HH/HL chain from 4142 swing low; tight Asian range above 4175.
Late-NY impulse off the 4142 swing low cleared the 4175 prior high as WTI slipped below $90 and Williams' softer tone trimmed hike urgency, printing a 4185.22 session high before rollover. Early Asia is holding a narrow 4176.79–4183.57 range above that prior high, RSI(14) cooling to the low 60s.
Support: 4,176.79, 4,175.15, 4,168.83
Resistance: 4,185.22, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4175 prior high and the 4176.79 asian low turns the breakout into a false break
Acceptance above the 4185.22 session high opens the 4200 round number, the broken level cited in the digest
Loss of the fib 38.2 at 4168.8 would break the HL sequence off the swing low
ADP (12:15 UTC) and Core PCE (12:30 UTC) Wed could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows from 4113; tight Asian range under 4185.
Gold has printed higher highs and higher lows from the 4113 Asia low. The late-NY spike off the 4142 ny low, as oil eased and Williams softened hike talk, carried price to a 4185 session high. Early Asia session is holding a tight 4177–4184 range just under that high, with RSI(14) cooling to about 60.
Support: 4,176.79, 4,167.84, 4,142.31
Resistance: 4,183.57, 4,185.22, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4176.8 asian low exposes the 4168 swing low near the 38.2% fib
Close above the 4183.6 asian high and 4185 session high opens the 4200 round number
A break of the rising lows trendline would end the higher-low chain
ADP at 12:15 UTC and Core PCE at 12:30 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
23:17 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below day high · RSI 63 · price 4,182.54
Higher lows from 4113; tight early-Asia range under 4185.
Gold built a string of rising lows off the 4113 Asia low and then jumped from 4142 late in the NY session, clearing the 4175 prior high to set a 4185.22 day high as cheaper oil fed the rebound. Early Asia is holding a 4177–4183 range just under that high, with RSI(14) near 63 and no stretch.
Support: 4,176.80, 4,175.50, 4,160.20
Resistance: 4,185.22, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4185.22 day high opens the 4200 round number, the digest's break level
Loss of the 4176.8 asian low and the 4175.5 prior high puts the 4160.2 swing low and 38.2% fib (~4169) in view
A break of the rising lows trendline from 4113 would end the intraday higher-low sequence
ADP 12:15 UTC and Core PCE 12:30 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
23:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into Asia · RSI 62 · price 4,180.57
Higher-low chain from 4113; Asian range holding above the 4175 breakout.
Gold has stacked higher lows off the 4113 low. Late NY cleared the 4175 double high, set by the JOLTS-miss spike and the second push, and printed a 4185 session high as oil-led short-covering extended. Early Asia is holding a tight 4177–4183 range above that breakout, with RSI(14) cooling to about 62.
Support: 4,176.80, 4,160.20
Resistance: 4,185.20, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4175 breakout level puts price back inside the prior 4148–4175 range, with the 4160 swing low next
An M15 close above the 4185 session high breaks the Asian range and opens the 4200 round number, the digest's break level
An M15 close below the rising lows trendline ends the 24h higher-low sequence
ADP at 12:15 UTC and Core PCE at 12:30 UTC on Wed could materially shift this read
22:47 UTC
Uptrend, shallow pullback at Asia open · RSI 63 · price 4,177.86
HH/HL chain from 4142.31, pulling back toward prior high.
The 18:00 UTC impulse off the 4142.31 swing low, as oil slid, built higher highs into a 4185.22 day high late in NY. The thin Asia session open is easing back toward the 4175.5 prior high, with the higher low at 4169.9 intact and RSI(14) cooled to about 63.
Support: 4,175.50, 4,169.90, 4,163.80
Resistance: 4,185.20, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 4169.9 higher low breaks the HH/HL chain and exposes the fib 50% at 4163.8
Acceptance above the 4185.2 day high opens the path to the 4200 psych level
Loss of rising support from the 4113 low, near 4151 now, would negate the day's up-sequence
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and Core PCE (12:30 UTC) on Wed could materially shift this read
Higher highs off the 4142 ny low; early Asia holding just under 4185.
The JOLTS miss drove a spike to 4175 at 14:00 UTC that fully reversed, but a late-NY impulse off the 4142 ny low cleared that prior high and printed a 4185 session high. Early Asia is drifting just below it with RSI(14) near 61. The digest ties the bounce to cheaper oil, with firm yields capping upside.
Support: 4,175.30, 4,167.80, 4,142.30
Resistance: 4,185.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4175 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 4167.8 swing low, which sits at the 38.2% of the late-NY leg, exposes the 4142 ny low
Close above the 4185 session high opens the 4200 round number, the digest's break level
ADP 12:15 UTC and Core PCE 12:30 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
Higher lows from the 4142 NY low; new high at 4185, early Asia drifting inside a tight range.
Gold spiked off the 4142 ny low in late NY, cleared the 4175 prior high (the post-JOLTS peak) and printed a 4185 session high as oil-led short-covering extended. Early Asia is holding just below that high on thin ranges, with RSI(14) cooling to ~62 and the 38.2% fib of the 4142–4185 leg sitting at the 4169.6 swing low.
Support: 4,175.20, 4,169.60, 4,142.30
Resistance: 4,185.20, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
A close back below the 4175 prior high reopens the 4169.6 swing low and the 38.2% fib
A break of the higher-lows trendline turns focus back to the 4142 ny low
A move through the 4185 session high puts the 4200 round number in play
ADP at 12:15 UTC and Core PCE at 12:30 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain off the 4113 Asian low; the NY high was cleared late session.
Gold faded from the 4175 NY high to a 4142.3 swing low after the JOLTS miss. A 22-dollar impulse at 18:00 UTC, in line with the oil-led bounce in the digest, then broke the prior high and printed a 4185.2 session high into the close. Wednesday's Asia session is opening thin just below that high, with the rising trendline from the 4113 Asian low intact and a pullback toward the fib 50% at 4163.8 still within that structure.
Support: 4,175.50, 4,163.80, 4,142.30
Resistance: 4,185.20, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4175.5 prior high turns the late breakout into a false break
Acceptance above the 4185.2 session high brings the 4200 round number (digest break level) into play
Loss of the 4142.3 swing low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain
ADP 12:15 UTC and Core PCE 12:30 UTC Wednesday (f/c 3.3%) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the 4142 swing low, breakout above the earlier NY high.
Gold bounced off the 4142 swing low with an impulsive 18:00 UTC bar and has built rising lows since. It cleared the earlier 4175 prior high to print a 4185 session high late in the NY session, with RSI(14) near 64 and not stretched. The move tracks the oil-led easing in inflation fears noted in the digest, while firm yields keep the 4200 round number, the digest's break level, as the next cap.
Support: 4,175.15, 4,168.80, 4,142.31
Resistance: 4,185.22, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4175 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
A pullback holding the fib 38.2 near 4169 keeps the rising lows sequence intact
Acceptance above the 4185 session high puts the 4200 round number in play
Loss of the 4142 swing low negates the late-NY recovery structure
ADP 12:15 UTC and Core PCE 12:30 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain, fresh session high after late-NY breakout.
Gold cleared the 4113–4148 Asian range in London, then broke the 4175 prior high late in the NY session to a session high at 4185. The move came as the oil-led bounce and the JOLTS miss eased pressure. The 4142 swing low held above the rising trendline before the 18:00 UTC surge. RSI(14) sits near 61, not stretched.
Support: 4,175.00, 4,163.80, 4,142.30
Resistance: 4,185.20, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4175 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
A drop through the 4164 fib 50% of the late-NY leg exposes the rising trendline (~4147) and the 4142 swing low; losing both breaks the HH/HL chain
The 4200 break level above the 4185 session high is the next structural test for the bounce
ADP at 12:15 UTC and Core PCE at 12:30 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
Late-NY breakout above prior high, fresh session high at 4185.
Late in NY hours, gold cleared the 4175 prior high and printed a session high at 4185.22. The oil-led bounce off the 4113 Asia low extends along rising support, and every pullback since has held a higher low. RSI(14) sits near 63, not stretched, with the 4168 swing low lining up with the 38.2% fib of the NY leg.
Support: 4,175.15, 4,167.84, 4,142.31
Resistance: 4,185.22, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4175 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 4168 swing low / 38.2% fib exposes the 4142 NY low and rising support
4185 session high and the 4200 round number are areas to watch for rejection or break
ADP 12:15 UTC and Core PCE 12:30 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from the 4113 Asian low; 4175 twin NY highs broken late NY.
The late-NY leg off the 4142.3 swing low cleared the 4175.5 prior high, where the JOLTS-miss push had topped twice, and printed a 4185.22 session high. That extends the HH/HL chain from the 4113 Asian low along the rising trendline. RSI(14) near 64 is not stretched, and price is holding just under the high into rollover.
Support: 4,175.50, 4,163.80, 4,142.30
Resistance: 4,185.22, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
A close back below the 4175.5 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Holding the 4163.8 fib 50% keeps the late-NY leg intact; losing the 4142.3 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the HL chain
A close above the 4185.22 session high exposes the 4200 round number
ADP (12:15 UTC) and Core PCE (12:30 UTC) on Wed could materially shift this read
20:48 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs late NY · RSI 71 · price 4,183.32
HH/HL chain from the Asian low; the 14:15 UTC prior high at 4175 has given way.
Gold reversed off the 4142 swing low with a 22-point impulse at 18:00 UTC, leaving a higher low at 4160 and clearing the 4175 prior high into a 4185 session high late in NY. The digest ties the bounce to oil slipping below $90. RSI(14) near 71 is warm but not stretched, and the 38.2–61.8% rally fib sits at 4169–4159, just above the rising lows line.
Support: 4,175.20, 4,160.20, 4,142.30
Resistance: 4,185.20, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
Close back below the 4175 prior high returns price to the afternoon range
Loss of the 4160 higher low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
4200 round number is the digest's break level; a hold above it extends the leg
ADP 12:15 UTC and Core PCE 12:30 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
Thin liquidity around the daily rollover can distort the session high
Late-NY impulse reclaimed the 4175 NY high; tight consolidation just under 4177 session high.
London broke the Asian range high near 4148, and the JOLTS miss pushed NY to 4175 before a pullback held a higher NY low at 4142. A late-NY impulse after London close reclaimed that high. Price now sits just under the 4177 session high with RSI(14) near 62 and lows stepping up along the rising lows line.
Support: 4,160.23, 4,142.31
Resistance: 4,177.44, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
A close above the 4177 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 4200 round number, the broken level that triggered earlier selling
Loss of the 4160 swing low, near the 50% fib of the 18:00 UTC leg, undercuts the late-NY impulse
A break below the 4142 NY low brings the rising lows trendline into play
ADP (12:15 UTC) and Core PCE (12:30 UTC) on Wednesday could materially shift this read
20:18 UTC
Uptrend, higher lows since Asia · RSI 60 · price 4,172.63
Marginal higher high at 4177; pullbacks holding a rising trendline.
Gold extended its bounce from the 4113 Asia low, clearing the asian high at 4148 in London and tagging 4175 as the JOLTS miss eased yields. The 18:00 UTC leg from the 4142 NY low printed a marginal session high at 4177.44 late in the NY session. Dips have held above the rising trendline and RSI(14) sits near 60, not stretched.
Support: 4,160.23, 4,148.17, 4,142.31
Resistance: 4,177.44, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4177.44 session high extends the higher-high chain; stalling there leaves a flat top against the 4175 NY high
Break of the 18:30 low at 4160.23 puts the 50–61.8% zone of the 18:00 leg fib (4160–4156) and the asian high at 4148 in play
Loss of the rising trendline and the 4142.31 ny low negates the intraday higher-low structure
4200 round number overhead is the level whose break triggered the selloff
ADP (12:15 UTC) and Core PCE (12:30 UTC) Wednesday could materially shift this read
20:05 UTC
Uptrend, late-NY push to session high · RSI 71 · price 4,177.06
HH/HL chain off the NY low; 4175 double high cleared.
Gold's rebound from the 4110 area, helped by the JOLTS miss easing yields, broke above the Asian range in London. It then pushed through the 4175 prior high late in NY to a session high at 4177.4. The 18:00 UTC surge off the 4142.3 NY low set a HH/HL chain above the rising trendline from the Asia low, with RSI(14) near 71 warm but not extreme.
Support: 4,175.20, 4,160.20, 4,142.30
Resistance: 4,177.40, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4175 prior high would mark the breakout as a false break
Loss of the 4160.2 swing low (50% of the late-NY leg fib) breaks the HL chain
A break of the 4142.3 NY low and the rising trendline from the Asia low would undo the day's structure
4200 round number is the broken level overhead; rejection or break there frames the next range
ADP and core PCE (Wed 12:15–12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Tight 4160–4175 band under a twice-tested session high, late NY.
The JOLTS miss lifted gold to a 4175 session high at 14:15 UTC. The pullback to the 4142.31 swing low was reversed by a sharp 18:00 UTC impulse, which was capped again at 4175.56. Price is now compressing in a 4160–4175 band after London close, holding above the spike low, with RSI(14) near 64 and not stretched.
Support: 4,160.23, 4,142.31
Resistance: 4,175.56, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4175.56 session high breaks the double cap and exposes the 4200 psych level
Loss of the 4160.23 spike low puts the 18:00 impulse into retrace, with the 50% fib near 4158.9
Break of the 4142.31 swing low and the rising lows line undoes the day's higher-low structure
Waller headlines in late NY, then ADP and Core PCE on Wed at 12:15–12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the Asia low; double test of 4175 top.
Gold cleared the Asian range high near 4148 in London and ran to 4175.15 after the JOLTS miss. It faded to a 4142.31 ny low, then the 18:00 UTC impulse retested the session high at 4175.56. Price is holding a tight 4168–4172 band late in the NY session, RSI(14) near 64, above the rising trend line from the Asia low and with the 4160 swing low as first support.
Support: 4,160.23, 4,150.00, 4,142.31
Resistance: 4,175.56, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4175.56 session high breaks the double test and opens the 4200 prior break level
Failure to hold the 4160.23 swing low (mid-fib of the 18:00 impulse) exposes the round number at 4150
Loss of the 4142.31 ny low breaks the rising trend line and turns the 4175 top into a confirmed double top
Waller headlines (speech from 19:00 UTC) and Wed ADP 12:15 UTC / Core PCE 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 4113 Asian base; second test of 4175 session high.
The NY session ran to 4175 after the JOLTS miss, then faded to a 4142.3 higher low. The 18:00 UTC surge (broker 21:00) reclaimed 4160 and retested the 4175.5 session high, where supply is capping so far. Rising lows hold above the 4113 Asian low, with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR near 790 pips.
Support: 4,160.20, 4,155.00, 4,142.30
Resistance: 4,175.50, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4175.5 session high opens the path to 4200 psych, the level whose break triggered Monday's selling
Loss of the 4160.2 pullback low exposes the 4155 fib 61.8 of the 18:00 UTC surge
Break below the 4142.3 higher low ends the rising lows sequence
Waller remarks (19:00 UTC) and Wed ADP/Core PCE (12:15/12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
19:05 UTC
Uptrend, testing session high · RSI 61 · price 4,170.66
Higher lows since the Asian low; equal highs at 4175 capping.
Gold holds a higher-low chain off the 4,113 Asian low. London cleared the Asian range and the JOLTS miss drove the NY push to 4,175. The late-NY spike off the 4,142 swing low retested the 4,175.5 session high, leaving equal highs, with the 4,160 pullback low first below and the rising trendline sitting near the 50–61.8% fib of the day's leg.
What it said to watch
Waller speaking now (19:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 4,175.5 session high clears the equal highs and opens the 4,200 round number
Failure to hold the 4,160 pullback low exposes the 4,142 swing low and rising trendline; a break there ends the higher-low chain
Wed 12:15–12:30 UTC ADP and Core PCE are the next scheduled volatility risk
18:48 UTC
Intraday uptrend, recovering from NY pullback · RSI 59 · price 4,164.02
Higher lows off Asian low; 18:00 UTC spike reclaimed NY drop, capped at 4170.
Gold has built higher lows off the 4113 Asian low, and the NY pullback from the 4175 session high held at 4142 above rising support as the JOLTS miss took some heat off yields. A sharp 18:00 UTC spike retraced more than 61.8% of the NY drop but met rejection twice at the 4170 spike high. RSI(14) sits at 59 and ATR(14) is about 840 pips.
Support: 4,161.33, 4,148.20, 4,142.31
Resistance: 4,170.15, 4,175.15
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4170 spike high and the 4175 session high extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of the london high at 4161 exposes the asian high at 4148
Break of the ny low at 4142 and rising support negates the higher-low structure
Waller at 19:00 UTC could materially shift this read; ADP and Core PCE follow Wed 12:15–12:30 UTC
HL chain from 4113 Asia low; late-NY spike back under 4170–4175 cap.
London broke the Asian high at 4148 and NY extended the move to a 4175.15 session high before rejection pulled price back to a 4142.31 NY low. A sharp late-NY spike has since reclaimed 4165 and kept the higher-low chain from 4113 intact, extending the oversold bounce the digest links to the JOLTS miss. The 4170 spike high is capping so far, and RSI(14) is neutral near 53.
Support: 4,148.20, 4,142.31
Resistance: 4,170.15, 4,175.15
What it said to watch
Fed's Waller at 19:00 UTC, about 30 min out, could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 4175.15 session high extends the higher-high sequence
Failure to hold the 4148 asian high exposes the 4142.31 ny low and the higher-low trendline
Wednesday ADP 12:15 UTC and Core PCE 12:30 UTC are the next major risk
HH/HL chain off the Asia low; NY pullback held a higher low and has been reclaimed.
Gold has printed higher lows since the 4113 Asia low, part of the oversold corrective bid after the JOLTS miss. It topped at the 4175 session high in NY, then pulled back to a 4142 swing low. A $22 bar at 18:00 UTC reclaimed the 4161 London high and sits near the 78.6% retrace of that pullback, with RSI(14) around 59.
Support: 4,161.33, 4,142.31, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,175.15, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
Fed's Waller at 19:00 UTC could materially shift this read within the next few bars
An M15 close back below the 4161 london high fades the late-NY reclaim
A break of the 4142 swing low and the HL trendline ends the higher-low chain, exposing the 4113 asia low
An M15 close above the 4175 session high opens the 4200 round number, the digest's reclaim level
ADP (12:15 UTC) and Core PCE (12:30 UTC) Wednesday are the next scheduled volatility events
17:47 UTC
Pullback from NY session high, momentum fading · RSI 38 · price 4,145.95
Lower highs and lower lows since the 4175 NY high.
London broke the Asian high near 4148 and NY extended to 4175.15. That high met rejection as yields held near 2004 highs, and the fade since has printed lower highs back into a retest of the asian high. Price is sitting on the 50% fib of the 4113–4175 rally at 4144, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 4,143.74, 4,136.03, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,148.17, 4,161.93, 4,175.15
What it said to watch
Fed's Williams at 18:00 UTC and Waller at 19:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 50% fib at 4143.7 exposes the london low at 4136, near the 61.8% level
A close back above the asian high at 4148 and the NY lower highs trendline would stall the fade; the lower high at 4161.9 is the next cap
Failure at 4136 reopens the asian low at 4113.4, ahead of Wednesday's ADP and core PCE
17:33 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, correcting from NY high · RSI 41 · price 4,148.27
Lower highs from 4175 NY high, holding 50% fib.
The rally from the 4113 asian low was rejected at the 4175 ny high in early NY. Price has since printed lower highs back to the 4144 pullback low, which sits on the 50% fib, and is now stalling there after London close, below the ema20 near 4153 and flat against EMA50. RSI(14) is around 41, as a firm USD and 5%+ yields cap the bounce from Monday's lows.
Support: 4,144.30, 4,136.03, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,153.00, 4,161.93, 4,175.15
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4144 pullback low (50% fib) exposes the 4136 london low, which lines up with the 61.8% fib
Close back above the ema20 near 4153 and the lower-high line would ease the pullback structure
Break above the 4161.93 lower high ends the descending sequence from the 4175 ny high
Fed's Williams (18:00 UTC) and Waller (19:00 UTC) could materially shift this read within the next two bars' reach
Loss of 4136 puts the 4113 asian low back in focus
17:18 UTC
Intraday rally unwinding, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 43 · price 4,146.66
Lower highs and lower lows from 4175 session high, testing 50% fib.
Gold spiked to a 4175.2 session high after the JOLTS miss early in the NY session. The move was rejected as yields and USD held firm, and has since printed a lower high at 4161.9. Late NY, price is back on the 50% fib of the 4113.4 asia low to 4175.2 rally near 4144, retesting the London breakout zone. RSI(14) sits near 43 and price is below both EMAs.
Support: 4,144.30, 4,137.00, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,151.60, 4,161.90, 4,175.20
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4144 (50% fib) exposes the 61.8% fib near 4137, with the asia low at 4113.4 behind it
Recovery through the 38.2% fib at 4151.6 and an M15 close above the 4161.9 lower high break the lower-high sequence
Williams (18:00 UTC) and Waller (19:00 UTC) on October hike signalling could materially shift this read
17:05 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY rejection · RSI 41 · price 4,144.89
Lower high 4161.93, lower low under 4148.38; back at Asian high.
London broke the Asian high at 4148.17 and NY stretched the JOLTS-miss bounce to a 4175.15 NY high before rejection. A lower high at 4161.93 and a break of the 4148.38 swing low have pulled price back to the Asian high, which is also the 50% retrace of the 4113–4175 leg. Price is now testing the 4144.46 NY low after London close, with yields and USD still firm; RSI(14) sits near 41 and trades below both EMAs.
Support: 4,144.46, 4,137.72, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,148.17, 4,161.93, 4,175.15
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4137.72 london low (61.8% retrace) extends the lower-low sequence toward the 4113.39 asian low
M15 close back above 4161.93 lower high negates the pullback read and reopens the 4175.15 NY high
Holding the 4144.46 NY low keeps the Asian high retest intact
Fed's Williams (18:00 UTC) and Waller (19:00 UTC) on October hike signals could materially shift this read
ADP 12:15 UTC and PCE 12:30 UTC Wednesday are the next major risk events
16:48 UTC
Intraday up-leg stalling, lower highs since NY high · RSI 43 · price 4,145.17
Lower highs from 4175, price back under Asian range high.
Tuesday's rebound, helped at the margin by the JOLTS miss, cleared the 4148 Asia high in London and topped at the 4175 NY high in the first hour of NY. The rejection there has since printed lower highs at 4162 and 4155. After London close, price has slipped back under the Asia high, sitting near the 50% fib of the Asia low–NY high leg with RSI(14) at 43 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 4,137.70, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,148.20, 4,155.00, 4,175.20
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4155 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence
Holding below the 4148 Asia high exposes the 4137.7 London low, then the 4113 Asia low
A close above the 4175 NY high resumes the intraday up-leg
Fed speakers Goolsbee 17:00, Williams 18:00 and Waller 19:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:34 UTC
Intraday uptrend, correcting from session high · RSI 48 · price 4,153.39
Asian range broken higher, lower highs since 4175.
London cleared the Asian high at 4148 and NY extended to a 4175.15 session high after the JOLTS miss. The late-NY pullback retested the Asian high at 4148.4 twice and held. Price sits near the 38.2% of the Asian low–session high leg, capped by a lower high at 4162.
Support: 4,148.20, 4,136.00
Resistance: 4,161.90, 4,175.15
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4148 Asian high turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the 4136 London low
Close above the 4162 lower high breaks the descending lower-highs line and reopens the 4175 session high
Fed's Goolsbee (17:00), Williams (18:00) and Waller (19:00 UTC) on October hike pricing could shift this read
16:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling after NY rejection · RSI 48 · price 4,150.97
Lower high at 4161.9 under the 4175 session high; retesting the Asian-high breakout.
The JOLTS miss sent gold to a 4175.15 session high early in NY hours. The spike was rejected into a 4148.38 swing low, which retests the Asian high near 4148. A 4161.93 lower high followed, and the last closed bar finished on its low near the 38.2% fib of the 4113–4175 leg, below EMA20 and sitting on EMA50.
Support: 4,148.38, 4,136.03, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,161.93, 4,175.15
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4148.38 swing low fails the Asian-high retest and exposes the 61.8% fib near 4137 and the london low at 4136
Close back above the 4161.93 lower high reopens the 4175.15 session high
Asian low at 4113.39 is the base of the day's rally leg; losing it negates the intraday uptrend
Fed's Barr (16:40), Goolsbee (17:00), Williams (18:00) and Waller (19:00 UTC) on October hike signalling could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain off the 4113 Asian low; lower high at 4161.9 after the 4175.15 NY peak.
After the 14:00 UTC JOLTS miss, gold broke the London range and printed a 4175.15 session high. The NY pullback held the 4148.4 pullback low, on the rising trendline and between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the 4113–4175 move. The rebound stalled at a 4161.9 lower high, with RSI(14) neutral near 51 late in the NY session.
Support: 4,148.40, 4,137.70
Resistance: 4,161.90, 4,175.15
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4148.4 pullback low breaks the rising trendline and the HH/HL chain, exposing the 4137.7 london low
Close above the 4161.9 lower high reopens the 4175.15 session high
Fed speakers Williams (18:00 UTC) and Waller (19:00 UTC) on October hike signalling could materially shift this read
ADP and PCE on Wed from 12:15 UTC are the next scheduled volatility risk
15:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, correcting off session high · RSI 52 · price 4,156.69
HH/HL chain from Asian low; NY pullback holding 4148 floor.
The JOLTS miss at 14:00 UTC pushed gold to a 4175.15 session high in the first hour of NY, extending the higher-high chain from the 4113.39 Asian low. The pullback found demand at a 4148.38 ny low, between the 38.2% and 50% fib and on the rising trendline. RSI(14) has cooled to about 52, with price just under EMA20.
Support: 4,148.38, 4,140.28
Resistance: 4,163.00, 4,175.15, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4148.38 ny low and the rising trendline breaks the HL chain and exposes the 4140.28 asian high
Reclaim of the 4163 lower high reopens the 4175.15 session high; the 4200 psych level sits above
Fed speakers Barr 16:40, Goolsbee 17:00, Williams 18:00 and Waller 19:00 UTC on October hike signalling could materially shift this read
ADP 12:15 and PCE 12:30 UTC tomorrow are the next scheduled volatility events
15:17 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back off session high · RSI 55 · price 4,160.84
Higher lows since the 05:30 UTC low; retest of the 4161 prior high.
The JOLTS miss at 14:00 UTC lifted gold to a 4175.15 session high, extending the London break above the 4140 Asian high. The bounce from Monday's rout has since slipped back to the 4161 prior high, where the rising trendline from the 05:30 UTC low converges, with RSI(14) cooling to ~55.
Support: 4,161.30, 4,148.60, 4,140.30
Resistance: 4,175.15, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4160 breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 4148.6 pullback low, which sits at the 50% fib of the 4122–4175 rally
Loss of 4148.6 puts the 4140 asian high back in focus
Reclaim of the 4175 session high puts the 4200 psych level in play
Fed speakers from 15:00 UTC (Williams 18:00, Waller 19:00) could materially shift this read via yields
HH/HL chain since the Asian range break, shallow pullback holding under the session high.
Gold's corrective rebound from Monday's rout carried through London, clearing the Asian high at 4148, and extended in the first hour of NY to a session high at 4175.15 as the JOLTS miss eased pressure. The 14:30–14:45 UTC dip held the 4162.74 pullback low above the rising lows line. RSI(14) sits near 66 and is not stretched.
Support: 4,162.74, 4,148.61, 4,148.17
Resistance: 4,175.15, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4162.74 pullback low breaks the rising lows line and exposes the 4148.61 swing low, which is also the 50% fib of the London-NY leg
Loss of the 4148 asian high would put price back inside the Asian range and undo the breakout read
Acceptance above the 4175.15 session high opens the 4200 round number
Fed speakers from 15:00 UTC (Bowman, Barr, Goolsbee, Williams, Waller at 19:00) could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 4113 Asia low, Asian range broken higher in London.
Gold broke the 4140 Asian high in London, then extended to a 4175.15 session high after the soft JOLTS print at 14:00 UTC. A rejection there pulled price back to 4165.8 early in the NY session. The higher-low chain from 4113 and the rising trendline near 4159 are intact, with the 4161 London high now the first pivot below and RSI(14) cooled to ~59.
Support: 4,161.33, 4,148.61, 4,140.28
Resistance: 4,175.15, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
A close back below the 4161 London high puts price inside the midday range, with the 38.2% fib at 4151.6 and the 4148.6 swing low next
A break of the 4148.6 swing low ends the higher-low chain and the rising trendline read
Loss of the 4140 Asian high would unwind London's breakout
A close above the 4175 session high opens the path toward 4200 psych, Monday's broken support
Fedspeak from 15:00 UTC (Bowman, then Barr, Goolsbee, Williams, Waller) could materially shift this read
14:33 UTC
Uptrend, NY leg extending · RSI 69 · price 4,173.81
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asian low, London high broken.
Gold's rebound from the 4113 Asian low cleared the 4161 london high in the first hour of NY after the JOLTS miss, printing a session high at 4175. The higher-low chain holds above the 4148 swing low and rising support; RSI(14) near 69 is firm, not extreme.
Support: 4,161.33, 4,148.61
Resistance: 4,175.15, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4161 london high would mark the NY breakout as a false break
Loss of the 4148.61 swing low and rising support breaks the higher-low chain of the rebound
4200 round number is the broken-support level noted in the digest, the next area to watch for rejection or break
Fed speakers from 15:00 UTC (Bowman, Waller later) could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from the 4113 Asian low; London broke the Asian high, NY extended to a new session high.
London cleared the 4148 Asian high and the 4160.6 prior high, and a retest of the asian high zone near 4148.6 held on a rising trendline off 4122. The soft JOLTS print at 14:00 UTC pushed the NY session to a 4169.15 session high, with RSI(14) at 66, firm but not stretched. The 38.2% fib of the 4113–4169 leg sits at the asian high; deeper retracements would find the fib 61.8% at 4134.7.
Support: 4,161.30, 4,148.50, 4,134.70
Resistance: 4,169.15, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
Fedspeak from 15:00 UTC (Bowman, then Williams and Waller) could materially shift this read after the JOLTS-driven push
M15 close back below the 4161 prior high puts the NY breakout at risk of a false break
Loss of the rising trendline and the 4148.5 asian high breaks the higher-low chain
Close above the 4169 session high opens the path toward the 4200 round number, the broken support now cited as resistance
A move below 4148.5 exposes the fib 61.8% at 4134.7
HH/HL chain from the 4113 Asian low, pressing the session high.
Gold has stacked higher lows off the 4113 Asian low. It cleared the asia high at 4148 in London and printed a fresh session high at 4165.73 in the NY bar carrying the 14:00 UTC JOLTS/Consumer Confidence release, with RSI(14) near 64 and not stretched. The digest frames this as a corrective bounce after Monday's slide, with the broken 4200 psych level overhead.
Support: 4,152.78, 4,148.17, 4,136.03
Resistance: 4,165.73, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence just hit at 14:00 UTC; a reversal back below the 4152.78 higher low would mark a failed session high
Break of the rising trendline near 4155 and loss of the 4148 asia high shifts the read to range
Close above 4165.73 session high extends the HH chain toward the 4200 psych level
Fedspeak from Williams (18:00 UTC) and Waller (19:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Failure at the 4136 london low would unwind the day's higher-low structure
13:47 UTC
Uptrend from Asian low, stalling · RSI 58 · price 4,155.55
Higher lows since 4113.39; tight 4148.61–4163.18 range in NY.
Gold has stepped higher off the 4113.39 Asian low, and London extended the bounce into a 4163.18 session high in the first hour of NY. The rebound is corrective after Monday's yield-driven slide. Price is now compressing in a 4148.61–4163.18 range with RSI(14) near 58, and the rising line off the 4122 swing low is being tested ahead of JOLTS.
Support: 4,148.61, 4,136.03, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,163.18, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC (~15 min) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 4163.18 session high extends the higher-high chain; psych 4200 is the next reference
M15 close below the 4148.61 range low breaks the rising line and exposes the 38.2% fib near 4144
Failure to hold the 4136.03 london low negates the higher-low sequence back toward the 4113.39 asian low
Fedspeak 15:00–19:00 UTC (Williams, Waller) adds headline risk through NY hours
13:33 UTC
Uptrend off the Asian low, stalling at session high · RSI 62 · price 4,157.38
Higher-low chain since 4113; Asian range broken higher, 4148–4161 consolidation.
London broke the 4148 Asian high and set a 4161.33 session high, capped just above Monday's 4160.6 spike high. Two pullbacks held the Asian high at 4148.6–4149.6, keeping the rising trendline from the 4122 low intact into NY open. The digest frames the bounce off the 4113 Asian low as corrective under 5.27% US 10y yields.
Support: 4,148.20, 4,136.00, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,161.30, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4161.3 session high breaks the stall and puts the 4200 psych level in view
Close back below the 4148 asian high and the rising trendline turns the breakout into a false break, with the 4143 fib 38.2% and 4136 london low next
Loss of 4136 exposes the 4113 asian low
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, then Fedspeak through 19:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from Asian low; London broke Asian range, NY open boxed 4149–4161.
London broke the Asian high at 4148 and ran to a 4161.3 session high, matching Monday's NY high. The NY open has since held a 4149–4161 box, and the 4148.6 dip retested the Asian high. The bounce off Monday's 4110 low is framed as corrective with the US 10y at 5.27%, and JOLTS lands within the hour.
Support: 4,148.60, 4,137.70, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,161.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4161.3 session high clears Monday's NY high and extends the HH chain
Failure to hold 4148.6 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range, with 4143 (38.2% fib) and 4137.7 london low next
Loss of 4113.4 asian low would reinstate the prior-day downtrend
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, then Fedspeak from 15:00, could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain off Asian low; 4148.6–4161.3 consolidation above broken Asian high.
Gold has stacked higher lows off the 4113.4 Asian low. London cleared the Asian range high near 4148 and printed a 4161.3 session high, the corrective bounce the digest flags with the 10y still near 5.27%. Into the NY open, price is coiling between the 4148.6 pullback low and the session high, holding the 23.6% fib retest with RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 4,148.60, 4,136.00, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,161.30, 4,171.30, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4148.6 pullback low puts price back inside the Asian range and exposes the 4136 London low / 50% fib near 4137
Close above the 4161.3 session high extends the HH/HL chain toward the 4171.3 prior high, with the 4200 round number (broken level) beyond
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, then Fedspeak through 19:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Loss of the 4113.4 Asian low would negate the intraday higher-low sequence
Higher lows from 4113 Asian low; London broke Asian range high, now consolidating 4148–4161.
Gold's corrective bounce after Monday's rout extended in London, clearing the Asian high at 4148.2 around 10:00 UTC and printing a session high at 4161.3. Pullbacks since have held the Asian high on the rising trendline, and price is compressing between 4148 and 4161 into the NY open with RSI(14) near 61. The 50% fib of the 4113.4 Asian low to session-high leg sits at the london low near 4137.7.
Support: 4,148.20, 4,137.70, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,161.30, 4,171.30
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4148.2 Asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and negates the breakout
Close above the 4161.3 session high opens the prior high at 4171.3
Loss of the rising trendline and the 4137.7 london low (50% fib) breaks the higher-low chain; the 4113.4 Asian low is the next reference below
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, then Fedspeak into 19:00 UTC, could materially shift this read via yields
Higher lows from the Asian low; London broke the Asian range high.
London cleared the Asian high at 4148.17 and ran to a 4161.33 session high as the corrective bounce from Monday's crash extends. Two pullbacks since held at the 4150 pullback low, keeping the higher-low chain and the Asian-low trendline intact. RSI(14) near 64 is not stretched.
Support: 4,150.00, 4,148.17, 4,136.03
Resistance: 4,161.33, 4,171.29
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4148.17 asian high undercuts the London breakout
Close above the 4161.33 session high opens Monday's 4171.29 prior high
Loss of the 4136 london low (near the 50% fib) unwinds the London leg
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, then Fedspeak 15:00–19:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
12:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 65 · price 4,153.90
Higher-low chain from 4113, Asian range broken higher, double rejection at 4161.
London cleared the 4148 Asian high and extended the higher-low chain off the 4113 Asian low to a 4161 session high. Two rejections at 4160–4161 have price back near 4154, RSI(14) near 65, holding the 4150 swing low. This is a corrective bounce from Monday's 4110 low, with 5%+ yields and a firm USD in the background.
Support: 4,149.85, 4,148.17, 4,136.03
Resistance: 4,161.33, 4,171.29
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4161 session high clears the double rejection and exposes Monday's 4171 prior high
Loss of the 4150 swing low and HL trendline brings a retest of the 4148 Asian high into play
Below 4148, the asian low fib 50% near 4137 lines up with the 4136 London low
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, then Fedspeak 15:00–19:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 4113 Asian low; Asian range high broken, now retested.
London broke the Asian high at 4148 and ran to a 4161 session high. A sharp rejection bar then pulled gold back to 4151, just above the breakout level, as the corrective bounce from Monday's slide meets a firm USD and 5%+ yields. Higher lows from the 4113 Asian low remain intact, the swing low at 4122 and the London low at 4136 have held, and RSI(14) has cooled to about 60.
Support: 4,148.17, 4,136.03, 4,122.11
Resistance: 4,161.33, 4,171.29
What it said to watch
A close back below the 4148 asian high turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the 4143–4137 fib zone and the london low
A close above the 4161 session high reopens the 4171 monday high
Failure at the 4122 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, followed by Fedspeak from 15:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
London breakout above Asian range high, HH/HL chain.
Late London cleared the 4,148 Asian high, a level that also capped Monday NY, and ran to a 4,161 session high. The move extends the modest bounce off Monday's 4,110 flush low into Fedspeak, with RSI(14) near 70 and higher lows stacked from the 4,122 swing low.
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4,148 asian high turns the breakout into a false break and puts the 4,136 london low back in play
M15 close above the 4,161 session high opens the 4,171 monday high
Break of the rising higher-lows line from 4,122 ends the intraday HH/HL chain
Musalem now, JOLTS 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) and Fedspeak into 19:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields and the USD
11:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since Asia · RSI 71 · price 4,154.05
HL chain off 4113 base, London range top broken.
Gold has printed higher lows off the 4,111/4,113 double bottom along a rising trendline and broke the London range top near 4,149 mid-session, tagging 4,154.8 with RSI(14) near 71. The digest frames this as a modest short-covering bounce after Monday's yield-driven flush, and Monday's 4,160.6 prior high is the next overhead level, with the 4,171 monday high above it.
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4,149 range top marks the breakout as a false break
Loss of the 4,136 london low (near the 38.2% fib of the Asia-London leg) breaks the higher-low chain
Break of the rising trendline and the 4,122 swing low returns focus to the 4,113 double bottom
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields and USD
Rejection vs acceptance at the 4,160 prior high defines whether the bounce extends toward the monday high
10:47 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since Asia · RSI 61 · price 4,150.35
London broke the Asian high; price pressing the 4148 prior high / 61.8% area.
Gold is rebounding from yesterday's yield-driven flush to 4110.84. Rising lows held from the 4113 Asian low and London cleared the 4140.3 Asian high. Mid-London, price is testing the 4148.2 prior high, which lines up with the 61.8% retrace of the drop, and has printed a 4151.6 session high with RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 4,148.20, 4,140.30, 4,122.10
Resistance: 4,151.60, 4,160.60, 4,171.30
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 4148.2 prior high would mark the push as a false break, with the 4140.3 Asian high next.
Holding above the 4151.6 session high opens the 4160.6 swing high, then the 4171.3 Monday high at the top of the flush.
Loss of the rising lows line and the 4122.1 swing low would put yesterday's 4110.84 flush low back in focus.
Fed's Musalem at 11:30 UTC, and JOLTS plus Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read.
Higher-low chain off the Asian low, London pushing through the Asian high.
Gold is rebounding from Monday's yield-driven flush, with higher lows off the 4113.39 asian low since Asia. Mid-London, price has pushed through the asian high at 4148.17 to a session high of 4151.13, just above the 61.8% fib of Monday's 4171→4111 drop. RSI(14) is near 65, firm but not stretched.
Support: 4,148.17, 4,136.03, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,151.13, 4,160.61, 4,171.29
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian high at 4148.17 would mark the breakout as a false break
A break of the rising lows trendline and the london low at 4136.03 ends the higher-low sequence
Acceptance above the 4151.13 session high opens the prior high at 4160.61, then the monday high at 4171.29
Fed's Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read
HL chain off 4113 Asia low; London capped near 4148–4151.
After Monday's yield-driven flush to 4110, gold has built higher lows from the 4113.4 asia low, and London has edged above the 4148 Asian range top to a 4150.7 session high. Price is pressing the $4,150 lid with RSI(14) near 64. The 4137.7 london low sits at the 38.2% retrace of the 4113–4151 bounce and is the nearest higher low.
Support: 4,137.70, 4,122.10, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,150.70, 4,160.60, 4,171.30
What it said to watch
M15 closes above the 4150.7 session high open the 4160.6 mon pivot from Monday NY, then the 4171.3 monday high
Failure to hold the 4137.7 london low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 4122.1 swing low
A loss of the rising lows trendline puts the 4113.4 asia low back in focus
Fed's Musalem 11:30 UTC and JOLTS 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read
10:03 UTC
Recovering off Monday's low, flat since London open · RSI 55 · price 4,146.06
Range above the Asian high, higher lows from 4113.
Gold cleared the 4140.3 Asian range high at 06:00 UTC. London has since held a 4136.0 range floor to 4148.9 range top, and the top has capped three tests. The bounce from Monday's yield-driven flush to 4111 stays modest, with RSI(14) near 55 and the 4160.4 prior high the next reference overhead.
Support: 4,136.00, 4,122.10, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,148.90, 4,160.40
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4148.9 range top opens the 4160.4 prior high
A break of the 4136.0 range floor exposes the 38.2% of the asia rally fib near 4134.9, then the 4122.1 swing low
Loss of the 4113.4 asian low would put Monday's 4110.8 low back in play
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read
Higher low above Asian low, tight London range 4136–4149.
Gold printed a higher low at 4122.1 after the 4113.4 Asian low, then London broke the Asian high near 4140 and has since held a 4136–4149 range, with the London high at 4149.0 capping twice. The bounce is modest against Monday's yield-driven flush from the 4171.3 Monday high, and RSI(14) sits mid-range at 57.
Support: 4,136.00, 4,122.10, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,149.00, 4,171.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4149.0 London high breaks the session range and puts the 4171.3 Monday high back in view
Loss of the 4136.0 London low returns price inside the Asian range, with the 4122.1 higher low and 50% fib near 4131 below
A break under the 4113.4 Asian low undoes the higher-low structure and exposes Monday's 4110.8 low
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read via yields and USD
09:33 UTC
Recovering from Monday flush, now flat · RSI 46 · price 4,140.00
Higher lows from 4113 compressing under a flat 4149 top.
Gold broke above the 4113–4140 Asian range before London. It has since compressed mid-session under the 4149 london high, which has capped price at 4148–4149 three times since Monday's rebound, while the 4136 london low holds as a third higher low. RSI(14) is near 46 with price pinned just under EMA20, a contained bounce after the yield-driven flush to the 4111 monday low.
Support: 4,136.00, 4,122.10, 4,110.80
Resistance: 4,149.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4149 london high breaks the flat top and opens the 4160 swing high
Loss of 4136 london low breaks the higher-lows trendline structure toward the 4122 higher low
Break of 4122 higher low exposes the 4111 monday low
Musalem 11:30 UTC, then JOLTS 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) and afternoon Fedspeak could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 4113; lower highs compressing into a 4136–4149 London range.
Gold's Asian rally off the 4113 asian low, after Monday's yield-driven flush, has stalled into a 4136–4149 London range. Highs are stepping lower from the 4149 session high on a lower-highs line, while the range low sits on the 38.2% of the Asian rally fib. Price is pinned at EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; higher lows at 4113, 4122 and 4136 still hold.
Support: 4,136.00, 4,122.10, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,149.00, 4,171.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4149 session high breaks the lower-highs line and the Asian range top, exposing Monday's 4171 prior high
Failure to hold the 4136 range low exposes the 4122 swing low, then the 4113 asian low
Musalem 11:30 UTC, JOLTS 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) and the Fedspeak slate from 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields and USD
Higher lows from 4113; London compressing 4137.7–4149.
Gold rebounded off the 4113 Asian low after Monday's yield-driven flush to the 4110.8 monday low, but mid-London it has stalled under the 4149 session high, where the Asian and London highs sit together. Price is coiling between 4137.7 and 4149, just above EMA20 and holding above the 38.2% of the rebound fib (~4135), with RSI(14) near 54.
Support: 4,137.70, 4,122.10, 4,110.80
Resistance: 4,149.00, 4,171.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4149 session high breaks the London range and brings the 4171.3 prior high into view
Failure to hold the 4137.7 london low opens a deeper retrace of the rebound fib toward the 4122.1 swing low
Break of the 4110.8 monday low would extend Monday's lower-low sequence
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read through yields and USD
Higher lows off 4111–4113 base; London range 4136–4149.
Gold is building higher lows off the 4111–4113 double bottom after Monday's yield-driven flush. The rebound stalled at the 4149 session high, which also matches NY's 4148 bounce high and marks the neckline. Price is compressing in a 4136–4149 London range, hugging ema20 near 4139, with RSI(14) neutral around 56.
Support: 4,136.00, 4,122.10, 4,110.80
Resistance: 4,149.00, 4,160.60, 4,171.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4149 session high completes the double bottom and opens the 4160.6 prior high, then the 4171.3 24h high
Break of the 4136 london low snaps the higher-low trendline and exposes the 4122 swing low
Loss of 4122 puts the 4111 24h low back in play, the base of the digest's $4,100 support
Musalem at 11:30 UTC, JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) and Fedspeak through 19:00 UTC could shift yields and this read
08:32 UTC
Recovery off Monday low, stalling under 4149 · RSI 56 · price 4,140.58
Higher lows from 4113, capped at 4148–4149 asian high.
Early London poked above the 4148 asian high to 4148.99 and faded, the third stall at the 61.8% retrace of Monday's 4171–4110 flush. Price is pivoting near the 50% level at ~4141, with higher lows along the rising trendline off 4113 and RSI(14) neutral near 56, as gold holds a modest bounce under a firm USD and 5.27% 10y yields.
Support: 4,136.00, 4,122.10, 4,111.00
Resistance: 4,148.50, 4,171.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4149 asian high / 61.8% opens the 4160 prior high, then the 4171 swing high
Loss of the 4136 london low and the rising trendline near 4128 exposes the 4122 swing low, then the 4111 monday low
Musalem 11:30 UTC, JOLTS 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) and Fedspeak through NY hours could materially shift this read
Gold has built higher lows off the 4113 Asia-session low and the 4122 swing low, but the 4148–4149 session high has now rejected three times since the pre-London push, leaving price chopping near 4142 mid-London. RSI(14) sits near 59 after the rally from Monday's low, with the broader tone still heavy on 5.27% 10y yields and October hike pricing.
Support: 4,136.03, 4,122.11, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,148.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4149 session high opens the 4160 swing high
Failure to hold the 4136 London low shifts focus to the 4122 swing low and the rising trendline
Loss of 4122 exposes the 4111 Monday low
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
The Asia rally from 4113 carried into London open, which printed a 4148.99 London high. It then stalled at the same 4148 area that capped Monday's 16:15 UTC spike, a third rejection there. Higher lows at 4113, 4122 and 4136 keep the intraday recovery intact, but bounces are running into supply while 10y yields hold near 5.27%.
Support: 4,136.00, 4,122.10, 4,110.80
Resistance: 4,149.00, 4,160.60
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4149 london high breaks the triple cap and exposes the 4160.6 swing high
Loss of the 4136 london low puts the 4122 higher low and the rising higher-lows line in play
A break below the 4110.8 monday low resumes the prior downtrend
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS/Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 4113 since Asia, double cap at 4148–4149 in early London.
Monday's yield-driven NY slide from the 4171 monday high bottomed at 4110.84. Asia then printed rising lows at 4113 and 4122, but the first hour of London stalled at the 4149 session high, matching the 4148 Tuesday Asia high. Price now sits mid-range above the 4136 london low with RSI(14) near 60; the 50% of the asia–london leg is at 4131.
Support: 4,136.03, 4,122.11, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,148.99, 4,171.29
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4149 session high opens the 4160 prior high, then the 4171 monday high
Loss of the 4136 london low puts the rising lows trendline near 4126 and the 50% retrace at 4131 in play
Break of the 4122 swing low exposes the 4111 monday low
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS/Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could reset the intraday range
HL chain off 4113, Asian range high broken, stalling at session high.
The relief bounce off Monday's 4110.8 low, an 8-week low after the yield-driven selloff, has built a higher-low chain at 4113 then 4122. The pre-London push cleared the 4140 Asian high, but early London is stalling under the 4149 session high, which has been tagged twice, with RSI(14) near 61 and price holding above the 23.6% of the asian leg fib.
Support: 4,140.30, 4,122.10, 4,110.80
Resistance: 4,149.00, 4,160.60
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4149 session high opens the 4160.6 prior swing
Slip back below the 4140 asian high returns price to the Asian range and puts the 4122 higher low and the higher-low line in focus
Loss of the 4122 higher low reopens the 4110.8 monday low
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain from the Asia low, testing the prior high.
After Monday's yield-driven slide, Asia rebuilt from the asia low at 4113.39 in a higher-low sequence. A late-Asia sweep to the 4122.11 swing low reversed sharply. Early London is pressing 4148.17, the prior high that also capped Monday's NY bounce, with the 4136.03 london low holding the first pullback and RSI(14) near 62.
Support: 4,136.03, 4,122.11, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,148.17, 4,160.61
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4148.17 prior high opens the 4160.61 swing high
Loss of the 4136.03 london low, then the 4122.11 swing low, breaks the higher-low chain
Break of the 4113.39 asia low returns price to Monday's lows near 4110
Fed's Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read via yields
07:03 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling at session high · RSI 54 · price 4,139.16
Higher lows through Asia, capped at 4148 asian high.
London opens just under the 4148.17 asian high. That level matched Monday's post-selloff bounce high to the cent and rejected again at 06:00 UTC. Asia built higher lows at 4113.39 and 4122.11 as the relief bid off Monday's yield-driven crash held, with price now sitting just above the 38.2% fib of the Asian rally and RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 4,134.20, 4,122.11, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,148.17, 4,160.61
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4148.17 asian high clears the twice-tested cap and opens 4160.6 swing high
Loss of 4134.2 swing low (38.2% fib zone) shifts focus to the 4122 higher low and the rising Asian trendline
Break of 4113.4 asian low undercuts the Asian higher-low structure
Fed's Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain inside Asia, capped at the 4148 asian high.
After Monday's slide to 4110.84, Asia based twice near 4113 and built higher lows. This is the relief bounce the digest describes, while yields and USD stay firm. The 05:30 UTC dip to the 4122 swing low was bought, and price is now pulling back from 4148.17, the Asian high and a match of yesterday's 16:15 UTC spike high, into London open.
Support: 4,140.47, 4,122.11, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4148 asian high breaks the Asian range and puts the 4160 ny high in play
Loss of the 4140 micro low with a break of the rising trendline would stall the HL chain
Break below the 4122 swing low reopens the 4113 asian low and yesterday's 4110.84 low
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Intraday rebound after Monday's slide, higher lows in Asia · RSI 60 · price 4,143.55
Higher-low chain off 4113 Asian low, capped at 4148 Asian high.
Asia session rebounded from the 4113 asia low, printed a higher low at 4122 and cleared the 4140 flip level. It stalled twice at the 4148 asia high, which matches Monday's post-crash bounce high, heading into London open. RSI(14) at 60. The move fits the digest's relief bid after Monday's yield-driven drop.
Support: 4,140.30, 4,122.10, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4148 asia high opens the 4160 prior high from Monday's London session
Failure to hold the 4140 flip level puts the 4122 higher low and rising Asia support line back in play
Break of the 4113 asia low undoes the Asia rebound and exposes Monday's 4110.84 low
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read
06:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since Asia open · RSI 66 · price 4,145.71
Asian range broken to the upside, testing Monday's NY rebound high.
Late Asia cleared the 4140.5 asian high after putting in a higher low at 4122.1. That extends the relief bounce off Monday's 4110.8 low, which the 4113.4 asian low roughly matched, and price is now pressing the 4148.2 NY high ahead of London open. RSI(14) near 66 is firm but not stretched; the 4148.2 NY high and the $4,150 figure are the double bottom neckline.
Support: 4,140.50, 4,122.10, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,148.20, 4,160.60
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4148.2 NY high confirms the double bottom neckline break and opens the 4160.6 swing high
Slip back below the 4140.5 asian high turns the move into a false break; fib 50% near 4130.8, then the 4122.1 higher low
Break of the Asia trendline and the 4113.4 asian low reopens Monday's 4110.8 low
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL off the 4113 Asian low, pressing the Asian high.
Gold is rebounding off a 4111–4113 double bottom after Monday's yield- and USD-driven slide. The Asia rally set a higher low at 4122, where the 05:30 UTC wick swept 4124.75 and reclaimed 4138, and printed a fresh 4145 Asian high. Price sits just under that high and the 4148 NY high into London open, with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 4,122.11, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,144.99, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4148 ny high and 4150 extends the Asia rally's higher-high sequence
Rejection at the 4145 asian high keeps price inside the Asian range
Failure to hold the 4122 swing low breaks the asia hl line and returns focus to the 4113 asian low
Musalem at 11:30 UTC, then JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
05:47 UTC
Rebound off the NY low, stalling under the Asian high · RSI 52 · price 4,134.82
Late-Asia range 4113–4140 with rising lows; upper bound capped twice.
Late Asia session. Gold is holding the bounce off Monday's 4110.8 prior low after the >3% yield-driven slide, and trades near the top of a 4113–4140 Asian range with rising lows. The 05:30 UTC bar swept the 4122.1 swing low and closed back near 4138. The 4140.5 Asian high has capped twice, near the 61.8% retrace of the NY drop, with RSI(14) flat near 52.
Support: 4,122.10, 4,113.40, 4,110.80
Resistance: 4,140.50, 4,148.20
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4140.5 Asian high clears the 61.8% NY drop fib and exposes the 4148.2 NY spike high
Loss of the 4122.1 swing low breaks the rising lows and reopens the 4113.4 Asian low and 4110.8 prior low
London open is about an hour out; a break of the Asian range either way changes the read
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Range after Monday selloff, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 4,127.19
Late Asia inside 4113–4140 Asian range, lower high at 4133 after 4140 cap.
Late Asia, about 90 minutes before London open. Gold is mid-way through a 4113–4140 Asian range after Monday's slide to the 4110.84 monday low on 5.27% 10y yields and a firm USD. The Asian bounce was rejected at the 4140.28 asian high and has set a lower high at 4133.14. Price sits near the 50% fib of the Asian leg, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 44. The 4124.75 higher low is still intact.
Support: 4,124.75, 4,113.39, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,133.14, 4,140.28, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
Break below the 4124.75 higher low (near the 61.8% fib) turns the rising Asian lows trendline and puts the asian low at 4113.39 and monday low at 4110.84 back in play
M15 close above the 4133.14 lower high and then the 4140.28 asian high opens the monday ny high at 4148.17
London open is the first test of whether the Asian range holds
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could move yields and materially shift this read
05:17 UTC
Short-term lower highs inside Asian range · RSI 41 · price 4,127.36
Asian range 4113–4140, fading from range top toward mid.
Late Asia session: gold's rally from the 4113.39 Asian low stalled at the 4140.28 Asian high after repeated rejection at 4139–4140. Price has since printed lower highs back to the 50% retracement of that move near 4127, below EMA20 and EMA50, while Monday's post-crash floor at the 4110.84 monday low still holds with yields and USD strength as the backdrop.
Support: 4,124.75, 4,113.39, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,140.28, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4124.75 swing low and 61.8% fib (~4123.7) exposes the 4113.39 asian low and 4110.84 monday low
Break of the monday low brings the $4,095 support flagged in the digest into view
Close above the lower-highs line and the 4140.28 asian high reopens the 4148.17 ny spike hi
London open in ~2h typically resolves the Asian range
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs off 4140 Asian high, still above 4113 Asian low.
Monday's yield- and oil-driven slide bottomed at the 4110.84 Monday low. The Asian leg rebounded from 4113.39 to the 4140.28 Asian high, then faded in lower highs to a 4124.75 swing low. Late Asia, price sits near the 50% retracement of that leg, below EMA20, with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 4,124.75, 4,113.39, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,140.28, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4124.75 swing low exposes the 4113.39 Asian low and 4110.84 Monday low into London open
Reclaim of the 4140.28 Asian high reopens the 4148.17 NY spike high from Monday
Fedspeak from Musalem at 11:30 UTC could materially shift this read ahead of JOLTS at 14:00 UTC
Asian range 4113–4140; rejection at range top, pullback toward mid-range.
Late Asia session: gold built a 4113–4140 range above the 4110.84 monday low, with the asian high at 4140.28 rejected near Monday's afternoon range top. Price has slipped back to the 50% level of the asian rally fib near 4127, below EMA20 and EMA50, after Monday's yield-driven liquidation as US 10y yields hit 5.27%.
Support: 4,124.75, 4,113.39, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,140.28, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
A break of the 4124.75 pullback low (near 61.8% of the asian rally fib) exposes the 4113.39 asian low
A close below the 4110.84 monday low confirms a lower low and resumes the downtrend
Reclaiming the 4140.28 asian high reopens 4148.17, the spike high from Monday's post-low bounce
Musalem at 11:30 UTC, then JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher low above Monday low, lower high under NY high.
Monday's yield-driven liquidation bottomed at the 4110.84 monday low during NY hours. Asia printed a higher low at 4113.39 and bounced to a 4140.28 asian high, which sits under the lower highs line from the 4148.17 ny high. Price has faded from that rejection to the 38.2% retrace of the Asia leg, pinned at EMA20 in late Asia.
Support: 4,128.62, 4,113.39, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,140.28, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4128.62 swing low exposes the 4113.39 asian low and 4110.84 monday low
Close above the 4140.28 asian high breaks the lower highs line and opens the 4148.17 ny high
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS/Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Base at 4111–4113 lows, lower high capping at 4140–4148.
After Monday's yield-driven liquidation to the 4110.84 monday low, the Asia session bounced from its 4113.39 asian low but saw rejection at the 4140.28 asian high, below the 4148 lower high left in NY. Price is back under EMA20 near 4131 with RSI(14) at 51, drifting toward the 4126.45 swing low, the 50% level of the asian bounce fib.
Support: 4,126.45, 4,113.39, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,140.28, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4126.45 swing low exposes the 4113.39 asian low, the 61.8% of the asian bounce sits at 4123.7
A break of the 4110.84 monday low extends the downtrend toward 4095 support
An M15 close above the 4140.28 asian high and the 4148 lower high trendline breaks the lower-high sequence
Musalem 11:30 UTC, then JOLTS and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields
04:03 UTC
Rebound off lows, stalling late Asia · RSI 57 · price 4,132.92
Higher lows in Asia, capped below the 4140 Asian high.
The Asia rebound from 4113.39 retested Monday's low near 4110.84, left a double bottom under the yield-driven liquidation, and has stalled below the 4140 Asian high for five bars. The late-Asia pullback is probing the 4131.5 swing low, with RSI(14) near 57 and price hugging EMA20; the 4148 NY rebound high still caps the base.
Support: 4,131.54, 4,126.45, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,140.28, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4140.28 Asian high opens the 4148 NY rebound high, the double-bottom neckline
Loss of the 4126.45 higher low (50% of the Asia rebound) puts the 4110.84 Monday low back in play
London open in ~3h, then Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC, could reprice yields and shift this read
HH/HL chain through Asia inside the 4111–4148 range.
After Monday's yield-driven liquidation printed a monday low at 4110.84 in NY, the 4111–4114 base held again early in Asia and price has since stepped up in higher lows to a session high at 4140.28, back above the 61.8% of the late-Monday drop. Price sits mid-range below the 4148.17 spike high. RSI(14) near 63 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 4,133.82, 4,126.45, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,140.28, 4,148.17, 4,160.61
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4148.17 spike high breaks the range top and brings the 4160.61 ny high into view
Loss of the 4133.82 higher low and the rising trendline puts the 4126.45 prior pivot back in play
Failure to hold the 4110.84 monday low negates the double bottom read
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read; 10y yield vs 5.27% is the driver
Higher lows off 4113 Asian low, pressing prior high.
Asia session has built higher lows from the 4113.39 Asian low after Monday's yield-driven liquidation, and price is now back at the 4141.7 prior high set in late NY. The move has retraced roughly 75% of the NY swing fib from 4148.17, with RSI(14) near 65 and short pullbacks holding the asia hl line.
Support: 4,133.80, 4,126.45, 4,113.39
Resistance: 4,141.70, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4141.7 prior high opens the 4148.17 ny high
Break below the 4133.8 pullback low and the asia hl line puts the 4126.45 swing low in play
Loss of the 4113.39 asian low resumes the Monday lower-low sequence
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS/Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Corrective bounce off Monday's low, stalling under 4140 · RSI 58 · price 4,135.60
Asian higher-low chain off 4113, capped at 4139.
Monday's yield-driven slide bottomed at 4110.84 in NY hours. The Asian session tested 4113–4114 three times and has since held a higher low at 4133 on the rebound. Late Asia is stalling at the 4139.4 Asian high, just under Monday evening's 4146.6 prior high, with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 4,133.00, 4,126.40, 4,113.40
Resistance: 4,139.40, 4,146.60, 4,160.60
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4139.4 asian high exposes the 4146.6 prior high, then the 4160.6 NY high
Loss of the 4133 higher low shifts focus to the 50% fib at 4126.4
Break of the 4113.4 asian low resumes Monday's downtrend below 4110.84
Musalem 11:30 UTC and JOLTS 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read via yields
HH/HL chain from 4113.39 Asian low, testing session high.
Monday's yield-driven liquidation bottomed at the 4110.84 monday low, and the 4113.39 asian low held as a double bottom. Late Asia has since built an HH/HL chain along the higher-low trendline into the 4139.24 session high, just under the 4141.72 prior high, which sits near 50% of the NY drop fib. RSI(14) at ~62 is not stretched. London open is about four hours out.
Support: 4,126.45, 4,113.39, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,139.24, 4,141.72, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4141.72 prior high clears 50% of the NY drop fib and opens the 4148 ny spike / 61.8% area
Break of the 4126.45 swing low and the higher-low trendline ends the HH/HL chain, putting the 4113.39 asian low and 4110.84 monday low back in play
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read via 10y yields
Higher lows through Asia, capped at the 4138 Asian high.
Monday's yield-driven liquidation stalled at the 4110.84 Monday low. The 4113.39 Asian low was a third hold of the 4111–4113 base, so a triple bottom is in play but unconfirmed below the 4148 prior high. Asia has printed higher lows through the 4126.45 swing low and is pressing the 4138 Asian high, about 71% into the fib of the 4148–4111 drop, with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 4,126.45, 4,113.39, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,138.06, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4148 prior high confirms the triple bottom and opens the 4160 NY high
Rejection at the 4138 Asian high plus a break of the 4126 swing low ends the higher-lows sequence and returns price to the base
Failure to hold the 4110.84 Monday low resumes the downtrend toward 4095
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Monday's yield-driven liquidation bottomed at the 4110.84 monday low in NY. Late-NY and Asia retests held 4111–4113, forming a double bottom, and the mid-Asia bounce has lifted price to the 4137.06 session high. That sits just above the 61.8% of the fib 4148-4111 leg, with the 4148.17 lower high the next cap.
Support: 4,126.45, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,137.06, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4148.17 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and confirms the double bottom
Loss of the 4126.45 higher low and the rising trendline returns price to the 4113–4125 Asian range
Break below the 4110.84 monday low resumes the downtrend toward the 4095 area
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:03 UTC
Downtrend, Asian bounce off lows · RSI 60 · price 4,134.96
4111-4113 base tested three times; lower highs capped 4141-4148.
Monday's yield-driven liquidation, with the 10y at 5.27%, bottomed at the 4110.84 ny low. Late NY and the 4113.39 asia low both held that 4111 base. The Asia session lifted price through the 4129 asia high to a 4137 session high, where it is testing the 38.2% of the 4171–4111 NY leg with the 50% fib at 4141 just above.
Support: 4,129.00, 4,113.39, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,137.06, 4,141.07, 4,148.20
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 50% fib at 4141 opens the 61.8% fib at 4148, the NY spike high
Slip back under the 4129 asia high returns price to the 4111-4129 range
Break of the 4113 asia low and 4111 ny low marks a fresh lower-low toward the 4095 area
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read via yields
01:47 UTC
Downtrend pausing, intraday bounce from base · RSI 61 · price 4,134.00
Double bottom 4110.8/4113.4; lower-highs line broken in Asia.
Monday's yield-driven liquidation bottomed at the 4110.84 monday low, and the 4113.39 asian low held just above it, forming a double bottom. Mid-Asia, price has broken the lower-highs line from the 4148 ny rebound high and is pressing the 4134.6 asian high, which sits on the 61.8% retracement and the EMA50. RSI(14) is near 60.
Support: 4,126.80, 4,113.39, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,134.64, 4,141.72, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4134.6 asian high and 61.8% opens the 4141.7 swing high, then the 4148.2 ny rebound high
Rejection at 4134.6 and a slip back under the ema20 near 4127 keeps price inside the Asian range
Break below the 4110.8 monday low voids the double bottom and puts the digest's 4,095 support in view
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC and Tuesday's Fedspeak cluster, with the 10y near 5.27%, could materially shift this read
Monday's yield-driven liquidation found a floor at the 4110.84 Monday low, retested at 4111 late NY and at the 4113.39 Asian low. Early Asia is pressing the 4131.78 Asian high, above the descending lower-highs line and the ema20, and sitting at the 50% retracement of the 4148–4111 leg. The 4148.17 NY high is the double-bottom neckline and remains unconfirmed.
Support: 4,125.40, 4,113.39, 4,110.84
Resistance: 4,131.78, 4,134.10, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
Close above the 4131.78 Asian high exposes the 61.8% fib at 4134 and the 4148.17 NY high
Failure back under the ema20 near 4125 returns price to the Asian range
Break of the 4113 Asian low and 4110.84 Monday low extends the lower-low sequence toward 4095
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC later Tuesday could materially shift this read
01:04 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs over a flat floor · RSI 44 · price 4,115.25
Lower highs from 4171 to 4148 to 4129; lows holding 4111–4113.
Monday's slide from 4256 found a floor at the 4110.84 Monday low as the 10y printed 5.27%, and the NY high at 4148 was sold, leaving a chain of lower highs. Early Asia has held a 4113–4129 range, and price is back at the Asian low just above the Monday low.
Support: 4,110.84, 4,095.00
Resistance: 4,129.00, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4110.84 monday low extends the lower-low chain toward 4095 socgen supp
Close above the 4129 asian high clears the lower-highs line and the 50% fib of the ny high–monday low leg
Rejection again under the asian high keeps the lower-highs sequence intact below the 4148 ny high
Tuesday Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in Asian range · RSI 44 · price 4,117.43
Lower highs since NY spike, Asian range 4114–4129 above Monday low.
Monday's yield-driven liquidation took gold from 4261 to the 4110.84 Monday low during NY hours. Rallies have since formed lower highs from the 4148 NY high, and Asia is holding a 4114–4129 range just above that low. Price is back under ema20 near 4122 with RSI(14) neutral around 44.
Support: 4,114.46, 4,110.84, 4,095.00
Resistance: 4,122.00, 4,129.00, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4110.84 Monday low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 4095 socgen lvl
Reclaim of the 4129 asian high breaks the lower-highs line and opens the 4148 NY high
Failure to hold the 4114 asian low puts the Monday low retest in play
Tuesday Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read, with gold tracking the 10y yield
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalling in Asia range · RSI 47 · price 4,121.88
Lower highs from 4265; Asia range 4114–4129 holding above Monday low.
Monday's yield-driven liquidation from 4265 found a low at 4110.84 during NY hours. The bounce stalled at the 4148 NY high, and price faded back to 4111 into the close. Asia session is building a tight 4114–4129 range with RSI(14) neutral near 47; the Asia high sits on the 50% retrace of that NY-high fade.
Support: 4,114.46, 4,110.84, 4,095.00
Resistance: 4,129.00, 4,141.72, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4110.84 Monday low extends the lower-low sequence toward 4095 SocGen support
Reclaim of the 4129 Asia high / 50% retrace opens the 4141.7 range top and 4148 NY high
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC Tuesday could break the Asian range; 10y yield vs 5.27% is the driver
00:04 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in Asia · RSI 46 · price 4,126.10
Lower highs from 4148; tight Asian range 4118–4129 above a 4111 double-touch low.
Monday's yield-driven liquidation, with the 10y at 5.27%, took gold from 4265 to a 4110.84 day low in NY, retested at 4111 late in the session. Asia is compressing in a 4118–4129 range. The asian high sits at the descending lower-high trendline and the 50% retrace of the 4148 rebound high; RSI(14) is neutral near 46.
Support: 4,118.08, 4,110.84, 4,095.00
Resistance: 4,129.00, 4,141.72, 4,148.17
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4129 asian high and the lower-high trendline breaks the descending sequence, with 4141.7 lower high next
Loss of the 4118 asian low reopens the 4111 day low; a break there extends the downtrend toward the 4095 socgen level
A second hold at the 4111 day low keeps a base in play below the 4148 rebound high
Tuesday Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read