USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 9 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Sideways after failed NY rally, below EMA20/50 · RSI 55 · price 0.81955
Tight post-drop range 0.8186–0.8196 below the 0.8205 breakdown.
The NY rally to the 0.8227 NY high unwound fully. The 19:30 UTC drop sliced back below the 0.8206 breakdown shelf as USD gave back post-NFP gains on Iran ceasefire hopes and softer oil and yields. Early Asia is compressing in a 10-pip band between the 0.8186 range low and the 0.8196 range top, with price just under EMA20, RSI(14) near 55 and ATR(14) around 3 pips.
Support: 0.81863, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.8196, 0.8206, 0.82267
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8196 range top puts the 0.8206 breakdown shelf back in play, with the 0.8227 NY high above
Loss of the 0.8186 range low exposes the 0.8174 London low and the base of the NY rally fib
Fed's Waller at 09:00 UTC and US CPI at 13:30 UTC Tuesday could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Short-term down after NY reversal, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.81935
Lower high at 0.82267, tight box 0.81863–0.81961.
NY pushed through the 0.8205 cap to a 0.82267 ny high, then rejected it. The late-NY slide to 0.81874 came as the dollar gave back NFP gains on Iran ceasefire hopes and lower oil and yields. Early Asia is compressing in a ~10-pip box between the rollover low at 0.81863 and the range top at 0.81961, below EMA20, with RSI(14) at 45 and ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.81863, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81961, 0.8206, 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.81863 rollover low exposes the 0.81742 london low and the digest's 0.8185 range-return level
Close above the 0.81961 range top puts the 0.8206 ny shelf in focus, near the 50% retracement of the ny drop fib
Fed's Waller at 09:00 UTC during London and US CPI at 13:30 UTC Tuesday could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.82267 ny high would negate the NY rejection
23:16 UTC
Intraday down, basing in a tight range · RSI 38 · price 0.81933
NY rally fully unwound; consolidation 0.8186–0.8196 below breakdown shelf.
The NY rally broke above the Asian high but stalled at the 0.8227 ny high, a false break of the 0.8205 area. The pair then gave back about 79% of that rally after 19:00 UTC as USD slid on Iran ceasefire headlines and lower yields. In early Asia, price is holding a 0.8186–0.8196 band above the rollover low, with RSI(14) near 38 and ATR compressed to about 3 pips.
Support: 0.81863, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81961, 0.82055, 0.82267
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8196 range top opens a retest of the 0.8205–0.8206 breakdown shelf
Failure to hold the 0.8186 rollover low exposes the 0.8174 day low from the London session
Recovery through the breakdown shelf toward the 0.8227 ny high would negate the failed NY rally read
Fed's Waller (09:00 UTC) and US CPI (13:30 UTC Tue) could materially shift this read
23:02 UTC
Down off NY high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.81941
NY pushed through 0.8205 to a 0.8227 NY high but reversed. The late-NY slide to 0.8187, with oil and yields lower and USD giving back post-NFP gains, left the move as a false break. Early Asia is holding a tight 0.8186–0.8196 range after the rollover gap, with RSI(14) near 44 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.81863, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81961, 0.82065, 0.82267
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8186 late low opens the 0.8174 London low
M15 close above the 0.8196 range top brings the 0.8206 prior shelf and the 50% fib of the NY drop back into play
Waller at 09:00 UTC and US CPI at 13:30 UTC Tuesday could materially shift this read
22:46 UTC
Intraday down from NY high, now stalling · RSI 41 · price 0.81931
NY false break above Asian high reversed; tight post-rollover range.
NY pushed through the Asian high to the 0.8227 NY high, then reversed fully. A late-NY drop through the 0.8206 breakdown pt, as DXY slid on US-Iran ceasefire hopes, turned the move into a false break. Price is now boxed between the 0.8186 rollover low and the 0.8196 range top, sitting on the 61.8% retracement of the London low to NY high leg, with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.81863, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.8196, 0.8206, 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8196 range top puts the 0.8206 breakdown pt back in play; reclaiming it would undo the false-break read
Failure to hold the 0.8186 rollover low exposes the 0.8174 london low and extends the lower-high sequence from the NY high
Fed's Waller (09:00 UTC) and Tuesday's US CPI (13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Downtrend from NY high, lower highs · RSI 32 · price 0.81881
Failed NY breakout, lower-high sequence, tight range near lows.
The NY session push through the 0.8205 cap to a 0.8227 ny high failed. Price bled back below 0.8205 in late NY as softer oil and yields on Iran ceasefire hopes weighed on USD, then dropped 13 pips to 0.8187 at 19:30 UTC, nearly a full retrace of the NY rally fib. Since then it has held a 0.8187–0.8196 band capped by the range top, with the late low at 0.8186 retested on the rollover into the Asia session.
Support: 0.81865, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81961, 0.82055, 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8186 late low exposes the 0.8174 london low and the old 0.8125–0.8185 range
Reclaim of the 0.8196 range top and the lower-highs trendline would neutralise the downtrend read; 0.8205 cap above
Waller at 09:00 UTC and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Intraday down from NY high, momentum soft · RSI 34 · price 0.81894
NY rally to 0.8227 fully reversed; tight 0.8186–0.8196 range into Asia open.
The NY spike to the 0.8227 day high was rejected. The pair slid through the 0.8206 ny shelf late NY as softer oil and yields weighed on USD, leaving price near the 89% retrace of the NY rally. Since then it has held a tight 0.8186–0.8196 range below its range top, with the rollover bar dipping to retest the late-ny low at 0.8186 and RSI(14) near 34.
Support: 0.81863, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81961, 0.8206, 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8186 late-ny low exposes the 0.8174 london low and completes a full retrace of the NY rally
Recovery above the 0.8196 range top brings the 0.8206 ny shelf back into view, near UOB's 0.8205 cap
Thin rollover and Asia session liquidity; a break of the day high at 0.8227 would negate the rejection read
Fed Waller at 09:00 UTC during London could shift USD pricing ahead of Tuesday's 13:30 UTC CPI
The NY session rally from the 0.8174 London low cleared the 0.8212 Asian high and topped at the 0.8227 NY high, then fully unwound as softer US yields and oil weighed on USD. A late-NY drop through the 0.8206 NY shelf printed 0.8187. Price is now holding near 0.8194, almost exactly the 61.8% retrace of that leg, after the NY close. RSI(14) is around 36 and ATR is roughly 4 pips.
Support: 0.81874, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.8206, 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.8187 late NY low exposes the 0.8174 London low
Recovery above the 0.8206 NY shelf and the 0.8212 Asian high reopens the 0.8227 NY high
Fed's Waller (09:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
21:46 UTC
Two-sided day, rolled over from NY high · RSI 36 · price 0.81946
NY false break above Asian high reversed; late-NY consolidation 0.8187–0.8196 below 0.8205 cap.
The NY session rally to the 0.8227 NY high cleared the Asian high and the 0.8205 cap, then failed. A late-NY slide on weaker oil and yields from Iran-deal headlines took price back to 0.8195, the 61.8% of the London-NY leg fib. Price is now consolidating just above the 0.8187 swing low, with the London low at 0.8174 below and RSI(14) near 36.
Support: 0.81874, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
A break below the 0.8187 swing low reopens the London low at 0.8174 and confirms the failed-breakout read
A close back above the 0.8205 cap and Asian high at 0.8212 negates the rejection
Fed's Waller (09:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs off the 0.8227 session high, basing above 0.8187 after a false break of the Asian high.
London took out the Asian range low to the 0.8174 london low. NY then ran through the 0.8212 asian high to a 0.8227 session high, above the 0.8205 cap, before a rejection and full unwind as USD sagged on Iran-deal hopes and lower yields. Late-session price is pinned at the 61.8% retrace near 0.8194, just under the ema20/50 cluster at 0.8200 and holding the 0.8187 late ny low, RSI(14) 43.
Support: 0.81874, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81995, 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close below the late ny low at 0.8187 opens the london low at 0.8174
Reclaim of the ema20/50 cluster at 0.8200 and the asian high at 0.8212 would negate the false-break read
Fed's Waller (09:00 UTC) and US CPI (13:30 UTC Tue) could materially shift this read
21:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend after failed NY push · RSI 35 · price 0.81944
Lower highs since NY high, tight base above late low.
London took out the Asian low to the london low at 0.8174, then NY broke the asian high at 0.8212 to a ny high of 0.8227. That break failed and the pair rolled into lower highs as USD softened on Iran-deal hopes, lower oil and yields. A late-NY slide broke the 0.8204 prior floor and printed a late low at 0.8187, and price is now compressing at 0.8190–0.8195 below both EMAs.
Support: 0.81874, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.82041, 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8187 late low exposes the 0.8174 london low
Reclaim of the 0.8204 prior floor, near the fib 38.2%, would ease the lower-highs read
61.8% fib of the NY high-to-late low drop sits on the 0.8212 asian high, a confluence to watch for rejection
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC, preceded by Fed Waller at 09:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
20:47 UTC
Intraday pullback after failed NY push · RSI 36 · price 0.81942
Lower high off 0.8227, holding above late NY low.
NY hours pushed through the Asian high at 0.8212 to a 0.8227 NY high, but the move faded and a late-session drop to 0.8187 came as softer oil and yields weighed on USD. Price is now flat near 0.8194, sitting on the 61.8% fib of the London low to NY high move, below the 0.8200 round number. RSI(14) is near 36 and ATR is under 5 pips.
Support: 0.81874, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.8187 late NY low exposes the 0.8174 London low and the 78.6% fib
A recovery above the 0.8200 round number (50% fib) puts the 0.8212 Asian high back in play
Holding below the 0.8227 NY high keeps the false-break read intact
Fed's Waller (09:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
20:32 UTC
Intraday pullback after failed NY rally · RSI 41 · price 0.81931
NY false break above the Asian high, lower highs since 0.8227.
The NY session rally cleared the Asian high at 0.8212 and stalled at the 0.8227 NY high. It then unwound in late NY, with a sharp 19:30 UTC drop through 0.8205 as the dollar slid on Iran-deal hopes and softer yields. Price sits at 0.8193, right at the 78.6% retrace of the NY rally, with the 0.8187 swing low holding so far.
Support: 0.81874, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8187 swing low exposes the London low at 0.8174 and a rotation back into the old 0.8125–0.8185 range
Recovery above the 0.8205 uob cap and the lower-highs trendline would neutralise the late-NY unwind; the Asian high at 0.8212 is next above
Fed Waller (09:00 UTC) and US CPI (13:30 UTC) on Tue could materially shift this read
20:17 UTC
Intraday down-leg after failed NY breakout · RSI 39 · price 0.81903
Lower highs from 0.8227 day high, back inside the Asian range.
The NY rally off the 0.8174 London low cleared the 0.8205 UOB cap to a 0.8227 day high, then failed. A 13-pip late-NY bar sank price to a 0.8187 NY low as USD softened on Iran/oil headlines, leaving it below the 61.8% retracement of the London low–day high leg. RSI(14) sits near 39 and price is below both EMAs.
Support: 0.81874, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.82267
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.8187 NY low opens the 0.8174 London low
A reclaim of the 0.8205 UOB cap negates the false-break read
Waller (09:00 UTC) and US CPI (13:30 UTC) Tue could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Down from NY peak, momentum stretched · RSI 29 · price 0.81914
Lower highs after a false break above the Asian high.
The NY rally from the 0.8185 NY low cleared the 0.8212 Asian high and the 0.8205 pivot to a 0.8227 NY high, but it unwound on lower highs as the dollar stayed the weakest major on Iran-driven oil and yield declines. A 13-pip late-NY bar broke the pivot and printed a late low at 0.8187, leaving price back at the Asian range floor with RSI(14) near 29.
Support: 0.81874, 0.81845, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8187 late low exposes the 0.8185 NY low and the 0.8174 London low
A close back above the 0.8205 pivot and the lower highs line negates the false break read
Waller (09:00 UTC) and US CPI (13:30 UTC Tue) could materially shift this read
19:47 UTC
Fading lower after failed NY spike · RSI 39 · price 0.81928
Lower highs off 0.8227 session high, NY rally ~80% retraced.
Sunday's gap lower was followed by a London drop to 0.8174. The NY rally from 0.8185 then cleared the Asian high and the 0.8205 cap to a 0.8227 session high before failing. A descending trendline of lower highs capped it, and a sharp late-NY drop has retraced about 80% of that leg to 0.8193, below the fib 61.8 at 0.8200 and both EMAs. This fits the broad USD softness on Iran-peace hopes and lower oil.
Support: 0.81874, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.82006, 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8187 swing low exposes the 0.8174 london low
Recovery above the 0.8200 fib 61.8 and the descending trendline near 0.8205 would neutralise the late-NY fade
Asian high at 0.8212 is the next cap if the descending trendline gives way
Fed's Waller (09:00 UTC) and US October CPI (13:30 UTC Tue) could materially shift this read
19:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, fading into late NY · RSI 53 · price 0.8206
Pullback from session high to 38.2% fib, below asian high.
After Sunday's gap was filled in Asia and London set a 0.8174 low, the NY session rallied through the 0.8212 Asian high to a 0.8227 session high. Rejection there has pulled price back to the 0.8204 swing low at the 38.2% fib, just under the UOB 0.8205 cap flagged in the CHF digest, with ranges compressing into late NY.
Support: 0.8204, 0.8200, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.8227
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8204 swing low opens the 0.8200 50% fib
Failure to hold the 50% fib exposes the 0.8174 london low
Reclaim of the 0.8212 asian high puts the 0.8227 session high back in play
Waller (09:00 GMT) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
Asian range broken both ways; lower highs off the NY high.
London's break below the Asian range to the 0.8174 london low proved a false break. NY then cleared the 0.8212 asian high to 0.8227 as CHF softened on Fed-hike pricing, and price has slipped back below that level. Late NY is printing lower highs under the pullback line and sitting on the 38.2% fib near 0.8206, the UOB 0.8205 cap, with the 0.8204 pullback low just below.
Support: 0.82041, 0.8200, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8200 round number and the 50% fib breaks the pullback low and exposes 0.8185 and the london low
Recovery above the pullback line and the 0.8212 asian high reopens the 0.8227 ny high
Waller at 09:00 GMT and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Intraday rally fading, momentum rolling over · RSI 47 · price 0.82053
Lower highs off the 0.8227 NY high; back below the Asian high.
NY hours lifted the pair 52 pips off the 0.8174 London low, through the asian high at 0.8212, to a 0.8227 session high. That push was rejected, and lower highs have since dragged price back to the 0.8204 pullback low, near UOB's 0.8205 cap, while a USD that was the weakest major on Iran-talk and oil headlines left the break unsupported. Late NY, price sits just above the 50% fib of the rally at 0.8200.
Support: 0.8204, 0.82005, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 50% fib at 0.8200 opens the path to the 0.8185 rally base
Reclaim of the 0.8212 asian high and the lower-high trendline would negate the false break read
Iran/oil headlines overnight; Waller 09:00 GMT and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
18:32 UTC
NY rally fading, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 0.82054
Broke Asian high, now back below it and testing the 50% retrace.
London pushed the pair to 0.8174 before the NY open rally broke the asian high at 0.8212 and set a session high at 0.8227. After London close the pair slipped back under 0.8212 to the 50% retracement near 0.8205, the UOB cap cited in the CHF digest, as USD gives back gains on Iran/oil headlines. The 61.8% fib at 0.8201 sits just below.
Support: 0.82006, 0.81845
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8212 asian high restores the NY breakout read
Failure to hold the 0.8201 61.8% fib exposes the 0.8185 ny base
A move through the 0.8227 session high resumes the NY leg
Trump–Qatar Iran headlines, then Waller and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT, could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Intraday up-leg fading, lower highs off the NY peak · RSI 44 · price 0.82078
NY spike from the 0.81845 NY base to 0.8227 rejected; lower highs back below the Asian high.
The NY session reversed London's drop to 0.8174, with the NY leg running through the 0.8212 Asian high to a 0.8227 session high. That spike tested the 0.8205 area the CHF digest flags as resistance, then faded on a series of lower highs as softer oil and Iran ceasefire hopes weighed on USD. Price now sits back below the Asian high, near the 38.2–50% retracement of the NY leg and just above the 0.8206 pullback low, with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 0.8206, 0.8200, 0.81845
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.8206 pullback low and the 0.8200 round number exposes the 0.81845 NY base and a deeper retracement of the NY leg
M15 close back above the 0.8212 Asian high and the lower-highs trendline would neutralise the fade, with the 0.8227 session high as the next reference
Iran ceasefire headlines and oil moves after London close could shift USD tone; US CPI on Tue at 13:30 GMT is the next scheduled risk
18:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend off London low, momentum faded · RSI 53 · price 0.82109
Higher low at 0.8207 after NY high 0.8227; retesting broken Asian high.
The NY rally from the ny base near 0.8185 broke the Asian high at 0.8212 and set a session high at 0.8227. The fade stalled at a 0.8207 pullback low, the 38.2% fib of the London-low leg, and price is now retesting the Asian high in late NY. The leg ran against a soft-USD Monday, with the CHF digest flagging 0.8205 as the cap under test.
Support: 0.82069, 0.8200, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82151, 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8207 pullback low exposes the 0.8200 round number and the 0.8185 ny base
Reclaim of the asian high and 0.8215 lower high reopens the 0.8227 session high
Fed's Waller (Tue 09:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
NY rally off 0.8185 rejected at 0.8227; pullback back below Asian high.
NY session erased the London drop to 0.8174, rallying from the 0.8185 NY base through the 0.8212 Asian high to a 0.8227 session high as CHF softness pushed the pair through the 0.8205 cap. That high was rejected, and price is back below the Asian high at 0.8208, between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the NY leg, sitting on EMA20 with RSI(14) near 54.
Support: 0.82074, 0.82006, 0.81845
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8207 pullback low opens the fib 61.8 near 0.8201 and the 0.8205 cap retest
Recovery above the 0.8212 Asian high puts the 0.8227 session high back in play
Loss of the 0.8185 NY base unwinds the NY rally back into the London range
Trump–Qatar PM meeting headlines and oil could jolt USD late in NY hours
Waller at 09:00 UTC and US CPI at 13:30 UTC Tuesday could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Uptrend off the London low, pulling back · RSI 64 · price 0.82139
NY breakout above the Asian high, now a shallow retest.
London cleared the Asian range low and printed the london low at 0.8174. NY then reversed it in a roughly 50-pip leg through the asian high at 0.8212 and UOB's 0.8205 cap, reaching the ny high at 0.8227. Since London close the pair has eased to 0.8210, about a 31% retracement, and is holding just under a lower high at 0.8222. RSI has cooled from the mid-70s.
Support: 0.8212, 0.8194, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8222, 0.8227
What it said to watch
M15 closes back below 0.8205–0.8210 would put price back inside the Asian range and mark the breakout as failing
Loss of the 0.8194 breakout base would expose the 0.8174 london low
A close above the 0.8222 lower high and the 0.8227 ny high would resume the NY leg
Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 GMT) and Barkin (17:15 GMT) headlines could hit USD via oil and yields
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst
17:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend after NY breakout, pulling back · RSI 58 · price 0.8211
Range break above Asian high, now retesting it.
NY session lifted USDCHF out of the 0.8185 ny base, through the 0.8212 Asian high and on to a 0.8227 session high, extending the NFP-driven Fed-hike leg as CHF softened. Since London close the pair has eased to retest the Asian high, which lines up with the 38.2% fib of the NY leg. RSI(14) has cooled to 58, and lower highs near 0.8215 form a pullback cap.
Support: 0.8210, 0.8200, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.8215, 0.8227
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8210 asian high and the 0.8200 round number turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8185 ny base puts the pair back inside the prior Asian range
Close above the 0.8215 pullback cap reopens a test of the 0.8227 session high
Fed Barkin (17:15 GMT) and Trump–Qatar headlines on oil and yields could move this read in the next bars
16:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing after NY high · RSI 63 · price 0.82137
Asian range high broken in NY, price now retesting it from above.
The NY session ran a ~52-pip London-NY leg off the 0.8174 London low. It broke the 0.8212 asia high and cleared the 0.8205 cap flagged in commentary, topping at the 0.8227 ny high even as USD trades soft elsewhere. Price has since pulled back to the 23.6% of that leg and is retesting the asia high from above, with the 0.8210 pullback low holding and RSI(14) cooling to ~63.
Support: 0.82124, 0.82102, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82267, 0.8230
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.8210 pullback low and asia high puts price back inside the Asian range, with the 0.8200 round number the next reference
A break of the 0.8227 ny high extends the higher-high chain toward the 0.8230 round number
Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT and Fed's Barkin at 17:15 GMT could shift USD and risk tone into the late NY session
US October CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the main scheduled catalyst for USD
16:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend from London low, pulling back · RSI 63 · price 0.82134
NY break of Asian high, retest in progress.
Monday opened with a ~14-pip gap lower, and London extended the Asia-session fade to a 0.8174 session low. The NY session then rallied ~42 pips through the 0.8212 Asian high to a 0.8227 session high, clearing the 0.8205 cap flagged in the CHF digest. The pullback is now retesting the Asian high near the 38.2% fib, with RSI(14) cooling to ~63.
Support: 0.82124, 0.8200, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.82267
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8212 Asian high turns the breakout into a false break and exposes 0.8200 psych
Hold of the retest and a close above the 0.8227 session high extends the NY leg
Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT and Fed's Barkin at 17:15 GMT could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.8200 psych reopens the path toward the 0.8174 session low
16:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing after NY spike · RSI 70 · price 0.82206
NY breakout above Asian range, higher highs from 0.8184.
London broke the Asian low and stalled at 0.8174. Price then capped below the 0.8194 London high until the NY open. NY reversed that with a 42-pip run to a 0.8227 session high through the 0.8212 Asian high, as risk-on Iran/China headlines softened CHF, and the ny pullback has held 0.8219 with RSI(14) near 70.
Support: 0.8219, 0.8212, 0.8194
Resistance: 0.8227, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8212 Asian high (≈38.2% of the ny rally fib) puts the breakout at risk of a false break
Close above the 0.8227 session high opens the 0.8250 round number
Loss of the 0.8194 London high returns price to the morning range
Trump–Qatar PM meeting 17:00 GMT and Fed's Barkin 17:15 GMT could materially shift this read
NY breakout above Asian range, higher lows since London low.
NY session lifted USD/CHF off the 0.8185 base, through the asian high at 0.8212 to a 0.8227 session high, and the pair is now pressing UOB's 0.8205 cap flagged in the digest. RSI(14) has cooled from the mid-70s, with the 0.8219 pullback low holding after London close.
Support: 0.8219, 0.8212, 0.82005
Resistance: 0.82267, 0.8230
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the asian high at 0.8212 would turn the breakout into a false break
M15 close above the 0.8227 session high opens the 0.8230 round number
Loss of the fib 50% at 0.8200 and the NY trendline near 0.8188 puts the 0.8185 base back in play
Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 UTC and Barkin at 17:15 UTC could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, NY leg extended · RSI 77 · price 0.82222
Higher lows from London low, NY breakout above Asian high.
NY session drove a ~42-pip leg off the 0.8185 swing low, clearing the Asian high and Friday's high at 0.8210–0.8212 to a session high at 0.8227. The move runs against the softer USD tone in the digest, so it reads as CHF weakness. RSI(14) near 77 is hot but not extreme, and the Asian high sits at the 38.2% retrace of the NY leg.
Support: 0.8212, 0.81845, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.82267, 0.8250
What it said to watch
Close back below the asian high at 0.8212 would turn the breakout into a false break
M15 close above the 0.8227 session high leaves the 0.8250 round number as the next reference
Loss of the 0.8185 swing low breaks the rising lows from the 0.8174 london low
Trump–Qatar PM meeting 17:00 UTC and Fed's Barkin 17:15 UTC could materially shift this read
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive NY leg · RSI 77 · price 0.82219
NY breakout above Asian range high and Friday high, higher low above London low.
After London dipped below the Asian range to a 0.8174 london low, the NY session rallied ~38 pips off the 0.8185 ny base. It cleared the 0.8212 asian high, Friday's 0.8210 high and the 0.8205 UOB cap to a 0.8223 session high, despite broad USD softness in the digest. RSI(14) near 77 after five straight up bars marks the leg as stretched.
Support: 0.8212, 0.8185, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8223, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8212 asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of 0.8185 ny base and the rising support from the london low puts the pair back in the old 0.8125–0.8185 range
Acceptance above 0.8223 session high opens the path to the 0.8250 round number
Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 UTC and Barkin at 17:15 UTC could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, impulsive NY leg · RSI 75 · price 0.82147
Higher lows since 0.8174 London low; Asian range high broken.
London sold the pair to 0.8174, then a run of higher lows formed into the 0.8185 NY base. The NY open rally cleared the 0.8212 Asian high and the 0.8205 UOB cap to a 0.8218 session high, with RSI(14) near 75 and ATR expanding, even as USD stays soft broadly on the day.
Support: 0.82124, 0.8205, 0.81845
Resistance: 0.8218, 0.8220
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.8212 Asian high keeps the breakout intact; a slip back below the 0.8205 UOB cap, the 38.2% of the NY impulse fib, would mark a false break
0.8218 session high and 0.8220 psych are the immediate cap on the NY leg
Loss of the 0.8185 NY base breaks the higher-low line from the London low
Fed's Barkin at 17:15 GMT and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift this read during NY hours
V-recovery from London low, higher lows into NY, break above Asian high.
London sold the pair to a 0.81742 low before a stepped higher-low base gave way to a ~33-pip first-hour-of-NY rally. That leg cleared the 0.82124 Asian high and the 0.8205 cap flagged in the CHF digest, tagging a 0.8218 session high with RSI(14) hot near 75.
Support: 0.82124, 0.8200, 0.81845
Resistance: 0.8218
What it said to watch
Holding the asian high at 0.82124 keeps the NY breakout intact; a slip back inside the Asian range reads as a false break
Loss of 0.8200 psych exposes the 0.81845 rally base and the 50% fib of the London-NY move
Rejection at the 0.8218 session high with RSI rolling over from 75 would mark the NY high in place
Goolsbee (15:00 GMT), the Trump–Qatar meeting (17:00 GMT) and Barkin (17:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, London drop mostly retraced · RSI 69 · price 0.82043
NY higher lows off the 0.8174 London low, intraday cap at 0.8194 broken.
London sold the pair from the 0.8212 Asian high to a 0.8174 London low as USD softened on US-Iran risk-on and lower oil. NY has since retraced roughly 79% of that drop. Price broke the 0.8194 breakout pt off a 0.8185 ny base and is now pressing the 0.8205 uob cap, with RSI(14) near 69.
Support: 0.8194, 0.8185, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8212
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8205 uob cap exposes the 0.8212 Asian high and Friday's 0.8213 high
Slip back below the 0.8194 breakout pt and the rising trendline puts the 0.8185 ny base and 0.8174 London low back in play
Goolsbee at 15:00 GMT and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT could materially shift this read
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst
14:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since London low · RSI 66 · price 0.82043
Higher-low chain from 0.8174, NY breakout back above 0.8200.
London broke below the 0.8189 Asian low and extended to 0.8174 as broad USD softness on Iran peace hopes weighed. From there, rising support carried a higher-low chain into NY, where price cleared the 0.8194 prior high and the 0.8200 round number. Price now sits at the 0.8205 uob cap, at the 78.6% retrace of the Asia decline, with RSI(14) near 66 and the 0.8212 asian high and 0.8213 friday high overhead.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81941, 0.81845
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.82124, 0.82134
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8212 asian high and 0.8213 friday high breaks the session range and clears the uob cap read
Rejection at the 0.8205 uob cap and loss of the 0.8200 round number puts the 0.8194 prior high back in focus
Break of rising support and the 0.8185 ny low ends the higher-low chain from 0.8174
Goolsbee at 15:00 GMT and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT are USD headline risk that could shift this read
Asia range broken lower; higher lows off London low capped by lower high at 0.8194.
The Asia range (0.8189–0.8212) gave way at London open as USD softened on US-Iran peace hopes and lower oil. Price printed a London low at 0.8174, and that drop failed to hold the 0.8205 area flagged in the digest. Early NY recovery stalled at 0.8194, the NY high near the 50% retracement, and the rejection there has dropped price back onto the 0.8185 higher low and the rising London-low trendline.
Support: 0.8185, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8194, 0.8212
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8185 breaks the higher low and the London-low trendline, putting the 0.8174 London low back in play
Close above the 0.8194 NY high clears the 50% retracement and turns focus to the 0.8212 Asia high
Fed's Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 GMT) could shift USD via Fed pricing and oil
14:02 UTC
Recovering from London low, capped at 50% retrace · RSI 54 · price 0.8186
Asian range broken lower; higher lows since 0.8174 London low.
London broke below the Asian range and ran to the 0.8174 London low as USD softened on US-Iran peace hopes and lower oil. Higher lows since then lifted price into the NY open, where the 0.8194 NY high was rejected at the 50% retrace of the Asia-London drop. Price now sits on the rising line near 0.8185.
Support: 0.8185, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8194, 0.8207, 0.8212
What it said to watch
M15 close below the rising line at 0.8185 exposes the 0.8174 London low again
A close above the 0.8194 NY high reopens the gap back to the 0.8207 Fri close and the 0.8212 Asian high
Fed's Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 GMT) on Iran/oil could shift this read during NY hours
13:46 UTC
Intraday recovery after London selloff · RSI 64 · price 0.81903
Higher lows in NY, retesting London breakdown area.
Asia peaked at the 0.8212 asia high before London sold through the Asian range low to a 0.8174 london low, as USD softened on US-Iran peace hopes and lower oil. NY has built a higher low at 0.8185 and is pressing the 0.8192 ny high, near the 38.2% retrace of the Asia-London drop. RSI(14) sits around 64 with ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 0.8185, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8192, 0.8200, 0.8212
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8192 ny high opens the 0.8200 psych level and the 50% retrace near 0.8193–0.8198
Loss of the 0.8185 higher low reopens the 0.8174 london low
Fed's Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) and the Trump–Qatar meeting (17:00 GMT) could shift USD during NY hours
US October CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst
13:31 UTC
Intraday recovery after a London-session drop · RSI 64 · price 0.81907
Higher-low chain from 0.8174 retesting the broken Asian range low.
The Asian high at 0.8212 capped the weekend-gap fill. London then broke the Asian range low and printed 0.8174 as USD gave back post-NFP gains on lower oil and Iran-deal hopes. A higher-low chain since then has carried price back to 0.8192, the Asian low, in the first hour of NY, with RSI(14) near 64 and EMA50 sitting at the same level.
Support: 0.8185, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8192, 0.8198, 0.8212
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8192 (asian low) puts price back inside the Asian range and brings the 61.8% fib at 0.8198 into play
Loss of the 0.8185 higher low breaks the recovery chain and re-exposes the 0.8174 london low
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC), plus the Trump-Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT, could shift the read during NY hours
London leg lower from the Asia high; higher low at 0.8177, bounce capped below the 50% fib.
USD gave back post-NFP gains on Iran-deal hopes and softer oil. London broke below the Asian range and sold from the 0.8212 asia high to a 0.8174 session low. The bounce built a higher low at 0.8177 but was rejected at the 0.8192 swing high, between the 38.2% and 50% fib. Price is now testing the Friday low at 0.8184 and the rising trendline ahead of the NY open.
Support: 0.8184, 0.8177, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8192, 0.8205, 0.8212
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8192 swing high reopens the 50% fib and the 0.8205 cap
Failure to hold the 0.8184 friday low and the rising trendline exposes the 0.8177 higher low, then the 0.8174 session low
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 GMT and the Trump-Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift this read
London broke below Asian range, higher lows now retesting it.
USD/CHF faded from the 0.8212 Asian high, and London broke the 0.8192 Asian low, bottoming at the 0.8174 London low as USD pared post-NFP gains on Iran-deal hopes and weaker oil. A higher low at 0.8177 and rising lows since have lifted price to the 38.2% retrace of the Asia-London drop. The latest push into the broken Asian low was rejected heading into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.8177, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8192, 0.8212
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8192 asian low negates the London range break
Loss of the 0.8177 higher low breaks the rising lows and reopens the 0.8174 london low
Fed speakers Bowman 13:40 and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT, plus the 17:00 GMT Trump-Qatar meeting, could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Recovering from London low, higher lows · RSI 63 · price 0.81895
Higher-low chain off 0.8174, pressing the Asian low.
Broad USD softening in Europe on Iran-peace hopes and lower oil dragged the pair from the 0.8212 Asian high to a 0.8174 London low. A higher-low chain (0.8174, then the 0.8177 higher low) has since cleared the 0.8187 09:15 high. Price sits at the 38.2% retracement, just under the 0.8192 Asian low, into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.81872, 0.81771, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81916, 0.8200, 0.82124
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8192 Asian low opens the 0.8200 round number, then the 0.8212 Asian high
Slip back under the 0.8187 09:15 high and the rising trendline puts the 0.8177 higher low and the 0.8174 London low back in play
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) could shift Dec hike pricing during NY hours
Trump–Qatar PM Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT is a headline risk for oil and USD
12:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, recovering off London low · RSI 58 · price 0.81884
Asian range low broken in London; higher low at 0.8177, now retesting the broken level.
London broke the Asian low at 0.8189 and ran to 0.8174 as USD softened on Iran-peace hopes and lower oil. A higher low at 0.8177 has price back at the broken asian low, which also marks the 38.2% retrace of the 0.8212 asian high to 0.8174 drop, with the 50% fib at 0.8193 just above and price still under EMA50.
Support: 0.8177, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8189, 0.8193, 0.8212
What it said to watch
M15 closes back above the 0.8189 asian low and 50% fib at 0.8193 would neutralise the London breakdown
Loss of the 0.8177 higher low reopens the 0.8174 london low
Bowman at 13:40 GMT around NY open and the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift this read
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the main scheduled risk
12:16 UTC
Down from Asian high, basing in London · RSI 58 · price 0.81867
Asian range low broken, higher lows into 0.8187 cap.
USD/CHF faded from the 0.8212 Asian high as the dollar gave back NFP gains on risk-on headlines, then broke the Asian low in early London to 0.8174. Late London has built higher lows. Price is pressing the 0.8187 range top, which lines up with the broken asian low and the 38.2% retrace. RSI(14) is near 58.
Support: 0.81793, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81872, 0.81885, 0.82124
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8189 (asian low / 38.2%) reopens the 0.8193–0.8198 retrace zone
Loss of the 0.8179 higher low returns focus to the 0.8174 london low
Fed's Bowman 13:40 GMT and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT around NY open could shift this read
Trump–Qatar PM meeting 17:00 GMT on Iran ceasefire is a risk-tone driver for USD
London break below Asian range, higher low at 0.8177.
Asia ran to 0.8212 before London unwound it, breaking the Asian low near 0.8192 and sweeping Friday's low to a 0.8174 session low as USD gave back part of its NFP gains on risk-on. Late in London, price has printed a higher low at 0.8177 and is pressing the 0.8187 bounce high, just under the 38.2% retrace of the Asia-London drop at 0.8189.
Support: 0.81771, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81872, 0.81916
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8187 bounce high and a reclaim of the 0.8192 asian low puts price back inside the Asian range
Loss of the 0.8177 higher low reopens the 0.8174 session low
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 GMT, early in NY session, and Trump–Qatar PM headlines at 17:00 GMT could shift this read
11:46 UTC
Down from Asian high, now basing · RSI 52 · price 0.81815
Asian range broken lower in London; tight 10-pip consolidation above a higher low.
London broke the Asian low near 0.8192 and sold off to a 0.8174 session low as USD gave back NFP gains on risk-on. The bounce stalled at the 0.8187 swing high, just short of the 38.2% fib of the Asian high-to-low leg. Price is now coiling above a 0.8177 higher low into late London, with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.8177, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8187, 0.8192, 0.8212
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8187 swing high opens a retest of the broken 0.8192 asian low.
A break of the 0.8177 higher low and the 0.8174 session low would resume the London leg lower.
Only a recovery to the 0.8212 asian high would unwind the London range break.
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) during NY hours could shift the USD tone.
Asian range broken lower in London; tight consolidation with higher lows below a lower-high line.
USD/CHF faded from the 0.8212 asian high as lower oil and Iran-peace headlines softened the dollar. London broke the Asian range (asian low ~0.8192) and printed a 0.8174 session low. Since then price has held a 0.8177–0.8187 consolidation, with a higher low at 0.8177 and the 0.8187 swing high capping it, just above the 23.6% fib of the Asian-high-to-session-low drop.
Support: 0.81771, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81872, 0.81925, 0.82124
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8187 swing high and back into the asian low at 0.8192 (38.2% fib) breaks the lower-high line and the consolidation
Failure to hold the 0.8177 higher low exposes the 0.8174 session low
Fed's Bowman 13:40 GMT and Goolsbee 15:00 in NY session, plus Trump–Qatar Iran talks 17:00 GMT, could shift this read; US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT
11:01 UTC
Downtrend from Asian high, pausing · RSI 48 · price 0.81813
Asian low broken in London; tight 0.8174–0.8187 range above session low.
USDCHF faded from the 0.8212 Asian high and broke the asian low at 0.8192 into London open as the dollar gave back NFP gains on lower oil and firmer risk appetite. Since the 0.8174 session low, price has held a tight range with a higher low at 0.8177, capped by the 0.8187 bounce high, a shallow 38% retrace of the Asian-high drop. Price is back under the 0.8185 area the digest flags as the fade line.
Support: 0.81771, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81872, 0.81916, 0.82124
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8187 bounce high and back over the former asian low at 0.8192 neutralises the range-break read
Loss of the 0.8177 higher low and the 0.8174 session low resumes the London downtrend
Fed speakers Bowman 13:40 and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT, and the Trump–Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT, could shift USD during NY hours
Asian high at 0.8212 is the upper boundary of today's session range
London broke below Asian range; higher low at 0.8177 under the 0.8187 bounce high.
USD/CHF faded from the 0.8212 Asian high, and London broke the 0.8192 Asian low to print a 0.8174 session low just under Friday's 0.8177 low. The dollar is giving back part of its NFP gains on lower oil and firmer risk appetite. Since then price has compressed between a higher low at 0.8177 and the 0.8187 bounce high, near the 38.2% retrace of the Asian-London leg, with RSI(14) neutral around 45.
Support: 0.81771, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81872, 0.8192, 0.82124
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8187 bounce high and back inside the Asian range above 0.8192 (50% retrace) would neutralise the London range break
Failure to hold the 0.8177 higher low and a break of the 0.8174 session low confirms a lower low, toward the 0.8150 area
Descending line from the Asian high caps rallies near 0.8188–0.8190
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) during NY hours, and the Trump–Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT, could shift this read
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the next scheduled volatility point
Lower highs from Asian high, tight range 0.8177–0.8187 after London sell-off.
London sold through the asian low at 0.8189 and swept Friday's 0.8177 low to a 0.8174 session low. The bounce stalled at 0.8187, just under the 38.2% retracement of the drop from the 0.8212 asian high, and price is now holding a 0.8177 higher low as USD gives back part of Friday's NFP surge on softer oil and firmer risk appetite.
Support: 0.81771, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81872, 0.81885, 0.82124
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8187 bounce high and the asian low at 0.8189 breaks the lower-high trendline and neutralises the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 0.8177 higher low reopens the 0.8174 session low; a break there extends the lower-low chain
Fed speakers in NY hours (Bowman 13:40 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift USD direction
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst for a range break
Lower highs from the Asian high; London broke the Asian low, swept Friday's low and is now holding a 0.8174–0.8187 band mid-session.
Asia ran USD/CHF up to the 0.8212 asian high, close to the 0.8205 cap, before USD eased on lower oil and Iran-peace hopes. London then broke the asian low and swept the 0.8177 friday low to a 0.8174 london low. The bounce stalled at the 0.8187 swing high, just under the 38.2% fib, and price is now holding near 0.8181 below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 35.
Support: 0.81769, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.81872, 0.81916, 0.82124
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8174 london low extends the lower-low sequence from the asian high
An M15 close above the 0.8187 swing high and the 0.8192 asian low returns price to the Asian range and invalidates the downtrend read
Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) speak during NY hours and could shift this read; the Trump–Qatar PM meeting on Iran is at 17:00 GMT
Lower highs from Asian high; London broke the Asian range low.
USD retreat on Iran-diplomacy oil relief drove a London break of the asian low at 0.8192 off the 0.8212 asian high, briefly piercing Friday's pre-NFP low at 0.8177 to a 0.8174 session low and erasing the payroll spike. Mid-London bounce to 0.8185 is testing the falling trendline, with RSI(14) near 32 and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 0.8177, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8192, 0.8212
What it said to watch
M15 close above the falling trendline and the 0.8189 38.2% retrace of the drop opens a retest of the asian low at 0.8192
Failure to hold the 0.8177 friday low and 0.8174 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed speakers (Bowman 13:40 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs from Asian high; Asian low broken in London.
Asia topped at the 0.8212 Asian high and lower highs followed. London broke the 0.8192 Asian low, then swept Friday's pre-NFP low with a 0.8174 london low. The dollar is giving back NFP gains on softer crude, and the bounce is now pressing the descending trendline near 0.8183, just below the 0.8187 breakdown pivot.
Support: 0.81742, 0.81769
Resistance: 0.81873, 0.81925, 0.82124
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8187 breakdown pivot breaks the descending trendline and puts the 0.8192 Asian low back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8174 london low extends the lower-low sequence below the pre-nfp low
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) during NY hours could shift this read
Lower highs since 0.82124 Asian high, Asian range broken lower.
London extended the Asia-session slide through the Asian low near 0.8192 and briefly swept Friday's 0.8177 pre-NFP low, printing a 0.81742 session low with RSI(14) near 28. The move tracks USD giving back part of its NFP gain on softer crude. The broken Asian low now sits overhead, near the fib 50% of the drop from the 0.82124 Asian high.
Support: 0.81742, 0.8170
Resistance: 0.8192, 0.82124
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.81742 session low exposes the 0.8170 round number
An M15 close back above the 0.8192 Asian low, around the fib 50% retrace, would undercut the downtrend read
Recovery toward the 0.82124 Asian high would put the Asian range back in play
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) in NY hours could shift USD tone ahead of Tuesday's CPI
Steady lower-high grind from the asian high; Asian range broken lower in early London.
Asia faded from the asian high at 0.82124, and early London broke the asian low at 0.81885 and Friday's post-NFP prior low at 0.81841. Softer oil is dragging USD, and the move has erased Friday's payrolls spike. The session low at 0.81757 sits just above the friday low at 0.81719, with RSI(14) near 18.
Support: 0.81757, 0.81719
Resistance: 0.81841, 0.81885, 0.82124
What it said to watch
A reclaim of the asian low at 0.81885, near the 38.2% retrace of the asian high–session low leg (~0.8190), would undercut the range-break read
Holding below the 0.81841 prior low keeps the lower-high sequence intact
Failure at the 0.81719 friday low removes the last swing support in this window
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), then Goolsbee and Barkin in the NY session, could shift December-hike pricing and this read
08:17 UTC
Downtrend, stretched into London open · RSI 22 · price 0.81767
Lower highs from the Asian high; Asian range broken to the downside.
USDCHF has slid about 37 pips from the 0.8212 Asian high, cutting through the Asian low at 0.8189 into London open and printing a session low at 0.8176. That retraces the full NFP spike back to Friday's pre-release lows as lower oil on Iran diplomacy softens the USD tone. RSI(14) near 22 is stretched, and the weekly open gap below Friday's close is still unfilled.
Support: 0.81758, 0.81657
Resistance: 0.81885, 0.82071, 0.82124
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8176 session low exposes the Friday low at 0.8166
Reclaiming the 0.8189 Asian low, near the 38.2% fib, would turn the range break into a false break
Weekly-open gap to the Friday close at 0.8207 remains unfilled; the Asian high at 0.8212 sits just above
Fed speakers Bowman 13:40 and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT during NY hours could shift December-hike pricing
Lower highs since Asian high, Asian range broken lower.
USD/CHF has faded steadily from the 0.8212 Asian high on a chain of lower highs. Into London open it broke the 0.8189 Asian low and printed a session low at 0.8177, back at the pre-NFP Friday base. That fully unwinds the payroll spike as USD gives back gains on softer oil, with RSI(14) near 22 and stretched.
Support: 0.81772, 0.81657
Resistance: 0.81885, 0.81948, 0.82124
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8177 session low exposes the 0.8166 Friday low
Recovery back above the 0.8189 Asian low and the lower highs trendline would neutralise the range break
Fib 50% of the Asia-London fade at 0.8195 is the first retracement cap above
Fed speakers Bowman 13:40 and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT could shift USD pricing during NY hours
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, oversold · RSI 19 · price 0.81812
Lower highs from 0.8212 Asian top; Asian range broken lower at London open.
USD/CHF printed an unbroken chain of lower highs from the 0.8212 Asian top, then dropped through the asian low at 0.8192 and the Friday nfp low at 0.8184 in the first hour of London, as the USD gives back post-NFP gains on softer oil and Iran diplomacy. Price sits at the 0.8180 session low with RSI(14) near 19, deep oversold, and the drop has erased the whole post-NFP spike back toward pre-NFP levels.
Support: 0.8180, 0.81716, 0.81657
Resistance: 0.81841, 0.81925, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Acceptance below the 0.8180 session low exposes the pre-nfp low at 0.8172 and the friday low at 0.8166
Reclaiming 0.8184 (nfp low) and the 38.2% fib near the asian low at 0.8192 would mark the break as a false break
The descending trendline from the 0.8212 Asian high is capping rebounds; a close above it and the 0.8200 round number breaks the lower-high chain
Fed speaker Bowman (13:40 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting (17:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asian peak · RSI 28 · price 0.81873
Lower-high/lower-low chain; Asian range broken to the downside.
USD/CHF has steadily unwound the Asia session push to the 0.8212 Asian high, printing lower highs into the London open. It slipped through the 0.8189 Asian low to a 0.8186 session low as lower oil and Iran diplomacy weigh on the USD. Price now sits just above Friday's post-NFP low at 0.8184, with RSI(14) near 28 and ATR around 3.7 pips.
Support: 0.81858, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.81885, 0.8200, 0.82124
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8184 friday low extends the lower-low chain and unwinds the post-NFP move
Reclaim of the 0.8189 asian low, then the 0.8200 round number (50% fib), would neutralise the lower-high sequence
A return above the 0.8212 asian high invalidates the downtrend read
Fed speakers (Bowman 13:40 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs off the Asian high, testing the Sunday low.
USDCHF was rejected at the Asian high of 0.8212, just shy of Friday's post-NFP nfp high at 0.8220. It has printed lower highs since, under a descending trendline, as softer oil and a weaker dollar weighed. Price is at 0.8190 ahead of London open, pressing the Sunday low at 0.8189, with RSI(14) near 23 and oversold.
Support: 0.81885, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8189 sunday low exposes Friday's nfp low at 0.8184, near the 0.8185 line where the post-NFP move starts to unwind
Reclaim of the 0.8200 round number and the descending trendline would break the lower-high sequence
Asian high at 0.8212 and nfp high at 0.8220 cap the session; acceptance above them restores the post-NFP breakout read
Fed speakers Bowman 13:40 and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT could reprice hike odds during NY hours
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.8212 asian high; Asian session gap filled then faded.
Asia rallied from the 0.8189 asian low (weekend gap) to 0.8212, filled the gap to Friday's 0.8207 close and met rejection near the 0.8205–0.8210 cap area. Since then a steady lower-high chain has carried price to the 0.8192 swing low ahead of London open, in line with softer oil and firmer risk appetite trimming USD's post-NFP gains. RSI(14) is near 38 and price is below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.81923, 0.81885, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8200 round number breaks the lower-high chain from the 0.8212 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8192 swing low and 0.8189 asian low exposes the 0.8184 friday low, the base of the post-NFP pullback
Bowman 13:40 and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT could reprice December hike odds during NY hours; a reclaim of 0.8212 brings the 0.8220 nfp high back into view
06:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend after Asian rally faded · RSI 36 · price 0.81948
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.8212 Asian high; price in lower third of the Asian range.
Monday's Asia session gapped down to the 0.8189 Asian low, then rallied to an Asian high at 0.8212, short of Friday's 0.8220 NFP high. Price has since faded in a steady lower-high sequence to a 0.8192 session low as DXY gives back part of its post-NFP gain on lower oil. RSI(14) sits near 36 and price is below both EMAs heading into London open, with the 0.8200 round number, the 38.2% fib of the Asian move, now overhead.
Support: 0.81924, 0.81885, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8192 session low exposes the 0.8189 Asian low and the 0.8184 Friday low (post-NFP pullback low)
M15 close back above the 0.8200 round number (38.2% fib) breaks the lower-high sequence
Reclaiming the 0.8212 Asian high puts the 0.8220 NFP high and the 0.8205 cap back in play
Fed speakers Bowman 13:40 and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT could shift hike pricing during NY hours ahead of Tue US CPI
06:16 UTC
Intraday downswing, lower highs since Asian high · RSI 30 · price 0.81951
Asian range 0.8189–0.8212; price back near the Asian base after rejection at the highs.
Asia filled the weekend gap and capped three times at the 0.8212 Asian high. Price then slid about 18 pips on descending highs through the 0.8200 round number as the USD faded on lower oil. Late in the Asia session, ahead of London open, price is testing the 0.8193 Asian base, with RSI(14) near 30 but not stretched.
Support: 0.81925, 0.81885, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.8189 Asian low breaks the Asian range and exposes the 0.8184 Friday low
A reclaim of the 0.8200 round number would break the descending highs and return the read to mid-range; the Asian high at 0.8212 and the 0.8220 NFP high sit above
Fed speakers Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin, plus the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT Monday, could shift USD tone and this read
06:03 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asian high · RSI 29 · price 0.81977
Gap filled, then lower-high sequence from 0.8212 into 61.8% of Asian leg.
Monday opened with a ~14-pip gap lower that Asia filled. The push stalled at the 0.8212 Asian high, short of Friday's NFP high at 0.8220, and lower highs have since taken price back through the 0.8200 round number to the 61.8% retracement of the Asian leg near 0.8198. RSI(14) is near 29 into the London open, and the fade fits the USD giving back NFP gains on falling oil and Iran-deal hopes.
Support: 0.81925, 0.81885, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8192 asia pivot and the 0.8189 asian low would retrace the full Asian leg back to the gap low
Reclaim of the 0.8200 round number breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8212 asian high back in focus
Below the asian low, the 0.8184 nfp pb low (Friday's post-NFP pullback low) is the next reference
Friday's 0.8220 nfp high remains the cap; acceptance above it would align with a break of the 0.8205 consolidation ceiling
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT), plus the Trump–Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT, could shift USD tone later today
05:47 UTC
Intraday pullback inside Asian range · RSI 43 · price 0.81999
Asian range 0.81925–0.82124; lower highs from the session high, price at the 61.8% fib.
Monday's Asia session opened about 14 pips below Friday's 0.82071 close, filled the gap and printed an Asian high at 0.82124. Price has since faded on a string of lower highs back to the 61.8% fib of the Asia leg near 0.8200, with a pullback low at 0.81983, ahead of London open. The fade fits the USD easing on lower oil and Iran-deal hopes.
Support: 0.81983, 0.81925, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.82071, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.81925 Asian low breaks the session range and exposes the 0.81841 Friday low, near the 0.8185 pivot flagged in the CHF digest
Reclaim of the 0.82071 Friday close puts the 0.82124 Asian high back in play, with the 0.82204 NFP high above
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) and the Trump–Qatar Iran talks (17:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
ATR(14) near 3 pips reflects thin Asian ranges; London open typically expands this
Inside 0.8192–0.8212 Asian range after weekend gap fill; lower highs off the top.
The weekend gap lower to 0.8193 filled early in the Asia session. The rally then stalled on three tests of the 0.8212 Asia high and faded back to 0.8199, the 61.8% retracement of the Asia leg. That fade lines up with softer USD on lower oil and Iran-deal hopes; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 45.
Support: 0.8199, 0.8192, 0.8184
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 Asia low breaks the session range and exposes the Friday low at 0.8184
Recovery through the 0.8212 Asia high reopens the 0.8220 NFP high
London open in ~2.5h; Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and the Trump–Qatar Iran talks (17:00 GMT) could shift USD tone
05:16 UTC
Intraday pullback after Asian rally · RSI 42 · price 0.82003
Double top at 0.8212 Asian high, retracing toward mid-range.
The weekend gap down to the 0.8189 Asian low was filled during the Asia session, but the rally stalled in a double top at the 0.8212 Asian high. The rejection broke the Asian rising trendline and has pulled price to the 50% fib of the Asian leg at 0.8200 as USD eases on lower oil and Iran-deal hopes, with the 0.8192 Asian pivot the nearer support.
Support: 0.8192, 0.8189
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 asian pivot confirms the double top and exposes the 0.8189 asian low
Reclaim of the 0.8212 asian high negates the rejection and puts Friday's 0.8220 nfp high back in play
Broken Asian rising trendline keeps the pullback read intact while price stays below 0.8212
London open in ~3h likely defines the session range; Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and the Trump–Qatar Iran talks (17:00 GMT) could shift USD tone
Asian higher lows from 0.8193 to a 0.8212 session high; shallow pullback underway.
Asia filled the weekend gap and stepped higher from the 0.8193 asian base to a 0.8212 asian high, firm despite DXY easing. Price is drifting back to 0.8206 just under EMA20 ahead of London open, near the 38.2% of the Asian rally, with the 0.8202 swing low the first shelf below.
Support: 0.82021, 0.81925
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8202 swing low (61.8% of the Asian rally near 0.8200) breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8193 asian base
Close above the 0.8212 asian high opens a retest of the 0.8220 nfp high from Friday
Fedspeak from Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) could shift USD tone during NY hours
Higher-low chain off the Asian low, tight 0.8208–0.8212 compression.
Asia opened roughly 14 pips below Friday's 0.8207 close. Higher lows from the 0.8192 Asian low filled that gap and printed a session high at 0.8212. Late in the Asia session the pair is compressing above the 0.8200 round number and below Friday's 0.8220 NFP high, as USD eases on lower oil.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81925
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8200 round number and the rising lows trendline breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.8192 asian low
Close above the 0.8212 session high reopens the 0.8220 nfp high
Holding the 0.8202–0.8205 asian leg 38–50% retracement keeps the higher-low sequence intact
London open could expand the narrow Asian range
Fedspeak from 13:40 UTC (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) and Tuesday's US CPI could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 58 · price 0.82107
Monday opening gap filled; higher lows into a tight range under 0.8212.
Monday's gap down to 0.8189 was fully filled during the Asia session, with rising lows carrying price to a session high at 0.8212. Price is now compressing just under that high on a roughly 4-pip ATR, despite the broader USD giveback in Asia. Friday's post-NFP high at 0.8220 sits overhead.
Support: 0.81993, 0.81925
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8212 session high exposes the post-NFP high at 0.8220
Break of the rising-lows trendline and the 0.8199 higher low reopens the 0.8192 asia base
London open in ~3h is likely to expand the narrow late-Asia range
Fed speakers Bowman 13:40 UTC, Goolsbee 15:00 and Barkin 17:15 could shift USD ahead of Tuesday's CPI
HH/HL chain off the Monday gap low, pressing the Asian session high.
Monday's opening gap down to the 0.8189 asian low was filled during Asia. Price is now retesting Friday's post-NFP zone through a steady HH/HL chain to a 0.8212 asian high, with RSI(14) near 62 and not stretched. The last few bars have compressed under that high ahead of London open.
Support: 0.82071, 0.82021, 0.81885
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8207 gap fill puts the Asian HH/HL chain at risk; losing the 0.8202 swing low confirms a lower-low
Acceptance above the 0.8212 asian high opens a retest of the 0.8220 nfp high from Friday
Break of the asian trendline near 0.8210 would signal the Asian advance stalling
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin speak today ahead of Tuesday's US CPI, which could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Uptrend within Asia session, momentum flattening · RSI 61 · price 0.82099
Monday gap filled; higher lows from the Asian low, price capped under the Asian high.
Monday opened with a gap roughly 14 pips lower. Asia session has since filled it with a higher-low chain from the 0.8192 asian low to a 0.8212 asian high, just under Friday's post-NFP high at 0.8220. Price is holding above the 0.8207 gap fill despite the broader early-Asia USD fade, with RSI(14) near 61 and ATR compressed to about 4.6 pips.
Support: 0.82071, 0.8200, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8220 friday high extends the post-NFP leg; repeated failure at the 0.8212 asian high keeps the session range intact
A break of the rising trendline and the 0.8200 round number (near the 50% fib of the Asia leg) reopens the 0.8192 asian low
London open in ~3h typically tests the Asian range edges
Fedspeak from Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) ahead of Tuesday's US CPI could reprice Fed hike odds and shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since the weekend gap; price pressing the session high.
Monday's Asia session opened about 14 pips below Friday's close of 0.8207. After an Asian low at 0.81885, a steady higher-low chain filled the gap and lifted price to a session high at 0.82124, even as the broader USD fades in early Asia. RSI(14) is near 66, not stretched, and the next overhead level is Friday's post-NFP prior high at 0.82204.
Support: 0.82071, 0.82021, 0.81885
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82124 session high opens the 0.82204 prior high
Failure to hold 0.82071 (fri close) breaks the higher-low chain; a loss of the 0.82021 swing low and the Asia trendline shifts the read back toward the gap zone
Return below the 0.81885 asian low would negate the gap fill
London open in ~4.5h tests whether the Asian range holds; Fedspeak from 13:40 UTC and Tuesday's US CPI are the next scheduled USD risk
03:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since Monday open · RSI 62 · price 0.82108
Weekend gap filled; HL chain pressing Asian high.
Monday's Asia session gapped about 14 pips below the Friday close (fri close 0.8207) and bottomed at the 0.8189 Asian low. It has since filled the gap on a higher-low chain (0.8199 higher low) into a fresh Asian high at 0.8212, even as the broader dollar fades in early Asia. Price sits just under that high, with Friday's 0.8220 NFP high overhead and RSI(14) near 62, not stretched.
Support: 0.82071, 0.81993, 0.81885
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8212 Asian high exposes the 0.8220 NFP high
Slip back below the 0.8207 fri close would put the gap fill at risk
Break of the 0.8199 higher low ends the Asian uptrend sequence
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin speak from 13:40 UTC; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger risk to this read
03:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, grinding higher in Asia · RSI 62 · price 0.82084
Higher highs and higher lows off the Asian low after the weekend gap filled.
The Asia session opened with a weekend gap lower, then filled it back to Friday's 0.8207 close. Price has stepped up from the 0.8193 asian low along a rising trendline to a 0.8211 session high, with the 0.8202 higher low the latest pivot. USD is holding its post-NFP gains after Friday's pullback found support at the 61.8% of the NFP leg near 0.8184, and the 0.8220 friday high is the next cap overhead.
Support: 0.8202, 0.8193
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8220 friday high clears the NFP spike high and the 0.8205 resistance zone
Break of the 0.8202 higher low and the rising trendline ends the Asia HH/HL chain
Loss of the 0.8193 asian low reopens the gap area
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin later Monday could shift USD pricing ahead of Tuesday's CPI
02:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, grinding higher in Asia · RSI 56 · price 0.82093
Higher lows since 00:00 UTC, weekend gap filled, testing session high.
The weekend gap lower to 0.8189 was fully filled during the Asia session. The pair reclaimed Friday's 0.8207 close and printed higher lows at 0.8199 and 0.8202, holding the post-NFP bid despite the broader Asia USD fade. Price is pressing the 0.8211 session high, still below the 0.8220 NFP high, with RSI(14) in the mid-50s and no stretch.
Support: 0.82071, 0.82021, 0.81925
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82204
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8211 session high extends the higher-high chain and opens the path toward the 0.8220 NFP high.
A break below the 0.8202 higher low and the trendline undoes the Asia uptrend structure; failure to hold Friday's close at 0.8207 is the first sign.
A drop below the 0.8193 Asian low re-opens the weekend gap area toward 0.8189.
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) could shift the read today. Tuesday's US CPI is the larger risk to this structure.
02:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asia low · RSI 59 · price 0.82102
Higher-low chain since Monday open, gap filled, pressing Friday's late high.
Monday's Asia session opened about 14 pips below Friday's 0.8207 close as USD faded early. Price then built a higher-low chain from the 0.8189 Asia low and has filled the gap. It is now pressing 0.8210, Friday's late high, with RSI(14) near 59. The post-NFP 0.8220 spike high is the next reference above.
Support: 0.82071, 0.81993, 0.81885
Resistance: 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8207 Friday close would turn the gap fill into a failed retest
Break of the 0.8199 higher low snaps the Asia trendline and the HL sequence
Acceptance above the 0.8220 NFP high clears Friday's post-payrolls range
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) today, plus US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend after Monday gap fill · RSI 57 · price 0.82053
Higher lows off 0.8193, testing session high.
Asia session opened with a ~14-pip gap lower that has since filled. Price reclaimed Friday's 0.8207 close and printed a session high at 0.8209, while a higher low at 0.8199 holds above the 0.8193 Asian low. USD is holding its Friday NFP gains despite a softer Asian tone elsewhere, with RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 0.81993, 0.81925
Resistance: 0.82091, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8209 session high reopens Friday's 0.8220 NFP high
Loss of the 0.8199 higher low and the rising trendline turns the Asia structure back into a range
Break below the 0.8193 Asian low reopens the gap and flips the read
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) later today; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger risk
Weekend gap filled, Asian higher-low chain under 0.8209 cap.
Monday's Asia session opened about 14 pips below Friday's 0.8207 close as USD gave back part of the NFP pop on Iran-peace hopes. The gap has since filled. Price has built higher lows from the 0.8189 asian low through the 0.8193 swing low to the 0.8199 higher low, while the 0.8209 asian high capped two pushes. Price is pinned near both EMAs, with RSI(14) neutral around 54.
Support: 0.81993, 0.81925, 0.81885
Resistance: 0.82091, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8209 asian high reopens Friday's 0.8220 nfp high
Break below the 0.8199 higher low and the 0.8193 swing low trendline undoes the Asian recovery and exposes the 0.8189 asian low
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) during NY hours could shift this read ahead of Tuesday's US CPI
01:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows in Asia · RSI 58 · price 0.82085
Weekend gap filled, testing Friday's late high.
The Asian session has filled Monday's ~14-pip gap down. Buyers stepped in twice at the 0.8193 asian low, and price retook Friday's 0.8207 close as the post-NFP dollar bid carries over. Price is now pressing the 0.8210 fri high, with rising lows intact and the 0.8199 swing low the nearest pivot.
Support: 0.81993, 0.81925, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.8210, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8210 fri high opens the 0.8220 nfp high
Break below the 0.8199 swing low exposes the asian low at 0.8193
Loss of 0.8193 brings the 0.8184 post-nfp low into play and negates the gap-fill read
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) could shift this read ahead of Tuesday's US CPI
Asian range 0.8189–0.8209; gap filled, price back at range midpoint.
Monday's Asia session opened about 14 pips below Friday's 0.8207 close, then filled the gap and was rejected at the 0.8209 session high. Price is now back near the 50% level of the Asian swing fib at 0.8193–0.8209, sitting on flat EMAs with RSI(14) neutral at 53. Friday's NFP beat (165K vs 65K) still holds the pair above 0.8200, at the top of the digest's 0.8125–0.8185 range.
Support: 0.81925, 0.81885
Resistance: 0.82086, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8193 double low reopens the 0.8189 gap low and breaks the Asian range
Close above the 0.8209 session high exposes the 0.8220 nfp high, near the 0.8205 resistance flagged in the digest
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin speak during NY hours and could shift the read on Fed hike pricing
London open is likely to set the session range out of the current Asian range
01:16 UTC
Flat in early Asia after gap fill · RSI 47 · price 0.82024
Asian range 0.81885–0.82086 inside Friday's post-NFP swing.
Monday opened about 14 pips below Friday's 0.82071 close. The open dip to 0.81885 held near the 78.6% level of the Friday recovery fib. The gap has since filled, with a rejection at the 0.82086 session high pulling price back to 0.8202, where it sits on flat EMAs; the Asian low at 0.81925 has been tested twice. Friday's NFP-driven dollar bid still frames the 0.81841–0.82204 swing.
Support: 0.81925, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.82086, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82086 session high reopens the 0.82204 NFP high
Failure to hold the 0.81925 Asian low exposes the 0.81841 NFP pullback (nfp pb low)
A move below the 78.6% level of the Friday recovery fib (~0.8190) breaks the post-NFP recovery structure
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin today could shift December hike pricing; US CPI is due Tue 13:30 UTC
01:02 UTC
Post-NFP uptrend, gap filled · RSI 53 · price 0.82057
Higher lows in Asia session, testing Friday close.
Monday opened with a ~14-pip gap lower to the 0.8188 gap low, which Asia session has fully filled with a push to 0.8208 as the NFP-driven USD bid carries over. Twin lows near 0.8193 held during the Asian range, and price now sits just under Friday's late high at 0.8210.
Support: 0.81925, 0.81885
Resistance: 0.8210, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8210 fri late high exposes the 0.8220 NFP high, near the cited 0.8205 resistance zone
Break of the 0.8193 twin lows undercuts the Asia higher-low trendline and puts the 0.8188 gap low back in play
Fed speakers from 13:40 UTC (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) could reprice December hike odds and shift this read
00:46 UTC
Neutral, holding gains from the NFP rally · RSI 50 · price 0.82012
Early Asia range 0.8189–0.8204 after weekend gap down.
Monday opened about 14 pips below Friday's 0.8207 close. Buyers stepped in at the 0.8189 asian low and again at the 0.8193 swing low, and price is now back at 0.8201, pressing the 0.8204 asian high with the gap fill still open. Price sits near the 50% retracement of the NFP leg (0.8179–0.8220) that followed Friday's payrolls beat, and RSI(14) is flat near 50.
Support: 0.81925, 0.81885, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.82041, 0.82071, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8204 asian high exposes the 0.8207 gap fill, then the 0.8220 nfp high
Loss of the 0.8189 asian low opens the 0.8184 nfp pullback low and the 61.8% fib near 0.8196 fails
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin (13:40–17:15 UTC) could shift the read once NY is underway
Early Asia range 0.81885–0.82041 below Friday's close, gap unfilled.
Monday's Asia session opened about 14 pips below Friday's close at 0.82071. Price is chopping in a 0.81885–0.82041 range around the 61.8% retracement of the NFP leg. Buyers held the 0.8193 asia floor three times. The gap left after the NFP spike to the 0.8220 nfp high remains unfilled.
Support: 0.81925, 0.81885, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.82041, 0.82071, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82041 session high opens a gap fill toward the 0.82071 friday close
Loss of the 0.8193 asia floor exposes the 0.81885 open low and the 0.81841 friday low, the 78.6–88.6% zone of the NFP leg fib
Fed speakers Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin (13:40–17:15 UTC) could shift USD direction during NY hours
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger risk to the current range
00:16 UTC
Post-NFP pullback, gapped lower at the open · RSI 41 · price 0.81943
Tight early-Asia range below an unfilled weekend gap.
The Asia session opened about 14 pips below the 0.8207 Friday close, giving back most of the NFP leg that peaked at the 0.8220 NFP high. Mild Iran de-escalation headlines trimmed some haven USD support. A pop to the 0.8204 session high was rejected, and the 0.8192–0.8193 intraday low has held three times since, with price below EMA20/50 in thin liquidity.
Support: 0.81925, 0.81885, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.82041, 0.82071, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 intraday low exposes the 0.8188 open low, then the 0.8184 NY swing low from Friday
Reclaim of the 0.8204 session high reopens a gap fill toward the 0.8207 Friday close
Holding above 0.8184 keeps the NFP leg fib retracement intact; a break below it largely erases the NFP leg
Fedspeak from 13:40 UTC Monday (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) and US CPI on Tuesday could materially shift this read
Weekly-open gap down, tight Asian range below Friday close.
The week opened with a 14-pip gap below Friday's 0.8207 close. Early Asia rejected the 0.8204 asia high and is ranging between 0.8192 and 0.8204. Price sits near the 38.2–50% retrace of the NFP rally fib, below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 39, while USD holds Friday's payrolls gains.
Support: 0.81925, 0.81885, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.82041, 0.82071, 0.82204
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8192 asia low and 0.8188 open low exposes the 0.8184 fri ny low, near the 61.8% of the NFP rally fib
M15 close above 0.8207 fills the gap and reopens the 0.8220 friday high
Monday Fedspeak from 13:40 UTC and US CPI on Tue at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read