 YTD-low zone
reclaim of 1.14000 would negate the breakdown read
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
EUR/USD drifted lower all week and broke below 1.1400 during the NY session, with the sharpest leg down carrying price to a 1.1364 week low as risk-off flows and a firmer dollar dominated. Since then price has consolidated in the 1.1365–1.1390 band, capped by a chain of lower highs, and sits below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) is mid-40s, off its oversold reading, showing momentum has flattened rather than turned.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.1435
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1390 breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.1364 week low opens the path to 1.1350 then 1.1324 ytd low
German IFO Mon and FOMC Wed are the week's key catalysts for this pair
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, near week lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13695
Lower highs, double bottom at range base.
EUR/USD has trended lower since Tuesday, breaking below 1.1400 into Thursday's NY session as the USD firmed on strong US PMIs and 1969-low jobless claims. Price carved a double bottom near 1.13636 and bounced to 1.1390 before rolling back toward the lows, now trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI sub-50. Lower-highs down from 1.14354 keep the week's structure heavy.
Support: 1.13636, 1.13324
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1390, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.13636 confirms a lower-low, exposing the 1.13324 ytd low
Reclaim of 1.13900 rejection would challenge the lower-high trendline
FOMC Wed is the week's pivot and could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13695
Lower highs and lower lows, basing above week low.
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.1435 area into the NY session and broke below 1.1400, printing a week low at 1.13636 as strong US PMIs and hawkish Fed repricing kept the dollar bid. Price has since chopped in a 1.1370–1.1390 range, holding under EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) stuck in the 40s. The 1.13636 low remains the pivot for the week's downtrend.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1371
Resistance: 1.13903, 1.14006
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.14006 would neutralise the break below 1.1400
Loss of 1.13636 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the path lower
EUR/USD held a tight 1.1400–1.1435 range from Monday's open before breaking down hard through NY hours mid-week, printing a week low at 1.13636 as USD strength and risk-off oil dominated a hawkish-lean ECB. Price has since consolidated below the 1.1400 psych cap, trading under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-40s. The lower-high sequence into 1.14006 keeps the structure heavy.
Support: 1.13636, 1.13708
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.14006
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1400 psych level invalidates the range-break read
Failure to hold 1.13636 week low confirms a lower-low extension
FOMC Jul 29 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13768
Impulsive leg down, now ranging above week low.
EUR stayed heavy below 1.1400 all week and broke down sharply into Wednesday's NY session, dropping from 1.1435 to the 1.13636 week low as a resilient USD and risk-off backdrop dominated despite firm EZ PMIs. Price is now consolidating between 1.1370 and 1.1390, holding just above the week low with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s and price pinned under EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.13900 bounce high has capped the latest recovery attempt.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1371
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1410
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.13636 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1350 support cluster
Reclaim of 1.13900 needed to ease the downside pressure
FOMC Jul 29 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after break · RSI 47 · price 1.13823
Lower highs, capped below 1.1400.
EUR/USD broke below the 1.1400 pivot mid-week and has stayed pinned beneath it, printing a week low at 1.13636 as USD safe-haven demand and oil-driven hawkish Fed repricing overrode a run of EZ PMI beats. Price has since consolidated between 1.1375 and 1.1390, hovering around the H1 EMA(20) while the EMA(50) caps overhead near 1.1395. RSI(14) is mid-range around 46 with no clear reversal signal.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1415
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the breakout read
Loss of 1.13636 week low opens the path toward 1.1350
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC and FOMC Wed could reshape this read
EUR/USD has trended lower since Wednesday, breaking below the 1.1400 pivot and printing a week low at 1.1364 as USD strength and Middle East risk-off offset the eurozone PMI beats. Price has since consolidated in the 1.1364–1.1400 band and is now hovering around EMA20 while EMA50 caps overhead near the 1.1400 pivot. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 after basing off the lows, reflecting a pause rather than reversal.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1435
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.1364 week low opens 1.1350 psych level
German IFO Mon 08:00 UTC could shift the EUR-side read
15:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13768
Lower highs, breakdown then consolidation.
EUR/USD broke down through 1.1410 into the NY session, sliding to a three-week low at 1.1364 as a USD safe-haven bid dominated despite the hawkish ECB hold and strong Eurozone PMI beats. Price has since based between 1.1364 and 1.1390, trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) lifting off its lows after the week low was tested twice.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.14006 would neutralise the downside break
Break below 1.1364 week low opens further downside
FOMC Jul 29 is the week's dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
EUR/USD sold off from the 1.1435 week high into the NY session Thursday, shedding roughly 70 pips to a 3-week low at 1.13636 as the USD safe-haven bid dominated despite the hawkish ECB hold and firm July PMI beats. Price is now basing above the 1.1364 low with two touches forming a double bottom, but sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI recovering off oversold into the mid-40s. The 1.1390 prior high has capped the bounce.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1415, 1.14354
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13636 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1390 then 1.1415 would neutralise the downtrend read
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend after range break, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 1.13784
Lower highs, holding above week low.
EUR/USD broke down from the 1.1400–1.1435 range that held since Monday's open, sliding to 1.13636 during the NY session as the USD safe-haven bid outweighed the strong Eurozone flash PMIs. Price has since based near 1.1375 and reclaimed part of the drop, but sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. The bounce high at 1.1390 is the immediate cap while the week low at 1.13636 marks the pivot for the down-leg.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1410, 1.1415
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13636 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1350 key support
Reclaim of 1.1410 prior low would neutralise the range-break read
ECB Lane speech 15:30 UTC and Middle East / oil headlines could shift the USD-driven read
Lower highs since Wednesday peak, basing above 1.1364.
EUR/USD sold off sharply through the NY session on the 21st, breaking from the 1.1435 week high down to 1.1364 as the USD firmed on safe-haven demand despite strong Eurozone flash PMIs. Price has since based between 1.1364 and 1.1393, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low-40s. The 1.1350 key support flagged in the news remains the line separating the range floor from fresh three-week lows.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.1415, 1.1435
What it said to watch
ECB's Lane speech at 15:30 UTC could shift tone on the September hike
H1 close below 1.1350 opens fresh three-week lows
Reclaim of 1.1415 resistance would neutralise the lower-high structure
13:01 UTC
Downtrend after range break, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 1.13688
Range break lower, probing week low.
EURUSD ranged 1.1400-1.1435 from Monday's open through Wednesday, then broke down sharply into the NY session Thursday as a USD safe-haven bid dominated despite firm EUR PMIs and a hawkish ECB hold, printing a week low at 1.1364. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the low 40s; the bounce to 1.1390 was rejected and price has rolled back toward the lows.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.1415
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1390 would ease the downside break read
Failure to hold 1.1364 opens the path to 1.1350 key support
ECB's Lane speech 15:30 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 39 · price 1.13688
Lower highs since Wed high, near week lows.
The week opened near 1.1406 and ranged under 1.1435 before a sharp NY-session leg lower on Wednesday broke the 1.1400 shelf and bottomed at 1.13636 — the USD safe-haven bid from Mideast escalation dominating firm EUR fundamentals. The recovery stalled below 1.1400 and price is now grinding back toward the week low, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40. Lower highs at 1.14006 and 1.13927 mark the descending cap.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1415
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1350 opens three-week lows
Reclaim of 1.14000 would ease the lower-high structure
ECB's Lane 15:30 UTC could shift this read into next bars
12:02 UTC
Downtrend after midweek breakdown · RSI 42 · price 1.13747
Consolidating just above the breakdown low.
EURUSD chopped in a 1.1400–1.1435 range from Monday's open before breaking sharply lower through yesterday's NY session, sliding from 1.1435 to 1.1364 as the safe-haven USD bid firmed. Price has since stabilised in a tight 1.1370–1.1400 consolidation but sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI in the low 40s. The 1.13636 swing low is the pivot for the breakdown read.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1415
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13636 confirms a lower low, opens 1.1350
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.1435 midweek high as a USD safe-haven bid tied to Middle East risk pressured the pair, breaking below the week's earlier range and printing a swing low at 1.1364. Price is now consolidating between 1.1374 and 1.1390 beneath both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) capped in the low-40s. The 1.1400 round number and 1.1415 resistance flagged in this week's context continue to cap recovery attempts.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1415, 1.1435
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1400 would neutralise the range-break-lower read
Failure to hold 1.1350 confirms a fresh lower low and opens three-week lows
ECB's Lane speech and next week's FOMC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off hard through the NY session mid-week, breaking from the 1.1410–1.1435 shelf down to a 1.1364 week low as an oil-driven USD safe-haven bid overwhelmed the firm EZ flash PMIs. Since then price has based between 1.1375 and 1.1390, holding above the low with RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the mid-40s. Price is hugging EMA(20) while EMA(50) caps overhead, keeping the weekly slope lower.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1415, 1.1429
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1364 week low opens the path toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1415 range top needed to negate the downtrend read
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 46 · price 1.13821
Broke down to week lows, now ranging.
EUR/USD sold off hard through the NY session Thursday, breaking from ~1.1435 down to a 1.1364 week low as the USD safe-haven/oil bid dominated despite firm EZ data. Since then the pair has consolidated in a tight 1.1370–1.1390 band, hugging EMA(20) but capped below EMA(50) with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s. Today's PMI beats provided a floor but have not reversed the weekly lower-high, lower-low structure.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1415, 1.1435
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1364 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1350 key support
Reclaim of 1.1400 psych would negate the consolidation-at-lows read
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could extend or trim the USD bid
Range break lower, higher-lows forming near support.
EUR/USD held a 1.1400–1.1430 range into midweek before a sharp NY-session break lower printed a week low at 1.13636, as oil-driven USD safe-haven demand outweighed the strong Eurozone flash PMIs (Composite 51.9 vs 50.3). Price has since based above 1.1370 with a sequence of higher lows and now sits on EMA20 near 1.1388, capped short of the 38.2% fib at 1.14000 and below EMA50. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-40s from oversold at the lows.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1415
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.14150 range low invalidates the breakdown read
Loss of 1.1350 key support confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
ECB's Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift EUR-side flow
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 51 · price 1.13883
Lower highs into week low, base building above 1.1364.
EUR/USD slid to three-week lows around the 1.1364 week low midweek as a USD safe-haven bid on the Middle East oil spike overrode a sharp EZ PMI beat. Since then price has based between 1.1364 and the 1.1400 ema50, carving higher lows with RSI(14) recovering back toward 50. The prior high at 1.1415 and the 1.1430 week high remain the caps overhead, with 1.1350 psych the next reference below.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1415, 1.1430
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1364 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1350 psych
Reclaim of 1.1415 prior high needed to challenge the 1.1430 week high
ECB's Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift this read
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.13836
Lower high, lower low; recovery into broken floor.
A sharp NY-session selloff broke the week's 1.1400 floor down to 1.13636, USD safe-haven demand overriding the hawkish ECB hold and strong Eurozone PMIs. Price has since clawed back to the 50% mark of that drop near 1.1400 but was rejected, and now consolidates in a tight 1.1376-1.1390 band with RSI(14) recovered back to neutral. Structure remains a lower-high, lower-low sequence below EMA50.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.14247, 1.14298
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14006 opens the path back to 1.1415-1.1420 resistance
Failure to hold 1.13636 exposes 1.1350 key support
ECB's Lane speech 15:30 UTC could shift the euro read
EURUSD has bled lower since Monday's 1.14298 weekly open, with the dominant leg down through the NY session on Wednesday into the 1.13636 week low as a stronger USD (safe-haven/oil bid) overwhelmed the hawkish ECB hold. Price has since consolidated above the 1.13710 range low, reclaiming EMA20 but capped below the 1.14006 round number and a descending line of lower highs. RSI(14) has cycled back to neutral near 50 as the sell-off flattened.
Support: 1.1371, 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14006, 1.1425, 1.14298
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14006 round number would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13710 range low reopens the 1.13636 week low and 1.13500 psych support
The week opened near 1.1439 and eroded steadily, with the dominant leg a NY-session slide to 1.1364 as a firm safe-haven USD (Iran escalation, 1969-low jobless claims) capped EUR despite beats on Eurozone flash PMIs. Price has since based between 1.1375 and 1.1385 and is edging back to EMA(20), RSI(14) recovering from oversold toward the midline. The 1.1415 area still caps rallies and 1.1350 remains the pivotal floor.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1415 resistance would neutralise the lower-high downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.1350 confirms the next leg lower
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB Lane 15:30 UTC could reshape this read
EURUSD slid through this week's range and dropped sharply during yesterday's NY session, printing a session low at 1.13636 as a firm, safe-haven USD outweighed the ECB's hawkish hold. Price has since based and recovered toward EMA20, with the last hour catching a bid to 1.14006 after the Eurozone flash Composite PMI beat (51.2). RSI(14) has cycled back to neutral near 51 but price remains capped well below the 1.1415 resistance and under EMA50.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14354
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1350 confirms the next leg lower
Reclaim of 1.1415 would negate this-week's downtrend
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and ECB's Lane 15:30 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD sold off sharply into three-week lows near the 1.1364 week low during yesterday's NY session as broad USD strength on the energy/geopolitics bid outweighed the hawkish-ECB story. Price has been basing in a 1.1370–1.1387 consolidation since, reclaiming the H1 EMA20 while RSI recovers from oversold toward the midline. The 1.1400 psych level and 1.1415 resistance still cap the weekly decline.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30–08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1364 week low opens the 1.1350 key support
Reclaim of 1.1415 resistance needed to negate the weekly downtrend
EUR/USD sold off through Thursday's NY session, breaking the 1.1400–1.1435 midweek range and printing three-week lows at 1.1364 as a firm USD (Mideast safe-haven bid, sub-190K jobless claims) outweighed the ECB's hawkish hold. Price has since carved a shallow set of higher lows and is basing around 1.1375–1.1387, reclaiming the EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering off the low-30s. EMA(50) up near 1.1400 still caps the recovery.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1350 key support confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1415 resistance would neutralise the down leg
EURUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1400–1.1420 range before breaking sharply lower into the NY session yesterday, printing a week low at 1.1364 as the USD held a safe-haven bid on Middle East risk. Price has since based between 1.1364 and 1.1387 and is now hugging EMA(20) around 1.1379, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s. The 1.1415 zone that capped the earlier range now sits well overhead.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1415, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Eurozone/US flash PMIs due 07:15–13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1350 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1415 week cap would negate the downside break
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13784
Lower highs into a sharp break, now basing near 1.1370.
EUR/USD gave way through the NY session yesterday, dropping from ~1.1425 to a 1.13636 swing low as the USD firmed on Middle East safe-haven demand and higher oil. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1370–1.1387 band below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low 40s. The range top near 1.1387 has capped the bounce while 1.1350 key support remains untested but close.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1415
What it said to watch
Eurozone/US flash PMIs today (~07:15–13:45 UTC) could break this consolidation
Clean break below 1.1350 opens fresh downside
Reclaim of 1.1415 needed to void the lower-high structure
Lower highs into a low base, consolidating above swing low.
EURUSD has trended lower since Wednesday's session, with a sharp NY-session drop from 1.14354 down to the 1.13636 swing low as the USD caught safe-haven bid on US-Iran escalation and the ECB's hawkish hold failed to spark fresh upside. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1371-1.1387 band, capped by the 1.13872 session high and sitting just under EMA20. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the mid-40s, reflecting a slowing of downside momentum rather than a turn.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1371
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1410, 1.14354
What it said to watch
Eurozone/German flash services PMIs today (sub-50 f/c) are the key near-term risk to this read
H1 close below 1.13636 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 1.14100 prior range would neutralise the down leg
EUR has drifted lower all week from Monday's 1.1449 open, with the dominant leg down landing during the NY session two days ago as the USD caught safe-haven demand from US-Iran escalation, printing 1.13636. Price has since based in a tight 1.13710-1.13870 range, holding below EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s. The week's structure remains a series of lower highs into the swing low.
Support: 1.1371, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1400, 1.14354
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs (07:15-08:00 GMT) and US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) can materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.13636 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.14000 round number needed to challenge the prior high at 1.14354
EUR/USD ground lower all week from Monday's 1.1444 open, with the dominant leg down through the NY session after the ECB's hawkish hold and a firm safe-haven USD bid pressed price to 1.1364. It has since based in a tight 1.1375-1.1387 range below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) recovering off the lows toward 43. The week low at 1.1364 and swing low at 1.1370 have held on repeated tests.
Support: 1.13703, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.1400, 1.1425
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1364 week low confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of the 1.1400 round number needed to shift the range read, then 1.1425 recovery pivot
EU/US flash PMIs today (07:30-13:45 UTC) could break this consolidation
EUR/USD has ground lower all week from the 1.1444 weekly open, with the dominant leg down during yesterday's NY session as a firmer USD safe-haven bid met the hawkish-but-priced ECB hold, printing a 1.1364 week low near ING's 1.1380 target. Price has since stabilised and reclaimed EMA(20), with two probes of the 1.1364-1.1371 zone holding and RSI(14) recovering back toward 50. Overhead 1.1387 has capped the bounce, with EMA(50) and the 1.1410 shelf marking the broader lower-high structure.
Support: 1.13636, 1.13711
Resistance: 1.13872, 1.14101, 1.14443
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.1387 opens the 1.1410 recovery pivot
Loss of 1.1364 confirms continuation of the week's lower lows
HCOB flash PMIs (07:30/08:00 UTC) and US S&P PMIs (13:45 UTC) could reshape this read
Lower highs and lower lows, base forming at week low.
EUR/USD has trended lower since Monday's open, with the dominant leg down coming in the NY session yesterday after a hawkish ECB hold met a firmer, safe-haven USD. Price bottomed twice near 1.1364 and has since based, ticking back to 1.1380 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s. Bounce still sits under EMA(20) and the 1.1387 session high, leaving the broader lower-high structure intact.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1371
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1404, 1.1425
What it said to watch
EZ flash PMIs 07:30/08:00 UTC and US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1404 breakdown level would unwind the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1444 open, with the dominant leg down during the NY session as a hawkish ECB hold and a firmer USD safe-haven bid dragged price to 1.1364. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1364 to form a double bottom, and price is now consolidating just below EMA20 around 1.1381 with RSI recovering off oversold. The 1.1387 prior high has capped the bounce.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1371
Resistance: 1.1387, 1.1400, 1.1425
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.13870 and EMA20 opens the path toward 1.14000
Failure to hold 1.13640 confirms a fresh lower low
EZ/German flash PMIs at 07:30-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 47 · price 1.13841
Range break lower, now consolidating above week low.
EUR/USD drifted lower all week from Monday's 1.1449 area and accelerated during the NY session on a hawkish ECB hold met by a firm, safe-haven USD, breaking to a 1.1364 week low. Price has since stabilised in a tight 1.1371–1.1384 band with RSI(14) recovering off oversold, but rallies remain capped below EMA20 and the broken 1.1395 support shelf. The move stalling just under prior support keeps the near-term structure heavy.
Support: 1.1371, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1395, 1.1420, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
H1 close above 1.1395 needed to reclaim EMA20 and open the 1.1420 recovery zone
Failure to hold 1.1364 confirms continuation of the down leg
Lower high then sharp breakdown, basing above week low.
EUR/USD broke down out of the 1.1400-1.1435 week range in yesterday's NY session, sliding from 1.14354 to a 1.13636 low as safe-haven USD demand off Iran escalation overrode the hawkish ECB hold. Price is now basing between 1.1364 and 1.1384, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s. The 1.1400 round level, aligning with EMA20, has capped the recovery.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1425, 1.14354
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US S&P PMIs 13:45 UTC today could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1364 confirms a lower low and extends the breakdown
Reclaim of 1.1400 puts price back inside the prior week range
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13847
Range break lower, basing.
EUR/USD chopped in a 1.1400-1.1435 range from Monday's open before breaking sharply lower into the NY session as safe-haven USD demand on Middle East escalation and record-low US jobless claims overrode the hawkish ECB hold. Price bottomed at 1.13636 and is basing near 1.1380 below both EMAs, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. The broken 1.1404 shelf now caps as the nearest resistance overhead.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1371
Resistance: 1.14042, 1.14354
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could reset this read
Reclaiming 1.14042 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.13636 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13752
Lower highs and lower lows, basing above week low.
EURUSD trended lower all week from the ~1.1433 Monday open, then took a sharp leg down through the NY session yesterday as a post-ECB hawkish hold was offset by USD safe-haven demand and rising yields, printing a week low at 1.1364. Price has since consolidated in a tight 1.1370–1.1380 band, with the prior 1.1380 range floor now capping recovery attempts. Both EMAs sit above spot and RSI(14) is holding in the low 40s after unwinding the oversold reading from the drop.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.1430
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1380 would negate the breakdown and reopen 1.1400
Break of the 1.1364 week low confirms a fresh lower low
Eurozone flash PMIs (08:00 GMT) and US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13752
Lower highs, lower lows; breakdown into a tight base above the session low.
The week opened near 1.1433 and held a 1.1400-1.1435 range into midweek before a sharp NY-session breakdown, as the hawkish ECB hold gave way to USD safe-haven flows and printed a 1.1364 low. Price now consolidates a tight 1.1372-1.1380 base beneath both the H1 EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) sitting in the low 40s. The prior 1.1400 floor is now the nearest overhead reference.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1372
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.1430
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1364 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1400 would negate the breakdown structure
Eurozone flash PMIs 08:00 GMT and US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could reset this read