USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 9 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Uptrend since Thursday, stalling at week high · RSI 54 · price 0.81939
Higher lows intact after a rejection from 0.8227.
USD/CHF broke out of the mid-week 0.8125–0.8185 range on Friday's NFP beat, setting the nfp high at 0.8220. Monday's first hour of NY carried it to a week high of 0.8227. Supply capped the move there, and price rotated back to 0.8194 as oil and US yields slid on US-Iran ceasefire hopes. The higher lows from Thursday's swing low at 0.8133 still hold through Monday's london low (0.8174) and today's ny low (0.8187); price sits just under EMA(20), above EMA(50), near the 38.2% retracement of the NFP leg, with RSI(14) back to the mid-50s.
Support: 0.81874, 0.81742, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82204, 0.82267
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above the asia high at 0.8212 puts the nfp high 0.8220 and week high 0.8227 back in play
Break of the ny low 0.8187 and the higher-lows trendline exposes the london low 0.8174 near the 50% of the nfp leg fib
Failure to hold 0.8174 confirms a lower-low and reopens the old range, with the swing low at 0.8133 the deeper reference
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC, preceded by Waller at 09:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
22:03 UTC
Uptrend since mid-week low, momentum fading after failed high · RSI 54 · price 0.81943
Higher lows intact; post-NFP break of 0.8127–0.8186 range, Monday high rejected.
Last week's 0.8127 range low to 0.8186 range held from Wednesday to Thursday, then broke higher in Friday's NY session on the 165K NFP beat. Monday's Asia push to 0.8212 faded in London to the monday low at 0.8174, and an NY spike to a week high of 0.8227 cleared the friday high but failed to hold as the dollar softened on Iran-deal headlines and lower oil. Price is back under ema20 near 0.8197 at 0.8194, with the higher-lows trendline from Thursday, the 38.2% fib and the weekly open at 0.8185 clustered just below.
Support: 0.8185, 0.8174, 0.8127
Resistance: 0.8197, 0.8220, 0.8227
What it said to watch
US October CPI Tue 13:30 UTC (Waller 09:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
H1 close below the weekly open and higher-lows trendline near 0.8185 puts price back inside last week's range
Loss of the monday low at 0.8174 opens the path toward the 61.8% fib near 0.8165 and the 0.8127 range low
H1 close back above the friday high and week high at 0.8220–0.8227 negates the false break
Higher lows intact; post-NFP breakout retesting old range top after rejection at the week high.
Friday's 165K NFP beat broke the 0.8125–0.8185 range during NY hours. The higher-low sequence from Wednesday's 0.8127 week low (0.8133, 0.8148, then the 0.8174 Monday low) is still intact. Monday's early-NY push to a 0.8227 week high was rejected as Iran-deal hopes pulled oil and yields lower, and price slid back to the old range top near 0.8185, in line with the 38.2% level of the week rally fib; it now sits just under EMA(20) near 0.8197 and below the 0.8207 Friday close, with RSI(14) back at 48.
Support: 0.8185, 0.8174, 0.8127
Resistance: 0.8197, 0.8207, 0.8227
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC (core MoM f/c 0.2%) could materially shift this read; Fed's Waller speaks at 09:00 UTC beforehand
H1 close below the 0.8185 range top and the higher lows trendline (~0.8180) puts price back inside the old range, with the 0.8174 Monday low next
Reclaiming EMA(20) and the 0.8207 Friday close re-exposes the 0.8227 week high
Failure to hold the 0.8174 Monday low breaks the higher-low sequence and turns the 0.8127 week low into the next reference
20:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 48 · price 0.81917
Post-NFP breakout retesting range top.
Friday's 165K NFP beat broke USD/CHF out of the 0.8125–0.8185 range. Monday's NY open extended the move to a week high at 0.8227, but price was rejected and unwound into late NY as the dollar softened on US-Iran ceasefire hopes and lower yields. Price is back at 0.8192, below EMA(20) and on the 38.2% retracement of the 0.8133–0.8227 leg, with RSI(14) down to ~48 from 65, and the range top at 0.8185 and the higher-lows trendline near the 50% fib at 0.8180 are the nearest structure above the 0.8174 Monday low.
Support: 0.8185, 0.8180, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8207, 0.8220, 0.8227
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 0.8185 range top returns price to the old range and fails the breakout
Loss of the higher-lows trendline and 50% fib near 0.8180, then the 0.8174 Monday low, breaks this week's higher-low sequence
Recovery above the 0.8207 friday close reopens the 0.8220 nfp high and 0.8227 week high
Fed's Waller (Tue 09:00 UTC) and US October CPI (Tue 13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USD/CHF has printed higher lows since Wednesday's 0.8127 post-midterm low, and Friday's NFP beat broke the 0.8125–0.8185 range during NY hours. Monday's London dip to the monday low at 0.8174 retested the old range top and the weekly open near 0.8185. The NY session then lifted the pair to a 0.8227 week high despite broad USD softness. Price is now easing back toward 0.8206, still above EMA(20) near 0.8200, with RSI(14) around 56 and well off overbought.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81848, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.82204, 0.82267
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read; core consensus is 0.2% MoM
H1 close above the 0.8227 week high extends the higher-high sequence; the friday high at 0.8220 is the first cap
Sustained trade below EMA(20) at 0.8200 puts the weekly open and the 38.2% rally fib near 0.8185–0.8189 back in play
Break below the monday low at 0.8174 and the higher-lows trendline ends the sequence of higher lows
18:03 UTC
Uptrend since Thursday's low, momentum cooling below week high · RSI 56 · price 0.82112
Higher lows above broken 0.8125–0.8185 range; new week high 0.8227 then pullback.
Friday's NFP beat broke the 0.8125–0.8185 range, and the higher-low line from Thursday's 0.8133 low has held since. Monday gapped about 22 pips below the 0.8207 friday close and filled it in Asia. London then retested the old range top at the 0.8174 monday low, inside the 50–61.8% zone of the rally fib. The NY session drove a new week high at 0.8227, with CHF softer on risk-on even as USD was broadly weak. Price is now holding above the friday high zone and EMA20 near 0.8199, with RSI back to the mid-50s.
Support: 0.82071, 0.81993, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.82204, 0.82267
What it said to watch
Hourly closes back below the 0.8207 friday close and ema20 (~0.8199) would mark a failed hold above the 0.8205 cap.
A return below 0.8185 would put price back inside the old range and break the higher-low line near the 0.8174 monday low.
A close above the 0.8227 week high extends the post-NFP leg; repeated rejection there with fading RSI points to a stall below the friday high/week high band.
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC, with Waller at 09:00 UTC, could materially shift this read.
17:02 UTC
Uptrend since Friday's range break, fresh week high in NY · RSI 56 · price 0.8211
Higher lows above old 0.8125–0.8185 range, old range top retested Monday.
USD/CHF broke out of the 0.8125–0.8185 range after Friday's NFP beat lifted Fed-hike pricing toward 78%. Monday's London session dip to the 0.8174 monday low retested the old range top near the 0.8185 weekly open, and held close to the 50% level of the rally fib. The NY session then pushed through the 0.8220 nfp high to a fresh week high at 0.8227 before easing toward the 0.8207 prior close, with price above EMA(20) and RSI(14) in the mid-50s.
Support: 0.8207, 0.8185, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.8227
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 0.8185 weekly open returns price to the old range
Failure to hold the 0.8174 monday low breaks the higher lows sequence from Thursday
Sustained trade above the 0.8227 week high extends the post-NFP leg
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read; Trump–Qatar PM headlines and oil also in play
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, pressing Friday's high · RSI 61 · price 0.82201
Higher lows since Wednesday, old 0.8125–0.8185 range broken.
Since Wednesday's 0.8127 low the pair has printed higher lows. Friday's NFP beat broke the 0.8125–0.8185 range, and the first hour of NY on Monday pushed to a 0.8227 session high as CHF softened on ~78% Fed-hike pricing. The London dip to the 0.8174 london low held well above the rising higher-lows trendline. Price sits back above EMA(20) and EMA(50) and is testing the 0.8220 friday high, with RSI(14) near 61 after the Wed–Mon rally.
Support: 0.82124, 0.81848, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.82204, 0.82267, 0.8250
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8227 session high extends the higher-high sequence and opens the path to the 0.8250 round number
Rejection at the 0.8220 friday high and a slip below the 0.8212 asia high and 0.8185 weekly open would put price back inside the old range
Break of the higher-lows trendline and the 0.8174 london low ends the sequence and exposes the 50% retracement of the Wed–Mon rally near 0.8177
Barkin at 17:15 UTC today, Waller Tue 09:00 UTC and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, pressing the week high · RSI 58 · price 0.82154
Higher lows since Wednesday; old 0.8125–0.8185 range broken on NFP.
Higher lows have built since Wednesday's 0.8127 election-driven low. Friday's 165K NFP beat broke the old 0.8125–0.8185 range and printed the 0.8220 week high to complete the Wednesday-to-Friday rally. Monday's London dip held at the 0.8174 monday low, the 50% retracement of that rally, and the NY session reclaimed EMA(20) with a 30-pip bar through the 0.8212 asia high to 0.8215, while RSI(14) near 58 shows no stretch.
Support: 0.82124, 0.81848, 0.81742
Resistance: 0.82204, 0.8250
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8220 week high extends the post-NFP leg, with the 0.8250 round number the next reference
Rejection under 0.8220 followed by a slip back below the 0.8212 asia high would leave a double-top shape at the week high
Loss of the 0.8185 weekly open and the higher-lows trendline (~0.8177) puts the 0.8174 monday low and the old range back in focus
Fed speakers today (Goolsbee, Barkin) and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Wednesday; retesting old 0.8185 range top after Friday's range break.
Wednesday's Asia-session flush to 0.8127 on midterm USD selling gave way to a run of higher lows, including Thursday's 0.8133 swing low. Friday's NFP beat then broke the 0.8133–0.8186 range during NY hours, running to a 0.8220 week high. Monday gapped lower, recovered to a 0.8212 Asian high, then slipped through London as USD softened on US-Iran peace hopes and lower oil; demand stepped in at the 0.8174 Monday low, near the 50% retrace of the NFP impulse and the higher-low trendline. Price is now retesting the weekly open and old range top at 0.8185, just below EMA(20) near 0.8190 and fractionally above EMA(50) near 0.8185, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.81848, 0.81742, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81941, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8174 Monday low and the higher-low trendline would break the sequence since Thursday and expose the 61.8% of the NFP impulse at 0.8166
Reclaiming the 0.8194 session high and EMA(20) puts the 0.8212 Asian high and 0.8220 week high back in focus
Acceptance below the weekly open at 0.8185 would reframe Friday's range break as a false break, with the 0.8133 swing low as the deeper reference
US October CPI Tue 13:30 UTC and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT (oil/Iran headlines) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since 0.8127; Monday lower high at 0.8212 under the NFP high.
USD/CHF has carved higher lows since Wednesday's post-midterm 0.8127 low, and Friday's 165K NFP beat drove the move to the 0.8220 NFP high during NY hours. Monday gapped lower at the open and set a lower high at 0.8212 in the Asia session. The London session then faded the pair to 0.8174, just below the 50% retracement, as oil slid on Iran-deal hopes. Price has since reclaimed the weekly open at 0.8185 and sits at the 38.2% fib, capped just under EMA(20) near 0.8190 with RSI(14) back in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.81848, 0.81742, 0.81661
Resistance: 0.81904, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8174 monday low and the higher-lows trendline would break the sequence of higher lows from Thursday and expose the 61.8% fib at 0.8166
Failure to hold the weekly open at 0.8185 keeps price trapped below ema20
H1 close above the 0.8212 monday high reopens the 0.8220 nfp high and the 0.8205–0.8210 cap
Fed speakers (Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00 GMT) and the Trump-Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift this read today
US October CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this structure
Higher lows since Wednesday; Monday printed a lower high below 0.8220.
USD/CHF has built higher lows off the 0.8127 2-month low from Wednesday's Asia session, and Friday's NFP beat drove the leg up to the 0.8220 nfp high. Monday's opening gap lower was filled in Asia, but supply capped price at the 0.8212 monday high, a lower high. The London session then pushed it to the 0.8174 monday low, near the 50% retracement of the NFP leg. Price now sits below EMA(20) at 0.8191 and just under EMA(50), with RSI(14) near 43, as risk-on USD softness offsets Fed-hike pricing.
Support: 0.8174, 0.8148, 0.8127
Resistance: 0.8191, 0.8212, 0.8220
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8212 monday high and the 0.8220 nfp high breaks the lower-high read
Failure to hold the 0.8174 monday low and the higher-low line exposes the 0.8148 swing low
A break of the 0.8148 swing low brings the 0.8127 2-month low back into view
Reclaiming EMA(20) at 0.8191 would show the Monday pullback being absorbed
Fed speakers today, the Trump–Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT and US CPI on Tue at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USD/CHF opened the week with a gap down to the 0.8185 weekly open and filled it in the Asia session. It stalled at a Monday high of 0.8212, just shy of Friday's NFP high at 0.8220, then gave back about 38 pips in London as the dollar retreated on lower oil and firmer risk appetite. The pullback is holding the Monday low at 0.8174, near the 50% retracement of the Thursday low-to-NFP rally, so the higher-lows trendline is intact. Price sits beneath the weekly open, EMA(20) at 0.8193 and EMA(50) near 0.8185, with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.81742, 0.81661, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81848, 0.81927, 0.82124
What it said to watch
H1 close below the monday low 0.8174 and the fib 61.8 at 0.8166 would break the higher-lows trendline and expose the thursday low at 0.8133
Recovery back above the weekly open 0.8185 and ema20 0.8193 would put the monday high 0.8212 and NFP high 0.8220 back in focus
Fed speakers (Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift USD tone during NY hours
US CPI on Tue 13:30 GMT is the main event risk for this structure
Higher lows since Thursday; Monday lower high under week high.
Higher lows have built since Thursday's 0.8133 NY-session thu low, and Friday's NFP beat drove the NY leg to the 0.8220 nfp high. Monday's gap lower filled during the Asia session to a 0.8212 asia high. London then faded it below the weekly open and both EMAs as USD softened on lower oil and Iran-peace hopes. The 0.8174 london low now sits on the higher-low trendline, just under the 50% level of the Thursday–Friday rally fib, with RSI(14) slipping to 43 from the low 60s.
Support: 0.81742, 0.81661, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81848, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8174 london low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.8166
Recovery above the 0.8185 weekly open and EMA(50) returns focus to the 0.8212 asia high and 0.8220 nfp high
Loss of the 0.8133 thu low re-exposes the 0.8127 two-month low
Fed speakers today and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT (core MoM f/c 0.2%) could materially shift this read
Since the post-midterm drop to the 0.8127 2-month low, USDCHF has carved a 0.8127–0.8220 range with higher lows. Friday's NFP beat (165K) pushed it to the 0.8220 week high. Monday gapped lower from Friday's 0.8207 close and recovered to 0.8212 in the Asia session, a lower high. Supply capped it there, and the London open sold it back to the 0.8174 Monday low, near the 50% retracement of the Thursday–Friday NFP leg fib. Price now sits under the weekly open at 0.8185 and the H1 EMA20 near 0.8194, with RSI(14) back near 41.
Support: 0.81742, 0.81475, 0.81273
Resistance: 0.81848, 0.8194, 0.82204
What it said to watch
H1 acceptance back above the weekly open and EMA20 (0.8185–0.8194) would restore the higher-low sequence within the range
A break of the 0.8174 Monday low and the higher-low line exposes the 0.8148 swing low, then the 0.8127 2-month low
H1 close above the 0.8220 week high, above UOB's 0.8205 cap, would break the range and the lower high
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) today, plus the Trump–Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT, could shift hike pricing
US October CPI Tue 13:30 UTC (core MoM f/c 0.2%) could materially shift this read
Lower high Monday after gap-down open; retesting old range top.
Last week's three tests of the 0.8127–0.8135 range floor held. Friday's 165K NFP beat then drove the NFP leg through the 0.8185 range top to the 0.8220 NFP high. The week opened with a gap down to 0.8185. Monday's Asia rally stalled at the 0.8212 Monday high, a lower high that sets the lower-highs line. London-open selling then pulled price to the 0.8177 Monday low, which sits right on the 50% retrace of the NFP leg. Price now trades below the weekly open, EMA(20) near 0.8194 and EMA(50) near 0.8185, with RSI(14) slipping to the high 30s as softer oil and Iran diplomacy trim the post-payroll USD bid.
Support: 0.81772, 0.81661, 0.8133
Resistance: 0.81848, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8177 Monday low and 50% fib exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.8166
A break of 0.8166 puts the 0.8130–0.8133 range floor back in play and undoes the NFP leg
Reclaiming the 0.8185 weekly open and EMA(20) near 0.8194 restores the breakout-retest read
A close above the 0.8212 Monday high and 0.8220 NFP high clears the lower-highs line
Fed speakers today (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Range break Friday; lower high at 0.8212 below the 0.8220 NFP high.
USD/CHF broke out of the Wednesday–Thursday 0.8130–0.8185 range during NY hours Friday as the 165K NFP beat lifted Fed-hike pricing, printing the NFP high at 0.8220. Monday's gap down to the 0.8185 weekly open drew demand through the Asia session, but the rebound stalled at the 0.8212 Monday high, a lower high, and price has slipped back under EMA(20) at 0.8196 into the London open with RSI(14) flat near 49. The weekly open sits alongside Friday's post-NFP low and the 38.2% retracement of the NFP impulse, with the 50% fib at 0.8177 below.
Support: 0.81848, 0.81765, 0.8133
Resistance: 0.81959, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
An H1 close below the 0.8185 weekly open reopens the 0.8130–0.8185 range, with the range low at 0.8133 back in view
An H1 close above the 0.8212 Monday high breaks the lower-highs line from 0.8220 and puts the NFP high retest in play
Fed speakers today (Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00, Barkin 17:15 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift hike pricing during the NY session
US October CPI on Tue 13:30 GMT is the main event risk for this structure
06:04 UTC
Up from Thursday's low, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 0.81979
Friday's 165K NFP beat broke the pair out of the 0.8130–0.8185 band that held Wednesday and Thursday, printing the nfp high at 0.8220 during NY hours. Monday's gap down to the weekly open at 0.8185 was filled through the friday close in the Asian session, but price stalled at the 0.8212 monday high and slipped back as lower oil and Iran-deal hopes trimmed USD. Price now sits on EMA(20) near 0.8198 with RSI(14) flat at 52, and the 23.6% retracement of the NFP impulse is also at that level.
Support: 0.81848, 0.81765, 0.81273
Resistance: 0.82071, 0.82124, 0.82204
What it said to watch
H1 close below the weekly open at 0.8185, which aligns with the 38.2% fib and the old band top, would put the breakout in doubt and expose the 50% fib at 0.8177. A deeper slide brings the 0.8130 range low back into view.
A break of the higher-lows trendline from Thursday's NY low, now near 0.8190, would end the higher-low sequence on this timeframe.
Acceptance above the 0.8212 monday high and the 0.8220 nfp high extends the breakout. Another failure there leaves a lower high below the friday close.
Fed speakers (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) and the Trump–Qatar talks at 17:00 GMT Monday, then US CPI on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT, could materially shift this read.
Higher lows since Wednesday; post-NFP range break above 0.8185, gap retested.
Wednesday's two-month low at 0.8127 and Thursday's NY swing low at 0.8133 held. Friday's NFP beat (165K vs 65K) then lifted the pair out of the 0.8130–0.8185 range during NY hours to a 0.8220 week high, completing a series of higher lows. Monday's Asia session opened with a gap down to the 0.8185 gap low, near the 38.2% of the NFP leg fib and the old range top. The gap has since filled, and price is holding just above EMA(20) at 0.8199 with RSI(14) near 59, while the Asia high at 0.8212 sits under the week high.
Support: 0.8199, 0.8185, 0.8133
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.8220
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 0.8185 gap low would return price to the prior range and break the higher lows sequence
Close above the 0.8220 week high extends the post-NFP leg
Monday's gap open briefly undercut the higher lows trendline; a sustained loss of ema20 near 0.8199 weakens the read
Loss of the 0.8133 swing low would put the 0.8127 two-month low back in play
Fedspeak today (Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00 UTC) and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Uptrend since Thursday's low, pressing week high · RSI 58 · price 0.82113
Higher lows off a 0.8127–0.8135 base; neckline at 0.8185 broken.
Lows at 0.8127 in Wednesday's Asia session after the midterm sweep, and again at 0.8133 into Thursday's NY session, formed a triple bottom. The 165K NFP beat then drove Friday's NY session through the 0.8185 neckline to the 0.8220 week high. Monday's Asia gap lower held near the neckline and the 38.2% fib and was fully filled. Price is back above Friday's close and the ema20, with RSI(14) near 58 and the Asia high at 0.8212 the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8207, 0.8198, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.8220
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8220 week high extends the breakout beyond the digest's 0.8205 resistance
Slip back below Friday's close at 0.8207 and the ema20 near 0.8198 puts the gap-fill at risk
Failure to hold the 0.8185 neckline and the rising lows trendline returns price to the prior range
Fed speakers Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin today could materially shift this read
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Range, recovering toward the top after NFP · RSI 56 · price 0.82087
0.8127–0.8220 range; higher lows since Thursday's NY low.
USDCHF has ranged 0.8127–0.8220 since Tuesday. Demand held the range low at 0.8127–0.8135 three times through Wednesday and Thursday despite the haven CHF bid, and Friday's NFP beat (165K vs 65K) drove the NFP leg to a week high at 0.8220 in the first hour of NY, just above Tuesday's high at 0.8217. Sunday's open gapped down to 0.8185, but the Asian session filled the gap and price is back above the Friday close at 0.8207 and EMA(20), with RSI(14) near 56.
Support: 0.82071, 0.81848, 0.81273
Resistance: 0.82204, 0.82169
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8220 week high breaks the range top and the Tuesday high cap
Failure to hold the 0.8185 gap low, the 38.2% of the NFP leg, breaks the higher lows line and re-exposes the 0.8127 range low
Slipping back below the 0.8207 Friday close would reopen the weekend gap and point to rejection under 0.8220
Fed's Bowman (Mon 13:40 UTC) and US CPI (Tue 13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read; a soft core print carries the larger downside risk for USD
02:03 UTC
Range with higher lows, price pressing upper half · RSI 58 · price 0.82022
0.8127–0.8220 range since Wednesday; higher lows Thu/Fri, Monday gap filled.
USD/CHF has held a 0.8127–0.8220 range since Wednesday's Asia-session slide to the week low on the midterm sweep and lower oil. It then built higher lows into Friday, when the NFP beat (165K vs 65K) drove a NY-session push to the 0.8220 week high. Monday's Asian open gapped down to the 0.8185 gap low, which sits on the 38.2% retracement of the Wednesday–Friday rise. The gap has since filled up to the 0.8209 Asian high, with price back above EMA(20) near 0.8195 and RSI(14) around 58.
Support: 0.8195, 0.8185, 0.8127
Resistance: 0.8209, 0.8220
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8220 week high breaks the range top and the double test with Tuesday's 0.8217 high
Asian high at 0.8209 is capping the gap-fill; rejection here keeps the upper range intact
Loss of EMA(20) and the 0.8185 gap low exposes the 50% retracement at 0.8174 and the higher lows trendline
A break below the 0.8127 week low would undo the higher lows sequence and reopen the CHF haven leg
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin today, then US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend since Thursday's low, pressing the week high · RSI 62 · price 0.82061
Higher lows; NFP breakout above 0.8185 range top, Monday gap retest held.
USD/CHF turned off Thursday's NY-session low at 0.8133 and broke the 0.8185 range top on Friday's NFP beat (165K vs 65K). The rally printed a week high at 0.8220, just above the 0.8217 Tuesday high, so the area has now capped two tests this week. Monday's Asia session gapped down to the 0.8185 range top, held it and filled back to Friday's 0.8207 close within three hours. That leaves price above ema20 and the higher-lows line, with RSI(14) near 62.
Support: 0.8198, 0.8185, 0.8127
Resistance: 0.8217, 0.8220
What it said to watch
An H1 close back below the 0.8185 range top, also the 38.2% level of the Thursday-Friday rally fib, puts the breakout in doubt and reopens the 0.8127 week low
Acceptance above the 0.8220 week high clears the double cap with the tue high at 0.8217
Pullbacks that hold ema20 near 0.8198 and the higher-lows line keep the post-NFP structure intact
Fed speakers Mon 13:40–17:15 UTC and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read; with a December hike ~77% priced, a soft core print carries the larger move risk
0.8127–0.8220 weekly range; higher lows since Thursday.
CHF strength drove Wednesday's and Thursday's Asia and London selling to a week low at 0.8127, with a second low at 0.8133 into Thursday's NY session. Friday's NFP beat (165K vs 65K) lifted USD/CHF through NY hours to a 0.8220 week high, matching Tuesday's 0.8217 cap, where it met rejection. Monday's Asia session opened about 22 pips below the 0.8207 Friday close, and price now sits on EMA(20) near 0.8192 and the 38.2% retracement of the NFP rally fib, with RSI(14) a neutral 53.
Support: 0.8192, 0.81848, 0.81273
Resistance: 0.82071, 0.82204
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8207 fills the Friday close gap and puts the 0.8220 week high back in play
Failure to hold 0.8185, the Monday open and 50% of the NFP rally fib, breaks the Thursday–Friday higher lows and exposes EMA(50) near 0.8180
A return to the 0.8127 week low would retest the range floor that held twice this week
Fedspeak Monday from 13:40 UTC and US CPI Tuesday 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read