XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Friday, 6 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
18:05 UTC
Recovery uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 53 · price 4,055.27
Higher low at 3895.50 and higher high at 4146.92, now a lower-high pullback.
Gold rebounded from the 3870.26 window low, set a higher low at 3895.50 and ran through the 4082.67 prior high to a 2-week high at 4146.92. The election-driven rally is now unwinding after the hot NFP and wage beat revived December hike bets. Bars since the peak form a lower-highs pullback that is holding the 4027.52 pullback low, just under the 38.2% retracement. EMA20 has crossed above EMA50 and price sits marginally above both. ATR(14) near $38 per bar shows an expanded regime inside a broader 3870–4147 range.
Support: 4,027.52, 4,000.00, 3,975.94
Resistance: 4,082.67, 4,146.92
What it said to watch
H4 close below the 4027.52 pullback low exposes the 4000 round number and the 61.8% fib near 3976, which would erode the higher-low structure
Recovery above the lower-highs trendline and the 4082.67 prior high reopens the 2-week high at 4146.92
US CPI on Tue Nov 10 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read, with Fed speakers Daly, Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin and Waller beforehand
EMA20 slipping back under EMA50 would undo the recent ema cross
14:05 UTC
Recovery uptrend, pulling back · RSI 55 · price 4,059.90
Higher low at 3895 off 3870 base; lower highs since 4146.92.
Gold's rally from the 3870.26 base, with a higher low at 3895.50, ran to the 4146.92 swing high before rolling into a run of lower highs. Price is back near 4060, between the 23.6% and 38.2% retracement of that leg. The 4035.81 swing low sits on the 38.2% level, and price still holds above both EMAs, while the old 4082 range top now caps the bounce. ATR(14) near $37 keeps the swing regime expanded, and the hot NFP beat (165K vs 65K, firmer wages) leans against the post-election rally as December hike odds reprice.
Support: 4,035.81, 4,008.59, 3,971.00
Resistance: 4,082.00, 4,146.92
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 4082 range top and the lower-highs trendline reopens the 4146.92 swing high
Failure to hold the 4035.81 swing low exposes the 50% fib at 4008.59 and the 4000 handle
A move through the 50% fib leaves more than half the rally retraced, with the 3971 base top next
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 GMT, then Fed's Bowman and Daly, could materially shift this read
10:05 UTC
Rebound uptrend, pulling back from swing high · RSI 56 · price 4,053.02
Higher lows off 3870; lower-high pullback into 38.2% fib.
Gold has built higher lows off the 3870 low. The post-midterm squeeze, driven by a weaker USD and lower yields, carried price to a 4146.92 swing high. A run of lower highs since then has pulled price back to the fib 38.2% retracement near 4041, and price sits back inside the prior range under the prior high at 4082.67, while EMA20 holds above EMA50 and ATR(14) stays elevated near $41.
Support: 4,041.24, 4,008.59, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,082.67, 4,106.87, 4,146.92
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read; a firm print that re-prices Dec hike odds higher pressures the pullback
H4 close below the fib 50% at 4008.59 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the range low at 3975.7
A close back above the prior high at 4082.67 puts price above the old range again
A close above the lower high at 4106.87 ends the pullback line, with the swing high at 4146.92 the next cap
06:05 UTC
Sharp rebound off yearly low, now correcting · RSI 52 · price 4,044.80
Lower highs from 4146.92 into the 38.2% fib.
Gold rallied roughly $275 from the 3870.26 yearly low to the 4146.92 two-week high. The post-midterm USD sell-off drove the move, and the EMA20 crossed above the EMA50 on the way up. Since that high, price has printed five consecutive lower highs, and the drop below the 4082.7 prior high as yields and the dollar bounced has pulled it back to the 38.2% fib at 4041.2, where the EMA20 also sits. ATR(14) near 4300 pips is expanded rather than compressed, so the pullback is unfolding in a high-volatility regime ahead of NFP.
Support: 4,041.20, 4,029.30, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,082.70, 4,118.00, 4,146.90
What it said to watch
NFP, AHE and unemployment at 13:30 UTC today could materially shift this read; Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC is an earlier risk
H4 close below the 4029.3 swing low extends the correction toward the 4000 round number and the 50% fib near 4008
Failure to hold 4000 exposes the 61.8% fib near 3976
A close back above the 4118 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence and reopens the 4146.9 two-week high
Reclaiming the 4082.7 prior high is the first sign the pullback is losing momentum
02:04 UTC
V-shaped recovery, pulling back from the high · RSI 60 · price 4,084.74
Higher low at 3895 then lower highs off 4147.
Gold rebounded sharply from the 3870 one-year low, setting a higher low at 3895 before the Democratic midterm sweep knocked the USD and yields and drove a run to the 4147 swing high. That marked a rejection near the 4142 high from the start of the window, and price has since printed three lower highs and is testing the 23.6% retracement near 4082, with the pullback low at 4071 just below. EMA20 has crossed above EMA50 and ATR(14) has expanded to roughly 40 dollars, so this is a pullback inside an expanding recovery, not compression.
Support: 4,071.13, 4,041.24, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,117.95, 4,146.92
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 UTC, after a run of firm US labor data, could materially shift this read
H4 close below the 4071 pullback low exposes the 38.2% fib at 4041, where EMA20 also sits
H4 close above the 4118 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 4147 swing high
Loss of the 4000 round number would put the recovery from 3870 in question